AN ABSTRACT OF THE THESIS OF Laura Ferguson for the degree of Master of Science in Marine Resource Management in presented on September 28, 2015. Title: Characterizing and Assessing the Researcher-Stakeholder Engagement Process for Water Sustainability: The Willamette Water 2100 Project. Abstract approved: ______________________________________________________ Samuel Chan Natural resource management and policy is ideally informed by the best available science. Natural resource researchers ideally participate in broader impacts activities to extend the reach of their best available research. However, there are many cultural, institutional, and practical barriers to participating in broader impact activities and to incorporating science into natural resource use decisions. Researcherstakeholder engagement is one proposed solution to overcome such barriers and to achieve both broader impact and science-based policy goals. This research explores the research-stakeholder engagement process as a means to achieve those ends. The objective of this study was to document the perceptions of participants in a transdisciplinary researcher-stakeholder engagement process in order to identify its impacts as well as barriers and pathways to its successes. Literature has documented many researcher-stakeholder engagement process case studies where researchers offer lessons learned and speculate on their impacts, but few offer data on the engagement process structure, the stakeholder perspective of the engagement process, or the impacts of collaboration between academic research teams and scientific stakeholders. This work addresses these gaps by taking a closer look at how one team of researchers engaged with its stakeholders and voicing the perceptions of stakeholders in addition to researchers. An exploratory sequential mixed methods approach was used for an in-depth case study of the researcher-stakeholder engagement experience in Willamette Water 2100 (WW2100), a five-year transdisciplinary research project investigating the biophysical and socioeconomic drivers of future water scarcity. Attendance records characterize the individuals participating in each engagement event. Twenty-six semistructured interviews with key participants were collected, transcribed and analyzed to identify recurring themes. An online survey of all researchers and stakeholders engaged with the project (n=137; response rate = 49%) was then conducted to document their perceptions their motivations to, expectations for, participation in, and outcomes of WW2100. The results presented here were intended to be representative of motivations, expectations, challenges, successes, and outcomes salient to all WW2100 participants. Researchers and stakeholders were motivated to participate for social, knowledge, and utility reasons and held different expectations for the roles they would play, the researcher-stakeholder engagement process itself, and the resulting research results. Four types of challenges were identified: lack of a shared vision, differing professional languages, research complexities, and project management. Participants identified successful outcomes including: overcoming challenges, facilitating learning, greater understanding, conversation among diverse perspectives, and improving and extending research results. Researcher-stakeholder engagement in natural resource research can create more relevant science and achieve scientific broader impact goals. This research offers novel evidence of researcher-stakeholder engagement impacts and proposes more specific criteria for broader impact activity evaluation. ©Copyright by Laura Ferguson September 28, 2015 All Rights Reserved Characterizing and Assessing the Researcher-Stakeholder Engagement Process for Water Sustainability: The Willamette Water 2100 Project by Laura Ferguson A THESIS submitted to Oregon State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science Presented September 28, 2015 Commencement June 2016 Master of Science thesis of Laura Ferguson presented on September 28, 2015 APPROVED: Major Professor, representing Marine Resource Management Dean of the College of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences Dean of the Graduate School I understand that my thesis will become part of the permanent collection of Oregon State University libraries. My signature below authorizes release of my thesis to any reader upon request. Laura Ferguson, Author ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS It takes a whole village to raise a graduate student. I am grateful for the support of my village throughout this degree’s journey. I entered the Marine Resource Management Program with a mind to explore all the topics that fell within the interdisciplinary degree. I was fortunate to be advised by Sam Chan who accepted me as his student, encouraged my exploration, and supported me in classes, research, and work-life balance. Sam pushed me to think critically, locally and globally, and was instrumental to my development and success while at OSU. I am also grateful to my committee members, Mary Santelmann and Bryan Tilt, for their continued support, encouragement, and guidance. Thank you, Mary, for the many conversations on theories and best practices in stakeholder engagement and for the hands-on qualitative data analysis practice. Thank you, Bryan, for striking the qualitative data spark in your Anthropology class, for your encouragement throughout the coding process, and for the list of resources which strengthened this work. Thank you to Skip Rochefort, GCR, for interesting and though-provoking questions. Thank you to Bo Shelby for your help developing the survey instrument and leading me to think more deeply. Thank you to Flaxen Conway for your tireless dedication to the MRM program and its students. Thank you for your guidance in my education, support in pursuing new opportunities, and for your presence as a role model. Thank you to the faculty at OSU who taught me skills and provided knowledge and advice through coursework and individual meetings. Thank you to the Graduate School and NSF for providing financial support for this research, as well as Oregon Sea Grant who not only provided financial support but also a professional community from which to learn. Thank you to Lori Hartline and Robert Allan for the needed administrative reminders, future employment daydreams and smiles. Thank you to the WW2100 research team for allowing me into many privileged meetings and to all WW2100 participants for so openly sharing your perceptions and opinions with me. I am grateful to my family who love and support me no matter what. I am grateful to my friends who love and support me like a family. Para Miguel, gracias por comprenderme y apoyarme en todo, siempre fortalecido por amor. My successes and achievements are our successes and achievements. Thank you for working so hard with me to arrive here. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION, CONTEXT, & METHODS ............................. 1 Broader Impacts .................................................................................................................... 3 Trends in Collaborative Researcher-Stakeholder Engagement ............................................ 5 Defining the Case: Willamette Water 2100 Researcher-Stakeholder Engagement ........... 11 Willamette Water 2100 Model ....................................................................................... 12 Willamette Water 2100 Process Structure ..................................................................... 13 Methods .............................................................................................................................. 15 Attendance Record Analysis ........................................................................................... 15 Qualitative Interview Phase ............................................................................................ 16 Quantitative Survey Phase .............................................................................................. 18 Ethical Considerations......................................................................................................... 20 Literature Cited ................................................................................................................... 21 CHAPTER 2: JOURNAL ARTICLE [for submission to Ecology and Society]........ 30 Abstract ............................................................................................................................... 30 Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 30 Methods .............................................................................................................................. 34 Attendance Record Analysis ........................................................................................... 35 Semi-Structured Interviews ............................................................................................ 35 Online Survey .................................................................................................................. 36 Statistical analyses .......................................................................................................... 37 Results ................................................................................................................................. 38 WW2100 Participant Characterization ........................................................................... 38 Participant Motivations .................................................................................................. 40 Participant Expectations ................................................................................................. 43 Differences between Participant Groups........................................................................ 48 Discussion and Conclusions ................................................................................................ 50 References .......................................................................................................................... 56 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page CHAPTER 3: JOURNAL ARTICLE [for submission to The International Journal of Science in Society] ...................................................................................................... 64 Abstract ............................................................................................................................... 64 Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 64 Methods .............................................................................................................................. 71 Qualitative semi-structured interviews .......................................................................... 71 Quantitative survey......................................................................................................... 73 Results ................................................................................................................................. 74 Researcher-stakeholder engagement process structure................................................ 74 Researcher-stakeholder engagement process challenges.............................................. 78 Research-stakeholder engagement process impacts ..................................................... 83 Discussion ........................................................................................................................... 89 Challenges of Transdisciplinary Projects ......................................................................... 89 Impacts of Stakeholder Engagement in Transdisciplinary Projects ................................ 92 Conclusions ......................................................................................................................... 97 References .......................................................................................................................... 98 CHAPTER 4: RESULTS, DISCUSSION & CONCLUSIONS ............................... 107 Who is participating in the researcher-stakeholder engagement process? ..................... 108 What are participants’ motivations and expectations in participating? .......................... 109 What are participants’ perceptions of the process? ........................................................ 112 Challenges ..................................................................................................................... 112 Successes and Impacts .................................................................................................. 114 Engagement Process Structure to achieve impacts ...................................................... 120 Limitations ........................................................................................................................ 125 Recommendations ............................................................................................................ 126 Conclusions ....................................................................................................................... 127 Literature Cited ................................................................................................................. 128 APPENDICES .......................................................................................................... 136 LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page 1.1 Map of the Willamette basin and land use category distribution ………………..12 2.1. Individual participation in LAN events, organized by representative category...39 2.2. Motivations of survey respondents...…………………...……………………….40 2.3. Expectations for stakeholders and research team members and whether they were met ..……………………………..……………………………………………….47 3.1. Spectra of research approach philosophies…...…………………………………80 4.1. Timeline of stakeholder engagement events and positive and negative perceptions of these events ….……………………………………………………………..123 LIST OF TABLES Table Page 1.1 Lessons learned and impacts from cases of stakeholder engagement in transdisciplinary research.….……………………………………...……….....9 1.2 Group membership and number of participants interviewed …………..…...17 1.3 Total respondents, total surveys sent, and response rate for each respondent category.…………..……………………………………………………….....18 2.1 Total respondents, total surveys sent, and response rate for each respondent category………………………………………………………………………36 2.2 Expectations for the WW2100 model and engagement process and whether or not they were met...………………………………………………………......46 2.3 Expectations for stakeholder roles by respondent category……………....….48 2.4 Research team and stakeholder group expectations for research team roles…………………………………………………………………….49 2.5 Belonging to two expectation groups by professional group in WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process….……………………………...50 2.6 Expectations for the researcher-stakeholder engagement process and resulting model by respondent category…………… …………………………………51 3.1 Lessons learned and impacts from previous cases of stakeholder engagement in transdisciplinary research…………………………………………………69 3.2 Representation, expertise, and number of participants interviewed..…………………………………………………………………72 3.3 Summary of researcher-stakeholder engagement formats in WW2100………………………………………………. ……………………76 3.4 Codebook summary of challenges and successes of WW2100 researcherstakeholder engagement process………… ………………………………….89 3.5 Revised broader impact (BI) framework and examples from WW2100 outcomes………………………………………………………………….….94 LIST OF TABLES (Continued) 4.1 Revised broader impact (BI) framework and examples from WW2100 outcomes………………… ………………………………………………...119 LIST OF APPENDICES Appendix Page A. Semi-Structured Interview Guide……..…………………………...……….137 B. Survey Instrument and Results……………………………………………..138 C. Verbal Consent Guide……………………………………………………...168 D. Survey Letter of Invitation…………………………………………………169 E. Participating Research Team University Departments and Organizations…170 F. Supplemental Survey Results Tables……………………………………….173 G. Exploratory Factor Analysis of Researcher-Stakeholder Process and Model Expectations………………………………………………………………...175 H. Cronbach Reliability Analyses Index Analysis…………………………….176 LIST OF APPENDIX TABLES E.1. Page Participating research team university departments and stakeholder organizations………………………………………………………………..153 F.1. Motivations of survey respondents…………………………………………156 F.2. Expectations for research team member and stakeholder roles…………….156 F.3. Expectations for stakeholder roles and whether they were met……………157 F.4. Expectations for research team member roles and whether or not they were met………………………………………………………………………….157 G.1. Exploratory factor analysis of researcher-stakeholder engagement process and model expectations…………………………………………………………158 H.1. Cronbach alpha reliability analyses for participation indices………………159 H.2. Cronbach alpha reliability analyses for model utility, process utility, feeling heard, and model understanding indices……………………………………160 1 CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION, CONTEXT, & METHODS As the evidence for global climate change grows, communities are preparing for and adapting to the oncoming impacts on climate and variability. However, climate change and the associated natural resource management impacts possess the characteristics of a wicked problem (Rittel & Webber, 1973). There are no immediate or ultimate tests of solutions to the suite of climate change problems; they can be explained in many ways; each item in the suite can be considered a symptom of the other; the stakes are high; and there is no shared definition of the problem being faced (Rittel & Webber, 1973). Furthermore, global climate change implies global climate impacts. Transboundary natural resources will be impacted in unpredictable ways. Where shared natural resources were already difficult to manage (Dietz, Ostrom, & Stern, 2003), natural resource managers are further challenged by the uncertainty of climate change impacts (Lawler et al., 2010). As a result, systems-approach research may be useful in addressing natural resource management in the face of climate change. Scientific studies and associated recommendations to managers and policy makers are among the current options for presenting evidence for global climate change to the public (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2013). For example, there are several biodiversity risk assessments that explore how certain species will respond to changes in temperature and precipitation (e.g. Brainard et al., 2013; McClure et al., 2013). There are also studies which aim to characterize system responses to unique aspects of climate. For instance, a study by Chang, Praskievicz, & Parandvash (2014) showed that water consumption in Portland, Oregon was more tightly correlated with temperature than with precipitation. Yet, the water consumption in Portland does not exist in isolation. How then can climate change impacts be managed when they span many of society’s organizational boundaries (Stubbs & Lemon, 2001)? The ability to incorporate climate change and natural resource research into management and policies is limited. Several studies have investigated barriers to using climate research to make decisions and take actions. Reasons managers and policy makers have cited for not utilizing scientific information include uncertainty, conflicting priorities, institutional limitations, miscommunication or lack of effective communication, differing values, and the lack of results suited to local conditions (Callahan, Miles, & Fluharty, 2013; Gregory, Arvai, & Gerber, 2013; Rayner, Lach, & Ingram, 2005; Smith, Strzepek, Rozaklis, Ellinghouse, & Hallett, 2009; Weible 2 & Sabatier, 2009; Yang, Wu, & Shen, 2013). Additionally, science is not incorporated into policies because there are scientific studies supporting both sides of a policy debate; each of which can easily identify limitations in the methods and assumptions of the other (Fuller, 2011). Science is not used by non-scientists in climate and resource management for many reasons. On the other hand, funding agencies continue to award grants to scientific research projects, in part on the basis of whether the project exhibits strong potential for broader impacts, and resource managers are expected to incorporate science and climate change adaptation into planning and practices (Halofsky et al., 2011). There is thus a need for research scientists and non-scientists to work together to achieve these goals. Upon discovering that only 1/3 of research they funded was used to address coastal management problems, the Cooperative Institute for Coastal and Estuarine Environmental Technology (CI-CEET) evaluated their projects and found that user involvement and user trust were key factors present in the cases where funded research was able to affect change (Riley et al. 2011). In other words, research needs to be credible, salient, and legitimate (Cash et al., 2003). Research which incorporates the expertise of multiple disciplines and engages with science users is proposed and explored as a way to produce credible, salient, and legitimate results. The purpose of this thesis is to characterize one case of interdisciplinary research which has engaged with science users throughout the research process. Although there are many examples which provide lessons learned and outcomes from similar cases, they do not thoroughly discuss the structure nor represent participants’ perceptions of the researcherstakeholder engagement process. This study characterizes both researcher and stakeholder experiences and reflections on the process as it pertains to challenges and successes in order to identify barriers and pathways to a successful process. Where previous cases suggest potential impacts of their processes based on researcher reflection, this study identifies outcomes based on researcher and stakeholder reports and places them in the context of the National Science Foundation broader impacts criteria. The study offered here characterizes the experience of both researchers and stakeholders in this process by asking three questions: 1) Who is participating? 2) What are their motivations and expectations for participating? 3) What are their perceptions of the process? 3 Broader Impacts On July 10, 1997 the National Science Foundation (NSF) established two equally important merit criteria to evaluate proposals for funding: Intellectual Merit and Broader Impacts. Intellectual Merit refers to a project’s potential to advance knowledge within and across scientific disciplines, while Broader Impacts refers to a project’s potential to benefit society and contribute to achieving specific societal outcomes. A task force evaluated these sets of criteria in 2011 and confirmed that they were appropriate, emphasizing the need for broader participation in science to enhance scientific literacy and benefit society (National Science Board, 2011). As with all aspects of research to receive government funding through NSF, spending on Broader Impacts must be reported to congress according to the America COMPETES Reauthorization Act of 2010 (National Science Foundation, 2012). Broader Impacts, then, are a priority for the nation in funding scientific research. The NSF provides guidelines to researchers and reviewers to help them develop and evaluate Broader Impacts proposal plans. First, researchers must include a separate section in the proposal outlining the Broader Impacts plan of the proposed research or they will be returned to them without review. Within this section researchers should describe how the proposed research may benefit society through specific outcomes (National Science Foundation, 2012). The focus of Broader Impacts complements the Intellectual Merit criterion of knowledge creation by focusing on knowledge integration and transfer. Broader Impacts may be accomplished through the research itself, through activities related to research, or to activities that are complementary to the project (National Science Board, 2011). According to the guidelines for principal investigators, examples of Broader Impacts activities include: “innovations in teaching and training…contributions to the science of learning…development and/or refinement of research tools; computation methodologies, and algorithms for problem solving; development of databases to support research and education; broadening the participation of groups underrepresented in science, mathematics, engineering and technology; and service to the scientific and engineering community outside of the individual’s immediate organization” (National Science Foundation, 2013). Ultimately, researchers should ensure that their proposed Broader Impacts activities speak to the questions developed by the National Science Board to guide proposal reviewers (National Science Board, 2011, p. 4). 4 1) How well does the activity advance the discovery and understanding while promoting teaching, training, and learning? 2) How well does the proposed activity broaden the participation of underrepresented groups (e.g., gender, ethnicity, geographic, etc.)? 3) To what extent will it enhance the infrastructure for research and education, such as facilities, instrumentation, networks, and partnerships? 4) Will the results be disseminated broadly to enhance scientific and technological understanding? 5) What may be the benefits of the proposed activity to society? Despite review and updates to the guidelines, the Broader Impacts requirement remains under scrutiny. The list of examples provided in the guidelines for authors was perceived as a broad checklist which researchers struggled to fulfill in their focused research proposals (National Science Board, 2011). The new guidelines have replaced the list of illustrative examples with the general list cited above, leaving researchers without role models for broader impacts activities (National Science Foundation, 2012; National Science Foundation, 2013). Reviewers maintain that it is more difficult to assess the outcomes of Broader Impacts than Intellectual Merit because they are not as clear or consistent across projects and institutions (National Science Board, 2011). Given the assessment inconsistency across institutions and projects, researchers struggle not only to propose Broader Impacts activities but to execute approved activities. One study of projects funded by NSF found that 65% had Broader Impacts statements and 19% of those only included one of five possible broader impact activities. The most popular broader impacts activities were (a) teaching and training followed by (b) broader dissemination of results with 37% and 22% of funded projects participating in such activities, respectively (Nadkarni & Stasch, 2013). Traditionally, broader impacts have followed this pattern. Supporting graduate students and publishing results on websites are familiar, tangibly beneficial to scientists, and require little effort. They are grounded in typical academic methods of scientific knowledge distribution. However, “since intellectual merit and broader impacts are now cast as integrated and interdependent criteria within NSF’s review process, there is some expectation that scientists and stakeholders are both engaged in the research enterprise and mutually benefit from it” (Frodeman et al., 2013, p. 153). Researchers realize the importance of reaching out to society and 5 have enjoyed engaging in broader impact activities (Pearson et al., 1997) but struggle to implement and engage various publics without explicit direction, successful role models, and consistent assessment criteria. “The promise of applying systems science as a bridge between hard and soft systems approaches is realized as all stakeholders join to review technologies, policies, underlying assumptions, and worldviews and re-assess the main goals and questions on which policies and practice are based” (Pahl-wostl, 2007, p. 60). “Stakeholder engagement has evolved from a marginal concern to a driving force.” (Lynam, de Jong, Sheil, Kusumanto, & Evans, 2007) Trends in Collaborative Researcher-Stakeholder Engagement Scientific research has responded in two ways to the two challenges presented above. First, to address wicked climate and natural resource management problems, scientific research is moving towards systems approach studies, integrating multiple disciplines to explore all parts of a system. Second, in the quest for scientific broader impacts research teams are reaching out to and engaging with their stakeholders. The two methods combined can be called collaborative researcher-stakeholder engagement. Cases of collaborative researcher-stakeholder engagement are reviewed in Ferguson et al. (2015, in preparation). In climate and water research, transdisciplinary studies and stakeholder engagement efforts have become more common. Such studies seek to engage stakeholders in climate and natural resource research and there are myriad ways to do so (Mader, Mader, Zimmermann, Görsdorf-Lechevin, & Diethart, 2013). Distinct methods are used: forming steering groups, conducting surveys and/or individual interviews, holding small or large group sessions, one to two events in one year, or several events over multiple years. Transdisciplinary projects, then, can be considered participatory research projects. These methods tend to include nonscientists in science and technology (Lengwiler, 2008) and are characterized by a blurring of the lines between research and co-generation of knowledge. Those with a stake in the outcome of the research participate actively in a co-researcher role (Mackenzie, Tan, Hoverman, & Baldwin, 2012). Despite interest in the literature, applications of participatory methods are rare 6 (Kastenhofer, Bechtold, & Wilfing, 2011). Lengwiler (2008) offers a review of historical approaches to participatory modern science. Participation in research typically includes “intentional collaborations in which members of the public engage in the process of research to generate new science-based knowledge (Shirk et al., 2012, 29). Recently participatory research has been utilized in projects modeling or planning for future scenarios of climate change. Participatory modeling can be a way to integrate multiple sources of knowledge and can facilitate social learning (Pahl-wostl, et al., 2007b; Pahlwostl, et al., 2007c). For a review and assessment of the many tools for participatory research, see Lynam et al. (2007). Projects like those outlined above can be organized according to the degree of stakeholder interaction in the project. Stakeholder interaction: “refers to the degree to which representatives of the constituency base are involved in aspects of the research: defining the problem, formulating research questions, selecting methods, conducting research, analyzing findings, developing usable knowledge, testing/evaluating research results, participating in dissemination of results, and participating in identifying next research steps” (Lemos & Morehouse, 2006, p. 61) Stakeholder engagement in natural resource research can be organized according to when in the scientific process stakeholders are involved and as a function of openness to stakeholder participation or as a function of information flow. Stakeholders may be involved in the first phase of research by directing the questions asked. Shirk et al. (2012) considers this a contractual relationship between stakeholders and research teams. European science shops are an example of contractual stakeholder engagement. In the science shop model, stakeholders propose questions to the shop which then directs the question to the appropriate department of the university. Once answered, the results are delivered to the stakeholders in a way that they may be directly implemented (Farkas, 1999). For a review of science shops see Leydesdorff and Ward (2005). Openness to including stakeholders beyond that initial phase has been classified on several scales varying from consultation to co-production (Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006) and from contractual to co-created (Shirk et al., 2012). Information may flow one way in information and outreach or may flow two ways as in consultation and decision-influencing (Mader et al., 2013). A review and assessment of the various tools and timings with which to engage stakeholders can be found in Lynam et al. (2007). 7 One mechanism through which to incorporate stakeholder information into scientific research from beginning to end is the Learning and Action Network (LAN). LANs link stakeholders to research teams throughout the investigative process. LANs are not unique to nor did they originate in the natural resource research sector. Businesses have used LANs for collaboration and conflict mitigation, defining them as “set[s] of relationships which lay over and complement formal organizational structures linking individuals together by the flow of knowledge, information, and ideals” (Clarke & Roome, 1999, p. 297). LAN meetings in a business context reduced stereotypes held by different actors and as a result of two-way communication among diverse perspectives led to knowledge creation (Clarke & Roome, 1999). Moving from business to the health sector, knowledge is produced and applied through social interaction in a community of practice of academic and non-academic citizens (Li et al., 2009; Spiegel et al., 2011). Although links are not always apparent to members of a LAN (Clarke & Roome, 1999), they generate the benefits of knowledge production and understanding. A new LAN definition is required to extend the concept from the business and health context to natural resource research and management. Podolny and Page (1998) define a LAN as “any collection of actors (N ≥ 2) that pursue repeated, enduring exchange relations with one another and, at the same time, lack a legitimate organizational authority to arbitrate and resolve disputes that may arise during the exchange” (p. 59). According to this definition, participation in a LAN is a conscious decision and group-regulated. Forming such a network requires trust in each other and in each other’s knowledge (Mader et al., 2013). Without an organizational authority but with mutual trust, all LAN members can participate on equal ground to gain the benefits associated with LANs. This ideal form of a LAN is not necessarily present in natural resource research as research teams often facilitate network formation. For instance, one research group brought together people who do not normally interact to form an air quality adaptive management network (Stubbs & Lemon, 2001). Regardless of the way they form, LANs in a natural resource researcher-stakeholder engagement context facilitate information exchange, knowledge creation, and social learning. Network formation may have many benefits including: effective climate change communication and discussion of climate uncertainty (Bartels et al., 2013), knowledge acquisition, result legitimacy in the eyes of the stakeholders (Podolny & Page, 1998), and increased sensitivity to diverse stakeholder perspectives (Stubbs & Lemon, 2001). It is difficult to determine whether 8 knowledge created through networks is distinct from knowledge created by each actor alone; however, there is much evidence of knowledge co-production occurring within LANs. For instance, a LAN of agricultural producers formed the questions to direct research, which, when answered, created new knowledge (Bartels et al., 2013). Ideally, LANs foster knowledge creation by facilitating discussion and knowledge transfer among people of diverse perspectives, which encourages new interpretations of the shared information (Podolny & Page, 1998). The creation of LANs as a method for stakeholder engagement in research can produce benefits that extend beyond the research itself. Forming a LAN can benefit those involved simply by exposing members to current and future collaborators. Once formed, the network may continue to share information and collaborate even after the specific project for which the LAN was formed ends. The LAN facilitates social learning and encourages trust, commitment, and issue reframing. These can develop into a shared LAN perspective of a common problem and a shared action to address it (Sol, Beers, & Wals, 2013). From a decision-making perspective, LANs can lead to collaborative planning where agencies tasked with managing a shared resource can work together to apply relevant knowledge, establish facts, and set common goals. Action networks can even influence policy adoption once the collaborative process has finished (van Herk, Zevenbergen, Ashley, & Rijke, 2011). Many of the cases discussed above offer lessons learned from their process of engaging with stakeholders in addition to the impacts of stakeholder engagement on their research. Table 1.1 summarizes these impacts and the associated lessons learned. Although not explicitly stated in publications, lessons learned sections are the result of project elements or entire engagement processes going poorly. Each lesson stated here references a moment when that element was not well-executed which negatively impacted the project. Some key lessons learned from a synthesis of the literature include establishing clear roles and responsibilities (Lang et al., 2012; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010), arriving at a shared understanding of the research goal early (Halofsky et al., 2011; Holman et al., 2008; Sol et al., 2013), allocating an adequate amount of resources to the stakeholder engagement process (Halofsky et al., 2011; Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Mackenzie et al., 2012), and using a facilitator for scientist-stakeholder events (Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Sol et al., 2013; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010). 9 Table 1.1. Lessons learned and impacts from cases of stakeholder engagement in transdisciplinary research. Lessons learned Clear roles and responsibilities Allocate resources well Be sensitive to stakeholder needs Consider relationship to research funders Focus on process rather than product Accept uncertainty Accept external expertise as credible Engage early Integrate qualitative and quantitative knowledge Manage both stakeholder engagement and interdisciplinary portions Produce non-normative publications Make use of existing relationships Necessary elements Strong leadership Collaborative research team Mutual trust Commitment to project Transparency Iterativity Source Lang et al., 2012; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Matso & Becker, 2014; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Becu, Neef, Schreinemachers, & Sangkapitux, 2008; Kearney, Berkes, Charles, & Wiber, 2007; Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Matso & Becker, 2014 Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006; Lang et al., 2012; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Mackenzie et al., 2012 Mackenzie et al., 2012 Dilling & Lemos, 2011; Kearney et al., 2007; Lautenbach, Berlekamp, Graf, Seppelt, & Matthies, 2009; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Holzkämper, Kumar, Surridge, Paetzold, & Lerner, 2012; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Mackenzie et al., 2012 Holman et al., 2008; Matso & Becker, 2014 Cross, McCarthy, Garfin, Gori, & Enquist, 2013 Daniell et al., 2010; Huntington et al., 2002; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Matso & Becker, 2014 Leydesdorff & Ward, 2005 Huntington et al., 2002 Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Manring, 2014; Sol et al., 2013 Dilling & Lemos, 2011; Kearney et al., 2007; Lang et al., 2012; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Manring, 2014 Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Mader et al., 2013; Sol et al., 2013; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Kearney et al., 2007; Sol et al., 2013 Johnson, 2011; Lang et al., 2012; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Dilling & Lemos, 2011; Halofsky et al., 2011; Holman et al., 2008; Lang et al., 2012; Swart, Raskin, & Robinson, 2004; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 10 Table 1.1. Lessons learned and impacts from previous cases of stakeholder engagement in transdisciplinary research. (Continued) Untraditional metrics of success Mid-size, diverse group Shared reframing of issue/plan/goal Facilitators/Boundary organizations Visualizations Frequent interaction Impacts Learn from one another Improve understanding Visualize future Increased credibility Incorporate managerial knowledge (accurate, accessible, appropriate research) Network building Increase stakeholder self-efficacy Future research emerges Diverse dialogue Increased legitimacy Increased saliency Mackenzie et al., 2012; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Bartels et al., 2013; Swart et al., 2004; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Dewulf, François, Pahl-wostl, & Taillieu, 2007; Fuller, 2011; Halofsky et al., 2011; Kearney et al., 2007; Lang et al., 2012; Lautenbach et al., 2009; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Matso & Becker, 2014; Sol et al., 2013 Cash et al., 2003; Dilling & Lemos, 2011; Johnson, 2011; Kearney et al., 2007; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Robinson & Wallington, 2012; Sol et al., 2013 Sheppard et al., 2011 Johnson, 2011; Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Mader et al., 2013 Bartels et al., 2013; Becu et al., 2008; Huntington et al., 2002; Lienert, Monstadt, & Truffer, 2006; Tim Lynam, Drewry, Higham, & Mitchell, 2010; Manring, 2014; Stubbs & Lemon, 2001 Becu et al., 2008; Cross, McCarthy, Garfin, Gori, & Enquist, 2013; Lienert et al., 2006 Becu et al., 2008; Lienert et al., 2006 Baker et al., 2004; Cash et al., 2003; Holman et al., 2008; Holzkämper et al., 2012; Tim Lynam et al., 2010 Baker et al., 2004; Holman et al., 2008; Tim Lynam et al., 2010 Becu et al., 2008; Cross et al., 2013; Holzkämper et al., 2012; Leydesdorff & Ward, 2005; Manring, 2014; Stubbs & Lemon, 2001 Baker et al., 2004; Sheppard et al., 2011 Bartels et al., 2013; Becu et al., 2008; Halofsky et al., 2011 Becu et al., 2008; Cross et al., 2013; Halofsky et al., 2011; Huntington et al., 2002 Cash et al., 2003; Fuller, 2011 Cash et al., 2003 11 Similarly, previous cases identify necessary elements for project success (Table 1.1) through the experience with failed and successful processes. Some cases posit that boundary objects, spanners, or managers may serve to facilitate communication across disciplines (Fuller, 2011) and between researchers and stakeholders (Cash et al., 2003; Dilling & Lemos, 2011; Johnson, 2011; Kearney et al., 2007; Robinson & Wallington, 2012). Successful stakeholder engagement also requires mutual trust achieved through an iterative process and frequent interactions (Dilling & Lemos, 2011; Halofsky et al., 2011; Holman et al., 2008; Johnson, 2011; Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Mader et al., 2013; Sol et al., 2013; Swart et al., 2004; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010). Participatory research methods and Learning and Action Networks are methods that can facilitate the researcherstakeholder engagement process. Defining the Case: Willamette Water 2100 Researcher-Stakeholder Engagement In the Willamette basin, Oregon, water scarcity is one of the predicted and already observed consequences of global climate change. Nine years ago Bastasch (2006) stated, “To make a long story short, Oregon’s out of easy water” (p. vi). For the responsible use of water and the protection of other water-dependent resources, decision makers must adapt priorities and create measures to address water scarcity, not only in Oregon, but worldwide. The Willamette River Basin is situated in west-central Oregon between the east side of the Coast mountain range and the west side of the Cascade mountain range (Figure 1.1). The creeks and rivers between these two ranges drain to the Willamette River which discharges approximately 27 million acre-feet of water annually to the Columbia River. The Willamette basin accounts for 12% of the state’s area and is home to 70% of the population (Bastasch, 2006) which is equal to 11,500 square miles and 2.6 million people (Bolte, 2014). As a result, the Willamette basin is home to Oregon’s major economic enterprises such as agriculture, industry, and forestry. These characteristics of the Willamette basin make it an important area to study but a difficult one. It is precisely because of the size and diversity of the Willamette basin that the modeling platform Envision is used to reflect the interacting processes of the basin in the research project, Willamette Water 2100 (WW2100). 12 Figure 1.1. Map of the Willamette basin and land use category distribution. Willamette Water 2100 Model WW2100 uses the modeling platform, Envision, to predict water availability in the Willamette basin to the year 2100. The project specifically asks: a) where are climate change and human activity most likely to create conditions of water scarcity; b) where is water scarcity most likely to exert the greatest impact on ecosystems and communities; and c) what strategies would allow communities to prevent, mitigate, or adapt to scarcity most successfully? Researchers at Oregon State University have partnered with the University of Oregon and Portland State University in addition to basin-wide stakeholders to answer these questions. The modeling platform allows for the integration of several sub-models to accurately characterize the way in which different systems interact within the Willamette basin. The research team projects water supply in the system by modeling climate and hydrological processes as well as water demand due to urban, agricultural, forest and ecological needs and use. All of these are influenced by the overarching drivers of climate change and human population growth. Each sub-model is accompanied by assumptions describing system processes within the model. For instance, agricultural and forest water demand is based on water lost to evapotranspiration which changes as a result of different crop and forest cover types. Likewise, urban water demand is estimated as a function of water, prices, household income, and 13 population. Fish, or ecological, water demands is based on the need for stream habitats with appropriate water temperatures. Overall water supply is based on a precipitation dynamic model which outputs to the hydrology model used by many water modelers nationwide. The resulting modeled supply is allocated according to the sub-models of reservoir operations, which reflect the current US Army Corps of Engineers federal operating rule, and current irrigation, municipal, and instream water rights administered by the state of Oregon. All sub-models feed into the Envision framework and interact to project a realistic assessment of water availability in the Willamette basin over the next 85 years. Willamette Water 2100 Process Structure The geographic expanse and activity diversity of the Willamette River Basin is reflected in the diverse team of researchers and stakeholders. The research team, which works directly with the sub-models and the Envision framework, is composed of 26 principal academic researchers from three Oregon universities. They represent many disciplines including hydrology, ecological engineering, landscape architecture, climate science, snow science, applied economics, environmental engineering, ecohydrology, water resources, geography, environmental science, fisheries and wildlife, biological engineering, forest ecology, and law. The research team collaborates with a group of approximately 215 expert citizens representing state and federal institutions, policymaking groups, non-governmental organizations, and private industry. Some examples of these citizens’ professions include: council members, water resource managers, planners, irrigation district managers, reservoir and dam operators, biologists, farmers, conservationists, and educators. Together with the research team, they form the Learning and Action Network, WW2100’s information-sharing mechanism for stakeholder engagement and broader impacts. From the beginning of the project to the end, the focus of the LAN has been on collaboration and engagement between stakeholders and research team members rather than traditional outreach. Willamette Water 2100 offers a unique case to explore the researcher-stakeholder engagement process and its outcomes after five years of collaboration. As an NSF-funded project, WW2100 is fulfilling its broader impacts mandate through the formation of the LAN and associated stakeholder engagement activities. The benefits of LANs in stakeholder engagement processes are well-documented; however some knowledge gaps remain. First, stakeholder 14 involvement is given little discussion in modeling papers which reach conclusions about a model’s usability for stakeholders without presenting results (ex. Lautenbach et al., 2009). Second, there is a need for more structured assessment of factors which contribute to a project reaching its goal (Lemos & Morehouse, 2006) and of factors of success, including its context and how it is defined (Huntington et al., 2002). Third, the link between transdisciplinary research and its impacts remains to be demonstrated (Lang et al., 2012). Finally, research is required to find how the researcher-stakeholder interaction can be improved (Baker et al., 2004). Yet, it is not enough for researchers in case studies such as this to reflect and offer lessons learned. If the goal is public support, legitimacy, and democracy, the stakeholder perspective of the process is important too (Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006). The study offered here characterizes the experience of both researchers and stakeholders in this process by asking: 1) Who is participating? 2) What are their motivations and expectations for participating? 3) What are their perceptions of the process? The goals of this study are to identify the impacts of the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process and to identify barriers and pathways to those successes. The first goal works within the case study framework and focuses on individuals’ experiences, how they are impacted personally, and if the personal and project goals were achieved. The second goal aims to isolate transferable lessons from this researcher-stakeholder engagement process so that they may be applied to similar future projects. While this study sought to understand the researcherstakeholder engagement process, the challenges and value of interdisciplinary research emerged as well. This research, then, can offer a vision of what is necessary for a successful large-scale interdisciplinary project and how the research group success is inextricably linked to the success of the researcher-stakeholder engagement process. 15 Methods This study takes an exploratory sequential mixed methods approach for an in-depth case study of the participant experience in WW2100. The case study is an inquiry design utilized in many fields which allows for an in-depth analysis of one case. The case may be a program, an event, an activity, a process, or one or more individuals (Creswell, 2003). According to Berg and Lune (2012), each study must fall within a broader category of events processes, or subjects so that the presented study represents one case. WW2100 is one case of researcher-stakeholder engagement in interdisciplinary natural resource research. Case studies also “require multiple methods and/or sources of data through which [to] create a full and deep examination of the case” (Berg & Lune, 2012, p. 325). Through multiple methods and by belonging to a broader group, case studies thoroughly characterize one process to provide insight to other similar processes. For this reason an exploratory sequential mixed methods approach was employed to analyze WW2100. First, attendance records were analyzed to characterize the composition of participants at each researcher-stakeholder engagement event. Then, semi-structured interviews led to an exploratory inductive qualitative understanding of the views of key researcherstakeholder engagement participants (Creswell, 2003). This phase required a grounded theory approach where hypotheses were formed following data collection (Auerbach & Silverstein, 2003; Glaser & Strauss, 2009). A grounded theory approach in this phase led to an understanding of the process not present in previous studies from those who had the most experience with it. A quantitative phase numerically characterized the emerging concepts followed the qualitative phase (Creswell, 2003). After understanding the process through the lens of those who had participated in the process most, it was beneficial to understand how their perceptions fit with the population of all participants. By utilizing multiple methods, data types, and data sources this study increased its reliability and validity (Creswell, 2003) for a robust analysis of the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process. Attendance Record Analysis Researcher-stakeholder engagement event records were analyzed to characterize the participation of invited individuals throughout the five year process. Individuals were 16 categorized according to the group they represented. The categories included federal, state, county, city, regional government, non-profit, private industry, farming, utility, consultant, contractor, intergovernmental group, press, K-12 educators, tribes, watershed council, and university. Individual participation records informed interviewee selection in the following phase and gave a quick snapshot of the composition of the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement events. This basic characterization indicated how participant composition at each event may have changed over time or if one group participated more than others. Qualitative Interview Phase The exploratory inductive qualitative phase consisted of 26 semi-structured interviews conducted towards the end of the researcher-stakeholder engagement process in a form of “en route” reflection (Daniell et al., 2010). Interviewees were purposively selected (Patton, 2002) based on their participation in the process and representativeness of various expertise. Participants who had attended more events were more likely to be invited for an interview. Participants with an expertise not yet represented were also invited for interviews. Twelve participants from the stakeholder group and fourteen participants from the research team agreed to be interviewed (Table 1.2). The interviewed stakeholders represented federal, state, and county government organizations, as well as private industry and water utilities. The interviewed researchers were from all three collaborating universities (Portland State University, Oregon State University, and University of Oregon) and represented multiple disciplines including economics, law, landscape architecture, ecology, hydrology, climate science, and biological and ecological engineering. These interviewees were selected based on their experience with the project and offered diverse perspectives on the researcher-stakeholder engagement process. Interviews were conducted between January and March of 2015 (year five of WW2100). Each interview followed a semi-structured interview guide (Appendix A), beginning with a conversation about how the participant had been involved in WW2100. All questions on the interview guide were answered to some degree during each interview but some topics were developed more thoroughly in some interviews than others due to the organic nature of the semistructured interview and the diversity of research subjects. Each interview lasted on average 55 minutes (range: 26 – 89 minutes) and was conducted in person, via skype, or via telephone as the interviewee preferred. 17 Table 1.2. Group membership and number of participants interviewed. Stakeholder Research Team 1 tribal representative 1 farmer 1 water utility manager 1 state agricultural agency representative 1 state water agency representative 1 private technology industry representative 2 federal reservoir agency representatives 1 federal forest agency representative 1 county government representative 1 irrigation district manager 1 city water agency representative 1 economist 4 Broader Impact Team members 1 landscape architecture researcher 1 lawyer 1 climate scientists 3 hydrologists 1 ecohydrologist 2 biological and ecological engineers Semi-structured interviews were digitally audio recorded and transcribed using Express Scribe Transcription software. This procedure ensured consistency among interviews and allowed for open-coding analysis (McClellan, MacQueen, & Neidig, 2003). One interviewee declined to be recorded. In this case, extensive notes of the conversation were taken, including live verbatim transcriptions and shorthand conversation themes. The resulting transcripts were sent to interviewees as a form of “member checking” (Miles, Huberman, & Saldana, 2014). In this way, interviewees could edit transcripts for accuracy and on rare occasion request that segments be disregarded in analysis due to the sensitivity of the subject. The themes of any omitted segments were present in other portions of the interview, and so were not lost to the analysis. Once transcribed, the interviews were analyzed through an open coding process with the assistance of the computer software MaxQDA. Analysis began with this project’s research concerns: what is the process like? What are its successes? What are its challenges? What is the value of a researcher-stakeholder engagement process? With these concerns in mind, the text was analyzed following Auerbach and Silverstein’s (2003) open coding process moving from text relevant to the concerns, to identifying repeating ideas, and grouping ideas into themes which 18 eventually lead to a theoretical framework. Themes are categories or topics which descriptively organize a group of repeating ideas (Auerbach & Silverstein, 2003). A first round of coding led to categories as a result of the research concerns and a second round of coding offered a refinement of the first round (Miles, Huberman, & Saldana, 2014). This process led to the themes presented in the following chapters. Although there is no objective “right” way to interpret qualitative interview data (Auerbach & Silverstein, 2003; Miles, Huberman, & Saldana, 2014; Patton, 2002), there are methods to improve qualitative data validity and reliability. First, the validity of the resulting concepts was confirmed by two informal rounds of member checking (Creswell, 2003) wherein the interviewees were presented with the preliminary themes and asked for feedback. Second, the researcher’s codes were checked against the codebooks of two qualitative researchers to assess inter-coder reliability (Creswell, 2003; Ryan & Bernard, 2003). Notable overlap between codebooks indicated reliable themes. Because the coders were also participants in WW2100, this inter-coder reliability assessment served as another form of member checking validity. Interview data is open to interpretation; however, member checking and inter-coder reliability support the validity and reliability of the analysis presented here. Quantitative Survey Phase The quantitative survey phase used a census design (Vaske, 2008) to survey all members of the WW2100 listserv. Subjects were first informed of the survey by a research team leader as a form of introduction and pre-invitation. Participants in WW2100 were then invited via e-mail on May 11, 2015, and were reminded of the opportunity by e-mail 10 and 17 days after the initial invitation. Each e-mail contained a link to a questionnaire administered online using the Qualtrics software. Of the 281 people invited to participate, 137 responded (45 research team members, 92 stakeholders), leading to a 49% response rate (Table 1.3). Table 1.3. Total respondents, total surveys sent, and response rate for each respondent category. Respondent Category Research Team Stakeholder Group Overall Total Respondents 45 92 137 Total Surveys Sent 72 209 281 Response Rate 62.5% 44% 49% 19 The online questionnaire was developed based on previous questionnaires administered by WW2100 and a preliminary content analysis of the semi-structured interviews. These contributed question themes, informed question design, and structured close-ended questions. Through the 33-item questionnaire (Appendix B), respondents reported their perceptions in five sections: professional information (capacity in the project, expertise, geographic location), perceptions of current and future water use in the Willamette basin, expectations for WW2100, participation in WW2100, and the outcomes of WW2100. Respondents were grouped into one of two groups, ‘research team member’ or ‘stakeholder’ based on their responses to the first question: “In what capacity are you acting in this project?” This acting capacity served as the independent variable for several of the analyses. Expectations for research team members to perform various roles in the project, expectations for stakeholders to perform various roles, expectations for the process and the model, and how well those expectations were met were taken directly from responses analyzed as dependent variables. All variables were measured on a scale from 1 “strongly disagree” to 5 “strongly agree,” that they expected members of either group to perform or witnessed them performing the roles in question. Several indices were calculated from survey responses and used in further analysis. An index of overall participation was calculated from four questions regarding participation in WW2100. A communication participation score was first computed by calculating the mean of several variables regarding the frequency of participation in various types of project communication measured on an 8-point scale from 1 “never” to 8 “daily.” This score was then combined with survey responses for the number of years involved in the project (0-5), number of events attended (0-9), and the number of webinars attended (0-11). Because these variables were on different scales, an overall participation index was calculated using the standardized z-scores of the contributing variables and was used as an independent variable in further analyses. Similarly, indices for model utility, process utility, feeling heard, and model understanding were calculated from variables designated in the questionnaire designed to illuminate these concepts. These indices were calculated from variables on 5-point scales from 1 “strongly disagree” to 5 “strongly agree” and used as dependent variables in further analysis. Nonparametric statistical tests were used to more conservatively assess significant results on a small sample size. A Mann Whitney U test compared role expectations between research 20 team members and stakeholders. Point biserial correlation effect sizes were calculated to evaluate the strength of association among these variables. Wilcoxon Sign Rank tests examined whether participants had different expectations for research team members and stakeholders, and to answer whether expectations for research team members and stakeholders were met. Wilcoxon Sign Rank tests were also used to examine whether participant expectations for the process and model were met. Cohen’s d effect sizes were calculated in these cases to evaluate the strength of the relationship among these variables. Analyses regarding model utility, process utility, feeling heard, model understanding, and overall participation first began with a Cronbach alpha reliability analyses to ensure that the indices for these concepts were reliable. A value >.65 indicated that the variables were measuring the same concept and thus could be combined into one index (Vaske, 2008). Spearman rho (rs) correlations were used to assess the relationship between overall participation and model utility, process utility, feeling heard, and model understanding. In all of the analyses, statistical significance was tested at a .05 level and effect sizes were interpreted according to Vaske (2008). Ethical Considerations Due to participation and interaction with human subjects in this research project, standard verification protocol was used to ensure approval by the Institutional Review Board (IRB). Human Research ethical training regarding consent procedure, confidentiality, data collection and storage was completed prior to data collection with the Collaborative Institutional Training Initiative (CITI). No vulnerable populations were interviewed or surveyed for this study. Consent was obtained in one of two ways for this research. 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Policy Studies Journal, 37(2), 195–212. doi:10.1111/j.1541-0072.2009.00310.x Wolf, B., Lindenthal, T., Szerencsits, M., Holbrook, J. B., & Heb, J. (2013). Evaluating research beyond scientific impact: How to include criteria for productive interactions and impact on practice and society. GAIA, 22(2), 104–114. 29 Yang, L., Wu, J., & Shen, P. (2013). Roles of science in institutional changes: The case of desertification control in China. Environmental Science & Policy, 27(37), 32–54. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2012.10.017 30 CHAPTER 2: JOURNAL ARTICLE [for submission to Ecology and Society] Willamette Water 2100: Exploring participant motivations and expectations in a researcher-stakeholder engagement process Abstract Many barriers impede managers and policy makers from incorporating the ‘best available science’ into decisions. Researcher-stakeholder engagement through Learning and Action Networks (LANs) is one way to help overcome such cultural, institutional, and practical barriers. In Willamette Water 2100 (WW2100), scientists and stakeholders studied biophysical and socioeconomic drivers of future water scarcity in the Willamette basin to identify ways to anticipate and respond to it. This study explores the participation, motivations, and expectations of research team members and stakeholders in the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process for water sustainability. Attendance records identify the participant composition at each researcher-stakeholder engagement event while twenty-six key participant semi-structured interviews and 137 completed online questionnaires illuminate their perceptions of that process. Qualitative and quantitative analyses demonstrate that participation changes over time and that participants are motivated to attend for social (ex. knowing other participants), knowledge (ex. interest in the topic), and utility (ex. useful management tool) reasons. Nonparametric statistical analyses show that research team members and stakeholders had similar expectations for the roles each other would play but different expectations for the process and resulting model. For instance, all participants expected research team members to interpret model outputs and stakeholders to provide a ‘boots on the ground’ perspective but only researchers expected the process to provide career experience. In most cases, role, model, and process expectations were fulfilled though not always to the degree expected. Keywords: broader impacts, expectations, task value, climate change, modeling Introduction Natural resource management and policy is ideally informed by the best available science. Cultural, institutional, and practical barriers can impede the use of science in natural resource use decisions. These include uncertainty in the results, conflicting priorities, institutional limitations, miscommunication or lack of effective communication, differing values, 31 and the lack of results suited to local conditions (Callahan et al., 2013; Gregory et al., 2013; Rayner et al., 2005; Riley et al., 2011; Smith et al., 2009; Weible & Sabatier, 2009; Yang et al., 2013). Freitag (2014) found that university scientists, fishermen, and managers possess different kinds of knowledge, which leads them to define water quality and frame its major issues, causes, and solutions differently. For example, fishermen viewed sewage as one of the biggest issues diminishing the “fishable, swimmable” quality of the water while scientists considered sedimentation and hypoxia as the biggest issues for the chemical and biological welfare of the water (Freitag, 2014). Similarly, hydropower government officials and academics expressed different perspectives on the biophysical, socio-economic, and geopolitical impacts of dams (Tullos et al., 2010). Differences between scientists and their stakeholders may exacerbate the cultural, institutional, and practical barriers which impede the successful incorporation of scientific research into management and policy decisions. To overcome such differences and accompanying barriers, the National Science Foundation mandates a broader impacts component to every research project that it funds (National Science Foundation, 2012). Yet, a review in 2013 found that only 65% of NSF-funded projects had broader impacts plans and most of these were poorly developed (Nadkarni & Stasch, 2013). Some researchers do not know how best to engage with their stakeholders to extend the impacts of their results beyond academia. Researchers have followed NSF’s mandate down many paths, particularly in the case of climate change, variability, and evaluation of alternative scenarios (Snover et al., 2013). Stakeholders may consult with researchers in a decision making context, where the goal of the project is to address an immediate need, create a specific tool, or adaptively manage for future climate change (Cross et al., 2013; Holzkämper et al., 2012; Mackenzie et al., 2012). Stakeholders may also consult in transdisciplinary research where they help direct and set research agendas (Lienert et al., 2006). In sustainability research, multiple disciplines and stakeholders network to find solutions as required for managing transboundary resources (Mader et al., 2013; Stubbs & Lemon, 2001). In alternative futures research, researchers and stakeholders collaborate to model and write scenarios that facilitate discussion and visualization of the future (Sheppard et al., 2011). For a general review of modeling and alternative futures research, see Voinov and Bousquet (2010). Many different methods can be used to engage with stakeholders, 32 such as forming steering groups, conducting surveys or interviews with individuals, small groups, large groups, two hour workshops, or five year processes. In order to identify effective strategies for broader impacts and stakeholder engagement, it is important to consider the people involved in these projects. An initial assessment for researcher-stakeholder engagement projects must first identify who is participating in the research and who might be affected by the research (Wolf, Lindenthal, Szerencsits, Holbrook, & Heb, 2013). However, such an assessment must extend beyond simple identification to consider the roles and responsibilities of all participants (Tuler, 1998), their motivations, and their expectations. Understanding the various roles, motivations, and expectations of participants may be important to improve conflict mitigation in transdisciplinary research (Lang et al., 2012). Recent articles have explored research team and citizen motivations for participating in collaborative research. Researcher-stakeholder engagement participation motivations can be informed by prior analyses of citizen science campaign participation motivations. A study on scientists and citizens engaging in citizen science research identified four main participant motivations: egoism, collectivism, altruism, and principalism (Rotman et al., 2012). Egoism refers to personal gains though working together such as enhancing research for scientists and learning about new ideas for citizens. Collectivism refers to a mutual benefit that each party receives through collaboration. Altruism refers to a sense of giving something to the other party; scientists see themselves as educating the public and the citizens believe they are benefitting the scientists. Principalism refers to the internal belief that citizen-science engagement is worthwhile on the principal that science should be accessible to everyone both within and beyond academia (Rotman et al., 2012). These broad categories which can define either group’s motivations begin to distinguish themselves when examining either scientists or citizens and their unique motivations which compose the broad categories. A survey of scientists in Madrid found that scientists’ greatest motivations for engaging with the public was to increase interest and enthusiasm for science and appreciation of scientists. Well-established scientists expressed a sense of duty in communicating their findings to a larger audience while young scientists were motivated by personal satisfaction and enjoyment of outreach and engagement events (Martin-Sempere, Garzon-Garcia, & ReyRocha, 2008). Latour and Woolgar (1979) asserted that scientists are ultimately motivated by, and seek to enhance, their credibility. On the other hand, citizens who participate in citizen 33 science campaigns are motivated by the opportunity to contribute to research, to learn about a topic of interest, to aid in new discoveries, and to find community with others (Raddick et al., 2010). Still more motivations lead citizens to participate including enjoyment of the topic for its beauty, fun, or marvel, or a basic desire to help because of an interest in science (Raddick et al., 2010). Studies on motivations to participate in citizen-science engagement projects can guide an exploration of participant motivations in researcher-stakeholder engagement processes. Likewise, the expectancy-value theory can guide an exploration of participant expectations in researcher-stakeholder engagement processes and how they may be related to a process’s perceived value. According to this theory, an individual’s expectations and values directly impact performance in a given task and are influenced indirectly by other peoples’ attitudes and expectations for him or her (Eccles & Wigfield, 2002). Eccles & Wigfield (2002) identify four components of a task’s value: attainment, intrinsic, utility, and cost. Whether a person values a task he or she performed is based on if the task was performed well, if he or she enjoyed doing the task, how the task related to current and future goals, and the negative aspects of engaging in the task. The concepts of expectations and values can be applied to understanding an individual’s perception of stakeholder engagement through a researcher-stakeholder engagement LAN. Although it is important to identify motivations and expectations of individuals participating in a researcher-stakeholder engagement process, it is equally important to identify any differences among them. Attitude differences among scientists, managers, and government officials are well documented in comparable natural resource management studies (ex. Riley et al., 2011). Interviews with university scientists, fishermen and managers confirmed that each group possessed different kinds of knowledge (academic in the scientific community, experiential in the fisherman community, political in management community) and that these differences led to different frames for water quality issues and potential solutions (Freitag, 2014). In a wind turbine development project in Denmark, policy makers, technology developers, and industry representatives defined problems differently, preferred different solutions, and held different value systems leading them to arrive at different conclusions (Grin & van de Graaf, 1996). Differing experiences prior to the engagement process may manifest as different motivations, expectations, and the meeting of those expectations among participants. Identifying 34 these cultural and political differences can provide clues on how to build a thriving transdisciplinary project (Farkas, 1999). This study investigates research team member and stakeholder expectations for and values derived from participating in a researcher-stakeholder engagement process. The occurrence of such processes is increasing but little is known about the people involved, their motivations to participation, and their expectations of the researcher-stakeholder engagement process. Egoism, relativism, altruism, and principalism are the reasons people participate in similar citizen science campaigns (Rotman et al., 2012). In learning environments, expectations play a key role in the value individuals ascribe to a task (Eccles & Wigfield, 2002) and in other natural resource contexts research team members and stakeholders expressed different perceptions of the same experience (ex. Grin & van de Graaf, 1996). To better understand the individuals participating in transdisciplinary researcher-stakeholder engagement processes, this study asks five questions of one case: (a) who is participating in the researcher-stakeholder engagement process; (b) What are participants’ motivations for attending the researcherstakeholder engagement process; (c) What are participants’ expectations for the process; (d) were those expectations met; (e) How do motivations and expectations differ between participant groups? Methods Willamette Water 2100 (WW2100) provides a case study to inform current and future researcher-stakeholder engagement processes for broader impacts to incorporate science into management and policy decisions. WW2100 is a five-year collaborative effort across three universities, 12 academic disciplines, and numerous state, federal, and private agencies. This project seeks to model where and when water scarcity will occur in the Willamette basin through the year 2100 as a result of climate change and human land and water use decisions. Over the course of the study, academic researchers and expert water stakeholders have worked together as part of the project’s broader impacts plan to model various scenarios exploring the future of water in the Willamette basin. WW2100 is one of many water and climate interdisciplinary collaborative research efforts with stakeholder engagement. Stakeholders participating in WW2100 have contributed to output metrics of the model, assessing model assumptions, and future scenarios. Together with the research team, they formed the WW2100 Learning and 35 Action Network (LAN) which emphasized scientific engagement between the two groups from the beginning of the project to the end. This study takes an exploratory sequential mixed methods approach (Creswell, 2003) for an in-depth case study of the participants of WW2100. Attendance records were analyzed to characterize the composition of the participants at each researcher-stakeholder engagement event. Semi-structured interviews of key participants provided qualitative data regarding motivations and expectations and also influenced the design of the quantitative survey which was administered to all members of the researcher-stakeholder engagement listserv. Using multiple methods, data types, and data sources allowed for a robust analysis of the researcher-stakeholder engagement process by increasing reliability and validity (Creswell, 2003). Attendance Record Analysis Researcher-stakeholder engagement event records were analyzed to characterize the participation of invited individuals throughout the five year process. Individuals were categorized according to the group they represented. The categories included federal, state, county, city, regional government, non-profit, private industry, farming, utility, consultant, contractor, intergovernmental group, press, K-12 educators, tribes, watershed council, and university. Participants were assigned as research team members when affiliated with one of the three participating universities or as stakeholders in all other cases. A comprehensive list of all participating stakeholder organizations and research team university departments can be found in Appendix E, table E.1. Individual participation records informed the selection of interviewees in the following phase and gave a quick snapshot of the makeup of the WW2100 researcherstakeholder engagement events. This basic characterization can indicate how participant composition at each event may change over time or if one group participates more than others. Semi-Structured Interviews Semi-structured retrospective interviews regarding expectations, motivations, outcomes, and general reflections on the researcher-stakeholder engagement process were conducted. Interviewees were purposively selected (Patton, 2002) based on their participation in the process and representativeness of the various expertise. Fourteen research team members representing all 36 universities and disciplines and twelve stakeholders representing many agencies and interests were interviewed. Each interview lasted between 26 and 89 minutes (average: 55 minutes) and were conducted in person, via skype, or via telephone according to the interviewee’s preference. Interviews were digitally audio recorded, transcribed using Express Scribe Transcription software, and sent to the interviewees as a form of “member checking” (Miles, Huberman, & Saldana, 2014). Interview transcripts were analyzed through an open coding process (Auerbach & Silverstein, 2003) with the aid of the computer software MaxQDA. Transcripts were read with the research concerns (roles, motivations, expectations, outcomes) in mind and following a refinement of the first round of coding (Miles, Huberman, & Saldana, 2014), led to the themes presented in the following section. These themes also contributed to the survey development for the third phase of data collection. Online Survey The quantitative portion of this study utilized a census design (Vaske, 2008) to survey all members of the WW2100 listserv. Participants in WW2100 were invited by e-mail to complete an online questionnaire via an online survey website. Of the 281 people invited to participate, 137 responded (45 research team members, 92 stakeholders), leading to a 49% response rate (Table 2.1). Acceptable response rates range from 35% to 70% (Vaske, 2008). A wave analysis was conducted to check for response bias and found that average weekly survey return items did not change over time (Creswell, 2003). Given the response rate, conclusions about the WW2100 participant population can be inferred with 90% confidence (Vaske, 2008). Table 2.1. Total respondents, total surveys sent, and response rate for each respondent category Respondent category Research team Stakeholder group Total Total respondents 45 92 137 Total surveys sent 72 209 281 Response rate 62.5% 44% 49% Through the 33-item questionnaire, respondents reported their perceptions in five sections: professional information (capacity in the project, expertise, geographic location), current and future water use in the Willamette basin, expectations for WW2100, participation in 37 WW2100, and the outcomes of WW2100. Respondents were grouped into one of two groups ‘research team member’ or ‘stakeholder’ based on their responses to the first question: “In what capacity are you acting in this project?” This acting capacity served as the independent variable for several of the analyses. Expectations for research team members to perform various roles in the project, expectations for stakeholders to perform various roles in the project, expectations for the process and the model, and how well those expectations were met were taken directly from responses and analyzed as dependent variables. All variables were measured on a scale from 1 “strongly disagree” to 5 “strongly agree,” that they expected members of either group to perform or witnessed them performing the roles in question. Statistical analyses IBM SPSS statistical software was used for all analyses. A Mann Whitney U Test compared the role, process, and model expectations between research team members and stakeholders. Point biserial correlation effect sizes were calculated to evaluate the strength of association among these variables. Wilcoxon Sign Rank tests were used to examine whether participants had different expectations for research team members and stakeholders, and to answer whether expectations for research team member and stakeholder roles were met. Wilcoxon Sign Rank tests were also used to examine whether participant expectations for the process and model were met. Cohen’s d effect sizes were calculated in these cases to evaluate the strength of the relationship among these variables. An Exploratory Factor Analysis was conducted to group expectations of both the researcher-stakeholder engagement process and the Envision model into expectation factors to aid in the discussion of different expectation types. A K-means cluster analysis was used to group respondents into one of two groups according to their responses to process and model expectations. Membership in stakeholder or research team groups was compared to either of the two expectation groups through chi-square analysis. 38 Results WW2100 Participant Characterization Participation in LAN events is recorded and displayed in Figure 2.1. University affiliation is the most represented organization at any given researcher-stakeholder engagement event. Among stakeholders, the most represented groups were state, county, federal, and city government and the least represented were the tribes, farmers, watershed councils and non-profit organizations. In some cases of low representation, a group is represented by only one individual and in other cases, a group is represented only at certain events. For instance, non-profit organizations, educators, and watershed councils were present at LAN events but not at Technical Advisory Group (TAG) meetings. Tribal and private industry representatives were not present at the initial LAN events but consistently attended TAG meetings towards the end of the project. Individual participation varied across events and representative categories. Some individuals attended every, or nearly every, event, while others attended only one or two events. Individuals from groups with fewer representatives tended to attend events more consistently. The few farming representatives attended more consistently across all meetings than the numerous individuals from the government agencies. There are a few exceptions to this pattern. One county government official attended all but one event; a few university representatives attended all but one event; one city government official attended all but two events. Participation and attendance in WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement events varied among organizations and individuals involved. 39 Figure 2.1. Individual participation in LAN events, organized by representative category. Events 1-5 are LAN events while events 6-10 are Technical Advisory Group meetings. 40 Participant Motivations One question on the survey instrument asked respondents to agree or disagree that they were motivated to participate by a list of seven suggested motivations. The results of this question are shown in Figure 2.2 (Data are provided in Appendix F, Table F.1). Concern for water in the future, professional relevance, and seeking new tools to address water issues were the most highly rated motivations. Representing a larger group (i.e. agency, constituency, organization, discipline) in the researcher-stakeholder engagement process and the regional focus on the Willamette Valley of the project were the least motivating factors for participants overall. The high rating for the “other” motivation category indicated that motivations could not be so concisely characterized in a survey question. Therefore, the remainder of this section will focus on the open-ended responses to what motivates participation in a researcher-stakeholder engagement process. Figure 2.2. Motivations of survey respondents. Error bars are standard deviations. To what extent do you agree or disagree that you were motivated to participate in WW2100 because… Three categories of motivation were identified from the semi-structured interviews with key participants and the open-ended “other” responses to the survey question. Attendees were motivated to participate in WW2100 for social reasons, for knowledge, and for the promised research products. Social motivations for participating in WW2100 centered around two themes. Participants were invited in to the project by others with whom they had a pre-existing 41 relationship and participants were drawn to the project by its interdisciplinary strategy to address climate and water resources. When asked what led them to be involved, the common refrain from interviewees was “I was invited” or “I got asked.” Interviewees commonly traced their participation to another person involved in WW2100 with whom they had worked on other projects. One stakeholder exemplified this motivation to participate, attributing his participation to a long-standing relationship with a research team member: “And what I would say too is that I had a prior relationship with [a research team member]. So I’ve known [him] for years…So when…he calls me up and says, hey I’m working on this Willamette Water 2100. This is kind of the general idea. We have a National Science Foundation grant to do some modeling but it also has kind of a sociological aspect to it, are you interested? Yeah, that sounds really interesting. I’d love to be interested.” Interviewees also expressed that they were drawn to the project because of its interdisciplinary approach to water resource management. Research team members were excited by the potential to integrate various disciplines, to learn from each other, and to address a natural resource problem requiring a collaborative approach. When asked what draws you to collaborative projects, one research team member responded: “Well they’re generally pretty fun. It’s nice to be able to be exposed to new stuff every day. It’s nice to see how other disciplines look at the world. It’s nice to look at these complex problems that involve lots of pieces that if you don’t take a multidisciplinary approach, you’re spitting in the wind.” Knowledge was another key motivation among interviewees. Participation in WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process offered an opportunity to gain knowledge on water as it related to individuals’ personal interests and/or other professional projects. One stakeholder explained: “the water issues in Oregon are important. I mean, we all depend on water.” Interviewees sought knowledge about water resources as they would relate to climate change, human demand, ecological demand, and the future economy. Water “is our business”, said one stakeholder, who attended to understand where the future of his business might go. WW2100 interviewees stated that they hoped to inform other projects with the knowledge they gained from WW2100. Researchers working on reservoirs, other river basins, and at finer scales, as well as policy makers interested in long-term planning, cross-county water issues, and state regulations attended WW2100 motivated to inform their external projects. Many were interested in the impacts of climate change on water resources and understanding how all the processes 42 surrounding water in the Willamette River Basin interact. One researcher summarized his interest and why others might be interested in this way: “This project is very interesting because we are looking at more human dimensions like water demand and water management so how that will affect the water sustainability.” Participants not only sought information in participating in this process, but were motivated to participate by the anticipated products that the process would produce. These include a tool to model alternative water resource futures, a conversation on water policy and planning, and achieving scientific broader impacts. WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement offered a way to extend the research results beyond academia. One researcher expressed his motivation to participate in the WW2100 in this way: “[It’s] where I was really the most interested because a lot of times these cool projects are done and then it’s just for the research. And it doesn’t really go anywhere afterwards.” Other participants were motivated by the research results themselves. The process would host and provide fodder for a conversation about water policy and future planning as they relate to climate change. One survey respondent expressed the perceived obligation to participate in water policy and future planning conversations in this way: “Decision makers and those that support decisions need to do more critical thinking, problem-solving, planning, and policy implementation for a future so we don't have "water emergencies" that focus solely on humans' unlimited demand/use of water.” The project would build a tool to explore alternative future scenarios according to population growth, climate change, and land use decisions. This tool motivated many interviewees to be involved in the project for the way it might prove useful. One research team member expressed these hopes for the WW2100 modeling tool: “There are big challenges for our society in this century…We have a chance of doing something about it if we can see more clearly what’s going to happen in the future or think more clearly about what might happen in the future. And this tool gives us a way of doing that.” Participants were drawn to WW2100 by many motivations. They expressed a concern for water in the future and viewed WW2100 as a way to gain knowledge and tools to address future water issues. Some participated because the research was relevant professionally, offered an interdisciplinary approach to water issues, and a way to extend knowledge beyond the project 43 itself. Finally the most prevalent reason among interviewees for participating was simply because they were invited to attend by a person they knew and trusted. Participant Expectations Participants in WW2100 expressed expectations for the process in which they would engage, for the model the project would build, and for the outcomes it would produce. Some participants indicated that they did not know what to expect or that they were surprised by certain elements of the process. Some expectations were not met, some were, and some were exceeded. Participants in WW2100 expected that the process would be smooth, that stakeholders would be engaged in research, and that it would be an opportunity for personal and professional development. Interviewees expected that the process “would go more smoothly and more quickly” and “that it would be a strong component of stakeholder involvement.” Expectations from survey items were grouped into five factors by an exploratory factor analysis (Appendix G). Four of the five resulting factors (interaction, progress, opportunity, monitor) refer to expectations for the engagement process (Table 2.2). Survey respondents expected a certain degree of interaction (mean = 3.35) and understanding (mean = 3.70) between research team members and stakeholders throughout the process. They also expected to be involved throughout the process of the project by being kept up to date on its progress (mean = 3.94) and learning to improve the model (mean = 3.99). Through a transparent process, some participants expected this to be a way to monitor research conducted at Oregon State University. Participants most expected that the process would provide an opportunity for personal and professional development by providing opportunities to work with others, to learn, and to satisfy their curiosity. The general sentiment among interviewees, and supported by the survey results, was that these expectations were not delivered to the degree expected. Speaking of her expectation for stakeholder engagement, one interviewee said: “I really thought that we were going to have a robust range of input from people that were not necessarily involved in water…from an academic point of view…but that really didn’t come to fruition in as robust a way as I would have liked.” 44 Table 2.2 demonstrates the way in which many of the expectations for the process were not met to the degree expected. All but one expectation were delivered to some degree by the process. “Frequent interaction with stakeholders” was a significantly unmet expectation for the process according to survey respondents (mean = 3.05). In no instance was any process expectation exceeded, but several were met including “gain career experience (3.28),” “opportunity to share what I know (3.65),” “stakeholders to make attempts to understand concerns for the project (3.30).” All other item expectations were met but not to the degree expected. For example, “an opportunity to learn” was the most expected opportunity provided by the process (mean = 4.38). Respondents rated that the degree to which it was delivered was significantly less than expected (mean = 3.98); however, a mean > 3 still indicates that the process provided an opportunity to learn. The same is true for many of the other items that are met significantly less than expected. WW2100 participants expected certain characteristics of the Envision water model. Interviewees expected that the research would provide new numbers to update old research, that the model would speak to specific interests and that it would be an accessible tool for nonresearch team members. Specific expectations for the model included addressing the value of ecosystem services, the impact of climate on the availability of stored water, and the carrying capacity of the Willamette Valley. One interviewee recalled her hope for a groundwater model: “I was looking forward to the groundwater component, but later learned there was not a detailed groundwater model or a water quality component.” One factor in the survey, applicability, referred to respondents’ expectations for the model. That the model results would be useful in participants’ jobs, that they would contribute to science and that it would be a complete and integrated model of water in the region was highly expected. As with expectations for the process, expectations for the model were met but not to the degree expected. One interviewee reflected on the realization that the model would not do everything she expected saying: “There were a lot of things that I wanted to know and it turned out that the model just wasn’t going to handle everything that a person wanted to know. And the things that I wanted to know, while they may be really important to the decision maker really…it was felt that those were really other grant opportunities, that it wasn’t really directly applicable to this scarcity issue.” Similarly, survey respondents indicated that their expectations for the applicability of the model, while met, fell short of their expectations (Table 2.2). Substantial Cohen’s d effect sizes (Vaske, 2008) in Table 2.2 indicated that there was a strong association between expectation and delivery 45 for the researcher-stakeholder engagement process and model. The difference between expectation and delivery was greater when a survey item was highly expected, as in the case of the applicability factor items. Some interviewees viewed this project as one among many contributing to water sustainability in Oregon. They expressed expectations that WW2100 would build on previous projects and would push technological innovation for future projects. In speaking of his expectation for this project to be like an earlier project, one stakeholder stated: “My experience there was again a good one, where there was a lot of give and take…and you could see the changes. So I thought it'd be like that and it was and is.” One research team member reflected on his expectation for a model representing the complexity of water in the Willamette Valley. “I guess my expectation going into it was that it would be able to both push the state of the art in terms of the science and modeling representation of a quite complex system, and I think we’ve been somewhat successful in that.” As shown in the excerpts, interviewees considered expectations that the project would contribute to ongoing water sustainability projects met. Many interviewees expressed that they had very low expectations or did not know what to expect at the beginning of the process. As a result, they encountered some elements of the project that they did not expect. The most prevalent theme among the unexpected was the role participants played. Based on this outcome, questionnaire items were developed to evaluate the expectations for different roles that stakeholders and research team members might play. Of the suggested roles, participants most expected that stakeholders would “provide a boots-on-theground perspective” (mean = 4.19) and did not expect that they would “develop pieces of the model” (mean = 2.54) or “write reports” (mean = 2.26). Participants expected that research team members would fulfill all of the roles, most of all “develop pieces of the model” (mean = 4.64) and least of all “provide a boots-on-the-ground” perspective” (mean = 3.11) (Figure 2.3). All participants had significantly different expectations for the degree to which stakeholders would fulfill the suggested roles and the degree to which research team members would fulfill the suggested roles (Data and statistical test values are provided in Appendix F, Tables F.2, F.3, and F.4). 46 Table 2.2. Expectations for the WW2100 model and engagement process and whether or not they were met. Progress To use what we learn to improve the model Transparency on the project’s progress To be kept up to date as the model evolved Some of my assumptions to change as the project progressed Opportunity I expected to gain career experience An opportunity to work with others in my field An opportunity to share what I know An opportunity to learn An opportunity to work with others outside of my field Satisfy my curiosity Interaction Frequent interaction with stakeholders Stakeholders to make attempts to understand my concerns for the project Research team members to make attempts to understand my concerns for the project Frequent interaction with research team members Applicability Model results that I could use in my job An integrated model of water in the Willamette Valley Model results that would contribute to science Monitor 1 Expected Met Z-value p-value Effect Size Cohen’s d 3.99 3.32 4.33 <.001 .76 3.96 3.40 4.23 <.001 .64 3.94 3.40 3.79 <.001 .60 3.93 3.58 2.60 .004 .44 3.31 3.28 .40 .692 .03 3.93 3.74 2.23 .026 .22 3.56 4.38 3.65 3.98 .90 4.43 .367 <.001 .09 .58 4.01 3.76 2.85 .004 .28 3.90 3.58 3.52 <.001 .34 3.35 2.88 4.17 <.001 .53 3.47 3.30 1.60 .109 .19 3.70 3.24 3.22 .001 .47 3.35 3.05 2.81 .005 .32 3.84 3.31 4.29 <.001 .56 4.34 3.62 5.49 <.001 .85 4.31 3.68 5.41 <.001 .78 3.56 3.47 .971 .332 .09 Cell values are means of reported expectations on a 5-point scale from 1 “strongly disagree” to 5 “strongly agree. A mean value greater than 3 indicates that an item was expected and/or that the expectation was met. Meeting role expectations varied among stakeholders and research team members and according to the role in question. Stakeholders did not fully meet expectations for their roles to “evaluate assumptions,” “provide a boots-on-the-ground perspective”, and “communicate with 47 stakeholders.” However, stakeholders exceeded expectations to “develop pieces of the model” (mean = 3.85) and to “write reports” (mean = 3.48). All other stakeholder roles were met (Figure 2.3; Table A.3). Research team members met expectations for all but one role. Research team members were somewhat expected to “provide a boots-on-the-ground perspective” (mean = 3.10) but did not meet that expectation (mean = 2.78). Although all other roles were reported with means greater than 3, indicating that they were met, they were delivered to a degree significantly less than expected (Figure 2.3; Table A.4). In some cases participants fulfilled roles they did not expect to and in other cases, participants were not able to fulfill their expected roles. Figure 2.3. Expectations for stakeholders and research team members and whether they were met. Values are means ranging from 1 “strongly disagree” to 5 “strongly agree” that the group in question was expected to or fulfilled the following roles. Asterisks indicate significant differences at p < .05. Blue asterisks indicate significant difference between stakeholder expectations and whether they were met. Orange asterisks indicate significant difference between stakeholder expectations and whether they were met. Black asterisks indicate significant difference between expectations for stakeholder and research team member roles. 48 Differences between Participant Groups Participants in WW2100 belonged to one of two groups: research team or stakeholder group. Role expectations for the researcher-stakeholder engagement process did not differ between groups. However their expectations differed significantly regarding the engagement process and the resulting model. Research team members and stakeholders did not differ in their expectations for the roles each other would fulfill in the engagement process. Table 2.3 indicates research team members and stakeholders expected stakeholders to fulfill the suggested roles in the same way. Similarly, Table 2.4 indicates that both groups expected research team members to fulfill all of the suggested roles in the same way. Effect sizes indicate that there was a minimal to typical relationship (Vaske, 2008) between group membership and role expectations. For example, there was a minimal to typical relationship between group membership and expectation that stakeholders would “develop pieces of the model” (rpb = .19). There were also minimal to typical associations between group membership and expectations that research team members would “provide a scientific perspective” (rpb = .21) and “guide research questions” (rpb = .16). In the case of each other’s roles, research team members and stakeholders did not differ significantly in their expectations. Table 2.3. Expectations for stakeholder roles by respondent category. Guide research questions Develop pieces of the model Write scenario assumptions Evaluate scenario assumptions Interpret model outputs Write reports Provide a “boots-on-the-ground” perspective Provide a scientific perspectives Communicate with stakeholders Communicate with stakeholders who are not active WW2100 participants 1 Research Team Stakeholder Group U - value pvalue 3.56 2.25 3.13 3.97 3.38 2.28 3.65 2.68 3.20 3.80 3.31 2.28 .56 1.93 .28 .62 .27 .25 .575 .053 .784 .536 .787 .806 Effect Size (rpb) .04 .19 .03 .08 .03 .00 4.21 4.10 .63 .532 .07 3.18 3.94 3.31 3.72 .53 1.20 .594 .228 .06 .11 3.81 3.82 .08 .937 .00 Cell values are means of reported expectations on a 5-point scale from 1 “strongly disagree” to 5 “strongly agree.” 49 Table 2.4. Expectations for research team member roles by respondent category. Guide research questions Develop pieces of the model Write scenario assumptions Evaluate scenario assumptions Interpret model outputs Write reports Provide a “boots-on-the-ground” perspective Provide a scientific perspectives Communicate with stakeholders Communicate with stakeholders who are not active WW2100 participants 1 Research Team Stakeholder Group U-value pvalue 4.66 4.81 4.44 4.63 4.75 4.65 4.45 4.59 4.49 4.50 4.64 4.53 1.21 1.50 .38 .67 .85 .15 .226 .133 .708 .506 .398 .883 Effect Size (rpb) .16 .18 .04 .10 .11 .08 2.97 3.21 .86 .389 .12 4.78 4.63 4.52 4.49 1.86 .95 .063 .342 .21 .11 4.22 4.22 .14 .891 .00 Cell values are means of reported expectations on a 5-point scale from 1 “strongly disagree” to 5 “strongly agree.” Research team members generally had higher expectations than stakeholders for WW2100 and its researcher-stakeholder engagement process (Table 2.5). A K-means cluster analysis assigned survey respondents to one of two groups according to their expectations of the items listed in Table 2.6. A greater proportion of research team members belonged to the ‘high expectations’ group than to the ‘low to no expectations’ group. The reverse is true for stakeholder survey respondents. A greater number of stakeholders held low to no expectations than high expectations for the model and the engagement process. Research team members and stakeholders differed in their expectations for three of the five factors regarding the researcher-stakeholder engagement process (Table 2.6). Research team members expected significantly greater inclusion in the progress of the project, opportunities presented by the project and interaction with each other and stakeholders as a result of the process. Stakeholders expected less than research team members in all but one case – monitoring research at Oregon State University (stakeholder mean = 3.66 > research team mean =3.33). Research team members and stakeholders agreed that they expected all but two items to some degree. Stakeholders disagreed with researchers in that they did not expect to “gain career experience” (stakeholder mean = 2.92) nor “frequent interaction with research team members” (stakeholder mean = 2.98). Researchers and stakeholders agreed that they expected the process to be “an opportunity to learn,” to “satisfy [their] curiosity,” that research team members and 50 stakeholders would “make attempts to understand [their] concerns for the project,” and that the model would provide “results that [they] could use in [their] jobs.” Substantial effect sizes (Vaske, 2008) demonstrated a strong relationship between group membership and expectations for the opportunity factor (rpb = .39), namely to “gain career experience” (rpb = .50), and for “frequent interaction with research team members” (rpb = .50). Table 2.5. Belonging to two expectation groups by professional group in WW2100 researcherstakeholder engagement process. Expectation group Low to no expectations High expectations 1 Group Belonging1 Research Stakeholder team Total 21 44 36 79 57 64 Χ2-value p-value 4.71 .030 Effect Size (φ) .22 Cell values are counts of individual respondents. Discussion and Conclusions Participants in researcher-stakeholder engagement processes are diverse, representing many organizations, motivations, and expectations. The composition of participants in any one engagement event can be vastly different from that of another engagement event for the same research project. As the composition of participants changes, so too can the driving motivations for participation and the expectations of what engagement will achieve. Being transparent with motivations and expectations in a project can contribute to developing trust (Mackenzie et al., 2012). Identifying participant motivations and expectations in one researcher-stakeholder engagement project may aid future projects to clarify participant motivations and expectations in order to facilitate trust. 51 Table 2.6. Expectations for the researcher-stakeholder engagement process and resulting model by respondent category. Research Team Stakeholders U-value p-value Progress To use what we learn to improve the model Transparency on the project’s progress To be kept up to date as the model evolved Some of my assumptions to change as the project progressed 4.17 3.86 2.31 .021 Effect size (rpb) .24 4.28 3.87 2.10 .036 .24 4.23 3.87 1.88 .060 .21 4.03 3.87 .71 .476 .10 4.14 3.80 2.15 .031 .23 Opportunity I expected to gain career experience An opportunity to work with others in my field An opportunity to share what I know An opportunity to learn An opportunity to work with others outside of my field Satisfy my curiosity 4.20 4.06 3.68 2.92 3.73 5.03 <.001 <.001 .39 .50 4.26 3.75 2.82 .005 .28 3.94 4.43 3.38 4.33 2.86 .77 .004 .440 .30 .08 4.37 3.83 2.81 .005 .29 4.12 3.83 1.39 .165 .16 Interaction Frequent interaction with stakeholders Stakeholders to make attempts to understand my concerns for the project Research team members to make attempts to understand my concerns for the project Frequent interaction with research team members 3.79 3.65 3.22 3.13 3.66 2.65 <.001 .008 .34 .27 3.57 3.26 1.50 .133 .15 3.94 3.48 1.88 .060 .22 4.00 2.98 4.83 <.001 .50 Applicability Model results that I could use in my job An integrated model of water in the Willamette Valley Model results that would contribute to science 4.33 4.07 1.44 .151 .17 3.84 3.83 .09 .925 .01 4.59 4.19 2.04 .042 .22 4.56 4.19 2.20 .028 .22 Monitor 3.33 3.66 1.69 .092 .16 1 Means and standard deviations are measured on a 5-point scale from 1 “Strongly Disagree” to 5 “Strongly Agree.” 52 Participants in WW2100 were motivated to participate for social reasons such as collaboration and invitation, knowledge about the topic of interest or to inform other projects, and for reaching broader audiences with the alternative futures modeling tool produced by the project. The social motivations identified in this study fit well within the collectivism and altruism motivations identified by Rotman et al. (2012). Scientists and stakeholders are motivated to engage with each other in research because they see a mutual benefit (collaboration/collectivism) and/or because they believe they can help the other (invitation/altruism). That many interviewees were motivated to participate because of a personal invitation reveals why participants came to believe they could benefit from or contribute to WW2100. The remaining motivations this study identifies, knowledge, tool, and impact-seeking, fall within the Rotman et al.'s (2012) egoism category of motivations. Rotman et al.’s (2012) motivational categories in citizen science may be too superficial for long-term researcherstakeholder engagement processes. Participants were motivated to participate in the project by what they could gain personally and professionally. However, their motivations are founded deeper than exchanging knowledge and tools; they are founded on personal relationships with others involved and previous experiences with similar projects. Projects like WW2100 typically have three kinds of goals: outcomes for research, outcomes for individuals, and outcomes for social-ecological systems like influencing policies (Shirk et al., 2012). Participant expectations for the WW2100 process, the roles they would play within it, and the resulting model reflect these typical researcher-stakeholder engagement process goals. Expectations for the researcher-stakeholder engagement process were met, though oftentimes not to the degree expected. Only one expectation for the process was not met and that was the expectation to have frequent interaction with stakeholders. Participants had different expectations for the roles stakeholders and research team members would play. On some occasions, stakeholders exceeded role expectations; on others, they fell short of the role expectations. Research team members met all expectations for their roles but to a degree that was less than expected. Research team members were only slightly expected to “provide a boots-onthe-ground perspective” and this was the only role that they did not fulfill at all. Finally, participants expected that the resulting model would be an accurate representation of water in the Willamette Valley, that the model would contribute to science, and that it would provide results useful to their jobs. All participants agreed that the model met these expectations but to a degree 53 significantly less than that which was expected. It is possible that because this study was conducted during the last year and not after WW2100’s official close, expectations were in the process of being fulfilled and a post-process assessment might have yielded different results. Still, through the researcher-stakeholder engagement process and this study of met and unmet expectations, research, management, and policy questions can be identified and addressed in future projects. In some instances motivations and expectations differed between participant groups. For instance, only stakeholders expressed a motivation to participate in this project because it offered a way to inform other projects. However, stakeholders and research team members did not differ in the roles they expected each other to play, nor in their expectations for the research process and resulting model. There was a distinct difference between what all participants expected of research team members and what all participants expected of stakeholders in WW2100. Research team members were responsible for all of the suggested tasks but providing a ‘boots-on-the-ground’ perspective. Stakeholders, on the other hand, were expected to provide feedback and communicate results rather than participate in asking questions and conducting research. Similarly, stakeholders in a climate modeling project were expected to fill data gaps, develop final scenarios and advise on visualization representation (Sheppard et al., 2011). Stakeholders are commonly expected to contribute knowledge (Johnson, 2011) and based on the expectations for researcher and stakeholder roles, most WW2100 participants expected the researcherstakeholder engagement process to be a “contributory” project rather than a “collaboration” (Shirk et al., 2012). Contrary to expectation, stakeholders in WW2100 developed pieces of the model and wrote reports. When stakeholders are included in data interpretation, a project moves into the “collaboration – co-creation” range (Shirk et al., 2012). Although stakeholders are not normally included in data interpretation, in some cases they can be (Johnson, 2011) and when this occurs both scientists and stakeholders practice analysis (Webler, 1998). When all collaborators share in the decision-making powers of a project, true collaboration increases (Kearney et al., 2007). The perceived role of researchers can evolve throughout an engagement process as well (Becu et al., 2008). Some scientists expect to participate only as expert presenters in researcherstakeholder engagement (Bartels et al., 2013) and at the outset of WW2100, this may have been 54 true. However, comparing WW2100 role expectation to delivery, the degree to which stakeholders and research team members fulfilled the role of communicating with stakeholders converged. In other studies, researchers became like the stakeholders themselves through collaboration (Becu et al., 2008). Proponents of collaboration applaud such blurring of the role lines (Kearney et al., 2007), yet it should be mentioned that more conflicts can arise when project team members play the same roles as stakeholders and as each other (Daniell et al., 2010). Research team members held higher expectations for the process and model than did stakeholders but, in all but one instance, both groups agreed on their expected process and outcomes. As the project leaders, research team members may hold higher expectations for the project because they know what WW2100 intends to achieve. In many similar cases, the scientists invite partners outside of academia to join them (Lang et al., 2012). Unless they have previous experience stakeholders do not know what to expect and therefore keep expectations low. Stakeholders disagreed with research team members when they expected to gain career experience through the process. This could be because the experience gained through engagement is only indirectly related to stakeholder careers. As with roles, when research team members and stakeholders expect the same elements but to a different degree, conflict may arise as a result of differing methodological and quality standards (Lang et al., 2012). Potential conflicts can be avoided by hosting early engagement meetings which focus on developing shared expectations for the process and for each other (Tim Lynam et al., 2010). Several case studies of interdisciplinary research emphasize the importance of establishing expectations and clear roles and responsibilities at the outset of a project in their ‘lessons learned’ sections (Lang et al., 2012; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Matso & Becker, 2014; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010). In a co-modeling project in Thailand, stakeholder expectations for the engagement process and its outcomes influenced their perceptions of the resulting model (Becu et al., 2008). An engagement stage which develops shared expectations for the process, participant roles, and products is especially important in academic-led research projects. For without such a process, stakeholders develop independent ideas for what the process can do for them which may also lead to conflict (Daniell et al., 2010). Understanding motivations and expectations for participation in researcher-stakeholder engagement projects is important not only to avoid conflict but also to improve the results produced and the likelihood for future participation. Universities are viewed increasingly as 55 development hubs (Hansen & Lehmann, 2006). Although researchers tend to emphasize the contributions of their research to science through publications, stakeholders require increased applied research in natural resource management (Johnson, 2011). In order to address the needs and expectations of participating groups, project scientists must first understand them. When a project allows participants to meet their needs and expectations, they are more likely to participate again (Eccles & Wigfield, 2002). In WW2100 participants were motivated to join the project by previous positive engagement and outreach experiences with other participants. Thus, engaging with stakeholders in transdisciplinary research which meets participant needs and expectations may form relationships and empower stakeholders to where they are motivated to participate in future projects. Contrarily, a project which does not meet needs and expectations may dissuade potential participants from engaging with each other again. To achieve, and to continue achieving broader impacts through researcher-stakeholder engagement, projects must address what participants expect from the process. In this process, participants expected to collaborate with one another through frequent interactions. They expected to gain and to share knowledge and to play different roles to contribute to the project. To inform natural resource management through broader impacts, research must address the product expectations of their stakeholders. This project’s stakeholders expected a model which accurately represented water in their region and which produced useful results. Future projects can look to WW2100 as an example of what their stakeholders and research team members may expect and then plan a facilitated session in their own process to clarify the roles and expectations of each participant. 56 References Auerbach, C. F., & Silverstein, L. B. (2003). Qualitative data: An introduction to coding and analysis. NYU Press. Baker, J. P., Hulse, D. W., Gregory, S. V, White, D., Van Sickle, J., Berger, P. A., … Schumaker, N. H. (2004). Alternative Futures for the Willamette River Basin , Oregon. Ecological Applications, 14(2), 313–324. Bartels, W. L., Furman, C. A., Diehl, D. C., Royce, F. 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Researcher-stakeholder engagement is one suggested solution to achieve both of these goals. This study uses semi-structured interviews and an online survey to explore the structure, challenges, and outcomes of one case modeling current and future water resources in the Willamette basin. Research team members planned field trips, large and small group workshops, webinars, and written online materials to engage with water stakeholders throughout the course of the project. Challenges they encountered included a lack of a shared vision, different professional languages, research complexities, and project management. Outcomes of stakeholder engagement included overcoming challenges, facilitating learning, greater understanding, conversation among diverse perspectives, and improving and extending research results. Participation in researcherstakeholder events was positively correlated with beneficial broader impact outcomes. This paper concludes with recommendations for a process to promote those outcomes. Keywords: broader impacts, stakeholder engagement, natural resources, climate change, modeling Introduction In 1997, the National Science Foundation (NSF) established Intellectual Merit and Broader Impacts as two equal merit criteria for proposal evaluation. The Intellectual Merit criterion evaluates a project’s potential to advance knowledge within and across scientific disciplines. The Broader Impacts criterion evaluates a project’s potential to benefit society and to achieve specific societal outcomes. In 2011, a task force confirmed that the Broader Impacts criterion is important to enhance scientific literacy and to benefit society (National Science 65 Board, 2011). To aid researchers in developing Broader Impacts activities for their proposals and reviewers evaluating proposals, the National Science Board produced a Broader Impacts guide. This guide askes, to what extent does the proposed activity: • Advance discovery and understanding while promoting teaching, training, and learning? • Broaden participation of underrepresented groups? • Enhance the infrastructure for research and education, such as facilities, instrumentation, networks, and partnerships? • Broadly disseminate results to enhance scientific and technological understanding? • Benefit society? (National Science Board, 2011) Despite these guidelines, the Broader Impacts criterion remains under scrutiny. Reviewers maintain that the Broader Impacts guidelines are not as clear or consistent across projects and institutions as the Intellectual Merit criterion and therefore are more difficult to assess (National Science Board, 2011). And although researchers have enjoyed engaging in broader impact activities (Pearson et al., 1997), they struggle to implement them and engage various publics in creative ways. One study of NSF-funded projects found that only 65% of projects had broader impact statements and that among those, 19% only included one of five possible activity categories (Nadkarni & Stasch, 2013). Teaching/training was the most frequently utilized method for broader impacts followed by broad dissemination of results (Nadkarni & Stasch, 2013). Teaching classes, supporting graduate students, and sharing results online (university websites, lab blogs, etc.) are familiar methods, tangibly beneficial to academic researchers, and requiring little effort. However, there is an emergent paradigm through the two integrated and interdependent NSF proposal criteria which creates an expectation that scientists and science stakeholders engage in research together for their mutual benefit (Frodeman et al., 2013). This shift comes at a time where the natural resource management and policy climate is seeking to incorporate the “best available science” (Lester et al., 2010). Climate change and the associated natural resource management impacts exhibit the characteristics of a wicked problem. 66 There are no direct and immediate tests for solutions to the suite of climate change problems. These problems can be explained in many ways, including as symptoms of one another. The associated stakes are high and there is not a shared definition of the problem being faced (Rittel & Webber, 1973). Global climate forecasts (Rayner et al., 2005), biodiversity risk assessments (Brainard et al., 2013; McClure et al., 2013), and urban water use as it relates to precipitation and temperature (Chang et al., 2014) are among the numerous studies intended to inform natural resource managers and policy makers. Yet there remains a large amount of uncertainty and inability to incorporate climate change and natural resource research into management and policies. Managers and policy makers cite reasons such as uncertainty, conflicting priorities, institutional limitations, miscommunication or lack of effective communication, differing values, and lack of locally relevant results (Callahan et al., 2013; Gregory et al., 2013; Rayner et al., 2005; Smith et al., 2009; Weible & Sabatier, 2009; Yang et al., 2013) among the reasons for which they have not utilized scientific information. The global climate impacts and the challenging uncertainty surrounding them (Lawler et al., 2010) suggest that an extended systems-approach may be useful to address natural resource management questions in the face of climate change. There is a need for research scientists and non-scientists to collaborate to achieve their interdependent goals. The NSF awards funding to research projects which exhibit strong potential for broader impacts. Research managers are expected to incorporate science and climate change adaptation into planning and practices (Halofsky et al., 2011). Research able to affect change incorporates some degree of user involvement and cultivates user trust in the research (Riley et al., 2011). To achieve broader impacts and be utilized, research must be credible, salient, and legitimate (Cash et al., 2003). Transdisciplinary research, engaging researchers of multiple disciplines and science stakeholders, is one proposed method to produce credible, salient, and legitimate results. Transdisciplinary research is one of several integrative approaches to research to address real-world issues that do not fit neatly within one discipline (Dewulf et al., 2007). Multidisciplinary research allows for consultation among many disciplines for a project but does not necessarily require integrating the disciplines to achieve results (Schneider, 1997). Interdisciplinary research creates connections between and among the disciplines (Mader et al., 2013) “to tackle problems whose solutions cannot be achieved by any single discipline” (Lemos 67 & Morehouse, 2006, p. 62). However, “since intellectual merit and broader impacts are now cast as integrated and interdependent criteria within NSF’s review process, there is some expectation that scientists and stakeholders are both engaged in the research enterprise and mutually benefit from it” (Frodeman et al., 2013, p. 153). Transdisciplinary research creates connections among multiple disciplines, but extends those connections to include multiple “practice actors” (Lang et al., 2012). For the purpose of this paper, transdisciplinary research will follow Lang et al.'s (2012) definition as: “a reflexive, integrative, method-driven scientific principle aiming at the solution or transition of societal problems and concurrently of related scientific problems by differentiating and integrating knowledge from various scientific and societal bodies of knowledge” (p. 26). Collaborative natural scientific research can be organized as falling within one or more of the following four categories: sustainability science, climate change adaptive management, decision-support tool construction, and/or alternative future exploration. Sustainability science questions are driven by societal issues and seek to understand coupled social-ecological systems and address uncertainty. The goal of sustainability science studies is to formulate policy recommendations based on assessments of all parts of a coupled human natural system (Kastenhofer et al., 2011). Climate change adaptive management research facilitates collaborative planning around climate change and is inherently linked to policy (Mackenzie et al., 2012). Adaptive management focuses on learning by acquiring facts, arriving at new understandings (Tim Lynam et al., 2010), and adjusting policies to reflect new conditions (Lawler et al., 2010). Decision-support tool construction research seeks to make integrated management more tangible (Holzkämper et al., 2012) for an impending management or policy decision. This research is focused on constructing credible, accurate, understandable, and appropriate natural resource models to address the issue at hand (Holman et al., 2008). Alternative future exploration brackets uncertainty by comparing multiple scenarios for topics of interest (Swart et al., 2004). This research focuses on producing physically and politically plausible scenarios (Mahmoud et al., 2009; Santelmann et al., 2001) to facilitate discussions and visualize potential futures. Any natural resource research collaboration may use stakeholder engagement as a method to produce societally relevant results and to achieve broader impacts. Stakeholder engagement involves working with groups of overlapping geographic or subject interests to 68 exchange or create knowledge to improve science and influence societal practices (Mackenzie et al., 2012). For effective climate change decisions, the National Research Council called for direct engagement between scientists and their stakeholders (National Research Council, 2006). In their review of multiple research efforts, Dilling and Lemos (2011) found that useable science is a function of the context of its intended use and the process followed to produce the science. Nearly all cases producing usable science followed an iterative process between scientists and science stakeholders. Cases of collaborative researcher-stakeholder engagement are reviewed in Ferguson et al. (2015, in preparation), demonstrating the many contexts and methods in which stakeholder engagement in scientific research is practiced. Many of the cases in this review offer lessons learned and the impacts resulting from their experience engaging stakeholders in scientific research. Table 3.1 summarizes the general lessons learned, necessary elements, and impacts across the cases. Although helpful, very few of the cases offer a thorough exploration of the participant experience in a researcher-stakeholder engagement process. Most of the lessons learned are reflections made by the authors after specific engagement events or following the conclusion of the process. Some cases make claims about the impacts of their engagement processes without offering evidence within the paper to support their conclusions. Absent from all of the cases is an assessment of the stakeholder perspective following an engagement process. This study seeks to address these gaps in knowledge surrounding stakeholder engagement processes in natural resource research by characterizing the perceptions of all participants in a researcher-stakeholder engagement process and by providing evidence for the impacts of participating in such a process. This study asks: (a) what was the structure of the researcher-stakeholder engagement process; (b) what challenges did the research project and stakeholder engagement process encounter; and, (c) what did the researcher-stakeholder engagement process achieve? This study will identify barriers and pathways to success to offer recommendations for improved natural resource researcher-stakeholder engagement and broader impacts. 69 Table 3.1. Lessons learned and impacts from previous cases of stakeholder engagement in transdisciplinary research. Lessons learned Clear roles and responsibilities Allocate resources well Be sensitive to stakeholder needs Consider relationship to research funders Focus on process rather than product Accept uncertainty Accept external expertise as credible Engage early Integrate qualitative and quantitative knowledge Manage both stakeholder engagement and interdisciplinary portions Produce non-normative publications Make use of existing relationships Necessary elements Strong leadership Collaborative research team Mutual trust Commitment to project Transparency Iterativity Source Lang et al., 2012; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Matso & Becker, 2014; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Becu, Neef, Schreinemachers, & Sangkapitux, 2008; Kearney, Berkes, Charles, & Wiber, 2007; Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Matso & Becker, 2014 Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006; Lang et al., 2012; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Mackenzie et al., 2012 Mackenzie et al., 2012 Dilling & Lemos, 2011; Kearney et al., 2007; Lautenbach, Berlekamp, Graf, Seppelt, & Matthies, 2009; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Holzkämper, Kumar, Surridge, Paetzold, & Lerner, 2012; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Mackenzie et al., 2012 Holman et al., 2008; Matso & Becker, 2014 Cross, McCarthy, Garfin, Gori, & Enquist, 2013 Daniell et al., 2010; Huntington et al., 2002; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Matso & Becker, 2014 Leydesdorff & Ward, 2005 Huntington et al., 2002 Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Manring, 2014; Sol et al., 2013 Dilling & Lemos, 2011; Kearney et al., 2007; Lang et al., 2012; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Manring, 2014 Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Mader et al., 2013; Sol et al., 2013; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Kearney et al., 2007; Sol et al., 2013 Johnson, 2011; Lang et al., 2012; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Dilling & Lemos, 2011; Halofsky et al., 2011; Holman et al., 2008; Lang et al., 2012; Swart, Raskin, & Robinson, 2004; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 70 Table 3.1. Lessons learned and impacts from previous cases of stakeholder engagement in transdisciplinary research. (Continued) Untraditional metrics of success Mid-size, diverse group Shared reframing of issue/plan/goal Facilitators/Boundary organizations Visualizations Frequent interaction Impacts Learn from one another Improve understanding Visualize future Increased credibility Incorporate managerial knowledge (accurate, accessible, appropriate research) Network building Increase stakeholder self-efficacy Future research emerges Diverse dialogue Increased legitimacy Increased saliency Mackenzie et al., 2012; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Bartels et al., 2013; Swart et al., 2004; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010 Dewulf, François, Pahl-wostl, & Taillieu, 2007; Fuller, 2011; Halofsky et al., 2011; Kearney et al., 2007; Lang et al., 2012; Lautenbach et al., 2009; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Matso & Becker, 2014; Sol et al., 2013 Cash et al., 2003; Dilling & Lemos, 2011; Johnson, 2011; Kearney et al., 2007; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Robinson & Wallington, 2012; Sol et al., 2013 Sheppard et al., 2011 Johnson, 2011; Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Mader et al., 2013 Bartels et al., 2013; Becu et al., 2008; Huntington et al., 2002; Lienert, Monstadt, & Truffer, 2006; Tim Lynam, Drewry, Higham, & Mitchell, 2010; Manring, 2014; Stubbs & Lemon, 2001 Becu et al., 2008; Cross, McCarthy, Garfin, Gori, & Enquist, 2013; Lienert et al., 2006 Becu et al., 2008; Lienert et al., 2006 Baker et al., 2004; Cash et al., 2003; Holman et al., 2008; Holzkämper et al., 2012; Tim Lynam et al., 2010 Baker et al., 2004; Holman et al., 2008; Tim Lynam et al., 2010 Becu et al., 2008; Cross et al., 2013; Holzkämper et al., 2012; Leydesdorff & Ward, 2005; Manring, 2014; Stubbs & Lemon, 2001 Baker et al., 2004; Sheppard et al., 2011 Bartels et al., 2013; Becu et al., 2008; Halofsky et al., 2011 Becu et al., 2008; Cross et al., 2013; Halofsky et al., 2011; Huntington et al., 2002 Cash et al., 2003; Fuller, 2011 Cash et al., 2003 71 Methods This study takes a mixed methods approach to provide an in-depth case study analysis (Berg & Lune, 2012) of one natural resource researcher-stakeholder engagement process, Willamette Water 2100 (WW2100). WW2100 seeks to predict when and where water scarcity might occur in the Willamette Valley, Oregon through the year 2100 as a result of climate change, population growth, and water use decisions. Three universities and 26 principal investigators representing multiple disciplines collaborated to create a model which integrates sub-models of the processes in the Willamette watershed. These include hydrology, ecological engineering, climate science, snow science, applied economics, environmental engineering, water resource, forest ecology, fish and wildlife, and law. In addition to forming an interdisciplinary team, WW2100 has engaged with approximately 215 water stakeholders representing state and federal agencies, policymaking groups, non-governmental organizations, and private industry throughout the research process. This case provides an example of a transdisciplinary natural resource research project which uses stakeholder engagement to create usable science and to achieve broader impacts. An exploratory sequential mixed methods grounded theory approach was used to analyze the WW2100 case (Creswell, 2003; Glaser & Strauss, 2009). First, semi-structured interviews were conducted to develop an understanding of the views of key researcher-stakeholder engagement process participants (Creswell, 2003). Then, a survey of all participants in the researcher-stakeholder engagement process was conducted to provide a quantitative assessment of the perception of the entire process. By utilizing two methods, data types, and data sources, this study increased its reliability and validity (Creswell, 2003) for a robust analysis of the case. Qualitative semi-structured interviews Twenty-six semi-structured interviews were conducted in the fifth and final year of the researcher-stakeholder engagement process. Interviewees were purposively selected (Patton, 2002) based on their participation in the process and representativeness of various expertise to complete the “en route” reflection (Daniell et al., 2010). Participants who attended more events, or who represented a perspective not yet recorded were more likely to be interviewed. Twelve 72 members of the stakeholder group and fourteen participants from the research team agreed to be interviewed (Table 3.2). Interviews were conducted between January and March, 2015.Each interview followed a semi-structured interview guide (Appendix A) with questions intended to prompt reflection on the process. Each interview lasted on average 55 minutes (range: 26 – 89 minutes) and was conducted in person, via skype, or via telephone as the interviewee preferred. Interviews were digitally audio recorded and transcribed using Express Scribe Transcription software to ensure consistency among interviews and to allow for open-coding analysis (McClellan, MacQueen, & Neidig, 2003). One interviewee declined to be recorded. In this case, extensive notes were taken during the conversation including verbatim transcriptions and shorthand conversation themes. The resulting transcripts were sent to interviewees as a form of “member checking” (Miles, Huberman, & Saldana, 2014) to ensure transcription accuracy. Table 3.2. Representation, expertise, and number of participants interviewed. Stakeholder Research Team 1 tribal representative 1 farmer 1 water utility manager 1 state agricultural agency representative 1 state water agency representative 1 private technology industry representative 2 federal reservoir agency representatives 1 federal forest agency representative 1 county government representative 1 irrigation district manager 1 city water agency representative 1 economist 4 Broader Impact Team members 1 landscape architecture researcher 1 lawyer 1 climate scientist 3 hydrologist 1 ecohydrologist 2 biological and ecological engineers Following transcription, interviews were analyzed through an open coding process, facilitated by the computer software MaxQDA. Open coding analysis began with the research concerns, isolated relevant text from the raw interview, identified repeating ideas, grouped the ideas into themes, and the themes into concepts (Auerbach & Silverstein, 2003). To ensure 73 validity, preliminary results were informally presented to the interviewees and asked for feedback as a form of member checking (Creswell, 2003). Themes from analysis were checked for reliability through an inter-coder reliability assessment (Creswell, 2003; Ryan & Bernard, 2003). Notable overlap between independent codebooks indicates reliable themes. Quantitative survey The quantitative phase used a census design (Vaske, 2008) to survey all members of the WW2100 listserv. Subjects were invited via e-mail to complete an online questionnaire administered using the Qualtrics website. Of 281 subjects invited, 45 research team members and 92 stakeholders (total = 137) responded for a 49% response rate. Acceptable response rates range from 35% to 70% (Vaske, 2008) but a wave analysis was conducted to check for response bias. Average weekly survey return items did not change over time and, given the response rate, conclusions about the WW2100 participant population can be inferred with 90% confidence (Creswell, 2003; Vaske, 2008). The online questionnaire was developed based on previous questionnaires administered by WW2100 and a preliminary content analysis of the semi-structured interviews. Respondents to the questionnaire reported their participation in WW2100 and their perceptions of the outcomes of WW2100. Respondents also were self-assigned to one of two groups, research team member or stakeholder. This designation served as an independent variable in further analyses. Data were analyzed using SPSS statistical analysis software. When appropriate, nonparametric statistical tests were used for a conservative estimate of significance and relationship of the sample. Several indices were calculated from survey responses and used in later analyses. An index of overall participation was calculated from several questions regarding participation in WW2100 (Appendix H, table H.1). A communication participation score was first computed by calculating the mean of five variables regarding the frequency of participation in various types of project communication measured on an 8-point scale from 1 “never” to 8 “daily.” This score was then combined with survey responses for the number of years involved in the project (0-5), number of events attended (0-9), and number of webinars attended (0-11). Because these variables are on different scales, an overall participation index was calculated using the standardized z-scores of the contributing variables and was used as an independent variable in 74 further analyses. Similarly, indices for model utility, process utility, feeling heard, and model understanding were calculated from variables designated in the questionnaire designed to illuminate these concepts (Appendix H, table H.2). These indices were calculated from variables on 5-point scales from 1 “strongly disagree” to 5 “strongly agree” and used as dependent variables in further analyses of researcher-stakeholder engagement process outcomes. Model utility, process utility, feeling heard, model understanding, and overall participation indices first were assessed for reliability using Cronbach alpha reliability analysis. Spearman rho (rs) correlations were then used to assess the relationship between overall participation and model utility, process utility, feeling heard, and model understanding. In all of the above analyses, statistical significance was tested at a .05 level Results This section presents interviewee and survey respondent perceptions of the researcherstakeholder engagement process structure, its challenges, and its successes. A summary of the results explored below is presented in table 3.4. Researcher-stakeholder engagement process structure WW2100 engaged researchers and stakeholders from beginning to end of the research project. A small group of principal investigators formed the Broader Impacts Team (BIT) whose focus was to facilitate the stakeholder engagement process throughout. The BIT utilized various formats to connect researchers and stakeholders with each other. Interviewees commenting on the structure of the process emphasized the important role of the BIT and outlined the different engagement stages as they perceived them. The BIT played an important role in researcher-stakeholder engagement success. They achieved this first by providing a forum for researcher-stakeholder interaction, coordinating the necessary logistics for event planning. Then, members of the BIT facilitated communication between the two groups during and between official events. The efforts of the BIT were not lost to process participants and interviewees expressed how important having a team devoted to stakeholder engagement was for the project’s success. 75 A team of principal investigators dedicated to stakeholder engagement ensured that there was stakeholder engagement throughout the process and that adequate resources were allocated to make it a success. One research team member stated the importance of the BIT in establishing the researcher-stakeholder engagement process as a principal component of WW2100. “The broader impacts team is really the group that set up all of the interactions with the stakeholders and managed the stakeholder participation. I think that there might have been more push back about including them but the broader impacts team really made a lot of noise to make sure that this piece was integral in the project.” Often overlooked, coordinating a well-run event for research team members and stakeholders is critical for continued engagement throughout the process. One stakeholder expressed a desire to compliment the BIT for their work to coordinate a pleasant meeting, from the location to the refreshments, and spoke of the consequences if such attention had not been paid. “Where the meetings are held is just one of the best places for this kind of meeting I’ve ever seen. I don’t know how much planning there is that went into it but I think that it did a very good job. I’d like to compliment whoever put it all together…People start not wanting to show up if it’s in a venue that’s not nice. I just think this one was done right.” The BIT ensured that the research team dedicated time and resources to engage with stakeholders and then organized events in such a way that stakeholders felt respected and valued to continue attending. Over the course of the project, different formats for interaction were used to connect researchers and stakeholders (Table 3.3). Formal in-person events including field trips, large group meetings, and small group meetings were held. Informal conversations and e-mails among participants resulted from the formal events. The BIT also produced outreach materials such as newsletters, webinars, and a website. In the first year of the project, researchers and stakeholders were introduced to the Willamette basin and its multiple water sources and demands through three field trips. These field trips provided a good introduction to the topic and to each other, as well as a shared experience from which to draw in future conversations. As a research team member recalled: “I remember the first field trip that [a BIT member] organized was really useful. And it got us thinking about a number of things; things that weren’t on our radar screen, especially about the reservoirs and the management of the reservoirs and a number of other things.” 76 Stakeholders also saw the benefit in taking time out of their days to tour the Willamette basin. “I think the project was smart to take people out to some of these sites and see some of the stuff with their own eyes and get a feel for it. I think there’s real benefit associated with that. So I think the field trip component, although it’s a lot of work, a lot of effort involved, I do think there’s a lot of value in doing some real targeted field trips like the project did.” Field trips primed the research and stakeholder groups for future interaction and sparked conversations and thoughts for the modeling project and for future interactions. Table 3.3. Summary of researcher-stakeholder engagement formats in WW2100. Adapted from Wright et al., 2015) Group Learning Action Network (LAN) - ~215 self-identified listserv participants; 120 people attended at least one WW2100 event Technical Advisory Group (TAG) group of ~25 professionals chosen by Research Team based on their expertise, constituency affiliation, and representation; charged with defining assumptions of two stakeholder scenarios. Regional Outreach – regional audiences of water managers, policy makers and the public Outreach and Feedback Strategy Field trips, workshops and webinars designed to foster interaction and shared learning between researchers and stakeholders, and provide regional feedback on model and scenario design (project years 1-5; 2011-2015). Six half-day meetings in project year 5 (2014-2015), as well as phone calls, and emails on specific questions; provided specific quantities for scenario assumptions, and judgments on future land and water use policies and practices. 35 invited presentations on the Willamette water system and the WW2100 project; many invitations stemmed from connections through the LAN and TAG. Development of a project website with an overview and an archive of materials from project outreach events and recorded presentations – http://water.oregonstate.edu/ww2100 . In the second, third, and fourth year of the project, annual large group meetings (36-74 attendants) were held in a centralized location. These “Learning and Action Network” (LAN) meetings were intended to continue the researcher-stakeholder conversation surrounding water scarcity, to present research developments, and to solicit stakeholder feedback on the project’s progress. Although some participants found the LAN meetings useful in their own right, others did not speak as highly of them. One stakeholder commented on the session organization, saying that it was “more of a presentation style in an auditorium so it wasn’t designed where they were requesting a lot of dialogue and feedback.” Another stakeholder was not interested in the broader conversation. 77 “There was a lot of foolishness in the early sessions. Feel good stuff. It didn’t get down to the nuts and bolts. I didn’t care what the definition of conservation is or whatever. Let’s get down to business.” LAN large group meetings were composed of researcher plenary presentations, researcher poster sessions, and facilitated breakout sessions. Interviewees expressed that the facilitated sessions were the most effective and valuable component of LAN meetings. In the fifth project year, six Technical Advisory Group (TAG) meetings were held. These meetings were attended by members of the BIT, some research team member, and ~25 stakeholders representing diverse water use and regulation interests. One research team member described the TAG meetings in this way: “As the project has evolved, the shift has been more…towards working with particularly the TAG group to define what we’ve been calling the stakeholder scenarios. And so that’s a very different type of meeting. Those tend to be more focused. They tend to be a little bit more directed to achieving a different outcome. They tend to be a little bit more down in the weeds than the original meetings were.” Stakeholders also noted and appreciated the transition away from the large group presentation format to a more dialogic interaction with research team members. “That third phase, where they’re soliciting our input into the last runs of the model, they’ve been very responsive and very open to what we have to say to reality check the numbers in what they’re doing and how they’re running it. So nice transition.” The mention of researcher-stakeholder engagement process phases demonstrates how participants noted the distinction among the three methods. Several interviewees discussed the process in terms of its phases. The activities, meeting components, and their roles as attendees shifted with the format. Having various formats for engagement benefitted the project for “all three deliver different things.” Less formal researcher-stakeholder interaction was also a part of this process. First, an online presence maintained an “e-connection” between the research and its stakeholders throughout. Stakeholders “appreciated the opportunity to do the webinars that have come out” but found themselves somewhat overwhelmed by the number of e-mails. Informal conversations also played a key role in the engagement process. One researcher described his experience in this way. 78 “We got a request from some of the ag folks in the TAG meeting to talk about how we were approaching planting dates, when farmers can get in the fields, stuff like that. So we sat down with them and had a conversation about what they thought it should look like based on their personal experience and we made changes in the model to reflect that.” Informal conversations, e-mails, meetings over breakfast, and telephone calls were the way stakeholders were able to influence the research in a tangible way. However, these would not have been possible without the connections established by the field trips, large group, and small group meetings. The coordination of the different types of events can be considered the structure built by the BIT to support stakeholder engagement. However, individuals within the BIT worked as glue to hold the structure together, facilitating conversations among participants during and between events. One interviewee confirmed this important BIT role saying: “If [BIT member] hadn’t been involved, there would have been no public input at all. I’m convinced of that.” Eighteen of twenty-six interviewed confirmed the BIT’s value to the stakeholder engagement process. They complimented the BIT for coordinating the process, for facilitating conversations within and without meetings, for unending enthusiasm, and for being attentive to participants’ needs. One stakeholder commented on the need for and the BIT’s ability to deliver this unique role. “There aren't a lot of people that have those kinds of skills, especially the really technical scientific kind of people or people that are really into data and boxes and models aren't always those kinds of people. So I think it's important on the research academic side to realize who has those skills. [A BIT member] always did a good job in the different workshops following up with people about concerns…and give you a call and say I heard you had these concerns and what do you think about this or I'm going to talk to this person.” Using various formats and techniques was important to the success of the project but without the BIT to plan and facilitate the researcher-stakeholder interactions, there would not have been a WW2100 stakeholder engagement process. Researcher-stakeholder engagement process challenges Four types of challenges were identified for the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process: lack of a shared vision, interdisciplinary-associated challenges, research complexity, and project management challenges. Interviewees spoke of the potential causes of 79 these challenges and gave examples in which these challenges manifested. Often the challenges were overcome but not without recognition and effort on the part of participants and project leadership. By far, “the biggest challenge [for WW2100] has been this lack of a shared vision in the project.” Interviewees identified that participants had different research and stakeholder engagement philosophies, disciplinary traditions, and experience with projects like this. Combined with an unclear proposal, these project elements contributed to creating multiple visions for the project. Multiple participants with divergent visions for the project led to occasionally conflicting actions. Researchers and stakeholders found it difficult to connect with one another. There was disagreement over when and how to involve stakeholders in the research, what to do with stakeholder knowledge once obtained, and how to reconcile stakeholder experiences with evidence found in peer-reviewed literature. At times, it appeared that the researchers were pursuing different research goals. Research team members found themselves on research philosophy spectra from applied to theoretical science, from preferring quantitative data to qualitative data, and from a planning to a projection approach to alternative futures modeling (Figure 3.1). One research team member summarized the differences in approaches in this way: “This Willamette Water 2100…was a pretty serious unresolved collision between these two approaches in which the dominant designers of methodology came from, and insisted on, an academic hypothesis-testing single variable at a time changing approach and emphasized its strengths. Whereas the opportunities…to couple more tightly to what the stakeholders think is important requires that multiple assumptions, multiple parameters of the model change all at once so that you make tests of larger regions of parameter space by changing a half a dozen parameters at once. And that runs against the career commitments and frames of reference of traditional scientific approach.” Some research team members approached WW2100’s questions from a theoretical, predictive projection perspective and others from an applied, scenario planning perspective. Then when they came together, conflict arose. Not only were research team members in disagreement with each other, their varying approaches to research were not aligned with the stakeholder group’s either. One stakeholder noted how this challenge impacted the TAG in its mission: “It seemed to be kind of difficult sometimes to develop the scenarios, perhaps because the research team had different preconceived ideas than what the TAG members had.” 80 Figure 3.1. Spectra of research approach philosophies. Previous experience with interdisciplinary research and stakeholder engagement influenced researcher and stakeholder expectations for the engagement process. Researchers with previous experience working with stakeholders had a different idea for how the process would go than those who had never worked with stakeholders beyond general outreach. “I think some people came in with experience having done it in the past on particular projects and had an idea but other people came from a really different point of view and set of experiences and so there was a long time of struggle…among the research team to figure out what was going to be acceptable for the stakeholder involvement process.” Disparate plans for the researcher-stakeholder engagement process were also traced back to the research proposal. “At the very beginning project, it was really quite unclear to me what we were exactly going to end up doing in the project. I think that the proposal itself while it reads very well,…it’s kind of spread…a little too thin.” Research team members stated that the research proposal could have more explicitly outlined a research plan rather than broad research goals so that once funded, the team would already have the next steps in place. Due to the different visions for the project, at times the project went in different directions, causing conflict and requiring reconciliation. In the researcher-stakeholder engagement process, much of this conflict centered around when and how to involve stakeholders and their knowledge. Some participants preferred “early and often” stakeholder engagement, while others preferred to produce results first in order to “have something to talk 81 about.” When stakeholders were asked for feedback on model assumptions and/or scenarios, there was resistance to their suggestions. In part, this was due to the fact that the model was already built and difficult to alter at that point. “I think they started the process with all these workshops and just giving presentations and… really had already done a lot of the work…and so when people ask you or tell you that all your assumptions are off, they didn't really want to go back and redo all their work.” But there was also debate over how to incorporate stakeholder knowledge into the model and the research in general. Should the stakeholders guide research questions? Should they vet the model assumptions? Should stakeholders develop scenarios? Should this model incorporate stakeholder observations or rely on peer-reviewed literature for data? “There were academics who essentially were more convinced by peer-reviewed papers even if the data that went into them were national in scale and therefore of questionable relevance locally…There was actually a spectrum of affinity for stakeholders and…I found myself arguing that their own data and modeling should trump this peer-reviewed paper because of the way that the paper was generalizing.” The project also required reconciliation over the direction of the research goals. Without a shared vision to guide a shared question, participants pursued individual questions for academic publications or regarding processes or scales beyond what the Envision model was capable of doing. This created conflict when participants discovered that their questions would not be addressed in this project or at their desired scale or with their desired application. One research team member discussed how forming a shared question in these cases can be somewhat elusive. “You have to focus on questions that are scientifically interesting. So there’s a Venn diagram. Society has certain questions they want answered but not every question society wants answered is really going to make good science and so you have to try to find some overlap between those two. And it’s a matter of luck and skill and a bunch of things. I’m not sure I have a plethora of those but hopefully luck.” Some of the differences in philosophies, goals, and experiences can be attributed to the transdisciplinary nature of the research. Research which integrates multiple expertise inherently brings with it the challenge (and opportunity) of diversity. In addition to different goals and philosophies, interdisciplinary researchers must meet the challenge associated with having different languages and working in large groups. This work can be slow moving and long in 82 duration and “it’s long in duration because when you bring together this many disciplines, you have to figure out how to talk to one another.” Researchers and stakeholders from different backgrounds struggled to come to a shared meaning of seemingly universal vocabulary words. It required reconciling not just one or two vocabulary sets but at least twelve. As one researcher commented on the size of the collaboration, “there's too many people and nobody took responsibility.” Many interviewees commented on the number of people involved in this project as a challenge. Some cited that collaborative research teams should not include more than 5-7 people and that large group engagement events only allow for general discussions when specificity is needed. The number of people and the number of languages presented interdisciplinary challenges for WW2100. The complex interaction of all of the people involved was reflected in the complexity of the research project which posed challenges in and of itself. Participants expressed that the spatial and temporal extent of the modeling was challenging to achieve and to comprehend. Some questioned if modeling the entire Willamette Basin was amenable to stakeholder engagement because there was not “enough connectivity and homogeneity and common purpose etc. within the stakeholder group for them to function cohesively.” Similarly, modeling and imagining 85 years into the future was a challenge for many participants. “It took probably a couple meetings before it really sunk in and started thinking on that far out into the future. As a farmer businessman, you definitely think into the future but I’m not sure that we think generations into the future.” The modeling process proved to be a complex challenge. With thirteen interconnected submodels and 21 future scenarios, participants found the modeling goal ambitious and challenging. “There is just a ridiculous huge amount of information that was trying to be put together and to make that all try to talk and to make something come out of that make any sense whatsoever was just a Herculean challenge.” Such a large project brought basic project management challenges as well. Interpersonal relationships and planning logistics were cited as frequent challenges within this category. With many people involved, possessing different perspectives, it is no surprise that many interviewees remarked on the challenge of working with different personalities. One person stated plainly, “There were strong personality challenges.” Managing personality differences required extensive effort and mediation within the project. “I’ve had a lot of meetings with people to discuss differences of opinion, to work out agreements,…to encourage people to work together, to demand people work 83 together, to plead that people work together, to provide resources to allow people to do things that will then help somebody else.” Differences aside, merely organizing the amount of people involved in the WW2100 researcherstakeholder engagement process was a logistical challenge. First, “they’re busy, we’re busy,” as one interviewee stated. Sometimes schedules did not allow the sought-after engagement. This led to an associated challenge of continuity from one meeting to the next. When there are scheduling conflicts, the composition of researchers and stakeholders shifts from event to event. “The dynamic of any particular gathering changes a little bit depending upon who's there. And you can't have 100% attendance every time.” The four types of challenges mentioned by key WW2100 participants were the project lacking a shared vision, interdisciplinary challenges like reconciling different languages and moving slowly, modeling complexity, and project management challenges. Many of the challenges outlined above were overcome over the course of the project, the result of which many interviewees cited as a success. Research-stakeholder engagement process impacts Although many challenges emerged from the interviews, a greater number of successes were cited by interviewees and confirmed by survey respondents. Overcoming the aforementioned challenges was considered a success by participants. Interviewees celebrated the research and stakeholder engagement successes of the project. Survey results indicated that participating in stakeholder engagement events was positively correlated with calculated indices of an individual’s understanding and perception of the research results’ utility, perception of feeling heard throughout the process, and value for the stakeholder engagement process. The most prominent success of a research project is associated with the research products, tools and publications. Half of the interviewees celebrated WW2100’s success in building a model of water in the Willamette basin. Participants in WW2100 were proud of the model they helped construct. “I feel quite confident saying that in terms of just the model that this is without a doubt the best look at water in the Willamette Valley that’s ever been done.” Many researchers and stakeholders were also glad that “there were papers published and written.” By the traditional metrics of research projects, WW2100 was successful. 84 An individual’s participation in researcher-stakeholder engagement events was “typically to substantially” (Vaske, 2008) positively correlated with understanding (rs = .42, p < .001) and “minimally to typically” positively correlated (Vaske, 2008) to perceiving the research results as valuable (rs = .21, p = .002). Highly engaged participants understood the model and its limitations and felt that the model provided a broader view of water in the Willamette Valley while contributing to scientific knowledge and informing resource managers, policy makers, and users. Engaging with research team members through model construction and scenario development led stakeholders to understand the results and how they might be useful. “This process was like wow, it was great, it was interesting but it also helped us understand the tool more.” Through interaction with each other, stakeholders and researchers were able to identify what questions the tool could answer and how those answers might be utilized in the future. One stakeholder said of the project: “The WW2100 effort would still provide useful information on a relative scale and would illustrate general effects of different uses on water supply in the Willamette Basin. The modeling would give us some good indications about effects of increases in population, land use changes, and climate change.” Those who participated more in the engagement process expressed ways in which the results would be useful to scientific discovery and to water management and policy. The model contributes interesting results within each of its sub-models: snow pack, climate, dam operations, human water use, forest management, and water rights. The resulting Envision model was seen by participants as a means to inform future water management projects and as a tool to facilitate planning discussions. One stakeholder shared her need for the results of this project. “If we can have a visual representation of possible changes, things to consider or ponder, I think that’s exactly what we need. Because it’s very hard to visualize all these changes on the landscape…I think this could be a very powerful planning tool.” Another stakeholder shared how the results could contribute to future discussions beyond the immediate planning needs. “It tells us the direction we need to go and the things, the issues we need to think about…It’s a conversation starter. But if you don’t do this analysis, it becomes a random conversation whereas this at least gives you, hey this is the status quo, nothing happens or current projection, this is where we’re going to end up.” WW2100 participants who attended more researcher-stakeholder engagement events expressed greater understanding of and utility for the Envision model and its results. 85 Individual participation also “typically to substantially” (Vaske, 2008) positively correlated with perception of feeling heard in the WW2100 research project (rs = .36, p < .001). Relatedly, interviewees considered the stakeholder engagement process and incorporation of stakeholder input successful overall. One stakeholder commented on the process’s iterative nature as witness to how both groups listened to each other. “I think the people that were gathered there were very interested and engaged. My impression of how their input was received is that it was well-received I think. The investigators were very interested in the input they were getting, sought to clarify what they were hearing and, based on sort of the iterative manner of the gatherings, it was clear that they took in what was said and kind of dialed those changes or recommendations in to the best of their ability. So I think it was a high energy environment for getting people together and with the output being paid attention to.” When participants felt heard, they also felt valued. “They seemed like they were accommodated and got to express their opinions and felt like they were valued in the process.” When people feel valued and heard, they are more likely to continue participating and the benefits of participating in the researcher-stakeholder engagement process are extended. Participating in WW2100 was also “typically to substantially” (Vaske, 2008) positively correlated with expressing greater value of the stakeholder engagement process (rs = .39, p < .001). Participants valued the researcher-stakeholder engagement process as a way to form or strengthen relationships, to understand other water users, to share in a necessary conversation about water with them, and to personally grow through learning. The process was valuable because it allowed participants to explore current and future key water issues together. Participants enjoyed interacting with people they do not normally interact with and considering water in new ways. One interviewee stated that this aspect of the researcher-stakeholder engagement process was the most valuable outcome. “I would say that the discussions and the relationship-building have been more beneficial to me than the actual nitty gritty numbers that it produces.” Attending multiple events allowed participants to form and strengthen information and working networks for collaborative natural resource adaptive management and policy. In getting to know one another and sharing in conversations, participants arrived at a better understanding of each other as Willamette basin water users. Stakeholders came to understand each other’s water concerns better. An industry representative found common ground with farmers over their economic dependency on water. Environmental flow and utility 86 managers better understood the tradeoffs associated with reservoir operations. Researchers came to understand each other’s disciplines better and both research team members and stakeholders developed a better sense of what each other’s priorities were. One researcher commented on the benefit of engaging in conversations with the stakeholders. “So it was interesting from a learning perspective to hear from them what the management concerns are and then to think about the actual logistics of how we would try to do that, some of them being really easy to evaluate and other ones not really being feasible.” Interviewees shared the value of this process as it led water users, research team members and stakeholders, to better understand one another. Such understanding would not have been possible without the process to facilitate a necessary conversation about water in the Willamette basin. More than half of the interviewees commented on the value of and success engaging diverse perspectives in a constructive dialogue achieved through this process. They frequently commented on the success of the project in getting diverse people to attend the events and how their presence enriched the event and the project outcomes. One stakeholder recalled of the TAG meetings: “I don’t know how many we had, 20-25 folks, all coming from different perspectives and having…thoughtful conversation. It’s been a pleasure…working with the group of folks as the stakeholders and knocking things around.” Another interviewee commented on how valuable having the dialogue among multiple perspectives was. “I think just even having that dialogue amongst the users was probably one of the most successful parts of the project. Even more I think than what the results will be of the last two scenarios.” As with relationships and understanding, individuals who participated more, considered the process more valuable. More time in the process allowed participants to achieve the benefits that came from sharing in constructive conversations with people of diverse perspectives. Finally, all interviewees expressed that the researcher-stakeholder engagement process was valuable as a learning opportunity. Engaging with the research team, participants were able to learn about water modeling and technical aspects of different water use and management sectors. Engaging with stakeholders led to learning about the concerns of each water sector, leading to greater understanding of the big water picture. Through the researcher-stakeholder 87 engagement process, participants learned how to work together and how they might work together in the future. “I have no doubt that there [are] perspectives that people in the stakeholder group hold now that they didn’t hold coming into this process; that they, in fact, have learned from others in the group. So I think there’s been some success there.” One interviewee summed up the education benefit of participating in WW2100’s researcherstakeholder engagement process: “I’m learning …and that’s always helpful, both personally and professionally.” Interviews elucidated still more benefits of participating in the WW2100 researcherstakeholder engagement process. Engaging researchers with stakeholders improved both groups’ operations through researcher-stakeholder give and take. Stakeholders were able to inform the model and provided necessary feedback to the researchers. One researcher spoke of the benefit of including stakeholders in research: ‘I think it keeps us from just doing silly things. It keeps us grounded in the real world.” Stakeholders provided information on their operations, estimates, and perceptions of reality to inform the model. They also shared their research questions and data observations with the research team. A research team member commented on the value of including stakeholders in the research process: “That one was useful to me because there were [stakeholders] there who asked some good questions about some of the results that I was plotting, why they looked different from what they were expecting. So it helped me think about the problem a little more completely because they looked at the data and…asked thoughtful questions.” Stakeholder groups also benefitted from the researcher-stakeholder give and take. Some realized how their operations could improve to support academic research and most were able to glean useful information from the results and conversations. Finally, the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement project directly contributed to the broader impacts of the research by building the model’s credibility, and training stakeholder project ambassadors. These were not explicit goals of the process, but naturally resulted according to the participants interviewed. The process “created a lot more buy-in…from all the people at the table.” One stakeholder explained: “you had stakeholders involved from the beginning that could see this process all the way through. That’s good because otherwise we would’ve just gotten 88 something at the end and not had any idea how it was developed or who was working on it or why they were asking these questions.” Through collaboration, everyone involved had a better understanding of the research questions, the reasons they were asked, the answers, and how the results were obtained. This made the results more credible. When the results were more credible, those involved were more likely to share them with others. Interviewees were already discussing the project and results with coworkers not involved in WW2100 at the time of this study. They also expressed an interest in helping to disseminate the final results when the time came. One interviewee volunteered: “I would be more than happy to help roll out whatever it is to the key people or help roll it out.” Others posited that they could be “ambassadors” or “a champion” and “take the output back to the groups they belong to.” Analyses of interviews and survey responses yielded a codebook characterizing challenges and successes of the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process (Table 3.4). A team dedicated to facilitating the interaction between both groups utilized various formats to unite diverse actors in a shared conversation about current and future water resources in the Willamette basin. This process met different challenges including a lack of a shared vision for the process, interdisciplinary challenges, challenges associated with the complex research question and approach, and project management challenges. The project also achieved great successes including overcoming challenges and engaging many diverse people in a constructive conversation leading to greater understanding of water and each other. Through a newly developed network, all participants were able to learn and establish connections that may be helpful in future projects. Finally, the process improved the science itself by integrating stakeholder concerns and knowledge into the questions asked and the methods used to answer them, and extended the project’s reach by training more people to represent the results in diverse water contexts. 89 Table 3.4. Codebook summary of challenges and successes of WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process. Challenges Lack of shared vision Interdisciplinary Research complexity Project management Successes Different research goals Different stakeholder engagement plans Unclear proposal Discipline traditions Lack of experience Approach to research Slow-moving Different languages Complex modeling Large spatial scale Long temporal scale Interpersonal relationships Participants are busy Planning logistics Overcoming challenges Building model Stakeholder participation Inform scientific research Learning Forming and strengthening relationships Constructive conversation Build credibility Train result ambassadors Discussion This study characterized the structure, challenges, and successes of one case of researcher-stakeholder engagement in natural resource future modeling research. WW2100 utilized engagement process structure elements and encountered challenges that are documented in transdisciplinary research cases. However, the unique combination of structural elements in WW2100 produced outcomes for a stakeholder-engagement process previously undocumented. These outcomes fall within the NSF’s five criteria broader impacts framework and suggest an emerging sixth criterion. Challenges of Transdisciplinary Projects Many of the challenges observed in WW2100 are reviewed in similar cases studies (ex. Lemos & Morehouse, 2006). Several of these case studies also provide suggestions for planning 90 to avoid or overcome such challenges should they arise (ex. Lang et al., 2012). WW2100 shared its challenges with many studies before it who claim confronting a lack of a shared vision, interdisciplinary challenges, and project management challenges. The literature on collaboration and stakeholder engagement emphasizes, if not the importance of establishing a common goal, the benefits of coming to a shared understanding of the problem and solutions to it. Knowing the causes and the ways a lack of shared vision manifested in this project can help other projects avoid it, or diagnose a problem once the symptoms are recognized. Transdisciplinary natural resource studies need to develop a shared frame for the issue being explored, question to answer, and how to answer it (Pahl-wostl, Craps, et al., 2007). Without a shared frame, there will be different goals for a project. Stakeholders will have different visions of what a plausible future may look like (Baker et al., 2004). Unaddressed conflicting objectives can lead to distrust and resistance to new ideas in a project (Manring, 2014) and disparate methodological standards can lead to conflict (Lang et al., 2012). The lack of a shared vision and approach to research was the greatest challenge to WW2100, leading to disagreement over research questions and methods and stakeholder involvement in research, and manifesting as conflict in the project. Researchers have disciplinary interests beyond those defined by the interdisciplinary project (Lemos & Morehouse, 2006) and stakeholders may be interested in solving a real-world problem. When diverse actors (multiple disciplines and nonacademic participants) work together on these projects it is necessary to make those different interests transparent. The collaborative group must meet early in the process to develop the shared goal and a shared understanding of each other (Tim Lynam et al., 2010; Star & Griesemer, 1989). Without this meeting, the project must overcome the resulting conflict and move more slowly as those involved arrive at shared understandings in a piecemeal fashion. When interdisciplinary projects engage with stakeholders in research it is essential that research team members share a vision for when and how the stakeholders will participate. As with the lack of a shared research objective, without a shared approach to stakeholder engagement, the WW2100 research team was challenged by the resulting disagreements over when to solicit stakeholder input and how to use it. One prior case found that focusing on objective fact in a study led to neglect of experiential practical knowledge which could have contributed to innovation (Pahl-wostl, Craps, et al., 2007). In another study researchers were defensive of their decisions to exclude stakeholder data saying that they were not “scientifically 91 sound” (Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006), a sentiment that some members of WW2100 expressed. Knowledge external to academia must be seen as credible (Mackenzie et al., 2012) and research team members must be flexible in their disciplines (Lemos & Morehouse, 2006) in order for this challenge to be overcome. Interdisciplinary challenges like those observed in WW2100 were also encountered in previous studies. One study found that there was a greater difference in beliefs and perspectives among scientists of different disciplines than between scientists and lay stakeholders (Fuller, 2011). WW2100 devoted much time to overcoming interdisciplinary language challenges, arriving at a shared definition of key terms like “water scarcity” and “stakeholder engagement.” A researcher’s disciplinary background can influence his or her concept of a common issue, the meaning of which may not be self-evident to all involved and whose various meanings may not be neutral (Dewulf et al., 2007). Even the concept of “science” and how it should be practiced is understood differently among disciplines. This can make cooperation difficult (Fuller, 2011). Scientists are often comfortable with ambiguity and uncertainty in their results; interdisciplinary teams should grow more comfortable with ambiguity or uncertainty when it comes to understanding each other’s methods to explore the multiple dimensions of a research problem (Dewulf et al., 2007). A quantitative researcher may not understand the procedure for obtaining qualitative results but that does not mean that they should be dismissed. Rather, they should be welcomed as another piece of information. Project management is an often overlooked transdisciplinary challenge. Large study areas require the participation of many researchers as well as stakeholders to construct an accurate model and to develop future scenarios (Mahmoud et al., 2009). Stakeholder engagement is time and resource intensive (Baker et al., 2004; Mackenzie et al., 2012). The WW2100 Broader Impacts Team encountered the logistical challenges of organizing a large number of participants to attend many meetings and webinars and to respond to e-mails and phone calls over five years to engage its stakeholders. If the goal is to produce research results that will contribute to management and policy, it is important to remember that it takes time, and policy making has deadlines. In one case, the resulting model was developed too late to directly contribute to the policy questions (Tim Lynam et al., 2010). Managing project logistics becomes more challenging as the study area, number of researchers, and number of stakeholders increase. Resources devoted to the project should increase accordingly. 92 The challenges WW2100 encountered were also present in previous cases. From previous literature and the reflections of researcher and stakeholder participants, recommendations for future projects to avoid these challenges can be made. Impacts of Stakeholder Engagement in Transdisciplinary Projects Each case in the literature shares lessons learned and successes resulting from interacting with stakeholders and incorporating stakeholder information, but does not reflect on the impacts of the process on those involved. Stakeholder engagement (i.e. user involvement) and information exchange facilitated by trusting relationships were key factors in research projects able to affect change (Riley et al., 2011). Projects with these elements were able to improve decision-making in a management community, as well as improve the quality of the research conducted (Bonney et al., 2009). Stakeholder engagement is one of the proposed ways to overcome management barriers and, when completed successfully, can lead to science-driven decisions and action toward conservation, resilience, and sustainability (Shirk et al., 2012). But, without an impending action decision, it is difficult to measure the impact of stakeholder engagement in scientific research. This study places the successes reported by WW2100 interviewees and survey respondents in the context of the NSF Broader Impacts review criteria as a framework for evaluating the impacts of stakeholder engagement. WW2100 participants identified three kinds of success: research success, process success, and personal success. Previous literature has emphasized the different ways in which different participants measure success in transdisciplinary projects. Scientists celebrated publications and contributing long lasting science as a success while industry members celebrated a study’s contribution to management in a squid fishery collaboration (Johnson, 2011). Similarly researchers valued work that allowed for an original contribution to a peer-reviewed journal, but stakeholders considered a project successful when material improvements resulted from a water modeling project in Australia (Mackenzie et al., 2012). Some researchers call for “alternative measures of success” in transdisciplinary projects because the design experience may be more important than the results themselves (Lautenbach et al., 2009). A project might be called successful if it resulted in new relationships among participants, improved communication, accessible knowledge, useful tools, behavior change, or specific societal outcomes (Baker et al., 2004; Dilling & Lemos, 2011; Lienert et al., 2006). Rather than a dichotomy, where one type of 93 success is more important than another, project success can be considered in terms of NSF’s two interdependent, and equally valuable, review criteria: intellectual merit and broader impacts (National Science Board, 2011). Alternative measures of success in the literature and WW2100’s three types of success (process, research, personal) provide specific examples for achieving the NSF’s five broader impacts review criteria and elucidate an emerging sixth criterion. As a result, the impact of stakeholder engagement in natural resource research can be discussed in terms of each review criterion: advancing scientific discovery and understanding, broadening participation of underrepresented groups, enhancing infrastructure for research and education, broadly disseminating results, and benefitting society. This study identifies specific ways that a transdisciplinary research project may achieve broader impacts and suggests a sixth criterion: enrich the research community (Table 3.5). Stakeholder engagement processes, including that of WW2100, contributed to advancing scientific discovery and understanding by directly influencing the research, facilitating learning, and by pushing to achieve research deadlines. The clearest way in which stakeholder engagement advances scientific discovery is by facilitating the incorporation of stakeholder knowledge and questions into scientific studies in a way that research teams would not have done alone. Stakeholders provided feedback on assumptions, output metrics, scenarios, interpretations, and questions in WW2100. Similarly, stakeholders helped to define process components, methods, design elements, output indicators, and outcome plausibility in the development of a decisionsupport tool (Holman et al., 2008; Mahmoud et al., 2009). Through WW2100 stakeholder engagement participants learned about scientific modeling, the research process, each other, and each other’s respective areas of expertise in a social learning process. Such understanding extends beyond the individuals involved to a deeper understanding of a larger picture (Reed et al., 2010). From WW2100, then, one way to advance discovery and understanding is to integrate new and traditional sources of knowledge and perspectives. Finally, research products were made for stakeholder engagement events that would not have been made otherwise (Pearson et al., 1997). In this way, stakeholder engagement processes like WW2100 advance science at a quicker pace than might otherwise have been achieved. 94 Table 3.5. Revised broader impact (BI) framework and examples from WW2100 outcomes. BI review criteria Advance discovery and understanding Specifications to criteria Integrate new and traditional sources of knowledge and perspectives Qualitative data “Provided a feedback mechanism on what we’re doing and whether it’s reasonable or not” Quantitative data Process utility Diverse participants are present “I think the diversity is remarkable and respected” Attendance record Diverse participants feel heard “We’re being listened to” Feeling heard Enhance research infrastructure Build new facilities and instrumentation “We’ve built a model” Process utility Develop research community Form and strengthen research partnerships and networks “The most meaningful product of projects like this is the connections between people” Process utility Broad dissemination of results Disseminate results broadly Train stakeholder ambassadors of science “People take the output back to the groups they belong to” Model understanding Benefit society Benefit society Science users believe results will benefit society “It just created a lot more buy-in from the users” Model utility Broaden participation of underrepresented groups Enhance research infrastructure Revised BI review criteria Advance discovery and understanding Broaden participation of underrepresented groups Model understanding 95 WW2100 stakeholder engagement broadened participation of underrepresented groups in research. Survey respondents who participated more in the WW2100 engagement process expressed a greater perception of feeling heard. Overall interviewees expressed gratitude for their level of involvement and the level of respect given to participants. The process was also able to include actors not often associated with scientific research projects like tribal and agricultural representatives. Exchanging ideas with diverse groups to gain new insights and the process that facilitates representation of diverse ideas is valuable (Bartels et al., 2013). Research may broaden participation of underrepresented groups by inviting diverse participants to be present but also by ensuring that their participants feel heard. This element is undocumented in previous literature and should be explored more thoroughly in future studies. Of the five NSF broader impacts review criteria, the one in which WW2100’s stakeholder engagement process was most successful was enhancing research infrastructure. Interviewees shared that they felt the most meaningful product of WW2100 was the network of users, regulators, and researchers that participants were able to form and the discussion that followed around water resources. A social network of stakeholders and researchers can be an essential asset in adapting to future changes by increasing adaptive capacity (Pahl-wostl, 2007), social capital (Leydesdorff & Ward, 2005), and learning (Manring, 2014). Networks achieve this by forming the basis for necessary natural resource conversations. Participants are able to have an open and ongoing dialogue of the tradeoffs (Hildén, 2011). As stakeholders join with researchers to discuss technologies, policies, and worldviews, they build the bridge between various approaches allowing for systems science to respond to wicked problems (Pahl-wostl, 2007; Rittel & Webber, 1973). These process values are positively correlated with participation in WW2100’s stakeholder engagement events. Although forming partnerships fall within the NSF broader impacts criterion “enhance research infrastructure,” the prominence strengthening a research network played in participant evaluations of WW2100’s researcher-stakeholder engagement process leads this study to propose a sixth criterion to NSF’s broader impact criteria: develop research community. Enhancing research infrastructure remains an important criterion as it refers to building new facilities and instrumentation. However, due to the strong emphasis on forming and forming and strengthening relationships, a project may achieve broader impacts through developing the research community within and beyond academia. 96 Stakeholder engagement processes also contribute to broadly disseminating research results. By inviting stakeholders in to the research process, WW2100 researchers built credibility for their tool. It is necessary to create buy-in for decision-support tools to do what they are intended to do (Holman et al., 2008; Tim Lynam et al., 2010). This “live peer review” (Halofsky et al., 2011) or “extended peer review” process “improve[s] the legitimacy, credibility, and relevance of science, especially in the context…where facts are uncertain, values in dispute, stakes high, and decisions urgent” (Johnson, 2011, p. 265). Once stakeholders view the research results as credible, they are more likely to share them with co-workers and apply them in their respective contexts. After one shared learning experience with researchers, stakeholders became “climate change extension agents” (Cohen, 2010). Similarly, WW2100 stakeholders expressed that they would share what they had learned with others beyond the research group. Training stakeholder ambassadors of science will help a project to disseminate its results broadly. The fifth broader impacts criterion, benefit society, is the broadest and perhaps most difficult to define and measure. This study’s results suggest that one way to operationalize this criterion is by ensuring that the users of science believe the research results will benefit society. In WW2100, participant perceptions of the research results utility served as a proxy for how well the research would benefit society. WW2100 interviewees identified how the research results might be useful to them but they were also acutely aware of their limitations. With greater understanding of the science comes greater understanding of its limitations. There may have been unrealistic assumptions (Tim Lynam et al., 2010) or unrealistic demands on the research (Dilling & Lemos, 2011) leading to perceptions of the model’s limitations. However, participants valued the model as a useful way to understand the current processes (Santelmann et al. 2001) and to provide a basis for a discussion on future water resources. As in all other categories, participation in stakeholder engagement events was positively correlated with a perception of the usefulness of the model and its results. Throughout this discussion there is a link between individual participation in researcherstakeholder engagement events and contribution to achieving broader impact goals. Interaction between researchers and science stakeholders can improve understanding of each other (Dilling & Lemos, 2011) and create trust, commitment, arriving at a shared understanding of a problem and its solutions (Sol et al., 2013), and network formation (Mader et al., 2013). One study found that continued and intense interaction between researchers and stakeholders increased the 97 likelihood of research utilization (Landry, Amara, & Lamari, 2001). The degree to which individuals are involved in scientific research ultimately influences project outcomes (Shirk et al., 2012). Participation, then, is a key contributor to any stakeholder engagement-derived project success. As explored above, there are at least five broad categories of broader impact success which may depend on successful stakeholder engagement. Conclusions Researcher-stakeholder engagement processes are an effective method to achieve research broader impacts and to answer wicked natural resource questions now and into the future. This case study reports the perceptions of participants in a researcher-stakeholder engagement process to explore its challenges and impacts as they relate to previous case studies and the NSF broader impacts review criteria. There are a few recommendations for future projects that this study would add to the list of previous lessons learned (Table 3.1). • Host conversations early in the process to arrive at consensus regarding the project’s questions and methods to answer them. • Approach stakeholder engagement seeking to learn and with a willingness to tolerate ambiguity. • Dedicate resources (time, money, personnel) to increasing participation in meaningful stakeholder engagement events. Researcher-stakeholder engagement processes in progress can use these recommendations to guide formative evaluations of their process. Researchers may also utilize the broader impacts review criteria to structure evaluations of their project outcomes. 98 References Auerbach, C. F., & Silverstein, L. B. (2003). Qualitative data: An introduction to coding and analysis. NYU Press. Baker, J. P., Hulse, D. W., Gregory, S. V, White, D., Van Sickle, J., Berger, P. A., … Schumaker, N. H. (2004). 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Environmental Science & Policy, 27(37), 32–54. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2012.10.017 107 CHAPTER 4: RESULTS, DISCUSSION & CONCLUSIONS There is increasing emphasis on transdisciplinary research with stakeholder engagement processes in natural resource research. Multiple case studies incorporate interdisciplinary studies with an element of stakeholder engagement for sustainability (Swart et al., 2004), climate change adaptive management (Cross et al., 2013), decision-support tool development (Holzkämper et al., 2012), and alternative future exploration (Mahmoud et al., 2009). For as many cases as exist to represent the scientific perspective and results, there are less which thoroughly discuss a project’s stakeholder engagement process structure (Lemos & Morehouse, 2006), stakeholder perspective of the process (Kloprogge & van der Sluijs, 2006), or the impacts of collaboration between academic research teams and science stakeholders (Lang et al., 2012; Lautenbach et al., 2009). It is necessary to fill these gaps to improve the researcher-stakeholder interaction in transdisciplinary research projects (Baker et al., 2004). The goals of this study were to characterize a transdisciplinary researcher-stakeholder engagement process to address the gaps in previous reports of stakeholder engagement in natural resource research by asking: 1) Who is participating in the researcher-stakeholder engagement process? 2) What are their motivations and expectations for participating? 3) What are their perceptions of the process? Willamette Water 2100 (WW2100), the chosen case, reflected elements of all previously documented cases of collaborative natural resource research and included a stakeholder engagement process throughout the five year research project. Analyzing this case in this way, this study demonstrates that participants in a researcher-stakeholder engagement process are diverse, representing many organizations and interests. Participants enter the researcherstakeholder engagement process because of different social, knowledge, and tool-seeking motivations and different expectations for it and for its results. As a result, there are different perceptions of the process, different challenges, successes, and impacts reported. Future researcher-stakeholder engagement processes can learn from the experience of WW2100 and develop a process in which boundaries between participants are managed over multiple 108 interactions to facilitate iterative research development and achieve the potential diverse myriad impacts. Who is participating in the researcher-stakeholder engagement process? Participants in the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement processes were numerous and diverse. Depending on the event, 25 to 74 people attended. The composition of participants in any one engagement event was different from that of another engagement event for the same research project. Representation refers to the number of individuals at any one event and to the continuous participation of any one individual. As a university-led researcher project, universities were the most-represented organization, with the most individuals at any given event and continuously attending. Among stakeholders, the most represented groups were government agencies (state, county, federal, and city) and the least represented were the tribes, farmers, watershed councils, and non-profit organizations. Participation is influenced by organizational support. Individuals from organizations which typically support researcher-stakeholder collaboration were able to attend, and continue attending, WW2100 engagement events. One researcher talked about how they could justify attending events “because it could be something they could put on their resume as having done this outreach-y thing.” Similarly, a government agency representative commented: “I do this for a living, right? I go to meetings all day long…We do all this stuff and so we work on these interdisciplinary teams.” University researchers and government agency employees were the most participatory representatives. Institutional support for researcher-stakeholder engagement can lead to greater participation in such events. However, not all participants are supported in this way to attend events and their participation is related to their free time and personal motivation to participate. Unequal support for individuals to attend meetings leads to imbalanced stakeholder participation at events. As one private citizen stakeholder remarked of the stakeholder events: “it’s stacked with people being paid to be there. They’re government employees. How is that representative? [One man] is the farmer and there is no timber person from the private sector. So real stakeholders were not in the room…So for a bunch of them it’s a day off. For [us], it’s a chunk out of our day that we gave to the cause.” 109 Tribal and private industry interests were among the least represented organizations and they receive the least institutional support to attend WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement events. One emergent question, then, is: how can fair and equal representation be achieved in a transdisciplinary research project? Some discussions suggest offering economic incentives to those who are not paid for their time in engagement events. However, this raises still more questions and debate over who deserves compensation, how much, and what is the message to those the project does not pay? Does a project value government agency participation less because these representatives are not compensated by the project? Should participants traveling greater distances to attend receive greater compensation? Rather than reconcile these questions, it is better to focus on what draws participants to a project beyond economic incentive. Not all WW2100 participants were paid to be there, and even those that were expressed motivations to participate beyond the basic work day. What about this project attracted individuals to participate in the first place and then, what led them to continue participating? Future projects can look to WW2100 participant motivations to encourage and maintain participation throughout a project for diverse and representative stakeholder and researcher participation. What are participants’ motivations and expectations in participating? Just as participants represented diverse interests, they were motivated to participate for diverse reasons and held distinct expectations for their roles, the process, and the project’s results. In the survey of all WW2100 participants, concern for future water availability, professional relevance, and the search for new tools to address water scarcity were the most highly rated reasons participants attended events. However, the highest rated reason in the survey was “other.” Respondents who marked this could then clarify what exactly motivated them to become involved. Coupled with the semi-structured interview data, these open-ended responses fall into three motivation categories: seeking knowledge, the promise of the research products or for social reasons. These categories are not necessarily distinct from the suggested motivations in the survey. Concern for future water availability and professional relevance can be connected to the motivation of seeking knowledge, and new tools are linked to the promised research products category. The social motivation options were not present in the survey instrument and so do not 110 have a survey corollary, but they include: collaboration and invitation, knowledge about the topic of interest or to inform other projects, and for reaching broader audiences with the alternative futures modeling tool produced by the project. The three motivation categories identified in this study fit well within three of four motivation categories identified by Rotman et al. (2012) in a study of online citizen science engagement participants. Seeking knowledge and research products falls within the “egoism” category where an individual is motivated to participate because it will be beneficial to that individual. The social motivations identified in this study fit well within the collectivism and altruism motivations identified by Rotman et al. (2012). Scientists and stakeholders are motivated to engage with each other in research because they see a mutual benefit (collaboration/collectivism) and/or because they believe they can help the other (invitation/altruism). Participants were motivated to participate in the project by what they could gain personally and professionally. Participants were also motivated to participate in the project by what they could give personally and professionally. The collectivistic and altruistic motivations of WW2100 participants are exemplified in the expectations participants held for the process and their own roles within it. Participants expected that the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process would provide an opportunity to share what they know, to work with others in and outside of their fields, and to learn. All participants expected that they would play a role to contribute to the research in some way. Stakeholders were expected to provide a “boots-on-the-ground” perspective and evaluate scenario assumptions while research team members were expected to interpret model outputs and develop pieces of the model. In general, these contributory expectations for individuals were met to varying degrees throughout the process. The egoistic motivations of WW2100 participants were also exemplified in their expectations for the research process and its results. Survey respondents reported that they expected the process to be an opportunity to satisfy their curiosity, to build an integrated model of water in the Willamette Valley, and to produce results which are relevant to their jobs and which contribute to science. As with the collectivistic and altruistic-driven expectations, these egoistic-driven motivations were met to varying degrees by the WW2100 research process. WW2100 participants were not a homogenous group of individuals with identical expectations for each other’s roles. There was a significant difference between the roles research 111 team members were expected to fulfill and the roles stakeholders were expected to fulfill. As leaders of the project, research team members were expected to fulfill all suggested roles except for providing a “boots-on-the-ground” perspective. Stakeholders, on the other hand, were expected to provide feedback and communicate results rather than participate in the tasks directly associated with the research process. In similar projects stakeholders were commonly expected to contribute knowledge (Johnson, 2011) and fill data gaps (Sheppard et al., 2011) in what can be called a “contributory” rather than a “collaborative” process (Shirk et al., 2012). Exceeding their expectations, participants reported that stakeholders in fact developed pieces of the model and wrote reports, shifting the project from the expected “contributory” process and into the realm of “collaboration” or “co-creation” (Shirk et al., 2012). Not all WW2100 expectations were exceeded or met. One expectation, to have frequent interaction with stakeholders, was not met by the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process. This could be indicative of very high expectations for interaction with stakeholders or it could indicate that the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process could have coordinated more interactive events and facilitated them in a way to promote greater researcherstakeholder interaction. Participant expectations for the resulting WW2100 model reflect the typical researcherstakeholder engagement goals: outcomes for research, outcomes for individuals, and outcomes for social-ecological systems (i.e. influencing policies) (Shirk et al., 2012). Participants expected that the resulting model would be an accurate representation of water in the Willamette Valley, that the model would contribute to science, and that it would provide results useful to their jobs. All participants agreed that the model met these expectations but to a degree significantly less than was expected. As the leaders of the project inviting the stakeholders in (Lang et al., 2012), research team members generally held higher expectations for the process, their own role within it, and the results than the stakeholders. When the different expected roles blur, as they did in WW2100, and when the same project elements are expected but to different degrees, conflict may arise as a result of the differing methodological and quality standards (Daniell et al., 2010; Lang et al., 2012). Stakeholders may develop ideas for what an engagement process can do for them (Daniell et al., 2010) which may influence their perceptions of the resulting model (Becu et al., 2008). Potential conflicts can be avoided by hosting early engagement meetings which focus on 112 developing shared expectations for the process, its results, and each other’s roles within it (Tim Lynam et al., 2010). Understanding motivations and expectations for participation in researcher-stakeholder engagement projects is important not only to avoid conflict but also to improve the results produced and the likelihood for current and future participation. Universities are viewed increasingly as development hubs (Hansen & Lehmann, 2006). Although researchers tend to emphasize the contributions of their research to science through publications, stakeholders require increased applied research in natural resource management (Johnson, 2011). In order to address the needs and expectations of participating groups, it must first understand them. When a project allows participants to meet their needs and expectations, they are more likely to participate again (Eccles & Wigfield, 2002). What are participants’ perceptions of the process? Semi-structured interviews and an online survey documented WW2100 participants’ “en route” reflection (Daniell et al., 2010) on the challenges of the project, the impact it has had, and how the researcher-stakeholder engagement process structure can contribute to a successful experience. Challenges This study identified four overarching challenges to the WW2100 transdisciplinary research project including the lack of a shared vision, interdisciplinary challenges, research complexity, and project management challenges. Examples of these types of challenges are characterized in similar case studies (ex. Lemos & Morehouse, 2006) which offer suggestions to avoid or overcome these challenges in “lessons learned” sections (ex. Lang et al., 2012). The most prevalent challenge to WW2100 and frequently mentioned in the literature is the challenge a project faces when it does not have a shared vision. The participation of diverse actors with diverse experiences can lead to a project with diverse visions for what the project will achieve and the method to achieve it. Transdisciplinary research requires a common goal and plan (Pahl-wostl, Craps, et al., 2007); without these elements, there will be conflict (Lang et al., 2012), distrust, and resistance to new ideas (Manring, 2014). In WW2100, the lack of a shared 113 vision was caused by different experiences, research and stakeholder engagement philosophies, and an unclear research proposal. When participants sought to realize their different visions, they came into conflict with each other over whether the research should produce publications or an accessible tool, at the sub-basin or regional scale, and if the model was producing projections or exploring different planning scenarios. Research team members conflicted over when and how to involve stakeholders based on their philosophies, previous experience, and research goals. Interviewees detailed these conflicts and suggested that if there had been an initial meeting or series of meetings to clarify goals and arrive at a consensus over a shared vision, there would have been much less confusion and conflict. Researchers in previous studies also came to this conclusion as one of their lessons learned (Dewulf et al., 2007; Fuller, 2011; Halofsky et al., 2011; Kearney et al., 2007; Lang et al., 2012; Lautenbach et al., 2009; Lemos & Morehouse, 2006; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Matso & Becker, 2014; Sol et al., 2013). This study offers the novel finding that when there is a lack of shared vision among research team members, it is reflected in the stakeholder engagement process. Stakeholder participants are either confused about the project goals and feel that they missed something, perceive the resulting conflict among research team members, or find themselves in conflict with other participants as well. Therefore, not only should there be a meeting among research team members to establish goals and methods, but there should be a meeting among all participants to confirm the vision for the project. Arriving at a shared goal is one challenge that can be categorized among many interdisciplinary challenges that a transdisciplinary project may encounter. WW2100 participants also shared that communication across disciplines and the time it required was a challenge. A study on water and agricultural collaboration in the Everglades found that there was a greater difference in perspectives among scientists of different disciplines than between scientists and lay stakeholders (Fuller, 2011). The meaning of a common issue or concept may not be selfevident (Dewulf et al., 2007) and is thus determined by an individual’s training and experience, which in interdisciplinary research, varies. WW2100 devoted a half-day workshop, multiple meetings, and a publication to define its key term “water scarcity.” Less time was dedicated to define what “stakeholder engagement” or “future water modeling” meant. Different understandings of concepts can make cooperation difficult (Fuller, 2011). Just as with arriving at a shared vision, arriving at a shared language requires time, patience, and a willingness to learn. 114 One challenge unique to WW2100 was the overwhelming complexity of the transdisciplinary research task. According to the project website, the research team objectives were to: identify and quantify the linkages and feedbacks among human, hydrologic, and ecologic dimensions of the water system, make projections about where and when human activities and climate change will impact future water scarcities, evaluate how alternative scenarios affect future water scarcities, and develop transferable tools and methods for projecting water scarcities and modeling policy alternatives (OSU Institute for Water and Watersheds, 2015). WW2100 was a project with broad goals to accurately and precisely characterize a widely used natural resource over a vast region and across a long expanse of time. Interviewees shared that it was challenging to characterize such a broad region and to imagine what the climate, political and otherwise, would look like in 85 years. Projects with smaller aims (geographically, temporally, disciplinarily) have encountered research challenges which would only be amplified in the upscaled process (ex. Hulse & Gregory, 2001; Mackenzie et al., 2012; Santelmann et al., 2001). A complex research topic is accompanied by the challenge of complex project management. The large study area and the need to represent many hydrological, ecological, economical, and political processes require the participation of many researchers and stakeholders (Mahmoud et al., 2009). With a high number of participants, the probability for personality differences increases. The amount of time and resources required to coordinate researcher-stakeholder engagement events also increases (Baker et al., 2004; Mackenzie et al., 2012). WW2100 participants were often unable to attend events or respond to e-mails due to their busy schedules. Engagement event dynamics shifted as the composition of participants shifted which made project continuity a challenge. Managing project logistics becomes more challenging as the study area, number of researchers, and number of stakeholders increase. The resources devoted to the project should increase accordingly. Successes and Impacts WW2100 participants identified three types of success which resulted from the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process: research success, process success, and personal success. Previous work has identified a dichotomy between what can be considered traditional measures of research success and “alternative measures of success” in transdisciplinary projects. 115 Scientists in collaborative projects may focus on publications and contributing to long-lasting science while industry members may celebrate a study’s contribution to management (Johnson, 2011; Mackenzie et al., 2012). Others claim that the collaborative design experience itself may be more important than the research result and so is an alternative measure of success (Lautenbach et al., 2009). A project resulting in new relationships among participants, improved communication, accessible knowledge, useful tools, behavior change, or specific societal outcomes can also be considered successful (Baker et al., 2004; Dilling & Lemos, 2011; Lienert et al., 2006). The traditional/alternative success dichotomy was only partially present in WW2100 as represented by the research and process success categories. Both research team members and stakeholders celebrated the project’s peer-reviewed publications and practical applications. Both groups expressed the success of engaging in a project with each other, developing relationships and participating in a rich discussion about a shared resource. When asked to speak on the successes of the project, every individual interviewed emphasized that he or she had learned something. Learning is an important element of the other two forms of success and can be a success in and of itself. Learning may also be a necessary intermediary between direct effects of a project and its broader impacts. In WW2100, social learning took place as individuals experienced a change in understanding within and beyond the individual through an interactive process (Reed et al., 2010). Social learning can provide impacts beyond the process which led to it. Social learning supports resilience and adaptive capacity (Tim Lynam et al., 2010; Manring, 2014) and is “inextricably bound to action” (Stubbs & Lemon, 2001,p. 333). In addition to the research success and process success, this third category of success can extend a project’s impact. By creating successes like those above, stakeholder engagement in scientific research can overcome science integration barriers and lead to science-driven decisions and action toward conservation, resilience, and sustainability (Shirk et al., 2012). Each case in the literature reflects on potential impacts of its project (Baker et al., 2004; Cash et al., 2003; Holman et al., 2008; Holzkämper et al., 2012; Tim Lynam et al., 2010), however, it is difficult to measure the impact of stakeholder engagement in scientific research without an impending action decision. This study places the outcomes reported by WW2100 interviewees and survey respondents in the context of the NSF Broader Impact as a framework for evaluating the impacts of stakeholder engagement. 116 The impacts of the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process provide specific examples for achieving NSF’s five broader impacts review criteria and suggest the creation of an emerging sixth criterion (Table 4.1). As a result of its stakeholder engagement process, WW2100 met each of the original five review criteria to some degree. Stakeholder engagement in WW2100 contributed to advancing scientific discovery and understanding by directly influencing the research, facilitating learning, and by pushing to achieve research deadlines. Stakeholders provided researchers feedback on questions, model assumptions, output metrics, scenarios, and interpretations in a way that would not have been achieved otherwise. In other cases stakeholders have helped to define process components, methods, design elements, output indicators, and outcome plausibility (Holman et al., 2008; Mahmoud et al., 2009). Learning is of key importance in meeting this criterion as well, and, as was discussed previously, every interviewee expressed that they had learned something. It is impossible to advance science and understanding without learning in the process. Finally, in preparation for stakeholder engagement events, research products were made that would not have been produced otherwise (Pearson et al., 1997) and at a faster pace. WW2100 research-stakeholder engagement contributed to advancing scientific discovery an understanding by providing an opportunity to integrate new and traditional sources of knowledge and perspectives. The WW2100 stakeholder engagement process also contributed to enhancing research infrastructure. Interviewees shared that the most meaningful product for them was the network of users, regulators, and researchers that formed and the water resources discussion that took place within it. Networks, which provide a platform for necessary natural resource conversations, are essential for adapting to future changes (Pahl-wostl, Craps, et al., 2007). They increase learning (Manring, 2014), social capital (Leydesdorff & Ward, 2005), and adaptive capacity (Pahl-wostl, 2007) by allowing for an ongoing transparent dialogue of resource management tradeoffs (Hildén, 2011). Building and strengthening a network of users, regulators, and researchers was positively correlated with participation for researchers and stakeholders engaging in WW2100. As researchers and stakeholders join together to discuss technologies, policies, and beliefs, they build the infrastructure required for systems science to respond to wicked problems (Pahl-wostl, 2007; Rittel & Webber, 1973). Although forming partnerships fall within the NSF broader impact criterion “enhance research infrastructure,” the prominence strengthening a research network played in participant 117 evaluations of WW2100’s researcher-stakeholder engagement process leads this study to propose a sixth criterion to NSF’s broader impact criteria: develop research community. Enhancing research infrastructure remains an important criterion as it refers to building new facilities and instrumentation. However, due to the strong emphasis on forming and forming and strengthening relationships, a project may achieve broader impacts through developing the research community within and beyond academia. The WW2100 stakeholder engagement process contributed to broadly disseminating its research results. By inviting stakeholders into the research process, WW2100 researchers built credibility for their tool. Before stakeholders accept or share research findings with others, they must believe that they are legitimate, credible, and relevant to their work (Cash et al., 2003; Johnson, 2011). Researcher-stakeholder engagement can be a “live peer review” (Halofsky et al., 2011) which can lead to improved credibility and legitimacy for decision-support tools (Holman et al., 2008; Tim Lynam et al., 2010). When participants perceive research results as credible, they are more likely to share them with co-workers and apply them in their respective contexts. WW2100 interviewees were sharing what they were learning with their co-workers throughout the project and stated that they would be “ambassadors” for the project when it produced final results. Training stakeholder ambassadors of science will help a project to disseminate its results broadly. Broader participation of underrepresented groups in scientific research is an NSF review criterion not documented in previous cases of stakeholder engagement. The WW2100 stakeholder engagement process was able to include participants not often associated with scientific research projects like tribal and agricultural representatives. One agricultural interviewee remarked: “we’ve had many researchers through the years come out to look at different things and never been questioned about environmental things… the ag community, we’re a pretty small number of people.” Interviewees also applauded the process for achieving the participation of busy political representatives. As the participation data show, however, the WW2100’s representation of underrepresented groups was imperfect. Some perspectives were missing, others were underrepresented, and others were simply less salient. Still, representing diverse perspectives on an issue is valuable in natural resource research and can lead to new insights (Bartels et al., 2013). This broader impact element should continue to be explored. 118 Research, then, may broaden participation of underrepresented groups by inviting diverse participants to attend but also by ensuring that participants feel heard. The broadest, and perhaps most difficult to measure, broader impacts criterion is whether or not the research benefits society. This study’s results suggest that one way to operationalize this criterion is by ensuring that the users of science believe the research results will benefit society. In WW2100, the perceived model utility and its results can indicate the benefit of this research to society. First, through the researcher-stakeholder engagement process, stakeholders were able to direct researchers towards results that they would find useful. Stakeholders defined scenarios to answer questions they found relevant. Through the process, participants gained a greater understanding of the model and its limitations. There may have been unrealistic assumptions going into the model (Tim Lynam et al., 2010) or unrealistic demands on the research (Dilling & Lemos, 2011) which contributed to perceptions of the model’s limitations. Still, WW2100 interviewees identified ways in which the research results could be useful to understand the current processes (Santelmann et al., 2001) and to provide a basis for future water resources discussion. Survey respondents agreed that the model was useful for resource managers, policy makers, water users and researchers. Defined in this way, the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process contributed to scientific research which benefits society. There was a significant correlation between an individual’s participation in researcherstakeholder engagement events and the degree to which that individual perceived the project’s impacts. A high level of participation may be key to achieving broader impacts through researcher-stakeholder engagement. Alternatively, individuals who participated more may have done so because they already valued the process and its outcomes. It is impossible to identify the causative agent from this data – whether greater participation led to a greater perceived degree of WW2100 impacts or if valuing the project to a great degree led participants to increase participation. Still, that participation and perceived project impacts correlate and interact is noteworthy for future researcher-stakeholder engagement efforts. Interaction between researchers and science stakeholders can improve understanding of one another (Dilling & Lemos, 2011), create trust, commitment, and shared understanding of a problem and its solutions (Sol et al., 2013). The degree to which individuals are involved in scientific research ultimately influences a project’s outcomes (Shirk et al., 2012). 119 Table 4.1. Revised broader impact (BI) framework and examples from WW2100 outcomes. BI review criteria Advance discovery and understanding Specifications to criteria Integrate new and traditional sources of knowledge and perspectives Qualitative data “Provided a feedback mechanism on what we’re doing and whether it’s reasonable or not” Quantitative data Process utility Diverse participants are present “I think the diversity is remarkable and respected” Attendance record Diverse participants feel heard “We’re being listened to” Feeling heard Enhance research infrastructure Build new facilities and instrumentation “We’ve built a model” Model utility Develop research community Form and strengthen research partnerships and networks “The most meaningful product of projects like this is the connections between people” Process utility Broad dissemination of results Disseminate results broadly Train stakeholder ambassadors of science “People take the output back to the groups they belong to” Model understanding Benefit society Benefit society Science users believe results will benefit society “It just created a lot more buy-in from the users” Model utility Broaden participation of underrepresented groups Enhance research infrastructure Revised BI review criteria Advance discovery and understanding Broaden participation of underrepresented groups Model understanding 120 “Mere involvement of outside actors does not yet stipulate a system of equal or adequate representation” (Lengwiler, 2008, p. 16) Engagement Process Structure to achieve impacts Participation in the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process was important for achieving scientific broader impacts. WW2100 utilized multiple engagement formats over five years organized by a team dedicated to facilitating researcher-stakeholder interaction. Given its successful outcomes, the WW2100 process may serve as a model for how to structure future engagement processes. WW2100 provided many opportunities for researcher-stakeholder interaction by coordinating multiple events of various formats continuously over the five year study period. One study found that continued and intense interaction between researchers and stakeholders increased the likelihood of research utilization (Landry et al., 2001). In WW2100 there were formal interactions in the form of first year field trips, annual large group workshops, and monthly small group workshops in the last project year. Interviewees identified two or three phases of the stakeholder engagement process based on their perceptions of what the goals of these processes were. One stakeholder summarized and reflected on the phases in this way: “they all three deliver different things. I think the middle phase was informational. They were just letting us know what they’d been working on. The beginning phase was just really getting started building the relationships, getting to know the whole concept, why are we doing this and what’s important to think about. And then by the end, the third phase was much more specific about these…are the actual numbers or the actual things that we’re putting into the model and from my perspective, to make it as realistic as possible, the third phase was the most important. And I would say honestly, I think there could have been more of that directly facilitated scientists and stakeholders and what should go into the model runs discussion earlier.” Each type of interaction was valuable for the goal it intended to achieve. Field trips served to connect participants to each other through the shared experience of exploring the study area. Annual large group meetings in years 2-4 informed stakeholders of the progress the research team was making and allowed for stakeholder feedback on the modeling. In year 5, a small group met monthly to develop stakeholder scenarios and to hold more in-depth discussions about the details of the model that had been developed. 121 As the forum for interaction varied, so too did the interactive activities within them. Each event was between a half-day and a full day long and typically consisted of plenary presentations from research team leaders, short oral presentations or poster presentations from research team members, and opportunities for stakeholder feedback through facilitated discussions, interactive posters, and informal conversations. Of one plenary presentation in a large group meeting one stakeholder said: “It was more of a presentation style in an auditorium so it wasn't designed where they were requesting a lot of dialogue.” During the presentation portions, there was no real opportunity to interact and connect with each other. Research members spoke more favorably of the poster sessions and focus groups: “We had poster sessions and presented our preliminary results to the stakeholders and answered questions. And that one was useful to me because there were folks…there who asked some good questions.” “I think the most effective one was when we had the facilitated sessions.” Huntington et al. (2002) found that presentations and project graphics, as in WW2100 plenary presentations and poster sessions, contribute to a sense of formality and inhibit discussion. Whereas breakout sessions, like the WW2100 facilitated sessions, promote participant interaction and generate ideas (Halofsky et al., 2011). WW2100 also utilized less formal outreach and engagement methods throughout the research process including newsletters, a project website, and personal communication. As members of the project mailing list, participants in WW2100 received e-mails from the project team regarding updates and news stories on the topic of interest. On the project website, researchers and stakeholders can access an overview description of the project and get to know the research team members and the water model. They may also access educational webinars, slides from previous workshop presentations, newsletters and research publications resulting from research, and a “frequently asked questions” page developed as a result of one workshop’s feedback. There were also numerous personal correspondences among participants. Research team members may have solicited specific information from one known source to inform the model or stakeholders may have wanted to provide extensive feedback without sidetracking a large group meeting. These conversations occurred on the telephone, over e-mail, and over meals. When asked how important the various WW2100 activities were to engaging stakeholders in scientific research, survey respondents considered small group workshops, 122 personal communication, and field trips to be the most important. Interviewees agreed, commenting more positively on the field trips and small group workshops than the large group workshops (Figure 4.1). These formats more effectively facilitated the researcher-stakeholder interaction by providing, as one stakeholder put it, “face time not meaning necessarily person to person but more interaction among people that were working on individual pieces of the project with stakeholders.” Workshops improve communication and collaboration between holders of different kinds of knowledge (Huntington et al., 2002) but only if they are small enough. Kloprogge & van der Sluijs (2006) found that 25-30 is the optimal number of people to get the maximum number of ideas and that was the number of participants in WW2100’s small group workshops. Contrarily, the least important activities for engaging stakeholders in science according to survey respondents were large group workshops, webinars, and newsletters. These activities more often reflect one-way communication. In large groups, it was difficult to have the conversations stakeholders wanted due to the prevalence of plenary talks and the auditoriumstyle setting. Cross et al. (2013) suggest that no more than one quarter of an event’s schedule should be designated to one-way presentations like these. Similarly, webinars and newsletters share important information but do not provide the give and take that is needed for stakeholder engagement. These elements, however, should not be discarded entirely from a process. Interviewees shared that these activities were valuable to gather important information and proceed in the project. “It was great, really informative to me to know what the overall inputs to the model were going to be, what the expected outputs were going to be.” “And if anything it helped to say, hey, maybe we need to have that follow-up conversation or we need to meet separately or something.” 123 Figure 4.1. Timeline of stakeholder engagement events and positive and negative perceptions of these events. Stakeholder engagement events are represented by blue boxes and positive and negative perceptions by green and red boxes, respectively. Location on the y-axis was determined by calculating the difference between positive and negative perception ratios drawn from interviews. A ratio/location nearer to 1 indicates that event was spoken of more positively than negatively by interviewed subjects. What unites the three most important activities is the potential they raised for the WW2100 research process to be iterative. Among the lessons learned from several sustainability, climate change adaptive management, decision-support tool construction, and alternative future exploration studies is the need for an iterative research process (Dilling & Lemos, 2011; Halofsky et al., 2011; Holman et al., 2008; Lang et al., 2012; Swart et al., 2004; Voinov & Bousquet, 2010). Iterative processes can create relationships between scientific and decisionmaking processes (Lemos & Morehouse, 2006) and then customize knowledge to meet stakeholder needs and uncover new uses for science (Dilling & Lemos, 2011). However, the engagement process structure can only open the door to iterativity, for it also depends on the nature of the problem being addressed and the ability and willingness of participants to engage with each other. It also depends on individual participants’ disciplinary and personal flexibility 124 and a project’s resource availability and allocation (Lemos & Morehouse, 2006). For example, iterative processes are time-intensive, suggesting that a project wishing to engage stakeholders in an iterative process should begin early and host events often. Small group workshops and personal communication between researchers and stakeholders are opportunities for an iterative research process to unfold. Such opportunities were the product of extensive planning and coordination performed by the WW2100 Broader Impacts Team. Stakeholder engagement in WW2100 was more effective because of the efforts of what can be considered a boundary spanning team (Turnhout, Stuiver, Klostermann, Harms, & Leeuwis, 2013). The Broader Impacts Team (BIT), as part of the research team, fulfilled the role of facilitator and worked towards smooth boundary crossings between the disciplinary science cultures and the diverse stakeholder cultures (Aikenhead, 2001). They coordinated and orchestrated all of the engagement events and crafted written communications between groups. The BIT often held meetings with researchers and stakeholder and encouraged both sides to be more transparent in their language and objectives. As one stakeholder noted: “If [the BIT] hadn’t been involved, there would have been no public input at all. I’m convinced of that.” As boundary spanners, the BIT was integral to WW2100’s stakeholder engagement process and contributed greatly to its success. The concept of a boundary spanner is present in much of the collaborative management, transdisciplinary research, and participatory governance literature. Any time there are representatives from distinct groups coming together, there is need in a project for a boundary spanner. Boundary spanners facilitate the integration of different knowledge types (Robinson & Wallington, 2012), reduce conflict, and create buy-in (Johnson, 2011). Boundary spanners can fulfill this role informally as a participant (Freitag, 2014) or formally on the project team to serve this function (Matso & Becker, 2014). One research team member described a boundary spanner saying, “And you need someone comfortable moving across fields and has experience with that, definitely helps. It couldn't hurt.” The BIT was formally responsible for facilitating the researcher-stakeholder interaction in WW2100. A dedicated boundary spanning team facilitated engaging interaction between researchers and stakeholders through multiple methods and frequent events over the five year project period. Small group workshops, personal communication, and field trips were considered the most important engagement activities by participants while large group meetings, webinars, and 125 newsletters were the least important. The Broader Impacts Team, with project support, facilitated iterative, cross-cultural interactions which contributed to stakeholder engagement success. Limitations There are limitations and emergent areas for future research that result from any study. One of the major limitations of this study is the potential for bias. Efforts were made to reduce bias through triangulation. Multiple methods were employed for methodological triangulation, a variety of data sources were used for data triangulation, and several researchers analyzed the same data for investigator triangulation (Creswell, 2003). Combining objective attendance data and quantitative survey results with the qualitative semi-structured interview codes allowed for robust and illuminating results. For example, subjects in the semi-structured interview may have been biased to express what they perceived to be the socially desirable response to questions (Vaske, 2008). This social desirability bias was reduced by using an anonymous online survey for methodological triangulation. Similarly, survey respondents may have recall bias (Patton, 2002) when asked to consider their expectations prior to participating in the process five years ago. Through semi-structured interviews, the researcher could gauge the certainty with which subjects expressed their expectations which aided data interpretation. Finally, the objective measures of participation were, in fact, biased to measure only participation in formal events. Through the survey, the researcher was able to obtain a self-reported measure of participation in less formal engagement activities such as e-mail and phone conversations. Of course, to provide a fuller characterization of the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement project, it would have been better to survey and/or interview all participants. This study was limited by time, resources, and subjects’ willingness to participate. Not all WW2100 participants wanted to be interviewed or completed the survey. Although the results of this study may not be generalizable to all transdisciplinary studies, it is generalizable to the participant experience in WW2100. Furthermore, lessons learned from the WW2100 case can be transferred to projects with similar goals and challenges. The freedom of the exploratory research design allowed the researcher to focus this report on the issues that were salient to the broader groups of participants. However, some themes emerged from the semi-structured interviews which future studies may be able to explore further. Many participants compared their experience in WW2100 to previous experience that 126 may or may not have been similar to the project of interest. How does previous experience with engagement impact future engagement projects? Interviewees also discussed how they preferred to receive scientific results and emphasized the need for strong leadership in transdisciplinary projects. Similarly, several elements of the survey instrument remain unexplored. Future studies can continue to compare researcher-stakeholder responses to various items and relate participation in specific events to the level of importance ascribed to each event. Finally, this report provides an overview of the challenges and successes of one case. Future studies could take a closer look at each one for a deeper understanding of these phenomena across cases. Recommendations Based on the experiences of researchers and stakeholders in the WW2100 engagement process, this study offers some recommendations for researchers and stakeholders who engage with one another in future projects. • Explore and understand the motivations and expectations of participants early or even prior to engagement to ensure that their expectations can be met or at least managed before the hopes get too high. • Hold early meetings to establish shared goals, methods, and understandings of key concepts. • Explore a geographic and temporal range that suits the shared research question and interested stakeholders. No need to build a regional model if the questions are at the subbasin level. • Stakeholder engagement is time and resource intensive. Plan accordingly. • Include small group workshops and field trips in the formal stakeholder engagement structure. • Encourage professional researcher-stakeholder relationships. Bartels et al. (2013) recommend pairing scientists and stakeholders by expertise. 127 Conclusions This research characterizes one case of a transdisciplinary research project. Who is participating, their motivations for being there, and their expectations contribute to the challenges and successes of the process. This research also provides a framework for evaluating future engagement process impacts. Three main conclusions are drawn from this study. 1. Processes can be improved by understanding diverse participant motivations and expectations early in the project so that work can begin to arrive at a common vision for how the project will proceed. 2. A formal team to facilitate stakeholder engagement process makes a more effective stakeholder engagement process. 3. 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What has been your involvement with the science-stakeholder engagement process? a. How have you participated in the LAN? b. Why have you continued to participate or stopped participating? c. What do you see your role as in this project? d. How do you contribute to the study? 2. Why are you involved professionally involved in WW2100? 3. What were your expectations coming in to the project? a. Have they been met? b. What do you think has helped or hindered the meeting of your expectations? 4. What has been the biggest challenge and/or success you have observed during this process? a. To what do you attribute it? b. How was success achieved or a challenge overcome in your opinion? 5. Are you satisfied with the results of the project as you see them? a. How? b. What are situations where you may already be using the results? 6. How might your participation in WW2100 have impacted the way you perform your job? a. Has your professional network changed as a result of participation? 7. What do you think about this project’s engagement process in comparison to other scientific research you have been a part of or utilized? 138 Appendix B. Survey Instrument and Results Thank you for participating in the Willamette Water 2100 (WW2100) Learning and Action Network (LAN) researcher-stakeholder engagement survey. Your responses will help identify future pathways and barriers to successful collaborative research and its applications. Your responses will be kept confidential and there are no risks to you in participating in this survey. Your name will not be associated with your responses and your privacy will be protected to the maximum extent allowable by law. Your anonymous response to this survey and any of the questions is completely voluntary. You indicate your voluntary agreement to participate by completing and returning the survey. Some parts of this questionnaire may look familiar as the questions come from surveys conducted early in the WW2100 project. This is part of the research design and we ask that you answer these questions again. If you have any questions about this project, please feel free to e-mail Laura Ferguson at fergusla@onid.oregonstate.edu. The questionnaire should take approximately 30 minutes to complete. Please do so at your earliest convenience. It is only with your generous help that our research can be successful. Thank you for your time and consideration. 1. In the Willamette Water 2100 Project, I was a... (Please select one) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 Answer Research Team Member (Principal Investigator) Research Team Member (Contracted) Student Stakeholder (Technical Advisory Group Member) Stakeholder (General) Other (Please specify) Total Response % 17 13% 13 10% 9 7% 28 22% 40 23 130 31% 18% 100% 2. In what professional capacity are you acting in the Willamette Water 2100 project? (Please select one) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Answer Water resources planner Water resources engineer Water resources regulator Water resource policy staff Irrigation district manager Policy maker Fisheries biologist Hydrologist Water utilities manager Educator Environmental NGO staff Agriculture Other Total Response 15 7 6 3 0 13 3 10 8 14 5 8 34 126 % 12% 6% 5% 2% 0% 10% 2% 8% 6% 11% 4% 6% 27% 100% 139 3. I work in the ..... area of the Willamette Basin. (Please select one) # 1 2 3 0 Answer Lower (Clackamas, Tualatin, Portland Metro) Middle (Corvallis, Albany, Salem) Upper (Eugene and surrounding tributaries) I do not work in the Willamette Valley Total Response % 33 27% 55 44% 28 23% 8 6% 124 100% 4. Use the slider to indicate the percentage of the available water each sector currently uses in your opinion. (Select a percentage for each item) # Answer 1 2 3 4 Municipal Agriculture Industry Recreation Energy Production Fish and Wildlife 5 6 Average Value Standard Deviation Responses 14.82 21.33 12.92 17.64 118 118 117 105 90.00 16.66 17.68 110 100.00 25.24 26.58 112 Min Value Max Value 2.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 85.00 86.00 73.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 19.57 50.19 14.39 15.50 140 5. To what extent do you disagree or agree with each of the following statements? (Check one item for each statement) # 1 2 3 4 Question Currently, the Willamette Valley has enough water for human and ecological needs. In 10 years, the Willamette Valley will have enough water for human and ecological needs. In 50 years, the Willamette Valley will have enough water for human and ecological needs. In 100 years, the Willamette Valley will have enough water for human and ecological needs. Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Total Responses Mean 3 25 11 63 16 118 3.54 8 35 20 48 7 118 3.09 29 36 32 19 3 119 2.42 39 34 30 14 1 118 2.19 Strongly Disagree 141 6. Currently, how much risk does each of the following pose to Oregon's water quantity? (Check one item for each statement) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Question Agricultural practices (e.g. irrigation) Forestry practices (e.g. timber harvest) Hydroelectric dams Drought Conditions Climate Change Population Growth Water privatization Industry Private Wells Historical appropriation of water (e.g. water rights) Appropriation towards habitat and ecological needs No Risk Minor Risk Moderate Risk High Risk Total Responses Mean 6 24 56 31 117 2.96 15 59 37 6 117 2.29 26 57 24 8 115 2.12 0 7 40 70 117 3.54 0 13 46 58 117 3.38 1 23 46 46 116 3.18 17 45 36 16 114 2.45 12 16 67 60 29 33 6 6 114 115 2.25 2.25 9 38 48 22 117 2.71 26 52 32 7 117 2.17 142 7. Currently, how much risk does each of the following pose to Oregon's water quality? (Check one item for each statement) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Question Agricultural practices (e.g. irrigation) Forestry practices (e.g. timber harvest) Hydroelectric dams Drought Conditions Climate Changes Population Growth Water privatization Industry Private Wells Historical appropriation of water (e.g. water rights) Appropriation towards habitat and ecological needs No Risk Minor Risk Moderate Risk High Risk Total Responses Mean 3 11 45 53 112 3.32 4 19 53 36 112 3.08 15 49 41 7 112 2.36 2 22 48 40 112 3.13 2 19 56 35 112 3.11 2 17 50 43 112 3.20 23 62 16 10 111 2.12 5 23 30 71 55 14 22 4 112 112 2.84 1.99 24 48 31 8 111 2.21 73 25 11 4 113 1.52 143 8. Besides employment, list up to five characteristics of the Willamette Valley that you value, and make it a place that you want to live. (Type your answer below) Text Response access to natural areas, clean air, clean water, access to rural areas, access to mountains, access to coast Relatively unpolluted environment, access to the outdoors, recreation opportunities, wildlife watching, good food. Nature, opportunities Mixed land uses Open spaces Good quality of life The river Proximity to ocean. Proximity to mountains. Moderate to progressive political climate. Climate Population's overall respect to others and the environment Ecological quality, moderate climate, available water, positive citizenship Swimmable, fishable, canoeable/kayakable Temperate climate, proximity to outdoor recreation areas, open spaces, home to listed species, beautiful, productive land, cheap power, flood control provided Recreation, wildlife, fisheries, aesthetics, agriculture, forestry, Managed urban growth (could be better/stronger) Recreation and outdoors, seasonality, sustainability ethic great climate, scenic beauty, amazing supply of fresh food, outstanding growing conditions, fairly well-educated and enlightened populations (compared with much of the rest of the world, Scenery, diverse agriculture, locally grown produce, wineries, access to recreational opportunities. scenic beauty, healthy food sources, access to fresh waterways, access to Pacific Ocean, native cultural heritage Proximity to resource areas, mtn,ocean, ect. Climate available resources recreational opportunities Clean air and water access to outdoor activities the people It's historic land use laws that have kept agriculture a prominent part of the landscape and economy. It isn't too crowded (yet). The mild weather (excluding Nov - Apr). Growing conditions, local food, beauty, educated populace, water availability Diversity of land uses. Proximity to urban and rural area Scenic Beauty Recreation opportunities Mild weather scenic beauty, diverse landscapes, temperate climate, charming communities, recreational opportunities (inc. farmto-table activities) Friendly Community Educational Opportunities Friends Outdoor activities Diverse Environment long growing season, good recreational opportunities, scenic, environmental ethic (for the most part), moderate weather temperate rainforest, unique bio-region, recreation, access to natural spaces, integration of water into urban environments temperate climate, diverse economic activity, excellence in educational opportunity, world-class outdoor and recreational activity, healthy population natural setting, people, habitat, beauty Abundant water, low conflict, moderate population, high level of education safety, beauty, access to nature and urban areas Landscape (eg rivers mts forests,fauna,etc). I used to be proud of the cutting edge/progressive stands the state and local govts took. I am hopeful we will have a resurgence. I love the short distance to the Cascades and the Pacific. I appreciate the relatively small population we have and consequently the easy access to most everything in the valley. It is a beautiful place with access to hiking in mountains and foothills, near the coast. There are good schools and a culture that values education Great opportunities to get fresh local food, especially produce and good beer and wines mild winters, open space, easy access to forests and oceans, great birdwatching the climate, the landscape, the mix of places, the urban growth boundaries, the history Agricultural, Natural, Beauty outdoor recreation, good food/beer, no traffic, farmers markets Mountains and forests, snow, culture, variety of food grown, and wildlife Water Quality, Fisheries Resources, Viewshed, Water Supply, Recreation Adequate resources for healthy living, climate that sustains my desire to be a gardener, access to recreational regions for fishing, hiking, biking, and camping, the Valley's lush vegetation speaks to my soul, and I ahve an amazing job as a public school teacher in an area that values education. Climate, scenery, outdoor recreation, Oregon's land use system (close in agriculture and open space), connectivity (Amtrak Cascades) 144 River and tribs support native salmon and steelhead; provide clean water from tribs for drinking; adequate water instream and riparian habitat maintains (barely) habitat functions for fish and wildlife; great place for recreation 1 four seasons. 2 its green 3 moderate weather 4 outdoor recreation 5 not to crowded yet Quality of life, functional ecosystems, low population density Relatively natural environment, low population density, relatively functioning stram systems, high quality localfood, relatively educated population I do not live in the Willamette Valley - but its scenery, clean air and water, recreational opportunities and universities are attractive recreation, people relatively few people relative to US; food production; cultural amenities; access to coast, recreational amenities such as hiking/biking trails, rafting & fishing opportunities. Environment, close to natural features (forests, nature), diverse land use(combination of nature, ag and urban), land use planning, quality of life (access to the built and natural environment), most people seem to value a balance between urban, ag, forestry and natural. close to Wildlife and/or natural resources in general Scenic value Food availability Educational and social opportunities Clean water Climate amenable to producing fresh food Compact urban development (with transit &other urban amenities inside UGBs) and rural outside UGBs Healthy wildlife and adequate habitat Natural beauty (1) the beauty (natural and human-mediated); (2) the people (culture, attitude, values, spirit); (3) proximity to other cultural, recreational, intellectual; educational and other opportunities; Weather, liberal politics, proximity to mountains and ocean, high education rates, balance of environmental protection and industrial growth The people and moderate political attitudes; Moderate climate; Urban planning that reduces sprawl; access to cities, mountains and ocean Access to Ocean and Mountains; Mild Winters; Cultural Activities, music art; Progressive mentality; Plane, Bus and Rail service healthy vegetatin and wildlife, healthy creeks and rivers, universities and towns with cultural offerings, incredible drinking water, passive nature-immersion recreation opportunities close-by access to recreation and open space, relatively clean water resources, access to urban amenities, opportunity for regional food system 1. Dynamic landscapes 2. Thriving fish and fauna 3. Rich in Culture 4. Open spaces 5. Economic stability hosts a university good hospitals good public services healthy environment/green spaces/access to nature natural beauty, fresh water, progressive social culture, good food, access to recreation Rain; trees; mountains; access to clean water, water recreation opporutnities, resilience to climate change, local food production, climate Publicly accessible water resources Fishing opportunities Hunting opportunities Protection of open space Consolidation of development recreation, climate, good local government, lots of public lands, limited congestion rural lands recreation wildlife agriculture livable cities Recreation access Wildlife Clean water moderate climate, ecological value, proximity to recreation, general political/social climate diversity of recreation opportunities, local agriculture, scenic beauty, good schools/universities, nice cultural opportunities Diversity of the landscape and agriculture Progressive Access to water Quality of life cultural tolerance Ease of access to natural environment/wilderness/protected areas, locally grown organic food, PNW cultural values Nice weather, rural landscape, proximity to natural areas, interesting culture, nice people and friends aesthetics, recreation, fishing climate, politics, agriculture,recreation, population access to wilderness, clean air and water, low population density, ease of transportation climate Topography, wealth of environmental resources, temperate climate, lack of large cities, UGB Opportunity for recreation (camping, river access, hiking), moderate climate, progressive communities, functional institutions, opportunities for eduction Clean, adequate flow, fish abundance, healthy, responsive natural beauty, land use planning, agriculture, forestry, universities Empowered citizens; access to recreation; healthcare availability; clean water; clean air Environment, education, 145 Open space, smaller cities, access to other parts of the state, climate, affordable Open space, wetlands, agriculture, access to the river, biological diversity climate, agricultural uses, small communities, greenways/ vegetation, ease of working with policy makers Livability Commerce Location Education Home Environmental quality, general livability, recreational opportunities, Natural beauty, outdoor recreation, abundant resources, progressive values. sufficient water supply for cities and farms; fish, wildlife and habitat protection; preservation of open space; mild climate close proximity to beaches, lakes, mountains, fishing, Portland. Moderate climate Good soils Diversity of plant & animal species Small towns Consolidated development Agricultural values Natural beauty Abundance of rivers and streams Open space access Ecological functions- fish, wildlife and natural areas; adequate water resources compared to other areas in the country; advanced land use practices compared to other areas in the country; access to federal lands; comparatively clean air and water compared to other areas in the country and world; access to native american culture and practices Recreation, climate, community, schools, family Climate, scenery, towns, waterways Agricultural, forestry, open space, wildlife, clean water climate, forested landscape, access to parks, agriculture, biodiversity Farm and nursery operations, recreation, clean water good environmental conditions, air and water quality good educational resources and access to healthcare recreational opportunities (outdoors, sports etc) lack of crowding adequate infrastructure - roads, electricity, sewer, etc Recreation availability, clean air and water, not overpopulated, scenic 4 distinct seasons, plenty of water, low population generally, diverse landscapes, I grew up there. vegetation (greenness), temperate climate, low population ecological diversity, abundant produce, recreational opportunities Proximity to Cascade Mountains, proximity to coast, excellent food production potential, clean abundant water, forward thinking people/leaders including two universities Access to natural spaces and intact ecosystems, clean drinking watner from the tap, vibrant healthy culture and community, educated public, access to educational resources and programs, Landscape (Mountains, Rivers, Ocean). Community in general values the environment. Water quality, Wildlife diversity, Weather 146 9. List up to five concerns that you have about quality of life in the Willamette Valley in the future. (Type your answer below) Text Response extent of sand and gravel extraction, extent of clear-cutting, population growth, loss of wildlife habitat, public school quality Poorly managed population growth, environmental damage from droughts and climate change Lack of intelligent land use planning and transportation corridors, lack of public green spaces that are interconnected, sprawling urban growth Population growth, climate change, changes to land use laws, rising home prices Population growth as it relates to cost/quality of living. Population growth as is relates to property cost. Population growth as it relates to environmental degredation. Lack of snow (climate change). Job prospects (lack of employment). And population growth again. Over population, over consumption, inadequate policy development via political processes Algae growth in pool above WIllamette Falls populaton increase, increased traffic, sprawl, Too populated, population growth, economy, urban growth, loss of sustainable agriculture, urban growth onto farmland, traffic, water quality Impacts on natural resources due to climate change impacts -wildfire, low summer streamflows, lower snowpack huge population growth, due largely to climate refugees from other regions of the country Population growth and associated land use issues, increased freight traffic on I-5, decreasing water quality, decreases in locally produced food due to water shortages water scarcity, overpopulation, habitat loss, climate change, invasive species Urbanization of farm lands; population density; overallocated resources (water); Emergency response availability; Short sighted use of resources increasing pressure between ag an urban areas, having a big enough tax base to support state and local govt activities Suburban/urban sprawl. Population growth, water abuse, land use abuse, drought, overpopulation(cannot be stated enough times) Traffic congestion population growth, increased traffic, rural-urban conflict, growing imbalance between rooted long-time residents and oblivious new arrivals Increasing population growth, increase in social issues (ex. wealth gap, education, health, labor rights...), Inequity (ex. water), climate change, urbanization increasing population and development, water availability, water quality, climate change population growth, growing corporate timber and ag practices, GMO, water rights, decisive political & social environment population growth, climate change, disparity of economic wealth, sad state of public education - inaccessibility of public higher education population growth, Population growth, bad zoning, declining snow population growth, climate change Population explosion. Out-of-state Need for water. Lack of transportation investment. Absence of "crises" re climate change preparation. Population growth and changes in state planning goals that might allow extensive development and urban and suburban sprawl population growth, climate change, potential for economic growth with minimal ecological impacts, degree of homelessness, sustainable agriculture sprawl, lack of transportation alternatives to driving, cost of living Contamination by Ag, people, industry too far removed from what urban life entails, too much advocacy population growth and climate change effects Resource Depletion, Population Increases, Polution, Climate Change, Increasing population brings me worry. Increased pollution (mainly the garbage I see on the ground). Temperatures are increasing, making my need to irrigate my extensive gardens a higher and more frequent priority. Crime rates 147 appear to be on the rise, but this may be due to increased media access. Traffic is increasing. Lack of intrastructure investment, lack of significant mass transit, loss of close-in agriculture, air quality deterioration, wildfire. too many people, dense development and overconsumption of resources, land use that allows owners to destroy riparian habitat 1 over population 2 overzealyrous government policies 3 Degredation of quality of life increasing population density, rapid development, loss of green space/natural areas, increasingly urbanized population, loss of ecological diversity agricultural pollution, rapid population growth Loss of access to snow for recreation; air quality for increasing fire risk, increasing populations, loss of open space & farmland; getting too hot in summer Assumtion that the qualities folks like will always be there with out making the effort to assuer they are, Continue to assume there is enought water but not do the things necessary to make sure the water is there, not enought enphises on water conservation, population growth, migration from Calif as the drought worsens Water quantity and quality, population growth and associated consumption patterns, lack of cultural diversity/understanding, municipal infrastructure and financing Increasing traffic, threats to clean water and wildlife habitat, possibility of rapid in-migration & inability to plan in time to accomodate, potential increase in pollution affecting health in future (1) water quantity and quality; (2) population growth; (3) corporate farming dominance; (4) environmental quality; (5) potential impacts that climate variability and change, and what we (ie, society ) does in advance to limit impacts, mitigate adapt climate change, inability to modify policies to adapting climate Political polarization from urban/rural differences and in-migration, Over Crowding and all associated issues: Air Quality declines; Crowded Rivers and trails; water resources conflicts, shortages urbanization (paved-over soil and low density development limit future options), scattered development at urban edge/rural areas cutting into contiguous habitat and creating multiple pollution sources, pollution by toxics (pesticides/heavy metals), lack of safety for non-car transportation (bikes sharing roads with cars), lack of regulation and meaningful fines/enforcement for polluters population growth, increasingly industrialized agriculture, impacts of agriculture on water quality and quantity, failure to invest in education, racial and economic disparities 1. Development encroachment ; 2. Water Quantity; 3. Increasing cost of living 4; increase population 5; government land management population growth, reduction in values associated with a healthy environment, reduction in social services because of budgets, loss of green space, increased population density, impacts of wildfires, impact of earthquake, economic stress due to climate change and rising energy prices Population growth impact of drought cycles, environmental degredation, loss of recreational opportunity, stagnant economy, increased poverty Population growth, cost of living, impacts to natural resources, loss of rural character increased population, increased traffic congestion, agricultural practices like application of herbicides, increased homelessness, wildfire unmanaged growth; lack of resources; congestion; degrated environment; Population growth. Contaminated water. population growth, job competition, natural resource quality (e.g., ecological) and quantity (e.g., water) urban sprawl, traffic Stable funding for public programs . Not in my back yard -NIMBY. Fires/smoke. Invasive species, Aging public infrastructure. Emerging contaminates Increasing population and development, increasing water scarcity Population pressures, economic stagnation and social strains, wildfires and resulting poor air quality, higher temperatures, drought growing population, lack of coordination across the whole basin, climate change incresed population, change in climate, urban sprawl, deforestation population growth and demographics changes - increased traffic, increased density of housing and people, reduced 148 focus on environmental sustainability Climate change and resource availability, Cascadia subduction zone, fair tax structure/funding for services, education population growth leading to high cost of housing, sprawl and traffic, reduced access to recreation (crowding) robust natural systems, strong economy, healthy envirnoment, clean water water quantity, water quality, push back against land use planning, loss of agriculture, loss of forestry Less winter snowpack at mid- to high elevations; population growth; lack of agreement regarding forest management; Housing, jobs, culture population growth, in migration, ignorant voters, unneccessary new laws, failure to enforce current laws impacts of growth, water quality and quantity impacts, air quality, reduction in farmland, sprawl high density urbanization, removal of trees/ vegetation especially in the urban areas, traffic gridlock, excessive regulatory atmosphere None Growing traffic congestion/commuting times, lack of a cohesive strategy for managing natural resources, inability to bring a sense of priority, proportion and watershed context to our management of the watershed. Overpopulation, housing prices, economic inequality, corrupt democratic process.. vast urban expansion due to population growth; water quality concerns due to higher temperatures (i.e. algal blooms); late summer water supply threats to farmland development from small, cumulative projects; excess water use by nurseries and unwise water use (e.g. irrigating grass seed); lack of protection of drinking water sources & cooperative protections; impacts from storage projects Population growth and resulting urbanization great increases in population growth, climate change vulnerabilities, degradation of ecological functions and values that make the Valley unique, Climate migrants, crowding, traffic, Population growth, urban sprawl, pollution Social pressure to change agricultural and forestry and push them out of western Oregon drought, flooding, over population, habitat change, floodplain encroachment Economic viablility of agriculture; water supply for municipalities, conservation and agriculture population growth, economic opportunities that provide employment with living wages, resiliency of ecosystems Drought, population growth/urban sprawl, severity and frequency of wildfires Concern about California migration, climate change (decreasing snowpack), extreme environmental activism that create restrictive policy assholes, corruption of Oregon land use and water appropriation laws, GM crops, corporate takeover human population growth, urbanization, habitat destruction increased development pressures along rivers (loss of riparian area, revetment, septic systems), increasing frequency of harmful algal blooms, increasing population growth, loss of snow pack loss of ecosystem function and services, degraded water quality, population growth Drought, climate change, fish and wildlife species not being able to adapt, population growth Aerial pesticide spraying, population growth, climate change, habitat destruction unplanned growth (urban sprawl), climate change, public transportation 149 10. When considering your motivations to participate in WW2100, to what extent do you disagree or agree with the following? (Check one for each item)I am participating in the WW2100 project because.... # 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 Question It is relevant to my job I want to know more about water in the Willamette Valley I am concerned for water in the future Other (Please specify) I want new tools to address water issues It is focused on the Willamette Valley It has the potential to shape the future I am the representing a larger group whose voice needs to be heard Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Total Responses Mean 1 3 8 53 46 111 4.26 4 1 12 56 36 109 4.09 3 1 8 46 51 109 4.29 0 0 3 2 9 14 4.43 2 0 14 61 31 108 4.10 4 7 17 54 26 108 3.84 3 6 9 61 31 110 4.01 6 21 31 33 17 108 3.31 Strongly Disagree 150 11. Active involvement indicates interacting with the project in any way, including reading newsletters or webpages as well as attending events. Please mark the years in which you have been actively involved in the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process. (Select all that apply) # 1 2 3 4 5 Answer 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Response 60 67 74 83 68 % 58% 64% 71% 80% 65% 12. In which year would you say you were most actively involved in the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process? # 1 2 3 4 5 15 Answer 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 I was equally involved throughout all years Total Response % 13 13 14 34 10 12% 12% 13% 31% 9% 24 22% 108 100% 151 13. On average how often did you engage in the following Willamette Water 2100 activities during the year of your greatest participation in WW2100? (Check one item for each statement) # Question 1 2 3 4 5 6 E-mailed a research team member E-mailed a stakehold er Spoke with a research team member Spoke with a stakehold er Read a WW2100 Newslette r Visited the WW2100 website Neve r Onc ea Yea r 2-3 Time sa Year Once a Mont h 2-3 Time sa Mont h Onc ea Wee k 2-3 Time sa Wee k Dail y Unsur e Total Respons es Mea n 18 16 30 7 9 6 12 4 7 109 3.35 30 22 27 9 8 3 2 0 6 107 2.46 6 16 40 13 6 6 9 10 3 109 3.84 14 17 40 21 4 2 5 2 5 110 3.05 18 14 41 19 3 2 0 0 11 108 2.52 13 25 36 15 7 3 5 0 3 107 2.98 152 14. Please check all of the WW2100 stakeholder engagement events that you have attended since 2011. (Select all that apply) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 Answer Summer 2011 Learning and Action Network Willamette Basin Field Trip - Upper, Middle, and Lower Basin Sites May 2012 Learning and Action Network Workshop - Chemeketa Center for Business and Industry, Salem February 2013 Learning and Action Network Workshop - Chemeketa Center for Business and Industry, Salem March 2014 Learning and Action Network Workshop - Eola Hills Chemeketa Events Center, Salem September 2014 Technical Advisory Workshop - Eola Hills Chemeketa Events Center, Salem October 2014 Technical Advisory Workshop - Eola Hills Chemeketa Events Center, Salem November 2014 Technical Advisory Workshop - Eola Hills Chemeketa Events Center, Salem December 2014 Technical Advisory Workshop - Eola Hills Chemeketa Events Center, Salem March 2015 Technical Advisory Workshop - Eola Hills Chemeketa Events Center, Salem I have not attended any stakeholder engagement events. Response % 30 29% 39 38% 35 34% 39 38% 28 27% 26 25% 20 19% 22 21% 20 19% 26 25% 153 15. Please check all of the WW2100 webinars and seminars you have accessed or attended. (Select all that apply) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 0 Answer January 2013 - Mountain Snowpack and Vegetation: Implications of Disturbance - Anne Nolin January 2013 - Development of Regional Climate Scenarios and their Application to WW2100 - Phil Mote February 2013 - Land-Use Models for WW2100 - Andrew Plantinga March 2013 - Flood Frequency and Water Scarcity in the Santiam Basin in a Changing Climate - Desiree Tullos March 2013 - The Implications of Climate Change for Reservoir Operations at Oregon's Cougar Dam - Allison Danner April 2013 - Modeling Ecohydrologic Processes in Mountain Watersheds - Naomi (Christina) Tague and Elizabeth Garcia May 2013 - Willamette River Basin Hydrodynamic and Temperature Modeling - Scott Wells December 2013 - Potential Responses of Native and Non-native Fish Communities to Thermal Changes in the Willamette River Stan Gregory May 2014 - The 2014 US National Climate Assessment Report - Phil Mote October 2014 - Modeling the Human Side of Water Scarcity in the Willamette Basin - William Jaeger November 2014 - Climate Change and Upland Forest Dynamics in the Willamette River Basin - David Turner I have not accessed or attended any webinars or seminars. Response % 33 32% 41 40% 28 27% 25 25% 24 24% 12 12% 19 19% 32 31% 24 24% 39 38% 24 24% 25 25% 16. Laura Ferguson is the graduate student studying the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process. Were you formally interviewed by her in 2015? # 1 0 7 Answer Yes No Unsure Total Response 16 85 11 112 % 14% 76% 10% 100% 154 17. In your opinion, how important were the following activities in engaging stakeholders in WW2100 scientific research? (Check one item for each statement) # Question 1 Field Trips Large Group Workshops (~80 people) Small Group Workshops (~30 people) Webinars Newsletters Personal communication with research team members Other (Please specify) 2 3 4 5 6 7 Not at all Important Slightly Important Moderately Important Extremely Important Total Responses Mean 84 3.00 3 19 41 22 85 2.96 1 6 50 30 87 3.25 2 6 27 31 50 47 11 4 90 88 2.78 2.56 1 13 42 37 93 3.24 1 1 2 2 6 2.83 4 17 38 25 155 18. To what extent do you disagree or agree that you expected the following to result from your participation BEFORE participating in WW2100? (Check one for each item) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Question An integrated model of water in the Willamette Valley Satisfy my curiosity Career Experience Model results that would contribute to science Model results that I could use in my job An opportunity to share what I know An opportunity to learn An opportunity to work with others in my field An opportunity to work with others outside of my field An opportunity to monitor the type of research being done at OSU Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree I do not remember Total Responses Mean 1 2 13 30 53 2 101 4.39 1 4 22 43 27 2 99 4.00 5 16 32 28 15 2 98 3.41 1 2 10 37 49 2 101 4.38 3 4 26 36 28 3 100 3.94 1 12 28 44 14 2 101 3.65 0 0 5 53 42 1 101 4.40 1 5 21 45 27 2 101 3.99 2 2 20 44 32 1 101 4.05 1 13 34 31 19 2 100 3.62 Strongly Disagree 156 19. To what extent do you disagree or agree that you expected the following during your participation BEFORE participating in the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process? (Check one for each item) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Question Transparency on the project's progress Frequent interaction with researcher team members Frequent interaction with stakeholders Research team members to make attempts to understand my concerns for the project Stakeholders to make attempts to understand my concerns for the project Some of my assumptions to change as the project progressed To use what we learn to improve the model To be kept up to date as the model evolved Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree I do not remember Total Responses Mean 1 4 11 57 21 2 96 4.05 3 15 33 34 9 2 96 3.41 4 12 32 40 5 2 95 3.40 4 8 20 47 15 2 96 3.72 7 5 33 42 6 2 95 3.45 0 1 23 48 18 6 96 4.11 1 4 11 54 22 3 95 4.09 1 5 13 53 20 3 95 4.03 Strongly Disagree 157 20. To what extent do you disagree or agree that you expected stakeholders to fulfill the following roles for WW2100 BEFORE participating in the WW2100 researcherstakeholder engagement process? (Check one for each item) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Question Guide research questions Develop pieces of the model Write scenario assumptions Evaluate scenario assumptions Interpret model outputs Write reports Provide a "boots-onthe-ground" perspective Provide a scientific perspective Communicate with stakeholders Communicate research findings to stakeholders who are not active WW2100 participants Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree I do not remember Total Responses Mean 3 11 19 45 15 5 98 3.80 14 39 19 16 5 5 98 2.79 6 24 21 28 13 6 98 3.43 2 10 10 47 24 5 98 4.03 5 16 24 36 11 6 98 3.57 16 48 19 9 2 4 98 2.48 1 4 9 48 33 3 98 4.22 4 16 33 35 7 3 98 3.38 2 7 17 50 18 3 97 3.90 2 6 19 47 20 3 97 3.92 Strongly Disagree 158 21. To what extent do you disagree or agree that you expected research team members to fulfill the following roles for WW2100 BEFORE participating in the WW2100 researcherstakeholder engagement process? (Check one for each item) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Question Guide research questions Develop pieces of the model Write scenario assumptions Evaluate scenario assumptions Interpret model outputs Write reports Provide a "boots-onthe-ground" perspective Provide a scientific perspective Communicate with research team members Communicate research findings to stakeholders who are not active WW2100 participants Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree I do not remember Total Responses Mean 0 1 4 33 53 2 93 4.57 0 2 2 22 65 2 93 4.70 0 2 5 33 50 3 93 4.54 0 1 3 33 52 3 92 4.61 0 0 2 26 63 2 93 4.72 0 2 4 24 59 2 91 4.63 5 20 31 28 6 3 93 3.24 0 0 5 26 60 2 93 4.66 0 0 5 31 54 3 93 4.62 0 1 13 41 36 2 93 4.29 Strongly Disagree 159 22. To what extent do you disagree or agree that the following resulted from your participation AFTER participating in WW2100? (Check one for each item) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Question An integrated model of water in the Willamette Valley Satisfy my curiosity Career Experience Model results that would contribute to science Model results that I could use in my job An opportunity to share what I know An opportunity to learn An opportunity to work with others in my field An opportunity to work with others outside of my field An opportunity to monitor the type of research being done at OSU Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Total Responses Mean 3 4 26 50 8 91 3.62 2 5 28 46 7 88 3.58 3 10 40 32 4 89 3.27 2 4 23 54 8 91 3.68 3 12 33 37 5 90 3.32 5 5 17 52 11 90 3.66 2 3 9 57 19 90 3.98 2 6 18 51 12 89 3.73 2 7 17 49 15 90 3.76 2 11 29 37 10 89 3.47 Strongly Disagree 160 23. To what extent do you disagree or agree that you experienced the following AFTER participating in the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process? (Check one for each item) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Question Transparency on the project's progress Frequent interaction with research team members Frequent interactions with stakeholders Research team members made attempts to understand my concerns for the project Stakeholders made attempts to understand my concerns for the project Some of my assumptions changed as the project progressed Use of what we learned to improve the model Updates as the model evolved Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Total Responses Mean 4 10 26 44 5 89 3.40 5 19 30 31 2 87 3.07 6 22 35 24 0 87 2.89 6 13 24 41 3 87 3.25 4 7 37 37 2 87 3.30 3 6 21 50 6 86 3.58 4 10 30 37 6 87 3.36 4 10 23 44 5 86 3.42 Strongly Disagree 161 24. To what extent do you disagree or agree that stakeholders fulfilled the following roles for WW2100 AFTER participating in the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process? (Check one for each item) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Question Guide research questions Develop model plugins Write scenario assumptions Evaluate scenario assumptions Interpret model outputs Write reports Provide a "boots-onthe-ground" perspective Provide a scientific perspective Communicate with research team members Communicate research findings to stakeholders who are not active WW2100 participants Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Total Responses Mean 0 8 31 42 3 84 3.48 5 22 40 16 1 84 2.83 0 19 34 29 2 84 3.17 0 8 32 40 4 84 3.48 0 15 44 24 1 84 3.13 8 34 35 7 0 84 2.49 0 6 23 45 11 85 3.72 2 14 42 23 3 84 3.13 1 5 35 40 4 85 3.48 0 9 39 34 3 85 3.36 Strongly Disagree 162 25. To what extent do you disagree or agree that research team members fulfilled the following roles for WW2100 AFTER participating in the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process? (Check one for each item) # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Question Guide research questions Develop model plugins Write scenario assumptions Evaluate scenario assumptions Interpret model outputs Write reports Provide a "boots-onthe-ground" perspective Provide a scientific perspective Communicate with stakeholders Communicate research findings to stakeholders who are not active WW2100 participants Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Total Responses Mean 0 1 12 54 16 83 4.02 0 2 18 41 23 84 4.01 0 1 15 55 13 84 3.95 1 1 16 49 16 83 3.94 0 2 14 45 23 84 4.06 1 3 21 41 18 84 3.86 6 25 37 14 2 84 2.77 0 2 14 41 26 83 4.10 2 5 25 41 9 82 3.61 5 9 38 26 6 84 3.23 Strongly Disagree 163 26. Regarding your contribution to WW2100, to what extent do you disagree or agree with the following? (Check one for each item) # 1 2 3 4 5 Question Research team members respected my opinions during researcherstakeholder engagement events Stakeholders respected my opinions during researchstakeholder engagement events Research team members learned from me Stakeholders learned from me My knowledge was incorporated in to the Envision modeling tool Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Total Responses Mean 1 3 20 53 13 90 3.82 1 1 24 56 9 91 3.78 4 8 35 39 6 92 3.38 2 6 45 35 4 92 3.36 4 18 44 24 2 92 3.02 Strongly Disagree 164 27. Through participating in the WW2100 researcher-stakeholder engagement process, to what extent do you disagree or agree with the following? (Check one for each item) # 1 2 3 4 5 Question I gained a broader view of water in the Willamette Valley I understand the perspectives of diverse water users in the Willamette Valley I understand what the Envision model can do I understand the Envision model's limitations I understand the reasons for the Envision model's limitations Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Total Responses Mean 2 2 13 51 23 91 4.00 1 3 15 57 15 91 3.90 1 11 25 47 7 91 3.53 2 13 31 40 5 91 3.36 1 17 29 38 5 90 3.32 Strongly Disagree 165 28. To what extent do you disagree or agree that the WW2100 Envision model... (Check one for each item) # Question Contributes to scientific knowledge Informs resource managers Informs policy makers Informs water users Adequately depicts water use and scarcity in the Willamette Valley 1 2 3 4 5 Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Total Responses Mean 2 2 18 57 12 91 3.82 2 4 33 47 5 91 3.54 2 4 31 48 5 90 3.56 3 4 32 47 5 91 3.52 2 9 43 35 2 91 3.29 Strongly Disagree 29. How do you intend to use the project results? (Select all that apply) # 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 Answer Report the model scenario results to my peers Inform upcoming water use decisions Inform upcoming water regulatory decisions Base future research on the model results I do not intend to use the results Unsure Other (Please explain) Response % 50 52% 32 33% 22 23% 28 29% 8 33 10 8% 34% 10% 166 30. Regarding how you were personally impacted by participating in Willamette Water 2100, to what extent do you disagree or agree with the following? (Check one for each item) # Question I learned from research team members I learned from stakeholders I formed or strengthened relationships with research team members I formed or strengthened relationships with stakeholders I shared in a necessary discussion on water in the Willamette Valley 1 2 3 4 5 Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Strongly Agree Total Responses Mean 2 3 9 56 25 95 4.04 0 6 20 46 22 94 3.89 3 9 34 40 9 95 3.45 1 12 42 37 3 95 3.31 4 8 13 47 23 95 3.81 Strongly Disagree 31. Would you participate in a researcher-stakeholder engagement process again? (Select one. If you would like to explain your response, please do so in the text box provided) # 1 0 7 Answer Yes No Unsure Total Response 75 6 16 97 % 77% 6% 16% 100% 167 32. Would you help to fund (i.e. fund yourself or seek funding for) future projects similar to the Willamette Water 2100, including the researcher-stakeholder engagement process? (Select one; please remember that your answers are anonymous and will have no future repercussions for you) # 1 2 3 Answer Yes No Unsure Total Response 39 23 35 97 33. If you have any final thoughts, please type them in the space below. Text Response % 40% 24% 36% 100% 168 Appendix C. Verbal Consent Guide Be certain to mention the following details while verbally recruiting subjects: Title of Study: Characterizing and Assessing the Willamette Water 2100 Science ResearchStakeholder Engagement Process Name of Principle Investigator: Sam Chan This is graduate student thesis research. Contact information for interested individuals: Please contact Laura Ferguson at fergusla@onid.orst.edu if you are interested. Purpose of research: Identify who is participating, their reasons for participating, and voice their opinions on how the collaborative research went. This is to inform future collaborative research projects by identifying potential barriers and pathways to success. Primary criteria to determine eligibility: We are looking for participants with greater experience with WW2100 (one year or more). Time commitment of subjects: 1-1.5 hours to be scheduled at your schedule and location convenience. 169 Appendix D. Survey Letter of Invitation Dear WW2100 LAN member: At the last LAN meeting, we notified you about an upcoming survey regarding your participation in and experiences with the Willamette Water 2100 project as part of the study “Characterizing and Assessing the Willamette Water 2100 Science Research-Stakeholder Engagement Process.” I am now writing to ask for your help in this study. The goals of this questionnaire are to better understand the opinions of LAN participants regarding water use and distribution, priorities for use, and concerns about future water availability as well as opinions regarding the experience working in collaboration with the WW2100 research team/stakeholders, preferred communication techniques, and individual goals for the project. The information will be used to inform future collaboration efforts by identifying pathways and barriers to success. We are contacting all LAN members who attended the most recent WW2100 workshop. We are interested in the wide range of opinions that exists from the diverse population of Willamette Water stakeholders involved in the project. There are no right or wrong answers. Your opinions are very important to us and will make a difference for future collaborative processes. This study is not designed to benefit you directly, and there are no risks. Your responses will be kept private to the maximum extent allowable by law. The survey does not ask for any identifying information. Your responses will be combined with others in a database that does not contain identifying information and will be reported as part of a larger group. Your response to this survey and any of the questions is completely voluntary and it should take about 30 minutes to complete. You indicate your voluntary agreement to participate by completing and returning this survey. Please complete this questionnaire at your earliest convenience. You may access the survey by following this link: XX. If you have any questions about this project now or after you access the survey, please feel free to call me at (847) 732-2374. If you have questions or concerns regarding your rights as a study participant, or are dissatisfied at any time with any aspect of this study, you may contact the Oregon State University Institutional Review Board, by phone: (541) 737-8008, fax: (541) 7373093, or e-mail: irb@oregonstate.edu. If is only with your generous help that our research can be successful. Thank you in advance for your time and consideration. Sincerely, Laura Ferguson, Graduate Student Investigator Sam Chan, Principal Investigator 170 Appendix E. Participating Research Team University Departments and Stakeholder Organizations Table E.1. Participating research team university departments and stakeholder organizations. Research team university departments Oregon State University (OSU) – OCCRI OSU – Environmental Policy OSU – Institute for Water and Watersheds OSU – Oregon Sea Grant OSU – Hydrogeology OSU – Natural Resource Management OSU – Geography OSU – Applied Economics OSU – Biological and Ecological Engineering OSU – Forest Ecosystems and Society OSU – Environmental Sciences OSU – Water Resources OSU – Marine Resource Management OSU – Hydroclimatology OSU – Fish and Wildlife OSU – Hydrology OSU – Hydrogeomorphology OSU – Forest Engineering OSU – Ecohydrology OSU – Ecology OSU – Institute for Natural Resources OSU – Extension OSU – STEPS Portland State University (PSU) – Center for Global Leadership in Sustainability PSU – Dynamic Ecosystems and Landscapes PSU – Hatfield School of Government PSU – Hydrology PSU – Geography PSU – Climate science University of Santa Barbara (UCSB) – Ecohydrology UCSB – Economics University of Oregon (UO) – Landscape Architecture UO – School of Law Stakeholder organizations 1000 Friends of Oregon Agriculture Drainage Inc. Association of Oregon Counties Barney and Worth Business Consultants Beaverton Schools Benton County Benton Soil and Water Conservation District Bonneville Power Administration City of Albany City of Beaverton City of Corvallis City of Eugene City of Hillsboro City of Salem City of Springfield City of Tigard Clackamas Water Providers Clackamas County Clean Water Services Coast Fork Willamette Watershed Council Coca-Cola Refreshments Columbia County Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission Corvallis Public Schools Deschutes County Douglas County Environmental Protection Agency Eugene School District Eugene Water and Electric Board Farmer - private Forest Fractal LLC Freshwater Trust Geosyntec Greenberry Irrigation District GSI Water Solutions, Inc. Hillsboro School District House Subcommittee on Water Intel Johnson Creek Watershed Council Lacomb Irrigation and Hydro District Lane County Community College Lane County 171 Linn County Long Tom Watershed Council Marion County Marys River Watershed Council McKenzie ClearWater Coalition McKenzie River Trust Metro Councilor Metro Wastewater Management Commission Meyer Memorial Trust Middle Fork Willamette Watershed Council Multnomah County Network of Oregon Watershed Councils National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) North Santiam Watershed Council Northwest Power and Conservation Council North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative Natural Resources Conservation Service Oregon Department of Agriculture Oregon Department of Environmental Quality Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife City of Portland Oregon state representatives Oregon Association of Clean Water Agencies Oregon Association of Nurseries Oregon Cascades West Council of Governments Oregon Farm Bureau Oregon Governor’s Office Oregon Water Resources Congress Oregonians for Food and Shelter Oregon Water and Electric Board Oregon Water Resources Department Polk County Portland Public Schools Portland Water Bureau Pringle Creek Watershed Council of Salem Pudding River Watershed Council Santiam Water Control District Sidney Irrigation Cooperative South Lane School District Nike Inc. Tillamook County Triangle Associates Tualatin Valley Water District Tualatin Water River Council US Army Corps of Engineers US Department of Agriculture US Forest Service US Fish and Wildlife Service US Geological Survey 172 Vitality Farms Washington County WaterWatch of Oregon Western States Water Council Willamette Partnership Willamette River Keepers Willamette River Water Coalition Writer – private Yamhill County 173 Appendix F. Supplemental Survey Results Tables Table F.1. Motivations of survey respondents. To what extent do you disagree or agree that you are participating in WW2100 because… It is relevant to my job I want to know more about water in the Willamette Valley I am concerned for water in the future I want new tools to address water issues It is focused on the Willamette Valley It has the potential to shape the future I am representing a larger group whose voice needs to be heard Other 1 Mean1 4.26 4.09 Std. Dev .78 .90 4.29 .86 4.10 .76 3.84 .99 4.01 .91 3.31 1.12 4.43 .85 Means on a five point scale 1 strongly disagree and 5 strongly agree. Table F.2. Expectations for research team member and stakeholder roles. Expectations for Guide research questions Develop pieces of the model Write scenario assumptions Evaluate scenario assumptions Interpret model outputs Write reports Provide a “boots-on-the-ground” perspective Provide a scientific perspectives Communicate with stakeholders Communicate with stakeholders who are not active WW2100 participants 1 Stakeholders Research Team Members Z – value pvalue 3.64 2.54 3.22 3.92 3.36 2.26 4.51 4.64 4.44 4.52 4.66 4.57 5.29 7.44 5.75 4.40 6.81 7.78 <.001 <.001 <.001 <.001 <.001 <.001 Effect Size Cohen’s d 1.03 2.30 1.25 .73 1.53 2.81 4.19 3.11 5.72 <.001 1.20 3.27 3.84 4.60 4.53 11.01 6.82 <.001 <.001 1.66 .91 3.84 4.23 3.37 .001 .48 Cell values are means of reported expectations on a 5-point scale from 1 “strongly disagree” to 5 “strongly agree. Effect size is considered substantial at d > .80, typical at d > .50 and minimal at d > .20. 174 Table F.3. Expectations for stakeholder roles and whether they were met. Guide research questions Develop pieces of the model Write scenario assumptions Evaluate scenario assumptions Interpret model outputs Write reports Provide a “boots-on-the-ground” perspective Provide a scientific perspectives Communicate with stakeholders Communicate with stakeholders who are not active WW2100 participants Expected Met Z-value pvalue 3.60 2.55 3.17 3.88 3.32 2.27 3.48 3.83 3.17 3.48 3.13 3.48 1.01 2.43 .112 3.12 1.30 1.99 .312 .015 .911 .002 .195 .047 Effect Size Cohen’s d .14 .29 0.00 .46 .21 .25 4.15 3.73 4.18 <.001 .53 3.22 3.75 3.13 3.49 .88 1.95 .377 .051 .10 .31 3.80 3.36 3.31 .001 .53 1 Cell values are means of reported expectations on a 5-point scale from 1 “strongly disagree” to 5 “strongly agree. Effect size is considered substantial at d > .80, typical at d > .50 and minimal at d > .20. Table F.4. Expectations for research team member roles and whether they were met. Guide research questions Develop pieces of the model Write scenario assumptions Evaluate scenario assumptions Interpret model outputs Write reports Provide a “boots-on-the-ground” perspective Provide a scientific perspectives Communicate with stakeholders Communicate with stakeholders who are not active WW2100 participants 1 Expected Met Z-value pvalue 4.51 4.65 4.43 4.51 4.67 4.58 4.06 4.05 4.00 3.99 4.10 3.91 4.47 5.29 4.07 4.34 5.46 5.55 <.001 <.001 <.001 <.001 <.001 <.001 Effect Size Cohen’s d .73 .86 .66 .77 .93 .89 3.10 2.78 3.43 .001 .33 4.59 4.52 4.14 3.51 4.60 5.99 <.001 <.001 .68 1.51 4.21 3.24 5.93 <.001 1.13 Cell values are means of reported expectations on a 5-point scale from 1 “strongly disagree” to 5 “strongly agree. Effect size is considered substantial at d > .80, typical at d > .50 and minimal at d > .20. 175 Appendix G. Exploratory Factor Analysis of Researcher-Stakeholder Engagement Process and Model Expectations Table G.1. Exploratory factor analysis of researcher-stakeholder engagement process and model expectations. Factor 1/ Progress To use what we learn to improve the model Transparency on the project’s progress To be kept up to date as the model evolved Some of my assumptions to change as the project progressed I expected to gain career experience An opportunity to work with others in my field An opportunity to share what I know An opportunity to learn An opportunity to work with others outside of my field Satisfy my curiosity Frequent interaction with stakeholders Stakeholders to make attempts to understand my concerns for the project Research team members to make attempts to understand my concerns for the project Frequent interaction with research team members Model results that I could use in my job An integrated model of water in the Willamette Valley Model results that would contribute to science An opportunity to monitor the type of research being done at OSU Eigenvalue Percent (%) of total variance explained2 1 Factor Loadings1 Factor 2/ Factor 3/ Factor 4/ Factor Opportunity Interaction Applicability 5/ Monitor .80 .78 .79 .65 .79 .76 .71 .59 .57 .43 .49 .86 .82 .44 .70 .45 .70 .82 .43 .67 .51 .64 .92 3.26 3.17 3.07 2.06 18.12 17.60 17.03 11.03 1.33 7.36 Principal component factor analysis with Varimax rotation. Only factors with eigenvalues greater than 1 and items with factor loadings greater than .40 were retained in the final factor structure (Tabachnick and Fidell 1996). Items coded on a 5-point scale from 1 “Strongly disagree” to 5 “Strongly agree.” 2 Total cumulative percent (%) variance explained = 74. 176 Appendix H. Cronbach Reliability Analyses Index Analyses Table H.1. Cronbach alpha reliability analyses for participation indices. Participation Communicationa Emailed a research team member Emailed a stakeholder Spoke to a research team member Spoke to a stakeholder Visited the WW2100 website Participation overallb Years of participation Event participation Seminar participation Participation communication 1 Mean (M)1 Std. dev. (SD)1 Item Total Correlation Alpha (α) if deleted 3.58 2.53 4.00 3.08 3.13 2.14 1.45 2.07 1.48 1.51 .74 .60 .73 .40 .71 .76 .80 .76 .85 .77 0.04 .10 .08 .12 .98 1.01 1.02 .97 .34 .44 .53 .44 .65 .59 .52 .59 Cronbach alpha (α) .83 .66 Means and standard deviations are measured on scales as indicated by the corresponding letter superscripts. Means and standard deviations are measured on an 8-point frequency scale from 1 “Never” to 8 “Daily”. The mean values center around 3 “2-3 Times a year”. b Means and standard deviations are standardized z scores. a 177 Table H.2. Cronbach alpha reliability analyses for model utility, process utility, feeling heard, and model understanding indices Perceived model utility The Envision model informs resource managers The Envision model informs policy makers The Envision model informs water users The Envision model adequately depicts water use and scarcity in the Willamette Valley The Envision model contributes to scientific knowledge Gained a broader view of water in the Willamette Valley Perceived process utility I understand the perspectives of diverse water users in the Willamette Valley I learned from research team members I learned from stakeholders I formed or strengthened relationships with research team members I formed or strengthened relationships with stakeholders I shared in a necessary discussion on water in the Willamette Valley Understanding of the Envision model I understand the Envision model’s limitations I understand the reasons for the Envision model’s limitations I understand what the Envision model can do Participants felt heard Research team members respected my opinions during researcher-stakeholder engagement events Stakeholders respected my opinions during researcher-stakeholder engagement events Research team members learned from me Stakeholders learned from me My knowledge was incorporated into the Envision modeling tool 1 Mean (M)1 Std. dev. (SD)1 Item Total Correlation Alpha (α) if deleted 3.54 .74 .84 .88 3.56 3.52 .74 .79 .82 .77 .89 .89 3.29 .76 .72 .90 3.82 .77 .71 .90 3.99 .84 .65 .91 Cronbach alpha (α) .91 .88 3.90 .75 .68 .86 4.03 3.92 .84 .82 .75 .73 .85 .85 3.44 .91 .65 .87 3.31 .77 .62 .87 3.82 1.03 .74 .86 .90 3.37 .88 .86 .82 3.32 .89 .82 .86 3.52 .85 .76 .91 .82 3.82 .76 .61 .79 3.78 .68 .64 .79 3.36 3.34 .89 .77 .75 .62 .75 .79 3.00 .85 .49 .83 Means and standard deviations are measured on a 5-point scale from 1 “Strongly Disagree” to 5 “Strongly Agree.”