ITU/APT Workshop on NGN Planning Session 7 Planning of Broadband Wireless Access for Rural and Remote Areas Ignat Stanev ITC, Bulgaria ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 1 Presentation : motivation and content: Rural and remote areas telecom case : usually not interesting from business point of view telecom development should be supported by government Percentage of the population living in rural areas 71% 71% SubSaharan Africa East Asia & Pacific 75% 27% Latin America South Asia Source: The World Bank(1992) ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 2 1 Rural population and teledensity Population of large cities as % Large city teledensity [%] Rural areas teledensity [%] Overall teledensity [%] Low Income 6,0 9,26 2,15 2,54 Lower Middle 5,8 24,84 7,30 8,77 1 : 1,5 Upper Middle 16,1 30,77 21,10 22,94 1 : 1,05 High Income 10,8 57,49 54,83 55,21 Africa 12 6,42 1,39 1,99 Americas 13,6 34,8 21,72 11,39 Asia 4,8 25,97 6,94 7,84 Europe 10,9 48,24 30,19 31,98 Oceania 17,8 45,97 36,77 38,38 WORLD 7,7 17,4 25,25 9,20 1 : 4,3 1 : 3,4 ITU WTID 2002 ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 3 Largest cities vs. rural areas in some countries Country China Mongolia Thailand Tunisia India Bangladesh Bulgaria Pakistan Qatar Syria Urban population (% ) 41.8 61.0 28.9 64.4 28.5 22.0 70.0 33.5 91.8 51.4 Urban population (%) % of main lines in urban areas Teledensity [% ] 67.4 26.6 70.5 5.9 50.3 11.0 97.0 12.3 73.3 4.5 95.0 0.8 78.0 32.1 3.4 75.1 99.0 26.4 82.5 15.2 % of main lines in urban areas 120.0 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 Sy ri a Q at ar ria Pa kis ta n sh Bu lg a ia ad e In d Ba ng l isi a ila Tu n lia Th a a hi n M on go C nd 0.0 ITU WTID 2004-2006 ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 4 2 Largest cities vs. rural areas - user behaviour Findings of the United Nations : all growth in population will concentrate in urban areas, no growth in rural areas most of the growth will concentrate in urban areas of less developed regions Users will concentrate in urban areas, areas, as urban areas put higher pressure on the individual to "do what the others do" and from technical point it is easier to connect people in urban areas ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 5 Broadband connection – statistics Internet access of households by type of connection, 2005 (Yearbook 2006-07 ) Top 10 countries by mobile multimedia users as % of population, 2003 Spain Norway Finland UK German Sweden Singapo France S.Kore Japan 0 10 20 30 http://reports.tmgtelecom.com/ssmi ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 6 3 IT density as bases for BB services requiring PC/Internet access Density statistics for Information technology : Internet hosts per 10 000 inhabitants Internet users per 10 000 inhabitants PCs per 100 inhabitants Low Income 0,98 62,21 0,59 Lower Middle Income Upper Middle Income High Income 4,32 264,94 2,45 78,69 992,66 8,24 1 484,20 3 992,87 37,31 Africa 3,38 84,89 1,06 Americas 1 332,97 2 164,28 26,57 Asia 28,73 433,97 2,18 Europe 191,47 1 804,54 17,94 Oceania 885,26 2 771,59 39,91 WORLD 232,66 820,81 7,74 Ratio Low Income/High Income : 1 : 64 SubSub-Saharan Africa region : Low Income : 39 Lower middle Income : 4 Upper middle Income : 5 1 : 63 High Income : 1 ITU WTID 2002 ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 7 Broadband customers – influence of ICT ICT presented by % of homes with Personal Computer and with Internet access for selection of European countries, data from 2005 : % of homes with Internet % of homes with a Personal Computer 100.0 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 Austria Belgium Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Iceland Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands Norway Portugal Spain Sweden Switzerland United Czech Kingdom Republic Estonia Hungary Latvia Lithuania Poland Slovak Bulgaria Romania Republic Source ITU Database 2006 ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 8 4 EU Project - Broadband for All To develop the network technologies and architectures allowing a generalised and affordable availability of broadband access to European users, including those in less developed regions, peripheral and rural areas. Optimised access technologies, as a function of the operating environment, at affordable price allowing for a generalized introduction of broadband services in Europe including less developed regions ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 9 Conclusion for the rural and remote areas characteristics There is difference between rural and urban telecom development, which depends mainly upon the country development (e.g. low income, high income countries) Broadband access depends on the IT penetration in the country and that will influence the rural and remote areas BB access In every region of the world there is diversity of different countries (as low income, high income, etc.) which should present different requirements to the rural and remote areas BB access ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 10 5 Planning of bradband wireless access Critical Re-Optimization OpEx intensive Critical Network planning Demand Forecast Plan New Build CapEx sensitive Operate & Maintain Purchase / Build BUILD PLAN RUN OPEX Intensive CAPEX Sensitive O ptim um C osts Service Definition Service Definition / Market Capture / Market Capture Traffic Demand Traffic Demand Generation / Distribution Generation / Distribution Total ATM ATM IPIP/ /MPLS MPLS Voice Voice SS7 SS7 15% Access Technology Access Technology Selection / Roll-Out Selection / Roll-Out Business BusinessCase Case Analysis Analysis 9% SONET SONET/ /SDH SDH Synchronization Synchronization Service Mix, 85% Geographical Traffic Demand ITU/APT Workshop Bandwidth 5% Requirements NODES Exchanges 9% Optical OpticalRing Ring Optical Mesh Optical Mesh CCORE ircuits 52% Link ACCESS 25% Requirements Subscribers WDM WDMLinks Links nodes no. of exchanges 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 11 Broadband access technologies xDSL HFC ITU/APT Workshop Wireless SAT Power line FTTx 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 12 6 Planning process for planning of wireline (DSL) BB access network Market Evolution Data Design Parameters/ .Rules DSL Network components Economic factors Customers demand BB services Define and Characterize the Market Data Design DSL Access Network Perform Techno Economic Analysis VPIaccessMaker VPIaccessMaker VPIaccessMaker Target Geography BB market DSL Network Design ITU/APT Workshop Economic Analysis of DSL Network 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 13 Planning process for planning of wireless BB access network ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 14 7 Planning case studies performed with available network planning tools The case studies present the planning process that needs to be performed for evaluation of wireless broadband access in rural and remote areas Planning includes market definition and optimization of the access network. First access network is optimized regardless of the terrain characteristics, then network is analysed for coverage and result is adjusted correspondingly The case studies are planned with professional NP tools, available through ITU partners ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 15 Planning tools – One Plan Access (VPIaccessMaker (VPIaccessMaker)) Market definition Evolution forecasting Demand mapping Technology modeling Network design optimization Roll-out results Market capture for a service provider ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 16 8 Planning tools - LStelcom MULTIlink MULTIlink is a complete solution for fast microwave link engineering and designing of PMP/WLL/LMDS networks. It can be used for planning and optimizing single links (e.g. path loss, coverage and availability calculations) as well as for doing network-wide analysis (e.g. interference calculation, channel assignment). ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 17 Oman – Test Case study ITU/BDT Arab Regional Workshop on “Wireless Network Evolution” Evolution” Rural market – Muscat area ITU/APT Workshop MuscatMuscat-Oman, 0303-05 May 2004 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 18 9 Case study Oman - Market forecasting: Permanent service – Residential - connection at 64 Kbit/s Business - connection at 128 Kbit/s Market based on inhabitants / households per sq. km. and penetration from 2% to 10% ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 19 Case study Oman - Technology definition : ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 20 10 Case study Oman - Planning process : ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 21 Case study Oman - Planning wireless : BS coverage calculation Max server coverage ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 22 11 Case study – Papua New Guinea : TELIKOM planning team Suburban / Rural market – Port Moresby area ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 23 Case study Papua New Guinea – Suburban and rural area : User per sector: 254 Sector payload: 18 Mbps Radius per BS: 3 KM Frequency of Operation: 2.3, 2.4 GHz Bandwidth: 3.5 MHz TELIKOM planning wireless BB access ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 24 12 Case study Papua New Guinea – Planning process : optimization of service areas ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 25 Case study Papua New Guinea – Planning wireless : ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 26 13 Case study Bamako - suburban area : Wireline xDSL and WiMAX overlay ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 27 Case study Bamako - Planning process : Technology specification Network Optimization ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 28 14 Case study Bamako - Planning wireless : BS coverage BS coverage calculation ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand calculation Session 7_1 - 29 Case study Bamako – Wireless access network : ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 30 15 Case study Bamako - Economic Analysis : Revenues, Costs, NPN ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 31 Conclusions for planning of bradband wireless access Service/market forecasting, access network optimization and economic analysis are main phases of planning also for broadband wireless access in rural and remote areas Planning of broadband wireless access requires additional analysis with regard to evaluation and optimization of the terrain coverage Effective planning of broadband wireless access in rural and remote areas includes application of appropriate planning tools ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 32 16 Requirements to services and customer segments definition and forecasting Broadband penetration forecasts for the residential market - EU e.g. Permanent service Defined by required bandwidth or bit rate y (e.g. no. of subscribers) Saturation limit Logistic or Gompertz' trend Linear trend Exponential trend Time 0 Beginning interval Average interval Forecasting of customer segments e.g. Residential market: Saturation interval Typical for rural and remote areas : ITU/APT Workshop Individual, family, commune services/users 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 33 Requirements to the modeling of user locations zones /areas => => Digital maps – Geo data nodes / sites ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 34 17 Requirements to the geographical information Scanned paper maps (raster format) Orthorectified satellite images and aerial photography Satellite image - resolution of 0.64m to 5m is available on the market for nearly every area in the world (aerial photography is more precise usually has a pixel resolution of 0.1m to 2m) DTM Elevation data DEM DBM ITU/APT Workshop Clutter data (Sea, Forest, Industrial areas, Dense Urban, etc.) 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 35 Requirements to the network optimization Location on nodes : E.g. optimal placement of BS Service areas : E.g. optimal service areas of a BS wireless resource is limited, i.e. not possible to have several BS in the same or nearly the same location, as is the case with wireline nodes (e.g. DSLAMs) in some wireless technologies served area is function of the traffic load (the sells breathing effect) ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 36 18 Requirements to the radio network planning Prediction Models : Freespace Propagation Scattering Diffraction Tropospheric Effects Reflection Atmosph. Absorption Loss f>10 GHz Rain Attenuation f>5GHz Non-Terrain Based • Use of "effective antenna height" • Monotonous decline of field strength with increasing distance to transmitter Example: ITU-R P. 370 DTM Based • Diffraction, shading, reflection • Terrain elevation and land use (morphology) • 2D and 3D models Examples: "Epstein-Peterson", "Longley&Rice", "Okumura-Hata" ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 37 Future short and long-term work More complex statistical analysis of users in underdeveloped peripheral and rural areas Additional typical case studies from rural and remote areas of less developed regions Application of other NP tolls (through ITU) and preparation of general technical tools requirements for planning of broadband wireless access in rural and remote areas Optional, field trials based on case study results ITU/APT Workshop 16 – 17 March 2007, Bangkok, Thailand Session 7_1 - 38 19