September 2003 Implementation of IMT-2000 Technology Options and Economic Consequences of Migrating Existing Systems ITU-BDT Seminar on Network Evolution Doha, Qatar 29 September – 1 October 2003 Tom Wasilewski Telecommunications Management Group 1 September 2003 Content • Why Migrate Systems? • Migration Paths • Current Trends in Migration • Role of Government 2 1 September 2003 Why Migrate Systems? 3 September 2003 Migration – Reasons from Government’s Perspective • Encourages efficient use of the spectrum • Gives operators maximum business flexibility • Allowing such flexibility attracts investment • Positions industry to respond to change in the market both from demand and supply side • Public interest 4 2 September 2003 Migration – Reasons from Operator’s Perspective • Take advantage of existing capital expenditures and reduce further capital costs • Reduce licensing costs (e.g., need for additional spectrum) • Increase voice capacity • Increase growth opportunities (e.g., provision of new services - data services, location-based applications) 5 September 2003 Migration Paths 6 3 September 2003 cdmaOne to CDMA2000 1X Requires minimal and incremental modifications to existing system NIU New 1X Channel Card New Software BTS New Terminals (backward compatible) Software Upgrade BSC PDSN Software Upgrade MSC IWF IP Backbone The network is architected to deliver Internet and advanced services seamlessly, and without the need to build -out a new packet network PSTN WWW VPN Enterprise Network 7 September 2003 CDMA2000 1X to CDMA2000 1xEV-DO easy network upgrade... cdmaOne Network Evolving to CDMA2000 1X Adding CDMA2000 1xEV New Terminal (backward compatible) BTS New 1X Channel Card New Software New 1xEV Channel Card New Terminal (backward compatible) Software Upgrade BSC PDSN Software Upgrade MSC PSTN Commercial IP Router Packaged by Vendor IWF IP Backbone WWW VPN Enterprise Network 8 4 From TDMA to CDMA2000: preserving investments September 2003 in the existing core network TDMA to CDMA2000 1X TDMA Network New Off-the-shelf CDMA2000 Terminal BTS CDMA2000 BTS* BSC Software Update PDSN MSC New Equipment with 1X Channel Card New Equipment Commercial Router with Modifications Modem Pool * Usually co-located with TDMA equipment, requires separate interface protocols IP Backbone PSTN WWW VPN Enterprise Network 9 September 2003 From TDMA to GSM/GPRS to EDGE to WCDMA IS-41 CORE NETWORK CDMA2000 1x EV-DO TDMA CDMA2000 1X CDMA2000 1xEV-DV WCDMA EDGE GSM GPRS GSM MAP CORE NETWORK 2G 2.5G 3G 14.4kbps 64kbps 144kbps and up 10 5 September 2003 Migration from TDMA to GSM/GPRS and WCDMA requires a complete network overhaul New Terminal (GSM/TDMA/AMPS?) Adding WCDMA Upgrade toTDMA GPRS to GSM TDMA Network New Terminal (GSM/GPRS/ TDMA/AMPS?) New Equipment BTS New Terminal (TDMA/GSM/GPRS/ WCDMA/AMPS?) GSM GSM/ BTS GPRS BTS BTS* Upgrade New GSM GSM/ BSC BTS Equipment GPRS BSC BSC* WCDMA BTS* New Equipment New Equipment 3G SGSN* Upgrade New Equipment GSM GSM MSC MSC* MSC WCDMA BSC* New Equipment SGSN New Equipment Upgrade Modem Pool IP Backbone PSTN * Usually co-located with TDMA & 2G/2.5G equipment, requires separate interface protocols Non-standard router 3G/GPRS GPRS Backbone Backbone Upgrade GGSN 3G GGSN* VPN WWW Enterprise Network New Equipment 11 September 2003 From NMT to CDMA2000 ü Smooth migration to digital technology in the 450 MHz band may be performed in several stages. ü Stage 1 - initial deployment: Introduction of a single CDMA2000 1X carrier and guardbands. NMT network remains operational in parallel with the new CDMA2000 system. ü Stage 2 - network growth: Introduction of a second CDMA2000 1X carrier. NMT service operational with limited quality due to reduced bandwidth available. ü Stage 3 – high demand for data services: Introduction of a dataoptimized carrier (1xEV-DO or 1xEV-DV) to meet users’ data needs. 12 6 September 2003 From NMT to CDMA2000 guardbands 1,25 MHz 2,7 MHz 1X RTT NMT450 guardbands 1X RTT stage 1 1,5 MHz 1X RTT stage 2 NMT450 guardbands 1X RTT 463,0 463,975 1X RTT 1X EV-DO /1X EV-DV 465,225 466,475 NMT450 0,2 MHz 467,5 stage 3 frequency, MHz 13 September 2003 Options are Growing for GSM Operators ü GSM with a GPRS overlay for data services ü Migrate GSM/GPRS to EDGE ü GSM/GPRS with a CDMA2000 1xEV-DO overlay in existing spectrum ü Obtain new spectrum and deploy WCDMA ü Migrate GSM/GPRS using a GSM1X overlay in existing spectrum 14 7 September 2003 From GSM to GSM 1X PSTN/PL PSTN/PL MN MN SIM GSM/GPRS Service Network GSM/GPRS RAN GSM/GPRS ISUP A Intf Abis ISUP GSM MSC Gb BTS MA P GTP BSC GSM/GPRS Switching Network AuC HLR GPRS SGSN SIM MA P GSM & CDMA20001X CDMA2000 1X RAN GSM1x Mobile Switching Node IOS4 BSC A10/ A11 SMSC Prepaid GPRS GGSN Billing Voice & Packet Switching CDMA2000 1X SIM GSM GMSC ISUP MA P GTP Abis BTS OAM&P 1xEV-DO RAN A10/ A11 SIM GSM/GPRS CDMA2000 1X Convergence Element SCP Internet/ Internet/ Intranet Intranet AAA PDS N 15 September 2003 Attraction of CDMA2000 as a Migration Option CDMA2000 was designed with a philosophy of spectrum independence, enabling existing systems to migrate to 3G using 1.25 MHz radio frequency channels. Current Spectrum CDMA2000 CDMA2000can can operate operateininvarious various bands: bands: • •450 450MHz MHz • •700 700MHz MHz • •800 MHz 800 MHz • •900 MHz 900 MHz • •1700 1700MHz MHz • •1800 1800MHz MHz • •1900 MHz 1900 MHz • •2100 MHz 2100 MHz ANSI-41 Based Systems GSM-MAP Based Systems Or New Spectrum Analog Analog 1X 1X 1X 1X cdmaOne cdmaOne 1X 1X 1X 1X TDMA TDMA 1X 1X 1X 1X 1X GSM GSM/GPRS or GSM/GPRS 1X 1X 1X 5 MHz 16 8 September 2003 Attraction of CDMA2000 as a Migration Option Migration Migration to to CDMA2000 CDMA2000 can can be be incremental incremental • Operators of TDMA, GSM, and NMT systems can use CDMA2000 1X and 1x-EV-DO solutions today to address specific demands in specific markets: – Increase voice capacity where company faces spectrum constraints (e.g., introducing two CDMA2000 1X carrier channels can increase TDMA voice capacity by at least 50%) – Provide high speed data services where specific demand is high from business and commercial residents (e.g., up to 2.4 Mbps for CDMA2000 1xEV-DO) – Provide robust connectivity to underserved areas 17 September 2003 Attraction of CDMA2000 as a Migration Option CDMA2000 handsets are readily available and relatively inexpensive • Over 400 handset, terminals, PDA, modems available models • Offer color displays, MP3 players and photo cameras, support high-speed data access • CDMA2000 devices are backwards compatible with cdmaOne devices • CDMA2000 1X devices have a long battery life (250 hours) 18 9 September 2003 Attraction of CDMA2000 as a Migration Option CDMA2000 is delivering value to consumer and increased revenue to operators Applications Revenue per Subscriber (ARPU) $35.00 • • • • Multimedia messaging Game downloads Telematics Camera and motion video $30.00 $25.00 $20.00 $15.00 $10.00 $5.00 $0.00 2G Data Voice CDMA2000 CDMA2000 1X Grey 1X Color 1.19 3.29 5.75 20.69 26.76 28.06 CDMA2000 delivers nearly 5 times an increase in data revenue and more than 50% higher total revenue per subscriber 19 Source: Morgan Stanley, June 2002 September 2003 Reasons for CDMA2000 Success Requires relatively small capital investments Total Capex (US$ billion) KTF (CDMA2000 1X and 1xEV-DO) 1.2 Sprint PCS (CDMA2000 1X) 1.6 LGT (CDMA2000 1X) 0.4 KDDI (CDMA2000 1xEV-DO) 2.4 DoCoMo (W-CDMA) AT&T Wireless (GSM/GPRS/EDGE/WCDMA) Source: Morgan Stanley, June 2002 10.9 4.4 20 10 September 2003 Current Trends in Migration to CDMA2000 21 September 2003 CDMA Deployment Around the World Puerto Rico South Korea 124 cdmaOne commercial networks (first deployed Sept 1995) 56 CDMA2000 1X commercial networks (first deployed Oct 2000) 7 CDMA2000 1xEV-DO commercial networks (first deployed Jan 2002) cdmaOne commercial CDMA2000 1X commercial CDMA2000 1xEV-DO commercial 22 11 September 2003 Role of Government in Addressing IMT-2000 Implementation, Evolution and Migration • Permit flexible use of the radio spectrum Ø Limit segmentation of the wireless market (e.g., assigning bands on specific service basis) Ø Limit obstacles for operators to enhance existing networks or portions of their network • Adopt technology neutral approach (e.g., licensing such as service rules, terms and conditions of licenses and development of universal service policies) • Keep current with technological developments • Maintain dialogue with operators, vendors, and consumers 23 September 2003 Thank You Tom Wasilewski Telecommunications Management Group 1-703-224-1501 tomw@tmgtelecom.com 24 12