International Telecommunication Union Dr Tim Kelly Tomorrow’s Network and the Internet of Head, Strategy & Policy Unit, Things International Telecommunication Union (ITU) Tomorrow’s Network Today Saint-Vincent, Valle d’Aosta, 7-8 October 2005 1 The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the ITU or its Membership. Dr Tim Kelly can be contacted at tim.kelly@itu.int. International Telecommunication Union What is the “Internet of Things”? Different definitions 2 z Ubiquitous communications “anytime, anywhere, by anything and anyone” z Ubiquitous computing: “The most profound technologies are those that disappear. They weave themselves into the fabric of everyday life until they are indistinguishable from it.” z Next Generation Networks: “packet-based network able to provide telecommunication services and make use of multiple broadband […] transport technologies in which servicerelated functions are independent from underlying transport-related technologies” International Telecommunication Union Today’s and tomorrow’s networks Today’s PSTN network • Circuit-switched. • Limited mobility of end-user services. • • Next Generation Networks • Packet-based, based on Internet Protocol (IP). • Broad-based ‘generalised mobility’. • Horizontally-integrated control layers, with simultaneous delivery of applications. Servicerelated functions independent of transportrelated technologies. • NGN will be able to identify and adapt to user needs in real-time. Vertical integration of application and call control layers, with dedicated networks. Non-responsive network. 3 Source: ITU Internet Reports 2005: The Internet of Things International Telecommunication Union Connecting things Any TIME connection • On the move • Outdoors and indoors • On the move • Night • Outdoors •Daytime • Indoors (away from the PC) • At the PC Any PLACE connection • Between PCs • Human to Human (H2H), not using a PC • Human to Thing (H2T), using generic equipment • Thing to Thing (T2T) Any THING connection 4 Source: ITU Internet Reports 2005: The Internet of Things What’s driving the market? (1) Near saturation of traditional markets Telecom services revenue, in US$ bn Fixed-line and mobile services revenue, in US$ bn 1'200 Developing countries 1'000 800 25% 1'200 20% 1'000 Developing as % of total 15% 600 Mobile as % of total 40% 35% Mobile 30% 800 25% 600 10% 400 Developed countries 200 0 1990 1 45% 5% 0% 2 3 4 1995 6 7 8 9 2000 1 2 3 Developing countries growing faster that developed ones Source: ITU Internet Reports 2005: The Internet of Things 20% 400 15% 0 1990 1 10% Fixed-lines 200 5% 0% 2 3 4 1995 6 7 8 9 2000 1 2 3 Mobile markets growing faster than fixed-line markets International Telecommunication Union What’s driving the market? (2) Growth of the internet 873 725 Estimated internet users worldwide, millions 622 495 399 277 183 40 74 117 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 6 Source: ITU Internet Reports 2005: The Internet of Things International Telecommunication Union What’s driving the market? (3) Development of 3G mobile NZ 18.8 Brazil 0.9 UK 3.7 Italy Top 10 3G mobile markets worldwide, in millions of subscribers, 2004 8.3 CDMA-1x Canada 23.3 China 0.7 India 0.9 W-CDMA Per 100 inhabitants 53.0 Korea (Rep.) 20.8 Japan 16.7 USA 7 0 20 Source: ITU Internet Reports 2005: The Internet of Things 40 60 24.9 20.9 19.4 19.3 17.6 17.0 16.3 16.0 15.5 15.1 15.0 14.3 14.1 Overall 12.8 broadband 11.6 penetration rate 11.4 DSL 11.2 10.3 Cable 10.1 Modems and Other 8.5 Korea (Rep.) HK, China What’s driving the Netherlands Denmark market? (4) Canada Switzerland Broadband Taiwan, China Belgium Iceland Sweden Norway Broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants, Top 20 nations, 1 Jan 2005 Israel Japan Finland Singapore USA France UK Austria Note: Figures used in slide do NOT include wireless broadband (e.g., 3G). Source: ITU World Telecom Indicators Database. Portugal - 5 10 15 20 25 30 International Telecommunication Union We have the platform …. z Pervasive Internet and mobile networks z Increasingly higher speeds available z Pricing trending towards lower usage costs … now give us the applications 9 z Home automation z Automotive telematics z RFIDs and Sensor Technologies z Logistics and distribution z etc International Telecommunication Union Thank you The “Internet of Things” report will be released in November 2005 at http://www.itu.int/internetofthings Tim Kelly Tim.kelly@itu.int 10