ITUITU-D/ ITUITU-T Seminar on Standardization and Development of Next Generation Networks for the Arab Region 29 April – 2 May 2007, Manama, Barhain Planning and design requirements for NGN Oscar González Soto ITU Consultant Expert Strategic Planning and Assessment April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 1 Network Planning Requirements Content • Role of Network Planning • Requirements • Domains and methodology • Network design issues in NGN • Strategic Planning and Technology mapping April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 2 Network Planning Requirements Mission of network Planning “Decision making on the network deployment to Optimize Business and Quality based on quantitative evaluation” • Considering geo-marketing scenarios and traffic demand • Overall vision on the network layers • Deciding network topology, interconnection and routing • Optimizing balance between performance/SLA and cost (CAPEX + OPEX) • Considering regulatory constraints • Anticipating business evaluation and feasibility April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 3 Network Planning Requirements Key requirements in competition (I) • Strategy Oriented Needs – What selection of customer classes and associated services? – When to decide migration to new technologies and what speed? – Which level of convergence versus specialization? – What resources to built and what to lease ? – Which are the most convenient partnerships with other operators and suppliers? April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 4 Network Planning Requirements Key requirements in competition (II) • Business Oriented Needs – Which services have to be introduced through time ? – What is the best service bundling per customer type ? – How to maximize revenues ? – How to reduce capital expenditure ? – How to reduce operational expenditure ? – How to price services and bundles? – How to optimize network profitability? April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 5 Network Planning Requirements Key requirements in competition (III) • Network Oriented Needs – How to forecast new services and traffic demands? – How many nodes to install ? – What is best location for systems and related communication media ? – What is the best network architecture and routing ? – How to plan capacity evolution and solutions migration at access, local and transit segments? – How to ensure QoS across multiple domains? – How to ensure protection level and survivability? – How to ensure and manage SLA ? April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 6 Network Planning Requirements Key requirements in competition (IV) • Operation Support Needs – How to evaluate alternatives for direct vs outsourced operation ? – How to organize the operation processes ? – Which level of integration is needed to operate multimedia services? – Which IT applications ensure an efficient support to operation ? – How to plan labor force training on the new operational activities ? April-May, 2007 slide 7 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. Network Planning Requirements : Network Modeling for planning • High complexity of the whole Network requires a modeling and splitting in subnetworks to facilitate analysis , design and planning. • By Layers in a vertical dimension following the client-server relation (one layer is supported in the layer below and provides resources for the layer up). Physical, Transmission, Switching, etc. • By Segments or splitting of the end to end communication into subareas as customer premises, access, core national, core international • By Technologies or underlying technique as SDH, WDM, ATM, IP, IMS, GSM, 3G, WiMax, etc..... April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 8 Network Planning Requirements Network Layer Modeling for planning IP Voice Mail SMP Service and Control level VoIP TVoDSL VOD UMS e-applications SMS-C SCP IN HLR/AuC TSC EIR SSW BTS SSP MSC TEX SSP Int’l BSC POP/LEX WLL/Mobile GW Fixed NB/BB DATA/IP LL NGN network Functional level Transport/SDH/WDM Infrastructure and Cable level April-May, 2007 slide 9 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. Network Planning Requirements Technological alternatives at core Origin Scenario Circuit based Target Scenario Packet based Managed Dark Fiber Lambda Bandwith Multiservice ATM/FR/IP ATM VPN, IP VPN IP IP Internet Gbit access IP VPN Ethernet ptp LAN to LAN connection GigE,10/100BT GigE,10/100BT Ficon,Escon, Ficon,Escon, Fibre Ch.. ATM/FR ATM/FR SDH SDH Optical Optical switching switching DWDM DWDM equipment equipment IP IP Routing Routing Ethernet Ethernet GigE Optical Optical fiber fiber Physical Physical Infrastructure Infrastructure April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 10 Network Planning Requirements Planning activities Optimization Optimization Assignment Assignment and and Routing Routing Configuration Configurationand and Location Location Demand forecasting Inputs generation April-May, 2007 Dimensioning Dimensioning and and QoS QoS Costing Costingand andbusiness business Results analysis slide 11 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. Network Planning Requirements Network Planning Domains Fixed FixedAccess Access Planning Planning Access Accessradio radio planning planning Business BusinessPlanning Planning Core Coreradio radio planning planning April-May, 2007 Fixed FixedSwitching Switching and and routing routingplanning planning Signaling Signalingand and control controlplanning planning IT, IT,OSS, OSS,NM NMand and Applications Applicationsplanning planning Transmission Transmission planning planning ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 12 Network Planning Requirements Planning: Main supporting pillars April-May, 2007 Architecture and Technology KnowHow Operational Research and optimization Economical Engineering Teletraffic Methodology Market and demand forecasting NETWORK PLANNING METHODOLOGY ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 13 Network Planning Requirements Scope: Main supporting pillars NETWORK PLANNING METHODOLOGY Teletraffic Methodology • Statistical flow modeling for arrival rates and holding times • Capacity models based on stochastic processes: Analytical and Simulation • Dimensioning based on efficiency, performance and QoS • Good foundation on the multiple contributions from the International Teletraffic community (ITC) April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 14 Network Planning NGN and IMS Content • Role of Network Planning • Requirements • Domains and methodology • Network design issues in NGN • Strategic Planning and Technology mapping April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 15 Network Planning Requirements Modeling issues for NGN and 3G – New models needed to represent multiservice flows – New dimensioning methods for resources handling multimedia services with QoS – New measurement procedures for aggregated multiservice traffics – New multicriteria dimensioning for 3G and xG combining coverage by frequency, service speed and data traffic capacity – Which procedures to ensure interoperability and end-to-end performance across multiple domains? – Which units to define dimensioning and costing units for interconnection? April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 16 Network Planning Requirements QoS and Performance Issues • Quality of Service (QoS) domains to be modeled, defined and/or extended for NGN and 3G. Measured in waiting time and/or loss probabilities • Domains for QoS evaluation: - Service accessibility: capability to access a service - Connection establishment: Capability to get connection - Information transfer: Quality of information delivery - Reliability: Failure probability - Availability: Probability of system being active - Survivability: Capability to provide service in abnormal conditions - Security: Information and systems protection level - Qualitative: Intelligibility, audibility, visualization ... of information content as derived from user perception (MOS) April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 17 Network Planning Requirements Traffic flows for QoS based dimensioning – T1) QoS constant stream: bandwidth transmission at a constant speed with a specified delivery and jitter (ie: video distribution) – T2) QoS variable stream : bandwidth transmission at a variable speed derived from a user information and coding algorithm which requires guaranteed quality and specified jitter (ie: VoIP, Video streaming, audio streaming, etc.) – T3) QoS elastic: bandwidth transmission at a variable speed without jitter restrictions and asynchronous delivery (ie: browsing, file transfer, mail, UMS, etc.) April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 18 Network Planning Requirements Performance Issues: case of VoIP Perceived Quality of Service as a function of the number of crossed domains for the G.711+PLC coding with ppp = .01 and gold /silver SLA (19th International Teletraffic Congress September 2005, Beijing) High importance of the number of crossed domains and quality per domain on the end-to-end performance April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 19 Network Planning Requirements How to define dimensioning and costing units for interconnection ? – Requirements for service flow units to be used: • Should be quantifiable with defined engineering rules • Useful for interrelation between demand/dimensioning/costing for a given QoS and SLA • Reflecting service provisioning and market value across multiple networks • Applicable to multiservice/multimedia flows April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 20 Network Planning Requirements Traffic units for aggregated flows Proposal of NGN units in multiservice networks/interfaces for demand/dimensioning/costing : – Equivalent Sustained Bit Rate (ESBR) or aggregated equivalent rates for same QoS category flows efficiently carried in a common reference busy period (ie. 5 minutes) – Computed as weighted average for the services at QoS category (i) and customer classes (j) at each network element: ∑i ∑j ESBRij April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 21 Network Planning NGN and IMS Content • Role of Network Planning • Requirements • Domains and methodology • Network design issues in NGN • Strategic Planning and Technology mapping April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 22 Network Planning Requirements Solution Mapping Solution mapping is more important today as the number of technologies and network options increase • Large variety of geo-scenarios within the country • Geography • User profiles • Density • Economy • Alternatives modeled with all key parameters that characterize scenario, services, demands and solutions • Best solutions selected based on techno-economical evaluation and resulting best Cost of Ownership April-May, 2007 slide 23 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. Network Planning Requirements Solution Mapping: Methodology Compliance • Services • Capacities • Availability • Operational constraints Projects/ Geo-scenarios Input criteria Selected Scenarios Techno-economical Evaluation • Architecture • Density • Capital expenditure • NPV of full costs • Entry costs Network Models Mapping Technical Solutions Results Actions Qualifiers • Flexibility • Speed to service • Evolution • Experience Selected Network Solutions Mapping Economical Solutions Mapping Qualified Solutions April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. Recommendations slide 24 Network Planning Requirements Solution Mapping: Cost Modeling OPERATING COSTS CAPITAL COSTS FULL COSTS = April-May, 2007 • • • • • • • Electronic equipment Cables/towers Civil works Licenses, permits Installation Replacement Customer premises equipment + • Rights of way • Space rental • Operations and maintenance • Power • Management and salaries • Cost of inventory • Marketing campaigns • Overheads slide 25 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. Network Planning Requirements Solution Mapping: Example of Geo Scenarios Suburban L1 L2 Metropolitan L5 L4 L3 Villages Rural clusters L1: Distance between suburban L2: Suburban - metropolitan distance L3: Suburban - village distance April-May, 2007 L4: Distance between villages L5: Distance between rural ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 26 Network Planning Requirements Solution Mapping: Technological alternatives at access (Fixed) Wireline Direct: POTS /ISDN RSU: POTS /ISDN Point to Multipoint Narrowband (up to 144 Kbit/s) Wireless Satellite-Bidirectional Multiservice DLC (FTTC) xDSL PLC Access Technologies SDH/SONET Add Drop Mux Wireline FTTB/GPON/EPON Ethernet Broadband CATV(HFC) MMDS/WIP/WiMax WLAN Wireless LMDS Satellite-Bidirectional DBS/DBT April-May, 2007 slide 27 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. Network Planning Requirements Solution Mapping: Investment sensitivity to density in WL Access High density areas 300 250 Monetary units Metrop. total 200 Metrop. infrastructure 150 Sub. infrastructure Sub. total 100 50 2 355 2 477 2 235 2 112 1 990 1 870 1 747 1 625 1 381 1 504 1 259 1 139 894 1 016 774 529 651 0 Density (subscribers per KM²) April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 28 Network Planning Requirements Example of mapping recommendation Multiservice and DSLAM xDSL 8000 High density 1000 Switching based access (RSU) GPON/FTTH CATV/HFC 1000 Overlap area Medium density Quantitative Dif. < 10% 200 - High 200 clustering Low density 20 - Low clustering 0.5 Wireless Access Narrowband “Qualitative assignment” assignment” Wireless Access Wideband/BB/WiMAX Fixed GSM Satellite Satellite Cust./Km2 Services &Traffic April-May, 2007 POTS/Fax POTS/ISDN/Data POTS/Data nx64 POTS/data/Video Multimedia BB ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 29 Network Planning Requirements Benefits of mapping and planning activities • Saving factors of 20 to 200 % by adequate solution/technology mapping in the access segment • Additional gains between 20 to 40 % by topology/routing optimization • Anticipation of 2 to 3 years in the positive IRR • Assure fulfillment of SLA and QoS • Positioning of the operator in the top competition levels April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 30 Network Planning Requirements Summary of Key Requirements • Multiservice flows impose a set of requirements on models and tools for NGN and 3G. • Interoperability and interconnection require special effort to players and planners to ensure end-to-end performance • High number of new technologies and capabilities reinforce the need of solution mapping for each country scenario • Complexity of converged networks require the use of high quality support tools April-May, 2007 ITU/BDT Network Planning requirements - O.G.S. slide 31