International Telecommunication Union n Fiber Access Network A Cable Operator’s Perspective Mr. John A. Brouse, Jr. Director of Network Implementation Charter Communications, Inc. ITU-T Workshop All Star Network Access Geneva, 2-4 June 2004 un ITU-T Fiber Access Network A Cable Operator’s Perspective o o o o o o June 2-4, 2004 n un Historical Perspective Current Decision Drivers HFC Model FTTH Model Comparative Cost Assessment Conclusions 2 ITU-T Fiber Access Network A Cable Operator’s Perspective o o o o o o June 2-4, 2004 n un Historical Perspective Current Decision Drivers HFC Model FTTH Model Comparative Cost Assessment Conclusions 3 Historical Perspective ITU-T n un o RF was the Technology of Choice • Frequency Division Multiplexing easily allows simultaneous transmissions • Ubiquitous service achieved through a Tree and Branch system of cascading RF amplifiers, coaxial cables, and directional couplers • Cost to build and operate the network is independent of service penetration levels o Network and Product Expansion • More Homes and More Programming • Expanding the network footprint increased the number of actives in cascade • New product launches required additional RF bandwidth • Higher frequencies required RF electronics change outs and re-spacing • Result was more components, reduced signal quality and lower reliability June 2-4, 2004 4 Historical Perspective ITU-T n un o 1988 • Realization that network bandwidth expansion and footprint expansion hit a technical wall • Industry move quickly to adapt existing fiber optics technology to improve RF signal quality and reliability • First generation RF broadband optics developed and deployed within 18 months o First Generation Application • RF cascade reductions • Called Fiber Backbone • • • • focus was RF performance minimal fibers used minimal nodes deployed maximize number of homes served per node • Lead to eventual evolution to today’s HFC network • node serving areas of 500 homes or less • focus is efficient interactive bandwidth usage June 2-4, 2004 5 ITU-T Fiber Access Network A Cable Operator’s Perspective o o o o o o June 2-4, 2004 n un Historical Perspective Current Decision Drivers HFC Model FTTH Model Comparative Cost Assessment Conclusions 6 Current Decision Drivers ITU-T n un o CASH FLOW • OSP O&M costs are escalating • • • • work force costs and benefits network power costs fleet operating costs liability insurance • Costs to launch advanced products and services are increasing • • • • June 2-4, 2004 node splitting (internal, external or both) headend RF splitting/combining network reconfiguration network power reconfiguration increased time to launch delays revenues 7 ITU-T Fiber Access Network A Cable Operator’s Perspective o o o o o o June 2-4, 2004 n un Historical Perspective Current Decision Drivers HFC Model FTTH Model Comparative Cost Assessment Conclusions 8 HFC Model ITU-T June 2-4, 2004 o n un Typical Operating System Characteristics • 54,000 households passed • 33,500 customers • 1410 miles of plant • 199 fiber nodes • 4380 RF actives • 584 power supplies • 1752 batteries • 2.5% monthly service call rate • 50% of the service calls result in a truck roll to resolve plant related problems • 2 plant outages per month not related to cut/damaged cable • 6.0 vehicle accidents per 1,000,000 VMD • 5.8 OSHA recordable employee injuries per 200,000 hours worked • 8 Maintenance Technicians • 23 Service Technicians • 3 Technical Field Supervisors 9 HFC Model n un ITU-T Home Headend Voice Switch Data Router/ IP Switch Video RF RF RF RF MUX RF DFB RF Node RF RF P/S June 2-4, 2004 RF Coax RG6 10 ITU-T Fiber Access Network A Cable Operator’s Perspective o o o o o o June 2-4, 2004 n un Historical Perspective Current Decision Drivers HFC Model FTTH Model Comparative Cost Assessment Conclusions 11 FTTH (RF PON) Model ITU-T June 2-4, 2004 o n un Modeled after same Operating System used for the HFC Model • 54,000 households passed • 33,500 customers • 1410 miles of plant • 0 fiber nodes • 0 RF actives • 0 power supplies • 0 batteries • 1.25% monthly service call rate • 0% of the service calls result in a truck roll to resolve plant related problems • 0 plant outages per month not related to cut/damaged cable • 0 vehicle accidents per 1,000,000 VMD • 0 OSHA recordable employee injuries per 200,000 hours worked • 0 Maintenance Technicians • 12 Service Technicians • 1 Technical Field Supervisors 12 FTTH (RF PON) Model n un ITU-T Home Headend Voice Switch Data Router/ IP Switch Video RF RF RF RF RF MUX RF EDFA S p l i t t e r S p l i t t e r Optical Network Terminal RF RF Coax RG6 UPS June 2-4, 2004 13 ITU-T Fiber Access Network A Cable Operator’s Perspective o o o o o o June 2-4, 2004 n un Historical Perspective Current Decision Drivers HFC Model FTTH Model Comparative Cost Assessment Conclusions 14 Comparative Cost Assessment n un HFC O&M Expenses per Mile of Plant ITU-T June 2-4, 2004 Technical Supervision $ 42.03 Service Trouble Truck Rolls (for plant problems) $ 226.15 Plant Maintenance Truck Rolls $ 235.50 Material Inventory $ 49.64 Electricity Consumption $ 446.81 Power Supply Battery Replacement $ 43.49 Power Supply Equipment Repair $ 1.77 RF Line Equipment Repair $ 35.46 Vehicle Accident Loss $ 8.80 Employee Injury Loss $ 5.01 Emergency Cable Repair $ 8.51 Total annual O&M expense per mile of OSP plant $1,103.17 15 Comparative Cost Assessment n FTTH (RF PON) O&M Expenses per Mile of Plant ITU-T June 2-4, 2004 Technical Supervision $ 0.00 Service Trouble Truck Rolls (for plant problems) $ 0.00 Plant Maintenance Truck Rolls $ 0.00 Material Inventory $ 0.00 Electricity Consumption $ 0.00 Power Supply Battery Replacement $ 0.00 Power Supply Equipment Repair $ 0.00 RF Line Equipment Repair $ 0.00 Vehicle Accident Loss $ 0.00 Employee Injury Loss $ 0.00 Emergency Cable Repair $ 85.11 Total annual O&M expense per mile of OSP plant $ 85.11 un 16 Comparative Cost Assessment n un HFC Deployment Costs per Mile of Plant ITU-T Outside Plant Deployment Materials $ 12,273.93 Labor $ 16,408.61 Total OSP Deployment Cost per Mile $ 28,682.54 Headend Equipment Deployment June 2-4, 2004 Materials $ 736.51 Labor $ 83.50 Total Headend Equipment Deployment Cost per OSP Mile $ 820.02 Total Cost to Deploy HFC (excluding drops & CPE) $ 29,503.08 Drop Installation (Materials & Labor) per Customer $ 125.00 17 Comparative Cost Assessment n un FTTH Deployment Costs per Mile of Plant ITU-T Outside Plant Deployment Materials $ 16,505.22 Labor $ Total OSP Deployment Cost per Mile $ 26,084.01 9,578.79 Headend Equipment Deployment June 2-4, 2004 Materials $ 15,910.00 Labor $ Total Headend Equipment Deployment Cost per OSP Mile $ 16,118.77 208.76 Total Cost to Deploy HFC (excluding drops & CPE) $ 42,202.78 Drop Installation (Materials & Labor) per Customer (ONT incl) $ 748.00 18 Comparative Cost Assessment n un Life Cycle Cost Comparison HFC and FTTH (RF PON) ITU-T Life-Cycle Cost Analysis HFC vs FTTH PON Cost per Mile of Outside Plant $55,000 $50,000 $45,000 HFC $40,000 PON $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Years in Operation June 2-4, 2004 19 ITU-T Fiber Access Network A Cable Operator’s Perspective o o o o o o June 2-4, 2004 n un Historical Perspective Current Decision Drivers HFC Model FTTH Model Comparative Cost Assessment Conclusions 20 Conclusions n un ITU-T o FTTH (RF PON) best addresses the business decision drivers. o Current FTTH equipment costs place it at a significant disadvantage. o Construction costs for the OSP portion of the PON are 9% lower than HFC OSP deployment; however, the headend costs are over 16 times more favorable to an HFC approach. o Best areas to seek cost improvements are in the headend and CPE. o Under current price points, the Life Cycle break even point occurs during year 12. June 2-4, 2004 21 Conclusions n un ITU-T o Only part of the economic equation has been investigated. • Future looking cost modeling and comparative analysis need to be undertaken in order to develop the full scope of costs. • Transition from RF format to Ethernet for Voice and Data. • Transition from RF to IP Video. • Future looking business model comparative analysis needs to be undertaken to determine cash flow impact of FTTH vs HFC. • • • • June 2-4, 2004 Changes in penetration levels. Transition from Cable Modems to Ethernet to the Home. Transition from RF video to IP Video. Transition to an all IP world. 22 Conclusions n un ITU-T o For the near term, cable operators will continue to refine the HFC platform with efforts to design out much of the current O&M costs by driving fiber closer to the curb – but not to the home. June 2-4, 2004 23