Measuring living standards: developing quick expenditure questions Wednesday 23 April 2014 Nuffield Foundation - 28 Bedford Square, London, WC1B 3JS Programme 09:30 Registration 10:00 Welcome and introduction 10:15 Why are households that report the lowest incomes so well-off? Measuring living standards with income and consumption. Presented by Mike Brewer (ISER, University of Essex and Institute for Fiscal Studies) 11:00 Break 11:15 Measuring living standards: developing quick expenditure questions. Presented by Margaret Blake (NatCen Social Research), Thomas Crossley (University of Essex and Institute for Fiscal Studies) and Joanna D’Ardenne (NatCen Social Research) 12:00 Questions and discussion Chair: Sharon Witherspoon MBE (Director, Nuffield Foundation) 12:30 Finish Summary Researchers from the Institute for Fiscal Studies, NatCen Social Research and the University of Essex will present two pieces of work on measuring household living standards. First, we will summarise the UK evidence that consumption is a superior measure of household living standards. Much research is concerned with the living standards of households, how equally distributed are these living standards, and whether the level of or the inequality in living standards are becoming more or less unequal over time. When making these assessments, it is common to use the net income of a household as a proxy for its standard or living; indeed, in the UK, there are statutory measures of child poverty against which the government of the day has to report progress annually, all of which define “poverty” in terms of a low household income; similar targets exist at the level of the European Union. An alternative, long-favoured by economists, is to use a household’s consumption as a proxy for its standard of living, where “consumption” is defined as a household’s expenditure, plus the benefits it derives from durable goods, including housing. At any point in time, consumption and income will differ because households can borrow or save and will benefit from their stock of accumulated durable goods, but current consumption should be a better guide to a household’s long-term standard of living than current income. Furthermore, some have argued that income in household surveys is under-reported for households with low resources, giving a practical reason to use consumption rather than income. This paper uses data from the UK household budget surveys (the Living Cost and Food Survey and its predecessors) to construct four decades of consistent micro-data on households’ income and consumption. A key step in this is to estimate the consumption flow (or the imputed income) from housing. Adding an imputed income (or consumption flow) from housing to a measure of household resources makes a substantial difference to average annual growth rates in living standards, and particular so for elderly households. This reflects that housing has risen in value faster than other goods, and home-ownership rates have risen over time. Inequality and relative poverty grew less rapidly when measured with consumption. In recent years, the relative position of elderly households in the distribution of living standards improves markedly if we assess living standards by consumption or a measure of income that includes an imputed income from housing, compared to using the usual measure of near-cash income. And there are clear cohort effects when considering this broader measure of income or consumption that are not seen with the usual measure of near-cash income, with each successive cohort of adults aged 65 being less likely to be in the bottom decile group of living standards than their predecessors. The paper recommends that official measures of the relative living standards should take account of the value of housing, either by imputing the income stream or consumption flow. This in turn may require surveys to collect better information about the quality – and, ideally, value – of housing in UK household surveys. And this should be informed by further consideration of how one should value housing (in welfare terms) given the existence of large financial and, arguably, psychological transaction costs to moving house. Second, we will report on research (funded by the Nuffield Foundation) towards developing quick, reliable expenditure questions for general social surveys. That research involved an innovative mix of focus groups, cognitive testing and early results from an experiment in the innovation panel of Understanding Society. Measuring households’ living standards has long been a fundamental concern of social science. However, the UK’s most widely-used measure of material wellbeing – household disposable income – has many well-known limitations. Households with identical incomes may enjoy widely differing living standards, due to differing savings or other assets, and access to credit. Moreover, having a low income in a household survey is surprisingly poorly related to being a deprived household in a more general sense. Despite these limitations, virtually all major UK household surveys include questions regarding income, while few contain questions regarding household consumption expenditure – arguably a less noisy, more accurate gauge of living standards. The reason is simple: there is no proven, reliable approach to collecting expenditure information, quickly and accurately, in the context of a general purpose survey. This event is funded by the Nuffield Foundation and the ESRC Centre for the Microeconomic Analysis of Public Policy at IFS.