Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College Northampton, MA Steven Sinding Interviewed by Deborah McFarlane March 15, 2004 London, England This interview was made possible with generous support from the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation. © Sophia Smith Collection 2006 Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College Narrator Steven W. Sinding, Ph.D. (b. 1943) retired as director general of the International Planned Parenthood Federation in 2006. Trained as a political scientist, he served as director of USAID's Office of Population (1983-1986), as well as senior population advisor at the World Bank, population director at the Rockefeller Foundation, and professor at the Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University. Interviewer Deborah R. McFarlane is professor of political science at the University of New Mexico. She is the author, with K.J. Meier, of The Politics of Fertility Control: Family Planning and Abortion Politics in the American States (Congressional Quarterly Press, 2001). McFarlane worked as an administrator and a consultant in reproductive health in the U.S. and internationally for more than three decades. Restrictions None Format Four 60-minute audiocassettes. Transcript Transcribed, audited and edited at Baylor University. Transcript has been reviewed and approved by Steven Sinding. Bibliography and Footnote Citation Forms Audio Recording Bibliography: Steven Sinding. Interview by Deborah McFarlane. Audio recording, March 15, 2004. Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project, Sophia Smith Collection. Footnote: Steven Sinding, interview by Deborah McFarlane, audio recording, March 15, 2004, Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project, Sophia Smith Collection, tape 1. Transcript Bibliography: Steven Sinding. Interview by Deborah McFarlane. Transcript of audio recording, March 15, 2004. Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project, Sophia Smith Collection. Footnote: Steven Sinding, interview by Deborah McFarlane, transcript of audio recording, March 15, 2004, Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project, Sophia Smith Collection, p. 23. Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 1 of 107 P opulation and Reproductive Health Oral H istory P roje ct Steven Sinding Interviewed by Deborah McFarlane March 15, 2004 London, United Kingdom McFarlane —March 15, 2004. I‟m Deborah McFarlane, and I‟m about to interview Steven Sinding for his oral history. Dr. Sinding, you were interviewed in 2001 by W. Haven North from the U.S. Foreign Service Officers Association and their foreign assistance program series. I‟ve read that oral history, and I would like to focus on your career since you retired from AID [USAID: United States Agency for International Development], the World Bank, Columbia [University], Rockefeller, as well as ask you some follow-up questions about specific events and themes in your USAID career. First of all, you are at IPPF [International Planned Parenthood Federation] now. What led you to IPPF? Sinding I was recruited by a headhunter, and I was very reluctant actually to take the job. I had worked with IPPF for many years, never directly, but always as a grant maker, first at USAID, then during my brief period at the World Bank and then at the Rockefeller Foundation. And I was well aware of IPPF‟s many weaknesses, in addition to its considerable strengths, but I knew above all that IPPF had a history of extremely difficult governance issues, and I Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 1 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 2 of 107 wasn‟t sure at this point in my career that I wanted to take those on. McFarlane Can you elaborate a bit about the governance issues? Sinding Yeah, I need to go into some detail on this. IPPF was established by a small group of courageous volunteers as an affinity group of a very small number, eight, national family planning associations in 1952. Margaret Sanger was the driving force behind the creation of IPPF, and she wanted to create an international movement of national family planning associations that would take the family planning message to as many countries as possible. She never foresaw it as a funding mechanism. She saw it largely, as I say, as an affinity group, as a group of autonomous national institutions that could learn from one another and through membership acquire international strength and voice. But what happened to IPPF is that when the donors became serious about providing assistance in the area of population, there were very few existing institutions through which they could channel their money, including national governments, which were extremely reluctant in the fifties and even in the late sixties when the donors got interested, very reluctant to take donor money. And so, IPPF became kind of a natural target of the donors. Here was, by that time, a federation of twenty, thirty, maybe forty countries which had clinical programs in place in many instances, where the infusion of donor money could substantially expand the availability of services and enhance the capacity of the national associations—mostly called family planning associations—to lobby governments for policy change. McFarlane So, they already had service delivery in place. Sinding Service delivery was the mechanism through which IPPF did its advocacy. Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 2 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 3 of 107 One of IPPF‟s great strengths was that it was able to demonstrate to governments that family planning was something that could be done safely and in a relatively non-controversial way and that it was responding to a real demand by women—mostly women. So, the donor interest in IPPF fundamentally transformed the institution from an affinity group of highlymotivated volunteers into a bureaucratic service delivery institution. IPPF became answerable to the donors as well as to its own constituency in terms of the funding it was receiving, and that put the secretariat of IPPF in a situation that persists to this day of essentially having to walk the narrow line between serving its constituency—that is, the membership—and responding to the requirements and the expectations of the donors. Since those two don‟t necessarily coincide and often conflict, especially when it comes to the allocation of resources, being the director general or the secretary general of IPPF is a very, very difficult job. McFarlane Can you give me an example of where they might conflict on a—? Sinding Yeah, the volunteers, the representatives of the national associations feel that funds ought to be allocated on the basis of an entitlement, that they are a member of IPPF, therefore they are entitled to a certain amount of funding for the work they do. The donors say, Give the money to a, the countries that are more important, and b, the associations that could demonstrate value for money or the quality of their work. To the extent that IPPF and the central secretariat has attempted to use a performance base as a criterion for the allocation of resources, this has flown directly in the face of the expectations of volunteers which want some sort of equity in the distribution Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 3 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 4 of 107 of resources that recognizes that all the members have an entitlement to resources. McFarlane So, you knew this coming in. Sinding I knew this, absolutely. McFarlane Why did you take the job? Sinding Because I didn‟t need it. I took the job because I thought as someone who was ready to walk out the door at any moment that the volunteers disagreed with me or refused to take my advice, I would have considerably greater power than those who came into this position trying to always tread that line between volunteer interests and the donors. I came in determined to do what I thought had to be done to set IPPF on a successful course as an international institution performing an important function in the field of reproductive health. And to the extent that the volunteers disagreed with me or balked at my recommendations, I was ready to walk, and I‟m still ready to walk. McFarlane Well, how long have you been here? Sinding Eighteen, nineteen months, twenty months, something like that. Since September 2, 2002. McFarlane So, how did they talk you into it? Sinding I went through three interviews with a selection committee that was comprised of the presidents of the six IPPF regions, so I was talking to the senior volunteers. I was talking to the most powerful members of the governing council. And I said to them exactly what I‟m saying to you, that it seemed to me that IPPF was in deep trouble financially as a consequence of Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 4 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 5 of 107 the fact that many of its traditional donors had lost confidence in its ability to allocate resources effectively, that it had lost its way strategically and philosophically, and that if I took the job I would do so on the understanding that I would establish a new strategic vision for IPPF and I would take very seriously the performance of the membership in the allocation of resources, and they agreed to that. They basically accepted the fact that the federation was on the verge of collapse if they didn‟t get their house in order, and they were prepared to hire somebody with strong views and a strong will to whip things into shape. And so far it‟s gone very well. McFarlane What is your vision? Sinding I think that what made IPPF a really powerful and significant force in the early days of family planning was its courage and its righteous indignation. It used the phrase brave and angry to describe itself in those years when— McFarlane Years are approximately— Sinding From 1952 to 1960 when Elise Ottesen-Jensen from Sweden and Lady [Dhanvanthi] Rama Rau from India and Margaret Sanger were running the federation and Mrs. Sato from Japan. Those women were righteously indignant about the lack of access of women to contraception, that the fact that that lack of ability to control their own fertility was holding back women in every aspect of life, and they were determined to use the force of numbers and their anger and their indignation to confront governments to change policies and to build programs. They did it in the face of great hostility. Some of them went to jail. They were fighting traditional patriarchal structures. They were fighting traditional religious and cultural values. They Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 5 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 6 of 107 were challenging convention at every turn. And what made it a great movement was the fact that it was inspired by a sense of injustice. My vision was to return IPPF to that tradition of advocacy, of indignation, of determination to deal with the unfinished business of the reproductive revolution. It seemed to me that what IPPF had allowed itself to become was an instrument of the donor community to simply be a service delivery outlet. Once it had consolidated the victory of family planning, it was perfectly happy just to be serving, in most countries, relatively small clienteles with conventional family planning services that were indistinguishable in many cases from what were available from public sector and commercial sources. So, IPPF had failed by the 1990s, even by the early eighties, to distinguish itself from many, many other NGO‟s and governmental service delivery institutions. My vision was to bring IPPF back to the cutting edge of advocacy, and to do so, as I say, in the unfinished business of the reproductive revolution, which is the continuing controversy surrounding services for young people, unsafe abortion, HIV/AIDS, access for the poor and the excluded, and advocacy, and we call it the five A‟s since every one of those words starts with an A. And what is remarkable is how the federation from the governing council down to essentially every national association accepted that agenda and along with it the notion that they needed to change from conventional family planning service delivery into a new advocacy agenda based upon controversial and difficult issues. McFarlane You‟ve had to break time, too, given U.S. government‟s position to— Sinding Well, I think lying in the background of my determination to do this was my Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 6 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 7 of 107 anger at the Bush Administration and my determination to try to do what I could to counteract that, and as an American I thought I was in a particularly strong position to be advocating the opposite of what the U.S. government was standing for under Bush. McFarlane Has funding been a problem? Sinding Since I came? McFarlane Um-hm. Sinding No. Of course, funding had declined to the point where the federation was in crisis. When my predecessor, once removed, Halfdan Mahler, left the job, the budget of unrestricted funds flowing through the central secretariat of IPPF was in excess of a hundred million dollars. When I took over, it was at 47 million dollars. So, the funds available to the secretariat for distribution to the membership had declined by around 60 percent. That was a crisis, and it was a crisis not only of resources, but it was also a crisis of confidence. Since I‟ve taken over, we have managed to increase the budget to about seventy million this year, and there‟s every sign that it‟s continuing to go up in part because governments are eager to try to offset to the extent they can the damage that the Bush Administration has done through its withdrawal of funding from us and UNFPA [United National Population Fund] but also, I think, because the new vision—and I haven‟t talked about the whole vision. I‟ve talked about the content of it but not the implementation of it. But they had confidence that IPPF was back on the right track, that this vision made sense and it was something they were prepared to invest in, so I think that the restoration of funding is a function of indignation toward the U.S. and Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 7 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 8 of 107 renewed confidence in IPPF. McFarlane Is this a good time to talk about the implementation strategy? Sinding Yeah, IPPF had lost the confidence of the donors, not only because they didn‟t think it stood for anything particularly unique or distinguishable. McFarlane Is this both foundations and governments? Sinding Yeah, but also because it had become increasingly clear as the donors became more and more knowledgeable about conditions at the country level, that many of IPPF‟s members were performing very badly, were, in fact, weak institutions. When I was at USAID, we were always reluctant to make the annual contribution to IPPF or to increase it because the reports coming back from our field missions were so overwhelmingly negative in many areas about the quality of the IPPF members. There are, of course, really important exceptions to that general statement, particularly in the Western Hemisphere region where IPPF has been much stronger than it has in the other regions, but in some the other regions as well there have been exceptions to the general feeling of weakness of the associations. But the other side of the coin from establishing a new vision for the federation was to address head on this issue of implementation, of operational capacity, and it seems to me in the long run IPPF survival depends upon getting its own administrative and operational house in order. It‟s got to show that funding IPPF and through IPPF its national members is good value for money in comparison with alternative uses of scarce resources, and in a lot of countries I can‟t make that claim today. The reason the money is going up is because I have acknowledged to the donors that it is an issue that I take Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 8 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 9 of 107 seriously and am prepared to try to work on. But they‟re taking it on faith at this point that I‟ll be able to deliver on that. I mean, all of them recognize that a compelling vision is only as good as the capacity of the institution to follow through on the ground, and there‟s not yet any evidence that IPPF has met the latter challenge. McFarlane What are you doing operationally? Have you restructured? Sinding Yeah, I‟ve begun the process of restructuring. I‟ve substantially changed both the structure and the composition of the central office. We‟ve reduced by twenty people the payroll here. McFarlane Out of how many? Sinding We went from about ninety-six to seventy-six or seventy-seven people. McFarlane So, that‟s significant, yeah. Sinding Twenty percent. And I have tried to restructure the central office so that it just operates more efficiently and in a more coherent fashion. When I got here, there were no fewer than fifteen people reporting directly to the director general, and there was no deputy. So, the director general has not only the responsibilities for directly supervising fifteen-odd people but also managing the entire external side of the job which is itself a full-time requirement. McFarlane By external, do you mean governance? Sinding I mean the donors, I mean the national governments with which we work, I mean the governing council and all the family planning associations, as well as our partners in the field. I work probably 80 percent of my time externally representing IPPF: fundraising, going to conferences, speaking on behalf of Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 9 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 10 of 107 the federation, and that leaves a full-time job internally for the management of the secretariat. I didn‟t see how that could be done without having a fulltime deputy, and so the very first thing I did was to establish that position and recruit a competent administrator/manager to take that on. In addition, we‟ve streamlined things so that external affairs, communications advocacy and fundraising are all in one group. And the programmatic functions, the backstopping of the regional offices and the family planning associations and the members, in terms of the five A‟s and the programmatic substance is another technical area. And then administration is the third area which comes directly under the purview of my deputy. That streamlining of functions substantially reduced the supervisory load on both me and my deputy and has created coherence so that people who need to be working with one another and communicating with one another are now in relationships where that communication naturally occurs. So, that was part of what I‟ve done. Second thing I‟ve done is to initiate a process of performance-based resource allocation. The governing council asked me at my request at my first governing council meeting in November 2002, to do three things: to develop a new strategic plan, to restructure the secretariat, and to come up with a new resource allocation system. We did the first two within the first year, and last November the governing council approved the strategic plan. The previous May they had approved the new structure of the secretariat. And we will this May be taking to them the new resource allocation scheme based on the five A‟s, and what it contains is a clear commitment to use performance as a criterion for the allocation of resources Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 10 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 11 of 107 for the first time. IPPF has never used performance as a resource allocation criterion, at least not explicitly, in its entire history, so this is a major step forward. And it means that the associations know that they‟re going to be evaluated and that they‟re going to be held accountable for the funds they receive, and if they don‟t use them well they will in time lose them. One of the caveats on that is that I‟ve pledged to the governing council that we will give every association a period of time where it is deemed to be weak in implementation and administrative capacity to build capacity so that we will not immediately cut funding from weak associations, but what we will insist on is that where, in the judgment of the regional director, the association does not have the capacity to absorb additional resources without building capacity for the management of programs, that a portion of the funds will be set aside for capacity building explicitly: training, restructuring, management assistance, whatever the regional director deems necessary. Also, the resource allocation decisions for countries will be made by the regions, not by the central office. We allocate to the regions on the basis of a set of criteria which I hope the governing council will accept in May, but then it‟s up to the regions to allocate to the countries on the basis of their assessment of capacity and performance. McFarlane Have you experienced any conflict between the performance and governance at this point? You‟ve got membership organizations that you‟re allocating funds to. Is that correct? Sinding Yeah. Not yet, but we haven‟t implemented this yet. I expect that we‟re going to have a much more difficult discussion at the May governing council Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 11 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 12 of 107 on resource allocation than we had about the strategic plan or about the restructuring of the secretariat. I think on the strategic plan there was enough agreement and a wide enough process of consultation that everybody felt by the time we actually formally presented it that they had had ample opportunity to have input. Furthermore, all of them agreed at some level that these five priorities were the right five priorities for IPPF. There‟s been some grumbling at the edges. Some of these stronger traditional associations which have been doing family planning forever wanted to just be left alone to continue doing what they‟re doing, and they didn‟t like being pushed in the direction of the new priorities, but actually none of them had the courage to say so. McFarlane You knew who they were. (chuckling) Sinding Well, they grumbled, and I can hear it sort of under the surface. But to sort of say we should be working on abortion or we shouldn‟t be working on the problems of adolescents is something they couldn‟t—it would be politically incorrect to say that, and so they just say, Well, there‟s not enough focus on meeting the needs of the entire population for services and so on. But basically, the volunteers are comfortable, I think, with the strategic plan. When they see that performance is really going to be a criterion that is seriously applied and that evaluation is going to be the tool that we use to judge how it should be applied, there‟s going to be considerable discomfort, and I think we may have some fights. We‟ve also had a change in leadership, which is subtle and interesting. The president of IPPF who recruited me and who championed my presidency— Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 12 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 13 of 107 McFarlane Who was— Sinding —was Angela Gómez, the president of Profamilia-Colombia. Angela stepped down as president in November and was succeeded by Nina Puri who is the president of the Family Planning Association of India. Nina doesn‟t have the same stake in my success that Angela did. Nina also has a different orientation toward the relationship between staff and volunteers than Angela. McFarlane Can you explain that a bit? Sinding Well, Angela comes from a modern business-management background. She has a degree in public administration from the [John F.] Kennedy School [of Government] at Harvard, and she has a management-by-objectives, sort of rational-planning-management approach to things and clearly understood that IPPF needed to be a lean and modern, well-managed institution. Nina still is very committed to the romantic notion of a volunteer-headed, volunteer-driven federation in which the staff is there to do the bidding of the volunteers but the volunteers make the decisions and set the course, and so there is an underlying resentment on her part on what she calls the topdown way in which the five A‟s was introduced. And so, I think she would prefer a model which had a weak secretariat and a strong governing council, whereas Angela understood that a modern organization has to have a strong secretariat with a governing council that restricts itself to broad policy and budget oversight. McFarlane More like a business than a majority. Sinding More like a business, yeah. And I frankly don‟t know how it‟s going to work Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 13 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 14 of 107 with Nina. If she tries seriously to circumscribe my authority in turning IPPF into a modern effective organization, I‟ll leave. McFarlane And that‟s the strength you really have to offer in addition— Sinding I‟m ready to walk tomorrow. McFarlane —in addition to your experience and training, of course. Sinding Well, I can also tell you that the response and the feedback from the community to the leadership I‟ve shown in the year and a half I‟ve been here has just been overwhelming. McFarlane By community you mean— Sinding I mean the donors— Tape 1, side 1 ends; side 2 begins. Sinding —and so many letters and notes and comments, formal and informal feedback about what a great job I‟m doing in turning around IPPF that I know that as far as the external constituency is concerned—that is, the people on whom we depend for money and whose approval we require to be effective—is just very, very strong, and that‟s my bargaining chip. That‟s what they hired me for, that‟s what they knew IPPF needed, and if I say that I‟m leaving because I cannot work with this governing council it‟ll be just frankly devastating for IPPF. I don‟t mean to make this sound too egotistical— McFarlane But it‟s what they need now. Sinding —but it‟s the truth. If they lose me now, they‟re going to be in worse shape than they were when they hired me. McFarlane I‟ve noticed in reading your oral history up through 2001, that I could see Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 14 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 15 of 107 the mind of the social scientist in an action job. And I wonder, how has this kind of shaped your management philosophy, or maybe we could just start with your management philosophy. But I see you throughout that oral history talking about paradigms and— Sinding Yeah, well—yeah. I don‟t know whether I‟m instinctively a social scientist or by training a social scientist. I haven‟t been a practicing social scientist for such a long time that one has to believe it‟s more instinct at this point than anything else. I tend to think about—my mind works in terms of broad relationships, social relationships, political relationships, and so I tend to see any work I‟m doing, I think, as a consequence of my training as a social scientist in a broader context than somebody who hasn‟t had that kind of training. In reading the oral history, you probably saw the business about the conflict between sort of the Ravenholtian family planning view and sort of the social change model of fertility decline, and I think that my social science training enabled me to see a lot of the subtleties and the gray areas that maybe other people with different kinds of training, public health training or whatever, medical training, don‟t see. In terms of my management philosophy, I think that comes more from just instincts about people than anything else, and I don‟t know. It may come from training or just what I learned at home from my parents, both of whom were managers. McFarlane Oh, interesting. Tell me about them. Sinding My father was an industrial engineer who became a business—a corporate manager, and my mother was the field director of the Gallup Poll for several years, both of them in jobs where they had to manage people and human Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 15 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 16 of 107 relationships. And I used to—just dinnertime conversation—used to hear about those issues, and one of the things that was discussed a lot was delegation of authority and how to do it. And I think to the extent that I‟ve had success as a manager, it has come from my willingness to delegate a great deal to subordinates and to trust people to use that authority or responsibility well. In every job I‟ve had, I think the people who have worked for me have really appreciated that and have responded to the challenge. Part of it, I think, is that I‟m naturally lazy, (McFarlane laughs) and it‟s a lot easier to get other people to do the work than to do it yourself. I do tend, though, to fairly carefully review what people do and to let them know if I don‟t think it‟s up to standard and to try to work with them to understand why it fails to meet my standards. But I‟ve also had to overcome or to unlearn a lot of things you learn as a social scientist about how institutions function and how they function effectively. Academia is not the best place to learn management practices— McFarlane Tell me about that. What do you mean? Sinding —(laughs) as you probably know. Academic institutions are perhaps among the worst-managed institutions and as [Henry] Kissinger always used to say, perhaps the sites of the nastiest politics because, as he said, the stakes were so low. And I had to learn a lot about hierarchy and about the importance of a chain of command and a line of authority and the acceptance of authority. In an organization that is focused on achieving a set of objectives, you really do have to have a line of authority and of command, which is antithetical to the academic model where, in fact, the greatest value is on maximizing Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 16 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 17 of 107 freedom: freedom of expression, freedom of investigation. And so, unlearning some of the most important values of the academic life was an important part of becoming effective in the bureaucratic setting. McFarlane That‟s an interesting comment for me, having read your oral history and your relationship with Rei Ravenholt in the early years. Sinding Well, I‟m not great at accepting authority myself, but when I really respect the people I work for—and there are two in particular that I could point to. I think I mentioned Joseph Wheeler, the mission director in Pakistan, in my USAID oral history. The other was Kenneth Prewitt, who was my immediate supervisor at the Rockefeller Foundation for the six years I was there. I have no trouble accepting authority. In the case of Ravenholt, it‟s much more complicated than that because I did respect Ravenholt‟s drive, his single-mindedness, his bureaucratic skills, his charismatic qualities. I even respected his genius for oversimplifying, and I learned a lot from that, that sometimes to be effective in a bureaucratic setting you have to simplify in a way that is anathema to scholars. McFarlane That two-minute sound bite, if you will? Sinding Yeah, and it works at all kinds of different levels, and it does not stand up to rigorous challenge or investigation. But it helps to keep an institution focused, and you can become immobilized by overly appreciating the complexity of things, and Ravenholt taught me a lot about sort of cutting things down to the bare bones. I thought he went too far, but that was the social scientist in me, saying this guy is ignoring really important programmatic issues for the sake of kind of pursuing his very pristine vision Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 17 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 18 of 107 of how things should work, in other words, ignoring demand issues, basically focusing on supply issues to the exclusion of any consideration of demand, which I thought was wrong, but I learned a lot from Ravenholt about how useful it can be to keep things simple. McFarlane I want to follow up on that point a little bit later because I think there‟s some real richness in that relationship and what it says about you. I also want to ask you, in terms of hierarchy and delegation, you must have—so, you‟ve hired good people. You‟ve delegated to them over the years. How do you pick them out? You had to hire a deputy here. You have a history of this. Sinding Well, like all managers I‟ve made a lot of mistakes, and when you interview—have you talked to Duff [Gillespie] yet? McFarlane I didn‟t. Rebecca did. Sinding Yeah. Duff would be the first to tell you about some of those, when he was my deputy at USAID and we disagreed about people. And sometimes he was right, and sometimes I was right. I would say my judgment about people has gotten better with experience, but I‟ve always, I think, had a philosophy that it‟s better to hire the smartest and most solidly grounded person than the person who is necessarily best qualified on paper for a particular position. It‟s sort of recruiting-the-best-athlete philosophy. A lot of, oh, soccer and basketball coaches will tell you that rather than trying to recruit players for particular positions, their approach is to hire the best athlete, to recruit the best athlete, and then to mold those athletes into a team. And I feel much the same way, that finding the most talented people and then figuring out how to use them best is the best approach to building a strong team and a Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 18 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 19 of 107 strong organization. You have to begin with qualifications of training and experience and so on, but very soon you get beyond that into the intangibles, like just personality, basic intelligence, inquisitiveness, flexibility, and I look for those kinds of things and then figure out how to assign tasks so that they play to the strengths of the people I‟ve recruited as much as possible. McFarlane Would you care to give me any specific examples? Sinding Of great hires? McFarlane Yeah. Sinding Well, Sara Seims was a great hire. McFarlane And you knew that from the beginning? Sinding From before the beginning. Actually, Sara proved—many of my hires have proved to be even better than I expected when I hired them, but I knew Sara was going to be a star. I knew that hiring Lyn Thomas here was the right thing. She was just exactly the right complement to me. Her strengths are my weaknesses, and my strengths are her weaknesses. And now more recently Valerie de Fillipo who‟s come on as the head of our external affairs function is, I think, a really good hire. But there have been a lot of others along the line, David Oot, who I hired about three different times in USAID. McFarlane Did you know that after five minutes, ten minutes? Sinding David came to Pakistan as an IDI, an international development intern, an entry level new professional at AID, and he was assigned initially to me, and I knew in the first ten minutes that this guy was just going to be a star, that he had this wonderful combination of what you call sort of the social science turn of mind. He was trained more in public health, actually, than in social Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 19 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 20 of 107 science, but he thought like a social scientist, that and just a wonderful way with people of all different cultures. It was just amazing to see how he related to the Pakistanis within the first two weeks he was there and colleagues and so on. I knew this guy was substantively very, very strong, inquisitive, open-minded, and a wonderful personality. I just knew he was going to go to the top, and he did. He retired from AID as the director of the office of health. He now runs international health programs at Save the Children, and that was a guy I just knew from the very beginning was going to be a great person. McFarlane So, coming into a job like that you have a lot of confidence in your ability. Sinding Now I do. I didn‟t—something that develops with time. McFarlane And if we‟re going to have a record for the future, do you have any advice to people doing that, in managing reproductive health programs or management in general? Sinding Yeah, I think that the things that I would suggest have to do with management in general, not reproductive health programs particularly. There are a few things that I guess—little—I don‟t know. There‟s a word for them that I‟m not finding but just lessons of life. One is that doctors, generally speaking, make poor managers. They‟re not trained to be managers. They‟re trained in fact, to take responsibility and not to delegate it, and it‟s very hard for many doctors to overcome that. I have known some doctors who were great managers, but generally speaking, they‟re not particularly good. So one kind of rule is be very, very careful before you hire a doctor for a managerial position. Another thing is that somebody who is at ease with himself or Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 20 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 21 of 107 herself, who naturally interacts well, who is gregarious, is likely to be a better manager than people who are loners or introverts, that I think to be a good manager you have to have a natural interest in people and how they work and that it‟s important in hiring people to mid-level or senior-management positions to identify people who genuinely enjoy being with people and who like human interactions. McFarlane How can you tell that during an interview? Sinding It‟s hard, but openness and ease of communication does come through in a two-hour interview. You can tell—I often think I can tell—a person who likes people and who is inquisitive and open-minded in a two-hour interview from somebody who‟s sort of come in tense and with a script and determined to convince you of how right he or she is for the job. McFarlane So, you‟re talking about fairly extensive interviewing. You‟re not talking about ten minutes and make up your mind. Sinding No, you don‟t hire on that basis. I also think checkouts are really important. I learned that from Peter Goldmark [Jr.] who was the president of the Rockefeller Foundation who recruited me, and when I learned what Peter had done before he made a decision to hire me I was just astounded. McFarlane What had he done? Sinding Well, he‟d called about eighteen people, at least eighteen people, and grilled them up to an hour and a half on the telephone about me, asking them really difficult questions like, If Steve is going to make a mistake, what is the worse mistake you can imagine him making? What is the mistake he‟s most likely to make? Tough, very difficult things for people to answer, and I learned after I Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 21 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 22 of 107 joined the foundation that Peter did this for all of the key hires that he did. And I learned one doesn‟t have to go to quite the extent that Goldmark did but how important it is to follow up on people‟s references and then to go one step beyond that until you find somebody who doesn‟t necessarily have only good things to say about the candidate. But checking references is really important and, in fact, probably more important in many cases than the interview itself. You can learn a lot about people by what other people have to say about them rather than how they present themselves. McFarlane And especially if you listen? I read that in your oral history, too, the importance of managers listening. Sinding A manager who is listening, yeah. Well, I guess in the oral history I talked a lot about something that I haven‟t done here nearly as much as I would have liked. I think of myself less as a manager here than as a leader. It‟s a very different kind of role from the ones I‟ve had before, and every other job I‟ve had I really was a manager. My job was to take a program that was pretty well established, not in the Rockefeller case but certainly in all the AID jobs I had, and to help motivate the people who had responsibilities for different parts of the program to do their jobs well. But it was largely people management and to some degree intellectual leadership, but it was as much people management as anything. At Rockefeller it started with intellectual management and then became people management. I first had to create a vision for the program and then get the people to do it. But at IPPF I basically hired the people manager, my deputy, and my job is not to supervise the staff so much as to go out and get the resources and represent Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 22 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 23 of 107 the institution. It‟s a different kind of role. I don‟t think of myself as a manager in the same way in this place. What I was starting to say is that in the AID job, in the Rockefeller job, in all of the other management jobs I‟ve had, I tried very hard to create environments—I learned this from Joe Wheeler, what he called the mini caucus, where the people who were reporting to me had an opportunity on a regular basis to have an exchange in which they set the agenda and which my job basically was to listen, to react, to learn from what they were doing. I can‟t do that here. I don‟t have the time for it and I have to depend upon Lyn to do that and I regret it. I think it‟s one of my strengths as a manager, and I‟m sorry that I don‟t have the time to spend more time with individual managers and staff, helping to develop the programs. McFarlane So, in an average month, what do you do here? Sinding Well, in an average month, I‟m only here half the time, at most. Lyn would tell you less than that. Certainly in the first two months of this year I‟ve been here less than half the time. So, let‟s talk about the time I‟m not here first, what I do when I‟m not here. I visit members. In the last two months, I visited Ethiopia. Next month I‟m going to be going to Tunisia and Morocco and Germany. I have met with the donors in New York—some of the donors, the foundations. I‟ve been deeply involved in meetings planning an international conference that we‟re having in London in September. McFarlane The Roundtable? Sinding The Roundtable that I basically stimulated. I‟ve spoken at the European Population Conference in Geneva. I‟ve met with Tim Wirth about funding Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 23 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 24 of 107 for the Roundtable. I‟ve had meetings with the British government to talk about increased funding for IPPF. McFarlane And they have provided— Sinding They have very substantially increased this year by a third. I went to a meeting of the European Union and the ACP countries, the African, Caribbean, Pacific Islands countries, to which the European Union provides aid on their framework agreement for the next five years, in Addis [Ababa, Ethiopia]. I‟ve done a tremendous amount of that kind of traveling: speaking, lectures, meetings. There was a meeting at Bellagio on the Roundtable. So, that‟s the half of the time I haven‟t been here. When I am here, I guess my time is divided between—we had one major staff meeting while I was here. I try on a quarterly basis to meet with all of the staff McFarlane Together? Sinding Together, yeah. We do it after every governing council meeting, and then we try to do it twice in between the governing council meetings. I‟ll be meeting next week or later this week with all of the managers. There are regular meetings here in which people come in from the field for various things, which I participate in as much as possible. There have been a lot of meetings over the—I preside over meetings of the senior management team, which is the senior managers here, three of them, plus the six regional directors. I meet with people who just want to meet with me. The Clinton Foundation is over at my office now talking about what we might do together on getting anti-retroviral drugs into some of our national programs. I do some press, radio interviews. (pause in recording) Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 24 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 25 of 107 So, you‟re describing your function—are you having—is this something— are you enjoying this? Sinding Yeah, I‟m really having fun. I‟m having a great time. I love living in London. It‟s a very nice change after New York, and I‟m just so pleasantly surprised at how much easier the challenges in this job prove to be than I anticipated they might be. Also, the worst is over. Absolutely the worst part of this was letting people go. McFarlane Coming in and letting them go. Sinding I knew that if I was going to make significant changes in staffing it had to be done quickly. McFarlane You knew that from— Sinding I knew that before I got here. I didn‟t know specifically who, although in a couple of cases I did. So, I knew that I‟d have to make relatively quick judgments about who were the more effective and the less effective people or where the real trouble spots were, where the real problem areas were, and I needed to take enough time to make good judgments about that but act swiftly enough so that I didn‟t become so attached to people or get so far down the road that it became emotionally impossible. So, it was very difficult. McFarlane Is this a new experience for you? Sinding Yeah, it is. I‟ve had to fire people periodically but never do a wholesale reorganization. I‟ve been actually extremely lucky throughout my career. In the three big management jobs that I had before this one: Office of Population, Kenya Mission, and Rockefeller Foundation—in the first two Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 25 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 26 of 107 cases, I inherited really good programs and really good staff, and my job was to try to change things at the margins. In the case of the Office of Population, there was the special issue of the assault of the Reagan Administration and the solidarity that that external threat created but then trying to mold the energy in constructive and positive ways and also to try to change some of the things that I thought were most wrong with the Ravenholt approach. But fundamentally, I thought the Office of Population program was a great program, and it was a great group of people, and there wasn‟t a whole lot of restructuring or restaffing that needed to be done—in fact, very little. Same thing was true at the Kenya Mission. I took over a fundamentally really sound strategy that had been developed by my predecessor, and my job was to try to do the best job I could in implementing it and getting good people as needed. But in the AID system, there‟s this rotation. There is a natural rotating in and out, so you don‟t— accept in egregious cases, you don‟t have to fire people. You just let them get to the end of their tour and then get somebody better. And then at Rockefeller, I started with a tabula rasa. Shelly Segal had left sometime before I got there. His program had wound down, and it was a matter of building a new population sciences strategy and hiring the people, so I was hiring more or less from scratch. So, this is the first time I‟ve come into a really troubled organization where part of the trouble was the people. McFarlane They‟d been here too long? They weren‟t— Sinding Some had been here too long. I cannot overstate the incompetence of my predecessor as a manager. She made every mistake, every basic mistake you Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 26 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 27 of 107 could make, from getting rid of strong people and promoting weak people— Tape 1 ends; tape 2, side 1, begins. Sinding No, they know that‟s how I feel anyway. She was a really nice woman, and I like her personally, and I still have a nice relationship with her. But she had no vision, she had no background for the job, she had never worked in reproductive health, she had never been a manager before, and she was weak. She didn‟t stand up to the volunteers. She let them run, and so she made all kinds of decisions that were sort of satisfying decisions—getting rid of a problem in the short term, only to create a bigger problem in the longer term. McFarlane So, political within the organizational context. Sinding Yeah, political without any grounding principles or core values. She had no guidance system. She just sort of followed the course of least resistance, and it led the institution into the quagmire. It was this unbelievable quagmire. Everybody hated everybody else. I went to the first meeting of the senior management team. I went to two of them, actually, before I took over. The one thing I have to say for Ingar [Brueggemann] was that she was enormously gracious toward me in the way in which she facilitated the turnover, including inviting me to attend the two senior management team meetings before I joined the organization, and I‟ve never seen such a dysfunctional family in my life. McFarlane You knew that right away. Sinding These were ten people sitting around the table who couldn‟t stand being with one another, and, I mean, every interaction was a hostile, aggressive Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 27 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 28 of 107 interaction. There was no team at all. McFarlane Sounds like a faculty meeting. (laughs) Sinding Yeah, it‟s a lot like a faculty meeting. It was a lot like a program review at the Rockefeller Foundation, people trying to one up one another and everybody just absolutely detesting and condescending to the director general. It was just an awful situation. So, in a sense, I had a really easy act to follow. McFarlane And you knew what you were getting into. Sinding And I knew very well. By the time I got here, I knew exactly what I was getting into because I had—my appointment was more or less confirmed in the fall of 2001, so I had almost a year. I had eleven months to get ready, and in those eleven months I learned a lot about how the place worked and what was going on. A lot of people approached me and wanted to talk about IPPF, and so it wasn‟t hard. McFarlane In a sense, this is a good time to make your mark with the Bush Administration. Sinding Yeah, well, they‟re an easy target, too. They‟re so dead wrong and so outrageous in the eyes of the rest of the world in what they stand for that it‟s not difficult to get people‟s attention simply by pointing out the reasons that the Bush approach makes no sense. Also, Bush is himself so transparently cynical in the way he‟s handling this whole thing. To be aggressively pursuing one policy internationally that is at complete odds with domestic policy makes him look as if he‟s pandering to the right wing, which he is. If he really believed this stuff, he would be much more actively pursuing the overturning of Roe v. Wade or a constitutional amendment in the United Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 28 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 29 of 107 States, actions at the state and local level to undo Roe v. Wade, and I don‟t think he‟s doing any of that. McFarlane You don‟t think he‟s being as aggressive as he could be on the domestic setting. Sinding Not nearly because I think he knows he can‟t win. McFarlane Even with his judicial appointments. Sinding Well, he may in the long run be able to do it with judicial appointments in the second term. He almost certainly will be able to name two or perhaps three Supreme Court justices, and he may be able to get a court that would overturn Roe v. Wade, but I think the Reagan Administration, and his father‟s administration, and he all understand that politically they can‟t win this issue domestically. And so, they‟ve thrown the international bone to the right wing extremists, and it‟s the most cynical kind of political calculation because I don‟t think it‟s based on any issue or principle. I give W perhaps more credit than I do either his father or Reagan in that respect. I think Reagan as governor of California signed an abortion liberalization law, and Bush‟s father was actively pro-choice through most of his career until the Republican party shifted and he shifted with it. W, as a born-again Christian and really fundamentally much more conservative, I think, than either Reagan or his father, may actually believe this stuff. He may be personally opposed to abortion, although I doubt it. McFarlane Is that what‟s driving you? You could be—I guess that‟s one question that I have about the previous oral history and some of the other people we talked to. People will tell you what‟s driving them in this area. Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 29 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 30 of 107 Yeah, it probably is what‟s driving me at this point because, to be perfectly honest about it, what motivated me through the first thirty years of my career was concern about overpopulation and population growth. I didn‟t make my career as a reproductive health champion, and it was difficult for me to adjust to the shift that occurred at the time of Cairo. I thought that it was far too abrupt, and I still think that it would have been far better had we been able to find the common ground between the demographic and the reproductive health rationales for action in this field than to have so categorically shifted from one to the other. And at the point that I left the Rockefeller Foundation and went to Columbia, I really felt in a way as if I was leaving the field, and most of my— McFarlane Leaving the population field? Sinding Yeah, most of my—I taught a course in population at Columbia, but I taught three courses on international development, and the book that I wrote while I was at Columbia was on restructuring foreign aid. It wasn‟t on population, and my own interest, really, has shifted very substantially from population/reproductive health to a broader set of concerns about how development aid is administered. And I had no expectation that I would come back to the field in part because I felt that a, the problem which I had committed most of my career to was well on the way to being resolved, and b, that to the extent that the field had shifted to a focus on women‟s health I had nothing particular to contribute. I felt I had made contributions in sort of helping to bring the field from the conflict between the Ravenholt view and the development view to some middle point or reconciliation of the two Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 30 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 31 of 107 different points of view. I felt that I tried very hard in the context of the Cairo conference to do exactly the same thing: to find a reconciliation between the point of view of the women‟s health advocates and the population advocates by articulating the message that if you meet the reproductive health needs of individuals, the population issue more or less takes care of itself. That was the article that I did with Allan Rosenfield and John Ross that was first published in International Perspectives, but, in fact, while that position—(pause in recording). A lot of the politicians who attended the Cairo meeting—(pause in recording). A lot of the people at the political level who attended the Cairo conference were persuaded and, in fact, were vastly relieved that there was an argument that brought the two different views into some degree of reconciliation, maybe a high degree of reconciliation. I felt that the Cairo conference itself was subsequently characterized as a defeat for those concerned about population issues and of victory for—(pause in recording). So, I was basically— McFarlane Oh, I knew what—okay. Sinding I was basically ready to declare my years as a population and family planning professional over, and I was into my academic role and sort of thinking about what I would do after the AID book was finished when this thing came along. And what inspired me to come back, I think, was a desire to use the bully pulpit of the IPPF job to take on the Bush Administration to try to maintain as much as I possibly could, the momentum that I felt we had coming out of Cairo. It‟s funny. In a way, I felt the Cairo conference sounded the death knell for the population movement, but it inspired a new Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 31 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 32 of 107 generation of activists on women‟s health that I thought was under assault and attacked by the Bush Administration, and to be able to do something to sustain that movement was enough of an inspiration to come back into the field. But what started all of this was your question about what keeps me going, and I have to say that the challenge of making IPPF relevant again is time bound. I‟ll spend another two or three years at this but I either will have succeeded or failed and I‟ll come to a certain point where I‟ll make a decision about that and then I think I‟ll retire and do something else. McFarlane In your mind, what‟s the decision point? Sinding About two and a half years from now temporally. I think that—when I accepted the job, I told the search committee that I would take it for three years, not for five which is the standard term, because I wanted to come in, help turn the organization around, and identify and perhaps recruit my successor, but I thought that the head of IPPF actually ought to be somebody who more reflected the demographics of the clientele and the membership than I do. I thought a woman from the developing world should be the head of an institution that is as international and as focused on the problems of the developing world as this one and that I thought what IPPF needed was in fact turnaround shock treatment that I could administer but that was not necessarily the right thing for the long run. So, I‟ve done the shock treatment. Actually, what I‟ve been able to accomplish in the first eighteen months wildly exceeds my expectations. In some ways, I‟ve done in these eighteen months what I expected would take three years. I‟ve done the administrative reform. I‟ve done the new vision and will largely have put in Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 32 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 33 of 107 place the new resource allocation scheme. What has to follow, of course, is the much harder, longer-term job of capacity building, and that‟s not going to be done in the remaining year and a half of my contract. It takes a much longer-term commitment, and I‟m not prepared to stay around to see that whole job done. So, in a sense, I‟ve done what I said I would come here to do. I‟ve put in place the essential ingredients of a rejuvenation. Financially, the rejuvenation is under way, and I think it will continue. And so, when I talk about another two and a half years, it‟s basically the recognition that I at least have to get a start on the capacity building side of things, on the hard work of building up implementation power of the institution. McFarlane What do you mean by capacity building? Sinding I mean strengthening the planning and management and to some extent the evaluation skills of the associations that comprise IPPF‟s membership so that they make good use of the funds that we provide to them. McFarlane Do they know they need it? I mean how many of them? Sinding One hundred forty-eight at last count. McFarlane Do most of them know they need it? Sinding At some level they do. When I tell the volunteers that— McFarlane And the volunteers just are— Sinding The governing council and the—do you know how the governance system of IPPF works? McFarlane Not exactly. Sinding Well, every national family planning association has a board, and that board is typically comprised of the same kinds of people who are the board of Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 33 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 34 of 107 PPFA [Planned Parenthood Federation of America] in the United States. They are civic leaders. They are volunteers. They are people who do this because they feel this is an important thing for them to be doing with their non-professional lives. In some cases, it is their lives. They‟re retired or they‟re housewives. It‟s what they do and what they‟ve committed themselves to, but they all do it on a volunteer basis. Nobody in the governance structure is paid. They‟re all volunteers. McFarlane So, they‟re not the executive directors— Sinding They‟re not the executive directors. McFarlane —of the countries. Sinding They are the board. Now, those boards elect representatives to the regional councils, and the regional councils elect representatives to the governing council. There are six regional councils. Each elects five members to the governing council. So, the board of directors, the governing council of IPPF, is thirty people who have reached the pinnacle of volunteerdom. They‟ve paid their dues. They‟ve come up through the system from the national to the regional to the international level, and we call them the volunteers as well as call them the board. Generically, they are volunteers. McFarlane So, is this your first experience with the volunteer board? Sinding With the volunteer board, yeah. My first experience with any kind of a board was the Rockefeller Foundation board, and it was very much a professional board, a paid board and an independent board. What‟s so maddening about this board is that it‟s not independent. I have absolutely no say in its composition. It‟s very unusual for a CEO to have no input into the Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 34 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 35 of 107 composition of the board, particularly over time, but this board comes from the membership. In that sense, it‟s the first time I‟ve ever worked for a federation or worked in a federation, and federation politics are just completely different from any other kind of institutional politics, and a lot of these people are idiots. (laughter) They don‟t know anything. They‟re wellmeaning, I think, in most cases. A lot of times, they seem to be in it for the prestige and the international travel and the trips. They all feel at the governing council meetings as if they have to say something, which is too bad. And so, every question you sort of go around the table and you get thirty comments, and 80 percent of them are either repetitive of something that the person two people before has said or just completely drivel or incomprehensible. If you came and sat in one of our governing council meetings and recorded it, you would be appalled. You would really be appalled. McFarlane But you‟ve been through this before you came onboard? Sinding No, but I sort of knew what to expect. I knew that the hardest part of the job and the least rewarding part of the job would be the volunteer politics, and that‟s proved to be the case. It was inherent in the design of the institution that it could not be an efficient, grant-receiving operational institution, and it was actually a fundamental mistake on the part of the donors to ever assume that it could be. There was a secretary general four s.g.‟s back named Carl Wahren, who actually would be a wonderful guy for you to interview if you can. Carl was a real star at Swedish Sida, one of the heroes of the Bucharest population conference, who, in part as a Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 35 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 36 of 107 consequence of a very high-profile role that he played at Bucharest, was offered the secretary generalship of IPPF. He succeeded—I can‟t ever remember her first name—Henderson. McFarlane Julia? Sinding Julia Henderson. And Julia had been beloved by all and just the most wonderful, probably the most successful secretary general that IPPF had. But she had a personal tragedy and decided after five or six years that she was going to go back to the States, and Carl took over, and what he recognized was that the regions had much too much power, that the volunteers had much too much power, and he decided to centralize. He brought all of the regional officers into London. I think there were six then. He brought everybody into London and tried to turn IPPF from a volunteer-controlled association or federation into an efficiently-managed bureaucracy, bureaucratic institution, and it cost him his job. The volunteers got rid of him after one term because they just wouldn‟t have it. McFarlane Was it the regional offices that became— Sinding It was the regional directors, and it was the regional, but it was basically the volunteers who felt that the secretariat was trying to take over and usurp their authority and their power. And that may be what happens to me, except I‟ll leave before it gets to that point. McFarlane So, the secretary general, though, has to find money for all these people to travel, correct? Sinding All the money. They don‟t bring any money. That‟s what makes the thing so frustrating, that I spend my every waking hour and nights and weekends Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 36 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 37 of 107 fundraising to try to get money to support the country programs, and then the volunteers come and say, Now we want to fly business class, and, Yemen should get as much money as India, and that kind of stuff that life is too short to be paying a lot of time and attention to. McFarlane Have you been able to mobilize the volunteers to be useful politically? Sinding No, they‟re not high enough quality for that. That‟s the problem. I think in the early years of IPPF the people who were attracted to the movement were the most intelligent, progressive people in their societies in many cases because it was a new thing. It was like the people drawn to the environmental movement in recent years or to the landmines issue. Population has become an old issue, and reproductive health is not stimulating the same kind of feeling that population did, and so the volunteers who are now at the head of the national associations are basically timeservers. They are people who have gotten to the top simply because they‟ve been there forever. They‟re not the kinds of prominent leadership individuals that were the early volunteers, and I don‟t think IPPF will ever get back to a time when—to a situation where it attracts people of the caliber of the original volunteers because the issue just isn‟t compelling in the same way for young people today, the issues that IPPF deals with. To some degree, because of the Bush Administration, we‟re able to generate some interest and enthusiasm now, but basically it‟s a movement that‟s dying. It‟s in it‟s— McFarlane Is that a realization that you‟ve come to since you‟ve been here? Sinding No. It‟s part of the reason that I never expected to come here. When I left Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 37 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 38 of 107 Rockefeller and for several years before that, I had felt that the population movement was spent intellectually and politically, and I think we‟re running basically on momentum at this point. I think if it weren‟t for Bush, we‟d be much further along toward our ultimate demise than we are, at least in political terms, because I think that the combination of the success of the movement itself in reducing fertility around the world, the absolute preoccupation of most industrial countries with too low fertility, with belowreplacement fertility, the rise of HIV/AIDS as the crisis of the moment and the problem that is absorbing all of the new funding in health, has rendered what was the population movement that had sort of morphed into the women‟s health and reproductive health movement, very marginal. And without the macro case that the population crisis represented, there will never be the kind of political constituency for this movement that there was during its golden era. As a political scientist, you certainly know that generally politicians respond to crisis and to the need to act. They rarely act on the basis of something that‟s a nice thing to do. The population crisis was regarded as a political imperative. It had to be responded to at least by American politicians and many in the West. Nothing has replaced that rationale for investment in this field since Cairo, since the end of the population crisis. McFarlane When do you think it ended? Sinding The population crisis? McFarlane Yeah. Sinding Well, when it ended and when it was perceived to be over are two different Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 38 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 39 of 107 things. I think it would be perceived to be over starting in 1986 with the publication by the National Academy of Sciences of its volume of population growth. I think that knocked the pins out from under the intellectual case for investment in this field, at least in the United States, and the U.S. has always been far and away the global leader on this question. And then Ben Wattenberg and the Reagan ideologues followed with Nick Eberstadt and others arguing that there never really was a case for investing in reduced fertility, and if there ever was it had long since passed. And then came the realization of the demographic collapse in Europe and Japan and the recognition that fertility was dropping everywhere except Africa, and it just sort of all followed. But it started in ‟86 and gradually—and the Cairo conference, by shifting the focus from demographic pressure or population pressure to women‟s health more or less eliminated whatever political imperative there was for investment in this field. McFarlane Do you think rapid population growth is no longer an issue? Sinding I think it‟s an issue in a few places. I think it‟s still an issue in Africa. I think it‟s an issue in parts of South Asia, northern India, Pakistan. That‟s about it, and I think that the justification for investment is still— Tape 2, side 1 ends; side 2 begins. Sinding —capacity of the societies to invest in productive development activities. But I think actually the micro case, the poverty-reduction case, at this point is a much stronger case. I think actually the strongest argument for investing in family planning and reproductive health programs at this point outside the intrinsic benefits for the health of women is that it enables families to Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 39 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 40 of 107 increase the likelihood that they will escape poverty. There‟s very strong evidence that smaller families are far likelier to break out of the poverty cycle than large families and that given the focus on poverty reduction and the millennium development goals, that that‟s the hook that we need to attach the movement to, to retain any possibility of significant public resources. McFarlane So, do you sometimes find yourself wondering what you‟re doing here? Sinding If I were trying to build my career, if I were—I would be profoundly depressed about working in this field at this point, but I‟m not. I‟m trying to end my career with a sense of closure and accomplishment, and helping IPPF make the transition from a largely irrelevant institution to a still relevant institution in sort of the post-population explosion era is, to my mind, a respectable thing to be involved in. It‟s not nearly as exciting as trying to end the population explosion, what inspired me to come into the field in the first place, but it‟s a respectable thing to be associated with. If I were a young man starting my career, I wouldn‟t be working in this field. In fact, it isn‟t a field for men anymore. There are very few men in it. You look at who runs the organizations in what we now call the reproductive health or sexual reproductive health and rights field, and it‟s all women. And you look at the composition of the staffs of these organizations, and they‟re all women. It has become a women‟s movement and perhaps quite properly so, but it‟s no place for a young man to make his career, which is an interesting transformation because it was a field completely dominated by men when demography was the issue. McFarlane True, you can see that in this, in the project we‟re doing. We‟ve had a lot of Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 40 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 41 of 107 kind of different takes on what happened in Cairo. Sinding Well, mine‟s the right one. (laughter) McFarlane Is that something you want to discuss now— Sinding Sure. McFarlane —or would you rather—okay. Sinding No, we can talk about that. McFarlane What was your role there, and what did you observe? And were you involved in the prep coms [preparatory committees]? Sinding Yeah, I was very much involved in the prep coms. I was a member of the U.S. delegation, and I was also the population program director at the Rockefeller Foundation, which invested quite a lot of money in the preparatory process for Cairo in helping people from developing countries attend the prep coms and helping them to get on delegations and also in supporting a lot of research and in policy dialogue on the issues leading up to Cairo. So, yeah, I was very much a participant in the process as well as an observer of it. One of the ways in which I participated—my participation took its most active form in two ways. One was in trying to do this bridge building between the women‟s health position and the population position in the run up to Cairo. McFarlane So, you knew this was coming. Sinding Well, here‟s what happened. I finished up my AID career in Nairobi in 1990. I came back to the States, joined the World Bank, having been away from population for four years. As the mission director in Kenya, I was dealing with agriculture and health and macroeconomic policy dialogue and program Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 41 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 42 of 107 lending and all kinds of stuff. And, of course, I retained an active interest in population and paid a lot of attention to what we in AID were doing. Happened to be the time when fertility was falling dramatically in Kenya and so was a very interesting and exciting time to be there to try to understand why this was happening, but I was out of the movement. I was just focused on Kenya. I wasn‟t paying attention to what was happening internationally, politically, and intellectually to the movement. And what had happened during those four years was essentially the development of the feminist critique on population, Betsy Hartmann and Adrienne Germain and Joan Dunlop and those who basically argued—Judith Bruce—that population policies implemented through family planning programs, a, were too narrow. This is basically the anti-Ravenholt critique, and b, encouraged governments to implement coercive policies that at best were disrespectful of women‟s health needs and at worst were actually coercive. McFarlane What do you think of that? Sinding I think it was a vast overstatement. I think that one could take the India case and the China case and universalize them when in fact that was completely inappropriate. There certainly were cases, particularly in Asia, where governments paid a lot more attention to how many IUDs were inserted than to whether women‟s health actually improved. Reducing population growth was the priority. Women were the instrument through which that was accomplished, and there‟s no question that had the focus been on women‟s health rather than a reduce in population growth, programs would have looked different and women would have liked them more. But to say Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 42 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 43 of 107 that they were therefore useless and coercive and disrespectful of women I think was really deeply insulting to women who were motivated to use those services because they thought it was good for them and because it helped them in their lives. And I think Western feminists, by focusing on the motives of the population community, completely miss the point of whether these services—and they were for the most part services. They weren‟t coercive programs—were something that women wanted and appreciated. I knew from the years I spent in the field that there were thousands and thousands of satisfied, appreciative clients of these services. The vast majority of women who were using them were using them because they really thought it was good for them. So, yes, I think that there was a mischaracterization, and I came back to the States and I was asked—I went to the World Bank and I was asked by the World Bank to prepare a policy paper, a new World Bank policy on population. And I wrote that paper from the assumption that reducing population growth was a good thing and that the Bank had an interest in doing so, and I was just flabbergasted by the reaction that I got. What happened is that feminists in the Bank took this document and sent it all over the country by—E-mail was just coming in, and instantaneously this paper was in New York and all over the place and creating a furor. Here‟s the bad old demographic rationale coming back in to the World Bank. McFarlane Ironically from somebody who had challenged Ravenholt. Sinding Ironically from somebody who had challenged Ravenholt, right. And I was not arguing that what the World Bank ought to do is drop condoms and pills Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 43 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 44 of 107 from helicopters. I was arguing for a somewhat more sophisticated approach than that, but I was arguing that reducing population growth was still a valid development objective and that the Bank had a role to play in both financing programs and policy dialogue in that area, and that assumption was just roundly attacked. Larry Summers also attacked the paper on the assumption that reducing population growth was conducive to development, so I had a double whammy. I had the feminists after me, and I had Larry Summers who was then the chief economist after me. Larry Summers hired Lant Pritchett to contradict my paper in the famous article that set off that great debate in the PDR [Population and Development Review], that the reason Lant wrote that article was because Larry was so upset by the argument I was making in my paper that reducing population growth was an important element in promoting economic development. There‟s a whole other tangent we can follow on that, leading to the book that I did with Nancy Birdsall and Allan Kelley on Population Matters, which was the continuing outgrowth of that whole thing that actually was inspired by a conservation with Nafis Sadik who said to me, “We made a terrible mistake in Cairo in letting population drop off the agenda.” (chuckles) But I‟ll come back to that. So, we‟re talking about my role in Cairo and how I got there. So, the World Bank experience really sobered me, and then I went to the Rockefeller Foundation after a year at the Bank, and I didn‟t leave the Bank because I felt unloved. I left the Bank because David Hopper, who was a member of the board of trustees at the Rockefeller Foundation and a former senior vice president of the World Bank, advised me that I could do much more good Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 44 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 45 of 107 for the field from the vantage point of the Rockefeller Foundation than I could at the Bank, and I agreed with him and accepted that advice. And so, it was actually with great reluctance that after only a year at the Bank I resigned the position and went to Rockefeller, but Hopper was right. The ability to move things from a foundation standpoint is much greater than the kind of position I had at the Bank and Fred Sai also had at the Bank where you have no money and no staff, and you can‟t do anything without money and staff in the World Bank. All you are is an advocate, and you may or may not be able to change people‟s minds, but in any case it‟s a long-term proposition. So, I went to Rockefeller, and one of the first things that happened at Rockefeller was that there was a conference at the Ford Foundation on family planning and women‟s health, and it turned out to be a convocation of all of the feminists who were actively critiquing population policies. So, Nahid Toubia was there, who became the head of Rainbow/Amanitare which is a feminist health organization based here in London now, a Sudanese physician. I remember her particularly vitriolic attack on AID. And Judith Bruce and Bella Abzug, and it was the whole panoply of—Betsy Hartmann—and I sat there with my mouth hanging open. It was sort of like in the four years that I had been away from the field, the world had changed, and I hadn‟t seen it. I was sort of vaguely aware of it. I knew that Betsy Hartmann had written her book, but I wasn‟t aware of the extent to which the intellectual atmosphere in the United States had shifted and the extent to which the attack on family planning was real and—family planning in the context of population policies. So, that was the backdrop to my participation Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 45 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 46 of 107 of Cairo. I was deeply troubled by the feminist critique. I thought it was vastly overstated. On the other hand, I recognized that it was a political reality and that to try to fight it or to defeat it had a low probability to success. So, what I decided to do—and it sort of came to me in an epiphany. Pramilla Senanayake who was the head of technical programs here at IPPF in London was in charge of organizing the fortieth anniversary program of what was then called the members assembly. Every five years, I think, or three years, IPPF called together all of its members, so not only the governing council and the regional councils, but every family planning association was invited to send a certain number of representatives. McFarlane More than one? Sinding Well, maybe only one. I don‟t know, but these were huge things. There were hundreds and hundreds, so there probably was more than one. This one was in New Delhi in I think November 1992. And Pram called me up and said, “Would the Rockefeller Foundation be willing to provide some funding to help sponsor this thing?” And I got right back to her, and I can‟t believe my chutzpah. I said, “Yeah, we‟ll do it, but I want a place on the opening panel.” McFarlane (laughs) You said that? Sinding “I want a speaking role.” Yeah, I said that. I‟d never done that before, but I said, “We‟ll provide the money, but I want a place on the program.” Having done that and I then decided I‟d better have something to say, and I‟d been thinking about this issue a lot. I had an intern—what we called a Warren Weaver fellow at Rockefeller—named Mary Nell Wegner. Mary Nell, she‟s acknowledged in the article. And I asked her to take a look at the population Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 46 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 47 of 107 policies of countries which had explicit demographic objectives and then to compare the demographic objective with what would be the demographic outcome of meeting all of the unmet need for contraception as measured by the DHS [demographic and health surveys] in those countries. So, it had to be countries which had demographic policies and which had DHSs which had permitted the measurement of unmet need. And my assumption was that if you could show that satisfying unmet need would produce a higher contraceptive prevalence rate than the demographic targets countries had set for themselves, that you could make the case that we should drop demographic targets, which, of course, was one of the major objections of feminists to population policy. McFarlane Do the feminists just see the issue of demographic targets as coercion? Sinding Yes, they felt, and not without legitimacy, that when demographic targets were translated into fieldworker quotas, they produced bad outcomes for women. McFarlane So, that was the link. Sinding That was the link, and in many countries that‟s exactly what happened. India and all of the subcontinent was a classic case that fieldworkers were expected to produce a certain number of new acceptors or continuing acceptors or IUD insertions or something per month in order to retain their jobs. And, in fact, the Indonesian program operated largely along those lines, although I think without really high degrees of what we would call coercion. A lot of the definition of coercion, of course, is culturally relative, too, and the Indonesian program has always been a controversial one as to whether what Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 47 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 48 of 107 it did was coercive or not. But India, Indonesia, Bangladesh, China are the countries where I think one could argue that fieldworker quotas translated directly into behaviors that at best were disrespectful of women‟s health and women‟s health needs. McFarlane How about Thailand? Sinding No, I think the Thai program was always much more demand driven, and Thailand is just different from every place else, the way they took care of AIDS is also different from every place else. I don‟t know what it is about Thai culture, but there is something about Thai culture that just makes it exceptional. I don‟t think the Thai program was ever in the least bit coercive, but I think it was a very high quality program. McFarlane But the other ones you‟ve mentioned, you think there might have been some— Sinding India under the emergency and China were explicitly coercive. There is no debate about that. Bangladesh, by offering fairly substantial incentives for sterilization acceptors, could certainly be interpreted as coercive because— McFarlane But that‟s debatable. Sinding Yeah, I think it‟s debatable. The payments were sufficiently large that one could argue that poor women could not afford to forego them, and in Indonesia the pressures that communities put on individuals to conform with the family planning objectives were quite substantial. A village headman going around ringing a bell at six o‟clock saying, “It‟s time to take your pill,” or putting symbols on houses that showed the type of contraception that was being used by the inhabitants could be interpreted as fairly coercive. Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 48 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 49 of 107 Others have argued that that‟s consistent with Javanese culture and there‟s nothing coercive about it, and so you can argue that one and the Bangladesh one, I think, either way. If it was coercive, it was soft coercion. It certainly wasn‟t hard coercion in the way that India and China were. But the implementation of population policies through family planning programs that were ethically questionable was a legitimate but vastly overstated target of the basically feminist critics. McFarlane Were most of the feminist critics American? Sinding No, I think much of the leadership was American, but there was a lot of support in Latin America, some in the Philippines, in India. There were nodes—and in Europe, Dutch and Swedish activists in particular, but the Europeans at the political level largely supported the position of the feminists in the United States, long before the U.S. government would acknowledge in any way that there was any substance to the feminist critique. The Europeans were deeply uncomfortable with family planning all along. They didn‟t like the fact that—European aid was always much more inclined to be responsive to the demands from the developing countries rather than like the American is sort of Congress or the administration kind of dictates what the objectives and the purposes of aid are, and then the administration goes out and tries to do it in developing countries. The priorities are all established in Congress and in the administration in the USAID case. In the European case, at least they tried to follow the rule that they were influenced by demand. And because demand for family planning wasn‟t very strong for most countries, certainly outside of East Asia, Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 49 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 50 of 107 Europeans were always sort of uncomfortable. And when critiques came along about coercion, they were inclined to accept and believe those, so the Europeans were feeling very uncomfortable going into Cairo. And also, interestingly, population was always an ideological issue in Europe with the left arguing that it was taking the Marxian view, that it was a symptom, not a cause, and the right basically taking the Malthusian view that it was a great threat to development and security. And it was very much a left-right issue, the socialists basically not liking population and the conservatives—and Europe happened to be very much under the influence of socialist governments at the time of the Cairo meeting. McFarlane And you would characterize that as most of Western Europe Sinding All of Western Europe. I can‟t think of a single exception. It was not a deeply divisive ideological issue. There was a range of—there was more consensus than dissensus on the issue, but to the extent that there was division it tended to be along those lines. A minister of international development in a socialist government in Holland who happened to think that population growth was a really serious problem didn‟t have a lot of opposition to investing Dutch aid in population programs. It wasn‟t that deeply ideological like it is in the States now, but it was interesting. And if you think about the history of the population movement in the States, it was largely the conservative Republicans concerned about national security issues who drove the investments in family planning and population starting with Draper and including George Bush and the people who supported these programs. It wasn‟t until the religious right joined the Republican coalition Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 50 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 51 of 107 and forced a division on the issue that this became a disreputable thing from the standpoint of the ideological right in the States. Where was I? So, I‟m still getting up to Cairo. So, I did this article—and the response to it. I gave it as a speech at the— McFarlane In New Delhi? Sinding Mary Nell. Mary Nell Wegner was her name. Mary Nell did the analysis. The analysis showed that in the vast majority of the countries which met the criteria of DHS‟s and population policies, meeting unmet need would create much higher contraceptive prevalence rates than the targets that the countries had set. And so, I was able in effect in the speech to say, “Let‟s forget about demographic targets. Let‟s just do away with them. We‟ll achieve the same objectives from a demographic standpoint by satisfying individual need, and it‟s politically a much more acceptable way to approach programs.” Well, the Europeans loved this. It was exactly what the moderates in the foreign ministries and the development ministries in Europe were looking for to solve their problem because they were sympathetic with the feminist critique. They were uncomfortable with pushing family planning, but if it was responding to unmet need and this was a real thing that was measurable, that was a solution. And so, I thought that my great contribution to the Cairo conference, actually, was this common ground. But the feminists rejected it as being a Trojan Horse, a wolf in sheep‟s clothing, Steve Sinding, the demographer, sort of finding a cute political trick to continue to push the demographic agenda, and they rejected it. Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 51 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 52 of 107 McFarlane Even though you‟re saying we don‟t need them. Sinding Even though I was saying we didn‟t need them, and so that was that side of my participation, and that paper got a lot of play. It got sent all over Europe even before it got published, and it became really the centerpiece of the policy position that the Dutch, the Norwegian, the Danish, the British, and the German governments took at Cairo, and it enabled them to find the common ground they were seeking. On the U.S. delegation, I had a much tougher time because there I was right up against Adrienne Germain, who was— McFarlane How many people were on the delegation? Sinding Well, it kept growing. At the point of the—I guess the delegation really came together at the second prep com, and at that point we were probably, oh, fifteen. McFarlane And how were people selected? Sinding Well, Tim Wirth and his office selected them, and it was kind of a Delphitechnique approach, sort of a reputational thing. Call people you know. Ask them to suggest people you know. Get a list together, and then try to draw—it was very much a politician‟s approach of a very broad tent getting as many different perspectives and interests represented as possible. So, Bella Abzug was on it at one end of the spectrum, and I suppose I was the other end of the spectrum. I don‟t know. There were several environmentalists on it who never felt comfortable because environmentalists‟ interest in population always was we really need to have less of it so that the environment will get better, and feminists rejected them Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 52 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 53 of 107 totally out of hand as advocating an approach that was surely going to lead to a revival of coercive policies. Any macro case for investing in population/family planning was rejected by the feminist critics as being proto-coercive, and that made it very difficult to have a dialogue. Tim Wirth ran the delegation up to the Cairo conference and in effect through the Cairo conference, although Al Gore was actually the chair of the delegation at Cairo. But Gore flew in the night before the conference started and flew out three days later or something like that, and Wirth was the one who really stewarded the process. And Wirth was very skillful politically, but in the end I think that he was essentially prepared— Tape 2 ends; tape 3, side 1, begins. Sinding —of a consensus. But that sort of leads me to the observation by Nafis a couple of years later that gave rise to this book with Nancy Birdsall. I think that people were—the Cairo conference had the outcome it did because the UN had fundamentally lost control of the political process by the time of Cairo and totally by the time of Beijing in the sense that by letting the NGOs into the tent they increasingly marginalized the role of governments in these deliberations. The UN conferences of the nineties increasingly became dialogues between governments and NGOs, and which NGOs happened to be in the tent at the time of the dialogue largely determined the outcome. And the Ford Foundation and the MacArthur Foundation and a few other institutions: the Swedish government, the Danish government, lavishly financed the participation of feminist activists in Cairo. They got on delegations; they packed the forum; they lobbied incessantly; they were Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 53 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 54 of 107 incredibly well-organized and strategic in their approach. And the feminist ideology came to be the core set of values of the Cairo conference, and I think governments found themselves caught completely by surprise by that outcome, including, to some degree, Tim Wirth. And I know that Nafis was caught by surprise. (pause in recording) McFarlane This is March 16, day two of the Steven Sinding interview. We left off yesterday during a discussion of your perception of Cairo, and you made two major points that I saw. Any macro case for investing in population/family planning was rejected by the feminist critics as fundamentally coercive, and that the UN had fundamentally lost control of the political process by the time of Cairo and even more so in Beijing. Maybe you could explain a little more about losing control of the political process. Sinding Starting really with the environmental conference in Rio in ‟92, which was, as I recall, the first of the great series of global conferences of the nineties. The civil society began to demand access to the political process. As I recall in Rio—I wasn‟t there, but there was kind of an NGO forum that was created outside the official conference with a series of tents for different groups, different interests, and what came out of those tents was very concerted lobbying that carried over from the forum into the conference itself and played quite an important role in determining the outcome. This was very different from my recollection of the role of the NGOs at Mexico City or at Bucharest or in any of the UN conferences on global issues that preceded that series of conferences in the nineties, in the sense that the very strong or high barrier that had existed between governmental delegations, sitting and Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 54 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 55 of 107 negotiating language and civil society institutions or NGOs, began to crumble in the nineties. I think that the UN quite unwittingly by acceding to the demands of the NGOs increasingly through the nineties created an environment in which the NGOs themselves became very significant actors in the political process. I know that in many instances the NGOs—that the UN encouraged governments to put NGOs on their delegations. I know that in the Cairo process there was an explicit request from Nafis Sadik to governments to allow NGOs to participate in the national delegations, and some countries like Bangladesh came with very large delegations which were principally staffed with NGOs. There was a really important meeting, and I don‟t remember the date of it exactly, but I had a fairly significant role to play in it. The feminist establishment in women‟s health, which I would characterize as Joan Dunlop and Adrienne Germain and Carmen Barroso and José Barzelatto at the Ford Foundation, Frances Kissling, Sonia Correa, Sandra Kabir, a number of people who were global activists on the women‟s health agenda were quite concerned that as planning was going forward for the ICPD [International Conference on Population and Development], it looked as if Nafis was going to have an NGO forum that was somewhere quite separate both temporally and physically from the conference, that she was going to follow the model that had been true at Bucharest and at Mexico City of an NGO forum that was really quite separate, an event for the NGOs that was not connected organically to the conference or the substance of the conference itself. And I know that that group of people— not just women, as I say, Barzelatto and Steve Viederman, who was the Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 55 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 56 of 107 president of the Jessie Smith Noyes Foundation, he was very much a part of that group and that movement—were concerned about that. They wanted to put pressure on Nafis to create an environment in which the NGOs could much more actively participate with governments. And Carmen Barroso, who at the time was the population program director at the MacArthur Foundation, decided to convene a meeting to which Nafis would be invited at which this group would make a representation to her to think about the ICPD in a very different way from the way conferences before that had been managed. Jyoti Sing, who was Nafis‟ principal advisor and the sort of executive director of the ICPD itself and in many ways the guy who made it work operationally. Jyoti was very much a traditionalist and very much opposed to the idea of active NGO participation. He was a UN traditionalist who thought that UN conferences were about governments sitting down and negotiating language and that the NGOs should not be a significant part of that, but Nafis listened to the argument around the table. The reason I played a significant role is that I think I was responsible for getting her there. I don‟t think she would have gone if I hadn‟t encouraged her to go. McFarlane She would have ignored them? Sinding Yeah, or she would have sent Jyoti, or she would have found a way not to have that meeting, but I think I persuaded her that it was a good thing to do and that they were worth listening to. And I know that she trusted me and she didn‟t trust most of the rest of them, so I think that‟s why it happened. Anyway— McFarlane Did you go? Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 56 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 57 of 107 Yeah, I was there, and it was a very interesting and a very good meeting. Basically, what the group said is there is a very important voice that has developed in the decade between Mexico City and Cairo that you need to hear and that needs to be heard in the debate, and if the NGOs are not present and are not part of it that voice will be drowned out by the traditional concerns of governments. And Nafis was and is a sufficient feminist that she was moved by that. I think she in essence overrode the advice that she was getting from Jyoti and others, and she decided at that meeting or very shortly thereafter to open up the process. And it was not long after that that she wrote the letters of the governments, encouraging them to have NGOs on the delegations, and at both prep com two and pre com three that‟s what happened. I guess there was a fourth prep-com, too. My memory is vague. I think there was a final, kind of procedural, prep com, but the big one was the third. That‟s where the major structure of the conference was agreed to and the principal content. The fourth one, I think, was largely ironing out some wrinkles. Most of those wrinkles were important. They had to do with all the bracketed language, which, as you know, was very substantial coming out on the third prep com, but it was prep com three, which I think was in April of ‟94, that was the critical one. And I remember very clearly that it was really heavily influenced by the women‟s caucus, and the women‟s groups met every morning in Conference Room D or 3 or something like that in the bowels of the secretariat building and conspired. They basically sat together and said, This is the language that‟s coming up today. What do we want to have in it? And they then Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 57 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 58 of 107 agreed on language, and they fanned out through the delegations and lobbied really hard. And through the U.S. delegations and the European delegations principally with selected delegations from the G-77, from the developing countries, they got the language. The most powerful voices, as I recall, in addition to the United States, were Britain, the EU speaking as one, Sweden, which was speaking independently as I—I think I have that right. I‟m sort of trying to remember who the progressive voices—the voices that were carrying the feminist agenda were. From the developing world, India was—I think—South Africa. There were some others, but it was mainly the Western powers. McFarlane What do you think about this involvement of NGOs in UN policy-making? Sinding I don‟t look at it in normative terms. I basically look at it in historical terms. I think it was historically inevitable. It was reflective of what was happening to the world, what is happening to the world, but certainly what was happening in the nineties and opening up. It was consistent with the fall of the Iron Curtain, the collapse of communism, the tremendous outburst of enthusiasm for the role of private, voluntary, non-governmental institutions, the end of central planning and the triumph of laissez-faire capitalism is all consistent with this kind of opening out and the elimination of the monopoly that governments had on international politics. McFarlane So, do you foresee that NGOs are going to continue to have more and more of a voice? Sinding Well, I think this was a big breakthrough. I don‟t know that it‟s sort of a linear process. I suspect that there will henceforth be ebbs and flows. There Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 58 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 59 of 107 will be times when the NGOs have more authority. I think we‟re seeing a bit of a reaction against that flowering of NGO power in the nineties now. I think that one of the reasons that there is not much enthusiasm for big UN conferences is that governments are a little tired of being so strongly influenced by non-governmental institutions in this process, and so they decide one way to avoid the problem was to just not to create opportunities like these conferences for this to happen. I think that the strong reaction against the anti-globalization forces, the anti-G-7, -G-8 forces has also frightened governments, that the violence at Seattle and of that series of three or four meetings right around the turn of the millennium also made governments more chary about doing this sort of thing. But it‟ll come back, and I did say at the time that the NGO genie was out of the bottle. Once it was out and part of the process, there was no way putting it back in again. So, I do think that it was a breakout, that there‟s no going back to the prenineties system of sort of closed meetings of governments. I think the NGOs will forever—looking forward, the civil society will be playing a much more integral role in these kinds of global policy discussions than heretofore. McFarlane Well, during this meeting or during the process leading up to and in Cairo, reproductive health replaces family planning and population. Is that a fair characterization? Sinding Absolutely. McFarlane For you, reproductive health services versus family planning, are those just terms, or what do you think? Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 59 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 60 of 107 No. Reproductive health, there‟s a definition of reproductive health that‟s quite clearly written in the Cairo document that explains the difference between family planning as it was before and reproductive health afterward. Reproductive health, a, includes HIV/AIDS prevention and other STD [sexually-transmitted diseases] prevention and treatment programs. It includes emergency obstetrical care and safe labor and delivery services. I guess those are the main expansions of it. There was a lot of misunderstanding after Cairo, that reproductive health also meant women‟s empowerment, that it meant female education and literacy programs, that it meant gender equality and—which it doesn‟t. That‟s the development part of the population and development theme, but reproductive health means family planning plus STD, HIV/AIDS and safe obstetrical care and associated maternal and child health, women‟s health and child health, immunization programs and other primary care programs that impact directly on maternal mortality and infant-child mortality. McFarlane Did that change affect your programming at Rockefeller, or had it already gone in that direction? Sinding Well, it certainly affected the vocabulary. I mean, we had been talking—our population program strategy before Cairo was meeting unmet need for family planning and contraceptive services to complete the demographic transition. That was a very old-fashioned, pre-Cairo formulation. We changed that after Cairo. We talked about reproductive health services and programs. We talked about the benefits of such services for women‟s health and empowerment of lives and families‟ livelihoods rather than completing Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 60 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 61 of 107 the demographic transition. McFarlane So, it did change. Sinding So, yeah, we did change. It changed everybody‟s programs. McFarlane In fact or in speaking about them? Sinding No, I think in fact. You can‟t change the language that radically and not change the substance of programs. We did much more grant-making after Cairo that was supportive of the women‟s health agenda. It wasn‟t a radical or a sudden transformation, and I would argue that our program was largely supportive of Cairo, even if that formulation and language wasn‟t precisely supportive of Cairo. In substance, the program was supportive of the Cairo agenda before Cairo. In our contraceptive research and development area, for example, we had adopted very much the feminist agenda of womencontrolled methods, of male methods, of methods that will protect against STDs as well as against unwanted pregnancy. We had developed a very strong program focused on young people and services for youth, which was a major theme of Cairo. McFarlane Did that come from you, or was it coming from a number of corners? Sinding Within the Rockefeller program? We‟re talking about the Rockefeller program. McFarlane Yeah, but did you end up influencing Cairo with that priority, do you think? Sinding Not much, no. I think we were one among several organizations that had identified services for young people as a major priority and dealing with the reproductive health needs of the largest generation ever as a high priority, both from a demographic and from non-demographic perspectives, but lots Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 61 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 62 of 107 of organizations were on the youth wicket before Cairo and carried that through Cairo. Our particular focus was operations research. We were supporting some very interesting experimental programs and designs to see what actually worked in trying to get services and information to young people in terms of the reproductive behavior of youth. McFarlane What do you mean by operations research? Sinding Well, it‟s a term that has been corrupted, actually, by the—operations research had a very different meaning in its original definition. But what I mean is what the reproductive health community or the population community calls operations research, which is basically action research. It‟s— McFarlane See if it works? Sinding —program research. See if it works, yeah, but it is quasi-experimental in the sense that you use both experimental and control populations and you try to see the differences, and it‟s—there is some scientific method to it. It‟s not just demonstration projects and pilot activities. McFarlane But yet it has been used in a variety of ways. Sinding Right. McFarlane Now here at IPPF, the term sexual and reproductive health has been used. Where did the sexual get added on? Sinding Cairo Plus Five. That came in the Cairo Plus Five meeting. McFarlane Tell me about that. Sinding Well, I think it was—it has its origins, and I‟ve only been able to piece this together in recent years because it—I sort of—I was part of the U.S. Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 62 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 63 of 107 delegation for the Cairo Plus Five meeting, but my heart wasn‟t in it. I had just left Rockefeller. I was in the process of leaving Rockefeller, actually. It was ‟99. I left Rockefeller under very unhappy circumstances and was rather demoralized, and to be honest I hate these big international meetings (McFarlane laughs) and I hate the process. I hate the lobbying and the delegations meeting with each other and haggling over words, and I just—as much as Adriane Germaine absolutely thrives on and loves that stuff, I hate it. So, I just opted out. I went to the first, maybe the second prep com for Cairo Plus Five. I went to the Hague Forum, which I enjoyed. But when it came to the meeting itself in June ‟99, I was on my way out the door, and I just went through the motions. I wasn‟t part of it, and I wasn‟t really paying much attention to what was going on ideologically or philosophically or intellectually. But what was going on was, I think, two really important new areas of thought. One had to do with the connection between sexuality and AIDS, that you couldn‟t deal with AIDS if you didn‟t deal with sexual behavior. And there was, I think, a realization that for years family planning had dealt with population as if sex had nothing to do with it. McFarlane Take your pill. Sinding Yeah, just never talked about human sexuality. You can‟t talk about AIDS without talking about sexual behavior and in quite explicit terms. So, I think that‟s part of the reason that it happened. The other part of the reason, I think, was that communities that were not heterosexual wanted recognition. They wanted a recognition of the rights of homosexuals, and there is within the feminist movement a fairly large constituency of lesbians who wanted Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 63 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 64 of 107 through the discussion of sexuality a legitimization of non-conventional sexual relations. And so, I think those two factors played a big role. The same groups that had dominated Cairo dominated Cairo Plus Five, perhaps even more so, because governments really played much less active a role. Cairo Plus Five tended to be governments who were represented by their UN missions rather than by people coming from the capitals. So, the political actors were acting under instructions from headquarters rather than being actively participatory, and that inevitably gives the NGOs even more influence because they are the ones who actually know what they want and what they‟re talking about. So, in Cairo Plus Five, there was significant progress made. The whole sexual and reproductive health language was added, and rights became a much more significant part. So, it‟s not just sexual, but it‟s also rights. It went from reproductive health, RH, to SRHR, sexually and reproductive health and rights, and so you went from two to four. McFarlane What‟s the rights part other than recognizing gay and lesbian sex? Sinding Well, it‟s also—I think it‟s about the rights of young people to information and services. It‟s about asserting the right of all individuals to access to the information, a means to manage their reproductive health. McFarlane Where did that come from? The NGOs or as a group? Sinding Well, it came principally from the NGOs, and the human rights language came from the human rights wave that was building all through the nineties. I mean, it was a coalescing of several kind of global things that were happening. Can we take a break here for a second? Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 64 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 65 of 107 Sure. (pause in recording) I wanted to follow up on a comment that you mentioned yesterday by Nafis Sadik about Population Matters and we shouldn‟t have given that away at Cairo and ask you to explain that a little bit. Sinding Well, Nafis and I are old friends and good friends and have been colleagues since the seventies, and in the months and weeks after Cairo we would occasionally meet one place or another. And Nafis would frequently say to me little side comments about, “Yes, yes, Cairo was a great triumph. Yeah, it was a great consensus, but,” she said, “I worry that we let the reproductive health emphasis overwhelm the traditional concern with population.” And she was worried about that, and then there was a particular event. The Rockefeller Foundation got a new president, a guy named Gordon Conway, who it turned out subsequently, was the death knell of the population program at Rockefeller, but I didn‟t know it at the time. Very early in Conway‟s presidency, maybe the first month or so that he was in New York, I organized a meeting for him to meet three of the women for whom I had the highest regard in the population movement: Nafis, Maggie CatleyCarlson, who was the president of the population council at the time. By the way, is George Zeidenstein on your list? McFarlane No. Sinding He must be. You must talk to George Zeidenstein. McFarlane Okay. Tape 3, side 1 ends; side 2 begins. Sinding The other one was Nancy Birdsall, who at the time was, I think, the Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 65 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 66 of 107 executive vice president of the Inter-American Development Bank. Nancy had been the—she was the principal author of the World Bank‟s 1984 world development report on population, which was probably the seminal document in the field for a long time. Nancy was also a major figure, a major influence in the bank on various subjects and is now the president of the Center for Global Development in Washington, which is the successor, really, to the Overseas Development Council as the principal public interest group concerned with international development in the U.S. Anyway, these three women, to my mind, were the three most influential people outside of the feminist community in the field, and I thought it was important that Conway meet them. So I arranged this dinner in New York, and we all got together. And at that meeting, Nafis repeated for the whole group her concerns about—this must have been in mid-1997, maybe late 1997. She repeated her concerns about the oversight at Cairo, or the fact that she and others had not paid enough attention to the fact that population was disappearing from the agenda in the course of the conference and of the preparatory process of the conference and that it was too bad that population had sort of gotten lost, concerns about the macro issues and about global population growth. And she said, in particular, we haven‟t paid enough attention to the economists, who we lost in 1986 with the international academy report that I mentioned yesterday, and couldn‟t we do something about that? Well, I had become aware, was aware, of a growing revisionism in the thinking of economists about the relationship between population growth and economic development, that there was new literature Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 66 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 67 of 107 that was beginning to emerge from the likes of Allan Kelley and David Bloom, in particular, and Jeffery Williamson of Harvard, that was reexamining in a much more sophisticated way than it had ever been looked at before, the relationship between population growth and economic development. And Nancy was sitting there, and I said, “Maybe Rockefeller should sponsor a meeting which would bring together the leading thinkers in development economics who are concerned with population questions and see whether there‟s been a change in the state of the arts since ‟86.” And Nafis said, “That‟s a great idea. Let‟s work together on that.” So, we did, and in November „98, we held the Bellagio meeting, which brought together about twenty, I guess, of the leading development economists who were thinking about demographic economic relationships. And it was really quite amazing how strong a consensus there was among that group that in fact intellectually the world had changed, that development economics was looking at the relationship differently, or at least the people on the cutting edge of research on these questions were looking at the relationship quite differently, both with respect to the macro relationship—that is, does rapid population growth inhibit economic growth—and the micro relationship, does high fertility inhibit the capacity of families to escape poverty? Is there a relationship between high fertility and poverty? And at both levels, the results of the research that was presented at the meeting were quite compelling and so much so that Nancy and I decided after the conference that we should collect the papers. We should ask the authors to revise and perfect their papers so that they could appear in a volume, and they did. Two Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 67 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 68 of 107 years later it came out as—it was a volume called Population Matters published by Oxford, and it has had, I think, a significant impact on thinking among intellectuals and academics, including, I think, sort of the policy community of the World Bank about the relationship. It was very much at that audience that we were aiming this whole thing because they were the great skeptics about the macro relationship. As I said yesterday, I think that the ambivalence of the National Academy Committee of 1986 did more to damage the global case for investment in population programs than any other single publication. And since I had played a very major role in the production of that document, of that 1986 report—wouldn‟t have happened if I hadn‟t commissioned it—I felt a profound sense of responsibility to correct the historical record if there was an empirical case for doing so. McFarlane Now the Rockefeller years started out—you really got to develop the program from the ground up. Did you know what you were going to do when you got there? Sinding Yeah, absolutely, in fine detail. It took me about a year to recruit the staff around whom I could build the program, but I knew from the day I arrived where I thought Rockefeller should be positioned and where I thought we could make a difference in program terms. McFarlane And how long were you— Sinding And it was regarded, I must say, as the most coherent, interesting, and effective program at the foundation during the first six or seven years I was there. McFarlane (speaking at same time) You were there eight years? Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 68 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 69 of 107 Sinding I was there eight years. McFarlane Can you tell me basically the pillars of the program? I know this is somewhat repetitious of your previous— Sinding Well, I had three. As I mentioned, the program was organized around the theme of meeting the unmet demand for family planning to complete the demographic transition, which was essentially where I was trying to push the Bank. I became—I remember when I was in Kenya, Charlie Westoff sent me an article on—it was written by John Cleland and Chris Wilson, and it was called something about [“Demand Theories of the Fertility Transition:] An Iconoclastic View.” It was published in Population Studies, which is a British Journal, and subsequently republished in several anthologies, and it really had a very strong impact on my thinking because Cleland essentially made the case that from DHS data it was very clear that there was a large international unmet need for family planning. And so, I started delving into the unmet-need literature and what was emerging from all of the DHS‟s around the world. (coughs) Excuse me. (pause in recording) I became convinced—and this was part of my own intellectual transition from my anti-Ravenholt views to basically concluding that Ravenholt was fundamentally right, that there was such a large unmet demand by women to control their fertility around the world that the problem was essentially a supply problem, supply broadly defined, not just contraceptives on doorsteps but a service delivery and information challenge as opposed to a demand-creation challenge. I was not silly about this. I didn‟t argue that the demand was as great in Chad as it was in Java. But I continued to believe Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 69 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 70 of 107 that there was an important relationship between the level of development and in particular the empowerment for women and demand for family planning. But I thought that there was now evidence from enough countries in enough different parts of the world that if you made good services available it would have a real impact on fertility, that we could no longer ignore the supply-side hypothesis. And so, by the time I got to the World Bank and largely based on my experience in Kenya and what I saw happening— McFarlane Where you saw that transition. Sinding —I saw the transition and how rapidly it could occur and how rapidly it occurred in an environment in which if anything, development indicators were getting worse rather than better. I wrote a paper on that, by the way, which I still think is one of the most interesting papers I‟ve written, although I never really tried to get it published. It did get published in a book of a collection of lectures that North Carolina put out, but it was—I was looking at the case of Kenya. It was called something like “The Demographic Transition in Kenya: A Portent for Africa?”. And what I argued in that and what I began to see in Kenya was how important public policy is and how important in particular the utterances of political leadership are in changing not only the values of the population at large but in particular the behavior of the bureaucracy in the allocation of values. When the president says, “Family planning is really important,” it‟s really astounding to see how district level officials change the way in which they spend their time and their resources, and that‟s what happened in Kenya. It was a combination of Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 70 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 71 of 107 things. You had such high fertility that Kenyans were seeing within one generation viable farms being subdivided into nonviable units. Kenyans saw that investing in the education of their children was fundamental to upward mobility and that the only way they could do that was by limiting the number of children, that there was a real trade-off between quality and quantity. And I saw in Kenya by traveling around the country and talking to Kenyans just an incredible value change regarding children that occurred within one generation, that within one generation you saw Kenyans move from an eight-child family to a two- or three-child family. It was just amazing, and this was in rural areas, among the Kikuyu in particular, but other ethnic groups as well. So, I really became convinced on the basis of the aggregate data that were coming out of the DHS and my own experience in Kenya that the focus over the next fifteen years from that time, say, 1990 onward, really needed to be on meeting unmet need. And that‟s what I pushed at the Bank, and that‟s how I got in trouble at the Bank. Lant Pritchett said, “There is no such thing as unmet need. In fact, the term itself has no meaning to economists,” and with Larry Summers and with the feminists because it sounded like the old family planning, Ravenholt supply-side push, which to a degree it was because I really had become convinced that, as I say, he was fundamentally right. He was wrong in some of the particulars; he was right in the big picture. And he was certainly wrong in the way he chose to pursue tactically his goals, but anyway, that‟s another story. So, from the Bank, I took to the Rockefeller Foundation the notion that we ought to build a program that addressed this primary question, and we did it in terms of three Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 71 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 72 of 107 different program emphases. The first one, and the largest, was basically policy research and advocacy. It was to support research that I believed would reinforce the essential case for committing additional resources to meeting unmet need, that if we could mobilize more money from the industrialized countries and from the developing countries to expand the availability of family planning services it would have a real pay-off in terms of fertility reduction because of the existing latent demand. And then there were two other components, which I mentioned. One was the focus on youth, dealing with the special problem of the largest generation ever and wrestling with the question, how does one effectively address the reproductive health needs of that population? And the third piece was contraceptive technology, which had always been a very important part of Rockefeller‟s program and where I thought as a foundation we continued to have credibility and some comparative advantage, not in directly supporting research because the costs of biomedical research are just so enormous, but through the convening power and the setting of the agenda for research which foundations often can do quite effectively, and which Rockefeller in particular could do because of the prestige of the name and the history of the foundation. And I recruited just an absolutely superb staff to help with this program. One was Sara Seims, who ran the policy research and advocacy program. Second was Jane Hughes, who really came out of nowhere, who ran the youth research program. And the third was Mahmoud Fathalla who had been the director of the human reproduction program at WHO, a very prominent Egyptian ob/gyn and academic who did a fabulous job of putting Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 72 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 73 of 107 together a program basically of research and research advocacy in the contraceptive area. And then the fourth—there were two other members of the staff initially. One was Parker Mauldin who was a very distinguished, now deceased, demographer who had been with the Population Council as the vice president for many years and was with Sheldon Segal, my predecessor at Rockefeller, and I kept Parker on as just a wise head and a very good researcher and very interested in kind of documenting what was happening internationally in this area. And the last one was Cheikh Mbacké, a Senegalese demographer who I hired from CERPOD [Center for Applied Research on Population and Development] in Mali, which was a USAIDfunded training and research center in demography in West Africa. And Mbacké was one of the real stars among the African fellows at Penn [University of Pennsylvania] in the demography program there, and he went to Nairobi and worked out of the Nairobi office on special programs in Africa and for Africa. That was a great group, and it was a great program, and I think it was widely acknowledged within the foundation community to be one of the two or three strongest population programs—maybe the strongest population program—in the foundation world. This was before Gates and Packard became great big donors. Rockefeller was one of the largest and one of the most influential and as much because of the quality of the staff as because of the size of our portfolio. We just had enormous influence in the field, and as I say, I think it was—the program was regarded by the board of trustees and the officers of the foundation as the strongest program—or one of the two strongest programs, the other being Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 73 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 74 of 107 agriculture—in the foundation. McFarlane What happened? Sinding Lincoln Chen and Gordon Conway happened, and they killed the program for different reasons, Chen because he couldn‟t—maybe you should ask him. I think you should ask him, actually. His story would be that my program was a pre-Cairo program and the world had changed and we hadn‟t changed with it, and it was time for a new, sort of post-Cairo orientation. I don‟t think Lincoln wanted the population program to end or to be downgraded, but he wanted me out of there. I think there was a level of personal rivalry and animosity that motivated him more than anything else. McFarlane That must have been depressing. Sinding It was very depressing, and what was so interesting was that Lincoln was hired to replace Ken Prewitt, who along with Peter Goldmark had recruited me. Lincoln was recruited by Peter Goldmark with the suggestion that he was the heir apparent when Peter left within a year or two. So, Lincoln came in. Lincoln had been a competitor with Goldmark for the presidency of the Rockefeller Foundation eight years earlier and had not—he came in second in the competition. John Evans who was the chair of the board was a huge fan of Lincoln Chen and encouraged Peter to stay in touch with him, and Peter did. And in various ways, Lincoln was involved both with the population program before I got there and with the health program even during the years I was there as an adviser and so on. He was always sort of around. And when Prewitt left, Goldmark really aggressively recruited him, I think, with Evans‟ help, although Evans had stepped down as chair at that Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 74 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 75 of 107 point or by that point. But Lincoln came in, and we had a fairly decent modus vivendi during the first year that Lincoln was there because Peter was still there, and Peter was very much my fan and protector. He was a big fan of the population program. We did something, though, in that year that I think Lincoln just hated, and it had a lot to do with what happened subsequently. In ‟94, Clinton lost control of both houses of Congress, and the Republican Congress began to attack in the way Republicans have been since Reagan, the USAID population program. It came under serious assault from the [Capitol] Hill. That had never happened before. It had always been from the administration, and it is now again from the administration as well as from the Hill. It‟s worse now than it‟s ever been because for the first time there‟s a unified Republican government majority. It‟s only the Senate, in a way, that sort of had the finger in the dike against the total destruction of the program. That‟s a whole other—anyway, I was deeply concerned, of course, when the Republicans came in about the assault on the program and what— and with Peter‟s encouragement decided—and also Angela Blackwell, who was the other vice president along with Lincoln Chen, encouraged to produce a monograph, a study, a report, in effect—not a monograph or study, a report on the importance of the U.S. investment in population and what the consequences of disinvestment in this field would be. We called it “High Stakes [: The United States, Global Population and Our Common Future”], and it was a widely admired by the population community. We got a lot of press, and people thought it was a great report. It was basically pulled together by a woman named Laurie Mazur who was sort of a contract Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 75 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 76 of 107 writer but had been working in this field for a while and really understood the issues, and she did a wonderful job as a writer. And it was coordinated by Susan Sechler who had been a key figure in the Cairo delegation working with Tim Wirth. Susan had been the population program officer at Pew [Charitable Trusts] during the brief period that Pew had a population program, and she was a favorite of Tim Wirth‟s for a time. And we hired her to—when Pew let her go, we hired her to help coordinate the work for “High Stakes.” So, it was basically an effort of I and my staff, Susan Sechler, and Laurie Mazur, and it was really a very nice piece of work. But I have to pause here, and this goes to this issue that I was mentioning right at the beginning of the difference between the New York perspective and the Washington perspective on population. The New York perspective on population always was that Washington was much too gung-ho about the supply side and didn‟t pay enough attention to development issues and the deeper, broader, underlying commitments and investments that needed to be made in human well-being in order to create the conditions for fertility decline. And there was a deep-seated antipathy toward USAID in particular as the symbol of wrong-headedness in public policy on population that carried from Ravenholt right on through. I actually got a bit of a respite from that because I was seen as sort of the savior of the program in the Reagan years and known to be a Ravenholt adversary by the New York crowd, so I got an easier treatment. But when Duff Gillespie took over or Joe Speidel before me, they were viewed as Ravenholt acolytes who just sort of maintained the same supply-side commitment. And the Population Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 76 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 77 of 107 Council of which Lincoln Chen was a part and Harvard and the Rockefeller and Ford foundations, that whole sort of northeast establishment was very much down on USAID. Joan Dunlop who had been a personal advisor to John D. Rockefeller III and then was head of the International Women‟s Health Coalition was part of that. Adrienne Germaine was part of that. I mean, there was sort of an intellectual tradition. Judith Bruce, Anrudh Jain, the whole Population Council crowd, and George Zeidenstein were all part of the group that had this deep-seeded skepticism about the Washington view. Well, when I emerged at Rockefeller, not only as an AID guy, albeit a more enlightened one than most, and I think that‟s what people thought of me as: an AID guy but not a bad one, enlightened in comparison with the Neanderthals like Ravenholt. When I emerged as a defender of USAID in “High Stakes,” this really brought out the knives. There was a dinner that was organized at the Rockefeller foundation by Alice Ilchman, who was the incoming chair of the board, president of Sarah Lawrence College, and longstanding member of the Rockefeller Board and a good friend of mine, actually, then and now. Alice organized a dinner of prominent women in the health and population fields in New York to meet Lincoln Chen‟s wife, Marty, who never moved to New York. Lincoln moved to New York from Harvard to take up his new post as vice president for international programs at Rockefeller. Marty never moved to New York, but Alice organized this dinner to introduce Marty to the New York group. And at that dinner were people like Joan Dunlop and Maggie Catley-Carlson and Peggy Dulany who was David Rockefeller‟s daughter and a member of the board of the trustees Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 77 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 78 of 107 of the foundation and Elizabeth McCormack who was going back onto the Pop Council Board and had been a Rockefeller family advisor and supporter for many years, these very prominent New York women. And at that dinner, Joan Dunlop launched a wholesale attack on “High Stakes” and really shocked the group. Maggie Catley-Carlson who was a good friend of mine and is a good friend of mine and was still the relatively new president of the Pop Council rose to the defense of the Pop Sciences program and so on, but it was a nasty episode among influential people, and it happened just before Peter Goldmark announced his decision to resign as president of the foundation. When Goldmark stepped down, I mean, it was like night and day. From the day Goldmark left, which was like the day before Christmas, until the day I came back from my Christmas break, the world changed. Lincoln turned from a friendly critic, but supporter of the program into an enemy. He came after us, hammer and tongs, and I‟m convinced that he was an important influence on Gordon Conway. Conway—this whole story is sort of interesting. Lincoln had been the Ford Foundation country representative in India. Conway was his successor. When the search for the new president of the Rockefeller Foundation was going on, Lincoln came into my office one day wearing a really well-tailored brown suit. Usually Lincoln wore academic garb. If he wore a coat and tie, it was a very unusual day, and he never wore a nice suit. And, in fact, he wore Mao jackets and walked around barefoot much of the time. Came into my office wearing this brown suit, and I said, “Wow, this must be an important day.” And he said, “Well, I‟m meeting with the search committee.” And I said, “Ahh.” And he Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 78 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 79 of 107 said, “Yeah, I decided to throw my hat into the ring. There‟s this guy Conway who would just be a disaster.” And I thought, “Ah hah!” Tape 3 ends; tape 4, side 1, begins. Sinding A few months later the board of trustees were meeting in Bellagio at one of our regular every-two-year Bellagio trustees meetings. And at that meeting Lincoln was told that he was out of the running, as was Angela Blackwell, and the two of them were just totally devastated. They disappeared. Lincoln stayed in his room for the next three days, didn‟t join anybody for meals. It was really awful. It was cruel. It‟s no way when—and while all that was gong on, Conway was secretly flown in to Bellagio for a final interview with the board of trustees, and the decision was made to hire him. So, Lincoln, having—I don‟t know in how many people he confided his contempt for Conway, very few, I suspect. Lincoln was then faced—I think this was just before Christmas. It was a December board meeting. Lincoln then had to decide what he was going to do, and every Christmas he and Marty went off to India. And I think they did that this time, and when he came back from his two weeks or three or whatever it was in India, he obviously had made a decision that he was going to try to make this work. And there was then a four-month period during which Lincoln was not the acting president, but he was in effect—because Angela Blackwell announced immediately her decision to resign, and so she was on her way out. So, there was no choice. Alice Ilchman was kind of the acting president. She was board chair and she had an office but she really depended on Lincoln to run things. And Lincoln took it upon himself to organize the foundation to make Conway‟s transition Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 79 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 80 of 107 comfortable and smooth, and he was the good deputy like out of Central Casting. And I was just so amused by this, this guy who had dripped contempt for Conway now being the good soldier. But I think what happened during that four-month period was that Lincoln spent a lot of time with Conway, both on the phone and going back and forth. Conway was the vice chancellor of [University of] Sussex university here in the U.K., and it was not until April, which I guess was the end of term or something like that, that he could actually break free to come to Rockefeller. And during that period, I think Lincoln persuaded him that I and my program were a political liability, and I think it was related to the attitude that that group of anti-AID, anti-supply-side people held. McFarlane Did you see it coming? Sinding Yeah, I saw it coming, but I thought I might be able to exert independent influence on Conway. I tried. But in the very first meeting I had with Conway, he started raising questions about whether in fact the population problem was over. He was an agricultural ecologist, had made his reputation on Green Revolution kind of work, and was very interested in the relationship between population growth and food production and availability and hunger. And he had become persuaded, I think, quite appropriately, by the performance of the agricultural sector between 1970 and 2000, that population growth itself was not a cause of hunger because in fact there had been all these predictions in the seventies and the late sixties of global famine and population growth swamping food production systems—real Malthusianism, the Paddocks, William and Paul Paddock, Famine - 1978 Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 80 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 81 of 107 [Famine - 1975! America’s decision: Who will survive?]. Do you remember that book? This was a book that came out in the late sixties, about the same time as [Paul] Ehrlich‟s [The] Population Bomb, which essentially predicted massive global famine because of population explosion and the inability of agricultural systems to keep up, totally missing the Green Revolution and the capacity for technological response to demand. It was really sort of the classic difference between ecologists and economists. Economists generally turn out to be right, I have to say. Ecologists sort of see the worst coming because their models are much more static. Economists have a much greater faith in the capacity of institutions to adapt and tend, I think, more often, to be right than wrong about that dimension of things. Anyway, Conway, who had been convinced, I think, earlier in his career that population growth was a real challenge to agriculture and agricultural systems and the sustainability of rural ecology, had been reading the literature that was emerging in the late nineties and even earlier but was quite prominent at that time and since, that the population explosion essentially is over, the Wattenberg, Nick Eberstadt writings that if there ever was a population problem it certainly didn‟t exist any longer. And fertility was falling rapidly everywhere, and the problem, in fact, was going to be too few people rather than too many people and too slow growth, aging of populations and all of that. Conway was really quite taken with that literature and challenged me to show why there ought to continue to be an investment by Rockefeller in this area. I actually responded to that challenge in part by arguing that there were still areas of the world in which rapid population growth was indeed an important problem, Africa Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 81 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 82 of 107 and South Asia, which were to be and became the priority geographic foci of Rockefeller‟s programs under Conway. And secondly, that Rockefeller ought to start thinking seriously about supporting research on the new demography on what was going to happen in the countries which had experienced the most rapid declines in fertility, where the problems that Europe was beginning to face in terms of population aging and social security systems and structures to support productivity were going to pale by comparison. I feel that what‟s coming in China and Taiwan, Korea, Thailand is going to be catastrophic from the standpoint of economic transformation compared with the struggles that Europe is having now in figuring out where to find labor force to support an aging population. And it seemed to me that Rockefeller had the potential to do some really interesting work in its population program on sort of the next generation of population issues in the developing world, especially those countries which were sort of in the most advanced states of transition. But I got nowhere with that. I think Conway had made up his mind well before I start making this argument that he wanted me out, and I got more and more clear and impolite messages from both him and Lincoln that anything I had to say was not welcome. So, I decided at Christmastime ‟98, that I would quit before they fired me, and so that‟s what I did. McFarlane That was kind of the first time in your career that— Sinding First I‟ve ever— McFarlane Yeah. Sinding Yeah, and the last time. Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 82 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 83 of 107 McFarlane And then you went to Columbia? Sinding I went to Columbia, yeah. McFarlane Now what did you do at Columbia, and how did you manage that transition? And then what did you do there? Sinding Well, the first thing my wife and I decided we would do is take advantage of the fact that we had absolutely nothing that compelled us to be in New York or to show up at work and just take the summer off. So, we took our oneyear-old puppy and our car and we set off for the West and we drove all the way across the country and all the way back and had a wonderful time, just a great summer. I left the foundation on the thirtieth of June, which was the ninth anniversary of my appointment, more or less, within a couple days. McFarlane Were they surprised that you left? Sinding The foundation? McFarlane Um-hm. Sinding Were they surprised? McFarlane Um-hm. Sinding You mean was Conway surprised when I quit? McFarlane Um-hm. Sinding No. I think—I got a message when I came—that Christmas break our younger daughter was teaching in India, so our other daughter—our older daughter and Monica and I went together to India, the three of us, to spend Christmas with Jenny. And we traveled all through Southern India and so on, and it was during that trip that I decided that the handwriting was on the wall. I got back to the office on the second or the fourth of January, Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 83 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 84 of 107 whatever it was, and there was a message from my secretary that Conway wanted to see me on Friday in his office, and I figured, This is it. I‟m glad I‟ve made the decision that the time has come because I‟m going to tell him. He‟s not going to tell me. I‟m sure that if I had not told him that I had been thinking it over and decided that I was going to leave that he would have told me that he had been thinking it over and decided that I should leave because not only was he not surprised to hear it, but he told me that I would get a nice severance package. (laughter) McFarlane Here it is. Sinding Yeah, so I didn‟t say if you quit you‟re not entitled to severance. I just—I took it, and I got more than a nice severance package. One of the things that foundations are very, very good about is when they end a relationship with an employee, particularly one who has been there and been a significant part of the place for a period of time, they try to make it as painless as possible. And I got—I made a deal with Rockefeller that if I could raise six hundred thousand dollars they would give me six hundred thousand dollars that would support me for the three years at Columbia, for a three-year period at Columbia. And thanks to the generosity of the Hewlett and the Packard foundations, I raised—and I guess Gates also—I raised—no, not Gates, sorry. It was just Hewlett and Packard. My friends Sarah Clark and Joe Speidel—both of them had been colleagues at AID and whom I had helped to get into the jobs they were in at the point—both Sarah and—especially Sarah but also Joe, they returned the favor with grants that I could take back to Rockefeller and then Rockefeller matched the six hundred commitment Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 84 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 85 of 107 that they had made. So, I had 1.2 million to support me and an assistant and money for expenses and so on for the period at Columbia when I did this future of AID work that I described to you. I had several choices. I could have gone to Princeton or I could have gone to Harvard or I could have gone to Pathfinder in Boston or I could go to Columbia. And since my wife was involved, although not at that point committed to a particular institution, she was very much involved in a new career in social work in New York. And because we both enjoyed living in New York and had a nice country house in Connecticut that we enjoyed going to, the idea of kind of staying in the city was appealing, even though the idea of working in Washington Heights in the health sciences campus of Columbia did not appeal to me after the luxury of midtown Rockefeller Foundation accommodation, but it all worked out very well. So, what I did is I went to Columbia, and I got a joint appointment in—no, I had a full appointment as what they call a clinical professor which means soft money, non-tenured in the school of public health, but I got a full professorship. I had to go through the whole academic review process and be confirmed as a full professor, which meant something to me. It was nice to be a full professor, and I still have that rank at Columbia. I‟m now a full professor without salary at Columbia, and if I decide I want to go back there at some point as long as Allan Rosenfield is the dean—Allan‟s the one who invited me to come and who very much wanted to make this happen. He was most generous and gracious in making a place for me at Columbia. If he were still there and I wanted to go back, I‟m sure Allan would make it happen. So, I Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 85 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 86 of 107 had the appointment in the [Mailman] School of Public Health, which is where the money was. The grantee was the School of Public Health. It was the population center, Pop Fam, [The Harriet and Robert Heilbrunn Department of] Population and Family Health Center at Columbia. But I also had an adjunct appointment at SIPA, School of International and Public Affairs, and over the three years my involvement in SIPA intensified and my involvement in the School of Public Health actually diminished because I just loved the teaching at SIPA. I became part of the economic development program with “Corky” Bryant, Coralie Bryant, at SIPA, and I loved the students and I loved the teaching. I did a course on re-envisioning foreign aid, which I taught two or three times, twice I guess, kind of an upper-level graduate seminar. And I just loved it, and the students loved it. It was a really good relationship. McFarlane Well, this was the project you had for the three years. Sinding That‟s right. That was the project. McFarlane Can you kind of tell me what that project was about? Sinding Yeah. Well, I can give you the book. I‟m delighted to give away copies. That‟s the—sorry for the dust. (laughs) That‟s the book. From the time I left AID, I had kind of a bee in my bonnet about what was wrong with the U.S. foreign aid program, and it had much more to do with the underlying structure of the program than with the methodology or mechanics. I always thought that AID was, among the bilateral assistance agencies, maybe among all assistance agencies, the best on the ground. It was really good in the way it was able to work with host countries to conceptualize a development Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 86 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 87 of 107 assistance program in the context of the country‟s needs because it had professional staff on the ground. McFarlane Is that the mission structure, or do you mean something else? Sinding It‟s the mission structure, yeah. It is the mission structure, and seemed to me that the mission structure and the Washington support structure for that mission structure was a very good way to approach development, real development cooperation. The problem was that the purposes of foreign aid were never consistent with the capabilities that had been created for the administration of AID. The purposes of AID were largely geopolitical, not developmental, and the perspective was largely short term rather than long term. And I felt that the potential of the United States to be an effective agent of development depended upon shifting the focus from the short term to the long term and creating, basically, a two-track approach to our economic relationships with developing countries. I felt there was nothing wrong with the secretary of state having walking around money to secure short-term political goals but that that ought not to be confused with development assistance, and the problem was that it always was confused with development assistance and it always perverted and corrupted the development strategy and the development program. McFarlane And you knew the specifics from being in the field. Sinding Right. The fact that Congress required in appropriating funds for economic support that those funds be programmed as if they were development assistance funds meant that countries were getting very mixed signals about U.S. motivations. In Kenya, for example, we had both development Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 87 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 88 of 107 assistance funds and ESF, economic support funds. I was required as the mission director to treat them as if they were the same. Even though the development assistance funds were part of the regular appropriations process for development, the ESF funds were explicitly payment for the use of the air facilities and the port of Mombasa. And the Kenyans had a very different view about their entitlements depending on which of those two sources of funds one was talking about, and it was really hard as a mission director to get the Kenyans to agree to program the ESF money for development programs because they thought it ought to be budget support, and they were absolutely right in my view. McFarlane They‟d earned it. Sinding Yeah, there was a quid pro quo. There was a clear quid pro quo. You could argue there was a quid pro quo in development assistance funding, too, but it‟s a very different kind of quid that has to do with long-term stability and security and sort of a better world that‟s a better world for us as well as for them. But on ESF it was a very clear quid quo pro. We wanted a deep-water port where we could put an aircraft carrier when we needed one or for shore leave for the navy, and we needed the airport for refueling of flights that were going from the States to Diego Garcia which was a major staging area for everything we had going on in Southeast Asia and the Gulf. And my view was that if we would be transparent about our motivations and sort of wall off the development assistance money so that it really could be used for long-term investments that were not tied to short-term political considerations, that didn‟t depend on whether a country voted with us or Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 88 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 89 of 107 didn‟t vote with us in the UN, didn‟t depend on whether a communist regime came in or a leftist regime that didn‟t like us came in for a four- or five-year period, that we would invest deeply in the building of institutions, that that was a sensible way to go, and let the secretary of state have the other funds to deal with political exigencies. So, that‟s what the book is basically about, and part of it is about that and the political challenge of building a constituency for that kind of an enlightened approach, enlightened self-interest approach. The other part of it is about where the comparative advantage of bilateral assistance lies vis-à-vis the World Bank and the multilateral agencies. What I argue is that the U.S. ought to use the multilateral institutions as the primary mechanism for resource transfers, that is—I don‟t mean, now, for political transfers. I mean for budgetary support and for investing in the infrastructure and the high-capital-cost programs of developing countries: the roads, the infrastructure, the bridges. The Bank is very good actually at the financing of that kind of development assistance. What the Bank is lousy at is the social sector work and at capacity building. The Bank has nothing to draw upon when it comes to financing the building of institutions or the building of human capacity. It can‟t run training programs; it can‟t run technical assistance, partly because it doesn‟t have a body of institutions on which it can draw that are indigenous to the Bank, and partly because governments are most reluctant to borrow for those things. They‟ll borrow for things in which you can calculate an economic rate of return. They won‟t borrow for training and long-term capacity building, whereas it seemed to me that the U.S. and some other bilateral Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 89 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 90 of 107 donors but particularly the U.S. had a huge comparative advantage on the capacity-building side. We have great institutions which have a deep interest in long-term relationships with counterpart institutions in the developing world, our universities being one example but only one of several, and that what the U.S. ought to be doing is using those resources of our own society to build long-term partnerships that would build capacities, both institutional and human, in developing countries that are the most seriously neglected of the resources required for development. The truth is that in all of the history of development cooperation, going back to the Marshall Plan—I shouldn‟t say that. The Marshall Plan didn‟t require investments in human and intuitional capacity building. Those were already in place. What the Marshall Plan countries needed was capital, but what Kenya needs is the building of institutions that are capable of planning and directing a coherent development program over time, and that‟s the kind of thing that has never been sufficiently financed and can‟t be by the multi-lateral institutions. So, the core argument of this book is it‟s in the American self-interest to have a development assistance program that is focused on long-term sustainable development, and the content of that program ought to basically be capacity building, using the great institutions of American society to build partnerships for sustainable capacity building. So, that‟s what I did. McFarlane You really had gone off in a different direction. Sinding Totally different direction. Well, except I wrote a bunch of articles including a lot of the best stuff I‟ve done on population, also, while I was there. I wrote the chapter on family planning in the new Encyclopedia of Population that Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 90 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 91 of 107 Paul Demeny and Geoff McNicoll have just published. I did an article for the American Public Health Journal on the great debates in population over the last three or four decades, what they were, what they produced, and where we are now. And it was an opportunity to do a lot of thinking about a lot of things and to actually write. I did three or four articles that were published during that time. I gave a lot of lectures, so I kept my hand in very much on population matters, but it was interesting. Once you‟re out of these key positions, you very quickly get forgotten. It was a real object lesson. You also discover who your friends are, who your real friends are. And I was no longer in a position for the first time in my life to give away money, and I was sitting up in this office at 168th Street, not on 38th and 5th, and not in State Department and not in the World Bank, and I felt very much sort of on the margin. I got asked to do things. I published. I stayed active. I was still on a number of boards. It gave me quite a lot of satisfaction, but I was really out of the mainstream and felt it. McFarlane So, did you finish up this three-year project before you came here? Sinding Um-hm. This was published as I was leaving Columbia, and— McFarlane Did you know what—this came. This is not something you sought, so did you know what you were going to do? Sinding No, not really. Except that the IPPF discussion started about a year before my grant and my time at Columbia was coming to an end, I have no doubt that had IPPF not happened Allan Rosenfield and I would have gotten into some serious conversations. Well, I know actually what would have happened. SIPA wanted me to head up the economic development program Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 91 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 92 of 107 at SIPA, so that was an option. Allan was starting a brand new program in international health at Columbia that he would have been very interested in. Actually, he recruited me quite actively to take over Pop Fam. When Jim McCarthy who had been the director after Allan decided to leave, Allan really encouraged me to throw my hat in the ring. I just didn‟t want that job, but something would have materialized at Columbia. I‟d probably be working with Jeff Sachs on one of the many things he‟s now doing. I‟m quite sure that I‟d be there and be actively—probably more actively involved in the sense than I was during the first three years because when I had my own project and my own money and my own little staff to work with, I was really self-contained, and people didn‟t seek me out particularly because I was doing my thing. I was an enclave. But at the end of that period when people realized that I wasn‟t going to be doing this anymore, they did begin approaching me, and these various opportunities emerged. So, I would guess that I would be doing something at Columbia, either between SIPA and the School of Public Health or in the School of Public Health. McFarlane But you‟re here now and you‟re doing sexual and reproductive health. Sinding Yeah, right back in the fray. McFarlane How broad is sexual and reproductive health here? Sinding Well, I can answer the question by telling you what our priorities are at IPPF. Did we talk about this yesterday? McFarlane The A‟s? Sinding Yeah, the A‟s. I think that‟s the answer. I‟ve decided that IPPF can‟t be all things to all people in sexual and reproductive health. We, like any Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 92 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 93 of 107 institution, have to have a clear focus in areas of emphasis, and— Tape 4, side 1 ends; side 2 begins. Sinding —of what I was thinking about the needs of the field before I came here: in part, my assessment of the comparative advantage of IPPF vis-à-vis other institutions and in part the ideas of other people that came into the process after I arrived. But I think it‟s a pretty good reflection of the strengths and the limitations of this institution. So, how broad is our definition of reproductive and sexual health? It‟s broad enough to say we are going to have a major emphasis on adolescents and dealing with all aspects of their sexual and reproductive health from education and information to protecting them against STDs to helping them avoid unsafe abortions to making sure they have the services that they need to be— McFarlane How about female genital mutilation? Sinding We don‟t do much on female genital mutilation. McFarlane Do you think you will? Sinding No, because we can‟t do everything. There are important areas of sexual and reproductive health that I think we just can‟t take on, either because we don‟t have a comparative advantage or because we don‟t have the resources. McFarlane But safe abortion is at this point in the forefront. Sinding Yeah, and that for very strategic reasons. Without deserving it, IPPF was branded as the enemy by the Republicans in the States, the first institution to be defunded when Reagan imposed the Mexico City Policy and the first institution to be defunded when Bush came into office. And it seemed to me as long as we had been condemned, we might as well be guilty (McFarlane Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 93 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 94 of 107 chuckles) because the problem of unsafe abortion and the problem of the legal status of abortion is very real, and the need to address both the right to abortion and the conditions under which abortion is available seemed to me to be something that IPPF could and should work on. And it goes back also to what I was saying yesterday about revitalizing the brave and angry spirit of what is a volunteer-led institution. Why not use the great natural advantages of a volunteer structure to become an effective advocacy organization again on the unfinished business of the reproductive revolution. It seems to me that effective programs for young people and abortion are the two most sensitive areas in reproductive health, two certainly of the most important sensitive areas in reproductive health, and that IPPF ought to be on the forefront in both of them, also because we‟re in more countries than anybody else. We‟re in more countries than UNFPA. We‟re active in 180 countries with affiliates in almost 150, so we have a global reach and through that a global voice that few others have. And that seemed to me to be where IPPF‟s comparative advantage lay, not in just being another service provider, and a small-scale one at that, in many countries. McFarlane How did IPPF get to be an anathema to the Republicans? Is it their animosity toward Planned Parenthood Federation of America? Sinding I think so. I‟ve never been able to figure out exactly why IPPF was singled out. I think it was simply that we were Planned Parenthood and the fact that IPPF was willing to support abortion programs in countries in which it was legal. The fact that IPPF never was much of an advocate for abortion— never has been until now—it was always a puzzle to me why the Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 94 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 95 of 107 Republicans figured that we were so dangerous. But I think it was because Faye Wattleton was such a thorn in their sides and such a—and PPFA was such an aggressive proponent of a woman‟s right to choose that we got tarred with the same brush. I remember in—well, there‟re couple of stories about this that are worth relating. One is that when I joined the office of population as director, my second time in the office of population in 1983, I was shown an article, I think by Sharon Camp, who‟s another person you absolutely must interview. McFarlane Oh, she‟s been interviewed. Sinding Oh, she‟s been interviewed. Okay, good. Sharon was at the time a principal lobbyist at what was still called the Population Crisis Committee at the time. Sharon, I think, was the one who called my attention to an article that had been published either just before the election or just after the election by the Heritage Foundation in their magazine. It was called “Defunding the Left,” and in that article a lot of institutions across a whole spectrum of sectors were identified for defunding, from the ACLU to Planned Parenthood. But the two that were identified (pause in recording)—the two that had been identified in the population sector were IPPF and UNFPA. So, from the time the Christian right and the Reagan Administration had signed their pact, or the Reagan campaign had signed their pact, to the present, Republicans had been particularly focused on the two of us. They got IPPF with the Mexico City Policy and they got the UNFPA with the Kemp-Kasten amendment and the whole China business, and both of those were techniques that were manufactured by the White House to deliver to the Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 95 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 96 of 107 right wing constituency what they had promised, which was the defunding of these two most important of the international institutions in the field. That‟s one story. The other story is that—well, I‟m blanking. Let‟s the stop the tape again while I think about (pause in recording)—and then we can— McFarlane So, you don‟t feel like you‟re out of the mainstream any longer. Sinding No, as we discussed yesterday, I think that fighting the Bush Administration and trying to fight for a sane and sensible approach to reproductive health globally is still important work to be done. There are still such powerful forces of darkness out there, whether it‟s the Vatican or Muslim fundamentalists or the Reagan—the Bush Administration, that the fundamental rights of individuals, women in particular, to manage their own reproductive health is really an important cause still to fight for. McFarlane Can you tell me a little bit about the roundtable that you‟ve proposed or are planning? Sinding Yeah, it‟s more than a proposal. It‟s going to happen. It‟s very much along— it‟s well along in the planning process. Yeah, the summer before I came here, a group called—I can‟t remember what they called themselves exactly. It‟s the CEOs of the larger and more prominent of the non-government organizations in this field based in the U.S. So, it‟s the president of Pathfinder, the president of Engender Health, the head of Ipas, the head of Family Care International, the head of Population Action International, the head of PATH [Program for Appropriate Technology in Health], Population Reference Bureau, all of the large organizations, some of them USAID funded, some of them not, that worked in this field that are based in New Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 96 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 97 of 107 York, Washington for the most part but in the U.S. They get together once every two, three months just to compare notes and talk about the issues and what‟s going on. They invited me to meet with them the summer before I came to London, and at that meeting we were talking about what was going to happen at Cairo Plus Ten. Was there going to be a conference? And it was pretty clear already then—this was the summer of 2002—that the governments were not in any mood to have a conference. Bush was in the White House. The attitude of the Americans was pretty clear. The Johannesburg disaster with the environmental conference had already happened. It was pretty clear that Kofi Annan was not in the mood for a lot of big UN conferences, and the donors were not inclined to pay for it. So, the decade of conferences was clearly coming to an end, and so given the fact that there was little enthusiasm for conferences and the fact that there was the perception of great danger if there was a population conference what the U.S. would do, the decision had pretty much been reached that there would not be an international population conference in 2004. And I thought that while I understood all of the reasons—many of them very good ones—not to have such a meeting, that nonetheless some kind of an event was important. Having lived through Bucharest, Mexico City, and Cairo, I was aware of how important it was that there be an event, even if there was a big fight, because it brought attention to the issue, it got governments engaged, it forced people to think about whether this was still a subject worth investing in and paying attention to. And in fact, for the most part, every time there was a fight we got more money. The best thing that ever Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 97 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 98 of 107 happened to the population field was that the Americans attacked it in Mexico City and that the Vatican and the Muslims attacked it in Cairo and made it controversial and forced governments to take a position, and when they did they almost always came out on the right side of the issue. So, I thought having an event which profiled Cairo and population was an important thing to do, and if governments weren‟t going to do it maybe this would be a thing for IPPF to do. So, I sort of made the case at this meeting. Adrienne Germain was violently opposed to it. McFarlane So, she‟s part of the group. Sinding Yeah, she‟s part of the group as the president of the International Women‟s Health Coalition. I think she opposed it for two reasons. First of all, I think she—or three: two explicit and one not at all explicit. I think explicitly she was opposed because she thought that there was a real danger in any kind of a meeting that it would backfire, that we would lose ground. Secondly, I think she felt that we ought to be focusing scarce resources on implementation, not on big talk fests, which is an easy sell. We ought to be putting the money into programs for women, not into—but I think it‟s wrong. I think it really is actually important to keep the focus of the international community on these issues because if you don‟t, people forget and interest wanes, and we‟ve seen that in this field. The interest in Cairo has waned year by year by year. The only thing that‟s keeping funding flowing into it in a substantial way is the Bush Administration, which has got the Europeans so upset and angry that they feel as if they must continue to support the cause. But if it weren‟t for the Bush Administration, I think the Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 98 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 99 of 107 field would be much deader than it is. Anyway, the third reason I think is that Adrienne just didn‟t like competition. She didn‟t want somebody else getting a lot of limelight and least of all me. But the European Commission and in particular the commissioner, Poul Nielson, the commissioner for development, who was the first guy to step forward and make commitments to UNFPA and IPPF to fill what he called the decency gap when the U.S. pulled out, told me a month after I got here—my first meeting outside of London I went to a conference that had been organized by our European office in Brussels—told me at that point that he thought that if IPPF would organize something, the European Commission would be pleased to pay for it. So, they made a commitment of almost two million Euros way back then. It wasn‟t a commitment, but it was enough of a commitment to get us going. And we worked with Family Care International, Jill Sheffield, and Population Action International, Amy Coen, on basically a three-pronged approach. We‟re organizing the global Roundtable which will be here in London at the end of the summer, and PAI and FCI are collaborating on the production of kind of a global index of progress by countries since Cairo: who‟s doing well, who‟s not doing well, both among the donors and among developing countries, and also kind of a thematic magazine of key issues that remain unresolved, critical, important. It‟ll be kind of a journal that will come out in conjunction with the Roundtable and with a report card or the index. So, we‟ve been collaborating on that. We‟ve put together an international steering committee of about thirty-five networks, international networks of organizations, and we will be having our fourth meeting of the steering Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 99 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 100 of 107 committee in the beginning of May. The event will be the thirty-first of August and the first and second of September at the Queen Elizabeth II Conference Centre which is just across the square from Parliament, lovely facility. And we‟re anticipating around seven hundred—between six and seven hundred participants. That‟s what we have money for. In fact, we don‟t have quite enough money for that, but we expect that by the time it happens we‟ll be able to raise it. And it‟s going to have an interesting organization. It‟s going to be organized around three major plenaries, but the plenaries are not going to be speeches. They‟re going to be conversations among global leaders in science and technology, culture, and world events. And then we‟re going to have afternoon mini plenaries, which pick up on some of the big themes that are discussed in these morning plenaries and explore them, and then we‟re going to have ten working groups, which will be working on different aspects of sexual and reproductive health and rights and the Cairo agenda and which collectively we are hoping will produce a program of action. We won‟t call it that, but it will be kind of, In each of these major areas, what are the great challenges for the next ten years? What ought we be focusing on in youth, on abortion, and sexual violence, violence toward women, these themes, and we‟ll see what happens. We‟ve done pretty well in getting some big names to come, not as well as we had hoped to get. We had hoped to get Kofi Annan and Hillary Clinton and Bill Gates. We came close with all three but we didn‟t get them in the final analysis but we‟ve gotten some pretty big names. And I think it will be a good meeting, and in any case it will be an opportunity to profile the issue, to keep it on the Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 100 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 101 of 107 agenda. It‟ll be the same week as the Republican National Convention. We‟re hoping to turn that from potential liability into an asset by juxtaposing Bush‟s policies with what we‟re talking about and hoping the press will be interested in the contrast. McFarlane So, this was entirely by design, the— Sinding The timing? McFarlane Uh-huh. Sinding No, it was serendipity or lack thereof depending on whether you think it‟s a good or a bad thing. We originally scheduled it for the third week of September. That turned out to coincide with the UNFPA‟s executive board meeting, and since we really have to have Thoraya Obaid there. (chuckles) We couldn‟t very well conflict with that. Then we tried moving it back to the second week of September only to discover that it coincided with Yom Kippur and Rosh Hashanah, so we couldn‟t do it then although a lot of people argued that we should, that the UN doesn‟t recognize Jewish holidays. Why should we? But there was such an outcry from key people that we decided we had to respect all religions, and I think in fact it was the right thing to do. So, then we moved it back to the very beginning of September, and that didn‟t conflict with anything except the Republican convention, and at that point I said, “We just can‟t change the dates again. We can‟t find any other time. And why don‟t we turn that into an asset?” We‟re not competing for the same news hole except maybe in the States, and we might by getting the right kind of speeches at the plenary and the right kinds of press there be able to make a story out of this meeting in London that is so antithetical to Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 101 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 102 of 107 what Bush and the Republicans stand for at the moment that Bush is being anointed as the candidate for the second term. So, we‟ll see what happens. The whole thing could blow up, but I think it‟ll be all right. McFarlane Is there anything else I should ask you? Sinding Yeah, when I was born (laughter) and where. I was born in Orange Memorial Hospital in Orange, New Jersey—my family lived in Montclair— in 1943. McFarlane And one other thing that we usually start at the beginning, how many siblings? Sinding Yeah, I have a brother who is three years younger and is the editor of The Princeton Packet. McFarlane I want to thank you very much for participating in this project. Sinding It‟s been great. McFarlane And I don‟t know if you‟d like to conclude by some comments you made earlier about what a great story this population story is. Sinding The population story is? Well, and how blessed I feel to have been a part of it. Well, one of the things I often say is that alongside the Green Revolution, the revolution in reproduction is one of the great success of the international development cooperation of the second half of the twentieth century. I can think of nothing other than the Green Revolution that is of equivalent importance to the course of human events as the concerted effort of the international community to find a way of reducing population growth when it became evident that high rates of population growth needed to be brought under control. Demographers were very fond of saying that population Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 102 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 103 of 107 growth was going to decline either because fertility came down or because mortality went up, but the rates of increase that were prevailing in the sixties and seventies simply could not be sustained over any foreseeable period of time. And the fact that countries found the political will to develop and implement population politics and that the donor countries came up with resources to help finance that produced a change in demographic behavior that I believe very few demographers writing in the 1960s imagined was possible. When I came into the field in 1971, you couldn‟t find anybody besides Rei Ravenholt who believed that fertility could fall as fast as it has. There were perhaps one or two others. Don Bogue was—I‟m thinking now in the academic community. Don Bogue at Chicago was probably the most optimistic about the efficacy of programs. But most demographers really did believe that fundamental structural changes were pre-conditioned for fertility decline and that that change could not conceivably happen fast enough to produce major fertility declines in the great majority of countries. Nobody could have foreseen what happened in China. I think nobody could have foreseen what happened in South India. India was for years sort of the poster child for the failure of population policies, and then suddenly one day people turned around and said, My God! Fertility has fallen from five and half to three and a half children in this vast country in less than twenty years. I think that once the East Asian miracle countries showed how effective population policies could be, it convinced a lot of other countries that this was an area worth investing in. And once that happened the momentum just gathered, and I think it‟s unstoppable. I think that we are well on the way Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 103 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 104 of 107 toward a new equilibrium of population growth with some parts of the world well below replacement and other parts of the world somewhat above replacement but with a global average that‟s pretty close to population stabilization and that what‟s going to happen over the second half of the twentieth century is massive population redistribution but without much growth as the high population growth areas export people to the low population growth areas. And that inevitably is going to carry with it major dislocations, but I think the population explosion is more or less over. We will add another two, two and a half, maybe even three billion people to the planet, and that‟s a very large number but at nothing like the rate that we‟ve added it over the last half century and at a rate I think that the economies and the societies of most countries will be able to absorb. What the consequences for global ecology will be, what it will mean for global warming, how well physical systems can accommodate this additional three billion or two billion or somewhere in between—I think it‟s actually going to wind up being closer to two than to three—is a matter for considerable speculation, but I think no matter what happens there‟s no gainsaying the tremendous success and the unexpected rapidity with which fertility has declined. And I think that the United States deserves the major part of the credit for that. I think that the leadership on the policy level with all of the conflicts that it engendered and the commitment of resources which has survived even the most intense, internal debates about population has just made a tremendous difference. And I‟m very proud of the fact that for all of the controversy surrounding it, I was part of the USAID program during the Population and Reproductive Health Oral History Project Sophia Smith Collection, Smith College 104 Steven Sinding, interviewed by Deborah McFarlane Sinding B 2 06 Interview 1 Page 105 of 107 twenty years when it made a huge difference in whether this whole enterprise would succeed or fail. So, yeah, I think that‟s—looking back on my own career, those are kind of my broad observations about what this field has been all about and what it‟s meant. McFarlane I want to thank you very much. Sinding Okay. It‟s been great fun. End of interview. 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