International Telecommunication Union NGN Business Models Chae Sub Lee Vice-Chairman of ITU-T SG13 ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 Contents 1. Why need Next Generation? 2. Key trends in Telecommunications 3. Impacts of NGN 4. NGN Configurations and Players 5. Utilization of NGN 6. Conclusion ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 1. Why need Next Generation? Success, Problems or Dilemmas? ss e sin Service based Infrastructure Monopolized Communication era Information Society (21C) Off line Life Network based Infrastructure t n u e B m s irem o d c le nee equ e • T se r r e r •U utu rs •F the •o On line Life Competitive ICT era ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 s 1. Why need Next Generation? Telecom Market Today *Source : “Mobility and Fixed Mobile Convergence, John Visser, Nortel, ITU-T/ATIS NGN Workshop, Las Vegas, USA, March.2006 ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 1. Why need Next Generation? What is keeping SP CEOs awake at night? o Revenue is saturated or declining for most o o o o core products Competition is increasing in all markets Google, Skype et al are creating a new kind of competitive landscape Æ Venice Project Costs are too high We need a solution NOW *Source : “NGN: an answer to all end users’ problems?”, Chris Lewis, NGN Industry Event, London, UK 11.2005 ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 1. Why need Next Generation? But even Mobile Business… ARPU of SK Telecom in Korea 50 45 40 35 $ 30 ARPU 25 Wireless Internet 20 15 10 5 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 1. Why need Next Generation? ARPU Analysis o Analysis means • Subscribers saturated in Korea • ARPU increases little and slightly • Voice revenue keeps stagnant • Wireless data revenue has jumped three fold over the past three years • But ARPU doesn’t increase that much because of price reduction ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 1. Why need Next Generation? No clear reason, but want….. What is the main benefit of FMC for telecom service providers? Lower capex or opex Lower cus tom er churn Higher ARPU Ability to expand into new m arket s egm ents Don't know/not s ure 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Pe rce ntage of re sponde nts *Source : “NGN, IMS and FMC”, Graham Finie, NGN Industry Event, London, UK 11.2005 ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 35 1. Why need Next Generation? Everybody needs next, so… NGN N G N Intelligent Office Integrated Engineering Moves, adds and changes *Source : “NGN: an answer to all end users’ problems?”, Chris Lewis, NGN Industry Event, London, UK 11.2005 Mobile Workers Teleworking ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 2. Key trends in Telecommunications Packet based Environments Past : Seper. of Voice & Data Transp. Circuit Switch. Access Capa. Circuit Switch. Transp. Capa. Packet Switch. Transp. Capa. Present : Sep. of V & D Access Circuit Switch. Access Capa. Packet Switch. Access Capa. Circuit Switch. Transp. Capa. Packet Switch. Transp. Capa. xDSL / FTTx Future : Integration of V & D Access and Transp. Near Future : Integration of V & D Transport Circuit Switch. Access Capa. Packet Switch. Access Capa. Circuit Switch. Transp. Capa. Packet Switch. Transp. Capa. Packet Switch. Access Capa. Packet Switch. Transp. Capa. VoIP / VToA ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 2. Key trends in Telecommunications Converged User Terminals 4G Mobile-phone/PDA Phone FAX PC FAX Data inc. Everything • Real Time DATA • Non-Real Time DATA PC TV PC TV Multimedia PC (Desk Top / Lap Top) ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 2. Key trends in Telecommunications Competition in Enterprises Program Provider Role Information Service Provider Role End User Role Information Service Brokerage Information Service Provision Contents Provider Role Information Information Information Brokerage Provision Ownership Vendor Role Terminal Equipment Supply Service Infra. Communication & Networking of Information Application Creation Support Telecommunication Service Provision Information Processing & Storage service Provision Telecommunication Infrastructure Computer Infrastructure Information Creation Support ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 3. Impacts of NGN NGN in 4 words… • by Fixed • by Mobile • by Wireless NGN == Broadband Broadband Managed Managed IP IP Network Network NGN • • • • for Services for Businesses for Players for Users ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 3. Impacts of NGN Key Principles of NGN z Open architecture: open to support service creation, service updating, and incorporation of service logic provision by third parties and also support “Distributed control” as well as enhanced security and protection. z Independent provisioning: service provision process should be separated from network operation by using distributed, open control mechanism to promote competition. z Multiplicity: The NGN functional architecture shall offer the configuration flexibility needed to support multiple access technologies. ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 3. Impacts of NGN Competition and Collaboration Pre-NGN Video Services (TV, movie, etc) Telephone Services Data Services (WWW, e-mail, etc) Video Services Network Telephone Services Network Data Services Network New PolicyyRegulation Environment (Horizontal) New Business Environment (Compositional) Service-based Pol./Reg. Voice Internet Video MM Access Network Provider Domain Pol. Reg. ANP 1 (DSL) Service/Application Provider Domain SP1SP2SP3 SPm ANP 2 (DSL) IP (Future Packet ?) Platform Pol. X Reg. x xDSL/Optic based Fixed-Mobile ANP 3 (Opt) User ANP N (Cable) Resource-based Pol./Reg. CNP 1 CNP 2 CNP 3 Core Network Provider Domain ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 3. Impacts of NGN Driving Forces from NGN z Support of New Value Added Services - Saturation of both Fixed and Mobile telephone services - Need of Integrated (Fixed+Wireless) and Convergence (Telecom+Broad.) z Support of New Service Paradigm - Increase of Service requirements (Flex. of Access, Diversity of Service etc.) - Increase of High Quality services (Beyond QoS over the Internet) z Continue growing energy for IT Business - Preparation of New Revenue Stream based on IT Business - Development of new high-tech and market ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 4. NGN configuration and players Overview on NGN configuration ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 4. NGN configuration and players Horizontal view of NGN configuration Internet Services Operator A Internet Non-SIP Services Operator B Core Network Laptop Access Network IP Connectivity Access Network IMS Services Core Transport Network Internet Services Core Network Firewall Transit Network Transit Network IMS Services Core Transport Network Access Network IP Connectivity Access Network ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 4. NGN configuration and players Basic NGN Roles and Players value added service provider customer retailing service provider user wholesale service provider technical relation and reference point commercial relation ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 4. NGN configuration and players NGN roles: First level of specialization retail retail service service provider provider value value added added service provider service provider user user core core service service provider provider access access transport transport provider provider transit transit transport transport provider provider ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 4. NGN configuration and players NGN roles: Second level of specialization retail retail service service provider provider integrating integrating service service provider provider value value added added service provider service provider user user service service control control provider provider access access transport transport provider provider core core transport transport provider provider transit transit transport transport provider provider ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 5. Utilization of NGN NGN; a Convergence Platform z Combination IP with Broadband accelerating intrinsic convergence • Service convergence: Web based service provisioning • Network convergence: IP over any broadband transport networks z Advanced Mobile and Wireless technology initiate business convergence such as Fixed-Mobile convergence z Broadband Fixed, Wireless and Mobile technology boost another business convergence, called “Multiple Play: Tele-Broadcasting” TeleBroadcasting FMC NGN ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 5. Utilization of NGN NGN; Enablers for Convergence Business/Application oriented projects Limited Services BE IP Limited BB FMC N G N •Simple linkage btw layers •Simple business relationships •Simple players RFID IPTV Others Managed IP Converged Broadband •Simple linkage btw layers with dynamics •Diverse and Flexible business relationships •Diverse business models and players ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 5. Utilization of NGN NGN as an Infrastructure for IPTV TV QoS, Traffic control, Security, X-casting, Accounting etc. IP 802.xx Access Cable Domain 1 IntServ Domain 2 Domain 3 DiffServ MPLS-TE Domain 4 Over-Prov xDSL Multi-Service Packet Transport NGN 2G/3G Wireless Integrated QoS, Traffic control, Security, Multi services etc. ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 5. Global Standards Activities Next Direction of Global Standardization Construction for Business/Application (Project oriented approach) FMC Implementable Standards - For Converged Infrastructure - For Migration RFID IPTV Others Managed IP Converged Broadband ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 5. Utilization of NGN Use model of NGN VoIP Messaging N-IDs IPTV Others QoS, Security, Media Handling etc NGN Fixed-BB-AN* Wireless-BB-AN Mobile-BB-AN Broadband Core-T Broadband Core-T IntCon. R-BCS-BB-AN** * Include cable based Broadband Access Network technology ** means radio based broadcasting transport capabilities include satellite means ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 6. Conclusion Infrastructure vs. Services/Applications • Each infras. for each Serv./Appl. • Interworking was a big issue • No interoperability Æ ISDN as a dream • Fixed/Mobile Infra for each F/M Serv./Appl. • Interconnection was a big issue Æ Forgot ISDN • IP infra for Internet Serv/ Applications • QoS, Security are big issue • Integrated infras. for most of Serv./Appl. • FMC, Tele-Broad. • Premium/Managed BB IP based Network • Reg/Policy become issue Æ ISDN become real Time ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 6. Conclusion NGN : Nothing new, but upgrading, adding Value Up-grading Current Infrastructure Adding Value Current Generation-Beach Next Generation-Water Park ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006 Thank you for your attention !!! ITU-T/ITU-D Workshop "Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks" Dar es Salaam, 3-5 October 2006