ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04 Regional Seminar on Broadband Wireless Access for Asia-Pacific Region Busan, 10.9.04 Wireless Broadband in the Global Scene Fabio Leite ITU Radiocommunication Bureau Regional Seminar on Broadband Wireless Access for Asia-Pacific Region Busan, 10.9.04 Wireless Broadband in the Global Scene Contents • Birth of BWA & return of FWA • The ITU vision of wireless future • Broadband initiatives • Road to global BWA F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau 1 ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04 Connecting the World World population: Not having broadband: 6.4 billion 6.3 billion “…The economic and social case for developing broadband access is very strong and takes on added significance for rural and remote communities, where improved communications can address a variety of challenges posed by distance.” OECD, April 2004. New fact: the emergence of broadband wireless as a platform to provide low-cost high-performance access networks in rural and remote areas. Internet & Broadband Growth In millions, worldwide 700 10.7% Internet 600 7.4% Broadband 500 400 4.0% Broadband as % of Internet users 300 0% 200 100 1.4% 0.3% 0% 0% 1995 1996 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Source: ITU, 2003. F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau 2 ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04 Broadband worldwide Shaded countries (81) had commercially available broadband services at 31.12.2002. Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database Wireless & wired broadband access Wired access systems mostly in urban areas. 100 %, 90 2003 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 BWA in rural areas is becoming the ideal means of extending the capabilities of the wired access systems . Australia Canada Japan Korea New Zealand USA DSL Cable Modem Rural Pop Source: OECD, 2004. F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau 3 ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04 Broadband Wireless Access “This “This will will revolutionize revolutionize society, society, just just as as mobile mobile telephony revolutionized society in the 1980s” telephony revolutionized society in the 1980s”,, Mike MikeGalvin, Galvin,Director Directorof ofInternet InternetOperations, Operations,BT. BT. “Some “Some ideas ideas that that have have been been given given up up for for dead dead can can be be revived, revived, either either through through rethinking rethinking the the basic basic business business model, model, or or through through advances advances in in technology. technology. In In particular, particular, the the proposal proposal for for Internet Internet access access through through fixed fixed wireless, wireless, which which led led to to major major losses losses at at Winstar, Teligent, as well as at AT&T Wireless and Winstar, Teligent, as well as at AT&T Wireless and Sprint, Sprint, may may yet yet turn turn out out to to be be the the best best way way to to provide provide residential residential broadband broadband access.” access.”,, Andrew AndrewOdlyzko, Odlyzko,Univ. Univ.of ofMinnesota Minnesota Business Model Shift Centrally-planned Market-driven fiber ISDN Wi-Fi hotspots satellite fixed-telephony cellular BWA ADSL MVNO FWA cable-modem VoIP Regulated Open competition Utility-based Technology-based F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau 4 ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04 Fixed Wireless Service revenues by region 1999-2005 Fixed wireless deployments to both households and business premises could reach almost 28 million customers by 2005. The market by then was estimated to be worth almost $42 billion in service revenues, and would have penetrated almost all developing and advanced world economies. Source: ARC Group, Dec. 2000. BWA market Steady growth Source: http://www.visantstrategies.com/chart80216mod.html F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau 5 ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04 Status & roles of BWA A migration path to beyond IMT-2000 systems. World Market Market Forecasts Forecasts World 2003-2008 2003-2008 by by More likely to be used by holders of BWA spectrum rather than mobile carriers. Plays a role in outdoor and private networks, the extension of hot spots, and backhaul applications that lack line-of-sight. Equipment is forecast to reach a value of approximately $1 billion in 2008, the study finds, with growth accelerating late in the period Systems beyond IMT-2000 Systems beyond IMT-2000 will encompass the capabilities of previous systems Mobility IEEE 802.16e/20 New capabilities of systems beyond High WCDMA HSDPA EV-Enhanced EVcdma2000 IMT-2000 1x IMT-2000 DO DV New Mobile Access IEEE 802.16-2004 HIPERMAN Dashed line indicates that the exact data rates associated with systems beyond IMT-2000 are not yet determined Enhancement t Enhancemen MBWAWi-Bro WMAN NWA Low 1 interconnection New Nomadic / Area Wireless Access Local 10 100 Peak Useful Data Rate (Mb/s) Nomadic / Local Area Access Systems 1000 IEEE 802.11a/b/g HIPERLAN Digital Broadcast Systems F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau 6 ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04 Broadband global initiative Plan of Action (Document WSIS-03/GENEVA/DOC/5): C2. Information and communication infrastructure: an essential foundation for the Information Society: d) Develop and strengthen national, regional and international broadband network infrastructure, including delivery by satellite and other systems , to help in providing the capacity to match the needs of countries and their citizens and for the delivery of new ICT-based services. Support technical, regulatory and operational studies by the ITU and, as appropriate, other relevant international organizations in order to: • broaden access to orbital resources, global frequency harmonization and global systems standardization; • encourage public/private partnership; • promote the provision of global high-speed satellite services for underserved areas such as remote and sparsely populated areas; • explore other systems that can provide high-speed connectivity. Broadband regional initiatives AMERICAS AMERICAS Resolution Resolution PCC.I/RES.21 (II-03) PCC.I/RES.21 (II-03) onBroadband BroadbandAccess Access on Technologies and Technologies and Services Services Policies to promote national broadband infrastructure. ASIA-PACIFIC ASIA-PACIFIC ActionPlan: Plan:“The “The Action EuropeanBroadband Broadband European Strategy” Strategy” ECCOM(2003) COM(2003)65 65 EC “Electronic “Electronic communications: the communications: the roadtotothe theknowledge knowledge road economy economy ”” APECAsia AsiaBroadband Broadband APEC Program (conducted by Program (conducted by Japan) (2002-05) Japan) (2002-05) IT-related policy measures towards a globally-balanced IT society. - all Member States to put comprehensive national broadband strategies in place by the end of 2003; - all public administrations to have broadband connections by end 2005; - half of all Internet connections to be broadband by 2005. F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau 7 ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04 The road to BWA Resources & policy Service objectives Technology strategy • Spectrum & regulations • System requirements • Radio interface standards ITU & BWA Radiocommunications Radiocommunications Preferred frequency frequency bands bands (harmonization) (harmonization) -- Preferred Draft ITU-R ITU-R Recommendation Recommendation on on radio radio interface interface --specifications Draft (requirements & & standards) standards) specifications (requirements Collaboration with with external external organizations organizations -- Collaboration (e.g., IEEE IEEE 802.16 802.16 WG WG & & ETSI ETSI Project Project BRAN) BRAN) (e.g., Strategy & & Policy Policy Strategy Workshops &publications publications(e.g., (e.g.,Promoting PromotingBroadband, Broadband, - Workshops & The Birth Birth of of Broadband Broadband & & country country case case studies) studies) The Developingcountries countries Developing Report on Broadband Technologies(ITU-D (ITU-D Q.20/2) Q.20/2) - Report on Broadband Technologies Seminars on on BWA BWA -- Seminars Visit: http://www.itu.int/ITU-R/study-groups/was/ F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau 8