62 AGENDA ITEM BACKGROUND TO: GOVERNING BOARD DATE FROM: PRESIDENT March 4, 2013 SUBJECT: 2012-13 and 2013-14 Budget Planning Update REASON FOR BOARD CONSIDERATION INFORMATION ENCLOSURE(S) ITEM NUMBER Page 1 of 10 E.1 BACKGROUND: The Governor’s 2013-14 Budget was released on January 10, 2013. We are thankful to California voters for their approval of Proposition 30. The budget includes a mixture of good news and unknowns related to major policy proposals. On January 23, the College Planning Council (CPC) had a preliminary discussion about planning assumptions that will be used to develop the base budget for 2013-14. CPC met on February 27 to review the budget planning documents attached. 2013-14 Budget Reduction Process, Commitments, and Strategies (pages 64 - 66) The 2013-14 Budget Reduction Process Commitments, Criteria and Strategies were updated to reference the goals in the Strategic Plan and the need to design and implement the Student Success Initiative for the college. 2012-13 through 2013-14 Budget Development Timeline (pages 67 - 68) The budget calendar includes all shared governance and board meetings associated with the budget planning process for 2013-14. 2013-14 Base Budget Planning Assumptions (page 69) The 2012-13 through 2013-14 budget planning assumptions reflect the impact of the passage of proposition 30 on state revenue anticipated by the college for 2012-13. The expenditure assumptions include the replacement of eight full-time faculty positions and the allocation of funding to maintain the college’s enrollment and capture restoration funding of 1.6%; $700,000 for Cabrillo. Funding has been allocated to Counseling to increase the number of CG 51 courses offered to students in fall 2013. The 2013-14 Preliminary Budget will be developed using the mid-case scenario. The projected deficit for planning purposes is approximately $2.5 million. The college expects to have adequate reserves to cover the deficit. Administrator Initiating Item: Graciano Mendoza Victoria Lewis Academic and Professional Matter If yes, Faculty Senate Agreement Senate President Signature No Final Disposition 63 2013-14 through 2016-17 Multi-Year Base Budget Planning Assumptions (page 70) The long-term projection for 2014-15 through 2016-17 projects new revenue in the form of COLA. With new revenue comes a requirement to hire fifteen to twenty new faculty in order to meet the faculty obligation requirement. The faculty obligation number has been frozen since 2008 due to lack of funding. The Board of Governors is expected to unfreeze the faculty obligation number in fall of 2014. The college’s enrollment is declining. The spring 2013 enrollment is approximately 4% below spring 2012. The college may have to allocate more funding in future years to maintain enrollment to the funding cap. One-Time Operating Reserves (page 71) The college budgeted reserves of $3.1 million to balance the 2012-13 Final Budget. Changes in the operating reserves are summarized as follows: The revenue adjustment for the 2011-12 fiscal year was received on February 22. Actual revenue received for 2011-12 was $448,000 higher than the college’s closing estimate. Revenue associated with the State Mandate Program was unknown at the time the 2012-13 Final Budget was developed. The estimated revenue is included as an increase in operating reserves Restoration funding of 1.6%; 700,000 was not included in the 2012-13 because of the uncertainty associated with the passage of proposition 30. The 2012-13 funds are included as an increase in the operating reserve. The college is anticipating budget savings of $1.5 million for 2012-13 There is still a major risk factor associated with RDA. The first principal apportionment report from the state for the 2012-13 fiscal year included an estimated shortfall of 6.57% or $3.6 million for Cabrillo. Although the Governor’s Budget guaranteed community colleges backfill funding for RDA shortfalls for 2012-13 the state is advising Districts that a deficit may occur. The college is setting aside reserves to cover the shortfall should it materialize. The college is also planning for an ongoing shortfall of 2% (See Base Budget Planning Assumptions, page 69- 201314 Revenue Adjustments section; C.) The budget planning documents will be agendized for Governing Board approval at the April meeting. 64 March 4, 2013 Board Meeting 2013-14 Budget Reduction Process Commitments, Criteria and Strategies The economic crisis affecting the state budget is conservatively projected to end soon. At the current time, our best efforts at projecting the fiscal impact on Cabrillo indicate that our state funding may begin to increase over the next few years. The intent of the following process commitments, criteria and strategies is to enable Cabrillo to move from being a college that is organized and staffed to operate on a $60 million budget to an organization and staffing level that can deliver sustainable services to the community with a smaller budget. I. Process Commitments A. Link Budget planning, including program and service changes and redesign efficiencies, to long range planning, including the evaluation of the impact on student success. B. Utilize the appropriate forums to dialogue about the restructuring, consolidation, reductions, and/or elimination of programs and services resulting from a reduction in resources. C. In the event that program and workforce reductions are necessary, the college will work to preserve faculty, staff and management positions when possible and, if not possible, will assist with employment-related transitional issues. D. The process will be characterized by openness, respect, sensitivity, and inclusiveness. The College Master Plan provided the general framework for the following criteria: II. Criteria A. Compliance Requirements Maintain accreditation standards of the college and academic programs 1. 2. Maintain state and federal compliance requirements (Strategic Plan Goal B) e.g.: 50% law Full-Time faculty obligation number (FON) Accessibility B. Preserve transfer, basic skills, and Career Technical Education so students are able to complete their academic goals (Strategic Plan Goal A) Core courses toward an AA/AS General education breadth Labor market C. Minimize negative impact on student success (Strategic Plan Goal A) e.g. ARCC D. Optimize enrollment to achieve maximum state revenues. E. Minimize impact of non-base budget programs on General Fund (Strategic Plan Goal A) Ancillary/Auxiliary operations Revised 2/27/13 65 Categorical and grant-funded programs III. F. Maximize efficiency of programs and services (Strategic Plan Goal A and Technology Plan) Are college programs and services efficient? WSCH/FTEF Non-redundant G. Minimize the negative impact on the operational needs of new and existing facilities (Strategic Plan Goal B and Facilities Master Plan) H. Optimize effective utilization of college facilities (Strategic Plan Goal B) I. Maximize flexibility and opportunities for employees (Process Commitment C) Strategies A. Design and implement the Student Success Initiative for the college. B. Review all auxiliary and categorical program budgets with the appropriate budget administrator to identify reductions. C. Evaluate college-wide services and systems; explore alternative models across components; reduce costs, reduce duplication of function, and increase efficiencies throughout the college. D. Management of personnel budget. Process Overview Utilize salary savings for vacant positions to reduce the overall budget reduction target. Salary savings may be used to fund replacements for vacant positions based on demonstrated need and the approval of the Vice President/President. Salary savings may not be used to cover other operating expenses or equipment purchases. Cabinet may approve the recruitment of vacant positions based on demonstrated need. Human Resources will provide a list of vacant positions and the status of recruitments on a weekly basis. Administrative Services will provide a report of cumulative salary savings on a monthly basis. E. Evaluate facility use for efficiency and effectiveness. Watsonville Scotts Valley Energy Use Reduction F. Discuss compensation and benefit programs with all employee groups. 66 IV. Historical Data Available A. Internal Data Accreditation Self-Study http://www.cabrillo.edu/services/pro/accred/index.html Budget & Benefits Information Center: http://www.cabrillo.edu/internal/adminservices/budgetcenter/ Educational Master Plan: http://www.cabrillo.edu/services/pro/masterPlan/ FACT Books http://www.cabrillo.edu/services/pro/factbook/ Program Planning Pages http://pro.cabrillo.edu/pro/factbook/programPlanningTables.html Strategic Plan: http://pro.cabrillo.edu/cmp/ Technology Plan: http://www.cabrillo.edu/services/pro/accred/pdf/ITTP.pdf B. External Data Fiscal Data Abstract 06-07 Current Cost of Education 06-07 WASC Accreditation Standards http://www.cabrillo.edu/services/pro/accred/pdf/ACCJC%20NEW%20STANDARDS.pdf CABRILLO COLLEGE FY 2012-13 through 2013-14 Budget Development Timeline March 4, 2013 Board Meeting Nov./Dec. 2012 January 14, 2013 January 10, 2013 January 8/15/29,2013 January 18, 2013 January 23, 2013 February 11, 2013 February 19, 2013 February 27, 2013 March 4, 2013 March, 2013 March 5/26, 2013 March 6, 2013 March 6/20, 2013 April, 2013 April 8, 2013 April 9/23, 2013 April 3, 2013 April 3/17, 2013 April - June 2013 May 6, 2013 May 7/28, 2013 May 1, 2013 May 1/15, 2013 May 25, 2013 CPC/BOARD MEETING Action Items; - Academic Staffing Recommendation- Replace six full-time faculty positions for Fall 2013 BOARD MEETING Information Items: - 2012-2014 Budget Update 2013-14 GOVERNOR'S STATE BUDGET ADMINISTRATIVE COUNCIL STATE BUDGET WORKSHOP MANAGER'S MEETING/CPC MEETING Review Governor's Budget and impact of Proposition 30 - Discussed major components of budget planning parameters for 2013-14 -Increase the replacement of full-time teaching faculty from six to eight for Fall 2013 -Permanently fund 280 teach units to stabilize enrollment and capture restoration funding for 2012-13 - Updated revenue assumptions to include 2012-13 restoration funding BOARD MEETING Information Items: - Budget Update ADMINISTRATIVE COUNCIL CPC MEETING Information Items: - Update Budget Parameters FY 2012-13 through 2016-17 - Update Budget Development Timeline- FY 2013-14 - Review Strategies, Commitments and Criteria BOARD MEETING Information Items: - Update Budget Parameters FY 2012-13 through 2016-17 - Update Budget Development Timeline- FY 2013-14 - Review Strategies, Commitments and Criteria First Principal Apportionment 2012-13/ 2012-13 Recal ADMINISTRATIVE COUNCIL MANAGERS MEETING CPC MEETINGS Continue to evaluate/revise Planning Parameters BOARD MEETING Action Items: - Update Budget Parameters FY 2012-13 through 2016-17 - Update Budget Development Timeline- FY 2013-14 - Review Strategies, Commitments and Criteria ADMINISTRATIVE COUNCIL MANAGERS MEETING CPC MEETINGS 2012-13 Negotiations- All groups BOARD MEETING ADMINISTRATIVE COUNCIL MANAGERS MEETING CPC MEETINGS Governor's May Revise for 2013-14 released 67 CABRILLO COLLEGE FY 2012-13 through 2013-14 Budget Development Timeline March 4, 2013 Board Meeting June 2013 June 5, 2013 June 5/19, 2013 June 10, 2013 June 11, 2013 August 5, 2013 August 6/27, 2013 August 7, 2013 August 7/21, 2013 September 9, 2013 September 10/24, 2013 September 4, 2013 September 4/18, 2013 Second Principal Apportionment 2011-12 Received MANAGERS MEETING CPC MEETINGS Action Items: - 2013-14 Preliminary Budget Information Items: - 2013-14 Updated Budget Planning Parameters Final Budget BOARD MEETING Action Items: - 2013-14 Preliminary Budget Information Items: - 2013-14 Updated Budget Planning Parameters Final Budget ADMINISTRATIVE COUNCIL BOARD MEETING Action Items: - 2013-14 through 2015-16 Budget Planning Parameters ADMINISTRATIVE COUNCIL MANAGERS MEETING CPC MEETINGS BOARD MEETING Action Items: - 2013-14 Final Budget ADMINISTRATIVE COUNCIL MANAGERS MEETING CPC MEETINGS Cabrillo's budget planning process for 2013-14 began late due to the uncertainty surrounding the passage of Proposition 30. 68 March 4, 2013 Board Meeting 69 2013-14 Base Budget Planning (Best, Mid, Worst Case) 2012-13 Structural Deficit 2012-13 Revenue Adjustments A. Restoration funds- 1.6% B. Revenue Adjustment for Prop 30 passing 2013-14 Revenue Adjustment 2013-14 Revenue adjustments A. Restoration/Growth@ 2% B. COLA@1.65% (0, .825%, 1.65%) C. Deficit factor for apportionment shortfalls (3%,2%, 1%) D. Other TOTAL Revenue Adjustment 2013-14 Expenditure Adjustments Full-time Faculty Obligation - Replace 7, 8, or 9 vacancies 2012-13 Funded positions 196.25 2013-14 Funded positions 193.75 with 8 replacements Fall 2013 frozen FON- 189.6 /Unfrozen 211.6 Add Teaching Units to maintain enrollment cap from 2012-13 (300, 268, 260) Add Counseling Units for CG 51 Courses- 12 Units for Fall 2013 Add Teaching Units to capture 2% restoration/growth in 2013-14 Step, Column, Longevity, etc Medical Benefit increase- 8% (50%-50% cost share = 1/2) Retiree Medical Benefit Increase PERS rate increase Increase in Worker's Comp., Gen. Liability, TRAN Interest Expense Utilities Operating Cost Increases Total Expenditure Adjustments Projected 2013-14 Structural Balance (Deficit) * One-time Reserves used to bridge deficit Net Deficit for 2013-14 * Does not include categorical program impacts on the general fund. The salary/benefit budget includes a credit to the expense lines of $300k for salary/benefit savings. Worst Case (2,800,000) Range MidRange (2,800,000) Best Case (2,800,000) 600,000 1,681,326 700,000 1,681,326 800,000 1,681,326 0 0 (1,650,000) ? 631,326 0 450,000 (1,100,000) ? 1,731,326 ? 900,000 (550,000) ? 2,831,326 57,000 95,000 133,000 1.5 (531,000) (21,240) ? (330,000) (287,500) (85,000) (165,000) (80,000) (20,000) (150,000) (150,000) (1,762,740) (3,931,414) 2.5 (474,360) (21,240) ? (330,000) (230,000) (85,000) (165,000) (70,000) (15,000) (100,000) (125,000) (1,520,600) (2,589,274) 2,589,274 0 3.5 (460,200) (21,240) ? (330,000) (172,500) (85,000) (165,000) (60,000) (10,000) 0 (100,000) (1,270,940) (1,239,614) (3,931,414) (1,239,614) 70 March 4, 2013 Board Meeting 2013-14 through 2016-17 Base Budget Planning Parameters 2013-14 Projected Difference between ongoing Revenues & Expenses (Structural Deficit) Increase in State Revenue Anticipated A. Restoration/Growth B. 1/2 COLA @1.65%, 2.3%, 2.5%, 2.7%* C. Other Net change in revenue Net Increases in Ongoing Expenses Full-time Faculty Position changes (2.5) (net of adjunct backfill) , 18, 8, 6 Add Teaching Units to maintain enrollment cap from 2012-13 (300,268,260) Add Counseling Teaching Units for CG 51 Courses- 12 Units for Fall 2013 Add Teaching Units to capture restoration/growth for 2013-14 Step, Column, Longevity Increases, etc. Medical Plan Rate Increase-- 8% (50%-50% cost share in place) Retiree Benefit Increase PERS Rate Increase STRS Rate Increase Worker's Comp, Unemployment Insurance TRAN Interest Expense Utilities Net Operating Increases Reduction in Indirect Reimbursements from grants Labor agreements Total Expenditure Increases 2014-15 Projected 2015-16 Projected 2016-17 Projected (1,518,674) (2,589,274) (3,183,274) (3,317,274) ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 450,000 (1,068,674) 1,375,000 1,485,000 (1,324,274) (1,808,274) (1,832,274) (684,000) (304,000) (228,000) (474,360) ? ? ? (21,240) ? ? ? ? (330,000) (230,000) (85,000) (165,000) ? (70,000) (15,000) (100,000) (125,000) ? ? ? (330,000) (230,000) (145,000) (150,000) ? (50,000) (20,000) (100,000) (150,000) ? ? ? (330,000) (230,000) (145,000) (175,000) ? (50,000) (25,000) (100,000) (150,000) ? ? ? (330,000) (230,000) (145,000) (175,000) ? (50,000) (30,000) (100,000) (150,000) ? ? (1,520,600) (1,859,000) (1,509,000) (1,438,000) Budget Reductions ? ? ? ? Ongoing Shortfall* (2,589,274) (3,183,274) (3,317,274) (3,270,274) Operating Reserves available to bridge deficit *Deficit net of One-time funds 95,000 ? 1,265,000 2,589,274 0 Cost of 1% for all employees = $425,000 RDA continues to be a major threat. The RDA shortfall was backfilled for 2012-13 but there is no guarantee this will continue. Although RDA will be backfilled for 2012-13, the state is delaying payments to CCCs because of a cash shortfall, increasing the amounts CCCs must borrow (in addition to apportionment deferrals). * COLA estimates projected based on School Services of California Financial Dartboard 71 March 4, 2013 Board Meeting ONE-TIME OPERATING RESERVES Projected Reserves budgeted for 2012-13 Deficit $3,142,914 ADD: 2011-12 One-time increase from recal State Mandate Reimbursement not budgeted in 2012-13 Restoration received for 2012-13, not budgeted in 2012-13 Anticipated Budget Savings from 2012-13 State Mandate Reimbursement for 2013-14 $448,000 $300,000 $700,000 $1,500,000 $250,000 LESS: Deficit Factor for 2012-13- 6.57% Projected Operating Reserves available for 2013-14 * Does not include FTES reserve of $1,000,000 or the 5% General Reserve ($3,608,000) $2,732,914