Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report December 30, 2014 Submitted by MassDOT staff on behalf of the Project Selection Advisory Council Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................ 3 1.1 Introduction to the Project Selection Advisory Council ................................................................... 3 1.2 About this Report ........................................................................................................................... 4 2 EXISTING AND BEST PRACTICES SUMMARY ........................................................... 6 2.1 Background ..................................................................................................................................... 6 2.2 Current MassDOT Evaluation Processes .......................................................................................... 6 2.3 Current MPO Evaluation Processes ................................................................................................. 8 2.4 MassDOT/MBTA Capital Planning: weMove Massachusetts (wMM) .............................................. 8 2.5 Review of State Practices ................................................................................................................ 9 2.6 Key Observations for the Development of Criteria........................................................................ 13 3 PROPOSED PROJECT PRIORITIZATION FRAMEWORK ..................................... 14 3.1 Overview ...................................................................................................................................... 14 3.2 Criteria .......................................................................................................................................... 15 3.3 Objectives ..................................................................................................................................... 16 3.4 Metrics ......................................................................................................................................... 18 3.5 Illustrative Projects Analysis ......................................................................................................... 20 3.6 Identified Issues to Address .......................................................................................................... 22 3.7 Proposed Four Tier Prioritization Process ..................................................................................... 22 3.8 Next Steps .................................................................................................................................... 23 4 OUTSTANDING ISSUES ................................................................................................. 25 4.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................................. 25 4.2 Key Issue: Universe of projects for scoring .................................................................................... 26 1 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 4.3 Key Issue: Timing of scoring process ............................................................................................. 28 4.4 Key Issue: Determining program balance ...................................................................................... 31 4.5 Key Issue: Coordination with the Asset Management Advisory Council ........................................ 33 4.6 Key Issue: Definition of Regional Equity ........................................................................................ 34 4.7 Key Issue: Data ............................................................................................................................. 36 5 ADDITIONAL AREAS FOR CONSIDERATION ......................................................... 37 5.1 Project Readiness ......................................................................................................................... 37 5.2 Point Scale .................................................................................................................................... 37 5.3 Project Prioritization Software ...................................................................................................... 38 5.4 Scoring Process – Who and How ................................................................................................... 38 APPENDIX 1: SECTION 11 OF CHAPTER 46 OF THE ACTS OF 2013 ...................... 40 APPENDIX 2: DRAFT SCORING GUIDANCE .................................................................... 41 APPENDIX 3: ILLUSTRATIVE PROJECT DESCRIPTIONS ............................................ 50 APPENDIX 4: PROJECT PRIORITIZATION FRAMEWORK .......................................... 53 APPENDIX 5: WRITTEN COMMENTS FROM THE PUBLIC ......................................... 54 2 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 1 Introduction 1.1 Introduction to the Project Selection Advisory Council The Project Selection Advisory Council (the Council), as established by the Massachusetts Legislature in Section 11 of Chapter 46 of the Acts of 2013 (see Appendix 1), was charged with developing uniform criteria and a prioritization process to be used by MassDOT in the preparation of the Commonwealth’s Capital Investment Plan (CIP). MassDOT published the Commonwealth’s first consolidated transportation plan in May of 2014. The CIP is a five-year fiscally constrained compendium of all infrastructure-related spending programmed by MassDOT. It encompasses projects that were selected for the Statewide Transportation Investment Program (STIP), which includes all Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) Transportation Improvement Plans (TIPs) as well as statewide line items that encompass more than one region, the MBTA Capital Investment Program, and Aeronautics/Federal Aviation Administration Investment Plans as well as additional projects funded by state dollars. The intent of the legislation was to create a uniform, transparent, data-driven approach to determining how limited resources are allocated to preserve, modernize, and expand the Commonwealth’s transportation system. Explicit requirements of the legislation include for the Council to: Review existing statewide and regional project evaluation criteria and prioritization processes Hold six public hearings to solicit public comment, one in each MassDOT Highway District Develop uniform criteria and a transparent prioritization formula Deliver formal recommendations to the Legislature The Council members were appointed as per specifications in the statute and represent various interests from around the state. The Council has met 11 times over the course of the year, including for the six required public hearings in each Highway District. In the beginning of the process, the Council established the following mission statement to guide its work: 3 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature With due consideration of the requirements of fiscal constraint, federal funding restrictions, regional priorities, geographic equity, environmental justice and state of good repair, and in a manner that balances the need for responsive and transparent adaptability to unanticipated changes in funding, project readiness or in the event of an emergency or public safety need, the Project Selection Advisory Council, as established by the Massachusetts Legislature in Section 11 of Chapter 46 of the Acts of 2013, seeks to review existing statewide project evaluation criteria and prioritization processes for Massachusetts’ multi-modal transportation system. The Project Selection Advisory Council will recommend changes for a more uniform, transparent and data-driven prioritization process that reflects MassDOT’s mission to provide our nation’s safest and most reliable transportation system to strengthen our economy and quality of life across the Commonwealth. In accordance with this mission statement, the Council has worked over the course of the year to live up to its mission, meet the requirements of the legislation, and to make progress towards developing a thoughtful approach to a prioritization framework. 1.2 About this Report This interim report has been prepared by MassDOT staff, which has supported the Council in its work. The report offers a summary of the progress made by the Council in 2014. Chapter 2 reviews existing and best practices for prioritization systems, which helped to frame the Council’s discussions. Chapter 3 delves into the Council’s progress on developing a prioritization framework. While a near complete project prioritization process is being laid out in this report, it is being presented as work in progress and is subject to change as the Council continues deliberations and as new information becomes available. Chapter 4 discusses the major outstanding issues that the Council has discussed, but still needs to address, while Chapter 5 highlights additional areas that the Council has not yet considered extensively. Appendices include supplementary information on the proposed prioritization framework as well comments from the public. Included separately with this 4 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature report is a draft technical memo on regional equity and meeting agendas and notes. While the report is authored by MassDOT staff, Council members were given an opportunity to comment, and their feedback has been incorporated into this document. A report with final recommendations to the Legislature on a prioritization formula and framework will be submitted no later than June 30, 2015. 5 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 2 Existing and Best Practices Summary 2.1 Background In working to address its mission, the Council reviewed existing practices within Massachusetts and best practices among other states. This review identified the various approaches that are being used to prioritize projects. While the Commonwealth’s 13 Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs), MassDOT’s Highway Division, and the MBTA all have mechanisms in place to prioritize projects, the Council gained an appreciation through the process for the challenges in developing a statewide, multimodal evaluation system. 2.2 Current MassDOT Evaluation Processes For the 2014 CIP, there was no overall prioritization formula or specified process for selecting projects. However, the following processes went into various components of the plan. The Council has learned about and intends to leverage the following project evaluation processes in order to develop a uniform, transparent, and data-driven process for the entire CIP. MassDOT Bridge Prioritization System: Since 2008, MassDOT has used PONTIS to calculate a Health Index to rank both Structurally Deficient and non-Structurally Deficient bridges. The Bridge ranking uses three criteria to assess the association between a bridge’s condition and the potential risk posed to the transportation network by the current condition: Condition Loss (CL), Health Index (HI) and a Highway Evaluation Factor (HEF). CL is based on the National Bridge Inspection Standards Condition Rating system. HI is a ratio of the composite measure of the condition states of all of a bridge’s Core Elements to that same composite measure if the bridge were brand new. The HEF is the average of the five component values expressed as a percent. The more important a route, the longer the detour, the larger the average daily traffic, or the greater the geometric or load carrying restrictions, then the higher the HEF is. With the final Bridge Ranking Formula (.3 CL + .4 HI + .3 HEF = rank value), a higher rank value equals higher priority. 6 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature MassDOT Pavement Management Prioritization System: The Highway Division uses the Pavement Serviceability Index as a tool for ranking the condition of over 5,000 pavement sections in the MassDOT road network. This composite index uses data for pavement distress, raveling, rutting and ride quality. Ride quality is captured using the International Roughness Index to create the Customer Ride Satisfaction Index. Data collection for pavement condition is semi-automated using the “Pathrunner” vehicle, which has full GPS and GIS integration for capturing road conditions. The Highway Division then uses the Deighton DTIMS Pavement Management Software for analysis of Incremental Benefit Cost. In reviewing a potential multi-year pavement program, the Highway Division considers safety projects, such as those projects in high crash locations, and sustainability factors before assigning a final ranking. MBTA Project Prioritization System: The MBTA has used a tool called Decision Lens to assist in the prioritization of its capital projects. Decision Lens was used originally in the MBTA’s Capital Investment Program for FY 2015-FY2019 and FY 2016-2020. The tool helped the MBTA in identifying project evaluation criteria, determining the criteria weights, establishing rating scales, scoring capital funding requests and prioritizing projects within fiscally-constrained scenarios. The MBTA identified the impact on the environment/alignment with GreenDOT objectives and System Preservation as overarching priorities. In addition, they incorporated analysis of project impacts on operating costs, operating revenues, customer experience and legal commitments in finalizing its 5-year Capital Investment Program (MBTA CIP). Asset Management Advisory Council (AMAC) AMAC was established by the Legislature in Chapter 46 of Acts of 2013 along with the establishment of the Project Selection Advisory Council and was charged with developing a performance and asset management system. Such a system would likely be able to prioritize state of good repair needs for the transportation system. The AMAC is still in process of forming its mission and scope, but the Council will need to work closely with AMAC over the next several months to ensure that the recommendations from both Councils can work together. 7 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 2.3 Current MPO Evaluation Processes In addition to the internal MassDOT processes described above, the Commonwealth’s 13 metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs) currently employ varied transportation evaluation criteria (TEC) scoring systems and ranking methods. Generally, the MPOs have endorsed criteria that reflect the priorities of the regions’ Long Range Transportation Plans, such as maintaining a state of good repair, focusing investments on existing activity centers, improving mobility for people and freight, reducing the level of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, minimizing environmental burdens from transportation facilities on low-income and minority populations, and providing safe transportation for all. The MPOs implemented TEC scoring to make the process of evaluating and selecting projects more understandable and transparent. Project scoring helps to inform the decisions made by the MPOs in programing their target funds in each four-year Transportation Improvement Program (TIP) document. 2.4 MassDOT/MBTA Capital Planning: weMove Massachusetts (wMM) In May of 2014, MassDOT published its statewide multimodal plan, required under both state and federal statute. The weMove Massachusetts: Planning for Performance report represents MassDOT’s first attempt at introducing scenario planning to its decision-making process, and has MassDOT well positioned to meet the performance-based planning that is required under the federal Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century Act (MAP-21). As part of the weMove Massachusetts process, MassDOT developed an analytical tool that evaluates asset conditions now and into the future and compares them against available funding to assist in prioritizing investments across modes. The forecasted algorithms behind the tool are based on a combination of U.S.DOT and MassDOT data and methodologies. While it was not completed in time to shape the 2014 CIP, it did help inform decision makers about the impacts of various strategies. MassDOT is currently advancing a second phase of weMove Massachusetts, which will incorporate policy-related indicators to help decision makers understand how a proposed capital program will impact mode shift, GHG emissions, and health outcomes. Though beyond the scope of this second phase of work, the weMove Massachusetts Planning for Performance tool may be updated further in order to better integrate with existing and developing processes. 8 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 2.5 Review of State Practices In addition to a review of MassDOT processes, the Council reviewed best practices for several other states that are at different stages of developing or implementing a methodology for prioritizing projects to receive funding. Across the country a variety of approaches exist. Some state DOTs rank projects by type (e.g. bridges), by funding category (e.g. Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement funding), by goal area (e.g. safety) or even more broadly by maintenance or expansion. Very few states currently rank projects on a multimodal basis, The passage of MAP-21 highlighted the national discussion concerning the implementation of more transparent, data-driven methodologies for programming projects. Every state that was reviewed by the Council described the process as iterative, evolving and not absolute in terms of prescribing the actual programming of projects. Rather, the evaluation processes shed light on how specific projects impact policy direction and enable objective comparisons to be made when difficult decisions arise. The states that were profiled ranged in size from Delaware to California and are at various stages of developing their own prioritization systems. Key facts about their processes are provided below. Over the next six months, the Council will continue to monitor its peers’ prioritization systems in order to inform its work with the most up-to-date strategies and lessons learned from other efforts. Delaware In Delaware, the Department of Transportation (DelDOT) prioritizes projects through a three-step process. First, projects are ranked among individual categories that include: state of good repair, dedicated funding sources, management and operation projects, and those projects legally required through contract, regulation, judicial action or legislation. Maintenance projects are excluded from this evaluation. Their next step is to assess project readiness. The final step is funding allocation, where DelDOT works down the list generated from technical scores and assigns the most restricted funding categories first, utilizing the most flexible funding categories at the end of the process. In the first step of the process, DelDOT ranks projects based on weighted criteria adhering to the vision and goals of the Department. Scoring is on a scale from -5 through 5 in several subcategories for each goal. Goals and weights are provided below: 9 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Safety – 33% System Operating Effectiveness – 24.8% Multi-Modal Mobility/Flexibility/Access – 15.6% Revenue Generation/Economic Development/Jobs & Commerce – 7.9% o Impact on the Public/Social Disruption/Economic Justice – 7.2% o Environmental Impact/Stewardship – 6.5% o System Preservation – 5% o o o o Florida FloridaDOT established its Strategic Intermodal System (SIS) in 2003, and since that time has developed a robust methodology of objective criteria and quantitative thresholds to identify high-priority projects in its multi-modal transportation network. This comprehensive planning and programming process resulted in an “analytical toolbox” that has improved the efficiency and effectiveness of coordination and communication among all stakeholders. Florida prioritizes projects first, based on a set of evaluation criteria, and then based on programming considerations such as funding commitments, project phasing/timing, funding availability, and geographic distribution. Florida’s project prioritization factors include District and Modal Plan priorities and project scores through their Strategic Investment Tool, which features the following five equally ranked criteria for highway projects: o o o o o Safety and security System preservation Mobility Economics Quality of life The flowchart below illustrates Florida’s basic process for project prioritization: 10 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Figure 1: Florida Prioritization Process Nevada In Nevada, the “Connecting Nevada” 50-year plan includes urban and rural projects with input from local, regional and state partners from other agencies. Nevada DOT asks each division to create its own priority list of needs and then uses performance-based measures to assign a funding percentage to each list. New Hampshire New Hampshire is working with its nine Regional Planning Commissions (RPCs) to develop standard project evaluation and prioritization criteria for FHWAfunded projects and has determined that the first draft of criteria need to be revised to fairly represent the needs of a multi-modal system. NHDOT completed a LEAN1 process improvement, as part of the development of its Ten Year Plan, which focused on a goal of more clearly communicating New Hampshire’s transportation needs between regional planning organizations and the Department of Transportation in the early phases of the Ten Year Planning Process. According to NHDOT, the overall benefit was immense; it was the first time in 25 years that the nine RPCs and NHDOT were on the same page regarding the criteria being used to evaluate projects. All parties could “weight” their criteria differently to match their regional long range priorities and all parties communicated their weighted criteria prior to soliciting for new project needs. North Carolina Several years ago, North Carolina’s Legislature passed the Strategic Transportation Investments (STI) law, requiring NCDOT to maximize existing transportation funding to enhance the state’s infrastructure and support 1 LEAN is a set of tools used by public, private and non-profit sectors to improve processes by removing waste, increasing efficiency and elevating quality. 11 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature economic growth, job creation and high quality of life. STI establishes the “Strategic Mobility Formula,” a new way of allocating available revenues based on data-driven scoring and local input. NCDOT’s Strategic Mobility Formula is in its third iteration and prioritizes projects at the statewide, regional and Division levels. It is a multi-modal prioritization system. The prioritization process does not apply to most state-funded maintenance projects. The general structure of the prioritization formula is as follows: o Forty percent (40%) of the funds subject to this process are used for Statewide Strategic Mobility projects. The criteria for selection of these projects utilizes a numeric scale of 100 points, based on consideration of the following quantitative criteria: Benefit cost Congestion Safety Freight Multimodal Economic competitiveness Pavement condition Lane width Shoulder width o Thirty percent (30%) of the funds are used for Regional Impact projects and allocated by population of Distribution Regions based on the most recent estimates certified by the Office of State Budget and Management. The criteria utilized for selection of Regional Impact projects are based thirty percent (30%) on local input and seventy percent (70%) on consideration of a numeric scale of 100 points based primarily on the same quantitative criteria used for the Statewide Strategic Mobility projects. o Thirty percent (30%) of the funds are allocated in equal share to each of the Department divisions, and used for Division Need projects. The criteria utilized for selection of Division Need projects are based fifty percent (50%) on local input and fifty percent (50%) on consideration of a numeric scale of 100 points based on the same criteria as Regional Impact projects. 12 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature The scoring criteria and weights for all projects subject to the Strategic Mobility Formula are normalized across all modes (highway, aviation, bike/ped, ferry, transit, and rail). NCDOT guarantees a minimum of 90% of spending will go to the highway mode. Utah Utah’s ranking and prioritization system is intended explicitly as a decision support tool. Although the system is data-driven wherever possible and the criteria were developed to reflect the goals of UDOT, the Utah Transportation Commission retains the right to override rankings as long as it is discussed at a public meeting. 2.6 Key Observations for the Development of Criteria One consistent finding from this review of best practices is that any recommendations from the Council will likely require modifications over time. The Council will therefore need to consider a flexible prioritization formula that can be modified as the formula is tested, as new data becomes available, and as outcomes from the prioritization process become better understood. Other key findings include: MassDOT is ahead of the curve, being one of only a handful of states that prioritize projects across modes. Maintenance and preservation projects are often excluded from prioritization. For states that conduct multi-modal comparisons, most do not apply the same set of criteria across modes. It appears that no state relies 100% on a prioritization formula in order to select a transportation program. An effective, transparent prioritization process will provide for specific opportunities to justify any decisions that do not rely on the formula. Based on these findings, the Council has affirmed that ultimate recommendations should provide for a robust structure for project prioritization, but one that is simple to understand, and is sufficiently flexible to evolve over time to respond to evolving goals and any improvements in data collection. 13 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 3 Proposed Project Prioritization Framework 3.1 Overview The Council has worked over the course of the year to make progress on the development of a project prioritization framework to meet the requirements of the legislation that can be implemented successfully. Although the Council has reviewed and generally accepted many of the elements of the formula included in this report, no final recommendations are being made at this stage and all elements are subject to change as the Council continues to work towards final recommendations. As a starting point to the development of a prioritization framework, the Council focused on the following considerations that the legislation required as inputs into the project priority formula: Engineering Condition of Existing Assets Safety Economic Impact Regional Priorities Anticipated Cost of the Project In addition to the review of best practices described in Chapter 2, the Council’s early meetings were opportunities for the members to become aware of state and federal policies and statutes that the prioritization criteria will need to address beyond those specifically called out by the legislation, including: MassDOT’s Mission Statement, Vision, and Goals MassDOT Policy Directives, such as GreenDOT, the Mode Shift goal, and the Healthy Transportation Directive Provisions of Chapter 25 of the Acts of 2009 Provisions of Chapter 46 of the Acts of 2013 Provisions from the latest Federal Transportation Authorization Bill - MAP21 This work informed the development of a preliminary formula, made up of criteria, objectives and metrics. In this context, the criteria are broad areas of focus aligned with the overarching goals identified by the Council. The objectives are strategies for achieving each goal. Lastly, metrics are defined to determine a 14 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature project’s contribution towards meeting an objective. Staff to the Council tested the initial proposed formula by applying it to a set of illustrative projects in order to better understand the implications of such a uniform, multi-modal prioritization formula. Based on feedback by the Council and other interested parties, a proposed four-tier prioritization framework was then developed and presented to the Council to address many of the concerns that were raised. Each part of the formula, as well as the illustrative projects, and four-tier prioritization framework are discussed in the following sections. Also under review as of this report and discussed in this chapter is the overall process by which the prioritization system would be employed—including questions about timing, benefit/cost, project readiness, funding eligibility and balance across asset categories. Proposals for how to address many of these issues are included in the next chapter of this report, but the ultimate recommendation to the Legislature will be informed by the public, internal stakeholders to MassDOT, and the Council’s discussions over the next six months. 3.2 Criteria The Council set an early goal of developing a prioritization system that, in addition to being data-driven and transparent, would also be simple for external stakeholders to understand. Consistent with this goal, the Council considered a set of six overarching criteria, or goals presented by Council staff at its May 20 meeting/public hearing in Pittsfield. Based on discussions at subsequent meetings, the criteria have been refined with the following descriptions: Economic Development – The transportation system should support economic growth in the Commonwealth in a sustainable manner. Health and Environment – The transportation system should avoid or mitigate negative environmental and health impacts, and allow all customers to have access to safe and comfortable healthy transportation options. Mobility and Access – The transportation system should provide options, support mode shift goals, and promote more connectivity within the Commonwealth. Safety – The transportation system should be safe and ensure the security of people and goods in transit. Social Equity and Fairness – The transportation system should distribute both the benefits and burdens of development equitably among all communities. 15 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature System Preservation – The Commonwealth should focus on the proactive preservation of assets to ensure that the existing transportation system can support mobility, safety, economic development, and transportation equity in the Commonwealth going forward. In addition to these six goals, the Council deliberated over whether there should be a seventh goal of regional equity. Ultimately, the Council decided that regional equity was an important factor that needed to be included in the prioritization system, but that it was necessary to first better understand the current state of equity in the allocation of transportation funding. The Council asked staff to undertake an analysis of regional equity in current Massachusetts transportation funding programs and report back on the results. This analysis is included as a separate memo to this Interim Report. Beyond regional equity, the Council and other stakeholders wanted “program balance” to be a goal of the prioritization process. This over-arching goal could not be achieved on a project evaluation level, and is thus being considered at a later stage of project prioritization. A more detailed discussion of program balance can be found in Section 4-4. At the July 29 meeting/public hearing in Boston, the Council agreed to adopt the six broad goals listed above to guide the development of the project evaluation system. 3.3 Objectives After reaching agreement on a set of goals, the Council next considered various objectives, or strategies by which transportation investments could help further these goals. Objectives were proposed by staff at the September 16 meeting/public hearing in Springfield and refined over the next few meetings until being adopted as the Council’s working objectives at the October 20 meeting/public hearing in Barnstable. Although staff originally developed objectives that were intended to address a specific goal, it became apparent that most of the objectives addressed more than one of the Council’s six goals. The objectives and the Council goals they are addressing are presented below: 16 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Table 1: Working Objectives Objectives Applicable Goal Ensure preservation of existing infrastructure MOBILITY/ACCESS, PRESERVATION, SAFETY Support mode shift MOBILITY/ACCESS, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, HEALTH/ENVIRONMENT, EQUITY Improve system reliability MOBILITY/ACCESS, PRESERVATION ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Improve system efficiency MOBILITY/ACCESS, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Reduce GHG emissions HEALTH/ENVIRONMENT Reduce frequency and severity of collisions for all modes MOBILITY/ACCESS, SAFETY, HEALTH/ENVIRONMENT Support sustainable development MOBILITY/ACCESS, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, HEALTH/ENVIRONMENT Ensure efficient movement of freight MOBILITY/ACCESS, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Target underserved communities MOBILITY/ACCESS, EQUITY Reduce incidence of chronic disease HEALTH/ENVIRONMENT, EQUITY Ensure resiliency of the transportation system MOBILITY/ACCESS, PRESERVATION, SAFETY, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Improve evacuation routes MOBILITY/ACCESS, PRESERVATION, SAFETY 17 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 3.4 Metrics After identifying working objectives, the Council’s next step was to develop a set of metrics to measure a transportation project’s ability to meet those objectives. Although the initial thinking was that each objective would have multiple associated metrics, the first iteration included only one metric per objective, except in the case of the objective to “Reduce Incidence of Chronic Disease,” which had two. This result occurred as staff attempted to develop the simplest, yet most comprehensive set of metrics possible that would limit redundancy and directly support achieving MassDOT goals. Although this was the approach taken to date, there is still an opportunity to consider additional or alternative metrics for each objective. The proposed metrics and their associated scoring guidance (see Appendix 2) were developed in a manner that allowed staff to score the set of illustrative projects given limited data. Many of the metrics are in the format of “to what extent” questions, where quantitative thresholds are not yet clearly defined. However, the intent is that they will be modified once desired thresholds and data sets are defined. Table 2 presents all proposed metrics, along with their associated objectives, criteria and weights that were used to score the set of illustrative projects, discussed in the next section. Table 2: Working Objectives, Metrics, Criteria, and Weights Objectives Metrics* Applicable 2 Criteria Metric Points Support mode shift To what extent does the project support mode shift from single occupancy vehicles? M, D, H, E 15/5* Ensure preservation of existing infrastructure How cost effective and appropriate is the system preservation investment (based on Pavement Service Index (PSI), PONTIS bridge software, the MBTA State of Good Repair (SOGR) Database, etc.)? P, M, S 15/25* Improve reliability To what extent does the project improve the reliability of the transportation system? M, D, P 10 2 Key: S – Safety; M – Mobility and Access; D – Economic Development, E – Equity, H– Health and the Environment; P – System Preservation 18 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Objectives Metrics* Applicable 2 Criteria Metric Points Improve efficiency Does the project efficiently increase persons per hour capacity? M, D 10 Reduce GHG What is the estimated change in GHG emissions? H 10 Reduce frequency and severity of collisions for all modes To what extent does the project address strategies in Strategic Highway Safety Plan for identified 3 problems along the corridor? S, H, M 8 Support sustainable development To what extent does the project support smart growth development patterns? Ensure efficient movement freight To what extent does the project support efficient movement of freight vehicles? M, D 5 Targeted underserved communities To what extent does the project benefit an EJ community or Title VI populations? M, E 5 Reduce incidence of chronic disease To what extent does the project have the potential to increase physical activity in areas with high levels of obesity? H, E 5 To what extent does the project reduce exposure to noise, air, and water pollution in areas with high exposure levels? H, E 5 P, M, S, D 5 S, M 2 Ensure resiliency Does the project address future climate change resiliency planning measures? Improve evacuation route Does the project improve an identified issue along an evacuation route or strategic corridor? 5 D, M, H TOTAL 100 ** These scores were modified for the October 20th meeting to address concerns about over-valuing mode shift and undervaluing system preservation. All illustrative projects were scored with both set of weights for comparative purposes. 19 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 3.5 Illustrative Projects Analysis The staff to the Council applied the working criteria, objectives, and metrics described above to test how an illustrative set of multimodal projects would fare under a uniform scoring system that did not take into account project type or regional equity. A list of 11 illustrative projects was selected to represent some of the modal and regional diversity of projects found in the Commonwealth (see Appendix 3 for the list of projects with brief descriptions). The projects all had conceptual or early design work completed, but had not yet been programmed in a regional TIP. It should be noted that this approach, while eliminating the potential for a misinterpretation of results for projects that already have secured funding, did leave staff with limited information on some project elements and benefits that would typically be available in evaluating projects. Staff presented the metrics, weights and the initial results of the illustrative project scoring at the September 16 meeting in Springfield. The “1st Score” column of Table 3 presents those initial results. One key observation of the initial results was that, since the proposed scoring system collectively weighted mode shift and other associated objectives highly (such as reduce GHG emissions and support sustainable development), transit and bike/pedestrian projects tended to score well. Conversely, interchange projects generally scored towards the bottom. However, some non-automobile focused projects did score towards the bottom and some automobile focused projects scored towards the top. High and low-scoring projects seemed to be evenly distributed between the Boston area and the rest of the state. Because of concerns about the relative emphasis on mode shift and system preservation, projects were scored a second time at the October 20th meeting in Haverhill. One concern stemmed from the fact that several metrics addressed mode shift in various forms, putting the total number of points related to multimodal projects well ahead of system preservation, which was determined to be comparably important, if not more so, than mode shift. Thus, this second set of weights gave “ensuring preservation of existing infrastructure” 25 points and “mode shift” 5 points, versus 15 points for both in the first round of scoring. The “2nd Score” column in Table 3 presents the results with the revised weights. The re-weighting did not result in any major changes to the pattern described above, although projects addressing system preservation needs tended to rank slightly higher. 20 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature In the second round of scoring, some additional rural projects were also added to ensure a more robust geographic representation. These projects are included in Table 3. Table 3: Illustrative Project Scores nd 1st Score 2 Score Boston 66 55 Transit Maintenance Greenfield 43 49 New DMU Service Transit Lynn/Chelsea 57 47 Ferry Street/Elm Street Traffic Calming Everett 44 44 Route 2 Safety/Roadway Realignment Erving 45 42 Bus Rapid Transit Transit Springfield 47 41 Route 114 Improvements Roadway Widening/Ped Lawrence/North Andover 36 39 Tyringham Road Roadway Reconstruction Lee/Tyringham 27 37 Twin City Rail Trail Off-Road Bike/Ped Fitchburg/Leominster 46 36 Bus on I-93 Shoulder Transit MVPC portion of I-93 46 36 Route 24/Route 140 Interchange Reconstruction Taunton 28 32 Fenway Multi-use Path Off-Road Bike/Ped Boston 24 21 Housatonic Street Roadway Reconstruction/Ped Dalton 19 19 Project Project Type Location Reconstruction of Causeway On Road Bike/Ped FRTA Maintenance Facility 21 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature East Street Roadway Widening Pittsfield 17 17 I-495/Route 1A New Ramp Construction Wrentham 9 9 3.6 Identified Issues to Address Based on the feedback from the test of the illustrative projects as well as other items that had been raised during public and stakeholder meetings, a list of outstanding issues was developed to help frame the remaining work of the Council. At the October 20th meeting in Barnstable, the following list was presented: Table 4: Items for Consideration after Development of Draft Formula Reason for Consideration Items for Consideration Incorporation of cost Legislative Requirement Raised by Council and Advocates How to consider number of people impacted Should there be categories (preservation, expansion, modernization for safety, local construction) Should there be buckets by funding type or other category (community projects versus maintenance) Should there be tiers of scoring (current formula + investment analysis, for example) Timing of scoring Incorporating project readiness into scoring Understanding Regional Equity to date How to consider regional priorities/ equity What is considered a project and should be scored Coordination with weMove Massachusetts Coordination with the Asset Management Advisory Council Coordination with existing preservation systems (PONTIS) Point scale Who will be reviewing projects How will projects be reviewed Legislative Option Raised by Council Discussed at 9/24 meeting Process Process Raised by Council Legislative Requirement Question from Council Process/Efficiency Process/Efficiency Process Process Process Process 3.7 Proposed Four Tier Prioritization Process In an attempt to address many of the remaining concerns, staff proposed a four tier prioritization process. The proposal was accepted as working framework for 22 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature project prioritization by the Council at the November 12th meeting in Worcester. Details of how each tier could be implemented have not been finalized. An explanation of the envisioned four tier process is as follows: Tier 1 – Evaluation: The first tier of the evaluation process will be an application of the refined objectives, metrics, weights, and scoring guidance. Projects that score above a certain threshold will go to Tier 2. Projects that score below the threshold will not be able to proceed in their existing form. Tier 2 – Cost/Benefit: The second tier of the evaluation process will look at a cost per persons served metric for the top set of projects from the Tier 1 evaluation. Projects that have a high relative cost per persons served will not necessarily be rejected, but will require justification to proceed, or will be replaced by a project that may not have scored as highly in the Tier 1 evaluation, but that has a better cost per persons served ratio. Tier 3 – Funding Optimization: Similar to the STIP, MBTA and MassDOT CIPs development processes, the available funding will be optimized by going down the ordered list from the Tier 1 evaluation, but filtered by the most cost effective in terms of cost per persons served from Tier 2. The funding sources that are most restrictive will be assigned first. Projects that do not receive funding will be put on hold for future years. Funding sources for the CIP include Federal Highway Administration funding already allocated through the STIP process, Commonwealth Borrowings, Accelerated Bridge Program, and Federal Transit Administration grants. It is anticipated that STIP funding already allocated to a project will continue to be allocated to that project through this process; however, any state match that is required will be applied separately. Tier 4 – Program Balance: The funding plan developed in Tier 3 will be assessed in terms of asset balance and regional equity. This tier provides the opportunity to justify the current program or replace certain projects to achieve a more desirable state of program balance and/or regional equity. Potential methods for these assessments are discussed in the Outstanding Issues section. See Appendix 4 for a flow chart of the proposed process. 3.8 Next Steps Although the four tier prioritization process addresses many of the outstanding issues discussed at the October 20th public meeting, it did not address everything regarding process and it also generated some additional questions. The 23 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature remainder of this document discusses many of the issues that need to be addressed in order to make a robust set of recommendations to the Legislature. A draft roadmap for addressing these issues and meeting the deadline is as follows: Table 5: Road Map to June 30, 2015 Timeframe Task January February March April May June Regular meetings with Council Refine scoring guidance Test additional illustrative projects Refine formula Propose process recommendations Make draft report available for public comment Submit final report 24 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 4 Outstanding Issues 4.1 Introduction Although the proposed four tier framework addresses several of the outstanding issues discussed above, many issues remain. Introducing a new, uniform, multimodal project prioritization process that spans MassDOT Highway Division, Rail and Transit Division, including the MBTA, is a challenging task that requires extensive coordination, foresight, and strategic thinking. The following section highlights some of the remaining key questions that the Council has discussed and must resolve in the coming months in order to develop an effective and efficient system for project prioritization. The following “key” issues have been discussed more in-depth by the Council to date. 25 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 4.2 Key Issue: Universe of projects for scoring Issue description. The Council has established that any project that might require state funding (whether it is an entirely non-federal aid project or a project funded primarily through the MPO, but that may receive state matching funds) should be subject to review by the evaluation system developed by the Council. Most of the discussion to date has focused on prioritizing highway and transit projects, as these project types already undergo some form of structured evaluation and represent the vast majority of MassDOT projects. However, the Council has suggested that all projects in which the state has discretion, including non-MBTA rail projects, should be considered. Aeronautics projects, which receive a relatively small percentage of state funding and are intended to address goals that are fundamentally different from those of road or transit projects, have generally been excluded from the Council’s discussions. Similarly, since the majority of Registry of Motor Vehicles (RMV) funding is operationsbased and the capital projects that do exist address very different goals than community transportation projects, the Council has thus far not considered scoring RMV projects. Several questions have been raised through the process on this topic, including: Should there be a dollar threshold for a project to be incorporated into the project selection process? Should maintenance projects be included, and what exactly would be considered a maintenance project? Should Public Private Partnership (P3) projects be treated differently? Maintenance projects have been identified as a particular challenge for a new approach to prioritization. For example, on the Highway side, there is currently a set-aside for each District to use for emergency maintenance needs. This set-aside does not call out specific project types or locations. Moreover, there is a general understanding that a base amount of funding needs to be spent on maintenance needs and that these types of projects may not score as well as modernization and expansion projects in Tier 1 unless the criteria are heavily weighted towards system preservation. Existing and concurrent processes. Currently, other than structurally deficient bridges eligible for the Accelerated Bridge Program, only municipally proposed projects slated for an MPO TIP are scored for prioritization purposes by MassDOT. These projects can range from small paving projects to the Route 128 widening. 26 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature There is no dollar value threshold or exclusion of maintenance projects. However, the pre-PRC committee has a difficult time prioritizing maintenance projects because they never score as highly as a modernization or expansion project. The Asset Management Advisory Council (AMAC) is trying to establish a mechanism for prioritizing maintenance and asset preservation needs. This process will need to complement the Council process. The MBTA currently assesses and prioritizes maintenance projects through their Decision Lens tool; however, the metrics for assessing these projects are much more qualitative than their assessment for replacement needs. Potential Alternatives: Exclude maintenance projects (definition to be established at a later date). This is the approach taken by the majority of states currently applying a prioritization process. Apply a minimum dollar threshold of state funding (to be established at a later date). Only scoring projects above a certain estimated cost could conserve DOT resources. Some states, such as Washington, only prioritize their most expensive projects. Assess all projects. The prioritization process will be applied to each project, or each line item, in the CIP. The desired outcome should be achievable by applying the Tier 3 and 4 assessments, even if the evaluation criteria from Tier 1 are somewhat biased towards certain modes or project types. Next Steps. The Council will conduct further research on other states’ practices focused on these areas (maintenance projects, dollar thresholds, and P3 projects) and continue to solicit both internal and public input as it develops a recommendation on how these project types should be treated. 27 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 4.3 Key Issue: Timing of scoring process Issue description. The question of what stage in project development projects will be scored has not been addressed explicitly by the Council, but is a topic of great interest to both the Council and project development stakeholders. The issue is of paramount importance to project proponents who are reluctant to spend resources advancing projects through the design phase only to learn that the project will not make it through the screening process. However, there is less information on projects before design work has been initiated, complicating the evaluation process. The two potential scoring times that stakeholders have suggested are at project initiation (the pre-Project Review Committee stage for highway projects or conceptual design proposal for the MBTA) and in the programming of projects for the CIP. Existing processes. The point at which projects are currently evaluated varies by mode and by the entity conducting the evaluation. The timing of reviews under existing processes in Massachusetts is described below: Highway. Municipality initiated highway projects are reviewed by the MassDOT pre-Project Review Committee (Pre-PRC) before they are submitted for consideration by the MPO. These reviews are based on information provided in the Project Need Form and Project Initiation Form. Because not all municipalities can afford to hire a consultant and begin design work before the project is approved, the pre-PRC criteria cannot be too complex, time-intensive, or require information that requires engineering expertise. MassDOT does not score District or MassDOT initiated projects. Once projects have been approved by the PRC, they are not re-scored. Only projects in the 75% design stage are eligible for inclusion in the first year of the CIP. There is no formal process for prioritizing projects to be included in the CIP. MBTA. The MBTA first scores projects based on a Capital Funding Request (CFR) submitted at the conceptual design stage. The CFR is a form that the project initiator completes that addresses the questions that go into the MBTA’s prioritization score. Based on the project score, the project may or may not get approval to proceed to apply for federal grants. This initial 28 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature scoring occurs at roughly the same time in the project development cycle as when highway projects are scored. Projects are resubmitted and rescored each year when the MBTA CIP is being developed, at which point a potential start date is taken into consideration for the programming of funding. MPO. All MPOs prioritize their projects for the TIP in a slightly different manner, but with the same overall structure. Each MPO receives a list of accepted projects and funding targets from MassDOT. These projects are then scored as part of the TIP development process. The scores, coupled with the anticipated readiness date, are utilized to develop the four-year plan. For a specific example, the Boston MPO prioritizes projects for the TIP once those projects have reached 25% Design and have a completed Functional Design Report. In preparation for the development of the TIP, the staff uses evaluation ratings and project readiness information to prepare a First-Tier List of Projects. This is a list of the projects with the highest ratings that could be made ready for advertising within the TIP’s time horizon (next four federal fiscal years). Other MPOs follow similar processes. Potential Alternatives. There has been general consensus that Tier 1 and Tier 2 evaluations should occur close to project initiation and can replace the pre-PRC process (for highway projects). Suggestions for subsequent steps include: Tiers 3 and 4 occur upon the development of the CIP. Only projects at the appropriate state of readiness for the CIP will be scored. Upon the development of the CIP, projects will go through Tier 1 and 2 again, as well as Tiers 3 and 4. Only projects at the appropriate state of readiness for the CIP will be scored. Rescoring Tier 1 and 2 may change the outcome for projects in which the scope has changed, more information is known, or costs have increased. Projects are rescored under Tier 2 if costs escalate by a certain amount during the development process. These projects would be rescored in the year in which the costs escalate. All suggestions would result in projects that do not make it into the CIP being rescored the following year. Discussion and Analysis. Scoring projects can be a time intensive process. Rescoring projects once more information is available may also result in 29 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature significant funds expended on a design for a project that will not advance. Rejecting projects after design work has progressed also creates political and public relations challenges for MassDOT. However, the opportunity cost of going forward with a project that is not aligned with MassDOT policy goals, over another project that has more merit, is also significant. Consensus has seemed to be that Tier 1 needs to occur at or near project initiation. Although information is limited at this stage, there should typically be sufficient information to compare the merits of various projects. Conducting the Tier 1 evaluation on an annual basis for the same project as more information becomes available may not be worth the time and effort. However, it may be beneficial to test this approach on a sample set of projects to determine the sensitivity of Tier 1 scoring. Next Steps. The Council and staff will discuss these options in more depth with the Rail and Transit Division and the Highway Division to develop an approach that balances the goals of limiting the resources invested in advancing less beneficial projects with the desire to have a transparent, data-driven approach to project evaluation and selection. 30 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 4.4 Key Issue: Determining program balance Issue Description. Similar to regional equity, Tier 4 of the prioritization process allows for a comparison of the prioritized program to an ideal state of program balance. Program balance has not been explicitly defined, but could be thought of as ensuring minimum levels of investment in preservation, modernization, and expansion projects. Balance could also refer to asset categories like bridges or pavement, or modal balance. The goal is that a thoughtful set of evaluation criteria in Tier 1 coupled with the Tier 3 consideration of available funding and project eligibility will result in a balanced program. There is, however, the potential for certain project types to consistently land toward the top of the priority list. The intent of Tier 4 is to compare the recommended program to the desired state of program balance. While the definition of a balanced program will likely change over time, the Council’s charge is to develop an overall process that is as data-driven and transparent as possible. Existing Tools/Processes. Currently, there are a few existing tools or processes that may be helpful in determining appropriate program balance: - weMove Massachusetts: Planning for Performance, the scenario planning tool MassDOT developed as part of its 2014 statewide strategic plan, can help decision makers understand the state of good repair trade-offs of different investment scenarios for both highway and transit. The Planning for Performance tool could be modified at the Council’s direction to identify an ideal allocation of funding across asset categories to be compared against the program recommended from the first three tiers of the prioritization process. Currently, asset categories considered by the Planning for Performance tool include: • Pavement • Bridges • Mobility (delay hours /1,000 VMT) • Safety intersections or segments • Bicycle facilities (Bay State Greenway) • MBTA bridges • MBTA subway elevators/escalators • MBTA rolling stock MBTA track • MBTA signal 31 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature While this tool informed the CIP development process in FY 2014, it has not been fully implemented yet. The development of the State of Good Repair Database, which is feeding the MBTA data for the tool, is still being finalized. Some adjustments to the tool’s asset categories would be needed before it can be used to develop an ideal capital investment program by asset category. The Asset Management Advisory Council (AMAC) is working to catalog and prioritize maintenance of all MassDOT highway assets. It is possible that through their work, they could develop a mechanism to categorize projects by the suggested categories. In March, AMAC expects to have final recommendations that can be incorporated into the Council prioritization system. It is likely that a number of methods will be used to understand an ideal state of program balance. As with regional equity, the ideal state of balance across asset categories may not be achieved, or even desired, every year. Tier 4 provides the opportunity to justify the prioritized program against the ideal state of balance to allow for greater transparency. Best Practices. The Oregon DOT has developed Mosaic, a value and cost informed planning tool. It offers Oregon transportation planners and decision makers an efficient, transparent way to evaluate the social, environmental, and economic costs and benefits of transportation programs and investments. By helping decision makers identify investments that provide the best value for money, Mosaic will help make the most of limited resources. Mosaic can be used at the local, regional, and state levels, and is scalable to accommodate varying staff sizes, available data, and unique community needs and goals. Decision makers can also see the benefits and costs of potential investment decisions more clearly, which makes it easier to identify the mix of transportation investments that will provide the most value to their community. This tool is still under development, but may prove useful to address program balance. Although seemingly similar to the weMove Massachusetts Planning for Performance tool, MassDOT may be able to learn from the genesis of this tool. Next Steps. The Council will work over the next few months to better understand the pros and cons of these and other methods for determining program balance. 32 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 4.5 Key Issue: Coordination with the Asset Management Advisory Council Issue Description. The Asset Management Advisory Council (AMAC) has been tasked by the Legislature to come up with an asset management strategy that prioritizes system needs. Because of potential duplicity, there needs to be coordination with the AMAC process. However, to date, the timelines for each Council have made collaboration difficult. Given the uncertainty surrounding the scope of the end product from the AMAC process, the Council may need to establish its prioritization framework to allow for several approaches for accommodation of the outcome of the AMAC. Proposals. It is possible that one or more of these proposals will need to be selected: Exclude certain types of maintenance projects from project prioritization that would be covered under a system developed by the AMAC. For Tier 1: Adapt evaluation criteria as needed to incorporate criteria and data developed from AMAC. For Tier 2: Incorporate AMAC measures of cost/benefit. For Tier 3: Allocate funding specifically for the preservation of various types of assets. For Tier 4: Apply AMAC recommendations when ensuring asset balance. Next Steps In January, staff to the Council will brief the AMAC on progress to date. Beyond that briefing, the two Councils are working to hold a joint meeting to foster further collaboration and ensure that the two processes are compatible. 33 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 4.6 Key Issue: Definition of Regional Equity Issue Description. The Council has discussed the concept of regional equity consistently and in great depth throughout the process. As documented in the accompanying Regional Equity Technical Memo, the Council reviewed the current state of transportation funding allocation across the state, by Highway District, MPO, and by community types (urban vs. suburban/rural). The analysis looked at total dollars by region, dollars per capita, and dollars per lane mile. The purpose of the analysis was to get a better understanding of how equitable current spending is and how the issue of regional equity should be incorporated into a project prioritization process. Although there was general agreement that current spending is not clearly inequitable, the Council believes that there is potential for any formula to result in unwanted disparities if it does not specifically allocate funding by region. Based on the analysis of the state of regional equity in the current plans, it is clear that full equity is not necessarily achievable or desirable every year as there are different needs and goals over time (for example, higher levels of spending in one region may be a response to a high number of bridges in poor condition, a once in a generation mega-project, or natural occurring events). Moreover, transit funding can never be equitable across the state as only certain types of development adequately support and necessitate transit. Thus, there is a need to define a desired state of regional equity, or the elements that would allow the Council to determine an equitable program on a regional basis. Due to data limitations, the Council was unable to conduct an historical assessment of regional equity in Massachusetts. Potential Solutions. As a result of the analysis, the Council believes regional equity should be tracked going forward to ensure that there are no systematic, unjustified regional disparities. Tier 4 of the proposed prioritization process was designed to allow for a comparison of the prioritized program to a desired state of regional equity. However, the Council has not yet established what a desired state of regional equity would be. Some ideas that have been raised include: Comparing the program to the Chapter 90 program Allocating a proportion of funding across MPOs and/or highway districts Allocating a proportion of funding to rural versus urban areas 34 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Next Steps. In finalizing the process, a clear definition of regional equity and a clear explanation of how the program should be compared with that desired state of regional equity needs to be established. 35 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 4.7 Key Issue: Data Issue Description. There are many challenges associated with incorporating data into a robust project selection process: 1. Suitability: Are the existing data appropriate for use in the formula? 2. Uniformity: Are the data collected the same way in all jurisdictions within the state? If not, can this data still be used? 3. Cost: How costly is the data to gather and analyze for a project in terms of time, money, and required expertise? Small municipalities, in particular, cannot afford to hire consultants at the project initiation phase. 4. Aspirational Data: The Council must balance the need to recommend a prioritization tool to the Legislature by June 2015, with the knowledge that new and better data are becoming available to decision makers all the time. The Council has expressed an interest in identifying aspirational data, and recommending investments in the new data or data collection tools that can enhance future iterations of the prioritization tool. The Council has identified better information on bicycle and pedestrian demand as an important example of aspirational data to pursue. Other areas include improved origin/destination data for both highway and transit, as well as expanded use of automated farebox collection (AFC) data for transit. 5. Adaptability: Is the formula flexible enough to be able to accommodate improved data, or additional requirements, such as yet to be released in MAP-21 regulations? Next Steps. As the Council works to refine the metrics and scoring guidance, these five areas must be taken into consideration. 36 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature 5 Additional Areas for Consideration The following areas for consideration have been discussed by the Council, but additional work needs to be done to define alternatives and develop solutions. 5.1 Project Readiness Since the Council’s prioritization tool will be used in developing the MassDOT five-year CIP, it must consider a project’s readiness for construction. In developing the five-year transportation program, MassDOT must determine the likelihood that projects will have completed the design process and any necessary right of way acquisitions in advance of the year they are programmed for construction. MassDOT and the MPOs make this decision annually in the development of TIPs and the STIP. There is, however, significant opportunity to improve the process for determining readiness, as projects are currently shifted around considerably. There are also challenges, as certain municipalities do not have the financial resources to significantly advance project design until they are certain that the project will be programmed in the TIP. Currently, only projects at 75 percent design or above can be programmed in the first year of a STIP. The out years have less strict criteria for inclusion. Internal MassDOT and MPO stakeholders believe the Council’s work may be an opportunity to more fully incorporate project readiness into project prioritization. One recommendation is to include criteria that take into account obstacles to project initiation, such as right of way acquisition, environmental permitting, and geotechnical issues. The Council needs to consider in the coming months if and how project readiness should be incorporated into the prioritization system and what the tradeoffs may be. 5.2 Point Scale The Council has discussed the appropriate point scale for the Tier 1 evaluation. The initial draft normalized the total score to 100 points. Some Council members suggested that a 100 point scale could create a sense of a false precision where small differences in scores would be taken as evidence of one project’s effectiveness over another, although it would be impossible to achieve a scoring and weighting system that could be that precise. Conversely, a 10-point scale would result in a significant number of “tie scores” which would require more qualitative discussions of projects that score around the cutoff point for advancement. This would represent both a reasonable approach to similar 37 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature scoring projects, and the introduction of another layer of subjectivity into a process whose goal is transparency. While there are ways to combine both a subjective and objective evaluation of projects for both point scale ranges, the Council will need to reach an agreement on this before making a final recommendation. 5.3 Project Prioritization Software At an early meeting of the Council, MBTA staff gave a presentation about the Budget Office’s experience with Decision Lens, an online decision-making software. For the past two years, the MBTA has worked with Decisions Lens to develop a new capital planning prioritization system and used the company’s software and expertise to assist with the development, weighting, and scoring of project selection criteria. The initial schedule for Council recommendations did not allow for a thorough consideration of Decision Lens’ (or other similar services’) capability of supporting the Council’s work. Given the extension, the Council may want to reconsider using Decision Lens or a similar tool as an improvement to a purely manual process. 5.4 Scoring Process – Who and How It is a goal of the Council to reduce redundancies and streamline scoring processes as much as possible. In conversations with MassDOT staff there has been some consensus that the pre-PRC scoring process for municipal projects would be expanded to implement the recommendations of the Council. For pre-PRC, the District Project Engineers score all the projects in their district and subject matter experts from MassDOT also weigh-in. Many MPOs score their projects in a similar manner. However, at the Boston Region MPO, a subject matter expert scores only those questions in their area of expertise, so that several people score different aspects of each project. The MBTA utilizes a similar structure where various departments score the elements relevant to their work. A mapping tool is currently under development as part of the Everyday Counts and SHRP2 initiatives on expediting project delivery to provide web mapping capabilities that highlights environmental concerns early in the planning process. While this tool is currently focused on environmental concerns, there may be an opportunity to add relevant data layers to allow for automated or semiautomated scoring of projects. A similar tool was used in North Carolina for their scoring needs. 38 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature In the coming months, the Council will need to determine the best way to implement a multi-modal scoring process, which staff would be charged with scoring projects against the qualitative criteria in the prioritization tool, and what technological resources should be available to assist the scoring process. In addition, an interim, potentially separate process for addressing the backlog of projects will need to be developed. 39 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Appendix 1: Section 11 of Chapter 46 of the Acts of 2013 Section 11A. (a) There shall be a project selection advisory council which shall be charged with developing a uniform project selection criteria to be used in the development of a comprehensive state transportation plan as required by section 11. (b) The council shall consist of the following members: the secretary or the secretary’s designee, who shall serve as chair; 3 members to be appointed by the governor, 1 of whom shall have practical experience in transportation planning and policy, 1 of whom shall be a registered civil engineer with at least 10 years’ experience and 1 of whom shall be a member of a regional planning agency; 1 member to be appointed by the president of the senate, who shall be an expert in the field of transportation finance; 1 member to be appointed by the minority leader of the senate, who shall be a member of the construction industry; 1 member to be appointed by the speaker of the house of representatives, who shall be a representative of a transportation consumer organization or other public interest organization; 1 member to be appointed by the minority leader of the house of representatives, who shall be a member of a business association; and a representative of the Massachusetts Municipal Association. The department shall provide the council with qualified administrative staff and the regional planning agencies may provide qualified technical assistance to the council. (c) The project selection criteria developed under this section shall include a project priority formula or other data-driven process that shall include, but not be limited to, the following factors: engineering; condition of existing assets; safety; economic impact; regional priorities; and the anticipated cost of the project. The council may divide projects into several categories including, but not limited to: preservation and maintenance of existing assets; modernization of existing assets that improve safety; expansion projects that add to the existing system; and local construction. The factors chosen by the council may be weighted to prioritize specific factors and such weighting of factors may differ by project category as determined by the council. (d) The council shall conduct at least 6 public hearings, 1 in each of the department’s highway districts, before final approval of the project selection criteria. The council shall provide interested persons with an opportunity to submit their views orally and in writing and the department may create and maintain a website to allow members of the public to submit comments electronically and to review comments submitted by others. The council shall provide notice of each public hearing by publication in a newspaper of general circulation in the highway district in which the hearing is to be located in each of 2 successive weeks, the first publication to be at least 14 days before the day of the hearing and, if feasible, by posting a notice in a conspicuous place in the cities or towns within the highway district for at least 14 consecutive days immediately prior to the day of the hearing. 40 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Appendix 2: Draft Scoring Guidance Objectives Metrics Scoring Support mode shift To what extent does the project support mode shift from single occupancy vehicles? +3 = Project expands or improves transit, bicycle, pedestrian accommodation in an area with land uses likely to encourage greater use of these modes and the expectation that there will be a shift from single occupancy vehicles +2 = Project expands or improves transit, bicycle, pedestrian accommodation in an area with land uses that lend themselves to these modes, but it is unclear whether the improvements will significantly impact mode shift +1 = Project maintains or preserves transit, bicycle, pedestrian accommodation in an area with compatible land use; or expands/improves transit, bicycle, pedestrian accommodation in an area with incompatible land use. 0 = Project does not improve transit/bike/ped accommodation because project type/location makes it either physically impossible or unnecessary. -1 = Project does not improve/expand/maintain transit/bike/ped accommodation though options are available for doing so or project increases VMT -3 = Project negatively impacts transit/bike/ped accommodation 41 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Ensure preservation of existing infrastructure How appropriate and costeffective is the system preservation investment (based on PSI, PONTIS, SOGR database, etc.)? +3 = Preventive maintenance/rehab/reclamation or very appropriate +2 = +1 = Complete reconstruction or moderately appropriate 0 = New road surface or no improvement -1 = Not appropriate, or detrimental 42 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Improve reliability To what extent does the project improve the reliability of the transportation system? + 3 = Project incorporates one or more of the following elements that are anticipated to have a significant impact on travel time reliability. + 1 = Project incorporates one or more of the following elements that are anticipated to have a moderate impact on travel time reliability. 0 = Project has no impact on reliability Reliability Features Engineering design to reduce collisions Variable tolling Interchange improvements Road/sidewalk/bike lane widening for congested areas Signal coordination improvements ITS notifications Access management improvements Relieve crowding on transit Reduce time-to-failure rates for transit assets Potential to reduce VMT (transit, bike, ped improvements - extra point for off-road) HOV lanes *In the future planning time index for transit and highway can be considered. 43 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Improve efficiency Does the project efficiently increase persons per hour capacity? Reduce GHG What is the estimated change in GHG emissions? + 3 = Project significantly increases persons per hour capacity on the existing transportation network + 1 = Project moderately increases persons per hour capacity using existing facilities or improves persons per hour capacity by expanding the existing network 0 = Project has no impact on travel speed or efficiency Some elements that increase persons per hour capacity: Signal improvements HOV lanes Variable Tolling Options that increase reverse commuting Faster or more frequent transit service Adding sidewalk/bike path capacity Encouraging separation of modes Identify the range of GHG emissions changes likely to occur for a transportation investment, award +3 for those in the top 20% of reductions, +2 for those in the 20-60% range, +1 for 60%-100%. 0 for no impact, and the reverse for GHG emission increases. 44 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Support sustainable development To what extent does the project support smart growth development patterns? Ensure efficient movement freight To what extent does the project support efficient movement of freight vehicles? +3 = Project improves ease of travel within a town/village center, area with a population density >5,000 people/sq mi, or a state priority development area that fosters dense, transit-oriented, pedestrian-friendly development within the area, or fosters connections from one area of dense development to another. +1 = Project maintains or preserves ease of travel within an area of concentrated development or regional priority development area, or between such areas 0 = Project does not enhance mobility within an area of concentrated development or encourage development in areas lacking mobility options for most trips -3 = Project will facilitate lower-density development, or development that will require access to a private automobile in order to fully participate in the social and economic opportunities afforded by the new development +3 = Project addresses a freight mobility issue identified within the statewide freight plan +2 = Project is part of an identified freight corridor and scores positively for Ensure Maintenance of Existing Infrastructure, or positively for both Improve Reliability and Improve Efficiency 0 = Project is not located on an identified freight corridor 45 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Target underserved communities To what extent does the project benefit an EJ community or Title VI populations? +3 = Project improves mobility (particularly for those without access to a private automobile) within an EJ community, or between an EJ community and a major activity center +2 = Project improves mobility (particularly for those without access to a private automobile) in a corridor that is along the likely route of travel from an EJ community to a major activity center; OR Project maintains/preserves mobility (particularly for auto-less households) within an EJ community, or between an EJ community and a major activity center +1 = Project improves mobility in an EJ community primarily for the automobile mode 0 = Project has no impact on EJ communities -3 = Project burdens an EJ community 46 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Reduce incidence of chronic disease To what extent does the project have the potential to increase physical activity in areas with high levels of obesity? +3 Points = Project is located in an area with high obesity rates and provides new facilities for walking, biking, and transit that provide low-stress, familyfriendly options for accessing activity centers +2 Points = Project is located in an area with high obesity rates and improves existing facilities for walking, biking, and transit that provide low-stress, family-friendly options for accessing activity centers +1 Points = Project is located in an area with high obesity rates and provides facilities for walking, biking, and transit that provide options for accessing activity centers 0 = Project is not located in an area with high obesity rates -3 = Project reduces options for walking/biking/transit to access activities in an area with high levels of obesity 47 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature To what extent does the project reduce exposure to noise, air, and water pollution in areas with high exposure levels? +3 = Project significantly reduces exposure to noise, air and water pollution in an area with high exposure levels +2 = Project moderately reduces exposure to noise, air and water pollution in an area with high exposure levels 0 = Project has no impact on noise, air and water pollution either because of no significant changes or because negative impacts have been mitigated with trees or other exposure mitigation efforts -2 = Project increases exposure to noise, air, and water pollution -3 = Project significantly increases exposure Ensure resiliency Does the project address future climate change resiliency planning measures? +3 = Project is considered critical to the transportation network and is designed to ensure resiliency through extreme weather conditions +2 = Project is designed to ensure resiliency through extreme weather conditions -3 = Project is considered critical to the transportation network and is not designed to ensure resiliency through extreme weather conditions 48 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Reduce frequency and severity of collisions for all modes To what extent does the project address strategies in Strategic Highway Safety Plan for identified 4 problems along the corridor? +3 = Project has the potential to have a significant impact on one identified safety concern at the project location or project will have a positive impact on multiple strategies. +1 = Project has the potential to have a positive impact on one identified safety concern. Improve evacuation routes Does the project improve an identified issue along evacuation route or strategic corridor? +3 = if the project addresses an identified issue along an evacuation route or strategic corridor +1 = if the project scores positive points for increasing persons per hour capacity 0 = no impact on evacuation routes -1 = if the project does not score positively for increasing persons per hour capacity 4 Strategies include addressing bicycle, pedestrian, and truck/bus involved crashes. Other transit safety metrics are covered in the Reliability and System Preservation areas. 49 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Appendix 3: Illustrative Project Descriptions East Street Widening Pittsfield Bus Rapid Transit on State Street Corridor Springfield DMU Service to Lynn via Chelsea Lynn, Chelsea Description Widening of East Street (Route 9), a principal arterial between Lyman Street and Merrill Road, to 3 or 4 lanes, which will accommodate travel to and from the downtown Pittsfield area. This project will also include other features such as landscaping and pedestrian amenities. Description Upgrading the B7 bus route to Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) with service at the Eastfield Mall and Downtown Springfield via State Street. Project will use bus signal priority and queue jump lanes to decrease travel time and will improve bus stops and passenger amenities. Description Upgrading the Newburyport/Rockport line to incorporate lighter weight Diesel Multiple Unit (DMU) rail passenger vehicles for service from North Station to Chelsea and Lynn located north of Boston. The project will increase service frequency compared to existing commuter rail service. Mode: Vehicular and Pedestrian Setting: Urban MassDOT District: D1 MPO: Berkshire Regional Planning Commission Mode: Transit Setting: Urban MassDOT District: D2 MPO: Pioneer Valley Planning Commission RTA: Pioneer Valley Transit Authority FRTA Maintenance Facility Greenfield Construction of I-495/Route 1A Ramps Wrentham Description Construction of a larger, modern bus maintenance facility to replace the existing, outdated facility. Description Construction of ramps at the Route 1A and I-495 interchange to accommodate increased traffic volume from local developments. Potential mitigation measures such as a median island might also be included to meet the Town’s long range plan for the interchange. Mode: Vehicular Setting: Urban MassDOT District: D2 MPO: Franklin Regional Council of Governments RTA: Franklin Regional Transit Authority Mode: Vehicular Setting: Suburban MassDOT District: D5 MPO: Boston Metropolitan Organization Region Planning Mode: Rail Transit Setting: Urban MassDOT District: D4 (Lynn) and D6 ( Chelsea) MPO: Boston Region Metropolitan Planning Organization RTA: Massachusetts Bay Transit Authority (MBTA) Reconstruction of Causeway Street Boston Description Improvements for pedestrian and bicycles, which will transform Causeway Street into a pedestrian oriented boulevard. Includes reconstruction along with traffic signals, modified lane usage upgrades, cycle track, sidewalk improvements, lighting and landscaping. Mode: Pedestrian and Bicycle Setting: Urban MassDOT District: D6 MPO: Boston Region Metropolitan Planning Organization 50 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Reconstruction of Route 2 Erving Twin City Rail Trail Fitchburg, Leominster Route 24/Route 140 Interchange Reconstruction Taunton Description Reconstruction of Route 2 for a 1.7 mile stretch that includes downtown Erving. The project will include intersection/roadway alignment improvements, signage, pavement markings, new sidewalks, a potential lowering of the vertical curve between Mountain Road and North Street and the installation of a traffic signal at North Street with a dedicated left turn lane into the village center. Description Construction of a 4.2 mile pedestrian/bicycle path using the existing CSX, Inc. rail corridor located between downtown Leominster and the Arthur DiTommaso Bridge in Fitchburg (John T. Centrino Memorial Drive), which is located approximately a half-mile from downtown via Water Street. Description Improvements to Route 24 and Route 140 Interchange that will include Route 24 bridge replacement over Route 140. The ramps will be modified to improve vehicular flow to each highway access. Mode: Vehicular and Pedestrian Setting: Rural (Town Center) MassDOT District: D2 MPO: Franklin Regional Council of Governments Reconstruction of Ferry Street/Elm Street Everett Description Reconstruction of Ferry Street from Belmont Street (Malden city line) to Route 16 and Elm Street between Ferry Street and Woodlawn Street. The project will include traffic calming, curb extensions, new sidewalks, and wheelchair ramps. Six traffic signals will be upgraded, and the Chelsea Street traffic signal will be replaced with a roundabout. Mode: Vehicular and Pedestrian Setting: Urban MassDOT District: D4 MPO: Boston Region Metropolitan Planning Organization Mode: Pedestrian and Bicycle Setting: Urban and Suburban MassDOT District: D3 MPO: Montachusett Regional Planning Commission Mode: Vehicular Setting: Suburban MassDOT District: D5 MPO: Southeastern Regional Planning and Economic Development District Tyringham Road Lee Housatonic Street Dalton Description The purpose of this project is to rehabilitate and improve Tyringham Road through resurfacing, a minor widening and the installation of a closed draining system. The work includes the construction of retaining walls, a new sidewalk and new guardrails. Traffic control signs will be replaced as necessary. Description The work consists of the full depth reconstruction of Housatonic Street from Routes 8 & 9 (Main Street) to just west of Route 8 (Hinsdale Road). Also included are sidewalks, drainage improvements, new pavement, curbing, pavement markings, and signing. Mode: Vehicular Setting: Rural MassDOT District: D1 MPO: Berkshire Metropolitan Planning Organization Mode: Vehicular and Pedestrian Setting: Rural MassDOT District: D1 MPO: Berkshire Metropolitan Planning Organization 51 Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Route 114 Improvements North Andover and Lawrence Bus on I-93 Shoulder Description Work consists of resurfacing, widening, some bike lanes and striped shoulders, and sidewalk reconstruction on Route 114 in Lawrence and North Andover. Description The Merrimack Valley Regional Transit Authority (MVRTA) is studying the feasibility of operating “Bus on Shoulder” in the breakdown lane of I-93 to allow commuter bus routes to bypass rush hour peak direction traffic. Mode: Vehicular and Pedestrian Setting: Urban/Suburban MassDOT District: D4 MPO: Merrimack Valley Planning Commission Mode: Vehicular Setting: Suburban MassDOT District: D4 MPO: Merrimack Valley Planning Commission RTA: Merrimack Valley Regional Transit Authority 52 Appendix 4: Project Prioritization Framework Project Selection Advisory Council Interim Report to the Legislature Appendix 5: Written Comments from the Public Available upon request: jennifer.slesinger@state.ma.us 54