23th February 2015, Warwick-Monash Seminar, University of Warwick, UK Hilbert-Huang analysis of periodicities in the last two solar activity cycles Dmitrii Kolotkov1* A.- M. Broomhall1, V. Nakariakov1.2 1 Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics, University of Warwick, UK Pulkovo of the RAS, Russia * D.Kolotkov@warwick.ac.uk 2 Central Astronomical Observatory at Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics Outline Spectral analysis with the HHT method Application of HHT to solar activity cycles Discussion of results Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics 1 Hilbert-Huang Transform analysis Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD)+Hilbert transform The main scheme of this technique: • Decomposition of the initial data set into a number of intrinsic mode functions (IMF) by applying EMD • The subsequent Hilbert transformation of decomposed IMFs Huang, N. E. et al. 1998, Royal Soc. of London Proc. Series A, 454, 903 Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) step by step… 1. Identifying of all local extrema of original data X(t) 2. Define upper/lower envelopes connecting all maxima/minima and their mean m1 . Then Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics 2 Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) 3. This “sifting process” must be repeated k times until the number of extrema in residual h1k differs from the number of zero crossings by not more than 1. Finally we have the first IMF: Original data The first IMF Data – 1st IMF Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics Example of EMD expansion Huang et al. (1998) Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics 3 Hilbert transformation For each IMF: Finally we have frequency-time distribution for each IMF designated as Hilbert spectrum Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics Data 10. 7 cm radio flux1 helioseismic frequency shift2 Sunspot area 3 from South hemisphere from North hemisphere from the whole Sun 3http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/ greenwch.shtml 2Birmingham Solar Oscillations Network 1 http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/space-weather/solar-data/solarfeatures/solar-radio/noontime-flux/penticton/ Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics 4 Results Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics Samples of identified modes mean period of 626 days (~ 2 yr) 10. 7 cm radio flux total sunspot area sunspot area from North mean period of 903 days (~ 2.5 yr) 10. 7 cm radio flux helioseismic frequency shift 10. 7 cm radio flux mean period of ~ 11 yr sunspot area from North sunspot area from South Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics 5 Mean mode period determination Hilbert spectrum and its probability histogram of the 690 days 10.7 radio flux mode, allowing one to determine the average mode period Colour gradient on the Hilbert spectrum shows variations of a spectral power Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics Conclusions • Example of the successful use of the HHT method for analysing of the last two solar cycles was demonstrated • The periodicities were found to be allocated in three distinct groups: short-term variations (with periods less than 0.5 yr), quasi-biennial oscillations (periods from 0.5 yr up to 3.9 yr), and longer periodicities, e.g. such as 11-year cycle • Signatures of the N-S asymmetry were clearly revealed • Kolotkov et al. 2015 (in prep.) • Kolotkov et al., Multi-mode quasi-periodic pulsations in a solar flare, 2015, A&A, 574, A53 Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics 6