2006 Google – Imagery TerraMetrics, NASA, Map data 2006 NAVTEQ The View from Space and the View from Society: A Comparison of the Environmental Variables Measured by Remote Sensing and the Culturally Important Attributes of Climate Change near Mt. Hood Myra Kim, Ben Orlove, Dave Krantz, and Mark Grote MtnClim 2006 Conference, Timberline Lodge, Oregon September 20, 2006 Summary • Discuss objectives and previous research • Study location • Explain methods used • Examine drawing and sorting tasks • Examine Remotely Sensed images • Compare formats • Applications • Concluding remarks and questions Primary Objectives • Understand how people visualize the environment • Determine culturally important environmental variables – What do people care about, visualize, think about • Learn about peoples’ level of concern and knowledge • Discover relationships between demographic variables and important environmental variables • Compare drawings, sorting task and remotely sensed images • Explore application potential and address weaknesses Previous Research and Findings • “The most salient image” among Americans of climate change is melting glaciers and polar ice (Leiserowitz 2005) • The second most is heat and increasing Paige, Sidney. 1909. Toboggan Glacier: From Molnia, Molnia, Bruce F. 2000. Toboggan Glacier: the Online glacier photograph database. From the Online glacier photograph database. temperatures (Leiserowitz 2005) • Affective Imagery Source: http://www.meteohttp://www.meteo-nigeria.com/nim et/portal/images/thermometer.jpg Source: European Space Agency - NASA Affective Imagery – Slovic 1998 Affective imagery is “broadly construed to include sights, sounds, smells, ideas, and words, to which positive and negative affect or feeling states have become attached through learning and experience” (Slovic et al., 1998, p. 3) http://archivo.greenpeace.org/Clima/kioto.htm http://archivo.greenpeace.org/Clima/kioto.htm news.bbc.co.uk/.../sci_tech/2000/climate_change/ news.bbc.co.uk/.../sci_tech/2000/climate_change/ Google Image search results for “climate change.” First and second pictures found above Study Location – Mt. Hood • Mt. Hood – the tallest peak in the Oregon Cascade Range at 11,240 ft. • 11 named glaciers and 1 snowfield • Stratovolcano • Summit is designated wilderness area in the Mt. Hood National Forest Yo ua re he re Methods • Created a survey containing both demographic questions and attitude/perception questions – 3 pages, 27 questions, 1 sorting task • Research period for surveys was from June of 2005 to September of 2005 (pretest of 20 surveys during June) • Administered surveys at various sites including trailheads around Mt. Hood and a public library • Site and methods of administering surveys were for a sample of convenience • Total valid surveys – 78 • Participation rate of 72%, decline rate of 18% Findings from Demographic Questions General findings: • • • • • On average, older respondents visited more frequently in 2005 (2.10 compared to 1.72) 85% believed glaciers existed on Mt. Hood (87% of males, 82% of females) Median # of glaciers guessed to be present on Mt. Hood: 3 “Very close” and “close” experienced more believers of glacier existence on Mt. Hood The more visits an individual made, the higher # of glaciers guessed on average. Also, males guessed a higher # of glaciers on average. Population Demographic Summary Variable Groups Totals Data Ranges Women 40 n/a Men 38 n/a Younger 39 18 – 47 Older 39 48 - 82 No visits 23 0 Some visits 38 1-2 Most visits 15 3 - 12 Very close 13 65.8 – 78.8 Close 55 80.2 – 94.7 Far 11 162 - 2829 Gender Age Number of Visits Distance to Mt. Hood Findings for Demographic Questions Top reasons for visiting Mt. Hood 30 20 10 0 Driving Home Work Other Places Mt. Hood is seen Don't See or k 40 w 50 fi s hi ng sh op pi ng cl im bi ng 60 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 di ni ng Number of people Number of people 70 ot he r hi kin g sk ii n g ca m pi ng 80 si gh ts ee in g Top places Mt. Hood is seen Reasons General findings continued: • Individuals who reported sightseeing as a reason for visiting, on average, made fewer visits while hikers averaged the most visits • 75% of respondents felt they knew the source of their water supply; 89% believed that if Mt. Hood’s glaciers changed, their water supply would be affected Perception and Preference Questions Questions 9-19 allowed 4 options for answers: Strongly agree, agree, disagree, or strongly disagree General Findings: • 48% strongly agree and 42% agree that they prefer Mt. Hood “white” (covered with ice, snow, and/or glaciers) • Females were 3.4 times as likely to agree or strongly agree than males (Prop. Odds Model) • Respondents in the “most visits” category tended to more strongly agree that snow and glaciers on Mt. Hood are important. • Respondents who preferred Mt. Hood covered with ice, snow, and/or glaciers would most likely visualize Mt. Hood as predominantly white (78% strongly agreed or agreed; Gamma 0.858; Sig. Approx. <0.0005) • 84.6% were concerned with the future of Mt. Hood’s ice, snow, and/or glaciers • On average, women, older individuals, and those who believe that fewer glaciers exist on Mt. Hood were more concerned over the future of Mt. Hood’s glaciers. Perception and Preference Questions Percentage who agree or disagree that they are concerned for the future of Mt. Hood’s glaciers separated by those who believe their water supply is or is not affected. Water supply affected Not affected 10% strongly agree or agree 50% 90% 50% strongly disagree or disagree General findings continued: • • • • 30.8% of respondents strongly agreed or agreed that Mt. Hood’s ice, snow, and/or glaciers pose a threat to human safety 80.8% at least agreed that they would like to learn more about Mt. Hood (females and the older populations were more likely to agree). 93.6% believed that others should learn more 58% believed that logging on and around Mt. Hood is important. 86% felt that the local economy of Mt. Hood is worth maintaining Additional finding: More people could agree that “climate change” is occurring than “global warming” (94.9% and 89.7% respectively) • 9 cards, 2 variables measured, 3 levels for each • Snow variable – much, some, little • Color variable – green, olive, brown • Respondents asked to sort in order of most appealing to least • Purpose – determine what is the most appealing image of Mt. Hood Increasing snow Sorting Task – Variables Coded Increasing “greenness” Findings - Sorting Task 3 2.5 2 Mean • Overall, people preferred green to brown and much snow to little, though color seemed to be a more important variable • Individuals choosing “much” snow for rank 1 more strongly agreed that they visualized Mt. Hood as “white” • 56.4% chose the combination of “much” snow and “green” as the most appealing • 73% chose the combination of “little” snow and “brown” as the least appealing 1.5 1 0.5 0 Snow1 Snow2 Snow3 Snow4 Snow5 SNow6 Snow7 Snow8 Snow9 Color1 Color2 Color3 Color4 Color5 Color6 Color7 Color8 Color9 Mean results for sorting task for each variable Drawing Task - Variables Variable Trees Structures People Glaciers Clouds Sun Writing Other Totals 7 8 2 4 2 2 10 16 • Provided empty box in survey for respondents to draw how they felt Mt. Hood looked • Able to get an idea of what features are important by what was included • Wide range of results – simple to detailed • Coded for variables including snow (present or absent), snow amount, trees, people, buildings, glaciers Drawing Task - Examples Very simple Snow - labeled Trees Shading or Trees Drawing Task Glaciers Labels Tree line, chair lift, glaciers Very detailed Findings – Drawing Task • Individuals who included trees were more likely to strongly agree that the future of Mt. Hood’s snow and glaciers was threatened. • More descriptive drawings (more features included) were on average, drawn by younger individuals that lived closer and visited more frequently but agreed less strongly that Mt. Hood’s glaciers are threatened • 55.1% of respondents included snow – 2.35 visits (included snow); 1.5 visits (no snow) – 75% visiting in January included snow; 64.3% visiting in June – On average, individuals that believed Mt. Hood’s snow and glaciers posed a threat drew more snow (higher %) Remotely Sensed Imagery What can it detect? • Geology – determine mineral content, rock types, landforms, elevations • Vegetation – change over time, agricultural, natural disasters • Land use studies – construction, site planning • Climate – temperatures, moisture patterns, global climate, trends • Pollution Average sea surface temperatures observed by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Terra satellite in July 2006. Source: Jesse Allan, NASA, Earth Observatory Examples - NLCD More Examples – Perspective view • Perspective view from Shuttle Radar Topography Mission, Landsat, and False sky. Topographic exaggeration times two. • Landsat Bands 3, 2, 1 as red, green, blue NASA – Earth Observatory: http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=16576 http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=16576 Google Maps – Easy for Everyone Examples – Astronaut-acquired • Earth from Space – Astronaut-acquired imagery • Image of Mt. Hood in November of 2005 • 25% cloud cover • Can be digitized and used as 3-band (RGB) remote sensing images Image Science and Analysis Laboratory, NASANASA-Johnson Space Center Remote Sensing - Benefits • Remote Sensing provides information on spatial and temporal relationships that can be mapped and measured • Can visually show environmental attributes undetectable to the human eye (chemicals, temperatures, minerals) • May be used to help provide visual evidence of environmental change on regional and global scales • May continue to change the way in which people visualize and observe the environment Differences between Methods Use of ground based photos, Affective Imagery, Drawings, Sorting task • • • • • May be more salient and familiar Shows respondents’ personal preferences Simple to interpret Easy to administer and code May not be able to provide changes over time and details Use of Remotely Sensed Imagery – Views from Space • • • • • Provides elements that are undetectable to the human eye Can show greater areas and spatial relationships Can show changes over time May pose privacy issues Classification – may have been coded incorrectly Combining Methods • Use both photographs and remotely sensed images as tools to promote environmental awareness • Use drawings and sorting task to aid in Remote Sensing image analysis – Aid for what to look for • American climate change risk perceptions – top affective images (glaciers shrinking, heat, increasing temperatures) can be visualized through remote sensing and photographs • Need to combine various formats to illustrate the broader issues of environmental change Possible Applications • Detecting change over time • Observing personal attitudes and preferences • Measuring levels of concern • Validating need for continued research • Using images to educate and increase awareness • Promoting environmental awareness and heightening concern Photo of Mt. Hood taken by Myra Kim in July 2005 Conclusions • In general, people were aware of environmental change and showed high levels of concern and high levels of agreement that Mt. Hood’s snow and glaciers are important • The drawing task and sorting task showed general patterns of appeal and confirmed assumptions • Most people prefer more green to brown and more snow on Mt. Hood to less • Some environmental qualities including temperature, temporal changes, etc. can be effectively visualized with remote sensing Acknowledgements and References Thank you: MTNCLIM: Connie Millar, DeWayne Cecil, Lisa Graumlich, Mike Dettinger, Diane Eagleson, the Big Sky Institute Advisors: Ben Orlove, Dave Krantz, Mark Grote, Nigel Allan Supporters present today: Matt (my fiancé) and my dad Lunch Time! Acknowledgements and References References: Allen, Jesse. NASA Earth Observatory. 2006. Pacific Cooler Than Normal in Oregon Dead Zone. Retrieved on September 17, 2006 fromhttp://earthobservatory.nasa.gov /Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=17384. Dunlap, R.E., & Saad, L. 2001. Only One in Four Americans are Anxious about the Environment. Retrieved on April 16, 2001 from http://www.gallup.com/poll/releases/pr010416.asp. Dunlap, R. E., and Scarce, R. 1991. The polls-poll trends: Environment Problems and Protection. Public Opinion Quaterly, 55: 651-672. Google Maps. September 17, 2006. Mt. Hood, Oregon – Google Maps. Retrieved on September 17, 2006 from http://www.google.com/maphp?hl=en&tab=wl&q= mt.%20hood%2C%20oregon. Image Science and Analysis Laboratory, NASA-Johnson Space Center. 2006. "Astronaut Photography of Earth - Display Record." Retrieved on September 17, 2006 from http://eol.jsc.nasa.gov/scripts/sseop/photo.pl?mission=ISS011&roll=E&frame=13124. Acknowledgements and References References: Kim, Myra H. "Perceptions and Attitudes toward Mt. Hood’s Glaciers and Environmental Change." MA Thesis. University of California, Davis, 2006. Leiserowitz, A. 2005. American Risk Percption: Is Climate Change Dangerous? Risk Analysis, 25(6):1433-1446. NASA – Earth Observatory. 2006. Earth Observatory: New Images – Portland, Mount Hood, & the Columbia River Gorge. Retrieved on September 17, 2006 from http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=16576. U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service. 2005. Mt. Hood National Forest. Retrieved May 29, 2005, from http://www.fs.fed.us/r6/mthood/. Slovic, P., MacGregor, D.G., & Peters, E. 1998. Imagery, Affect, and Decision-Making. Eugene: Decision Research.