DPRC Newsletter December 2004 The Triple Epidemic of Violence, Substance Use, and HIV/AIDS Among Impoverished Women VIOLENCE AGAINST WOMEN, SUBSTANCE use and disorder, and HIV/AIDS represent three significant threats to the health of women. According to the National Violence Against Women Survey, 52 percent of women have experienced physical assault and 18 percent sexual assault during their lifetime. In the United States, approximately 15 percent of women between the ages of 15 and 44 abuse illicit drugs or alcohol, while AIDS ranks among the leading causes of death for women of reproductive age and is the leading cause of death for African-American women ages 25 to 34. Evidence suggests that these three health threats represent overlapping epidemics for women. The threats may be particularly severe for impoverished women, given their harsher living conditions and generally reduced access to health care. A commonly accepted view among providers of substance abuse treatment services to women is that each epidemic contributes to the others, and that none can be successfully addressed without attention to all of them. Research led by DPRC researchers Suzanne L. Wenzel and Joan S. Tucker provides insight into these issues by examining the linkages among substance use, sexual risk behavior, and violence and their health-related consequences among homeless and low-income housed women in Los Angeles County. The findings indicate the ways in which these epidemics can affect homeless and low-income housed women differently, and the research provides direction for developing more strategically targeted preventive efforts and interventions. Violence Against Women, Substance Use, and Sexual Risk Behavior Are Co-Occurring Public Health Problems The research team conducted baseline structured interviews with stratified random samples of 898 sheltered homeless and low-income housed women in Los Angeles County as well as follow-up interviews with 810 women six months later. Results from the baseline interviews indicate that women living in shelters were more likely than those living in low-income housing to report physical and sexual violence, substance use and disorder, and sexual risk behavior (e.g., trading sex, having two or more sex partners or casual sex partners, not always using condoms with casual partners). As shown in Figure 1, the researchers also found that, after controlling for demographic and background characteristics, sheltered women were significantly more likely than low-income housed women to experience two or more problems simultaneously. As shown in Figure 2, sheltered women were also more likely, after controlling for demographic and background characteristics, to report experiencing some combination of binge drinking, violence, and HIV risk behavior. It should be noted that Contents The Triple Epidemic of Violence, Substance Use, and HIV/AIDS Among Impoverished Women 1 Director’s Message Building Trust in the Juvenile Justice System Through a Quality Assessment Approach 4 What Makes Needle and Syringe Exchange Programs Effecctive in Preventing HIV Transmission? 6 Project ALERT Evaluation Confirms Value of Classroom Drug Prevention 8 In Remembrance DPRC Board Member and First Chair Norval Morris 10 New Project RAND Coordinating Center: Sexual Diffusion of HIV Study 11 New Publications 11 New People 14 2003–04 Lovida Coleman, Jr., Speaker Series 15 Advisory Board 16 Figure 1 Co-Occurrence of Any Drug Use, Any Violence, and Any Sexual Risk Behavior (Weighted Percentages) All Three Problems Sheltered Housed Violence + Sexual Risk Drug Use + Sexual Risk Drug Use + Violence 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Percentage reporting two or more problems these two figures were derived using a “liberal” definition of problem behaviors (i.e., any drug use/binge drinking, any physical or sexual violence, and any sexual risk behavior). The significantly higher rates of health threats among women living in shelter situations suggest that these women urgently need health services that simultaneously encourage behaviors that protect against HIV, while reducing their alcohol and drug use and their risk of being victimized, and addressing any negative physical or psychological impacts of previous victimization. Although their rates of problems were lower, low-income housed women also stand to benefit from such services. Among the low- income housed women in this study, rates of past-year drug use (16 percent) and violence (13 percent) were higher, respectively, than the 9 percent and 3 percent reported for women in the general population in the National Household Survey on Drug Abuse. Experiencing Interpersonal Violence: Perspectives of Sexually Active, SubstanceUsing Women The interviews allowed researchers to better understand low-income women’s perspectives on and interpretations of violence against women in general and their own experiences in particular, including their perceived responsibility for violence and the role of substance Figure 2 Co-Occurrence of Any Binge Drinking, Any Violence, and Any Sexual Risk Behavior (Weighted Percentages) All Three Problems Sheltered Housed Binge Drinking + Sexual Risk Binge Drinking + Violence 0 5 10 15 20 25 Percentage reporting two or more problems 2 30 35 use. To explore these issues, researchers used data from the 172 women who reported having at least one sexual partner, any substance use, and at least one episode of violence in the past 12 months. Forty-one of these women also completed an interview on their worst violent episode. The experiences and interpretations of violence reported by sheltered and low-income housed women differed in notable ways. Whereas housed women tended to put blame squarely on their assailants, most of the sheltered women thought they were partly or wholly to blame for the violence, which they often attributed to their use of drugs or alcohol or their decision to stay with partners who repeatedly abused them. In-depth interviews revealed that sheltered women were more likely to experience aggression involving an assailant who used violence to force money or drugs from them. In contrast, housed women tended to be more vulnerable to hostile aggression from an intimate male partner. Substance use played varying roles in the worst violent episodes reported by the women. One-third of the sheltered women were using crack at the time of their worst event, compared with none of the housed women (although half of the housed women did report the involvement of alcohol and/or marijuana). For both sheltered and housed women, episodes of relationship violence that had themes of jealousy and possessiveness almost always involved alcohol use by both partners. Many women indicated that their experiences of violence contributed to an increase in their substance use over time (housed: 25 percent; sheltered: 43 percent). However, 19 percent of sheltered women indicated that their experiences of violence encouraged them to decrease their substance use. These results indicate that, for sheltered women, there is a need for stable housing and income that may, among other benefits, result in less vulnerability to opportunistic violence and engagement in high-risk survival-based activities. Better access to substance abuse treatment services is also critical. For housed women, substance abuse treatment service for women and their partners may also go a long way toward reducing the worst types of violence experienced by these women. The findings also suggest a need for safe housing and neighborhoods, greater employment and financial opportunities, and services that focus on safety and on supporting and promoting independence from abusive partners. Violence and Substance Use Are Associated with HIV-Related Outcomes Over Time Follow-up interviews six months after baseline offer insights into the ways in which violence and substance use can be intertwined with women’s HIV-related risk behaviors, including their involvement in unprotected sex. Results from these interviews show that many women who reported violence at baseline subsequently changed their sexual behaviors in ways that appeared to be self-protective. For example, sheltered women who were victims of partner violence at baseline were less likely to be sexually active at follow-up, and, among all sexually active women, those who experienced partner violence at baseline experienced a marginal decline in the frequency of sex and were less likely to have unprotected sex at follow-up. Among all sexually active women, those who reported baseline violence at the hands of someone other than an intimate partner showed a decline in the frequency of sex over time. Substance use at baseline was associated with changes in HIV-related attitudes over time, and the nature of these associations depended on whether the substance was alcohol or drugs. Alcohol misuse appeared to foster feelings of vulnerability and powerlessness: Those women who drank to intoxication at baseline exhibited an increase in their perceived susceptibility to HIV and, among sheltered women, a decrease in their ability to refuse unwanted sex. In contrast, drug use at baseline appeared to foster feelings of empowerment: Those women who engaged in drug use exhibited increases in self-efficacy of using condoms and ability to refuse unwanted sex. Although these are generally considered to be positive outcomes, they may not be in this context. For example, if drug-using women are increasing their engagement in high-risk sex over time in ways that were not measured (e.g., trading sex, anonymous sex, multiple partners), their heightened condom use self-efficacy and ability to refuse sex may simply reflect their attempts at self-protection as they negotiate a riskier sexual environment. Policy Implications Health care providers increasingly recognize that impoverished women have a number of overlapping needs that must be addressed simultaneously. This research makes very clear that the presence of multiple and urgent needs is not restricted to poor women in particular settings; rather, there exists a substantial need for services among poor women more broadly. Critical to future efforts will be the further development of multifaceted interventions and collaborative relationships among providers to facilitate comprehensive health care services for impoverished women, adequate funding to support these interventions and collaborations, and additional community resources such as safe and affordable housing. 3 For more information, please see Elliott, M. N., D. Golinelli, K. Hambarsoomian, J. Perlman, and S. L. Wenzel, Sampling with Field Burden Constraints: An Application to Sheltered Homeless and Low-Income Housed Women,” Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND, DRU-3057-NIDA, 2003. Tucker, J. S., S. L. Wenzel, M. N. Elliott, G. N. Marshall, and S. Williamson, “Interpersonal Violence, Substance Use, and HIV-Related Behavior and Cognitions: A Prospective Study of Impoverished Women in Los Angeles County,” AIDS and Behavior, Vol. 8, No. 4, 2004, pp. 463–474. Tucker, J. S., S. L. Wenzel, J. B. Straus, G. W. Ryan, and D. Golinelli, “Experiencing Interpersonal Violence: Perspectives of Sheltered and LowIncome Housed Women,” Violence Against Women (in press). Wenzel, S. L., J. S. Tucker, M. N. Elliott, K. Hambarsoomian, J. Perlman, K. Becker, C. Kollross, and D. Golinelli, “Prevalence and Co-Occurrence of Violence, Substance Use and Disorder, and HIV Risk Behavior: A Comparison of Sheltered and Low-Income Housed Women in Los Angeles County,” Preventive Medicine, Vol. 39, No. 3, 2004, pp. 617–624. Wenzel, S. L., J. S. Tucker, M. N. Elliott, G. N. Marshall, and K. Hambarsoomian, “Physical Violence Against Impoverished Women: A Longitudinal Analysis of Risk and Protective Factors,” Women’s Health Issues, Vol. 14, No. 5, 2004, pp. 144–154. ■ Director’s Message Building Trust in the Juvenile Justice System Through a Quality Assessment Approach SUBSTANCE ABUSE AND DRUG-RELATED crimes among youth often bring adolescent and teen offenders into the juvenile justice system. At its best, the juvenile justice system can function as a means of getting substance-using and other youth “back on track” by directing juvenile offenders to appropriate treatment and rehabilitation options. At its worst, the system can result in haphazard and sometimes unfair decisions concerning youth placement or punishment. In this article, we explain how a Quality Assessment (QA) approach might be used to promote transparency, accountability, and change in the juvenile justice system. Racial Inequities in the Juvenile Justice System One of the most troubling trends in the juvenile justice system today concerns the significant disparities apparent in the system’s handling of black youths compared with whites and Hispanics. According to a recent report from the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention (OJJDP), between 1985 and 1999, the ratio of black to white juvenile drug offenders was 8 to 1, with drug offenses accounting for 9 percent of all juvenile placements (excluding technical violators). As of October 1999, approximately 1 of every 100 black juveniles was in a juvenile residential placement facility, compared with approximately 1 of every 200 Hispanic juveniles and 1 of every 500 white males (Sickmund, 2004). Studies have shown that young black males are overwhelmingly more likely to be arrested or imprisoned than their Hispanic and (especially) white counterparts. The OJJDP report indicates that between 1980 and 1998, black juveniles were arrested at a rate 5.7 times that of whites. In 1995, black juvenile males had a 3.33 percent chance of being taken into custody by age 18, compared with a 1.21 percent chance for Hispanic juvenile males, and a 0.66 percent chance for white juvenile males. Moreover, between 1985 and 1999, prison admissions for juveniles under the age of 18 increased 68 percent for black males, compared with 38 percent for white males. In some states, the disproportions are even more striking. De Como notes that in South Carolina, almost one in three black males was taken into custody prior to age 18, a rate 9 times greater than that for white males. Table 1 lists the states with the greatest disproportions in arrest rates for black and white youths (calculated from De Como, 1998). Only in one of these Ratio of Black to White Arrests for Males Under Age 18 State Ratio of Black:White Arrests New Jersey 34:1 New York 17:1 Louisiana 17:1 Mississippi 14:1 Georgia 14:1 Connecticut 12:1 Idaho 11:1 Illinois 10:1 Delaware 10:1 North Carolina 10:1 4 Martin Y. Iguchi, Director states (Idaho) were black youth arrested at a significantly lower rate than whites. A number of explanations have been offered to account for these notable disparities. On the macro-level, Sampson and Laub (1993) found that structural factors such as racial inequality, underclass poverty, and even urbanism can affect the way that blacks are processed through the juvenile courts. On the micro-level, Bridges and Steen (1998) found that probation officers, in their recommendations to the courts, were significantly more likely to attribute black offenders’ behavior to internal causes (i.e., emotional state or intention) and whites’ behavior to external causes (i.e., mitigating environmental factor or events), even when controlling for criminal act and prior record. Although we do not fully understand the causes of these disparities, it is clear that greater accountability is needed from the juvenile justice system. A QA approach can begin to address these disparities by providing a means for continuous system improvement. Need for a Quality Assessment (QA) Approach A QA approach provides a systematic means of bringing greater transparency and accountability to an organization or system. Hallmarks of a QA approach include clearly stated policies and procedures, which have been determined through the involvement of all stakeholders and can be used to provide administrative oversight; formulation of performance criteria, metrics, and benchmarks; collection of relevant data, which is made widely available to stakeholders and used to make decisions and identify appropriate interventions; and reporting measures, including performance “report cards,” which provide objective data about the system’s functioning to stakeholders and ensure that the system is held accountable. Importantly, efforts to implement a QA approach can begin locally— and at a low cost. We highlight a few examples here. The QA Approach: Some Real-World Examples The W. Haywood Burns Institute for Juvenile Justice Fairness and Equity, under the leadership of Executive Director James Bell, is working with ten communities scattered across the country to reduce the overrepresentation of youth of color in their juvenile justice facilities. Although the institute has not specifically used the term “Quality Assessment,” many of its policies and practices clearly show the hallmarks of QA, including its efforts to bring stakeholders together, gather data in order to understand and respond to disparities, and clarify policies and procedures at all levels. For example, Bell and colleagues noticed that black female juveniles were dropping out of a San Francisco, California, group home at much higher rates than any other group. Interviews with young women at the site indicated that the problem “had to do with hair.” At entry, all residents received a bottle of Prell shampoo and were instructed to wash their hair; most black females refused since this was not appropriate for their hair care. Because refusal to wash one’s hair typically meant discharge, many girls were expelled from the home. Once the source of the problem was understood, the home implemented new, more culturally sensitive approaches and succeeded in reducing the disparity. Haywood Burns Institute staff in San Francisco also noted that a juvenile hall screening to determine adolescents’ “risk of offending” if returned to society resulted in blacks being assigned to detention at a disproportionate rate. Additional review indicated that black adolescents were far more likely to be sent to detention through an “override” recommendation (which is required to send a youth to detention when the risk score did not indicate the need). An audit of black youths’ risk forms indicated that 14 percent had never been filled out, 14 percent provided no reason for referral, and 12 percent recommended detention because a parent could not easily be located. Moreover, virtually all of the “overrides” were released from detention at the judicial hearing within three days—at a cost to the system of $225/day and an increase in perceptions of unfairness on the part of those detained. Once it became clear that most overrides were uncalled for, a new policy was implemented to establish an administrative quality check by requiring supervisor approval of all overrides. In Santa Cruz, California, a review of court records indicated that minority juveniles were significantly more likely to miss their judicial hearings in the daily morning sessions of the North County court than were white offenders. On-site interviews revealed that most of the minority offenders were located at a South County juvenile facility in Watsonville, California, and that there was no early morning bus service between the South and North counties. Further, 5 the nearest bus stop was more than a mile from the courthouse at the top of a steep hill. To remedy the problem, a new courtroom was opened in South County, closer to the minority adolescents. Once this recommendation was implemented, the “failure to show” rate decreased significantly. Improvements were also instituted in a San Jose, California, juvenile court to reduce the number of adolescents who were being routinely being dropped off at the court by police whether or not this was appropriate for the individual case. In this case, Bell and colleagues established clear operational criteria for placement in the juvenile detention facility and developed a “criteria card,” which police could carry in their wallets. The card also provided phone numbers and placement criteria for alternative settings (e.g., drug treatment) to assist police in identifying appropriate options. Conclusion As indicated in the examples above, a Quality Assessment approach is both a feasible and cost-effective first step for addressing disparities in the juvenile justice system. The data-driven QA approach supports continuous system improvement, increases accountability, and improves outcomes, allowing disparities to be addressed without the usual descent into charges of discrimination, the bureaucracy of denial, and the vicious downward spiral that often follows. A QA approach will not solve all problems in the juvenile justice system. In fact, the initial implementation of such an approach is likely to expose some of the system’s more challenging problems. However, only if such problems are brought to light and understood can the system begin to change in a significant and lasting way. For more information, please see Bridges, G. S., and S. Steen, “Racial Disparities in Official Assessments of Juvenile Offenders: Attributional Stereotypes as Mediating Mechanisms,” American Sociological Review, Vol. 63, August 1998, pp. 445–570. De Como, R. E., “Estimating the Prevalence of Juvenile Custody by Race and Gender,” Crime and Delinquency, Vol. 44, 1998, pp. 489–506. Sampson, R. J., and J. H. Laub, “Structural Variations in Juvenile Court Processing: Inequality, the Underclass, and Social Control,” Law and Society Review, Vol. 27, No. 2, 1993, pp. 285–312. Sickmund, M., Juveniles in Corrections, Washington, D.C.: Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention, 2004. ■ What Makes Needle and Syringe Exchange Programs Effective in Preventing HIV Transmission? SAFE AND CERTAIN ACCESS TO STERILE syringes is widely regarded as among the most effective methods for preventing the spread of HIV and hepatitis B and C viruses among injection drug users (IDUs) who are unwilling or unable to stop using drugs. In the absence of a national policy on this issue, state and local governments have been left to decide whether and how to provide access. This situation has resulted in a wide range of conditions under which IDUs might acquire sterile syringes. In many states, access is provided through syringe exchange programs (SEPs). However, the level of access provided through SEPs can be limited due to a program’s scope and geographical location as well as other obstacles, including laws and regulations that prohibit IDUs from possessing syringes, limit the number of syringes provided through SEPs, or forbid the purchase of syringes through pharmacies. A new study led by DPRC researcher Ricky N. Bluthenthal compared SEPs in three U.S. cities to examine how variations in legal restrictions or program-related conditions might be associated with different outcomes for SEP users, such as different rates of syringe reuse or sharing. The study’s findings suggest that legal access to sterile syringes through SEPs may not be sufficient in itself to reduce syringe reuse if such programs operate under conditions that limit the number of syringes that can be exchanged, purchased, or possessed. The study used HIV risk assessment data collected between 1998 and 2000 from IDUs in Chicago, Illinois; Hartford, Connecticut; and Oakland, California—all of which have SEPs. These cities offer a range of legal and program-related conditions, as shown in the table. While both Chicago and Hartford permit the legal possession of syringes under certain conditions, Oakland bans any possession of drug paraphernalia, including syringes. The Hartford SEP’s distribution policy coheres with legal mandates restricting the number of syringes that can be carried (10 through September 1999 and 30 thereafter), while both Chicago and Oakland have relatively permissive, large-volume syringe exchanges that augment one-for-one exchange of syringes with additional sterile syringes. Legal and Program Variations for Syringe Access—1998 to 2000 Hartford, Connecticut Chicago, Illinois Legal restrictions on carrying syringes Legal to carry a limited number of syringes (10 prior to 9/99; 30 after that) Legal to carry syringes with client identification card from SEP Illegal to carry syringes under any circumstances SEP access conditions Access to a small-volume SEP that conforms to legal mandates on the number of syringes that could be carried Access to a very large, legal SEP providing syringes on a one-fortwo basis Access to a very large, legal SEP providing syringes on a one-for-one plus five syringes basis Pharmacy access conditions Ability to purchase up to 10 syringes per visit No pharmacy access No pharmacy access 6 Oakland, California Hartford allows IDUs to purchase up to 10 syringes at pharmacies, while the other cities do not permit pharmacy purchase. SEP Outcomes Varied Across Cities The study found significant variation in the outcomes of the three programs. • IDUs residing in the most legally restrictive locale (Oakland) had more police contact for possession of drug paraphernalia (37 percent) than their counterparts in Chicago (20 percent) or Hartford (17 percent). • IDUs who participated in large-scale syringe exchange programs (Chicago and Oakland) were less likely to report syringe reuse than their Hartford counterparts, although not less likely to engage in receptive syringe sharing. • After controlling for sociodemographics and other factors, the rate of syringe reuse in Hartford was not significantly lower than that in the other cities, despite the fact that all IDUs could purchase 10 syringes in pharmacies. These findings indicate some of the ways in which the effectiveness of SEPs might vary according to the context in which they operate. For example, studies have shown that police contact for syringe possession is associated with injection-related HIV risk, suggesting that communities with strict drug paraphernalia laws, such as Oakland, should consider excluding syringes from these regulations in order to reduce the spread of infectious diseases among IDUs. The study’s findings also suggest that SEPs that do not have caps on the number of syringes exchanged, such as those in Chicago and Oakland, may be more likely to affect syringe reuse among IDUs than those with such caps, such as Hartford. Moreover, the lack of impact on syringe reuse seen from Hartford’s pharmacy access program provides further evidence of the potential counterproductiveness of capping the number of syringes provided to IDUs even when syringe access is provided through a variety of methods. Better Understanding Is Needed of Community and Operational Factors Influencing SEPs’ Effectiveness Taken together, these findings point to the need for better understanding of the impact of community context (e.g., legal restrictions on syringe possession and pharmacy access) and SEP operational factors (e.g., syringe distribution policies and limits on access) on the effectiveness of syringe access programs. Examples of other community factors that might affect SEP effectiveness include the prevalence of HIV and its incidence among IDUs in the local community, the drug being injected, and the sexual mixing patterns between IDUs and other groups with high HIV prevalence (e.g., men who have sex with men). Other important operational characteristics include the location of SEP services (e.g., health clinic, van, shooting gallery, staff on foot), number of hours and days of the week that services are available, ancillary services provided, and the cultural appropriateness of the staff to the population served. Now that there is little question of the effectiveness of SEPs in the broad sense, new research efforts are needed to help guide public health care providers and policymakers in deciding where and what type of SEPs to implement in their communities. 7 For more information, please see Bluthenthal, R. N., M. Rehan Malik, L. E. Grau, M. Singer, P. Marshall, and R. Heimer for the Diffusion of Benefit through Syringe Exchange Study Team, “Sterile Syringe Access Conditions and Variations in HIV Risk Among Drug Injectors in Three Cities,” Addiction, Vol. 99, No. 9, 2004, pp. 1136–1146. Kral, A. H., and R. N. Bluthenthal, “What Is It About Needle and Syringe Programmes That Make Them Effective for Preventing HIV Transmission?” International Journal of Drug Policy, Vol. 14, 2003, pp. 361–363. ■ Project ALERT Evaluation Confirms Value of Classroom Drug Prevention ALTHOUGH DRUG USE AMONG MIDDLE school students appears to have leveled off during the late 1990s, U.S. adolescents continue to use alcohol, tobacco, and marijuana at unacceptably high rates. The good news is that a large-scale evaluation of Project ALERT, the widely used middle school drug prevention program developed by a team led by DPRC researcher Phyllis Ellickson, shows that the program successfully alters the course of substance use for many youth. The program even helps high-risk youth, whom many have claimed are beyond reach. Project ALERT is a two-year classroom curriculum that seeks to motivate students against using drugs and to give them the skills needed to translate that motivation into effective resistance behavior. Initially field-tested in the 1980s, the current Project ALERT curriculum was released to schools in 1995 and is now used in all 50 states. In 2001, the U.S. Department of Education named Project ALERT an Exemplary Model Program. DPRC researchers evaluated the Project ALERT curriculum, which the RAND Corporation revised based on earlier research results, across more than 4,000 students at 55 South Dakota middle schools from 1997 to 1999. Students were randomly assigned to program and control groups, with program students receiving Project ALERT lessons in 7th and 8th grades. Students were surveyed about their drug-related attitudes and substance use in the fall of 7th grade (at which point they were classified as low-, moderate-, or high-risk users) and resurveyed in the spring of 8th grade. Reductions in Substance Use Among Project ALERT Students At the end of the 18-month evaluation, the Project ALERT students had made major improvements in their substance use compared with the control students. Alcohol misuse. Among all students, overall alcohol misuse scores (in terms of such problem behaviors as binge Figure 1 Alcohol Misuse at End of Evaluation Average alcohol misuse score 3.0 2.5 Control ALERT 20% drop 2.0 Cigarette use. Among all students, the proportion of new smokers in the ALERT group was 19 percent lower than in the control group. The proportion of weekly smokers dropped by 23 percent. Marijuana initiation. For the lowest- risk students (those who had not tried cigarettes or marijuana by 7th grade), the proportion of new marijuana users was 38 percent lower in the ALERT group. For the moderate-risk students— those who had already tried cigarettes— marijuana initiation was 26 percent lower (see Figure 2). As the figures show, Project ALERT helped even those youth who had already started smoking and drinking by 7th grade. The findings counter claims by critics that school-based programs fail to affect high-risk and moderaterisk adolescents. Effects on Students’ Attitudes and Expectations Regarding Drug Use 1.5 24% drop 1.0 0.5 0.0 All students drinking, drinking that leads to fights, and drinking that gets the student in trouble) were 24 percent lower for the ALERT group than for the control group. Moreover, the prevention curriculum was especially successful with the high-risk baseline drinkers, i.e., those who had used alcohol three or more times in the past year or at least once in the past month. It reduced by 20 percent their likelihood of experiencing problems from drinking or of engaging in risky forms of alcohol use (see Figure 1). However, although Project ALERT helped youth avoid risky drinking, it did not keep students from starting to drink or help them cut back on occasional use. Baseline drinkers 8 A related study, led by DPRC researcher Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, found that Project ALERT is also helping change middle school students’ attitudes and expectations regarding cigarette and For more information, please see Figure 2 Marijuana Initiation at End of Evaluation Percentage of students initiating marijuana use 40 35 Control ALERT 26% drop 30 25 20 15 38% drop 10 5 0 Baseline nonusers marijuana use, and to a lesser extent, alcohol use. Using data from the program evaluation, researchers assessed whether and to what degree the Program ALERT curriculum reduced pro-drug beliefs among middle school students in four key risk areas: the consequences of using drugs, the prevalence of drug use and its acceptability to others, self-efficacy in resisting pressures to use drugs, and expectations of future drug use. The study found that, for cigarette and marijuana use, Project ALERT had a significant effect in modifying prodrug attitudes and beliefs in all four areas, with the exception of students’ views on the harm of occasional marijuana use. More modest effects were seen in relation to beliefs and attitudes concerning alcohol. Project ALERT appeared to have the greatest effect in changing student views on social norms. The program was particularly successful in reducing ALERT students’ estimates of how many students used each target drug and in modifying their beliefs about perceived peer approval of drug use, and friends’ reactions to drug use. Although the program’s effects were typically more pronounced for lowand moderate-risk students, Project Baseline cigarette smokers (moderate risk) ALERT also helped high-risk youths become more aware of the serious consequences associated with smoking and drinking and their own susceptibility to becoming dependent. It helped these high-risk users recognize that not everyone uses, reducing their estimates of how many of their peers smoke, drink, and use marijuana. The results of these studies provide further evidence that school-based programs can help youths at all levels of risk for future substance use and abuse. Started early enough in schools, drug prevention programs can buy time, delaying substance use for many adolescents until they are old enough to resist temptations to smoke, drink, or use drugs. 9 Classroom Drug Prevention Works: But Left Unchecked, Early Substance Use Haunts Older Teens and Young Adults, Santa Monica, Calif.: The RAND Corporation, RB-4560, 2004. Ellickson, P. L., D. F. McCaffrey, B. Ghosh-Dastidar, and D. L. Longshore, “New Inroads in Preventing Adolescent Drug Use: Results from a Large-Scale Trail of Project ALERT in Middle Schools,” American Journal of Public Health, Vol. 93, No. 11, 2003, pp. 1830–1836. Ghosh-Dastidar, B., D. L. Longshore, P. L. Ellickson, and D. F. McCaffrey, “Modifying Pro-Drug Risk Factors in Adolescents: Results from Project ALERT,” Health Education & Behavior, Vol. 31, No. 3, June 2004, pp. 318–334. ■ In Remembrance DPRC Board Member and First Chair Norval Morris NORVAL MORRIS, PROMINENT UNIVERsity of Chicago criminologist and longtime member and first chair of the DPRC Advisory Board, died on February 21, 2004, in Chicago of a heart attack. He was 80 years old. Combining precise legal scholarship and an instinct for criminology with general erudition and entrepreneurial energy, Morris became internationally renowned as an expert on criminal justice systems, publishing 15 books and hundreds of articles. His academic career spanned 55 years, the last 40 of them at Chicago. Morris was founding director of the University of Chicago Law School’s Center for Studies in Criminal Justice, which became a major force in legal criminology. At the Center, Morris mentored many young scholars, including Michael Tonry and Franklin Zimring. He also created the leading criminological review series Crime and Justice, which is about to celebrate its 30th year. In the words of DPRC cofounder Peter Reuter, Morris was not afraid to state “uncomfortable criminological truths precisely.” His book (with Gordon Hawkins) The Honest Politician’s Guide to Crime Control (University of Chicago Press, 1970) advocated an end to criminal penalties for “victimless crimes,” such as public drunkenness, gambling, and various sex acts. Morris’s skepticism about the social value of routine incarceration and critiques of the American prison system drew anger from legislators who were pushing for stiffer sentencing laws. In 1978, Morris’s opponents in Congress cited the book in opposing his nomination to head the federal Law Enforcement Assistance Administration. President Jimmy Carter subsequently withdrew the nomination. Even-Handed, Disciplined, and Judicious Leadership Morris was selected as the first chairperson of DPRC at the time of its founding in 1989–90. DPRC cofounder Barbara Williams says that Morris was selected for a number of reasons, including his professional standing and strong support of an empirical, tested basis for drug policy. Although his professional expertise was in law enforcement, Morris appreciated the critical roles played by prevention and treatment in drug policy. As chair of the DPRC Advisory Board, Morris gained a reputation for being even-handed, disciplined, and judicious, qualities that were seasoned with graciousness and a ready wit. In the words of Williams, “His leadership soon made strangers into friends, turned sharp differences of opinion into important questions for research and analysis, and made the once-a-year board meeting a continuous source of influence, help, and support for the research staff of the Center. Morris’s leadership set the tone for succeeding Board chairpersons—and made DPRC one of the few places where those who had chosen to study or practice seemingly incomparable aspects of drug policy could think, learn, and work together.” In the 1990s, Morris began writing novels with criminal justice themes. He was particularly proud of having 10 Norval Morris, with Barbara Williams authored the first book of fiction published by Oxford University Press, The Brothel Boy and Other Parables of Law (1992). The novel was a fictional reconstruction of the experience of Eric Blair (the real name of George Orwell) as policeman and magistrate in Burma (now Myanmar) in the 1950s. Norval Morris was born in Auckland, New Zealand, on October 1, 1923. He received two law degrees from the University of Melbourne, as well as a doctorate in criminology, in 1949, from the London School of Economics. After holding positions at the University of Melbourne, Harvard, the University of Adelaide, and the United Nations Institute for the Prevention of Crime and Treatment of Offenders in Tokyo, he joined the University of Chicago in 1964, where he was dean of the law school from 1975 to 1979 and at his death was Julius Kreeger Emeritus Professor of Law and Criminology. Morris is survived by his wife of 57 years, Elaine Richardson Morris; three sons, Gareth and Malcolm, both of Chicago, and Christopher, of Colorado Springs; and three grandchildren. Contributions in honor of Norval Morris may be sent to The Norval Morris Memorial Fund, The University of Chicago Law School, 1111 E. 60th St., Chicago, IL 60637. The fund will support at least one public interest fellow each year. ■ New Project RAND Coordinating Center: Sexual Diffusion of HIV Study The National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA) has established the Sexual Acquisition and Transmission of HIV Cooperative Agreement Program (SATH-CAP) to provide a stable infrastructure for collaborative research to expand the scientific knowledge base on the dynamic behavioral, biological, and environmental processes involved in transmitting HIV among and across drug-using population subgroups and in diffusing HIV from drugusing populations to non-drug-using populations. RAND is serving as the coordinating center for the SATH-CAP. In this capacity, RAND is responsible for providing technical support and expertise to facilitate the collection of cross-site collaborative data. Four institutions are responsible for collecting data in the field: UCLA, Yale, Research Triangle Institute, and the University of Illinois, Chicago, with data collection activities in Los Angeles, Chicago, North Carolina, New Haven, and St. Petersburg, Russia. Among RAND’s responsibilities as coordinating center are to collaborate with research centers and NIDA to refine methods and designs; develop and maintain a center Web site; assist with quality control; serve as a data repository; and assist in the development of publications. ■ New Publications PREVENTION Chinman M. S., and M. Y. Iguchi, “Coercive Use of Vaccines Against Drug Addiction: Is It Permissible and Is It Good Public Policy?” Virginia Journal of Social Policy & the Law, Vol. 12, No. 2, Winter 2004. Vaccines against drug addiction may represent hope for addicted individuals eager to access treatment and may also seem attractive to a society seeking to lower the social and economic costs of addiction. But will current law support the coercive use of vaccines? The paper discusses potentially pertinent statutes and case law bearing on the state’s ability to justify the use of coercion. The researchers conclude that coerced immunotherapy is likely to be legal for some classes of individuals and reflect upon issues of fairness in implementing policy on coercion. M., D. Early, P. Ebener, S. Hunter, P. Imm, P. Jenkins, J. Sheldon, A. Wandersman, “Getting to Outcomes: A Community-Based Participatory Approach to Preventive Interventions,” Journal of Interprofessional Care, Vol. 18, No. 4, November 2004, pp. 441– 443. This brief report discusses using the Getting to Outcomes (GTO) framework as a way for academics and community members to collaborate in improving the quality of substance abuse prevention efforts at the local level. The article also describes an ongoing CDC-funded participation research project to test GTO at two U.S. substance abuse coalitions. Although too early for results, field notes show the GTO process, facilitated by technical assistance, is already changing the way the programs are implementing preservation. Chinman, TREATMENT Ridgely, M., P. Imm, and A. Wandersman, Getting to Outcomes 2004: Promoting Accountability Through Methods and Tools for Planning, Implementation, and Evaluation, Santa Monica, Calif.: The RAND Corporation, TR-101-CDC, 2004. Substance abuse prevention can improve community health, but only when implemented well. This manual presents a new model that emphasizes collaboration between prevention science and local prevention practice. Incorporating traditional evaluation, results-based accountability, and continuous quality improvement, Getting to Outcomes (GTO) involves a ten-step process designed to enhance practitioners’ prevention skills while empowering them to plan, implement, and evaluate their own programs. 11 Lamb, R. J., K. C. Kirby, A. R. Morral, G. Galbicka, and M. Y. Iguchi, “Improving Contingency Management Programs for Addiction,” Addictive Behaviors, Vol. 29, No. 3, May 2004, pp. 507–523. Contingency management interventions effectively reduce or eliminate some individuals’ problem substance use. Typically, those who do not benefit never experience the reward or planned contingency available because they never produce the behavior (often abstinence) on which the reward is contingent. Using two analog studies, the authors found that the effectiveness of such interventions improves when contingencies are arranged so that all participants are more likely to experience the available reward. Wenzel, S. L., S. F. Turner, and M. S. Ridgely, “Collaborations Between Drug Courts and Service Providers: Characteristics and Challenges,” Journal of Criminal Justice, Vol. 32, No. 3, 2004, pp. 254–263. Addressing the multiple needs of drug-involved offenders can enhance sobriety and recidivism rates, but requires collaboration between courts and providers of treatment and other services. Interviews with administrators of 14 drug courts and service providers for offenders in those courts indicated that, while both administrators and service providers perceived a moderate to strong level of collaboration, the courts rarely provided services other than substance abuse treatment. Perceived barriers to collaboration included limitations on funding, management information systems, and staffing. Zweben, J., J. Cohen, D. Christian, G. Galloway, M. Salinardi, D. Parent, and M. Iguchi, “Psychiatric Symptoms in Methamphetamine Users,” American Journal on Addictions, Vol. 13, No. 2, 2004, pp. 181–190. The Methamphetamine Treatment Project (MTP) offers the opportunity to examine co-occurring psychiatric conditions in a sample of 1,016 methamphetamine users participating in a multisite outpatient treatment study between 1999 and 2001. Participants reported high levels of psychiatric symptoms, particularly depression and attempted suicide, but also anxiety and psychotic symptoms, as well as problems controlling anger and violent behavior, and a correspondingly high frequency of assault and weapons charges. Findings continue to support the value of integrated treatment for co-occurring conditions. SUBSTANCE USE AND HIV Anderson, R., L. Clancy, N. Flynn, A. Kral, and R. Bluthenthal, “Delivering Syringe Exchange Services Through ‘Satellite Exchangers’: the Sacramento Area Needle Exchange, USA,” International Journal of Drug Policy, Vol. 14, 2003, pp. 461, 463. This paper describes the use of “satellite exchangers” who provide services for an illegal SEP in California by distributing syringes and HIV risk reduction supplies to other drug users. Advantages of satellite exchangers included a large geographic coverage area, lower program costs, ability to provide services to clients who do not use fixed site programs, and lower possibility of program detection by law enforcement. Disadvantages included potential limits on ancillary services, less-thanoptimum arrangements for drug users who do not want to rely on others for syringe access, and fewer opportunities for counseling and referral services. Beckett, M., A. Burnam, R. L. Collins, D. E. Kanouse, and R. Beckman, “Substance Use and High-Risk Sex Among People with HIV: A Comparison Across Exposure Groups,” AIDS and Behavior, Vol. 7, No. 2, 2003, pp. 209–218. This study compared the prevalence of substance use between two groups at high risk for HIV infection—men who have sex with men (MSM) and injection drug users (IDUs)—and a third group, heterosexual men and women. Substance use was most prevalent among MSM, and substance use and current dependence were associated with being sexually active among MSM, but not IDUs. Substance use predicted high-risk sex, with few differences among groups. The results highlight the need to design effective substance use interventions targeting HIV-infected men. 12 Riehman, K. S., A. H. Kral, R. Anderson, N. Flynn, and R. N. Bluthenthal, “Sexual Relationships, Secondary Syringe Exchange, and Gender Differences in HIV Risk Among Drug Injectors,” Journal of Urban Health: Bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine, Vol. 81, No. 2, 2004, pp. 249–259. This study found that, among injection drug users (IDUs) at 23 California SEPs in 2001, women were more likely than men to exchange syringes for others and more likely to have IDU sexual partners. However, women who exchanged syringes for others were not more likely to increase their own HIV risk, though they might increase risk among their social networks. Among women, having an IDU steady sexual partner was not associated with exchanging syringes for others. Women who exchanged syringes for others were more likely to give used syringes to others, but not to use others’ syringes or to exchange sex for money or drugs. SUBSTANCE USE, PREVENTION, AND TREATMENT AMONG ADOLESCENTS AND YOUNG ADULTS Caulkins, J. P., R. L. Pacula, S. Paddock, and J. Chiesa, “What We Can—and Cannot—Expect from School-Based Drug Prevention,” Drug and Alcohol Review, Vol. 23, No. 1, 2004, pp. 79–87. This paper assesses quantitatively the social benefits of school-based drug prevention in the United States. The benefits per participant stemming from reduced drug use (approximately $840 from tobacco, alcohol, cocaine, and marijuana) appear to exceed the program costs (approximately $150 per participant); benefits associated with reduced cocaine use alone (approximately $300) also exceed program costs, though the figure for marijuana is small (approximately $20). The majority of benefits stem from reductions in tobacco and alcohol use, a result with implications for program funding. Collins, R. L., and P. L. Ellickson, “Integrating Four Theories of Adolescent Smoking,” Substance Use & Misuse, Vol. 39, No. 2, 2004, pp. 179–209. This study tested the ability of four theories—the Theory of Planned Behavior, Social Learning Theory, Social Attachment Theory, and Problem Behavior Theory—to predict smoking at grade 10 against an integrated model incorporating predictors from all the theories. All four of the theories were able to predict adolescent smoking; however, the integrated model was superior to all of the theory-based models. The results emphasize the need for a multifaceted approach to understanding and preventing adolescent smoking. Ellickson, P. L., C. E. Bird, M. Orlando, D. Klein, and D. F. McCaffrey, “Social Context and Adolescent Health Behavior: Does School-Level Smoking Prevalence Affect Students’ Subsequent Smoking Behavior?” Journal of Health and Social Behaviors, Vol. 44, No. 4, 2003, pp. 525–535. This paper examines the links between an individual adolescent’s smoking and actual and perceived smoking behavior in the individual’s school cohort. Adjusting for demographics, actual school-level prevalence of smoking at grade 7 was strongly associated with student smoking frequency one year later, but this association disappeared after adjusting for the individual’s smoking frequency at baseline. The perceived prevalence of smoking among grade 8 students was associated with increased risk of smoking, as were cigarette offers and exposure to friends and other peers who smoke. Ellickson, P. L., S. C. Martino, and R. L. Collins, “Marijuana Use from Adolescence to Young Adulthood: Multiple Developmental Trajectories and Their Associated Outcomes,” Health Psychology, Vol. 23, No. 3, 2004, pp. 299–307. This study modeled discrete developmental patterns of marijuana use from early adolescence (age 13) to young adulthood (age 23) among a sample of 5,833 individuals. Researchers identified four smoking trajectory groups (in addition to abstainers): early high users, stable light users, steady increasers, and occasional light users. Analyses comparing the trajectory groups at age 29 revealed that abstainers consistently had the most favorable behavioral, socioeconomic, and health outcomes, whereas early high users consistently had the least favorable outcomes. Ellickson, P. L., M. Orlando, J. S. Tucker, and D. J. Klein, “From Adolescence to Young Adulthood: Racial/ Ethnic Disparities in Smoking,” American Journal of Public Health, Vol. 94, No. 2, 2004, pp. 293–299. This study compared trends in smoking among four racial/ethnic groups from a sample of 6,259 youths ages 13 to 23. Although African-Americans exhibited higher smoking initiation rates than whites, they exhibited consistently lower rates of regular smoking than both whites and Hispanics. African-Americans also had lower rates of transition to regular smoking and a greater tendency to quit. Racial/ethnic disparities in smoking were found to be accounted for by differences in prosmoking influences, suggesting that reducing these disparities may require reducing differences in the psychosocial factors that encourage smoking. 13 Martino, S. C., R. L. Collins, and P. L. Ellickson, “Substance Use and Early Marriage,” Journal of Marriage and Family, Vol. 66, No. 1, 2004, pp. 244–257. Prior research indicates that substance use is related to adolescent marriage. Using data from a study of West Coast youth, researchers assessed the effects of cigarette, alcohol, and marijuana use in grades 7 and 10 on the probability of marriage prior to age 20. They found that, controlling for gender, race, and socioeconomic status, cigarette use in adolescence, but not other substance use, was associated with early marriage through a process that also involves low educational attainment and early unwed parenthood. The results support the notion that the link between substance use and early marriage reflects a disposition toward risky or unconventional behavior, not the judgment-impairing effects of drug and alcohol use. Orlando, M., J. S. Tucker, P. L. Ellick- son, and D. J. Klein, “Developmental Trajectories of Cigarette Smoking and Their Correlates from Early Adolescence to Young Adulthood,” Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, Vol. 72, No. 3, 2004, pp. 400–410. Adolescence and emerging adulthood represent a critical time for smoking prevention and intervention efforts. This study identified six smoking trajectories from age 13 to 23 among 5,914 individuals: nonsmokers (28 percent), stable highs (6 percent), early increasers (10 percent), late increasers (10 percent), decreasers (6 percent), and triers (40 percent). By age 23, the trajectories merged into two distinct groups of low- and high-frequency smokers. These results can help researchers identify at-risk individuals before their smoking becomes too problematic. Riehman, K. S., R. Bluthenthal, J. Juvonen, and A. Morral, “Adolescent Social Relationships and the Treatment Process: Findings from Quantitative and Qualitative Analyses,” Journal of Drug Issues, Vol. 3, No. 4, 2003, pp. 865–896. Data from a quantitative study of 449 criminally involved adolescents show that girls in mandated substance abuse treatment programs had more problematic families and peers and more depressive symptoms than boys in such programs. Interviews revealed that girls’ pretreatment networks were almost exclusively comprised of older males acting as “protectors” and sexual partners, while boys’ included samesex, same-aged peers. Girls emphasized sexuality when discussing in-treatment relationships and had difficulty developing friendships with other girls in the program. ■ New People LAURA M. BOGART is a behavioral scientist at RAND who specializes in applying principles of social cognition to understanding risky health behaviors and racial/ethnic disparities in health care behaviors. Laura has been involved in the design, implementation, and analysis of numerous studies in primary and secondary HIV prevention, and adherence to antiretroviral treatment for HIV. She has also conducted research examining physicians’ expectations about patients, as well as patients’ attitudes about physicians and perceptions of discrimination in health care. She was the recipient of an NIMH grant examining the cognitive strategies used by men who have sex with men and high-risk heterosexuals to recall sexual behaviors. She is currently co-investigator on an NICHD grant examining the relationship of conspiracy beliefs about HIV and birth control, and perceived discrimination in health care, with sexual risk and contraceptive behaviors among African-Americans. She holds a Ph.D. in social psychology from the University of Pittsburgh. 14 MEREDITH L. MAGNER is a research assistant at RAND. Among her research interests are the intersection of substance abuse and violence as well as HIV risk reduction among substance abusers. Meredith has contributed to studies estimating the association of youth violence with characteristics of Baltimore neighborhoods and examining the intersection of AIDS and violence among women residing in Baltimore. Meredith is currently facilitating a study on partner-oriented drug treatment, which aims to assess treatment outcomes, change in HIV risk behaviors, and change in personal drug-using network characteristics for methadone clients and their partner referrals. Meredith completed her M.P.H. at The George Washington University and received a B.A. in political science from UCLA. During SMART OTU was a recent visiting exchange scholar from the Department of Anthropology and Sociology, University of the Western Cape, Cape Town, South Africa. He came to DPRC under the sponsorship of the West Africa Research Association, in collaboration with the U.S. Department of State, and worked directly under Martin Iguchi. Smart completed his doctoral study in September 2004. His focus and interests include the analysis and profiling of drug traffickers and drug abusers in South Africa and Nigeria; organized crime; drug policy; and criminal justice theory. He recently completed a wellreceived research project titled “Armed Robbery in Contemporary Nigeria: A Criminological Analysis.” Smart is interested in pursuing postdoctoral study of organized drug trafficking and money laundering, with particular emphasis on the diverse dimensions drug trafficking can take, its wideranging implications, and global and local policy issues. He holds a Ph.D. from the University of the Western Cape, Cape Town, South Africa. his time as a 2004 Summer Associate at the DPRC, RAJEEV RAMCHAND worked with Martin Iguchi and Rosalie Pacula to study behaviors that may place marijuana users at risk for arrest in the United States. Rajeev is currently a predoctoral student at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, where his thesis research investigates the mechanisms through which work experience may affect adolescents’ patterns of drug use and involvement in both legal and illegal drug markets. Rajeev received a B.A. in economics from the University of Chicago, and has previously worked in consulting and at the Urban Institute. ■ 2003–04 Lovida Coleman, Jr., Speaker Series Science and Drug Policy The series provides a forum for decisionmakers and scientists to discuss policies concerning drug supply, demand, and control. The series is held at The RAND Corporation, 1776 Main Street, Santa Monica, California. For the latest information on scheduled talks, please see the DPRC Web site, http://www.rand.org/ multi/dprc. Recent Talks January 20, 2005 Dr. Susan Tapert, Assistant Professor in Residence, UC San Diego Department of Psychiatry This is Your Brain on Alcohol: Neuroimaging Studies in Adolescents with Substance Use Behavior April 28, 2004 James Bell, Executive Director of the W. Haywood Burns Institute for Juvenile Justice Fairness and Equity Reducing Disproportionate Minority Confinement for Youth of Color: Lessons from the Frontlines February 6, 2004 David Vlahov, Director of the Center for Urban Epidemiologic Studies (CUES) at The New York Academy of Medicine HIV Infection Among Injection Drug Users: Prevention and Progression 15 Advisory Board Former Advisory Board Members Lovida H. Coleman, Jr. (Chair) Partner, Sutherland, Asbill & Brennan LLP James E. Burke Chairman, Partnership for a Drug-Free America Stephen M. Duncan Norman A. Carlson Senior Lecturer, Department of Sociology University of Minnesota Tone N. Grant President, Refco Group, Ltd. Pedro José Greer, Jr., M.D. Assistant Dean, University of Miami School of Medicine Mathea Falco President, Drug Strategies Calvin Hill Herbert D. Kleber Professor, Department of Psychiatry, Columbia University Fred C. Iklé Distinguished Scholar, Center for Strategic and International Studies David J. Mactas Amy Pascal Chairman, Motion Picture Group, Sony Pictures Entertainment Janet L. Robbie Former Executive Vice President, Miami Dolphins and Joe Robbie Stadium Cynthia Telles Director, Spanish Speaking Psychosocial Clinic, Department of Psychiatry, University of California, Los Angeles Barbara R. Williams Vice President Emeritus, The RAND Corporation Daniel P. Garcia Norval Morris Julius Kreeger Professor of Law and Criminology School of Law, University of Chicago P. Michael Timpane Senior Advisor for Education Policy, The RAND Corporation The Honorable John P. White Lecturer in Public Policy, John F. Kennedy School of Government; Senior Partner, Global Technologies Partners James Q. Wilson James A. Collins Professor Emeritus of Management, The John E. Anderson Graduate School of Management, University of California, Los Angeles Hubert Williams President, Police Foundation Judith B. Willis Health Care Consultant Richard B. Wolf James H. Woods Professor of Pharmacology and Psychology, Department of Pharmacology, University of Michigan R Corporate Headquarters 1776 Main Street P.O. Box 2138 Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138 TEL 310.393.0411 FAX 310.393.4818 Washington Office 1200 South Hayes Street Arlington, VA 22202-5050 TEL 703.413.1100 FAX 703.413.8111 Pittsburgh Office 201 North Craig Street Suite 202 Pittsburgh, PA 15213-1516 TEL 412.683.2300 FAX 412.683.2800 New York Office 215 Lexington Avenue 21st Floor New York, NY 10016-6023 Council for Aid to Education TEL 212.661.5800 New York External Affairs TEL 212.661.3166 FAX 212.661.9766 RAND-Qatar Policy Institute P.O. 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