Digital revolution:
are we ready?
Mario Maniewicz,
Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling
environment and ICT applications,
ITU/BDT
14th Global Symposium for Regulators (GSR):
Capitalizing on the potential of the digital world
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author and do not necessarily
reflect the opinions of the ITU or its Membership.
A day in the [digital] world
1994
2014
3000
petabytes of IP traffic
1.5m
people start
using mobile
for the 1st time
1/2b
photos uploaded
22
1st
months
of video on the
internet per
second
5-10h
use of multiple
1b+
people on
social media
screens
183b
emails sent
Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT
History of the future
One to many to any: ICTs from happy few to the masses
Mainframe (1 computer, many people)
PC (1 person, 1 computer)
Digital native computing (1 person, many screens)
Internet of everything
Artificial
intelligence
Volumes, B
Mobile broadband,
smartphones, tablets
Mass wearables
Cognitive
computing
Social Media
Connected car
Internet born
Internet of things
www
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT
2050
Growing digital
Growth in internet usage
Digital haves vs. have-nots,
2014 %
7
Fixed
bb,
10
6
Billions, users
Mobile bb,
32
4
3
200
Cloud IP traffic
Social media active users
150
Internet users
Fixed broadband
Mobile broadband subs
100
2
50
1
0
0
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014*2016*2018*2020*
Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT
IP traffic, exabytes/month
Traditional IP traffic
5
Unconnected,
58
250
A selfie of the ICT sector today
Operator 2
IP core network
Converged
fixed/mobile
network
Fibre ring
Radio
production
TV
production
Interconnection
Operator 1
IP core network
Converged
fixed/mobile
network
OTT
service
providers
Mass storage
Point to point backhaul
3G/4G
WiMax mast
Fibre ring
WiMax
Office/home
WiFi
Street box
Office/home
WiFi
Office/home
WiFi
3G/4G
WiMax mast
Smart phone,
tablet or laptop
Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT
The sky is the limit
ENABLERS
NEW VALUE PROPOSITIONS
Cloud
Big data
Mobile
Social Media
Online payments
Simplification
Diversification
Immersion
DIGITAL
TRANSFORMATION
Compete
Innovate
Integrate
INHIBITORS
Privacy
Data protection
New monopolies
Agility
Scalability
Digital skills
Lock-in
Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT
Who’s got the power?
New usage patterns
More affordable
Doing more online
More services
and content
Consumer
Multiple screens
Mobile
More time spent online
Smarter devices
Direct demand for
new services
Higher speeds
Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT
6 shades of regulation
Who regulates?
ICT / competition
/data protection
regulator
What?
Who to regulate?
Pricing, QoS,
spectrum
Telcos, netcos, OTT
Policy
& regulation
How?
Light touch, self& co-regulation,
ADR
Where?
When?
At the national,
regional,
international level
Ex ante vs ex post
Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT
Digital futures
Agility, Creativity
Trust
Global flows
Openness & Sharing
Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT
Thank you!