Invasion of Exotic Plant Species in Tallgrass Prairie Fragments ANNE C. CULLY,*§ JACK F. CULLY JR.,† AND RONALD D. HIEBERT‡ *Division of Biology, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS, 66506, U.S.A. †U.S. Geological Survey, Kansas Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Division of Biology, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS 66506, U.S.A. ‡Midwest Region National Park Service, Omaha, NE 68102, U.S.A. Abstract: The tallgrass prairie is one of the most severely affected ecosystems in North America. As a result of extensive conversion to agriculture during the last century, as little as 1% of the original tallgrass prairie remains. The remaining fragments of tallgrass prairie communities have conservation significance, but questions remain about their viability and importance to conservation. We investigated the effects of fragment size, native plant species diversity, and location on invasion by exotic plant species at 25 tallgrass prairie sites in central North America at various geographic scales. We used exotic species richness and relative cover as measures of invasion. Exotic species richness and cover were not related to area for all sites considered together. There were no significant relationships between native species richness and exotic species richness at the cluster and regional scale or for all sites considered together. At the local scale, exotic species richness was positively related to native species richness at four sites and negatively related at one. The 10 most frequently occurring and abundant exotic plant species in the prairie fragments were cool-season, or C3, species, in contrast to the native plant community, which was dominated by warm-season, or C4, species. This suggests that timing is important to the success of exotic species in the tallgrass prairie. Our study indicates that some small fragments of tallgrass prairie are relatively intact and should not be overlooked as long-term refuges for prairie species, sources of genetic variability, and material for restoration. Invasión de Especies Exóticas en Fragmentos de Pastizal Alto Resumen: El pastizal alto es uno de los ecosistemas más severamente afectados de Norte América. Sólo subsiste el 1% de la extensión original de pastizales, debido a su conversión extensiva a terrenos agrícolas durante el siglo pasado. Los remanentes de pastizal tienen significancia para la conservación, pero hay dudas sobre su viabilidad e importancia para la conservación. Se investigaron los efectos del tamaño del fragmento, de la diversidad de especies nativas y de la ubicación geográfica sobre la invasión por plantas exóticas en 25 sitios en el centro de Norte América a distintas escalas geográficas. Utilizamos la riqueza de especies exóticas y la cobertura relativa como medidas de invasión. La riqueza de especies exóticas y la cobertura no se relacionaron con el área al considerar todos los sitios en conjunto. No hubo correlación significativa entre la riqueza de especies nativas y la de especies exóticas a escala de “cluster” o región ni al considerar todos los sitios en conjunto. A escala local, la riqueza de especies exóticas se correlacionó positivamente en cuatro sitios y negativamente en uno. Las 10 especies exóticas más frecuentes y abundantes en los fragmentos de pastizal fueron especies C3 de temporada fresca, mientras que la comunidad de plantas nativas se integraba principalmente por especies C4 de temporada cálida. Esto sugiere que la temporización juega un papel importante en el éxito de especies exóticas en el pastizal alto. Nuestro estudio indica que algunos fragmentos pequeños de pastizal alto están relativamente intactos y no deben dejar de tomarse en cuenta como refugios a largo plazo para especies de pastizal y como fuentes de variabilidad genética y de material para restauraciones. §Current address: Colorado Plateau Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit, P.O. Box 5765, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ 86011–5765, U.S.A., email anne.cully@nau.edu Paper submitted March 12, 2002; revised manuscript accepted October 27, 2002. 990 Conservation Biology, Pages 990–998 Volume 17, No. 4, August 2003 Cully et al. Introduction Prior to European settlement in the region, the North American tallgrass prairie extended from south-central Canada to southern Texas (Fig. 1). Europeans arrived in the prairie by the 1600s, but most of the conversion to agriculture took place in the last 100 years. Today, as little as 1% of the original tallgrass prairie remains. This is the largest reduction in size for any major ecosystem in North America (Samson & Knopf 1994). The remaining tallgrass prairie occurs primarily at sites where rocky outcrops and shallow soils make it impossible to plow and plant crops. The largest remaining continuous area of tallgrass prairie extends from the Flint Hills of northcentral Kansas to north-central Oklahoma. After settlement by Europeans, the Flint Hills region provided forage for cattle, and livestock grazing continues to be the predominant use of the land today. The tallgrass prairie is bordered on the east by deciduous woodlands. On this dynamic border, prairie patches occur within a woodland-grassland mosaic. Away from the woodlands, prairie patches have been isolated by human activities and are surrounded primarily by agricultural lands. In the tallgrass prairie area, annual precipitation averages 60–80 cm. To the west, mid- and short-grass prairies border the tallgrass prairie (Risser et al. 1981). Fragments of tallgrass prairie have survived in scattered locations. Some are protected to conserve remnant plant and animal communities that were characteristic of the once-extensive ecosystem. Some are preserved Figure 1. Tallgrass, mid-grass, and short-grass prairies (Archibold 1995), and locations of four clusters of tallgrass prairie sites. Exotic Species Invasion of Tallgrass Prairie 991 in areas that have been set aside for reasons other than conservation (e.g., for their historical and cultural significance), such as Pipestone National Monument in southwestern Minnesota and Wilson’s Creek National Battlefield in Missouri. Most are unprotected. Considering the drastic reduction of the tallgrass prairie throughout North America and the loss of natural ecosystem processes such as fire and grazing, it is reasonable to question the conservation value of the remaining fragments. Fragmentation combined with the loss of area may cause species loss directly by eliminating habitats. Likewise, species numbers or richness may decline in fragments as a result of isolation and lack of immigration of propagules from neighboring communities. Specific examples of species decline in the tallgrass prairie over the last 32–52 years are reported by Leach and Givnish (1996). The tallgrass prairie is relatively homogeneous in species composition, with few endemics. Many prairie species occur throughout the central part of the continent (Great Plains Flora Association 1986). However, several tallgrassprairie plant species are listed by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service as threatened (likely to become endangered in the foreseeable future), including prairie bush clover (Lespedeza leptostachya), Meade’s milkweed (Asclepias meadii), and eastern and western fringed prairie orchid (Platanthera leucophaea and P. praeclara respectively). Running buffalo clover (Trifolium stoloniferum) is listed as endangered (U.S. Code of Federal Regulations 50, 17.11 and 17.12, 31 October 1996 ). In addition, such a dramatic loss of area may have led to the loss of ecotypes and associated genetic diversity of more common species. Fragmentation may also increase vulnerability to invasion by exotic species because small areas have a higher ratio of edge to area and thus more points of entry for exotics as well as increased likelihood of disturbance (Hobbs & Huenneke 1992). Here, we define exotic species as those from other continents arriving in North America after the time of Columbus, following the definition used by the Great Plains Flora Association ( 1986 ). Exotic plant species may directly compete with native species and may cause changes in ecosystem processes that have profound effects on native species (Mack 1989; Howe & Knopf 1991; Pimm 1991; Vitousek 1992; Christian & Wilson 1999). The ecological consequences of most invasions are undocumented, however, and their effects on ecosystem function are poorly understood (Pimm 1991; Parker et al. 1999). There is conflicting evidence from theoretical and empirical studies for the role of species diversity in the success or failure of invasions (Levine & D’Antonio 1999). Both negative (Rejmánek 1989; Pysek & Pysek 1995; Tilman 1997) and positive (Robinson et al. 1995; Smith & Knapp 1999) relationships between native species richness and invasion by exotics have been found. Areas rich in species are thought by some to be resistant to invasion because resources are being fully used by species Conservation Biology Volume 17, No. 4, August 2003 992 Exotic Species Invasion of Tallgrass Prairie already present and new species are unable to find unexploited resources ( MacArthur & Wilson 1967; MacArthur 1972; Pimm 1991 ). Species-poor areas, on the other hand, may have unexploited resources that are available to new species. Species richness can be viewed in terms of numbers of species per unit area or species density (Glass 1981; Eyster-Smith 1984; Holt et al. 1995; Kellman 1996; Harrison 1999). Using a species-density approach in community studies of invasive species has the advantage of providing information on the extent of invasion by exotic species. If exotics are frequent and abundant, they may be considered successful invaders and the ones with the potential to have a large ecological impact. Variables that may influence invasion success include similarities in latitude, life history, climatic regime, and seasonality between the home of the exotic species and the invaded area. Invasions may be limited to certain times of the year (Crawley 1989; Rejmánek 1989; Hobbs & Huenneke 1992; Levine & D’Antonio 1999; Stohlgren et al. 1999). Surrounding land use influences invasion; natural areas surrounded by cultivated land, tame pasture ( native grasslands converted to exotic species ), or urban landscapes, are more prone to invasion ( Smith & Knapp 2001; Hobbs & Huenneke 1992) than natural areas surrounded by native cover. Another influence on invasion by exotic species includes management of native plant communities. We investigated fragmentation of the tallgrass prairie and how the location of the remaining fragments may have affected their invasion by exotic species. Specifically, we asked the following questions: (1) Does exotic species richness increase as prairie fragments decrease in area? ( 2 ) Is exotic species richness in prairie fragments related to their native species richness? ( 3 ) Do prairie fragments surrounded by woodlands have lower exotic species richness than those in agricultural settings? (4) What ecological characteristics are associated with the tallgrass prairie invaders? We asked these questions at the local, cluster, and regional scales, and for all the sites together. Methods Site Selection The sites were grouped in four clusters; each cluster included a national monument and five other sites in the area. We selected the first two clusters in the woodlandgrassland mosaic region, where small patches of prairie vegetation occur within a matrix of woodlands and forests. The first cluster was from sites in and around Effigy Mounds National Monument, Iowa; sites ranged in size from 0.1 to 16.0 ha. The shortest distance between sites was 5 km and the longest was 40 km. The second Conservation Biology Volume 17, No. 4, August 2003 Cully et al. cluster was selected from sites near Wilson’s Creek National Monument, Missouri, where the sites ranged in size from 2.4 to 130 ha. The shortest distance between sites was 30 km and the longest about 135 km. The third and fourth clusters were located in the Great Plains region, where prairie fragments have been isolated by human activities, primarily farming and urbanization. The third cluster was near Pipestone National Monument, Minnesota; sites ranged in size from 0.5 to 821 ha, with the minimum distance between sites about 10 km and the maximum about 50 km. The fourth cluster was chosen from sites around Homestead National Monument, Nebraska, where sites ranged in size from 0.5 ha to 12,000 ha. The minimum distance between sites was 0.5 km and the maximum distance about 270 km. Sites in the Effigy Mounds and Wilson’s Creek clusters occurred on thin soils and rocky outcrops of limestone. All sites but two of the Homestead cluster fragments also had similar soils and substrate. In the Pipestone area, shallow soils rest on underlying formations of quartzite. Three clusters had six sites and the fourth cluster had seven, including a restoration site. All sites were ungrazed, and most were on a 3- or 4-year burning cycle. Data Collection In 1996 and 1997, we established six transects at each of 25 sites. Transects were located in grassland with few or no trees, although some of the small sites were surrounded by trees and shrubs. Within each prairie, the origins of the six transects were randomly determined. At the larger-sized sites, all transects were located away from the boundary, to avoid edge effects. We were not interested in exotic species at the edge so much as their incursion into the interior of patches of prairie. At the very small sites, transects were unavoidably located near the edges. Some sites were heterogeneous in their physical setting and included upland, slopes, and valley bottoms. Other sites were entirely on uplands or slopes. Where topography allowed at a single site, we placed two transects on upland locations, two on slopes, and two in bottomlands. If a site did not have the range of topographic features, the six transects were then located based on the topography (e.g., entirely on a slope). For sites that were large enough, a grid was overlaid on a map of the site, grid squares numbered, and numbers selected randomly for the transect origins. We determined transect direction randomly. At four small sites, the location and direction of transects was constrained by the necessity of fitting them all in without overlap. Most transects were 50 m long, except at one very small site. Five 10-m2 circular sampling plots were located at 10-m intervals along each transect, for a total of 30 plots per site. At one small site, sampling plots were set out along shorter transect lines at the same intervals of 10 m. More than five of the shorter transects were required to Cully et al. Exotic Species Invasion of Tallgrass Prairie achieve a total of 30 sampling plots. No plot overlapped another. In 1997 and 1998, we recorded all vascular plant species and their abundance ( measured as relative canopy cover) at all the sites. We visited all the plots twice each year during the growing season, once in the early summer and again in the late summer, to capture the two major peaks of growth and reproduction of the cool- and warm-season species. We recorded the canopy coverage of each species using coverage classes similar to those of Daubenmire (1959). At all sites, we sampled equal numbers of plots to avoid bias due to unequal site size and sampling effort ( Simpson 1964; Rosenzweig 1995 ). The primary focus of analysis was the number of native and exotic species per unit area, or species richness. Analysis Data from the early and late-period sampling for both 1997 and 1998 were combined, and total numbers of identified species were calculated. The cover values for each species and the total cover values for all species at each site were calculated, and the percentage of the total cover for each species was then determined. We compared native and exotic plant species at several scales: local (within sites), clusters (sites within clusters), regional (clusters within regions), and for all sites combined. We compared species richness and cover values following the methods of Ott ( 1993 ). We used PROC Univariate and Levene’s test in PROC Glm (SAS Institute 1996) to determine that the data were normally distributed and that variances within clusters of sites were equal. We used one-way analysis of variance to determine whether clusters differed from one another in exotic species numbers and cover. When statistically significant differences occurred, we used the Waller Duncan K-ratio t test to determine which means were different from the others. We also looked for relationships among area, species richness, and cover values of 993 native and exotic species by using Pearson correlation coefficients, PROC Corr, and regression analysis ( SPSS 1997). Results Site Size and Exotic Species Numbers We identified 573 plant taxa; 59 (10%) were exotic. (A list of the exotic plant species can be obtained from A.C.C.) The mean number of exotic species for all sites was 9 (range of 2–18) (Table 1). For all sites considered together, exotic species richness was not significantly related to area ( p 0.85 ) ( Fig. 2 ). The two clusters within the woodland-grassland mosaic region were significantly different from each other in exotic species richness ( p 0.05) (Table 1). The clusters in the Great Plains region were also significantly different from each other in richness of exotic species. Two clusters, one from the Great Plains region and one from the woodland-grassland mosaic region, had significantly higher numbers of exotic species than the others ( p 0.05 ) ( Table 1 ), suggesting that factors other than regional variables ( i.e., surrounding land uses, climate ) influenced invasion. Exotic Species Cover For all sites, about 16% (15.7 SD15.45) of total cover was from exotic species ( Table 1 ), with a minimum of 0.15% and a maximum of 56%. As with species richness, there was no significant relationship between area and exotic species cover for sites considered overall ( p 0.81) (Fig. 3). However, exotic species cover decreased significantly with increase in area ( p 0.02) within the Table 1. Mean number of exotic plant species and mean percentage of exotic plant species cover (SD) ftom tallgrass prairie fragments.* Region and cluster Woodland-grassland Effigy Mounds Wilson’s Creek Great Plains Pipestone Homestead All sites Mean no. exotic species (SD) Mean cover exotic species (%) 6.1b (2.7) 12.8a (4.9) 3.9c (3.7) 17.6b (18.5) 12.1a (2.2) 6.7b (4.8) 9.3 (4.8) 32.8a (13.3) 9.5b (5.3) 15.7 (15.5) *The letters a, b, and c demote significant differences between means within columns ( p 0.05) (e.g., in column of mean number exotic species, 6.1b is significantly different from 12.8a, but not different than 6.7b) (ANOVA, SAS 6.1 1996). Figure 2. Exotic plant species richness by area of tallgrass prairie fragments. Conservation Biology Volume 17, No. 4, August 2003 994 Exotic Species Invasion of Tallgrass Prairie Cully et al. four sites: two in the Wilson’s Creek cluster ( r 0.453, p 0.012; r 0.363, p 0.049) and two in the Effigy Mounds cluster ( r 0.498, p 0.005; r 0.527, p 0.003 ). We found a significant negative relationship at one site in the Pipestone cluster ( r 0.521, p 0.003). Characteristics of Exotic Species Figure 3. Exotic plant species cover by area of tallgrass prairie fragments. Wilson’s Creek cluster. The Pipestone cluster had the highest exotic species cover at 33% ( p 0.05), and the Effigy Mounds cluster had the lowest exotic species cover at 4% ( p 0.05) (Table 1). Numbers of Native and Exotic Species For all sites considered together, there was no significant relationship between the numbers of native and exotic plant species ( p 0.93 ) ( Fig. 4 ). For the sites of the Effigy Mounds cluster, exotic species increased significantly ( p 0.04) with increased numbers of native species (Fig. 4), but this result was strongly affected by an outlier. At the local scale, we found a significant positive relationship between native and exotic species richness at Figure 4. Exotic plant species richness by native plant species richness in tallgrass prairie fragments. Conservation Biology Volume 17, No. 4, August 2003 Twenty-seven percent of the exotic species were perennial; 13% (8 species) were perennial, rhizomatous grasses. In spite of their relatively low numbers, perennial, rhizomatous grasses made up 68% of the total exotic species cover (Table 2). Two of the grasses, Kentucky bluegrass ( Poa pratensis) and smooth brome ( Bromus inermis ), together comprised 62% of the total exotic cover (Table 2) and 10% of total cover for all plant species. Kentucky bluegrass was found in almost half of the 750 plots; smooth brome was the second-most frequently occurring species (Table 2). Annual species comprised a high percentage (63%) of the total number of exotic species but occurred less frequently and were less abundant than perennial, rhizomatous grasses (Table 2). Biennial species made up the remaining cover for the top 10 species. Smooth brome, tall fescue ( Festuca arundinacea ), Kentucky bluegrass, and Canada bluegrass ( Poa compressa ), 4 of the 10 most frequently occurring and abundant exotic species in our study, were introduced into North America as forage crops and for landscaping. These species have been extensively planted throughout the eastern and midwestern regions of the United States for many years and have escaped into native plant communities and become naturalized. They are considered aggressive weeds in settings where they are not purposefully planted ( Hitchcock 1971; Great Plains Flora Association 1986). Annual brome grasses were accidentally introduced to North America and are now agricultural and range pests (Knapp 1996; Whitson et al. 1999). Low hopclover ( Trifolium campestre ) is an herbaceous annual species that has become naturalized in parts of the Great Plains and is often seen in disturbed areas. One of two biennial species to make it into the list of top 10 exotic species in our study, wild carrot ( Daucus carota ), is found throughout the United States in old pastures, meadows, and grasslands. Western salsify ( Tragopogon dubius ) has likewise become naturalized in North America (Great Plains Flora Association 1986; Whitson et al. 1999). These species are considered weeds in the tallgrass prairie in the sense that they are growing in places where they are not wanted ( Randall 1997); their effects on the tallgrass prairie ecosystem are not fully understood. The 10 most frequently occurring and abundant exotic species ( Table 2 ) were all characterized by the C3 metabolic pathway (Downton 1975). The C3 plant species are adapted to growth and reproduction during Cully et al. Exotic Species Invasion of Tallgrass Prairie 995 Table 2. Frequency of occurrence, percentage of cover, and ecological and phenological characteristics of the 10 most frequently occurring exotic plant taxa in tallgrass prairie fragments. Plant taxa Poa pratensis Bromus inermis Trifolium campestre Festuca arundinacea Tragopogon dubius Bromus tectorum Bromus japonicus Poa compressa Daucus carota Bromus sp. Occurrence of exotics (%) Cover of exotics (%) C3 /C4a Life formb Phenologyc 49 16 16 7 5 5 4 4 4 3 39 23 10 2 1 1 4 4 1 7 C3 C3 C3 C3 C3? C3 C3 C3 C3? C3 G, P, Rh G, P, Rh H, A G, P, Rh H, B G, A G, A G, P, Rh H, B G, A May–August May–July May–September May–October May–July May–June May–July June–August April–June May–? a Taken from Downton (1975) and Sage et al. (1999); ?, species not listed; C3 or C4 determined by phylogenetic relationships and phenology. B, biennial; G, grass; H, herbaceous; P, perennial; Rh, rhizomatous. c Taken from Great Plains Flora Association (1986). b cool, moist conditions and become dormant or at least less productive during hot, dry conditions. These 10 species exhibit similar phenological traits, in that all are capable of beginning their reproductive cycles early in the growing season ( Table 2 ). The annual brome grasses and the biennial species had the briefest period for completing their phenology. Discussion Small natural areas are expected to have both fewer species overall and a higher proportion of exotic species than larger areas ( MacArthur & Wilson 1967; Hobbs & Huenneke 1992 ). Contrary to expectations, our study showed no significant relationship between area and exotic species richness or cover. This is in contrast to the results of a study of serpentine grasslands of California, where small patches of grassland had higher numbers of exotic plant species than larger, contiguous areas of habitat (Harrison 1999). The differences in the two outcomes may be due to differing ecological factors that govern the potential for invasion in the two grassland systems and to human factors. The serpentine grassland patches are primarily a function of the presence of serpentine outcrops; these outcrops are characterized by high ratios of magnesium to calcium in the soil, which most plant species cannot tolerate. Tallgrass prairie fragments are primarily the result of breaking up of the sod on formerly expansive and relatively contiguous grasslands. In our study, we also found no significant relationship between area and total species richness per sampling unit for all sites considered together. Similar patterns of equivalent native species richness in both small and large areas have been reported in serpentine grasslands (Harrison 1999), other studies of tallgrass prairie (Glass 1981; Eyster-Smith 1984; and Holt et al. 1995), and isolated gallery forests in the tropics (Kellman 1996). Because the number of exotic species alone may not give the full picture of the potential impact of invasion ( Parker et al. 1999), we used cover as a rough estimate of the impact of exotic species at tallgrass prairie sites. Results for exotic species cover were similar to those for exotic species richness. For the all-site analysis, there was no relationship between area and exotic species cover. However, the exotic plant cover at sites in the Wilson’s Creek cluster was significantly negatively related to site size. Those sites with the highest number of exotic species also had the highest percent cover of exotics. Exotic species richness in the tallgrass prairie did not appear related to regions in which the sites were located ( woodland-grassland mosaic or Great Plains regions ), and the presence of a native woodland community surrounding the fragmented prairies did not necessarily diminish the effects of invasion. The smallest sites of the Wilson’s Creek cluster were imbedded in a woodlandgrassland matrix, yet they have been invaded by many exotic species. On the other hand, sites in the Effigy Mounds cluster, also surrounded by woodlands, had few exotic species. In addition to numbers of species, exotic plant cover was far less extensive in the Effigy Mounds cluster than the Wilson’s Creek cluster. The Pipestone cluster in the Great Plains region included sites surrounded by croplands. These sites had high levels of exotic species richness and cover. The sites of the Homestead cluster, also in the Great Plains region, were surrounded by a mixture of land uses: grazing (including on native prairie ), croplands, and urban areas. These sites had fewer exotic species and lower exotic cover values than sites in their “sister” Pipestone cluster. Communities with high species richness may be more resistant to invaders than species-poor communities (Elton 1958; MacArthur & Wilson 1967; Pimm 1991; Robinson et al. 1995). In our study, there was no correlation between native species richness and exotic species Conservation Biology Volume 17, No. 4, August 2003 996 Exotic Species Invasion of Tallgrass Prairie numbers when all sites were analyzed together. We found significant positive correlations between native and exotic species richness at the local scale at 4 of the 25 sites, and a significant negative correlation at 1 site. Smith and Knapp (1999) reported a significant positive relationship between native and exotic plant species numbers at the local scale at the Konza Prairie Biological Station. Stohlgren et al. ( 1999 ) found that, as in our study, the relationship between the number of native and exotic species varies depending on the scale of sampling: exotic species diversity is negatively related to native diversity at the subplot scale (samples within larger plots) but positively related at the site scale. Because we looked at invasion after the fact, we cannot be sure whether or not species diversity played a role in the past. We found little evidence, however, that native species diversity influences or determines exotic species success in tallgrass prairie. The ecological and growth-form characteristics of the exotic species in our study suggest that the tallgrass prairie is vulnerable to invasive plants that have certain characteristics. All of the 10 most frequent and abundant plant taxa were cool-season, or C3, species. This fits the pattern reported by Smith and Knapp ( 1999 ) for the Konza Prairie Research Natural Area in Kansas, where 90% of the exotic flora is C3 species. The dominance of cool-season exotic invaders is in distinct contrast to the dominance of native C4 grasses in the prairie vegetation. It isn’t clear why C3 invaders are successful, but it may be related to the fact that many of the invasive species are capable of beginning their reproductive cycle early in the year and can flower, produce fruit, and disperse seed before the peak of growth occurs in the warm-season species. Those species that can use available space and light before the warm-season species’ canopy reaches its full extent may be able to maintain themselves in the plant community. Later in the growing season, warm-season species reach their full abundance, obscuring and overshadowing the cool-season species, many of which have completed their reproduction and photosynthesis. Perhaps during the spring and early summer more open conditions provide the best opportunity for new species to enter the plant community. Fire and grazing patterns of the past probably also played a role in invasions by exotic species such as Kentucky bluegrass, which are now widespread and abundant. The effect of exotic species on ecosystem processes was not the focus of this study, but their pervasive presence and abundance suggests that invasions may have had a significant but undocumented effect on species diversity ( and perhaps ecosystem processes ) in the remnants of tallgrass prairie. Exotic perennial, rhizhomatous grass invaders may compete for nutrients and moisture with species of similar life form or phenology (Wedin & Tilman 1990; Nernberg & Dale 1997; van der Kamp et al. 1999 ). Early-season native species that may be dis- Conservation Biology Volume 17, No. 4, August 2003 Cully et al. placed by exotics include leguminous forbs (i.e., species in the genera Psoralea and Dalea) and perennial grasses (i.e., Koeleria cristata and Dichanthelium spp.). Forbs are the source of much of the native species diversity in the tallgrass prairie, and the effects of invasion on this component of the community could be severe. Dominant native species in our study included big bluestem ( Andropogon gerardii ), Indian grass ( Sorghastrum nutans), and switchgrass (Panicum virgatum), which are also perennial rhizomatous grasses. Annual brome grasses have altered ecosystems in the western United States by changing the fire regime ( Mack 1989; Knapp 1996) and have altered nutrient cycling and soil biota in western semiarid communities (Belnap & Phillips 2001; Evans et al. 2001 ). The presence of exotic annual species in the tallgrass prairie may displace native annual species such as six-weeks fescue ( Festuca octoflora ) and daisy fleabane (Erigeron strigosus), as well as seedlings of native perennials. Area, region, and native species richness provided little explanation for invasion of tallgrass prairie fragments by exotic species. Consequently, we must look at other factors for more complete understanding of invasion in prairie fragments (Howe 1993; Kowarik 1999). Our results suggest that cool-season species have a high probability of success in the tallgrass prairie. This information may be useful in predicting which new exotic species are likely to become invaders; limited resources can then be applied most effectively to future invasions. Other factors involved in successful invasions of the tallgrass plant communities may include many we did not measure or analyze. Soil characteristics, moisture availability, and other ecological factors may be relevant, but management and use of land surrounding the sites are probably also key to explaining invasions. Additional studies, addressing adjacent land use, species composition of surrounding areas, management regimes, and ecological characteristics will be important in assessing the potential for future invasions of tallgrass prairie. In the past, it was assumed that fragmentation of and exotic invasion into prairie fragments had caused loss of native species. Our results show that some small patches of tallgrass prairie are relatively intact and can support a near-full complement of native species. Although these tallgrass prairie units are not a substitute for large protected areas, small fragments of prairie should receive attention from conservationists and land managers as longterm refuges for prairie species and sources of genetic variability and material for restorations. Acknowledgments The U.S. Geological Survey provided funding for this study through the Natural Resources Preservation Program. The Division of Biology at Kansas State University Cully et al. also provided support. The Iowa Department of Natural Resources, Konza Prairie Biological Station, the Minnesota Department of Conservation, the Minnesota Department of Natural Resources, the Minnesota Historical Society, the Missouri Department of Conservation, the Missouri Department of Natural Resources, the National Park Service, The Nature Conservancy, and the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources gave us permission to work on prairies under their management. R. Rovang, L. Thomas, G. Willson, and M. 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