Kierra Zoellick American University April 30, 2014 Poverty rates have decreased in the past 20 years Poverty line: 3,781birr/ye ar, which is about $225/year in 2011 prices Table Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic Development, Development and Poverty in Ethiopia 1995/96-2010/11, 2013. please see: www.fews.net/FoodInsecurityScale Source: FEWS NET Ethiopia and WFP Figure 2. Most-likely food security outcomes (April to June 2012) Food Insecurity Outlook, Feb.-Jun. 2012 - Agriculture accounts for 40-45% of GDP - Droughts common, may lead to famine - Frequent drought leads to food insecurity, can be devastating to the Source: FEWS NET Ethiopia and WFP o Acute Food Insecurity (IPC Phase 1) persists in the western poor arts ofSource: the USAID, country areFEWS at Stressed (IPC 2) and Crisis Table WFP and NET, ETHIOPIA Food Phase Security Outlook February through June 2012, 2012, p. 1. Objectives 1. 2. Prevent household depletion Create community assets Goals 1. 2. 3. 4. Support rural transformation process Prevent long-term consequences of short-term food inaccessibility Encourage households to engage in production and investment Promote market development by increasing household purchasing power 2011 Coverage Map Map Source: Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations, http://coin.fao.org/cms/world/ethiopia/Projects/Maps.html Targets “chronically food insecure” Two separate components: Public Works Direct Support In 2012, covered 7.64 million people Cost $500m/year USAID contributes 2030% of total cost in food and cash 2006-2008 – real income of beneficiaries rose by 50% 2006-2010 – Five-year participants in the PW had a reduction in the food gap of 1.05 months 2011-2012 – participation led to reduction in the food gap of 1.48 months for PW participants and 1.93 months for DS participants 2011-2012 – PW participants were 12% more likely to have a food gap of 3 months or less due to the PSNP The PSNP also increases non-food expenditures of participants by 43 birr per month Programs designed to work in tandem with the PSNP (Other Food Security Programme – OFSP) Provide different but complementary services OFSP has fewer beneficiaries than the PSNP but has a strong positive effect on poverty eradication with the PSNP USAID and its NGO partners also have complementary activities Deciding which households should be a part of the PSNP Guidelines from the central government but targeting is done at the community level Shaky at first but changes to the program have made targeting better – for the most part, households that are getting the support genuinely need it Question of graduation Sub-state implementation Local project choice Local targeting Local capacity critical Transparency/accountability PSNP uses both with cash as the default option Considerations Local economies Local government capacity to handle cash Local preferences Inflation and seasonal price variation Resource availability from donors Relationship between donors and government Clear guidelines 1. Works with other, complementary programs 1. Refines targeting practices to be most effective 1. Builds capacity and establishes best practices at all levels of government 1. Considers issues related to the question of cash vs. food 1. Has a quality program structure