Centre of Excellence Collaborating Centre Southeast Asian Diaspora Francesco P Cappuccio MD MSc DSc FRCP FFPH E.S.H. Centre of Excellence – W.H.O. Collaborating Centre University of Warwick, Coventry, UK E.S.H. Working Group “Hypertension and Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Subjects Living in or Emigrating from Low Resource Settings” Collaborating Centre Centre of Excellence Conflicts of Interest Declaration • None to declare Collaborating Centre Health trends in Europe European health for all database. WHO Regional Office for Europe (Copenhagen), 2004 World Health Report. Reducing risks, promoting health life. WHO (Geneva), 2002 Centre of Excellence Collaborating Centre South Asian Diaspora East Africa Centre of Excellence Indian sub-continent Total population (2010) 1.65b 28.4m Sudan 36.0m 26.8m 173.1m Uganda 34.0m 151.1m Kenya 41.0m Tanzania 45.0m Malawi 15.0m Mauritius 1.2m 51.9m 1.20b Middle East Europe East Africa South Africa Canada USA Seychelles 0.09m 20.7m 0.3m Total population (2010) 172.3m 0.7m Singapore Malaysia Brunei Indonesia Australia Collaborating Centre Country South Asian Diaspora Centre of Excellence Migration (2005-10) million Destination (World Bank 2010) million US Canada UK Afghanistan 0.7 0.06 0.04 0.06 Pakistan 1.8 0.30 0.15 0.45 0.02 0.05 0.06 India 3.0 1.60 0.50 0.66 0.04 0.07 0.10 Nepal 0.8 Bhutan 0.7 Bangladesh 3.6 0.15 0.04 0.21 Myanmar 0.8 Sri Lanka 0.4 0.03 0.12 0.11 Maldives 0.3 TOTAL 11.4 France Germany Italy 0.08 0.07 0.04 0.05 0.08 Epidemiological Transition Collaborating Centre Cardiovascular Disease Hypertensive Atherosclerotic Low smoking, moderate fat and salt intake Moderate smoking, moderate fat but high salt intake 1 2 3 High smoking, fat and salt intake 4 5 Stage Increasing levels of acculturation, urbanization and affluence Cappuccio FP. Int J Epidemiol 2004; 33: 387-8 6 Centre of Excellence Collaborating Centre Migration studies: models Centre of Excellence Model 1: high risk acquired after migration Mainly Environmental Low risk High risk Model 2: high risk present before migration and carried over with migration Genetic predisposition Early environmental influences High risk High risk Environmental exposures kept Collaborating Centre CHD Mortality in South Asians in the UK and Overseas Centre of Excellence compared to white Collaborating Centre Stroke in South Asians in the UK Compared to whites, South Asians: • have a greater incidence of CHD • have also a higher risk of stroke and renal failure • some sub-groups have high blood pressure and some have very high smoking rates • metabolic abnormalities more common Centre of Excellence Acceptance Rates (per million pop.) for Renal Replacement Therapy in England (1991-92) Collaborating Centre Centre of Excellence Prevalence of hypertension* in South London Collaborating Centre (%) 50 MEN WOMEN 50 40 40 South Asian 30 South Asian 30 20 20 White 10 White 10 0 0 <45 45-49 50-54 Age - group *BP >160 and/or >95 mmHg or on therapy Cappuccio FP et al. Heart 1997; 78: 555-63 55+ <45 45-49 50-54 Age - group 55+ Centre of Excellence Centre of Excellence Collaborating Centre Modesti P et al. 2014; in preparation Collaborating Centre Salt intake around the world Powles J et al. BMJ Open 2013; 3: e003733 Centre of Excellence PREVALENCE OF DIABETES IN SOUTH ASIAN POPULATIONS IN THE WORLD Collaborating Centre 35 UK India Overseas Europeans 30 25 20 15 10 5 on nd Lo SW Lo nd on Fij i NW S. Af ric a Si ng ap or e s ad Tr ini d tiu uri Ma Ka r na dr ba n Ma ur ba n ur tak a as u ad w mi lN rro Ta Ha ral ru rth ll ds wo tha W an So u ve n try 0 Co (%) Centre of Excellence Collaborating Centre Prevalence and management of diabetes Whites (n=380) 90% South Asian (n=340) 10% New Known untreated Known treated Cappuccio FP et al. Br J Diabetes Vasc Dis 2003; 3: 286-93 Centre of Excellence Collaborating Centre Smoking prevalence Cappuccio FP et al. Br J Diabetes Vasc Dis 2003; 3: 286-93 Centre of Excellence Body mass and adiposity Collaborating Centre BMI (kg/m2) Waist:Hip *P<0.001 White (n=524) S Asian (n=505) ♂ 25.8 24.8* ♀ 26.1 27.1* ♂ 0.92 0.94* ♀ 0.80 0.85* The two authors have an identical BMI, but as dual X-ray absorptiometry shows, Yainik (R) has substantially more body fat than Yudkin (L) (21.2% v 9.1%). Lifestyle may be relevant: Yudkin runs marathons whereas Yajnik’s main exercise is running to beat the closing doors of the elevator in the hospital every morning. The image is a useful reminder of the limitations of BMI as a measure of adiposity across populations. Yajnik CS & Yudkin JS. Lancet 2004; 363: 163 Centre of Excellence Homocysteine in South Asians Centre of Excellence Collaborating Centre Case-control study in the UK Cross-sectional study in Canada 12 E:507;SA:518 E:294;SA:257 Men Men & women combined P<0.0001 Fasting homocysteine (umol/l) 11 S. Asians (n=342) 10 Europeans (n=326) 9 Chinese (n=317) 8 Chambers JC et al. Lancet 2000; 355: 523-7 Anand SS et al. Lancet 2000; 356: 279-84 Plasma homocysteine levels by ethnic and cultural background Collaborating Centre Total homocysteine (mmol/l) 13 12 11 10 9 Adjusted for age,sex,BMI,smoking Adjusted for age,sex,BMI,smoking, vegetarianism P<0.001 Cappuccio FP et al. Atherosclerosis 2002;164: 95-102 b ea n C ar ib A t W es S (geometric mean and 95% CI) fr ic an u sl im .A .M .A .H S W h in d it e u 8 Centre of Excellence Plasma Vitamin C (µmol/l) by Gender and Ethnic Group Collaborating Centre 60 Centre of Excellence P<0.001 50 P=0.048 40 White S Asian 30 20 10 (n=147) (n=169) (n=189) (n=159) 0 Men adjusted for age, BMI, smoking, supplement use and vegetarianism Ness AR et al. Int J Epidemiol 1999;28:450-5 Women Collaborating Centre Prevalence of hypertension by social class in rural India (%) High Low Socioeconomic Status RB Singh et al. J Hum Hypertens 1997 Centre of Excellence Fetal growth and CHD in South India: study in men and women born between 1934 and 1954 Collaborating Centre Centre of Excellence CHD prevalence (%) 20 20 n=517 *p=0.03 15 20 n=512 *p=0.04 15 10 10 10 5 5 5 0 0 0 <5.0 5.1- 5.6- 6.1- 6.6- Birth weight (lb) >7.0 <18 18Birth length (inches) >19 n=511 *p=0.02 15 <13 13- >13.5 Head circumference at birth (inches) *Adjusted for age and sex CE Stein et al. Lancet 1996 Collaborating Centre • • • • Conclusions South Asians are at higher risk of coronary heart disease, stroke and renal failure They have more central adiposity, diabetes and insulin resistance. Hypertension prevalence varies by subgroups, is not well diagnosed and diabetes is not well controlled Vegetarian Hindus have higher homocysteine and lower vitamin C as a result of vegetable overcooking • To improve understanding of risk stratification in migrant populations from the Indian Sub-continent and East Asia • To develop culturally appropriate preventive strategies • To improve detection and management • To study interaction between genes and environment Centre of Excellence