AN ABSTRACT OF THE THESIS OF Robert Lawrence Swanson for the Master of Science in Oceanography (Degree) (Name) (Major) Date thesis is presented Title Tidal Prediction, and the Variation of the Observed Tide from the Predicted Tide at Newport, Oregon Abstract approved Redacted for privacy .(Major Professor) A tidal and sea level survey was begun in Yaquina Bay, Oregon, on 8 May, 1964. A continuous recording tide gage was installed at the pier of the Oregon State University Marine Science Center. An harmonic analysis of the observed data was made, and the major tidal constants were compared with those published by the Coast and Geodetic Survey. A program was written for the IBM 1410 computer, so that the tide could be predicted at any time using the tidal constants for the Newport area. An investigation of the "meteorological tide" was made by comparison of the predicted and observed tides. River stage, sea level variation, barometric pres- sure, and wind were considered. Lastly, a comparison was made between the predicted tide at Newport and the predicted maxima and minima of the tide at Newport as determined using the Coast and Geodetic Surveyts tide table. TIDAL PREDICTION, AND THE VARIATION OF THE OBSERVED TIDE FROM THE PREDICTED TIDE AT NEWPORT, OREGON by ROBERT LAWRENCE SWANSON A THESIS submitted to OREGON STATE UNIVERSITY in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE JUNE 1965 APPROVED: Redacted for Privacy Prossor of Oceanography In Charge of Major Redacted for Privacy Head of Dep artmOanography Redacted for Privacy Dean of Graduate School Date thesis is presented Typed by Marcia Ten Eyck ACKNOW LEDGE MENT I would like to express my deep appreciation to Doctor June G. Pattullo and Doctor Wayne V. Burt for supplying the financial assistance and equipment needed for this project. Special acknowledge- ment is due to Doctor Pattullo, my major professor, and an authority on sea level fluctuation. She was a great inspiration to me, and with- out her encouragement and assistance the project would never have been successful. I wish to extend my gratitude to Doctor Donald Guthrie, who devoted much of his valuable time serving as a statistical consultant, and to Mrs. Susan Borden, for assistance in programming for the computer. Also, I am greatly indebted to Mr. Richard Easley and Mr. Curtis Collins for their aid. They spent many days in the cold and rain of the winter months helping to install the stilling well for the tide gage. My further thanks to them for taking time to mark the marigram and wind the clock whenever they were in the vicinity. Lastly, thanks to my wife, Dana. She not only aided in reducing the data, but ably assisted throughout the project, including holding the rod while the levels were run. Her company was also appreciated. on all the weekly trips to Newport. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page INTRODUCTION ....................... TIDE GAGE INSTALLATION ................ 1 3 REDUCTION OF DATA ................... 6 COMPARISON OF PREDICTED AND OBSERVED TIDE 9 . . THE METEOROLOGICAL TIDE ............... ADEQUACY OF THE PREDICTED TIDE AS PUBLISHED IN THE TIDE TABLES ................... 39 ............... 48 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS BIBLIOGRAPHY ................... . . . APPENDIX I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII Hourly heights observed ............. Observed high and low tides ........... Levels ...................... Tidal constants to be used in IBM 1410 program Stencil sums ................... Fortran listing .................. Hourly heights prediction ............ Tide curves .................... Meteorological data ............... Sea level data ................... High and low tides for Newport predicted from the tide table ................... High and low tides for Humboldt Bay as recorded in the tide tables ................. 51 53 57 60 6Z 65 67 69 73 89 9Z 94 97 LIST OF FIGURES Page Figure 1 Chart indicating tide gage location ....... 4 Z Symbols used in harmonic analysis ...... 11 3 Graph for determining component of wind along 4 Graph for obtaining deviation in water level 5 Graph of high and low tide at Newport, Oregon, vs. Humboldt Bay California ......... 44-45 a NE-SW direction ............... due to barometric pressure and wind ...., 38 LIST OF TABLES Table Page I Harmonic constants ................ II Results of the paired t-test for the difference inmean sea level ................. III Corrections for sea level, barometric pressure, and wind applied to the observed tide and com- pared to the predicted tide ............ IV V Computations for paired t-test for predicted maxima and minima at Newport versus Humboldt Bay ................... Data from least squares analysis of the predicted maxima and minima at Newport using the IBM 14Z0 versus the Predicted Maxima and Minima at Humboldt Bay ............. VI Computations for paired t-test for observed times of maxima and minima at Newport versus predicted times at Newport as predicted in the tide tables ..................... 19 34-37 40 42 47 TIDAL PREDICTION, AND THE VARIATION OF THE OBSERVED TIDE FROM THE PREDICTED TIDE AT NEWPORT, OREGON INTRODUCTION An interest in a tidal study on Yaquina Bay was encouraged for two primary reasons. Other than the Coast and Geodetic Survey primary tide station at Astoria, there were no known permanent recording gages anywhere on the Oregon coast. Second, members of the Oceanography Department had heard numerous complaints as to the accuracy of the published tide data in Yaquina Bay. The author interviewed several local residents and asked if they had occasion to use the tide tables, and if so, how much faith they had in the predictions. A fisherman commented that he never paid much attention to the heights, but the predicted times of high and low water did not appear to be correct. An owner of a small boat marina stated that he had been around Newport for several years and could not remember when the predicted values were correct. He said that when the marina was dredged in order to accomodate small boats at the lowest tides of the year, the basin was left dry shortly thereafter. Also, at the site of the Oregon State University Marine Science Center, a proposed pipe line, to be laid on the basis of the highest high water, was found to be inundated quite frequently. Partly because of these inquiries, a project was begun to test the adequacy of the predicted tidal heights. A tide gage was installed on the pier at the Oregon State Jniversity Marine Science Center, and a continuous record of the water level was made, beginning in the latter part of April, 1964. From the observed data for the first usable month of observations the following studies were made: 1. An estimate of the tidal constituents was made from the observed data, and the results were compared with constituents furnished by the Coast and Geodetic Survey. 2, Since hourly heights of the tide are not published for New- port, values were computed for the same period as the ob- served data, and the results were compared with the observed heights. 3. The difference between the predicted and observed tide was analyzed to see if "meteorological tides" could be the cause. 4. A comparison was made between the predicted tide at New- port and the estimated predicted tide as based on the tide at Humboldt Bay, Caiifornia. (The Coast and Geodetic Sur- vey predictions for Newport maxima and minima are referred to HumboJdt Bay. 3 TIDE GAGE INSTALLATION The tide gage was mounted on the west side of a piling on the west end of the pier at the Oregon State University Marine Science Center (Figure 1). The site was chosen because the current sweeps around the embayment from the east end of the pier, bringing large logs from the lumber mills that are up river. Since construction of the pier in the latter part of 1963 many cross bracings on the pier have been destroyed by the logs. At the site chosen, there has been no damage by such debris. The float well is a twenty foot section of poly-vynil-chloride pipe with a 9 inch inner diameter. We were not permitted to drive nails into the piling, in order to prevent deterioration insofar as possible. Consequently, galvinized iron straps three inches wide and inch thick were used to secure the float well to the piling. Three inch laminated plywood blocks were used to fill the space between the piling and the float well. The laminated blocks were used to prevent the float well and piling from crushing the blocks when tension was taken on the bolted straps. The bottom of the well is a piece of one-half inch fiber glass. The intake for the water in the fiber glass is one inch in diameter. All wooden parts are covered with a marine paint to prevent destruction by the marine environment. 4 Figure 1. Chart indicating tide gage location. 3'W Newport 8 'N N Tide OSU Marine Science Center 124°O2' 5 The tide gage is a float type Stevens Water Level Recorder, Type A 35, made by Leupold Stevens Instruments, Incorporated, of Portland, Oregon. The scale is 1:10, or, one centimeter of height on the record corresponds to ten centimeters of float movement. The time scale is 9. 6 inches equals one day. The clock is weight driven, and mounted as specified in the instructions. (The feasibility of using an electric clock is being considered. A porcelain enameled iron gage, marked in meters, is located on another piling visible from the location of the automatic tide gage. This is used to make height comparisons with the automatic tide gage, and to establish a reference to mean lower low water. Tide notes (time, height, and weather) have been marked inter- mittently on the record, for the purpose of reducing the data to a usable form. REDUCTION OF DATA The marigram was recorded in the metric system at a scale of 1:10. To obtain absolute heights above lower low water, the record was marked weekly with the staff reading. The changes in height at the staff, as recorded in the weekly tide note, corresponded to the changes in height as recorded by the gage. This agreement indicated that the height scale on the gage remained constant during the period of study. Time was also marked in the tide note on the chart. The clock on the gage ran slowly, as indicated on the time scale of the man- gram. A linear correction was applied to the time scale as needed to coincide with the time marks. The source of time used was the Pacific Northwest Bell Telephone Company; their time is checked with the Greenwich time kept by the Navy in Washington, D. C. A continuous record of the sea water level was read for hourly heights beginning 8 May, 1964, at 0000 hours, and continuing for twenty-nine days, through Z400, 5 June, 1964. Hourly heights were recorded to the nearest centimeter; two centimeters was the smallest graduation on the height scale. Time was recorded originally in daylight saving time, estimated to the nearest minute, where fifteen minute intervals were the smallest marked intervals on the time scale. 7 The water level was converted to feet, and the time to Pacific Standard Time, to make the data conform with that of the available published tide data. In order to compare the predicted values to the observed values, it was necessary to convert the observed data to the same reference plane as the predicted values. The reference level used was mean lower low water. To reduce the data to mean lower low water, a line of levels was continued, from a line run by the County Engineer, to the staff. A loop was run, and the levels checked within the usually allowable error of 0. 003 feet. A wye level was used, along with a Philadel- phia rod, for running the level loop. A temporary bench mark had been installed for the construction of the Oregon State Marine Science Center. The mark had been established at an elevation of 17. 00 feet above mean lQwer low water. Levels were run on 3 July, 1964, from this mark to a nail located on the staff at 3. 6 meters, or 11.812 feet. The mean difference in elevation for the two runs between the bench mark and the spike was 10. 0005 feet; so the nail was actually at an elevation of 6. 9995 feet above mean lower low water. This means that the staff zero was 4. 812 feet below mean lower low water. Consequently, 4. 8 feet were subtracted from the observed readings in order that the data be referred to mean lower low water. A copy of the leveling data is in the Appendix Ill. These changes in the original data put it into a form which is easy to analyze with the tidal information available. COMPARISON OF PREDICTED AND OBSERVED TIDE The tidal predictions that are published for Newport, Oregon are a corrected version of the more completely predicted values of the tide at Humboldt Bay, Ca1ifo:ia, Constant corrections for Newport are applied to the times and heights at high and low water. As a result, the rise and fall of the water level at Newport is only approximated. It is possible, however, to predict the tide at Newport with a much greater accuracy if an harmonic analysis is performed on the data that reflect conditions that exist at Newport. An harmonic analysis is a method of separating a complex periodic function into several simple sinusoidal curves. On revamping the curves, an harmonic prediction of the tide can be obtained at any time, since the amplitudes and phases of the simple "constituent" curves have been determined. The equation for the height of the tide at any time can be represented as: h=Ho+Acos(at+a)+Bcos(bt+P)+---+Zcos(zt+). The symbols are as follows: height of tide, Ho = height of the mean water level above the datum used, A cos (at + a) = tidal constituent, A, B, etc. = amplitudes of the constituents, The term in brackets is the phase of the constituent, a, b, etc. = the constituent speed in degrees per hour, t time, a, 3, etc. initial phase when t = 0; the initial phase depends upon t and the locality in which one is interested (Schureman, h 1941). 10 In the equilibrium theory of tides, the water is considered to respond directly to the tide producing forces. This is not quite rep- resentative of the real earth, however, since such things as friction, inertia, and the distribution of the land masses are not considered. In actuality there is a time difference between the equilibrium tide and the observed tide. This lag in each of the constituents is called the epoch. The epoch and the amplitude of each constituent are called the harmonic constants of the constituent. These are the values which are of interest in the harmonic analysis and prediction of the tide. A better idea of the symbols and what they mean can be seen in Figure 2. Let A cos (at + a) be one of the constituents of the tide curve caused by a force M. The time t = T is the time at which there is an interest in the height of the tide caused by M. The point M is when the equilibrium tide would equal the maximum height or the amplitude, A. However, the actual tide lags behind the force by the epoch ic. The term (Vo + u) is the "equilibrium argument. This gives the phase of the argument at time T and is referred from M. The term a is the phase of the argument from t = 0. From the figure, it can be seen that a = (Vo + u) + (-.}c) where -K is the explement of J(Schureman, 1941). The Coast and Geodetic Survey did a tidal survey at Newport in 1933 and 1934. The length of that series was 369 days. The H.W. II Time Figure Z. Symbols used in harmonic analysis. 12 tidal constituents for Newport were computed from this data. These constants are listed in the Appendix IV. Another series of observations was run in 1953, and agreement, according to the Coast and Geodetic Survey, was very good. From the twenty-nine day series run in May and June, 1964, it was desired to check the constants, to see if there had been any change in the past eleven years. A twenty-nine day series, however, is not nearly as good for determining the constants as a 369 day series. In fact, only a few of the major constants can be computed from the twenty-nine day series, as most of the constants are masked, due to the presence of other constituents having periods which are approximately of the same period. The problem in the harmonic analysis is finding a way to sep- arate the different constituents so that the constants might be determined. Consider a tide that only has two constituents. The series can be divided into periods equal to the period of one of the constituents. These periods can then be divided into equal time inter- vals called constituent hours. This will leave the effect of the constituent being investigated alone, while the effect due to the other constituents will be averaged out. In the case of the solar constituent the observations are divided into periods of twenty-four hours. This is then divided into twenty- four equal periods, or constituent hours. If the tide at each zero 13 hour for the entire length of observation is recorded, the solar tide will always be the same. The effect of the other constituent will be different at successive zero solar hours. Therefore, if all the tidal heights at zero hours are summed and averaged, the ave rage will approximate the effect of the solar tide alone at zero hours. This procedure is done for each hour of the solar day, and the hourly heights due to the solar tide will be determined. The same method is used to separate the other constituents. It is more convenient, however, if only the solar time is used for analysis. For example, a lunar day lasts twenty-four hours and fifty minutes in solar time. Instead of picking lunar hours off the observed tide curve equal to one hour, two minutes, and five sec- onds, it is easier to work with only solar hours. In this case there are approximately twenty-five solar hours to twenty-four lunar hours, so that to stay in solar time, once a day two solar hours are designated to a specific lunar hour (Dronkers, 1964). To simplify this approximation technique "stencils" have been devised. The method is discussed in detain in Schureman (1941). Mean constituent hourly heights are found by dividing the hourly sums by the length of the tidal series. The stencil sums and mean constituent hourly heights for the present sample are in Appendix V. Over this series the following components were computed: M1, M2, Sz, K1, and 01. These 14 computations were done before the data were reduced to mean lower low water. The method used is called, "A Twelve-Ordinate Scheme of Harmonic Analysis of Tidal Heights, Neglecting Harmonics Above the Third. " The method makes use of the constituent hourly heights that were computed from the stencil sums. Assume: Y(x)=Y=a1sinx + a2sinZx + a3sin3x + b0 + b1cosx + b2cosZx + b3cos3x where, instead of using the hourly heights Y0, Y1, Y2, Y3- - - already found, the heights at intervals of two hours are used; that is Y0, Y2, Y4, Y6, Y8, Y10, Y, Y14, Y16, Y18, Y, Y in the first notation. For convenience adopt the following new notation for these twelve hourly heights: Y0, Y1, Y2, Y3---Y11 and compute the coefficients from the following equations, letting x whereT' = 0, 1, 2, ----11 = r, = a=l £ 11 11 6=0 b0=i 12 Ysin nTrL Ycos nnL 6 11 Y(.. .= 0 15 However, the work of computing can be reduced by using a suitable combination of these equations, II, III, and IV, and equation I for y, as follows: First, equations II, III, and IV for the coefficients b0, b3, and a3 reduce to (Y0+Y1+Y2+Y3+Y4+Y5+Y6+Y7+Y8+Y9+Y10+Y1 i) b0 = (1) b3 =! (Y0 - Y2 + Y4 - Y6 + Y8 - Y10), (2) - Y11). (3:) - Y7 + (Y1 - Y3 + a3 = Next, we have, by putting x successively equal to 90° and 2700 in equation (I) above, = b0 - b2 + a1 - a3 Y9 whence = b0 Y3 - - b2 Y9 = - a1 + 2(a1 - a3) a3), and therefore a1 =1 (Y3 - Y9) + a. 2 (5) Next, putting x equal to 0° and 1800 in (I), we have = b0 + b1 + b2 + b3) - b1 + b2 Y6 = b whence Y0 - and therefore b3) (6) 2 (b1 + b3) (Y0 - Y6) - b3. (7) Equations (4) anc (6) now give b2 = (Y0 - + Y6 - Y9). (8) 16 Also, 16 a =1 {Y0sinO° + Y1sin3O° + Y2sin6O° + Y3sin9O0 + Y4sinl2O° + Y5sinl5O° + Y6sinl8O° + Y7sinZlO° + Y8siriZ4O° + Y9s1n270° + Y10sin300° + Y11sin330°} =! {(Y3-Y9)o. 86602(Y2+Y4- Y8-Y10)+O.500(Y1+'- Y,'-Y11)1 II, which reduces 0. 1443 (Y1+Y2-Y4-Y5+Y7+Y8-Y10-Y11). a2 can be computed directly from equation to a2 = Thus equations (1) to (8) give the coefficients a1,a3,b0,b1, b2 and b3 merely by averaging the observed ordinates YO, Yl___Yll. The coefficients in equation (I) may be positive or negative, and the equation can be changed into the following form: + A1 cos(x-'1) + A2 cos (Zx-) + A3 cos (3x-3), Y where A1 a12 = b12, + A2 are the amplitudes, and + b22 and A3 =a32 + b32 = tan 1 1 tan 1 '3=tan -1 -a3 are the constant phase angles 1 (University of California). A sample calculation for the M constants is as follows: The stencil means for y1, i Yl yO 8. 96 6 8.92 YZ = 0, 1, 2, 6. 29 5. 93 8. 10 y7 y8 y9 6.16 5.81 8.06 ---, 11 in feet are: y5 Y3 and 10. 57 11. 03 y10 y11 10.75 11.26 17 = 8.487 a1 = -0.023 b1 = 0.063 b2 = 0.430 a2 = -2.802 A1 = b 0 A2 M11= 0. 063 ft. M2'= 2.835 ft. The amplitudes of the constants vary periodically, due to the variation of the moon's orbit to the plane of the earth's equator. This variation is called the obliquity; it has a period of 18. 6 years. In order to convert the computed amplitude to the mean amplitude as recorded in the Appendix IV, it is necessary to correct for the obliquity. This is done by using a node factor, f, which is defined as the ratio of the true obliquity to the mean. This factor is printed The in Table 14 of Schureman (1941) for the middle of each year. factors used to convert M1' and M to and M2 for 1964 are 1/1. 166 and 1/1. 001. Therefore, M1 and M2 equal 0.054 feet and 2.832 feet respectively. The phase ang1ehas to be corrected for the 'tequilibrium argument" in order to convert the angle'to K (See Appendix IV for identification of symbols. ) This argument is called (V0 + u) where the subscript o refers to the beginning of the series, in this case 8 May. The argument is an astronomical argument. For M2, = 278. 73 The value of local + from the formula tan - (V0 + u) 69. 680, j -2.802 0.43 therefore local (V + u) = 278. 730 + 69. 68°= 348, 41°. Table I contains the values computed for the five constants, along with the values computed from the data in 1933 and 1934. There is very good agreement, especially in the amplitudes. The phase angles agree only fairly well, but this is excusable, since a small change in "a" or "b" will cause a relatively large change in . Since the comparison of the two sets of constants revealed good agreement, I decided to use all of the constants furnished by the Coast and Geodetic Survey to reconstruct computed hourly heights of the tide for the period for which there were observations. In this manner a good comparison between the observed and predicted tide could be made. The formula for the height of the tide at any time can be rewritten in the form: h = Ho +fH cos (at + a.) where all the symbols have the same meaning as before, except that H is the constituent amplitude and f the node factor (Schureman, 1941). A program for the IBM 1410 computer was written. The time was reckoned from 0000 hours, 1 January, 1964, and the program 19 TABLE I Harmonic Constants 1964 Data Constant Amplitude ft. f Mean Amplitude 1933-1934 Data Mean Amplitude ft. ft. M1 0. 063 1/1. 166 0. 054 0. 046 M2 2.835 1/1.001 2.832 2.778 S2 0. 680 1. 000 0. 680 0. 728 K1 1.450 1/1.011 1.434 1.386 01 0.735 1/1.018 0.722 0.843 (V0+u)° jO ITo M1 357.28 168. 10 165.38 94.6 M2 278.73 69.68 348.41 346.9 8. 06 0. 34 14. 8 S2 9. 58 K1 340.26 483.31 103.97 116.3 156.33 310.38 100.41 99,9 - 20 was started at time t = 3072 hours, which corresponds to 0000 hours 8 May, 1964. The program ran through 3768 hours on 5 June, 1964. In order that the formula above be valid for the be- ginning of the year the following substitutions had to be made to compute a: - pL- I= at + (1/s + u) - K,= at + Greenwich or Greenwich (V0 + u) (V0 + u) - K=a where the new symbols are: S = west longitude in degrees of time meridian used at the tide station (120. 00 W) L west longitude in degrees, of station for which predictions are desired (124. 03° W) p 1 when referring to diurnal constituents p = 2 when referring to semidiurnal constituents, etc. The arguments used for the IBM 1410 computer are in the Appendix IV. Appendix VI contains the FORTRAN LISTING. In the program, the term, at, is incremented as at, at + a, at + Za, etc., rather than the computation being done by changing t by an hour. This operation is done at statement 5+5 and statement 7, by making use of the identities cos (a+b) = cos a cos b - sin a sin b and sin (a+b) = sin a cos b + cos a sin b. computer time approximately in half. This operation cut the 21 After the hourly heights were computed they were tabulated to the nearest tenth of a foot (see Appendix VII). The values were plotted, along with corresponding observed tidal values (Appendix VIII). The two curves fit quite well. On several days, in fact, there is hardly any noticeable discrepancy. However, it is necessary and interesting to investigate the discreparcy that does exist. 22 THE METEOROLOGICAL TIDE The relationship between the observed tide and the predicted tide appears to be quite clGse. There is no indication that the time of maxima and minima differs between the two over the month. However, the difference in heights certainly causes me to believe that the prediction is not an adequate approxImatior of the actual water level. Possibly the difference is caused by the rneteorological tide. ' The umeteoroiogical tides's generally are considered to be caused by variations in temperature, barometric pressure, and wind (Schureman, 1941). In this papers variation in sea level and river stage will also be included in the 'meteorological tide.' Newport is located at the mouth of the Yaquina River. Conse- quently, the stage of the river plays a part in the variation of the tide. There are, however, no published data on the stage of the Yaquina River below Mill Creek. Mill Creek has a drainage area of only 4. 08 square miles, and consequently is of little use. Also, the Geological Survey has stated that there are no unpublished stream flow data on the Yaquina River (U. S. Geological Survey, personal communication). The drainage area at the mouth is only 270 square miles. The best estimate of the stage of the river is from an exam- ination of the rainfall data. Since there is no runoff from melting snow in the area, the excess runoff over groundwater flow must be 23 due to precipitation. The precipitation record, as well as other meteorological data for the time of observations, are contained in Appendix IX. From 8 May through 5 June there were only 1. 42 inches of rain. Most of this water was probably consumed by surface storage, in- filtration, and interception (Linsley, Kohier and Paulhus, 1949). Consequently, river stage will be neglected in considering an effect on the tide during this period. The formula for computing the height of tide contains the term Ho, which is the difference between mean water level and the datum to which the gage records are referred. At Newport, mean lower low water was 4. 16 feet below mean sea level (U. S. Coast and Geodetic Survey, 1959). The term Ho, however, is not constant, but varies throughout the year. Deviations of sea level from mean sea level for the year have been calculated and published for approximately twenty-five years at Crescent City, California, and Neah Bay, WasJ4rigton (Union Godsique et Gophysique Internationale, 1959, and 1963). From these deviations, an estimate of the expected sea level at Newport during the observations could be obtained. A statistical analysis, called the t - test on paired observation, was performed on the data. To use these data in this test, the mean sea level for the year was used as the control, and sea level for a 24 particular month was subtracted from the yearly mean. This gives a series of deviations from the mean. The hypothesis is that the mean of the deviations is zero, or that there is no difference between the yearly sea level value and the sea level during the month used. In order that this test be applicable, it must be assumed that the sample is random and drawn from a normal distribution. These assumptions seem to be essentially fulfilled, since all available observations have been used, and the samples are errors which tend to follow the normal distribution (Li, 1957). The sea level data used are listed in the Appendix X. The test is explained below in the case of Crescent City during the month of May. = 0, the hypothesis is that the mean of the deviations is 0. n = sample size, in this case twenty-six years of data were examined. = -6. 19 feet, the sum of the deviations of the twenty-six years from the mean. = (y)2 = -0. 2381 feet, the average of the deviations. = 38. 3161 feet2, the sum of the deviations squared. = 1.4737 feet2. = 2. 0535, the sum of the individual observations squared. ss =y2 (y)2 = 0. 5798 feet2 = n-i = 25, degrees of freedom. 25 S2 2 n = = 0 0232 feet2. = 0. 00089 feet2. = 0. 0298 feet, estimate of the sample standard deviation. -40 The t- statistic is t = = -7. 99. At the 95% level of sig- I- nificance the critical regions are -2. 060 < <+ 2. 060 for = 25. This indicates that at the 95% level of significance, the value -7. 99 lies inside the critical region, and that the test of hypothesis that = 0 should be rejected. In other words, the sea level in May is not the same as mean sea level for the year. The 95% confidence interval for the average difference of sea level in May from the yearly mean is: -t.o25 +t.o25 -0. 2381 - 2.060 (0. 0Z98)q-O. 02381 + 2.060 (0. 0298) -0. 2995 ft<-I-< -0. 1767 ft Table II includes the t-statistic, critical region, mean difference, and confidence intervals listed for Crescent City, California, and Neah Bay, Washington, for May and June. From the mean difference for the months of May and June an estimate of the difference in mean sea level for the period of obser- vation can be made. A linear relationship of the difference in sea TABLE II Results of the Paired t-Test for the Difference in Mean Sea Level T- Place Stat- Month istic Critical Region Mean Diff. Confidence Tnt. Crescent May -7.99 -Z.O6Ot<+.O6O -O.Z381 -O.Z995<14<-O.l767 City Neah Bay June -9.78 -Z.060<t<+Z.060 -0.2319 -O.Z807<.(-O.183J May -6.28 -2.069<t<+2.069 -0.2800 -O.37l9<-0.188l June -7.57 -2.069<t<+2.069 -0.3135 -0.3987<-O.2283 27 level to latitude was assumed between Crescent City ( A 124. 20° W) and Neah Bay ( (4) 41. 75° N,, 48. 37° N, A 124. 62° W). Newport 44. 62° N, A 124. 03° W) then had a mean difference of -0. 27 feet for the period covering the twenty-nine days of the observation. This difference accounts for most of the difference between the predicted and observed values (Pillsbury, 1940). However, the difference between the predicted and observed values is not constant. I felt that the remaining deviation might be due to barometric pressure and the wind. Another statistical test was applied, this time to the difference between the predicted tide and the observed tide corrected for sea level. A correlation coefficient between the difference in water level and the combined effect of pressure and wind was computed, to determine whether the changes in water level were related significantly to the combined effects of both meteorological factors. The mechanics of the computation are much the same as those for the paired t - test. The only new terms for computing the multiple correlation coefficient r, are SP y2 and SFxz . The subscripts x, y, and z stand for water level deviation, barometric pressure, and wind respectively. The quantity SF is similar to SS and is defined as: SP = xy = sp xz = xz n Values of the variables taken at 0000 hours and 1200 hours throughout the observations were used to compute the correlation coefficient. Weather data for the period of observation are given in Appendix IX. In order to simplify the computation, the following adjust- ments were made to the data: 1) The barometric pressure as recorded was reduced by the amount 29. 80 inches. The difference was then multiplied by 100. As an example, the value 29. 90 inches would be used in the computation as 10. This does not alter the computation in any way. 2) The wind was assumed to move water only along the axis of the bay. The entrance to the bay lies roughly in a northeast-southwest direction, so only components of the wind in this direction were considered to effect the water level. Wind blowing from the southwest was taken as positive, and a wind from the northeast as negative. The wind was converted from the Beaufort Scale to nautical miles per hour before the component was taken. Figure 3 gives the wind component in knots in terms of the Beaufort Scale. Figure 3. Graph for determining component of wind along a NE-SW direction. W SW NW N NE indic ate e aufort to knots. NJ 'C 30 The multiple correlation coefficient is defined as r i-r2= where jAI a11 where: IAI 1A221 SPxy SPxy SSy SSx = 2 SPxz SPyz SPxz SPyz SSz a A221 = SSx = SSy SSyz SPyz SSz (Anderson, 1958). Therefore 1 - r 10.0735414. 1622 2 r (5. 2684) (36926803. 6745) = 0.694 The 95% level of significance was used with n-k degrees of freedom. Since there are three variables (waterlevel, pressure and wind) and 57 observations, k = 3, n = 57 and n-k = 54 degrees of freedom. The critical value for the correlation coefficient with n-k 54 is 0.328, which is less than 0.694. This indicates that there is a very good correlation between the fluctuation of the predicted tide from the observed tide, and the pressure and the wind (Owen, 1962). Therefore, an estimate of the change in water level can be made knowing the wind and pressure. The estimate' can be made using an equation of the form: x=c+By(y-)+Bz(z- ) 31 where x = deviation from the predicted tide in feet, caused by barometric pressure and wind. = average deviation as computed from the data, in feet. y = observed barometric pressure converted as mentioned before. = mean barometric pressure as computed. z component of wind along the northeast-southwest direction. = average wind as computed. By = regression coefficient on the water level deviation due to barometric pressure. Bz = regression coefficient on the water level deviation due to wind. The regression coefficient is computed from the relationship: (By, Bz) = Al2 (A22) Al2 = (SPxy, SPxz) (A221) = J__ A22 SSx -SPyz SSz A22 -SPyz -SPyz SSy A22 -SPyz A22 SSy A22 32 SSz+ SPxy (..SPyz And By = SPxy (-) A22 A22 + SPxy (i) Bz = SPxy (- SPyz A22 A22 By = 0. 0131 Bz = -0.0143 Therefore Ax = 0. 195 + 0.0131 (y - 25. 982) - 0.0143 (z - 3.921) The equation can now be converted so that the barometric pressure can be inserted. 25.982in. + 29. 8Oin.= 30.06 inches of mercury 100 By = 0.0131 ft.of water = 1.31 ft./inch of mercury inches mercury 100 The equation can now be written AX (It) 0. 195 ft + 1.31 in. (y-30. O6iri)-0. 01.43 ft(z-3.92 knot) knot where the value of Ax should be subtracted from the predicted tide in order to obtain the observed. The regression coefficient for pressure indicates that for a change in one inch of mercury of the barometer there is a change of 15. 72 inches in the water level. Actually the relationship should be: L water level = - fm A mercury level where f?m is the density of mercury and,..° the density of the water 33 (Proudman, 1963). The slope in this equation is approximately - 13,6 gJcm 1. 02 gjcm. or -13.3. The difference between the actual slope and the computed is small, but there is certainly an indication that forces (evidently of smaller magnitude) other than the pressure are influencing water levels. In the portion of this simplified equation concerning wind (-0. 0143 ft/knot (z - 3. 92 knot)) it should be noticed that for a zero change in water level an observed value of wind has to be of the magnitude of four nautical miles per hour. This also confirms the previous statement that other phenomena are important in affecting sea level. The empirical equation is applied on the high and low waters for a portion of the series of observations. The weather conditions closest to the times of high and low waters are arguments. Sea level is also included. The corrected values of the observed tide are tabulated in Table III and also plotted on the graphs in Appendix VIII. The maximum and minimum values fit quite well after the above corrections are applied. Figure 4 can be used to obtain directly the corrections for wind and pressure to be entered into the equation. Table III. Corrections for Sea Level, Barometric Pressure, and Wind Applied to the Observed Tide and Compared to the Predicted Tide. High Tide Only. Observed Date May8 Hour 0935 2210 Tide ft. 5.8 ft. +0.27 7. 1 1028 2240 6.2 1108 2320 6.5 1220 2353 12 9 Sea Level Correction Constant Pressure ft. +0.20 ft. +0.25 +0. 22 +0.26 Wind ft. 0.06 0.06 -0.01 Corrected Tide ft. Predicted Tide ft. 6.6 6.5 7.8 6.9 8.5 6.9 7. 9 0. 24 +0. 06 +0.32 0.03 +0.06 7.3 9.0 7.2 8.8 6.6 8,7 +0. 18 +0.01 +0.06 +0.06 9.2 7. 3 7. 4 1314 6.8 -0.10 -0.13 7.0 7.4 13 0033 1400 9.0 6.8 -0.01 +0.08 0.04 0.06 9.5 7.4 9.2 7.3 14 0117 1456 8.8 6.6 +0.05 +0.07 +0.06 +0.06 9.4 7.2 7.1 0210 1602 8.5 -0.04 -0. 24 +0.06 +0.06 9.0 8.8 6.9 0310 8. 4 6. 9 0. 36 -0. 29 -0. 21 +0. 06 8. 3 8. 2 6. 8 10 11 15 16 1715 7. 7 8, 2 +0. 32 6. 6 0. 27 +0. 20 6. 9 7. 1 8. 4 9.2 9.1 Date Hour May 17 0408 18 .ft.. 1815 7.5 6.5 0523 6.7 1 925 19 Table Ill Continued. High Tide Only. Observed Correction Sea Tide Constant Level Pressure Wind 0630 2015 ft. +0. 27 ft. +0. 20 6. 6 6.3 7. 1 +0. 27 +0. 20 ft. -0. 09 ft. 0. 06 Corrected Tide ft. 7. 9 Predicted Tide ft. 7. 5 -0.13 7.0 6.7 +0.09 +0.03 0.06 7.3 6.9 0.00 -0.08 +0.14 +0.06 7. 5 6.9 6.4 +0.13 +0. 06 7. 2 6. 9 7. 2 '.7' Table III Continued. Corrections for Sea Level, Barometric Pressure, and Wind Applied to the Observed Tide and Compared to the Predicted Tide. Low Tide Only. Observed Date May 8 9 10 11 12 13 Hour 0330 1535 15 16 ft. 0.8 -0. 2 Sea Level ft. 0. 27 Correction Constant Pressure ft. +0. 20 ft. 0. 18 +0. 25 0416 1617 -0.3 -0. 1 0. 25 0502 1653 -1. 4 0.2 +0.08 +0.32 0547 1740 -2. 2 +0. 45 0645 1829 -2. 6 0726 -0.08 Wind ft. +0.06 +0.06 Corrected Tide ft. 1.5 0. 6 Predicted Tide ft. 1T7 1.0 +0.06 -0.03 0.1 0.6 0.6 0. 06 0.06 -0.8 1.0 -0. 4 1.1 1.3 +0.18 +0.06 -0. 03 -1. 3 -1. 2 -0. 09 -0.01 -0. 29 +0.06 -2. 5 -1. 8 -3.0 1.6 +0.08 0.06 -2.4 2. 2 -2.0 2.4 0818 2005 -3.0 +0.05 +0.06 -2.4 -2.1 0910 2102 -2. 5 1010 2220 -1.5 3.2 1915 14 Tide 0.7 1.3 +0. 12 2. 1 2.8 +0.27 +0.20 +0.06 1.4 1.8 1.6 2.0 +0. 05 +0. 06 -0.08 -0.30 +0. 06 -2. 1 -1. 8 -0.32 -1.10 -0.22 +0.06 -1.6 3.6 -1.3 3.4 -0. 10 +0.06 2. 7 3.0 2. 8 3.2 0' Table III Continued. Low Tide Only. Observed Date May 17 .Jiour 1108 2330 Tide ft. -1.1 3.0 18 1215 -0.6 19 0055 1305 0. 0 Sea Level ft. +0. 27 2.6 -i-U. 27 Correction Constant Pressure ft. ft. +0. 20 +0.12 0. 20 Wind ft Corrected Tide ft. Predicted Tide ft. +0.10 -0. 22 +0.06 -0.7 3.6 -0.6 3.4 0.07 0.06 0.0 0,0 -0.08 +0.14 3.1 0. 2 3.1. 0. 12 -0. 38 0. 5 -3 Figure 4. Graph for obtaining deviation in water level due to barometric pressure and wind. 29.70 80 90 30.00 I I 10 20 Barometric Pressure in inches of Mercury 30 30.40 ).5 I ). 4 Use graph to obtain values of 1. 31 (y-30. 06) for pressure and -0. 0143 (z-3. 921) for wind to substitute in the equation. 1' X should be subtracted from the predicted value to obtain observed water level. 'C 3 C tX = 0.195 + 1.31. (y-30.06)-0.0143(z-3. 921) 0 2 CD 0 0.2 \?.' 1 0 0.1 ,. $ 0 1 0 CD CD CD .- C) ).1 CD -0. 1 ).2 -0. 2 -0. 3 ). 3 c 4 I I C) I 2 4 I I I R 1(1 I 1. 14 I i; SW-NE Component of Wind Velocity in Knots (SW positive) 1R 20 22 -0. 4 i CD CD 39 ADEQUACY OF THE PREDICTED TIDE AS PUBLISHED IN THE TIDE TABLES The predicted tide (Section I) has been computed from data collected at Yaquina Bay, Newport, Oregon. However, the tide tables published by the Coast and Geodetic Survey do not include predictions for Newport computed from known parameters for each constituent. Instead, the tide tables contain corrections for time and height of tide, which are added to the detailed prediction for Humboldt Bay, California, These corrections are: Time: Height: High Water: Low Water: + 13 minutes + 12 minutes High Water: + 1.6 Low Water: + 0. 1 (IJ. S. Coast and Geodetic Survey, 1964). It seen-is reasonable to ask whether these corrected values for Humbolcit Bay are an adequate estimate of the more elaborate method of redicting the tide at Newport. Again the paired t - test was used. The predicted values were paired with the corresponding corrected Humboldt values (Appendix XI). Separate tests were run on the high tides and low tides. The important computations are in Table IV. As indicated in the table, the difference for both highs and lows was significant. A least squares analysis was then run on the data, again using separate tests for the high waters and low waters, The TABLE IV CompUtatb0 for Paired tTest for Predicted Maxima and Minima at Newport verSuS Humboldt Bay. High Tide 56 55 10.5 0.188 2.281 4147X10 74x10 6.91 Z.004 41 test was run comparing the uncorrected values at Humboldt Bay with the values of the actual prediction at Newport. The computed values are contained in Table V. The correlation coefficients for the high and low waters are both 0. 98. The test of significance can be made at the 95% level using the following formula: on r Jn-2 (Li, 1957). Taking r in both the case of the highs and of the lows to be 0. 0. 98 Ts6-2 1- 0. 96 The critical region at the ) 2. 0049. 95% 0. 98 (7. 35) 98: = 36. 0 0. 2 significance level is: - 2. 0049 ' t Therefore the value of r is significantly different from zero, and there is a linear correlation between the predicted values at Humboldt Bay and the values at Newport. A value of r 1 indicates that there is a perfect linear relationship between the two arguments. An estimate of the line of regression takes the form of: = where rx + B (x - = the estimated predicted tide at Newport (feet) = the mean of the predicted values used at Newport in the regression analysis (feet) B = regression coefficient or the slope of the line (feet/feet) TABLE V Data from Least Squares Analysis of the Predicted Maxima and Minima at Newport using the IBM 1420 versus the Predicted Maxima and Minima at Humboldt Bay. ft. SSy ft. 2 ft. High Tide 7. 139 46. 514 5. 355 Low Tide 1. 205 161. 908 0. 925 SPxy SxSSy yx +B(x-i) SSx SPxy ft. 2 37.880 41. 098 1. 085 145. 042 1. 105 131.28 B=SPxy/SSx 43 x = the predicted value at Humboldt Bay (feet) = the mean of the predicted values used in the regression analysis at Humboldt Bay (feet). On substituting the computed values into the equation the estimates are: High tide at Newport in feet: V High = 7. 139 + 1. 085 (x or V - 5.355) High = 1. 085x: + 1. 329. Low tide at Newport in feet: V Low = 1. 205 + 1. 105 (x - 0. 9250) Low = 1. 105x + 0. 183 Consequently the constant corrections published in the tide tables do not give an adequate estimate of the predicted tide at Newport. A graph for these equations is contained in Figure 5. This graph enables one to obtain directly the estimate of the predicted values of the tide at Newport from the data published on Humboldt Bay. The equation should be a better estimate than the constant corrections published in the tide table. By inspection of the tide curves in Appendix VIII, one can see that the periods appear to be in good agreement. A t - test, however, was run on the observed times and those indicated in the 44 9. 0 0 0-4 a) z -4-, 7.0 5. 0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 Ht. in ft. at Humboldt Bay Figure 5. Graph of high tide at Newport, Oregon, vs. Humboldt Bay, California. 4.0 3.0 2.0 z 1.0 -1.0 -2. 0 -3. 0 LLJ± -3.0 -2,0 -1.0 I 0,0 I 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 Ht. in ft. at Humboldt Bay Figure 5 Continued. Graph of low tide at Newport, Oregon, vs. Humboldt Bay, California. 46 tide table. The results are in Table VI. The t - statistic indicated that the difference between the predicted times of high and low waters using the tide table and the observed times differed by only a tenth of an hour. TABLE VI Computations for Paired t-Test for Observed Times of Maxima and Minima at Newport versus Predicted Times at Newport as Predicted in the Tide Tables. st/n2 n ) hr. hr. High Times 56 55 6. 1 0. 109 2. 47 45x103 804x106 3.89 2.004 Low Times 56 55 2. 9 0. 052 0. 98 18x103 321x106 2.89 2.004 SS hr. s hr. 2 hr. t t (55) 0. 05 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS Analyses and conclusions given in this paper have been based on a series of tidal observations that lasted twenty-nine days. Certainly this is a very short period of time on which to draw conclusions. However, it was felt to be an adequate sample, since the analysis of observed data for May, 1964, yielded major tidal con- stants that were the same as those computed from the 1933 and 1934 data collected by the Coast and Geodetic Survey. A computer program for the IBM 1410 computer was written in order to predict the height of the tide at any time. These predicted values were accepted as the basis for a comparison with the observed tide. They can also be used for predicting sea levels for any future period. The differences between the predicted tide and the observed tide were found to be reasonably explained as "meteorological tide." River stage, sea level fluctuatior, wind, and pressure were investigated as the major causes of the "meteorological tide. " River stage was felt not to be effective in these data, but it certainly in- fluences water level in many cases. Ambient sea level fluctuations effect local levels. Local wind and barometric pressure also cause significant fluctuations in water level. 49 A correction that could be subtracted from the predicted values to obtain an approximation for the observed water level is: x ft 0. 195ft + 1.31 (barometric pressure in inches - 30. 06) - 0. 0143 (component of wind along NE, SW direction in knots - 3.92 ). When sea level fluctuation, wind and pressure effects are sub- tracted from the observed tide, the adjusted observed tide fits quite well with the predicted. As a result the values predicted using the IBM 1410 are felt to be an accurate estimate of the tide. Lastly, the published tide tables do not give the tidal pre- dictions for Newport itself, but give constants to add to the values published for Humbolt Bay, California. A least squares analysis was performed in order to find a better estimate for corrections to be applied. The results are as follows: High water at Newport (feet) 1. 085 (high tide Humbolt Bay in feet) + 1. 329 feet Low water at Newport (feet) = 1. 105 (low water Humbolt Bay in feet) + 0. 183 feet A t - test was also run on the times of tide corrected as mdicated in the tide table and the observed. The test indicated a significant difference between the two values, but only a difference of a tenth of an hour or six minutes. This does not seem to be sig- nificant at the present time. 50 The purpose of the study was to examine the tides near Newport, Oregon. One conclusion is that the knowledge of the tidal fluctuations is not adequate. Newport is now the site of the Oregon State University Marine Science Center, and an accurate prediction, in which hourly heights may be obtained, is certainly information that should be available to the ever growing science of oceanography. This, however, is not the only reason for having better tide records available. Compared to the east coast, the available tide data are quite sparse. For example, in a north-south direction of 15°25' of latitude, there are only seven stations on this coast which have daily predictions. Three of these stations are in California and two are in Puget Sound. This leaves only two stations covering the coasts of Washington and Oregon. One of these is Astoria, which is effected greatly by the Columbia River. it is my belief that a Coast and Geodetic Survey primary tide station should be located somewhere inthe 270 mile gap between Humboldt Bay and Astoria. Since there is an oceanographic center in Newport, this new location might reasonably be located at this facility. 51 BIBLIOGRAPHY 1. Anderson, T. W. An introduction to multivariate statistical analysis. New York, John Wiley and Sons, 1958. 374 p. 2. Defant, Albert. Physical oceanography. vol. Pergarnon Press, 1961. 598 p. 3. Dronkers, J. 3. Tidal computations in rivers and coastal waters. Amsterdam, North Holland, 1964. 518 p. 4. Li, Jerome C. R. Introduction to statistical inference. Ann Arbor, Edwards Brothers, 1957. 568 p. 5. Linsley, Ray K., Jr., Max A. Kohier and Joseph L. H. 2. New York, Paulhus. Applied hydrology. New York, McGraw-Hill., 1949. 689 p. 6. Owen, D. B. Handbook of statistical tables. Reading, Addison-Wesley, 1962. 580 p. 7. Pillsbury, George B. Tidal hydraulics. Washington, D. C., United States Government Printing Office, 1940. 283 p. 8. Proudman, J. Dynamical oceanography. Liverpool, Methuen, 9. Sanderson, Roy B., District Engineer, Geological Survey, Portland. Oct. 13, 1964. Personal communication. 1963. 409 p. 10. Schureman, Paul. Manual of harmonic analysis and prediction of tides. Washington, D. C., United States Government Printing Office, 1941. 317 p. 11. Union Ge'ode'sique et Ge'ophysique Internationale. Monthly and 12. annual mean heights of sea level for the period of the international geophysical year 1957 to 1958. Liverpool, 1959. 65 p. (As sodation dt Oceanographic Physique Publication Scientifique no. 20) Union Godsique et Gophysique Internationale. Monthly and annual mean heights of sea level 1959 to 1961. Paris, June, 1963. 59 p. (Assodation dtOceanographie Physique Publication Scientifique no. 24) 52 13. University of California, Scripps Institute of Oceanography. A 12-ordinate scheme of harmonic analysis of tidal heights, neglecting harmonics above the third. Unpublished lecture supplement. 3 mimeographed sheets. 14. U. S. Coast and Geodetic Survey. The difference between elevations based on the geodeticl level net and elevations based on mean lower low water ... Washington, D. C., July 20, 1959, 1 sheet. 15. U. S. Coast and Geodetic Survey. Tides: Recapitulation of results, Newport, Oregon, 1933-1934. Washington, D.C., 1944j 1 sheet. 16. U. S. Coast and Geodetic Survey. Manual of tide observations. Washington, D. C., 1941. 92 p. 17. U. S. Coast and Geodetic Survey. Tide tables: High and low water predictions, west coast of North and South America, including the Hawaiian Islands, 1964. Washington, D. C., 1964. 18. 224 p. U. S. Weather Bureau. Climatological data. Oregon. vol. 70, 1964. APPENDICES 53 APPENDIX I Hourly Heights Observed OSTJ Marine Science Center, 1964 Time Meridian: 120° W Height datum is MLLWwhichis 4.8 ft. above staff zero. Hour 0 1 2 8 9 10 4.4 5.4 6.6 3. 1 1. 7 10 0.9 0.9 1.3 2.5 3.7 4.8 5.6 5.7 Noon 3. 8 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 5.0 2.2 0. 9 0.0 -0. 1 0.6 1.9 3.6 5. 0 6. 4 7. 1 6. 4 3. 9 2. 1 5. 0 -0.3 0.0 -0.6 -1.4 -0.8 0.6 0.9 2.2 3.8 5.1 6.0 5.9 5. 0 3.7 2. 2 0.8 0. 0 0.2 1.2 2.8 4. 6 6. 2 7. 4 7. 6 3.2 1.1 0.4 2.1 3.9 5.4 6.4 6. 2 5.2 3. 7 May 11 12 7..8 8.7 4.6 2.2 0.0 -1.8 -2.2 6.3 4.1 1.7 Feet 6. 4 14 8.7 7.8 7.7 5.9 3.5 1.0 8.4 8. 8 8. 7 7.2 5.2 2.9 0.3 0.2 2.1 4.0 5.6 -0.8 -2.3 -2.5 -1.3 0.6 2.6 4.5 -1.4 -2.8 -2.6 -1.4 6.2 7.0 (5.8) 4.4 5.4 3.8 2.4 1.4 1.4 6.3 6.6 3.7 2.4 5.0 3.8 2.7 -1.4 6. 5 5. 0 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.8 2.0 0.9 0.8 1.6 7. 1 8. 1 4. 9 6. 7 8. 3 3. 7 5. 6 7. 9 13 3.6 2. 1 3. 1 6. 2 6. 6 2. 4 4. 0 5. 8 7. 4 0.5 2.4 4. 5 6. 8 5. 1 1.6 2. 0 3. 1 4. 6 6. 3 -1.9 -3.0 -2.5 -1.1 0.6 2. 6 5. 9 6. 0 2. 1 2. 6 3. 6 4. 9 54 APPENDIX I Continued Ma 16 Hour 17 18 19 20 21 eet 0 6. 4 5. 2 4. 0 3. 1 7.8 2. 9 5.0 4. 2 2 8.4 8.0 6.6 4.8 -0.3 -1.1 -0.6 0.2 1.6 3.2 4.6 5.9 3.5 4.3 5.3 6.2 6.6 6.5 5.6 4.4 3.0 1.4 0.1 -0.5 -0.2 0.7 2.0 3.4 4.8 2.6 3.0 3.9 4.8 5.5 6.2 6.2 5.5 4.5 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.0 2.6 2.3 2.5 3.3 4.3 5.2 5.9 6.3 5.7 4.8 3.7 2.4 1.4 0.8 1.0 1.8 3.1 3.0 6.1 6.6 7.7 8.4 7.9 6.7 5.0 3.0 1.0 -0.7 -1.5 -1.0 0.2 1.7 3.4 4.9 6.2 6.8 3. 6 1 5. 2 6. 4 6. 5 5. 9 4.1 5. 4 19 5.6 4. 6 3. 4 20 6.3 6.6 6.5 6.0 3. 3 4. 6 4.9 5. 6 6. 5 21 2.8 7. 1 3.8 7. 0 6. 3 22 23 4.6 5.8 6.7 3. 2 7.3 3. 3 7.1 3. 7 4. 8 3.9 5. 9 3.3 6. 7 7. 1 3. 1 3.8 4.8 5. 6 6. 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Noon 13 14 15 16 17 18 2.6 0.2 -1.7 -2.5 -1.9 -0.7 1.0 2.8 4.6 6.0 6.6 6.1 7.0 7.5 7.2 6.2 4.7 2.9 1.1 1.8 1.2 1.5 2.3 3.4 4.5 5.4 5.8 5.4 4.4 3.2 2.0 1.0 0.7 1.1 APPENDIX I Continued 22 May 23 Hour 24 25 26 27 28 Feet 5.8 4.3 6.4 5.0 6.7 5.5 7.4 6.4 8.0 1 5.0 3.5 2 7.5 7.5 7.6 2. 1 2. 6 3. 3 3. 9 5. 1 6. 8 1.1 1.5 0.0 -0.8 -0.5 2.1 11 0.9 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.3 4.4 5.4 5.9 5.5 6. 3 3 Noon 3.3 4.6 5.5 0.4 -1.1 -1.4 -0.8 0.5 2.1 3.6 4.9 3.3 1.4 -0.2 -1.2 -0.9 0.0 1.5 3.2 4.6 4.8 2.9 1.0 -0.5 -1.2 -0.6 0.6 2.1 3.7 4. 6 5.5 3.8 1.9 0.0 -1.1 -1.3 -0.4 0.9 2.4 5. 5 5. 7 5. 8 5. 1 4. 0 3. 5 4.4 5. 9 13 5. 1 5. 7 14 15 16 17 6.4 6. 0 2. 2 5. 2 3. 3 4. 1 4. 8 6. 0 1.3 2.2 6. 3 3.8 5. 9 5.1 2. 7 4. 1 18 2.7 1.8 2.0 2.0 3.2 2.7 19 4. 1 1.5 1.5 2.3 3.5 2. 7 2. 6 20 5.6 6.8 3. 0 4.8 4.0 3.7 3.8 5.6 4.8 3.8 3.0 2.9 3.4 5.7 1. 0 2.9 1.9 1.4 4.3 3.4 2.9 3.0 6. 3 5. 4 5. 2 5. 0 4. 4 3. 7 7. 4 7. 3 6. 6 6. 4 6. 3 5. 4 4. 7 6. 9 7. 4 7. 3 7. 4 7. 4 6. 6 5. 7 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 21 22 23 1.6 0.0 -0.2 0.4 1.5 3.0 4.4 5.4 5.9 0.4 1.8 5. 1 56 APPENDIX I Continued 1-lour 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Noon 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 May 29 30 6. 7 6. 0 7. 0 6. 0 4. 6 7. 1 7.3 2.9 1.1 -0.5 -1.3 -1.0 0.0 1.4 2.9 4.3 5.4 5.9 5. 6 6.9 6. 4 5. 3 3.8 2.2 0.5 -0.8 -1.1 -0.5 31 5. 4 6.3 6. 9 6. 8 6. 1 4.9 3.5 1.9 0.4 -0.4 -0.4 (0.6) 0.2 1 Feet 4. 6 5.5 6. 2 6. 6 6. 3 5.6 4.5 3.1 1.7 0.4 -0.2 3.4 4.8 5.6 2.7 4.0 5.1 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.0 4.3 5.3 5.8 6.0 <2.0> 1.3 2 3. 9 4.4 5. 1 5. 9 6. 2 6.0 5.2 4.2 3.0 3. 5 3. 4 3. 8 4. 6 4. 0 3. 6 3. 6 4. 0 4. 7 5. 5 4. 7 4. 0 3. 4 4. 1 5. 1 5.2 5.8 6.0 5.6 4.8 3.7 6.8 3. 1 4. 1 3. 6 3. 6 2. 0 2. 2 2. 8 3. 7 4. 4 6.6 6. 1 3.4 3. 1 6.0 5. 9 5.4 5.7 3. 6 4.4 5. 3 4.7 5.8 3. 2 2.9 5.1 4. 7 4.0 4. 0 4. 7 5. 3 5 5.5 4. 1 3.3 3. 1 3.4 4 2.2 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 5. 8 4.9 3 5.1 4.1 3.0 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.7 1.5 2.6 5. 9 5. 3 June 4. 7 3. 9 6. 1 6. 4 5. 8 4. 9 4. 1 2.7 1.7 1.1 1.3 2.0 2.6 3.6 4.6 5.5 5.9 5.5 4.8 3.7 2.6 1.6 1.2 1.5 3. 1 2. 4 5. 7 5. 1 7. 2 6. 8 5. 8 4. 8 3.7 6.5 7. 6 7. 8 7. 1 6. 0 57 APPENDIX II Observed High and Low Tides OSU Marine Science Center Time Meridian 120° W. Height Datum is MLLW Date May Time Highs hrs. mm. Ht. ft. Lows Ht. ft. Time hrs. mm. 0935 2210 5.8 0330 1535 1028 2240 6.2 7. 7 0416 1617 -0.3 1108 2320 6.5 8. 2 0502 -1.4 1220 2353 8. 7 6.6 0547 1740 -2.2 12 1314 6.8 0645 1829 -2.6 13 0033 1400 9.0 6.8 0726 1915 -3.0 0117 1456 8.8 6. 6 0818 2005 -3.0 15 0210 1602 8.5 6.6 0910 2102 -2.5 16 0310 1715 8.4 6.9 1010 2220 -1.5 17 0408 1815 7.5 6. 5 1108 2330 -1.1 0523 1925 6. 7 6. 6 1215 -0. 6 8 10 11 14 7. 1 1653 0.8 -0.2 -0. 1 0. 2 0. 7 1.3 1.6 2. 1 2.8 3.2 3. 0 APPENDIX II Continued Highs Date May Time hrs. mm. Ht, ft. Time Lows hrs. mm. Ht. ft. 19 0630 2015 6, 3 7. 1 0055 1305 2. 6 0. 0 20 0800 2050 6.3 7. 3 0210 1410 2.2 0900 2129 5.8 7.3 0315 1455 1.2 0. 7 22 1000 2205 5.9 7.4 0357 1546 0.5 1.0 23 1100 2234 5.9 7.5 0445 1629 -0.3 24 1140 2305 5.8 7.3 0515 1703 -0.9 25 1225 2335 5.9 7.6 0550 1735 -1.4 1300 6.4 0625 1800 -1.3 0005 1347 8.0 6. 3 0700 1843 -1.2 0035 1420 7.7 6.0 0737 1924 -1.5 0108 7.3 5.9 0823 1950 -1.4 7. 1 0852 2037 -1. 1 21 27 28 1505 Ii1 0145 1555 5.9 0. 7 1.4 1.4 1.9 2. 7 2. 9 2.9 3. 1 3.3 59 APPENDIX II Continued Date May Time Highs hrs. mm. Ht. ft. Lows Time hrs. mm. Ht. ft. 0225 1632 7. 0 5.9 0946 2132 -0. 6 0305 1727 6.6 6.0 1008 2244 -0.2 2 0415 1817 6.2 6.2 1117 0.1 3 0520 1915 5.9 6.7 0102 1210 3. 1 0645 2005 6.0 7.2 0113 1315 2.9 0805 2030 5.9 0220 1355 1.9 31 June 1 4 5 7. 9 3.5 3.5 0.4 1.1 1. 1 APPENDIX III Levels, To Refer Tide Record to Mean Lower Low Water Levels Run July 3, 1964 Nail in tide staff at3.60m = 1l.8lZft 12.992 BS HI 28. 804 FS - TP 5.014 19. 790 BS+ 4.975 HI FS - TP 24.765 4.998 19. 767 BS+ 4.123 23. 890 MI FS - TP BS HI Fire Plug + FS - TP 20. 990 BS + F'S - I-Il Spike = 17. 000 ft. above MLLW Fire Plug TP BS HI + FS - TP BS HI F'S TP 5.930 17.960 5.975 23.935 2.945 + - 3.759 24. 749 2.938 21.811 2.941 24. 752 3.762 20. 990 2.726 23.716 2.858 20. 858 BS+ 3.701 24. 559 HI FS TP - 4.756 19.803 BS+ 5.150 HI Nail in tide staff at 3. 60 m FS - 24. 953 13. 144 11.809 61 APPENDIX III Continued Determination of staff zero below mean lower low water I - = 44. Nail is 17. 000 ft. -10. 0005 ft.= 6. 9995 ft. above MLLW 6.9995 ft above MLLW 3.60 m.= 11.812 ft.on staff Staff Zero = 6.9995.ft. -11.812 ft,= -4.8125 All observations referenced to the tide staff are 4. 812 ft.higher than the corresponding reading at mean lower low water. APPENDIX IV Tidal Constants to be used in IBM 1410 Program IBM Card Col. No... Cornponent K1 K2 L2 M1 M2 M3 M4 M6 M2 N2 ZN2 Source Smaller lunar elliptic Luni-solar diurnal Luni-solarsemi-diurnal Smaller lunar elliptic Smaller lunar elliptic Principal Lunar Lunar terdiurnal term Lunar quarter diurnal term Lunar sixth diurnal term Lunar eighth diurnal term Larger lunar elliptic Lunarelliptic second order Principal lunar diurnal 01 00 Lunar diurnal term P1 Principal solar diurnal Larger lunar elliptic 2ç Lunar diurnal term R2 Solar semi-diurnal term S1 Solar diurnal term S2 Principal solar S4 Solar quarter diurnal term S6 Solar sixth diurnal term T2 Larger solar elliptic Smaller lunar evectional 2 ii 2 Variational Larger lunar evectional Lunar diurnal terms 1-5 11-15 H ft. 0.067 K° 124.5 116.3 12.3 356.8 94.6 346.9 1. 386 0.190 0.062 0.046 2. 778 0. 014 0. 044 0.021 0.006 0. 566 0.075 0.843 0.036 0.426 0. 141 0. 022 0.066 0.029 0. 728 0. 005 0.001 0.043 0.019 0.043 0.110 0.032 18 P 1 1 2 2 1 2 19.4 3 115. 3 4 291.4 194.6 6 8 2 2 323. 0 299.1 99.9 132. 7 110.5 93.3 83. 5 14.8 258.4 14.8 249. 1 245.6 14.8 359.8 340. 9 326.2 92.8 1. 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 4 6 2 2 2 2 1 20-26 a(°/solar hour) 15.58544 15. 04107 30.08214 29. 52848 14. 49669 28. 98410 43. 47616 57. 96821 86. 95231 115. 9364 28. 43973 27. 89535 13. 94304 16. 13910 14. 95893 13. 39866 12. 85429 30.04107 15. 00000 30. 00000 60. 00000 90.00000 29. 95893 29. 45563 27. 96821 28. 51258 13. 47151 30-34 38-42 Greenwich (V0 + u)° I 53.7 0. 9 181.6 1.025 1.011 1.008 194. 4 30?. 6 1. 200 1. 166 293. 3 260. 0 1.002 1.003 1.004 1.005 326.7 310.0 226.6 269. 8 213.0 329.8 204.0 350.3 272.9 216. 1 177. 4 180.0 0.0 0. 0 0.0 2. 6 121.0 295. 4 352.3 355. 4 1.001 1. 001 1.001 1.018 1.053 1.000 1.018 1. 018 1.000 1.000 1.000 1. 000 1.000 1. 000 1.001 1.001 1.001 1.018 (Defant, 1961) (Schureman, 1941) C' 63 APPENDIX IV, Continued Explanation of The quantity (V0 (V0 + u) + u) is called the equilibrium argument of a constituent at the time t = 0. The time t = 0 is most often taken as 0000 hours on 1 January of the year for which there is an interest in the tide. V = the uniformly varying portion of the argument, and refers to the initial epoch. It depends on the rotation of the earth and the mean motion of the moon in its orbit. u = a slow variation, due to changes in the longitude of the moon's node; (the moon's node being the intersection of the ecliptic and the projection of the moon's orbit). The node moves westward and had a period of 18. 6 years. The value of u is taken for the middle of the year under consideration and is considered constant for the year. (Dronkers, 1964) Values of (V0 + u) for Greenwich for the beginning of each calendar year are tabulated in Table 15 of Schureman (1941). local (V 0+ u) = Greenwich (V0 + u)_pL + 15 where p = 1 when referring to diurnal constituents p = 2 when referring to semidiurnal constituents, etc. L = west longitude in degrees, of station for which predictions are desired (124. 03° W). 64 APPENDIX IV Continued S = west longitude in degrees of time meridian used at the tide station (laO. 000 W). a = speed in degrees per solar hour for the constituent of intere st. A sample calculation is as follows (from Tables 15, 16, 17 of Schureman, 1941): For M2: Greenwich local (V0 (V0 3Z6. 7 ° + u) for January, 1964 for 1 May of each year = 314.22 0 for 8 May of a leap year = + u) = Greenwich (V0 + u)-pL + 164. 950 805. 87° 15 = 805. 87° -(2)(124. 03°) + (28. 984°/hr)(120.00) 15°/hr 65 APPENDIX V Stencil Sums Hour 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Constituent M S 259. 7 301.3 293.2 278.3 259.0 237.4 217.2 202.7 194.0 193.4 199.4 209.0 219.0 219.4 176.0 162.8 178.0 191.2 234.8 271.6 306.4 324.5 320.0 283.4 258. 7 226.8 223.5 227.3 242.6 247.3 255.6 256.9 256.2 266.0 281.9 268.3 273.6 240.8 243.6 231.2 218.9 227.1 229.9 247.3 251.4 250.6 260.6 235.7 272.8 286.5 265.3 275.0 233.4 2174 303.2 307.3 209.8 233. 7 294. 5 249. 8 259. 9 21 22 337. 9 297. 2 20 23 300.9 3a8.7 297.8 0 308.6 282.7 263.7 243.4 225.2 210.8 202.8 201.9 207.1 215.3 222.2 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 215.5 178.6 160.3 168.4 197.3 K 228. 9 234.6 238.8 240. 1 317. 1 227. 7 231. 1 237. 6 249. 5 298. 7 266. 8 233. 8 228. 9 238. 4 . APPENDIX V Continued Mean Constituent Hourly Heights M Hour Divisor 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 29 29 28 29 30 28 29 29 29 29 29 28 29 30 29 29 29 29 29 30 28 29 30 29 Ht. ft. 8.96 7.57 S Divisor Ht. ft. 29 10.39 6. 29 5. 61 5. 93 10. 11 9. 60 8. 93 8. 19 6.83 7.49 8. 10 6. 99 6. 69 9.. 37 10.. 57 6.67 6.88 7.21 7.55 11. 19 11.03 10.12 8. 92 7. 18 6. 16 7. 89 8. 09 8. 23 5.53 8.28 5. 81 8. 30 6.80 8.40 8.61 8.96 8. 06 9.82 10.75 11.33 11.26 10.27 Constituent 29 9.41 9.88 10.25 10.46 K Divisor 30 30 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 28 29 29 29 29 29 28 29 29 Ht. ft. 10.57 10.29 9. 75 9. 09 8. 39 7.77 7. 27 6. 99 6.96 7. 14 7.42 7.66 7. 85 7. 97 7. 97 7.82 7. 83 7.93 8. 19 8.60 9. 15 9.82 10.30 10.60 0 Divisor 29 29 28 30 29 29 29 28 29 30 29 30 29 28 29 29 30 29 28 29 29 29 30 28 Ht. ft. 7.82 7. 71 8. 12 8. 09 8. 53 8.81 8. 86 9. 15 9. 17 9.40 9.25 9.12 9. 20 8. 83 8. 67 8.64 8. 69 8. 13 8. 35 7.89 8.05 7.50 7.95 7.49 67 APPENDIX VI FORTRAN LISTING For the Prediction of Hourly Heights of the Tide Using Twenty-seven Tidal Constants DIMENSIONH (27), XK(27), A(27), P(27), V(27), F(27),AL(27),L(2) DIMENSIONCARG(27), DELC(27), DELS(27), SARG(27) 10 FORMAT(2A5,SF1O.0) 11 FORMAT(F5. 3, FlO. 1, F3. 0, 3F8. 3) 12 FORMAT(13H1INITIAL TIME, 2A5/ I) 13 FORMAT(17, 112. 4) 14 FORMAT(1H1) 15 FORMAT(1H, 14, 5E15. 5) 1 READ(1, l0)L(l),L(2), TI, TEND, 5, XL, HO READ(l, ll)(-I), XK(I), P(I), A(I), V(I), F(I), 1=1, 27) WRITE(3, l2)L(l), L(2) 9 8 2 D021=l, 27 PK=A(I)*S*. 0666666_P(i)*XL-XK(I) AL(I)= V(I)+PK ARG=A(I)*TI+AL(I) ARG=ARG-360. IF (ARG-360.)8,8,9 X=ARG*. 0174533 DELC(I)=COS(A(I)*. 0174533) DELS(I)=SIN(A(I)*. 0174533) CARG(I)=CO5(X) F (I) = 1(I) *H(I) SARG(I)=SIN(X) LINE=O T=TI 3 N= 0 SUM=HO 4 D041=l, 27 SUM=SUM-FF(I)*CARG(I) 5 WRITE(3, 13)N, SUM IF(LINE. EQ. 45)GOTO6 T=T+1. LINE= LINE+ 1 N=N+1 IF(T. GT. TEND)STOP D071=1, 27 X=CARG(I) 7 CARG(I)=DELC(I)*X-DELS(I)*SARG(I) SARG(I)=DELC(I)*SARG(I)+DELS(I)*X APPENDIX VI Continued 6 GOTO3 LINE=O WRITE(3, 14) GOTO5 END Explanation of Tidal Terms in the FORTRAN Listing Tidal Notation a p Greenwich f a (V0 +u) Initial Time Ending Time S L Ho FORTRAN Notation XK A P V F AL TI TEND S XL 1-10 Note the card columns used for the data cards are indicated in the table containing the tidal constituents. APPENDIX VII Hourly Heights Prediction Using IBM 1410 Computer OSTJ Marine Science Center, 1964 Time Meridian: 1200 W Height datum is MLLW Hour 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Noon 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 8 9 10 5. 2 3. 8 6. 2 4. 6 7.4 2.5 1.8 1.8 2.9 1.5 0.7 0.8 1.8 3.2 2.5 3.5 4.7 5.8 6.5 6.5 5.9 4. 7 3. 3 4. 8 1. 1 1.9 1.2 1.3 2.3 4.7 1.9 1.0 1.8 3.1 4. 7 6. 3 7. 4 7.8 7. 4 6.1 6.9 6.9 6.1 3.2 3. 9 5. 6 7. 2 8.2 8. 3 5. 8 3.8 1.8 0.3 -0.4 0.0 1.3 3.0 4.8 6.4 7.2 7.1 6. 2 4.8 3.2 1.9 1.3 1.7 3. 0 4. 8 6. 6 8. 1 8. 8 May 11 12 13 14 8. 5 7. 2 9. 2 8. 5 9. 1 9. 2 8.4 Feet 5.2 2.9 0.7 -0.8 -1.2 -0.6 1. 0 3.0 5.0 6.6 7.4 7. 2 6.2 4. 7 3.1 2.0 1.6 2. 3 3. 8 5. 7 7. 5 8. 8 6.8 4.5 2.0 -0.2 -1.6 -1.8 -0.8 1.0 3.1 5.2 6.8 7. 4 7.1 6. 1 4.6 3.1 2.2 8.2 6.3 3.8 1.2 -0.9 -2.0 -2. 0 -0.8 -2. 1 1.1 -1.8 -0.5 6. 8 5. 4 3.3 5.4 7.3 7.0 5.9 4.5 3.2 2. 1 3. 0 4. 6 2. 5 2. 6 3. 6 8. 1 6. 9 6.4 9. 1 8.9 7.7 5.7 3.2 0.7 -1.1 5.2 1.4 3.5 6.7 7. 1 6.7 5.7 4.5 3. 4 2. 8 3. 1 4. 1 5. 6 APPENDIX VII Continued I Hour 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Noon 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 J 7. 1 8. 3 8.8 8.4 7. 1 5. 1 16 17 5. 7 7. 0 4. 4 5. 4 7. 8 6. 6 7. 6 7. 2 7.9 8.3 1.7 3.6 5.4 4.7 2.7 0.7 -0.7 -1.3 -0.8 0.4 2.0 3.8 6.9 6.5 6.4 6.7 2.8 0.6 6.5 7.3 6.1 May 18 19 20 21 3. 5 4. 1 3. 3 3. 2 3. 7 2. 9 4. 6 3. 2 5. 1 5. 8 3. 5 2. 2 2. 9 Feet 4.9 5.8 6. 5 6. 9 6.6 5.8 4.5 3.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 3.6 4.2 6.3 6.2 5.7 2.6 2.9 4. 4 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.8 5.3 5.9 6.0 5.7 4.8 3.6 2.3 1.3 1.0 5.4 6.4 4.1 5.5 3.0 4.4 2.2 3.5 3.6 3.2 5.7 4.7 3.8 6.5 5.8 4.9 6.9 6.7 6.0 6.8 7.1 6.9 6.3 7.2 7.4 4.4 3.6 3.5 4.0 4.9 -1.1 -1.8 -1.4 -0.1 6. 5 5. 6 4.5 3. 4 5. 3 6. 4 3. 4 4.6 2.8 1.1 -0.2 -0.6 -0.3 0.8 2.3 3. 9 6. 7 4. 0 2. 6 6. 5 5. 0 4.6 3.3 2.0 1. 7 5. 8 6. 0 1. 3 4. 9 7. 0 5.9 2.3 1.9 3.9 4.9 5.7 6.0 5.8 5.0 3.8 2.6 1.7 1.4 1.8 2.7 4. 1 5.6 6.8 7.6 7. 6 6.9 71 APPENDIX VII Continued May 22 Hour 23 24 25 26 27 28 Feet 0 5. 6 6. 5 7. 3 7. 8 4.0 8. 1 4.9 8. 0 7. 7 1 5.9 6.7 7.4 2 7.8 2. 5 7.9 3. 2 4. 1 5. 0 6. 0 3 1.5 1.2 1.6 6. 7 1.6 0.7 0.6 1.2 2.3 7. 2 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.2 3.1 1.2 5.0 0.0 -0.4 0. 1 3. 7 1.3 5.0 5.9 6.3 2.4 4.0 5.4 6.2 2.8 4.4 5.7 -0.2 -0.8 -0.4 0.8 2.3 4.0 5.9 4.1 2.2 0.5 1. 1 4.1 2.1 0.4 -0.5 -0.5 0.3 1.7 3.4 4.9 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 2.4 3.6 4.9 5.8 6.1 5.9 3.1 1.2 -0. 5 -0. 7 0.0 1.4 2.9 Noon 5. 0 5. 9 6. 3 6. 4 6. 0 13 5. 4 3. 9 5. 0 5. 9 6. 3 6. 4 14 6. 2 5. 7 2. 7 3. 8 4. 9 5. 7 6. 2 15 16 17 1.9 2.7 6. 4 3.7 6. 3 4.7 6.2 2. 1 2. 8 3. 6 2.3 2.2 2.4 5. 1 5. 7 2.8 5.4 4.4 3.5 6.0 1. 8 18 4.2 4.9 3. 4 3. 0 2. 7 2. 7 3. 0 3. 4 4. 0 4. 5 19 4. 8 4. 2 3. 7 3. 3 3. 1 20 3. 2 3. 5 6. 3 5. 6 5. 0 4. 4 4. 0 3. 6 21 3. 5 7. 4 7. 0 6. 4 5. 8 22 23 5. 2 4. 6 4. 2 7. 9 7. 9 7. 6 7. 0 6. 5 5. 8 5. 2 7. 6 8. 0 8. 1 7. 9 7. 5 7. 0 6. 4 72 APPENDIX VII Continued May 29 30 Hour June I 31 J 1 2 3 4 5 3.6 3.2 3.4 Feet 0 7.3 6.6 5.9 5.1 4.2 1 7. 7 7. 3 6. 7 5. 9 4. 9 3. 8 7.5 2. 9 2. 4 2 7.5 7.1 6.5 5.6 4.5 3.2 2.0 3 6. 6 7. 0 7. 1 6. 8 6. 2 5. 2 3. 8 2. 3 4 5. 1 5. 9 6. 5 6. 7 6. 4 5. 7 4. 6 3.3 1.5 0.1 -0.6 -0.4 3. 0 5 5.3 3.7 2.2 0.8 0.0 6.2 5.5 6.0 5.9 5.3 4.3 3.2 5.3 5.7 5.8 5.3 4.5 3.4 2.3 1.4 3.9 4.9 5.6 5.8 5.5 4.8 3.7 2.6 10 0. 6 11 Noon 2.0 3.5 4.3 2.6 1.0 -0.1 -0.4 0.0 1.2 2.6 13 4. 9 4. 0 3. 1 14 15 16 17 18 19 5.8 6.2 5.2 5.9 4.4 5.4 5.9 4.7 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.2 3.5 4.7 6. 0 6. 1 6. 0 5.4 5.8 6.0 4. 6 5. 2 4. 0 20 21 22 23 6 7 8 9 -0. 1 0.5 1.7 4.4 3.2 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.7 1.5 2.7 2. 0 1.2 0.8 1. 1 1. 1 1. 7 4.0 2.0 3.2 1.4 2.4 1.4 1.8 5. 7 5. 1 4. 5 3. 7 2. 9 6.1 6.0 5.6 5.1 4.3 5. 7 6. 1 6. 4 6. 4 6. 2 5. 7 4. 5 5. 1 5. 7 6. 2 6. 7 7. 0 6. 9 3. 6 4. 0 4. 5 5. 1 5. 7 6. 5 7. 2 7. 6 3.9 4.6 3.8 4.2 4.0 3.9 4.4 4.0 5.0 4.3 5.8 4.9 6.7 5.8 7.6 6.9 5. 7 5. 0 4. 3 3. 9 3. 7 4. 0 4. 6 5. 6 APPENDIX VIII Tide Curves 8 May to 5 June, 1964 Time in Hours C CD rt I-i. - CD CD -z lime in hours APPENDIX VIII Continued 10 CD I.-. cJq CD CD Cl. L'J -z -4 Time in hours APPENDIX VIII Continued 10 CD I-'. I-a. CD CD -2 -4 Time in hours -4 0' APPENDIX VIII Continued 10 CD I-" CD CD -z -4 Time in hours -J -1 CD I-.. y -2 CD CD -2 0, 8 A TTTT F -- 6 4 2 0 CD -2 I-. CD CD 6 4 2 0 -z -J '0 8 A flflflwt...,- 6 4 2 0 CD I-.. h 8 CD CD rt 6 4 2 0 Time in hours APPENDIX VIII Continued (D I-. Gq (D CD Time in hours I- 8 APPENDIX VIII Continued 6 4 2 0 CD I-" CD 4 Time in hours CD cjq -z CD q I-.. CD CD 8 -2 -z c-p. - I-i. CD CD c-f -2 Time in hours 8 APPENDIX VIII Continued 6 4 z 0 CD I-" I-.. CD CD 6 4 a 0 Time in hours 3 June APPENDIX VIII Continued CD CD CD Time in hours APPENDIX IX Daily Precipitation Newport, Oregon, 1964 Date May 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 June 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 1 2 3 4 5 Precipitation inches 0.26 trace 0.00 0.07 0.16 0.00 0.04 0.02 trace 0.00 0.04 0.11 0.07 0.00 0.00 trace 0.00 0.00 trace 0.48 0.12 trace 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 trace trace 0. 07 0.02 0.00 0.39 0.08 (U. S. Weather Bureau, 1964) APPENDIX IX Continued Barometric Pressure Inches of Mercury Date May, 1964 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 June, 1964 1 2 3 4 5 0000 0400 0800 1200 1600 2000 30. 15 30. 23 30.20 30. 25 30. 26 30.26 30.25 30.30 30.20 29.98 missed 30. 25 30. 26 30. 28 30. 20 30. 14 30.24 30.30 30.07 30. 00 30. 12 30.40 30.02 30.26 30.24 29.99 30. 26 30. 05 30. 10 30. 05 29. 79 29. 98 30. 14 30. 05 30. 00 30. 10 30. 10 30. 03 29. 78 29. 99 30. 13 30. 05 30. 00 30. 12 30. 10 30. 00 29. 78 30. 14 30. 11 30. 06 30. 04 30. 12 30. 10 29. 93 29. 82 30. 15 30. 11 30. 06 30. 12 30. 12 30. 06 30. 00 30. 08 30. 04 30. 08 30. 12 30. 00 30.00 30. 17 30. 08 29. 94 30. 15 30. 18 30. 08 29. 92 30. 12 30. 04 30. 18 30. 18 29. 82 30. 02 30. 15 30. 18 30. 08 29. 94 29. 90 30. 00 29. 89 30. 02 29. 80 29. 82 30.23 30.20 29. 90 29. 96 missed 29.94 29.91 30.30 30.22 29. 89 29.85 29.88 30.00 30. 12 30. 11 29.88 29. 84 30. 16 30. 11 30. 00 30. 15 30.31 30.05 30. 15 30. 10 29.83 29. 90 30. 16 30.08 30. 00 30.23 30. 09 29. 85 30. 03 30. 18 30. 13 30. 06 30. 00 30. 09 29. 98 30. 18 30. 02 29. 90 30. 03 30. 17 30. 10 29. 98 29. 95 30.24 30.21 29. 90 30. 00 30. 00 30. 00 30. 00 30. 01 29. 99 29. 96 29. 85 29. 90 29. 92 29. 94 30.31 29.88 29.92 30.30 30.20 29.86 29.92 30. 10 30. 04 30. 24 30. 02 29. 95 30. 10 30. 18 30. 16 29. 98 29. 94 29.84 missed 29.88 29.90 91 APPENDIX IX Continued Wind Direction and Force (Force is in Beaufort Scale) Date May, 1964 8 9 10 ii 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 June, 1964 1 2 3 4 5 0000 0400 0800 1200 1600 2000 NWZ NW1 SW2 SW4 NWZ SW6 NW1 SWZ SW4 NW2 SW6 NW1 SWZ SW2 NW3 W3 calm NW3 NW5 NWZ NW3 SW5 NWZ N3 SW7 SW3 NW3 NWZ NWZ NW3 SW5 SW6 NW2 N3 SW7 SW3 NW3 NWZ calm calm calm calm calm NE3 NE3 calm NW3 calm calm SW1 calm EZ calm NW6 calm calm NZ SWS NW4 NW1 calm calm calm SW3 missed calm calm calm calm SW6 SE2 SE1 calm calm 5W6 calm NW4 SW4 SW1 NW5 NW5 SW5 SW5 NW3 NWZ SW7 NW3 NW3 NW5 N2 SW3 N2 calm calm NNW6 NW5 SW4 SW3 SW3 NW5 NW3 NW1 SW7 SW6 SWS SW5 SW3 SW5 SW4 SW3 NNW5 NW2 SWZ SW3 Ni NW2 SW4 calm SW1 calm NNW5 NW2 SWZ Ni calm calm missed calm NW4 NW5 NW3 SW4 NW1 NW1 SW7 NW3 NW4 NW4 NNW6 NW5 SW6 SW3 SW3 N5 NW2 calm SW3 NW1 SW1 NW4 calm W2 NW2 NW6 SW4 calm calm W2 NWZ NWZ NW2 NW3 NW3 SW5 SW2 NE3 N5 NW1 calm SW4 SE3 missed calm SW1 92 APPENDIX X Sea Level Data Crescent City, California Year 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 May ft. June Mean for Year 7. 08 7. 37 7. 09 7. 19 7. 20 7. 16 7. 51 7.33 7. 19 7. 08 7. 18 7. 50 ft. 7.49 7.19 7.48 7. 14 7. 28 7.30 7.60 7.34 6.97 7.31 7.35 7. 38 7. 33 6.98 7.37 7. 34 7.26 7. 19 6.85 7. 38 7. 48 7. 30 7. 01 7. 16 7.35 7. 13 7.38 7.28 missing missing 7. 16 7. 29 7. 33 ft. 7. 46 7.49 7.46 7.49 7.37 7.65 7.80 7.48 7.51 7.48 7.46 7. 51 7.47 7.20 7.52 7.44 7.60 7.28 7. 53 7. 33 7. 12 7. 15 7. 27 7. 19 7. 40 7. 11 7. 22 7. 62 7.42 7.32 7. 37 7. 51 7. 65 7.40 7.41 (Union Godsique et Gophysique Internationale, 1959, 1963) 93 APPENDIX X Continued Sea Level Data Neah Bay, Washington Year 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 Mean for Year May ft. June ft. .6. 01 6. 18 6. 58 6. 12 6. 01 6. 30 6. 18 6. 25 6. 47 6. 72 6. 79 6. 60 6. 49 6.51 6.40 6.00 6. 24 6. 38 6. 59 6.46 6. 04 6.17 6.50 6. 18 6.13 6. 67 6.40 5. 96 missing 6. 09 6.49 6. 12 5.87 6. 15 6.47 6. 22 6. 17 6.52 6.71 6.5]. 5.91 6.14 6. 08 6.41 6.42 6. 36 6. 15 6. 21 6. 15 6. 17 6. 44 5,94 6. 30 6. 15 6. 41 6. 28 5.98 ft. 6.49 6.60 6.46 6.46 6. 51 6.51 6.48 6. 59 6.45 6. 63 6. 56 6.62 6. 64 6.34 6.40 missing 6. 70 missing 6.45 (Union Godsique et Gophysique internationale, 1959. 1963) 94 APPENDIX XI High and Low Tides for Newport Predicted from the Tide Table High Time Low ft. Time hrs. mm. Ht. ft. 0.7 Ht. Date May hrs. mm. 8 0921 2152 6.5 7.7 0333 1526 1021 2226 6.6 0421 1608 0.5 1117 2301 6.7 0506 1651 -0.3 1213 2339 6.8 0551 1733 1.O 1. 6 1308 6.8 0637 1817 -1.4 0725 1904 -1.7 2.4 0815 1955 -1.7 0908 2053 -1.5 -1. 1 9 10 11 12 8. 1 8. 5 8. 7 1.3 1. 0 1. 2 2.0 0019 1404 8.8 0102 1503 8.7 0147 1605 8,4 0240 7.9 1711 6. 5 1004 2203 0340 1816 7.4 6.6 1105 2326 -0.7 18 0452 1915 6.9 6.8 1206 -0.3 19 0613 2006 6.4 0053 1306 2.7 13 14 15 16 17 6. 7 6. 6 6. 5 7. 0 2. 7 3. 0 3. 1 3. 1 0. 2 95 APPENDIX XI Continued Low High Time Ht. Time hrs. mm. Ht. ft. Date hrs. mm. 20 0738 2049 6. 1 0210 2. 1 7. 3 1401 0. 6 21 0853 2126 6.0 7.5 0312 1451 1.5 1.0 22 0958 2159 6. 0 0403 1535 0. 9 23 1055 6. 1 2229 7.8 0446 1615 0.3 1.8 24 1145 2258 6. 1 0525 1653 -0. 1 25 1230 2327 6.2 7.8 0600 -0.5 2.4 26 131.3 6. 1 2355 7. 8 27 1355 6. 1 28 0024 1437 7. 7 0054 7. 6 May ft. 7.7 7.8 6. 1 1728 1.4 2.2 0635 1802 -0. 7 0709 1836 -0. 7 0743 1910 -0. 7 -0.6 3.3 2. 7 2.9 3.2 1521 6.0 0819 1947 30 0129 1607 7 4 6.0 0859 2031 -0. 5 31 0208 1655 7. 2 0941 2126 -0. 3 29 6.0 3.4 3.4 96 APPENDIX XI Continued Time Low Ht. ft. Time Ht. ft. hrs. mm. 0257 1742 6. 9 1026 2234 -0. 1 2 0354 1827 6. 6 6.4 1114 2353 0.2 3 0506 6. 1204 0.4 1909 6. 0627 1949 5. 9 7. 2 0110 1254 2.4 0748 2027 5. 8 7. 7 0215 1345 1.6 Date June 1 5 hrs. mLi. 6.1 a 3. 3 3. 0 7 0. 7 1. 1 97 APPENDIX XII Bay High and Low Tides for Humboldt Tables as Recorded in the Tide Time Meridian 120° W. Height Datum is MLLW Highs Time hrs. mm. Date Lows Time hrs. mm. Ht. ft. Ht. ft. 1.2 May 8 0908 2139 4.9 6.1 0321 1514 9 1008 2213 5.0 6.5 0409 1556 10 1104 2248 5. 1 6.9 0454 1639 11 1200 2326 5. 2 0539 7. 1 1721 12 1255 5.2 0625 1805 13 0006 7.2 5.1 0713 1852 -1.8 2.3 14 0049 1450 7.1 5.0 0803 1943 -1.8 2.6 15 0134 1552 6.8 4.9 0856 2041 -1.6 2.9 16 0227 1658 6.3 4.9 0952 2151 -1.2 3.0 17 0327 1803 5. 8 -0. 8 5.0 1053 2314 3.0 18 0439 1902 5.3 5.2 1154 -0.4 1351 0.6 0.4 0.9 -0.4 1. 1 -1. 1 1. 5 -1.5 1.9 APPENDIX XII Continued Lows Time hrs. mm. Highs Time Ht. Date hTs. mm. ft. May 19 0600 1953 4. 8 20 0725 2036 4.5 21 0840 2113 22 Ht. ft. 0041 1254 2. 6 0158 1349 2.0 4.4 5.9 0300 1439 1.4 0.9 0945 2146 4.4 6.1 0351 1523 0.8 1.3 1042 2216 4. 5 0434 0. 2 23 6.2 1603 1.7 24 1132 2245 4.5 -0.2 6. 2 0513 1641 25 1217 2314 4.6 6.2 0548 1716 -0.6 2.3 26 1300 2342 4. 5 0623 1750 -0. 8 27 1342 4. 5 0657 1824 -0.8 2.8 28 0011 1424 6.1 0731 1858 -0.8 29 0041 1508 6.0 0807 1935 -0.7 3.2 30 0116 1554 5.8 4.4 0847 2019 -0.6 3.3 31 0155 1642 5.6 4.4 0929 2114 -0.4 3.3 5.4 5. 7 6.2 4. 5 4.4 0. 1 0. 5 2. 1 2.6 3. 1 APPENDIX XII Continued Highs Ht. Time hrs. mm. ft. Date June 1 0244 1729 Time Lows hrs. mm. Ht. ft. -0.2 5. 3 1014 2222 5. 0 4,8 1102 2341 2.9 4.5 3.2 0. 1 a 0341 1814 3 0453 1856 4. 6 1152 0.3 0614 4.3 0058 1242 2. 0. 1936 0735 2014 5. 1 5. 6 4. 2 6. 1 0203 1333 3 6 1.5 1. 0 (U. S. Coast and Geodetic Survey, 1964)