WETLANDS, Vol. 26, No. 4, December 2006, pp. 1151–1160 ’ 2006, The Society of Wetland Scientists EVALUATION OF WOODY PLANT RESTORATION IN THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE: TEN YEARS AFTER John P. Taylor1,4, Loren M. Smith2,5, and David A. Haukos3 1 U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service P.O. Box 1246 Socorro, New Mexico, USA 87801 2 Wildlife and Fisheries Management Institute Texas Tech University Lubbock, Texas, USA 79409-2125 E-mail: l.m.smith@ttu.edu 3 U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service Department of Natural Resources Management Texas Tech University Lubbock, Texas, USA 79409-2125 4 deceased. 5 corresponding author Abstract: Native riparian cottonwood (Populus deltoides) dominated habitats are declining throughout the southwestern United States and being replaced by the exotic salt cedar (Tamarix ramosissima, T. chinensis) dominated systems. Restoration efforts have often involved removing salt cedar and simulating or restoring overbank flooding timed with seed rain of cottonwood and willow (Salix spp.). Success is then often assessed by examining seedling densities of the native species and their known competitive superiority over salt cedar at this stage. We measured plots in the Middle Rio Grande Valley, New Mexico, USA that had been cleared of salt cedar a decade earlier, compared the initial seedling community to the established community, and determined variables important in predicting establishment of cottonwood. During the decade since establishment, the proportion of cottonwood and seep willow (Baccharis glutinosa) increased, while salt cedar and coyote willow (S. exigua) decreased. Proportion of community foliar volume changed little for salt cedar (17.0 to 17.6%), while it increased for cottonwood (25.5 to 63.3%). Cottonwood dominated (.70%) the overstory. Initially established woody stem density (all species) was the only predictor of the percent of cottonwood canopy cover a decade later as declining coyote willow allowed for greater cottonwood growth. No abiotic variables were important in predictions of subsequent cottonwood community establishment, probably because these variables were similar among sites in this active floodplain. High initial cottonwood and salt cedar seedling densities were related to lower cottonwood foliar volume and smaller individual tree diameters a decade later. Low initial densities of cottonwood allowed individuals to grow rapidly to a greater height, dominating the canopy. Restoration biologists should therefore consider areas that have low initial cottonwood seedling densities as potentially very successful if their goal is to produce a stand of large cottonwoods in a relatively short time. Key Words: cottonwood, Populus, Rio Grande Valley, riparian restoration, salt cedar, Tamarix INTRODUCTION movement in river valleys. These anthropogenic disturbances have promoted conversion of systems dominated by native flora to those dominated or co-dominated by exotic plants (Szaro 1989, Howe and Knopf 1991). Historically, riparian zones along these rivers were dominated by native cottonwood (Populus spp.) and willow (Salix spp.), but they are now dominated by salt cedar (Tamarix Native riparian communities have been severely degraded throughout the western United States (e.g., Busch and Smith 1995, Shafroth et al. 2005). The construction of dams and water withdrawals have altered natural river hydrographs, while construction of levees has restricted channel 1151 1152 ramosissima Ledeb., T. chinensis Lour.) (Campbell and Dick-Peddie 1964, Graf 1978, Howe and Knopf 1991, Busch and Smith 1995, Friedman et al. 2005). Seeds of cottonwood, willow, and salt cedar are wind- and water-dispersed. These species do not persist in the seed bank and only survive for a few weeks following dispersal (Horton et al. 1960). Willow and cottonwood seeds are dispersed for a few weeks in late spring when overbank flooding of rivers historically occurred following snowmelt in adjacent mountain ranges, but salt cedar disperses seed throughout the growing season (Horton et al. 1960, Fenner et al. 1984, Stromberg 1997). Each of these species requires bare, moist substrate for germination that historically was provided as a result of overbank flooding events (Taylor et al. 1999). However, salt cedar can germinate any time during the growing season when moisture and other soil conditions are suitable (Horton et al. 1960). Using this knowledge of seedling establishment requirements, several studies have investigated simulated and planned overbank flooding events as a means of restoring native woody plants in riparian zones in the southwestern U.S. (Friedman et al. 1995, Taylor and McDaniel 1998, Roelle and Gladwin 1999, Taylor et al. 1999, Sprenger et al. 2001, 2002, Sher et al. 2002, Rood et al. 2003). These studies have primarily relied upon germination data gathered within four years after overbank flooding. Success was measured based on the assumption that overbank flooding treatments producing the highest densities of cottonwood and willow seedlings were optimal for restoring native woody plants (e.g., Taylor et al. 1999, Sprenger et al. 2002). Moreover, studies examining the competitive relationships between salt cedar and cottonwood have generally been focused on plants within a four-year age span and have indicated a competitive superiority of cottonwood over salt cedar (Sher et al. 2000, 2002). Few data exist on longer term persistence and competitive relationships of older (.four year) cottonwood and salt cedar, or on the relationship of initial seedling densities to long-term restoration of native riparian habitat in the southwestern U.S. We compared woody plant data collected in 1995, after initial overbank flooding events in 1993 and 1994, to the plant community existing in 2004. First, we compared woody plant composition, density, height, and foliar volume of dominant taxa between the two time periods to determine the efficacy of the original treatments in longer term native woody plant restoration. Next, because initial plant density WETLANDS, Volume 26, No. 4, 2006 may influence subsequent stem diameter and height, and therefore restoration, we explored relationships for diameter and height vs. density for dominant taxa. We also examined potential factors influencing cottonwood density, canopy cover, and individual plant volume because this species is most often targeted in conservation plans. METHODS Study Area The study was conducted at Bosque del Apache National Wildlife Refuge (33u480, 106u530) in Socorro County, New Mexico, USA, along 0.8 km of the Rio Grande. Details of the study area are described in the initial study by Taylor et al. (1999). The Rio Grande Valley was 5.2 km wide at the study site. The active floodplain width was restricted to 1 km by a spoil levee built in the late 1950s on the west side of the river in conjunction with construction of the Low Flow Conveyance Channel (Taylor et al. 1999). Historically, river flows were characterized by an annual hydrograph typical of many river systems in western North America (Scott et al. 1993, Taylor et al. 1999). Diverse riparian vegetation communities were present on the refuge prior to irrigation diversions and flood-control developments (Bosque del Apache NWR, unpublished data). Although cottonwood (Populus deltoides Bartr. ex Marsh) gallery forest patches remain, introduced salt cedar monocultures dominate large areas of the floodplain, with little natural regeneration of native species (Taylor et al. 1999). Prior to restoration treatments, the entire study area was dominated by the exotic salt cedar and native seep willow (Baccharis glutinosa (R. & P.) Pers.); 94.5% and 5.5%, respectively, of the vegetative cover (Taylor et al. 1999:374). Salt cedar stem density was 27,156/ha. Initial Site Manipulation and Field Sampling Sixteen 50 3 50-m plots were established immediately adjacent and perpendicular to the river channel. Eight were randomly selected for clearing with a D-7 bulldozer, and debris was raked and stacked. Water was released from upstream reservoirs on the Rio Grande north of the refuge by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation in May and June 1993, 1994 to create overbank flooding conditions in the study plots. Timing corresponded to the historic river hydrograph. Overbank flooding of the 16 plots occurred on 26 May 1993 at 127 cms (cubic meters per second), Taylor et al., RIPARIAN RESTORATION SUCCESS and inundation continued for 20 days. In 1994, overbank flooding occurred at 128 cms from 14 to 18 May and at 143 cms from 25 to 29 May. One of the eight cleared plots was destroyed during creation of a wildfire line in 1996. We collected nine soil samples from each plot in July 1993 using a 2-cm-diameter soil bucket auger (15-cm depth) and determined soil particle sizes using the hydrometer method (Gee and Bauder 1986). Average proportions of sand, silt, and clay were calculated for each plot. We measured soil conductivity, as an index of salinity, in October 1993 across the 0.75-m soil profile (upper) and the 1.5-m soil profile (lower) using the electromagnetic induction method (Sheets et al. 1994). Although salinity affects germination of riparian species, conductivity varied little among cleared plots (upper531.8 mS/m [SE51.69] lower535.96 mS/m [SE51.78]) and therefore seldom was selected as an important variable in predicting initial seedling response (Taylor et al. 1999). Therefore, to limit the number of variables and improve inference, we did not include salinity as a variable during subsequent modeling. We calculated average plot elevation (above sea level; ASL) from three random elevation measurements within each plot using standard field surveying techniques. Two Bureau of Reclamation floodplain elevation cross sections were used as reference points for the survey. In this study, we compared data from vegetation surveys conducted in 1995, which measured seedling recruits from overbank flooding in 1993 and 1994, to those in 2004, 11 to 10 years respectively, from original recruitment. In each plot, we estimated percent herbaceous cover (i.e., non-woody) by averaging cover estimates in nine randomly located 1 3 1 m quadrats during late September 1994. These small quadrat locations were not measured in 2004 because the woody vegetation had matured and thus were not of relevant size. Herbaceous cover data were only used in regression models (described below) to predict long-term restoration response and were averaged because plot was the replicate in those analyses. To estimate density of woody plants, we identified and counted individuals along four 1 3 30-m belt transects located parallel to and at 10-m intervals from the main channel bank location in 1995 and 2004 within each of the seven restoration plots. We then averaged data for all transects within each plot, because plot was the replicate, and converted the result to density (no./m2). Using the end of each transect as a center point, we divided the surrounding space into four quadrants (Cottam et al. 1953; northeast, northwest, southeast, and southwest). Within each quadrant (8/transect line, 1153 32/plot) the species, height (m), horizontal cover (m2), and diameter at breast-height (DBH) of the nearest live individual tree were recorded. We multiplied height and horizontal area to estimate plant (foliar) volume (m3). In 2004, we also measured overstory of each species by estimating the proportion of each transect above 2 m covered by woody vegetation. The percent cover for overstory species was estimated by dividing the length of the transect line covered by each species by the transect length. Data Analyses We determined percent composition of cottonwood, coyote willow (S. exigua Nutt.; an early successional species), seep willow, and salt cedar for 1995 and 2004 in each plot based on individuals counted in the quadrants at each end of belt transects. We used these data rather than density data because they are unitless and not related to tree size as are density data. We used the non-parametric sign test (Hollander and Wolfe 1973) to test if percent composition of each species increased or decreased between 1995 and 2004. We calculated percent change in plant density, height, and foliar volume for each species and across species between 1995 and 2004. We used Pearson’s correlation coefficient to determine relationships between plant height and density for each species in 2004. Because of relatively high measures of variation between 1995 and 2004, we also compared average values using Cohen’s (1988) d statistic as a measure of effect size of the difference between 1995 and 2004 mean values. We compared average plot density, volume, and height data for cottonwood, coyote willow, seep willow, and salt cedar between 1995 and 2004 using a paired t-test. Density estimates were log-transformed prior to analyses (Taylor et al. 1999). Successful riparian forest restoration in this region is measured by cottonwood dominance. To explore potential factors influencing attributes of cottonwoods (i.e., density, canopy cover, and individual plant volume) in 2004, we used stepwise regression (P50.15 for entry and exit) to determine important independent variables (PROC REG, SAS 1999). Independent variables included in the analyses were plot elevation (m ASL), 1994 herbaceous cover (%), percent clay, percent silt, percent sand, 1995 cottonwood density, 1995 average cottonwood height, 1995 average cottonwood foliar volume, 1995 coyote willow density, 1995 seep willow density, 1995 salt cedar density, and 1995 total 1154 WETLANDS, Volume 26, No. 4, 2006 Table 1. Percent composition of cottonwood, coyote willow, seep willow, and salt cedar in 1995 and 2004 in seven, 50 3 50-m plots cleared in 1993 on Bosque del Apache National Wildlife Refuge, New Mexico. Cottonwood Coyote willow Seep willow Salt cedar Plot 1995 2004 1995 2004 1995 2004 1995 2004 4 9 11 12 13 15 16 All Plots Combined 28.1 12.5 3.2 0.0 0.0 3.1 0.0 6.5 50.0 54.2 9.7 13.3 37.5 56.3 35.5 35.6 59.4 40.6 19.4 16.1 27.3 31.3 25.0 31.4 27.3 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 0.0 4.5 0.0 3.1 6.5 0.0 3.0 3.1 6.3 3.1 18.2 41.7 32.3 0.0 12.5 12.5 19.4 23.7 12.5 43.8 71.0 83.9 69.7 62.5 68.8 58.7 4.5 0.0 58.1 86.7 50.0 25.0 45.2 41.1 density. We examined relationships between 1995 and 2004 cottonwood densities and 2004 average cottonwood DBH using (1) Spearman’s rank correlation and (2) linear regression. RESULTS The percent composition of cottonwood (P 5 0.008) and seep willow (P 5 0.02) increased from 1995 to 2004 (Table 1). The proportion of coyote willow (P 5 0.008) and salt cedar (P 5 0.06), however, decreased as a proportion of the community (Table 1). Plant height was correlated with foliar volume for cottonwood (r11 5 0.72, P 5 0.01) and salt cedar (r13 5 0.77, P 5 0.002). Height of seep willow was correlated with foliar volume (r11 5 0.88, P , 0.001) but not density (r11 5 20.10, P 5 0.76). However, there were no relationships between plant height and foliar volume (r10 5 0.05, P 5 0.88) or plant density (r10 5 0.12, P 5 0.75) for coyote willow. Plant heights of cottonwood (r11 5 20.67, P 5 0.02) and salt cedar (r13 5 20.77, P 5 0.002) were negatively correlated with plant densities. Proportion of the total foliar volume of the community changed little for salt cedar (17.0 – 17.6%) and seep willow (17.0 – 14.7%) from 1995 to 2004. However, proportion of community foliar volume of cottonwood increased from 25.5 to 63.3%, while coyote willow decreased (40.4 – 4.3%). Densities of coyote willow (t6 5 1.43, P 5 0.20) and seep willow (t6 5 1.49, P 5 0.19) were not statistically different between 1995 and 2004 (Table 2). Cottonwood (t6 5 2.13, P 5 0.08) and salt cedar (t6 5 5.72, P 5 0.001) densities decreased from 1995 to 2004. Total density of woody species decreased from 1995 to 2004 (t6 5 3.55, P 5 0.012). Plant height increased from 1995 to 2004 for cottonwood (t3 5 13.19, P , 0.001) and salt cedar (t5 5 9.03, P , 0.001) but not for seep (t4 5 1.98, P 5 0.12) or coyote willow (t2 5 0.19, P 5 0.87). Similar results were noted for plant volume (cottonwood, t6 5 2.69, P 5 0.04; salt cedar, t5 5 3.19, P 5 0.002; seep willow, t4 5 2.01, P 5 0.11; coyote willow, t2 5 0.96, P 5 0.44). However, with the exception of coyote willow height, changes in plant density, height, and foliar volume showed medium to large effect sizes between 1995 and 2004 (Table 2). Across species, average density (t65 2.66, P 5 0.04), plant height (t6 5 2.61, P 5 0.04), and foliar volume (t6 5 6.76, P , 0.001) differed between 1995 and 2004. In 2004, cottonwood dominated the overstory by occupying . 70% of the overstory (Figure 1). Total 1995 density of woody species was the only predictor of 2004 percent cottonwood overstory (r2 5 0.98, model F1,6 5 99.29, P 5 0.01; percent cottonwood overstory 5 51.02 + 2.87[total density]). Two variables, total 1995 woody density (partial r2 5 0.97) and 1995 cottonwood foliar volume (partial r2 5 0.02), were identified in the model to predict 2004 cottonwood density (r2 5 0.99, model F1,6 5 75.94, P 5 0.01; cottonwood density 5 0.206 + 0.068[total density] 2 0.27[cottonwood volume]). Interestingly, the only predictor of 2004 cottonwood foliar volume was 1995 salt cedar density (r2 5 0.32, model F1,6 5 2.51, P 5 0.15; cottonwood foliar volume 5 80.64 2 25.61 [salt cedar density]; Figure 2); the influence was negative. The 2004 overhead cover and density of cottonwood was positively related to 1995 total density of woody species (Figure 3). No abiotic variables were significant in cottonwood predictions. Densities of cottonwood in both 1995 and 2004 influenced cottonwood DBH in 2004 (Figure 4). The 1995 (r 5 20.71, P 5 0.09) and 2004 (r 5 20.78, P 5 0.05) densities were negatively correlated with Taylor et al., RIPARIAN RESTORATION SUCCESS 1155 Table 2. Mean (SE) plant density (no./m2), height (m), and foliar volume (m3) of cottonwood, coyote willow, seep willow, and salt cedar in 1995 and 2004 in seven, 50 3 50-m plots cleared in 1993 on Bosque del Apache National Wildlife Refuge, New Mexico. Species Characteristic Cottonwood Density* Height* Volume* Coyote willow Density Height Volume Seep Willow Density Height Volume Salt cedar Density* Height* Volume* Total woody plant density Overall average density* Overall average volume* Overall average height* Year 1995 2004 Percent Change Effect Sizea 1.91 (0.95) 0.98 (0.27) 0.24 (0.19) 0.50 (0.15) 5.53 (0.41) 34.91 (12.89) 274 464 1444 0.78 5.36 1.44 1.05 (0.85) 1.34 (0.09) 0.38 (0.10) 0.06 (0.04) 1.49 (0.46) 2.38 (1.82) 294 11 526 0.62 0.19 0.89 0.15 (0.06) 0.78 (0.24) 0.16 (0.15) 0.30 (0.10) 1.65 (0.35) 8.11 (3.97) 100 111 4968 0.71 1.23 1.15 276 123 5969 274 273 6687 55 2.52 3.28 1.84 1.10 1.99 0.97 0.77 1.79 1.03 0.16 4.89 1.22 0.24 1.96 (0.28) (0.12) (0.05) (1.72) (0.34) (0.06) (0.09) 0.42 2.30 9.71 1.28 0.32 16.29 3.04 (0.07) (0.19) (3.00) (0.21) (0.05) (4.97) (0.41) a Effect size is based on Cohen’s (1988) d statistic and interpreted as ‘‘large’’ for values $ 0.80, ‘‘medium’’ for values $ 0.50 and , 0.80, and ‘‘small’’ for values $ 0.20 and , 0.50. * Species characteristic labeled with an asterisk indicates a difference between means. Figure 1. Total overstory composition in 2004 of seven, 50 3 50-m plots cleared of salt cedar in 1993 on Bosque del Apache National Wildlife Refuge, New Mexico to restore riparian woodlands. 1156 WETLANDS, Volume 26, No. 4, 2006 Figure 2. Relationship between the 1995 density of salt cedar and 2004 foliar volume (m3) of cottonwood in seven, 50 3 50-m plots cleared in 1993 on Bosque del Apache National Wildlife Refuge, New Mexico to restore riparian woodlands. 2004 cottonwood DBH. However, the slope was not different from zero for the 1995 densities (r2 5 0.29, model F1,6 5 2.02, P 5 0.21; cottonwood DBH 5 5.52 2 0.61[1995 density]) (Figure 5). The 2004 cottonwood density was related to the 2004 DBH with a negative slope (r2 5 0.53, model F1,6 5 5.69, P 5 0.06; cottonwood DBH 5 7.04 2 5.33 [2004 density]) (Figure 5). Figure 3. Relationships between the 1995 total density of woody species (cottonwood, coyote willow, salt cedar, and seep willow) and 2004 percent overstory of cottonwood (a) and between the 1995 total density of woody species (cottonwood, coyote willow, salt cedar, and seep willow) and 2004 density of cottonwood (b) in seven, 50 3 50-m plots cleared in 1993 on Bosque del Apache National Wildlife Refuge, New Mexico to restore riparian woodlands. Taylor et al., RIPARIAN RESTORATION SUCCESS 1157 Figure 4. Patterns of 1995 and 2004 cottonwood densities and 2004 cottonwood diameter breast-height in seven, 50 3 50m plots cleared in 1993 on Bosque del Apache National Wildlife Refuge, New Mexico to restore riparian woodlands. DISCUSSION Based on all community measures (percent composition, density, height, foliar volume, and overstory coverage) restoration of native riparian Figure 5. Relationships between 1995 (a) and 2004 (b) cottonwood densities and 2004 cottonwood diameter breast-height in seven, 50 3 50-m plots cleared in 1993 on Bosque del Apache National Wildlife Refuge, New Mexico to restore riparian woodlands. woody habitat was a success beyond the initial establishment phase. Indeed, a decade after restoration efforts, cottonwood and seep willow comprised nearly 60% of the community, more than five times 1995 levels. Composition of coyote willow, a disturbance species, had declined by 86% in nine years, while salt cedar dropped 30%. Seep willow density doubled over the decade since establishment, which is indicative of their importance later in restoration efforts because the increase in seep willow was due to colonization after overbank flooding events. Cottonwood was the tallest species (.5 m) after 10 years, had the highest growth rate, and had greatest overstory (70%) coverage. Although individual salt cedars were common (41% composition) in the restored areas, its overstory cover was ,10% and average height was less than half that of cottonwood. The competitive abilities of cottonwood over salt cedar were clearly apparent beyond the seedling stage. These results should be viewed within the context that maintenance river flows occurred within the Rio Grande and drier sites further removed from a river may show different vegetation dynamics. Although we do not know the exact duration, some minimal overbank flooding likely occurred each year from 1995 to 1999 and in 2001. The processes that were important in predicting initial establishment of native species in cleared plots (Taylor et al. 1999) were not important in predicting longer term response. No initial abiotic characteristics were useful in predictions of cottonwood plant 1158 volume, canopy cover, or density a decade later. Abiotic factors, particularly soil moisture, texture, and elevation are important predictors of initial establishment (Cooper et al. 1999, Taylor et al. 1999, Shafroth et al. 2000), but once cottonwood is established in those sites, other biotic factors such as community composition become more valuable to predict restoration response. It is likely that ranges in elevation and soil characteristics were not great enough in our plots to reflect post-establishment vegetation differences in the active river floodplain. This is apparent in the low variability of soil salinities observed among our plots (Taylor et al. 1999). Although salinity is undoubtedly important in seedling establishment, it was not statistically selected as important when operating within a narrow range of values (Taylor et al. 1999). Cottonwood and salt cedar can establish in higher salinity soils and lower ground water levels when the soil surface is flooded to allow germination but under higher salinity conditions cottonwood would not likely survive as well (Sprenger et al. 2002, Bhattacharjee et al. 2006). We also did not measure ground-water depth, which is important in riparian vegetation establishment and persistence (Stromberg and Patten 1990, Rood et al. 1995, Scott et al. 1999, Shafroth et al. 2000). We do not feel, however, that this was an important predictor due to the immediate proximity of all plots to the river channel and the additional overbank flooding that occurred. It is also possible that the physical location of the plot, relative to adjacent uncleared salt cedar plots and river morphology, influenced overland flow, which may have influenced subsequent vegetation response. However, this binomial (cleared or uncleared salt cedar) variable was difficult to include in our models given random application of treatments (i.e., too few replicates per variable). The most important 1995 predictors of postestablishment cottonwood characteristics were total woody species density and salt cedar density. As total 1995 woody plant density increased, subsequent cottonwood density and overhead cover increased. Much of the 1995 woody plant density was made up of coyote willow. Coyote willow is a relatively short-lived, early successional riparian species. As coyote willow senesced, cottonwood experienced a release in growth. Salt cedar density in 1995, as part of that 1995 total woody plant species, negatively influenced 2004 cottonwood foliar volume but not density. Cottonwood is shadeintolerant (Johnson et al. 1976), and it increased in height rather than volume (i.e., lateral branching) when salt cedar densities were high. Thus, the initial WETLANDS, Volume 26, No. 4, 2006 composition of all woody species is important in subsequent riparian system response, and restoration biologists should examine the initial density and community composition to determine if goals will be met. Although more salt cedar plants will negatively influence cottonwood volume, high initial densities of coyote willow will encourage cottonwood growth as the species disappears from the community. Data do not suggest that coyote willow prevents germination of salt cedar, but it likely negatively influences survival of first year salt cedar seedlings. Therefore, low initial cottonwood seedling densities may eventually mature into desirable communities with beneficial transitional (e.g., coyote willow) communities in the interim. Densities of salt cedar and cottonwood in 2004 were negatively associated with plant height, which was associated with foliar volume for these species. Lower cottonwood densities would produce greater individual tree volume in a shorter period, and this was reflected in DBH. Sites that had the lowest initial cottonwood seedling densities had individuals with the greatest diameters. These individuals grow rapidly to a greater height, dominating the canopy relative to salt cedar. Therefore, the high mortality of cottonwood seedlings that occurs during the first and second years after establishment may not be cause for concern and may actually provide thinning that leads to stands with greater volume and larger individual tree size (DBH). A restoration goal of large cottonwood trees with a dominant canopy should target lower densities of cottonwood in the first few years within the mixture of established native seedlings. If the goal of management is to transition more slowly through the mid-age structure with a dense native community for certain vertebrates, such as southwestern willow flycatcher (Empidonax traillii Audubon), then high initial coyote willow and cottonwood seedling densities should be targeted. Few studies have compared initial seedling restoration efforts to subsequent community response. Most restoration efforts have concentrated on seedling establishment of native riparian species without considering the stand dynamics over time. Others have related past events to current restoration through the use of aerial photographs speculating on potential initial establishment densities and current success. This makes specific comparisons to our work difficult. Our study emphasizes the importance of initial seedling densities of important riparian species such as cottonwood in determining the final goal of restoration (either long term multi-canopy gallery forest or islands of faunal habitats). Taylor et al., RIPARIAN RESTORATION SUCCESS If conditions favorable for the recruitment of cottonwoods are created, such as moist, bare substrates in late spring, cottonwoods not only are able to dominate salt cedars during the initial seedling phase but also continue to do so beyond the sapling stage, thereby forming the dominant canopy species. A dominant cottonwood canopy should further limit the growth rate of salt cedar (in terms of growing new stems) (Lesica and Miles 2001). As cottonwood size (DBH) and percent overstory are related to its density, future restoration efforts should examine densities of cottonwood that will cater to site-specific restoration goals. As mentioned in several studies, basic mechanical removal of salt cedar and subsequent overbank flooding, simulated or real, timed with native seedfall, will provide long-term restoration of cottonwood riparian communities even with low (,2/m2) initial seedling densities of cottonwood (e.g., Taylor et al. 1999, Sher et al. 2002, Sprenger et al. 2002). However, the stochasticity of initial establishment events will provide a level of uncertainty regarding the composition of the restored community. This was apparent in the variation and independence among the restoration plots. The timing of overbank flooding may favor one native species over another and the distance of native source trees influences dispersal to flooded sites. Restoration ecologists may be able to influence this somewhat by using locally cut branches containing ripe seed. Branches can be placed along the edges of receding waters enhancing species specific germination (Sprenger et al. 2002). By favoring a certain species in the placed branches, composition of the community can be manipulated. For example, the coyote willow density in the Sprenger et al. (2002) study was greater than in our study where they used locally cut coyote willow branches. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Funding for field work was provided by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Bosque del Apache NWR and the Bosque Initiative Group (C. Abeyta). We also thank Turner Enterprises (C. Kruse, T. Waddell) for providing financial support. We thank N. Umbreit, C. McNerney, S. Najera, D. Leal, C. Randall, K. Estrada, G. DelloRusso, M. Oldham, J. Savery, and C. Lee for assistance and logistical support. L. Smith was supported by the Caesar Kleberg Foundation for Wildlife Conservation. We thank G. DelloRusso, J. Bhattacharjee, A. Sher, P. Shafroth, and two anonymous referees for comments on the manuscript. This is manuscript number T-9-1114 of Texas Tech University. 1159 LITERATURE CITED Bhattacharjee, J., J. P. 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