GREENING CITIES:
IS GOOD WILL
ENOUGH ?
Jean-Marc Jancovici
September 17th, 2012
Contact : jean-marc.jancovici@carbone4.com
www.carbone4.com
Homo industrialis, GDP++ and 2 questions
???
CO2
Job structure, studies, leisure and
holidays, health, retirement, globalization,
information society, urban concentration
and sprawling…
O2
CnHp
80% of energy
supply in the world
???
Carbon footprinting is actually…
risk and opportunity assessment
Oil shock
Rising energy prices
“oil crunch” on supply
Rising costs of
anything
Norms, quotas,
taxes, etc
Recession
Lower
revenues or
margin
Reputation risk,
legal risk
Stronger public
policies
Fear of a future
climate change or
oil shock
Higher
expectations of
customers or
voters Higher NGO
activity
Banks pay more attention
to “dependency on carbon”
Changing conditions for a
lot of things and
decreasing agricultural
yields
Lack of investment
Harder conditions for
“carbon rich” projects
Risk assessment of lending or
investing money includes
carbon
Existing climate
change
One French: 10,5 tons CO2 equ in 2010 ± 20%
3,000
24%
Teq CO2/French
2,500
23%
18%
2,000
17%
15%
1,500
31%
Freight
6%
1,000
Freight
15%
18%
4%
500
0
13%
Heating 90%
3%
Home et Consommation
Construction
Energy
consumption
grosconstruction
entretien des d'énergie
des
and heavy
of homes
logements
logements
repairs
Meat38
%
Alimentation
Food
TVs computers
- etc 33%
Autres
biens de
Other
consommation
consumer
goods
18%
Car travel
80%
Déplacements
Personal
travel
des(excludes
personnes
professional
travel)
17%
Public
services
72%
Services
4
Evolution from 2008 to 2010: lots of talk, less
results
12,000
10,000
10,274
+1%
10,376
+1,1%
10,488
T eq CO2 / pers/ an
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2008
2009
Eco2climat
2010
5