Monthly Seminar Program Guest Speakers: Dr. Jose Gutierrez Marcos University of Warwick Phd Speakers: Arturas Grauslys Alex Jironkin Marcus Elze February 8th , 2013 Seminar program Time 13:00-14:00 Session Lunch Location Common room 14:00-15:00 Invited guest speaker MOAC Seminar room 15:00-15:15 Tea and coffee break Common room 15:15-16:15 3 Phd Presentations Phd presentations consist 15 minute talks (including questions) audience rotates between three rooms Speaker 1 Arturas Grauslys Speaker 2 Alex Jironkin Speaker 3 Marcus Elze MOAC Seminar Room WSB 32 WSB 336 16:15-16:20 Break Common room 16:20-16:30 Evaluation of seminar series A brief discussion on how the seminar series is progressing, please send any issues to be raised to Lesley.Foster@warwick.ac.uk MOAC Seminar room 16:30 onwards Wine and Cheese Common room 1 Presentation Description Guest Speaker Session Transgenerational Epigenetic Inheritance Epigenetic modifications are widely accepted as playing a critical role in the regulation of gene expression and thereby contributing to the determination of the phenotype of multicellular organisms. In general, these marks are cleared and reestablished each generation, but there have been reports in a number of model organisms that at some loci in the genome this clearing is incomplete. This phenomenon is referred to as transgenerational epigenetic inheritance. My group is currently investigating how the environment can stably influence the establishment of the epigenome. Our data suggest that an environmental event in one generation could affect the phenotype in subsequent generations, a Lamarckian idea that has been discarded for over two centuries of genetic studies. Phd Session 1: Arturas Grauslys Systems Pharmacology a strategy for antimalarial drug discovery Malaria is a vastly spread mosquito-borne tropical disease and one of the biggest killers in the world today. Multiple drugs are available for treatment of malaria, however increasing numbers of cases of drug resistance demand for alternative treatments. This project follows from recent black-box screenings of compounds for potential effect against malaria causing parasite P. falciparum. From over 20 000 compounds found to have such antimalarial effect 400 were chosen as a representative set for further investigation. The principal aim of the project is to develop Systems Pharmacology as a new scientific discipline through integration of Medicinal Chemistry, Pharmacology and Mathematics. The challenge of antimalarial drug discovery will be used as a pathfinder that can enhance our fundamental understanding of parasite biology and deliver prioritized drug targets and drug leads. The working hypothesis is that there are a finite number of drug targets and the compounds in question will be used to affect these vulnerable points of the parasite biochemistry. By using state of the art metabolomic fingerprinting techniques and high content imaging coupled with mathematical analysis we expect to develop a novel screening approach for antimalarial drugs in order to discover new modes of action. 2 Phd Session 2: Alex Jironkin When bacteria invade: a tale of mystery, detective work and science A short talk on the advances in genomic sequencing and analyses in the fight against MRSA. Phd Session 3: Marcus Elze Modelling Survival following Bone Marrow Transplantation using Longitudinal Immune Measurements at Arbitrary Time Points Haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (bone marrow transplantation) is a potentially curative treatment option for different hematologic and oncologic disorders, such as severe leukaemia. However, it is still associated with high mortality rates due to complications after transplantation. Early identification of high-risk patients is crucial for successful intervention. Models that predict patient survival or individual complication risks are needed to assist clinical decision making and may provide insights into the underlying biological processes. The speed of immune recovery over time and several patient- and transplantationrelated covariates were shown to be associated with survival and complication risk. We investigate a dataset of 67 paediatric and young adult patients. Approximately 2000 longitudinal measurements of several immunological subpopulations were taken at arbitrary time points. Measurement time points and frequency cannot be assumed to be independent of the survival process. Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is a natural approach to data of this nature. Implementations of joint modelling techniques in R and other languages are readily available. However, no consensus has been reached yet on how to best assess goodness of fit and predictive ability of such a model. For exploratory analyses and for use in clinical practice simpler models may be preferred. A simple comparison of measurements at a single time point is sometimes found in biological publications. A cutoff value may be used to group patients into high-risk and low-risk groups. However, bias may be associated with such an approach. Bias can be reduced by using appropriate summary measurements, such as the area under the curve, and accelerated failure time models can be fitted. This has the advantage that many measures of the prognostic ability of survival models are readily available, e.g. explained variation. These simpler models may be used to 3 specify a joint model and joint modelling may in turn inform the simpler models. A possible extension of joint modelling is the inclusion of a proportion cured component to allow for the fact that patients may have a normal life expectancy after a certain period of relapse-free survival. Furthermore, the incorporation of the measurement frequency as a variable in the longitudinal modelling may inform on the risk assessment by the clinicians. 4