University of Southern California Marshall School of Business BUAD 310: Applied Business Statistics Instructor: Subhashish Chakravarty, Ph.D. Office: 400E BRI Email: subhashc@marshall.usc.edu Tel: 213-740-9368. Office hours: Tuesday 10-12 noon (or by appointment) Course Objectives. You will learn how to summarize, analyze and interpret real-world data, aiding you to make business decisions. You will learn to apply your knowledge to critically examine the use of Statistics by others. You will encounter examples where Statistics has an impact on your daily life and career. The class is designed in such a way that you can approach this course without the anxiety often associated with Statistics. No mathematical background beyond high school algebra is required for an understanding of the material. The requisite mathematical knowledge beyond high school Algebra will be developed in class. Course Website. There is a Blackboard site for the course under the BUAD 310 heading. I will use this site as the main correspondence and information area for the course. The site will provide schedule updates/changes, class slides and handouts, homework assignments, practice problems for exams, additions to reading requirements, etc. It is your responsibility to check the blackboard site and your email daily to ensure class preparation. Required Course Materials. The textbook is available at the bookstore. Stine & Foster, 2011, Statistics for Business: Decision Making and Analysis, Pearson Publishing. For tests and HWs you will require a calculator. Software. To effectively learn and use Statistics, I will use the statistical software MINITAB. Instructions on its use will be provided. You can use MS Excel or similar statistical software if you want for the HWs, but for the case study, use of MINITAB is mandatory. You will be tested on interpreting MINITAB output. If you are connected to the USC network, you can remotely access the program by logging on to mymarshall.usc.edu and selecting the Marshall Virtual Lab option under the Services tab. MINITAB is available on machines in the computer labs. Grades, Assignments, and Course Structure. 1. Grading. Your final grade will be assessed as follows: Homework Assignments Case Analysis Two Midterms (2 x 20%) 15% 10% 40% BUAD 310 Final examination Class Participation 30% 5% 2. Class Attendance & Participation. Class participation is worth 5% of your grade. This grade is based on your performance in SURPRISE QUIZES (6 in total, lowest grade to be dropped), class exercises and attendance. I strongly suggest that you attend all classes. They will give you a sense of what I feel is important in the class, as well as give you an opportunity to question ideas that are confusing. I encourage, as well as expect, questions during the lectures. Besides the homework and test grades, this is really my only source of information about how comfortable you are with the pace of the course. You need to give me feedback or I will assume that everyone is comfortable with the material and will keep moving forward. I have no problem going over a concept multiple times. If you feel uneasy bringing up your questions in class, there are plenty of opportunities to speak with me one-on-one. I am always accessible by e-mail, and will be more than happy to speak with you before or after class or during office hours. Note: if your question requires more than a short answer (e.g. you are asking me how to solve a homework problem), email is not the best way to go – please talk to me during office hours, and I will be happy to answer your question. If for some reason you are unable to attend class on a particular day, DO NOT SEND ME AN EMAIL TO ASK WHAT WAS COVERED IN CLASS. It is solely your responsibility to catch up with the material you missed. In the classroom, all discussions should be directed towards the whole class. Cell phones and pagers NEED TO BE POWERED OFF FOR THE DURATION OF THE CLASS. 3. Homework. Homework problems based on the material in the lectures will be assigned approximately every two weeks. You should indicate clearly how you obtained your solution and make sure that you have given a valid explanation. Computer printouts without commentary are not adequate for full credit. Working with other students on homework problems is allowed, but direct copying is not allowed. You are required to prepare and submit your own homework answers. The solutions to the homework problems will be available through Blackboard. Make sure you check your solutions. Homework assignments also provide a good set of practice problems for the tests. Each assignment is due by the beginning of class on the date indicated. The due dates are listed in the Course Schedule and the assignments will be posted on Blackboard. Late assignments will not be accepted. 4. Case Analysis. You will analyze one case during the semester. The case assignment will consist of statistical analyses and a short summary. The questions will be constructed in order to lead you through some of the topics covered in class and the summary should consist of a write-up that translates the quantitative findings into a realworld analysis. This will be a group project; you can work in groups of size no greater than 5. Each group should submit one copy of the report with the names of the participants clearly on the front cover. The groups will not be assigned, so you are free to form them on your own. 5. Midterms and Final Exam. All tests and the final will have only multiple choice questions. I will provide the scantron and you will have to get HB2 pencils to mark on them. You will also need to bring your own calculators to the tests and final. The calculator cannot be your cell phone, nor can you share calculators during the exams. The two tests will be given at the beginning of class on the dates announced in the course schedule and you can use as much of the class time as you wish to take the test. You may bring two handwritten sheet (8.5X11, both sides) containing definitions and formulae to each test, and you will be allowed four sheets (both sides) for the final exam. No make-ups of tests will be given. You will receive a grade of zero for each missed test unless you have a written excuse from your doctor or the University. The final examination will be on Wednesday, December 14th from 4:30 – 6:30PM. Note that it is an exception final. It does not take place at 2 BUAD 310 the regularly listed time. The final exam is comprehensive (this is inevitable in a Statistics course) but greater emphasis will be given to the material taught later in the semester. You cannot be exempted from this final under any circumstances. The final exam will not be given at any other time. According to the USC Office of Academic Records and Registrar, “No student in a course with a final examination is permitted to omit the final examination or take the final examination prior to its scheduled date, and no instructor is authorized to permit a student to do so. No student is allowed to re-take a final examination or do extra work in a course after the semester has ended for purposes of improving his or her grade.” Discussion of homework problems is permitted and encouraged; however, each student is required to prepare and submit his or her solutions, including computer work, independently. Duplication of homework solutions and computer output prepared in whole or in part by someone else is not acceptable and is considered plagiarism. Collaboration of any sort on tests and exams is prohibited and will result in a 0 on that exam. I reserve the right to bring any potential cheating issues to the administration for further penalties. I welcome comments about the course, either in person or by e-mail. Your feedback is important! 3 BUAD 310 TENTATIVE COURSE SCHEDULE – BUAD 310 Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Date 8/22 8/24 8/29 8/31 9/05 9/07 9/12 9/14 9/19 9/21 9/26 9/28 10/03 10/05 10/10 10/12 10/17 10/19 10/24 10/26 10/31 11/02 11/07 11/09 11/14 11/16 11/21 11/23 11/28 11/30 Topic Introduction/Blackboard/Minitab Descriptive Statistics Descriptive Statistics Probability Holiday I Probability Random Variables Normal Distribution Normal Distribution Sampling Distributions Confidence Intervals Midterm I Confidence Intervals /Sample Size Determination Hypothesis Testing Hypothesis Testing Chi Square Chi Square Covariance & Correlation Simple Linear Regression I Simple Linear Regression II Simple Linear Regression III Simple Linear Regression IV Simple Linear Regression V/Review Midterm II Multiple Regression I Multiple Regression II Multiple Regression III Holiday II Multiple Regression IV/V Review for Final 12/14 FINAL EXAM Chapter [Stine & Foster] 2, 3 4 7 8 9, 10 12 12 13, 14 15 Due HW1 HW2 15 16 18 5, Appendix B 5, Appendix B 6 19,21 21 22 20 20 23 23 24 25 25 HW3 HW4 HW5 Case 4:306:30pm 4