International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 28 Number 6 - October 2015 Development of a Correlation Model between Total Productivity and Partial Productivity Bhargab kalita#1, Semson Boruah#2, Ajoy Krishna Dutta#3 #1 P.G. Student, Production & Industrial Engineering, Dept of ME, Jorhat Engineering College #2 BE, Jorhat Engineering College #3 Assistant Professor, Dept. of ME, Jorhat Engineering College, Jorhat, Assam, India Abstract —Over the last 150 years India has emerged to be the world leader in tea industry in every aspects of production, consumption and export. But unfortunately, at present the productivity performance of Indian tea industry is very dissatisfactory compared to China, Kenya, Sri Lanka etc. The aim of this research work presented in this paper is to analyze the productivity of different tea estates of upper Assam district in India and to compare the results. The survey is expected to reveal correlation model between partial productivity and total productivity and the productivity status of tea estates of upper Assam via questionnaire. The survey covered four tea industry and survey findings are analyzed using minitab-14 through Regression analysis. A quality tool “pareto analysis” was used to sort and arrange critical factors according to the order of importance. After Regression analysis it was seen that the total productivity is greatly dependent on labour productivity. So this study emphasis on development of labour productivity mainly by reducing labour cost and gives other recommendations to improve this productivity. Keywords — Labour productivity, partial productivity, total productivity, minitab-14, Regression analysis and Pareto analysis I. Introduction Historical background and present status of an industry are the most important factor to study about production system of a tea industry. Tea contributes to national economy to a great extent. East India Company has started the cultivation of tea in India (Assam) in the year 1834. Assam produces the first commercial batch of tea ever produced outside China in 1839. The first Indian to start planting of tea was an Assamese nobleman Maniram Dewan. Chinnamara tea estate is the first tea garden of Assam established by great Maniram Dewan in 1850. According to a report (North –East Enquirer, 2002) in the year 2000, the total area of tea production in Assam was 26739 hectare and total production of tea was found to be 451236000 kg. [1]. According to the Directorate of tea, government of Assam there are about 28,000 small tea gardens in Assam producing about 70 million kgs per year. According to another report Assam has over 800 tea plantation which are medium to large size. There are about 2 lakhs small scale co-operative and individual ISSN: 2231-5381 tea firms in Assam. On an average Assam produces over 480 million Kg of tea [1]. Assam produces around 53% of the country‘s total production and also employs more than 10% of the state‘s workforce or around 12 lacks of people. The state wise status of estimated tea production (qty.in m.kgs) for august, 2015 is presented in the Table 1. Table 1: estimated tea production (qty.in m.kgs) for august, 2015 STATE/DIST 2015 2014 INCRE/DECRE ASSAM 81.96 91.47 -9.51 VALLY CACHAR 6.56 8.10 -1.54 ASSAM 88.52 99.57 -11.05 DOOARS 24.66 26.98 -2.32 TERAI 17.50 17.98 -0.48 DARJEELIN 1.48 1.44 0.04 G WEST 43.64 46.40 -2.76 BENGAL OTHERS 3.42 3.87 -0.45 NORTH 135.5 149.8 -14.26 INDIA 8 4 TAMILNAD 12.08 10.50 1.58 U KERALA 4.63 3.38 1.25 KARNATAK 0.42 0.28 0.14 A SOUTH 17.13 14.16 2.97 INDIA ALL INDIA 152.7 164.0 -11.29 1 0 Source: Tea Board, India [2] II. Objective 1. Calculation of total Productivity and partial Productivity by considering tea estates in upper Assam and compare the productivity for three years . 2. To find out the mathematical relationship between Partial and total Productivity . 3. Pareto analysis to find out the factors that warrant the most attention. http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 311 International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 28 Number 6 - October 2015 III. Literature Review IV. Problems Faced by the Assam Tea Industry Table 2: Literature Review There are some problems due to which productivity of Assam tea industry decreases. The factors which are responsible for it are summarized below : A. Lower Price of Tea In the International Market: Global tea prices have fallen due to a glut came by favourable weather in Kenya, china & India. Falling price can bit sells, growth but high volumes can also result in fixed costs that are quite high in the plantation business. B. High Cost of Production: The cost of production of tea in India is the highest amongst all tea producing countries this is making our tea less competitive in the international markets. Electricity and fuel price has been increased rapidly which leads to increase the cost of production. C. Decrease in Production: Declining production and interior quality are the twin problem now plaguing tea plantation in Assam. The main reason for that are shortage of labours, old tea bushes, failure Of Owners To Modernize Their Plantation & The Cerotic Climate Condition Etc. Name of Author(s) Hyber W., et al Year of Publication 1956 Gupta R ., et al 2006-10 Asopa ., et al 2007 Nagoor ., et al 2009 Baten M.A ., et al 2010 Gupta R ., et al 2010 Ramakrishnan 2010 Chang ., et al 2010 Bagyalakshni R ., et al 2012 Ongog J.O ., et al 2013 ISSN: 2231-5381 Key Findings of the study improve labour relations in building trades is the progress in assuring steady employment. attempts to propose a simple productivity measurement model suitable for tea industry Indian Tea Industry needs to face market realities, redefine its business strategies and reposition its products to gain profit. performance of India‘s tea exports is declining steadily. continues efforts to upgrade technology and equipment are required to increase efficiency. safety plays an big role for increased productivity in the tea industry . increasing popularity of green tea as well as orthodox tea effects export. high investment in research and development, labour, land and capital and use of fertilizer, machinery increases productivity . Significant Influence of indigenous potassium Solubilising Bacteria on Tea Productivity tea mechanical harvesting is an important method of adopting innovation for high productivity . D. Other Factors: a) Soil erosion in hilly area b) Large area under old bushes c) Slow rate of re -plantation. V. Methodology The primary data has been collected from the respondents of selected tea estates of Upper Assam. The survey instrument used is a questionnaire regarding their labour input, capital input, materials input, energy input, miscellaneous input and total outputs in terms of monetary equivalent .Personal interview is done with the factory managers after observing the factory processes. Secondary data has been collected from Websites, Library, Journals, Magazines etc. for supportive and other information. Data collected is used for productivity analysis and analyzed using statistical software package minitab14 through Regression analysis. Statistical quality tool Pareto analysis was used to sort and arrange the critical factors according to the order of importance. VI. Manufacturing Process of Black Tea Once the fresh leafs are plucked immediately brought in to the factory, the leaf undergoes a process which transforms fresh leaf into black tea, or ‗made tea‘. On average, 22 to 25 kgs of made tea is produced from every 100kgs of fresh leaf. This process has been honed and perfected for more than hundred years and demands great deal of expertise and experience to ensure that the quality of the tea should not compromised in any stage of the manufacturing process. http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 312 International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 28 Number 6 - October 2015 8.1 Total Productivity Measure (TPM) 8.2 Partial Productivity Measure (PPM) Plucking A. Total productivity measure Withering It is based on all inputs. This model can be applied to any manufacturing organisation or service company: CTC Machining Total productivity= Fermentation or Oxidation B. Partial productivity measure Depending upon the individual input the partial productivity measures can be expressed as: Drying Partial Productivity = Sorting and Grading C. Productivity Measuring Model VII. PRODUCTIVITY Productivity is the quantitative relationship between output and resource to produce them. It can be expressed as:Productivity = R. Gupta and S.K. Dey [1] developed a productivity model for tea industry. They taking account all the Input parameter related to a tea industry for labour productivity measurement of a particular tea estate. (In monetary value)According to this model following input parameters are considered as follows: VIII. Productivity Measures Total Productivity = There are two kinds of productivity measure method. They are- Fig 1: Schematic Diagram of Black Tea Manufacturing Process Table 3: Output, input, partial productivity (Tea Estate 1) Year Total Output (Per Year) Input Partial Productivity LABOUR (L) CAPITAL (C) ENERGY (E) MATERIAL (M) MISC L C E M 2009-10 151363285 39975068 13325022.67 9491818 16434667 19734456 3.78 11.35 15.94 9.21 2010-11 106074798 36893066 12297688.67 10280433 13884135 16783987 2.87 8.62 10.31 7.64 2011-12 136433870 40219046 13406348 11243363 15574608 15312443 3.39 10.17 12.13 8.76 MISC 7.67 6.32 8.91 Table 4: Total Productivity ( Tea Estate 1 ) Total Productivity= Year Total Output Total Input 2009-10 151363285 59385713.67 2.54 2010-11 106074798 90139309.67 1.17 2011-12 136433870 95755808 1.42 ISSN: 2231-5381 http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 313 International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 28 Number 6 - October 2015 Table 5: Output, input, partial productivity (Tea Estate 2 ) Year Total Output (Per Year) Input LABOUR (L) 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 1413630 05 1360847 28 1134518 89 32102706 33427652 26422195 Partial Productivity CAPITA L (C) 1070090 2 1114255 1 8807398 ENERGY (E) 10191997 MATERIA L (M) 23639298 11782227 21808450 9193572 21133351 MISC L C E M MISC 149715 83.08 158977 48.60 152772 28.00 3.50 13.21 13.87 5.98 9.44 4.07 12.22 11.55 6.24 8.56 4.29 12.90 12.34 5.38 7.42 Table 6: Total Productivity ( Tea Estate 2 ) Year Total Output Total Input Total Productivity= 2009-10 141363005 91606486 1.54 2010-11 136084728 94058629 1.44 2011-12 113451889 80833744 1.40 Table 7: Output, input, partial productivity (Tea Estate 3 ) Year 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Total Output (Per Year) 1413630 05.6 1120747 28.7 1097680 79.5 Input LABOUR (L) 43176434. 35 47606225. 77 34957987. 11 Partial Productivity CAPITAL (C) 14392144. 78 15868741. 92 11652662. 37 ENERGY (E) 10471333 MATERIAL (M) 11066157 7422167 11460295 8575631 1112659 MISC L C E M MISC 183827 05 194339 53 196014 42 2.96 9.82 13.5 12.7 7.69 2.59 7.06 15.1 9.79 5.7 3.14 9.42 12.8 10.2 5.6 Table 8: Total Productivity ( Tea Estate 3 ) Year Total Output Total Input Total Productivity= 2009-10 141363005.6 97488774 1.45 2010-11 112074728.7 101791383 1.10 2011-12 109768079.5 75900381 1.44 ISSN: 2231-5381 http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 314 International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 28 Number 6 - October 2015 Table 9: Output, input, partial productivity (Tea Estate 4 ) Year 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Total Output (Per Year) Input 1050367 5 1208796 0 1073321 8 LABOUR (L) 9702377 10230520 8256322 Partial Productivity CAPITAL (C) 3234125.6 6 3410173.3 3 2752107.3 3 ENERGY (E) 2369679 MATERIAL (M) 1384855 2816569 2197810 3171480 1432079 MISC L C E M MISC 179611 4 159523 4 189319 7 1.08 3.24 4.43 4.4 5.84 1.18 3.54 4.56 5.5 7.5 1.3 3.89 3.38 7.49 5.6 Table 10: Total Productivity ( Tea Estate 4 ) Year Total Output Total Input Total Productivity= 2009-10 10503675 18487151 .56 2010-11 12087960 20250306 .59 2011-12 10733218 17505185 .61 Total productivities of the four tea estates, for various years are shown graphicallyTOTAL PRODUCTIVITY year 2011-12 . For Tea Estate 2 total productivity is decreasing. In Tea Estate 3 it is decreasing 2010-11 and increasing 2011-12 .Lastly Tea Estate 4 total productivity is increasing day by day due to control of labour cost. 2011-12 2010-11 2009-10 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 T.E 1 T.E 1 A. REGRESSION ANALYSIS T.E 2 Total Productivity versus partial (L, M, E, Misc.) Productivity The Regression Equation is T.E 3 T.E 3 T.E 4 YEAR Fig. 2: Graphical comparison of Total Productivity of Tea Estates 1, 2, 3 and 4 IX. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION It is seen that total productivity of Tea Estate 1 is first decreasing in 2010-11 and again increasing in the ISSN: 2231-5381 Total Productivity = - 0.248 + 0.177 L+0.0721C + 0.0527 M + 0.0521 MISC + 0.0321 E Where Total productivity is dependent variable and partial productivity is independent variable. From the above equation it is seen that labour is the key factor for the productivity change and energy has the least effect. Since labour productivity has the major influence on Total productivity hence to increase total productivity, increase in labour productivity by reducing labour cost is necessary and have more increase of total output. Since this equation has been developed on the background of CTC method of tea http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 315 International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 28 Number 6 - October 2015 processing, the regressed equation is valid for all the tea industries of Upper Assam. A Pareto diagram is a type of bar chart in which the various factors which contribute to overall effect are orderly arranged, according to the magnitude of their effect. This ordering of such factors helps in identifying the ―vital few‖ (the factors that warrant the most attention) from the ―useful many‖ (factors that have a relatively smaller effect). Here in this work, the main objective is to improve the profit of tea garden, by scoring problems on the basis of how much they are costing. Table 11: Input parameters based on their importance Normal Probability Plot of the Residuals (response is TOTAL PRODUCTIVITY) 99 95 90 Percent 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 1 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 Residual 0.1 B. PARETO ANALYSIS 0.2 0.3 Fig 3: Best fitted curve 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 100 89 VITAL FEW 75 60 TRIVIAL MANY 40 Fig 4 : Pareto Diagram It is seen from the pareto analysis labour, capital and material inputs plays the most influencing role in the overall profit of tea estates visited. X. LIMITATION OF THIS STUDY Since only four tea estates have provided data related to calculation of partial and total productivity so this case study is not a general one. Unfortunately they cannot provide all data related to data-sheet so this study unable to view actual productivity measurement. 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 CUMULATIVE PERCENTAGE COST ASSOCIATED PARETO ANALYSIS the Tea Estates visited. Proper motivation , training, organic fertilizer , new technology should be come into play to achieve high productivity also there is a growing need for advanced quality managerial COST ASSOCIAT ED WITH TEA INDUSTRY SCORE (BASED ON COST ASSOCIAT ED WITH THEM) PERC ENT CUMULATI VE PERCENT LABOUR 40 40% 40% CAPITAL 20 20% 60% 15 15% 75% MISCELLA NEOUS 14 14% 89% ENERGY 11 11% 100% MATERIAL XI. CONCLUSION From productivity calculation, regression and Pareto analysis it is seen that labour, capital and material productivity has the major effects on productivity of ISSN: 2231-5381 Practices .Tea industry in Assam are expected to rise http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 316 International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT) – Volume 28 Number 6 - October 2015 above from their present state through training and skill development, in order to play a more important role in supporting the requirements of India's development process. The findings of this study will help the Tea factory managers in improving Productivity. XII. REFERENCE [1] ―Tea Statistics‖, Tea Board of India, 2014-15. [2]William Hyber, Harold M.Levinson (1956): labour relations and productivity in the building trades. Bureau of industrial relations, University of Michigan, PP-23-34 [3]Asopa, V.N (2007), ‗Tea Industry of India: The cup that cheers has tears‘, Indian Institute of Management, Ahmadabad, India W.P.NO.2007-07-02, July [4] R. Gupta and S.K. Dey, ―Development of a productivity measurement model for tea industry‖, ISBN – 1819-6608, 20062010. [5] Dr. Jared O. Ongog‘s and Mr. Albert Ochieng, ―Innovation in the tea Industry: The case of Kericho tea, Kenya‖, ISBN: 09755853, Volume 13, 2013. [6] Md. Azizul Baten, Anton AbdulbasahKamiland Mohammad Anamul Haque, ―Productive efficiency of tea industry: A stochastic frontier approach.‖ 31 May, 2010, ISSN – 1684 – 5315. [7] Dr. S.K. Dey and Dr. R. Gupta, ― Development of safety and productivity correlation Model for tea Industries of Barak Valley, Assam e- ISSN – 2250-3021, Vol -2. [8] Bagyalakshni, P. Ppm, irigam. S. Marimuthu, ―Influence of Potassium solubilising bacteria on crop productivity and quality of tea.‖ ISSN – 1991-637x2012. 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July, 2004, p.40 [16] Govt. of Assam (2008) District Profile, Jorhat at industriesassam.nic.in/jorhat.doc [17]http://www.indialine.com/travel/assam/tea-gardens.html [18] Wikipedia (2008) Tea Tribes, available at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tea-tribes, visited on Aug. 15, 2008. [19] Ananta Kr. Nath, Ajoy Krishna Dutta, ―Productivity Analysis of Black Tea Production in Tea Industry.‖ ISSN: 2249-5770, IJRMET Vol. 5, 2015. ISSN: 2231-5381 http://www.ijettjournal.org Page 317