NGO–academic–business collaboration for enhancing disaster risk reduction, response and relief 8 February 2013 at Aon Benfield, London WORKSHOP CONVENORS Kate Crowley Stephen Edwards Chris Ewing Oriol Gaspa Rebull Clare Harris Catherine Tillyard Catholic Agency for Overseas Development Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Centre Aon Benfield Aon Benfield HelpAge International Aon Benfield WORKSHOP REPORT This short report captures the rationale, activities and outcomes from a cross-sector workshop organised between the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Centre (ABUHC) at University College London (UCL), Aon Benfield, the Catholic Agency for Overseas Development (CAFOD) and HelpAge International1 that took place on 8 February 2013. Hosted by Aon Benfield, the workshop represented a definitive step towards improved collaboration between academia, non-government organisations (NGOs) and the private sector. Contents Rationale......................................................................................2 Setting the scene and academic partnerships ....................................2 Current development and humanitarian initiatives..............................3 The re/insurance industry ...............................................................5 Collaborative opportunities .............................................................5 Designing ways forward .................................................................6 Conclusion....................................................................................8 Annex 1: Workshop Agenda ............................................................8 Annex 2: Workshop Participants ......................................................9 Annex 3: Summary of group discussions ........................................ 10 1 CAFOD and HelpAge International co-chair a sub-group of the PPA Resilience Learning Group, which aims to integrate science and local knowledge into resilience building programmes. Progamme Partnership Agreements (PPAs) are one of DFID’s (Department for International Development) main support mechanisms to Civil Society Organisations. 1 RATIONALE With increasing calls and opportunities for multi-sector collaboration in disaster mitigation, preparedness, response and relief, this workshop aimed to explore the opportunities for collaboration between UCL, Aon and international NGOs, with the proposed outcome to initiate collaborative projects of mutual benefit. To achieve this goal, the workshop aimed to fulfil the following objectives: define issues of mutual interest and opportunity for working together, including needs and applications of tools and expertise; understand mutual synergies for research, tool development or enhancement, training and knowledge exchange; identify themes or regions of mutual interest; identify funding and other resources in place or needed; produce a plan of action, including definition of topics and leaders. SETTING THE SCENE AND ACADEMIC PARTNERSHIPS The first of the three scene setting presentations commenced with Steve Edwards of the ABUHC. He began by giving an overview of increasing and projected disaster trends and the slow progress in much advocated twoand three-way NGO–academic–business collaborations. He also examined regions of high exposure to natural hazards, identifying southeast Asia as a possible region of mutual interest, and reflected on the disastrous year of 2010 in terms of what-if scenarios. He highlighted that we all have strengths and resources we can share and these should be used in working together more closely to ensure that we understand risk better, be more anticipatory and get better at risk reduction and disaster response and recovery. Steve then went on to introduce the ABUHC, which was established in 1997 with one of its remits to provide hazard and risk science to the re/insurance sector. In this regard it was probably ahead of its time, but is now an example of best practice for academic-business partnerships. With its sixteen years of experience it now sits in an informed position in terms of pure and applied hazard and risk science research, education and knowledge exchange with the re/insurance, humanitarian and development sectors, and it is therefore ideally placed to foster NGO– academic–business collaborations. Its expertise currently include: Geological hazards Multi-hazards Climate and weather extremes Climate-forcing of natural hazards Disaster and risk management studies Natural resource risk management The ABUHC is widely considered a leader in co-production and coapplication of scientific research and is involved in several successful partnerships, including: Aon Benfield Research Tropical Storm Risk The former Science and Policy Interfaces for Disaster Reduction (SPIDER) network Research and knowledge exchange partnership with CAFOD for risk reduction Work with the Consortium of British Humanitarian Agencies (CBHA) on parametric insurance Steve concluded by looking to the future and encouraging participants to consider the opportunities in academic partnerships and associated funding resources, such as: MSc projects PhD/EngD projects Knowledge transfer partnerships and secondments Access to standard academic grant programmes CURRENT DEVELOPMENT AND HUMANITARIAN INITIATIVES Clare Harris from HelpAge International coordinated an NGO presentation that provided an overview of current DRR (disaster risk reduction) methods. These were exemplified by case studies from the sector, including the CBHA ‘Strengthening field, regional and global capacity for decision making and early action in emerging humanitarian crises’, the ALERT system, participatory vulnerability analysis (PVA) and scenario planning. The CBHA project, presented by Mark Bulpitt of World Vision, is exploring the capacity for decision-making and early action for emerging humanitarian crisis, drawing on lessons from the Africa Early Warning Systems (EWS) amongst others. He outlined the current challenges facing EWS and early action including: Decision-making as the key issue Lack of accountability and too much central decision-making Fear of making wrong decision You will never be proven right for correct decision making because it will mitigate the potential impact Psychological issues The objective of this multi-stakeholder project is to provide useable/effective analysis of early warnings at national-level through a consortium using pre-agreed indicators. Andrew Collodel from HelpAge International outlined their new ALERT system for emergency preparedness. Andrew explained that humanitarian agencies continue to be inadequately prepared to respond to early warming, or provide effective response to disasters within the first few days of a crisis. In response HelpAge International have designed a new software system that enables country staff to carry out scenario planning and risk analysis using an online database. HelpAge International developed the ALERT software in order to: Monitor minimum preparedness actions (MPAs) E-mail alerts Develop approved response plans Improve accountability (visible and recorded) Map organisational preparedness In addition it is a multilingual platform and will be made available to any humanitarian agency. There is also now an Alert Consortium consisting of HelpAge, Oxfam GB, Plan, Care International, Merlin and CAFOD. This consortium will help to shape the next steps for this initiative: Online scenario planning Standardised preparedness model, templates and software package Improved maps Off-line client access On-line help Finally, Clare Harris, from HelpAge International gave an overview of DRR, CCA (climate change adaptation) and resilience. She explained that the NGO approach to DRR is conventionally community-based and takes inspiration from participatory methods, HVCAs (hazard, vulnerability and capacity assessments) or PVAs. In essence an NGO will carry out hazard and vulnerability assessments using community knowledge. The challenge is how to integrate this knowledge with scientific information, such as climate projections. To explore how this work links with humanitarian response, Maggie Ibrahim from World Vision highlighted a scenario planning initiative that they have just begun. It is a five-year programme looking at scenario planning working with uncertainty (e.g. climate change and food crises). Kate Crowley (CAFOD) summed up the NGO presentations emphasising the need for preparedness of: Governments Local communities Humanitarian agencies She stated that collaboration could strengthen the many innovative ideas and projects that are building disaster resilience. THE RE/INSURANCE INDUSTRY The final presentation of the morning came from our hosts Aon Benfield. Catherine Tillyard and Chris Ewing introduced the re-insurance industry and the tools that they at Aon Benfield have developed and use. Catherine highlighted the different sections of Aon as a company (Aon Risk Solutions, Aon Benfield and Aon Hewitt). Her group is part of Aon Benfield Analytics, which focuses on the production of: Catastrophe models Impact Forecasting – build own models Aon Benfield Research (collaboration with academics) Aon Benfield covers areas of the world in which international NGOs work and they have broad experience working with many different industries. They have produced and use a variety of tools that may have useful applications for NGOs: ImpactOnDemand – an online exposure management tool ELEMENTS – an in-house catastrophe (Cat) model. They can produce both stand-alone models and scenario models. One current project models East African earthquake risk. Other products include: Cat alerts Reports: weekly, monthly and annually COLLABORATIVE OPPORTUNITIES The second session of the day encouraged participants to start a dialogue on two of the workshop objectives: identify themes or regions of mutual interest; identify funding and other resources in place or needed. This was done using a ‘World Cafe’ methodology, where the participants were split into five groups (of about five people) and initially asked to discuss ideas for collaboration or further exploration (opportunities rather than challenges). They had 15 minutes to discuss this topic then they were asked to move to another group to review the previous discussion (notes by a host on a flip chart) and add to or continue that discussion. There were four rounds of 15 minutes. On the final two rounds the participants were asked to also consider which ideas they liked the most, how viable these were and what resources would be required and from where would these come from. The notes from the flip charts are summarised in Annex 3. Discussions were lively and after this session the conveners were able to draw out eight common themes from the World Cafe dialogue for further and more in-depth exploration: 1. Extend existing catastrophe models to developing regions 2. Small and frequent losses (attritional losses) 3. Develop methods for analysing multi-hazards 4. Asia and Africa as regional foci 5. Data exchange: the limitations of data, quality, applications 6. Extend insurance-models locally to non-insured regions 7. Education and training 8. Funding DESIGNING WAYS FORWARD The final session of the day attempted to focus participants towards designing pilot projects. Out of the eight themes highlighted above, the participants voted to look at four viable themes that could be taken forwards by this group in some way: 1. Data 2. Attrition 3. Models 4. Multi-hazards In the final feedback from the groups it was clear that attrition was not something that was a viable option to take forward; however the other three groups believed that there was scope for future work on these topics and suggested the next steps outlined below. Data Group – feedback from Chris Ewing, Aon Benfield. The data group was able to propose six initiatives to take forward. 1. There is scope for data exchange and sharing and therefore this group has decided to set up an online forum to identify data needs, areas of current overlap and available data sets. Simon Johnson from British Red Cross has taken this forward and you can access this group here: https://groups.google.com/forum/?fromgroups=#!forum/nab-data. 2. In addition Chris noted that Aon Benfield Cat Reports can be shared and the participants should have already received their first update (as of 18 February 2013). 3. Aon Benfield could provide a clear definition of what its models can do and there potential application in a simple two-pager (Chris has volunteered to produce this). 4. There could be an opportunity for the Red Cross Volunteers to explore what fora for data sharing already exist. 5. There would also be scope/need for NGOs to receive training in statistics, modelling and GIS. 6. There was also the idea of adding Aon’s existing political risk map into the ALERT system. Model Group – feedback from Oriol Gaspa, Aon Benfield. This group identified three potential collaborative research projects with short, medium and long timescales. 1. Provide a licence to NGOs for use of ImpactOnDemand for exposure mapping (this could link well with a training on GIS for NGOs). 2. Tweaking the catastrophe models (ELEMENTS). This would be a potential PhD project to examine the adjustment needed to the current economic loss models in order to make them applicable to NGO needs. 3. Parametric insurance. To create a standard tool for parametric insurance. This would be a long term project and requires a consortium of stakeholders, but would have potentially a high impact. (Note – the Red Cross Research Centre is exploring this topic also). Ideas 2 and 3 could begin with a UCL Impact PhD studentship from September 2013 onwards. These studentships would require at least one NGO partner. Multi-hazards Group – feedback from Catherine Tillyard, Aon Benfield. This group focussed on one project idea that would explore a ‘proof of concept’. Might be a Masters research project with a possible focus on East Africa and/or the Philippines. The project would involve producing realistic disaster scenarios for urban multi-hazard environments in ELEMENTS. It would require running multiple scenarios. Aon Benfield could contribute the use of ELEMENTS, whilst UCL would host the student. The ‘concept’ would be designed (e.g. identification of appropriate city) by, and the results shared with, the NGO community. The project would be testing the concept of using ELEMENTS for multi-hazard scenario planning. Attrition – feedback from Marieke Hounjet, CBHA. This group realised that this topic would not be possible to take forwards because it is too expensive and the data at the local level are not available. CONCLUSION This distinctive workshop fulfilled its objectives and has outlined some clear ways forward for academic-NGO-business collaborations. Informal feedback from the day suggests that the workshop was extremely productive and provided all the participants with adequate time for networking and dialogue. However, the ideas and plans laid out in this report require organisations and individuals to take ownership of these opportunities in order to take them forward. Without this action, the workshop will become yet another talking shop. The organisers of this event would like to thank Aon Benfield for hosting the workshop and those people at Aon Benfield, the ABUHC, HelpAge International and CAFOD who are making this collaboration a reality. ANNEX 1: WORKSHOP AGENDA 09:00 Registration and morning coffee 09:30 Welcome and introduction led by Stephen Edwards, UCL. 10:15 Current development and humanitarian initiatives led by Clare Harris, HelpAge International 11:00 Introduction to the re/insurance industry led by Catherine Tillyard, Aon Benfield 11:45 Break and informal discussion 12:15 Group discussion: collaborative opportunities led by Kate Crowley, CAFOD 13:15 Lunch 14:15 Feedback led by Kate Crowley, CAFOD 14:30 Designing ways forward led by Stephen Edwards, UCL 16:00 Close ANNEX 2: WORKSHOP PARTICIPANTS Government and non-government agencies Kareem Ahmed British Red Cross KareemAhmed@redcross.org.uk Duncan Barker Department for duncan-barker@dfid.gov.uk International Development Lucy Blown HelpAge lblown@helpage.org Mark Bulpitt World Vision UK Mark.Bulpitt@worldvision.org.uk Andrew Collodel HelpAge ACollodel@helpage.org International Paul Conrad British Red Cross PConrad@redcross.org.uk Kate Crowley Catholic Agency for kcrowley@cafod.org.uk Overseas Development Terry Gibson Global Network of terry.gibson@globalnetwork-dr.org Civil Society Organisations for Disaster Reduction Joel Hafvenstein Tearfund joel.hafvenstein@tearfund.org Clare Harris HelpAge charris@helpage.org Jessica Hartog HelpAge jhartog@helpage.org Marieke Hounjet Consortium of British M.Hounjet@savethechildren.org.uk Humanitarian Agencies Maggie Ibrahim World Vision UK Maggie.Ibrahim@worldvision.org.uk Simon Johnson British Red Cross SJohnson@redcross.org.uk Sylvie de Laborderie British Red Cross SDeLaborderie@redcross.org.uk Sean Lowrie Consortium of British S.Lowrie@savethechildren.org.uk Humanitarian Agencies Mike Noyes Catholic Agency for mnoyes@cafod.org.uk Overseas Development Jose Luis Penya Christian Aid JLPenya@christian-aid.org Hitendra Solanki* Action Against h.solanki@actionagainsthunger.org.uk Hunger University College London Melanie Duncan Aon Benfield UCL melanie.duncan@ucl.ac.uk Hazard Centre Stephen Edwards Aon Benfield UCL s.edwards@ucl.ac.uk Hazard Centre Christopher Kilburn Aon Benfield UCL c.kilburn@ucl.ac.uk Hazard Centre Aon and Aon Benfield Sarah Booker Aon Risk Solutions sarah.booker@aon.co.uk Heidi Dennis Aon heidi.dennis@aon.co.uk Chris Ewing Aon Benfield chris.ewing@aonbenfield.com Ben Fox Aon Benfield ben.fox@aonbenfield.com Greg Lowe Aon gregory.lowe@aon.co.uk Oriol Gaspa Rebull Aon Benfield oriol.gaspa@aonbenfield.com Catherine Tillyard Aon Benfield catherine.tillyard@aonbenfield.com Julie Walshaw Aon Risk Solutions julie.walshaw@aon.co.uk *Unable to attend. ANNEX 3: SUMMARY OF GROUP DISCUSSIONS Group 1: Themes: Organisational preparedness; scenario modelling; links between local knowledge and science (small frequent losses; attritional losses; multi-peril aggregate cover); risk reduction into long term management and development planning; weather based insurance products; insurance pools; how do you insure a development project. Regions: Where there is little insured in East Africa and Asia. Best ideas: understanding and utilisation of model output; compare lists of tertiary/peril interests (not just natural disasters); attritional losses/frequent small events. Funding: in-kind support; Aon’s clients. Group 2: Themes: Integration for improved decision making; new technologies – real time data; data storing; model attritional losses (cross hazard mapping); models for poor countries by insurers; local knowledge with external technical capacities. Regions: Africa; SE Asia. Group 3: Themes: Financial response only through insurance needs a mechanism for ensuring reconstruction; when is insurance seen as socially beneficial vs. an exercise in making profit? developing new insurance schemes locally; corporate social responsibility; attritional losses requires local knowledge and experience; identify perspectives and priorities of different sectors; in practice reasonable uncertainty not theoretical uncertainty...good enough; insurance industry make humanitarian maps even if not immediately beneficial; sharing risk models; integrated financial strategy; financing risk assessments; enhance understanding of uncertainty; of models; limitations of probability. Regions: Cities; Asia; by definition regions of insurance penetration are least likely to be of humanitarian concern; sub-Sahara; Indonesia/Philippines. Group 4: Themes: New technologies; mapping/GIS; two way data sharing; crop models; political risk; sudden onset disasters; weather related; sharing and open data; risk and hazard maps; attritional losses and risk pooling; MSc projects; list free data already available; use inverse maps – no insurance = poor; keep models practical – not overly theoretical; models for preparedness not just response; environmental assets – new insurance? Regions: SE Asia; Central/S Africa; Philippines; Indonesia; Pakistan; Bangladesh; Nepal? Cities; E Africa (earthquake). Funding: Bill Gates. Group 5: Themes: Take existing Cat models and tweak for uncovered areas so NGOs can use them now and insurance industry can have early stage products to sell – MSc/research interns; look at providing funds for NGOs through insurance ‘NGOs are the insurance for those who cannot afford it’; modernising the culture of insurance; humanitarian action to be more proactive in responding to risk – industry association funding; joint projects; using private sector to compile and disseminate information in a modern way that NGOs don’t have the money to but the time to do; analysing data for the uninsured areas possible high vulnerability areas; use of political risk map; hazard maps - could Cat models produce loss potential for humanitarian use? NGOs need to collaborate more to be one client; rural/urban - insurance requires a commercial application perhaps need to look forward and depth to future risks to make a business case; attritional risk; linking software already available; data exchange; joint advocacy; how can NGOs help governments to access and own national risk data? Funding: DFID GRAP.