21 October 2005 panoramas State of SSEC, 2006 Hank Revercomb, Director University of Wisconsin - Madison Space Science and Engineering Center (SSEC) 12 December 2006 Celebration of a Life Bruce Koci, 1943-2006 Named Places in Antarctica Koci Cliffs * Named after Bruce Koci, Ice Coring and Drilling Services, University of Wisconsin-Madison, an authority in ice drilling with broad experience for many years in Antarctica and Greenland. Date named: 1994 A thank you presented to Bruce’s wife Ann from the NSF Office of Polar Programs Prepared by the US Geological Service Environmental Remote Sensing Center (ERSC) joins SSEC Sam Batzli, Assistant Scientist Jon Chipman, Assistant Scientist Tim Olsen, Geospatial Education Specialist Professor Steve Ventura, Soils & NI, Interim Director (as Tom Lillisand and Frank Scarpace retire) Welcome! The possibilities are exciting. Environmental Remote Sensing Center Worked with Wisc DNR to … • Measure water clarity in 7500 lakes • Map invasive plants in wetlands statewide • Radio-track carp in Lake Wingra 2002 Began new 3-year NASA project • Monitor water levels in lakes worldwide • Assess water quality in selected lakes 2006 Gave EPA-supported workshop • Remote sensing for lake management New: agriculture & public health • Remote sensing, irrigation, & infectious disease in Egypt Data Distribution & Regional Observing Systems WI 1-meter imagery online • WisconsinView is the online distributor of free statewide aerial imagery with over 2,900 registered users in 2006. Great Lakes Observing System • Represented interests of GLOS at an Integrated Ocean Observing System remote sensing meeting Data Fusion NSF Proposal • Seeking funding to merge meteorological data with land information in GIS web service formats. Education & Outreach On-going activities in Alaska and Wisconsin • Research-based education and outreach for ERSC • Many different ways… many different people… Topics A. SSEC, the Center B. Our Science & Engineering C. Other 2006 Events A1. SSEC General Our science and technology capabilities remain diverse and sound Our financial picture is healthy (Reasonable spending growth and cash balance) We have an ever growing group of scientists & engineers that actively pursue new programs, which gives us insurance in times of changing commitments at NASA and ways of doing business at NOAA We are investing in the pursuit of major future programs Everyone’s contributions to our shared successes is very much appreciated! SSEC spending: Growth slows at healthy level Dollars (M$) SSEC Annual Spending (SFY) 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 Year The balance in bank is stable (and positive) Congratulations to everyone; thanks for your great efforts 2006 Spending by Source: ~ $20.6 M Other* 8% DOD DOE 6% 3% NASA 25% NSF 28% NOAA 30% *includes MUG & non-federal money Repeating, Things looks very good, but We know there are still a number of elephants out National Events that influence our work i.e. Reading the Tea Leaves (“we are living in interesting times”) GOES-R (NOAA): – Now only includes 2 spacecraft (R & S), with ABI and lightning mapper (no operational high resolution sounder or coastal waters imager). – A demonstration advanced sounder has been recommended, but… – Algorithm and processing system development being organized under NOAA (single prime approach rejected by high-level Independent Review Team) NASA Science – Priority frustrations continue & high-level resignations ensued as Griffin cuts science, and Roses selections for EOS continuations are delayed – Planning to support some Decadal Survey recommendations Decadal Survey of Earth Science and Applications from Space National Research Council, National Academy Co-Chairs, Rick Anthes & Berrien Moore – Final report due soon—expect strong recommendation for GIFTS and for IR Benchmark Climate Mission— other SSEC/CIMSS possibilities include, Antarctic Polar Sitter, Cloud Ice Experiment, and Polar Winds from Molniya Orbit) Equity and Diversity (1) SSEC is committed to building diversity in our staff and to fostering the fair and equal treatment of all SSEC employees and the people working with us. Workplace Climate Survey evaluated by SSEC Committee Report available at http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/employee_info/climate-survey-report/ Inputs to the Committee or the directors are encouraged Annual progress report submitted to Graduate School as part of University-level effort Mike Dean participated in Graduate School E & D Committee climate survey presentation (SSEC representative) Equity and Diversity Committee made permanent as recommended and committee polices established. Current membership is Mike Dean, Wayne Feltz, Leslie Moy, Mark Mulligan (Chair), Jean Phillips, Drew Rushmer, and Jean Stover Equity and Diversity (2) Action Item Progress: Power-assisted doors to ease building access Our Recruitment Effort Plans (REPs) for new positions now include announcing our positions to over 500 targeted Colleges and Universities as well as publications that specifically target women and minorities. Memoranda of Agreement for cooperation and student exchange set up with Hampton U and CCNY that both have large minority representation SSEC conducted a weeklong workshop in Madison for Hampton U and CCNY students, focusing on using data analysis and visualization tools to conduct meteorological research SSEC collaborated with Hampton University on an educational outreach project called "Science on a Sphere“ to provide, develop and implement educational applications for NOAA’s Science on a Sphere in the Nauticus Museum A recent successful NSF Major Research Instrumentation proposal includes letters of support for collaboration from UW-Milwaukee, Hampton U and CCNY Hampton University (HU) MOA Collaborative agreement opens up joint research, teaching, and student connections/exchanges, and Science on a Sphere in the NOAA portion of the Nauticus Museum Nauticus Museum, Norfolk, VA Science on a Sphere NSF Major Instrumentation Call: Microwave & Lidar Instrumentation to Enhance UW Facilities for State-of-the-Art Cloud Observations Investigators: Steve Ackerman, Dave Turner, Ed Eloranta & Wayne Feltz New instruments for Bago deployment: – HSRL like Ed’s new aircraft instrument to be built here at SSEC – Microwave Profiler – High-frequency Microwave with high sensitivity to low Liquid Water Path amounts (both from Radiometer Physics, Germany) Microwave Profiler “HATPRO” 22-30 GHz & 52-58 GHz for T(p), WV(p) & LWP Microwave radiometer 90 GHz & 150 GHz, 3-4 times more sensitivity to low LWP Lake Mendota Buoy Project Collaboration between SSEC and Limnology Measures: – – – – Wind speed Direction Air temperature Water temperature to 15 m (0.5 m vertical resolution) – Dissolved gas concentration » O2, CO2, …. Thanks to Bob Holz, Jonathan Thom, and Fred Best Education and Public Outreach OSSE Earth Science teachers & students VISIT Training Sessions 40th Year of geostationary satellites Office of Space Science Education (OSSE) Juno, the polar orbiting spacecraft mission to Jupiter has a launch date in October 2011: – – Venus Express, European mission to Venus: – Middle school students Juno, Venus Express, and Climate Change are featured topics India: – – – 1st joint ESA and NASA EPO Teacher Workshop held in Berlin, Germany, 20 Sept 2006 Workshop at International School in Brusslls: – – Rosalyn Pertzborn will lead Juno’s approximately $12 million Education and Public Outreach (EPO) program The program targets rural America as the primary audience, Juno discovering Jupiter including regions with substantial Native American and Hispanic populations, and young women 8 December 2005 new release “UW forges new ties with Indian educators, researchers” McIDAS acquired by India Meteorological Department Indian Space Research Organization jointed MUG to use McIDAS with INSAT data. One Sky, Two Views: – – – American Indian Star Stories used to present concepts of space science Visited 6 Wisconsin schools in 2006 Collaboration with Patty Loew with Io 2006 Outreach Highlights AMS WeatherFest, Science Expeditions, GPU, Workshops, UW Science Alliance, WSST… to name a few CIMSS 14th Student Workshop Grandparents University Teacher Workshop AMS WeatherFest Margaret Mooney Scott Bachmeier 40th Year of GEO Satellites 6 December 2006 A celebration and an effort to spread the word to Wisconsinites “Verner Suomi was a giant of modern science. His inventions were simple and elegant, and their consequences are ubiquitous. Anyone looking at a satellite image of the earth on the evening weather is looking at the product of a rare mind” John D. Wiley, 1995 SSEC Co-Founder Verner E. Suomi (1915-1995) Keep it simple All I need is a little group … We’ll keep a critical eye on earth & its environment And in this connection, I am happy to again announce that the Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Department has established a Professorship in Vern’s honor The Verner E Suomi Distinguished Professorship And the first occupant will be none other than our friend and colleague, Dr. Paul Menzel The Suomi Science Museum at the University of Wisconsin-Madison Atmospheric, Oceanic and Space Sciences Building http://museum.ssec.wisc.edu SSEC’s Newest “Sounder” Debuts at Picnic! A2. SSEC Administrative Services and Facilities Thanks! We get such great support for all of our projects! Personnel/Human Relations Processed 23 Academic & Classified Reclasses, Rate, and Title changes (101 in last 3 years) Hiring rate has slowed a bit-more normal 23 Academic & Classified hires 10 Student & Grad Student hires 3 Retirements: Evan Richards, Terri Gregory, Dave Allen Personnel/Human Relations One very exciting title change, SSEC now has the first Distinguished Scientist in the GS: Congratulations to Allen Huang!!! Purchasing/Accounting Purchasing Software – Center's 3rd floor programming staff recently demonstrated the results of a pilot project to UW Purchasing – SSEC's purchasing system is now capable of Web interfacing with and loading orders into UW Purchasing's central system for direct release to vendors – Prior to this major accomplishment, a requisition would have to be re-keyed into three different systems before becoming a Purchase Order – Also demonstrated for central Purchasing were core methods whereby less sophisticated departments could implement similar functionality from simple Excel based departmental systems Purchases $2,664,345 total, with 60% from Specific orders (4% of releases) 36% from Credit Card (90% of releases) 4% from Blanket Orders (6% of releases) Did Dave Allen really retire? Schwerdtfeger Library New Wisconsin Weather web page for general public – One of the most popular sites cataloged in MadCat refined by Dan Bull & David An: http://library.ssec.wisc.edu/library/weather – Features work at SSEC, NOAA, and others Professor Werner Schwerdtfeger – Provided research support for book, Wekusta: Luftwaffe Meteorological Reconnaissance Units & Operations 1938-1945 featuring a group of highly educated German atmospheric scientists and pilots that included Dr. Schwerdtfeger – Documented his professional life for an entry in the Neue Deutsche Bibliographie (NDB), the German “Who is Who” in science and the beaux arts. Professor Suomi, Father of Satellite Meteorology – Linda Hedges has begun cataloging his papers and correspondence that range from research and teaching to committees and congressional testimony. His papers chronicle the significant developments in the atmospheric sciences and serve as a veritable "who's who" as Dr. Suomi worked alongside many meteorological giants. http://library.ssec.wisc.edu/library/publications/Series=suomi Lecture Material Access – Lectures of CIMSS scientists teaching remote sensing workshops around the world are now cataloged in the Library’s Publications Database, providing continued access to workshop students and others at http://library.ssec.wisc.edu/library/publications/Series=lecture TC Highlights Help! – Technical Computing resolved about 2800 work requests that were entered into the request tracking system, along with the usual informal requests via phone calls and personal visits Existing Clusters – TC continues to assist SSEC's researchers with ongoing work with existing high performance computing clusters New Computing and Storage Resources – Helped plan and implement yet more new computing and storage resources to serve SSEC's continued growth – We are proud of our work with the GOES-R Risk Reduction group's efforts to order and successfully deploy the Zara cluster on an extremely tight schedule Building Support Elevator!!!!!!!! – The new passenger elevator is really great and a second will follow soon Many thanks to Joanne Banks! All new Front Doors provide Handicapped Access Computer Room – Still in the works Remodeling & Upgrade Plus, the Picnic – Thanks to a major effort by JoAnn, we had one of the best SSEC Picnics ever on her wonderful property in the country SSEC Data Center Real-time GOES Ingest – Data from 4 GOES Satellites (G10, 11, 12, 13) received and archived simultaneously (4 dishes) during August/September—a first! – GOES 10 1-minute data: SSEC was the only receiving station to ingest the data while the bird drifted East. We also served the data in real-time and archived it online. The antenna pointing had to be peaked daily and several people helped with this. – During this time we received data from 9 GEO satellites GOES On-line Archive – 174 TB (about 30 satellite years) storage currently inhouse – Online inventory with browse capability World Composites now available hourly Dr. Mamoru Mohri, Director of Japan’s National Museum of Emerging Science and Innovation and their 1st Astronaut, visited to thank SSEC – 5 years of data for their Geo Cosmos sphere (led lit, diameter > 21 feet, 20 tons weight Remodeling of Computer Room (649) – New temperature & noise controlled office area for operators at the North end construction to begin soon – Electrical upgrades to handle more machines - 2nd UPS added – Air handling remodel & upgrade to cool the additional hardware in the works McIDAS User Group (MUG) Seven new MUG memberships Released significant new 2006 upgrades of McIDAS – Including updates of McIDAS User's Guide, McIDAS Learning Guide, McIDAS Programmer's Manual, and McIDAS-XCD Administrator's Guide OpenADDE (v1.2) made freely available on Website Training and Demos Conducted – India and Taiwan (On-site) – NOAA-CREST participants from Hampton U and CCNY – CIMSS Summer Workshop McIDAS-V preparation continues New SSEC Data Ingestor and Operator’s Manual SSEC Quality Assurance Program (Tom Demke working with Fred Best) Continued implementing quality processes in technology team Launch of Quality/Safety Website on SSEC Employee homepage Defined the SSEC Quality Policy Held first Management Review of the Quality System Processes In Use Processes being Implemented Document Control Software Development Change Control Training Management Review Project Complaint Handling Calibration of Test Equipment Project Safety Contract Review Non-Conforming Material Quality Records SSEC Safety Program (Tom Demke) DISC – – – – Drill Safety Program Hazard assessments Conducting safety trainings Procurement of safety equipment Safety inspections AOSS Emergency Response Plan – Initial plan completed – Trainings conducted for SSEC & AOS General Employee Safety – Coordinated CPR & First Aid classes – Procured AED (automatic external defibrillator) Public Information Office Jen O’Leary is doing a great job (filling Terri’s shoes is a whole lot harder than the size might suggest) SSEC Booklet featuring many excellent articles about our work is about to be published, and Jen has played a key role in the group along with Tom Achtor, Leanne Avila and Terri Gregory B. Our Science & Engineering Following the new SSEC Booklet, what we do is divided into Observe Analyze Apply To Observe 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) Lidar: HSRL, CALIPSO, ARM Raman Antarctic/Ice Endeavors GOES 10 1-minute Loops GIFTS/AERI METOP & IASI First Light Validation: S-HIS, MAS, CPL, AERI-bago Long-term continuous operation of the University of Wisconsin High Spectral Resolution Lidar in the high Arctic Ed Eloranta, et al. Barrow Eureka HSRL Operational record first 15 months of Eureka deployment Amazing for this type of instrumentation Blue is liquid water cloud Simultaneous Radar CALIPSO Backscatter & MODIS cloud tops Total Attenuated Backscatter 532 nm Bob Holz, Fred Nagel, Rich Frey, Steve Ackerman 15 June 2006 CALIPSO/MODIS -Zooming In- ARM Raman Lidar Dave Turner continues on instrument mentor team Lots of new data products and science New work includes: – Derive temperature profiles from rotational Raman backscatter – Derive liquid water profiles in clouds – Derive cirrus cloud properties (e.g. optical depth, backscatter phase function, extinction) – Combining these observations with ARM cloud radar 8 Aug 2006 Antarctic Meteorological Research Center AMRC has been funded for 3 more years, including a new collaboration with Penn State! The AMRC has a new member, Jonas Asuma! Automatic Weather Stations Project Kominko-Slade, Jan. 2006 Mulock, Oct. 2006 3 New Stations this year Mt. Fleming, Oct. 2006 West Antarctic Ice Sheet & Transantarctic Mountains ICDS in Antarctica, Greenland, & British Columbia Antarctica – Improved Eclipse drill cores up to 160 m for 2 glaciers in the Dry Valleys region – Access to brine through 20 m ice on permanent-ice Lake Vida, sealed for 3000 years (environmental security high- see top right) – Air sampling cores at WAIS Divide Camp in central West Antarctica (site for 2007 DISC drilling) Greenland – 4” drill at Summit (2006 DISC drill site): 2 cores Jay Kyne on Lake Vida British Columbia Mt. Waddington British Columbia – Excellent cores to 63 m from 4” and thermal coring drills handed wet ice challenge (bottom right) International Workshop on Ice Drilling Tech – 15 representatives from ICDS made a dozen presentations, plus half dozen posters – Only occurs every 6 years or so— It’s a Big Event Beth Bergeron drilling at 3200 m 1-min loop from GOES-10 The SSEC Data Center acquired the special rapid scan imagery while GOES-10 was moved to 60 degrees west longitude. (T. Schmit, S. Bachmeier, B. Rabin, etc) GIFTS EDU Testing completed (included sky viewing with AERI) APS optics Foreoptics baffle M1 Flip-in mirror Optical bench PMA Blackbodies Aft optics FTS LW, GIFTS-AERI05, pixel 72,72 GIFTS LW Band shows very good agreement, even without non-linearity correction LW, GIFTS-AERI05, pixel 72,72 708-792 cm-1, 15 micron CO2 band European METOP-A launched 19 October 2006 ) MetOp covers the 9:30 AM/PM orbit for the NPOESS era ) Provides the first global 1 km AVHRR data ) Also IASI, the new high spectral resolution sounder 1st Global 1 km CLAVR-x Cloud Products from MetOp-A AVHRR FALSE COLOR IMAGE Andy Heidinger ICE CLOUD EMISSIVITY IASI First Light: 27 November 2006 EUMETSAT High Resolution Operational Sounder 1st spectra have been acquired First IASI Level 1C Spectra 29/11/2006, 13:42:11 UTC Temp (CO2) Surface, Clouds Surface, Clouds Surface, Clouds CO O3 N2O, Temp (CO2) Temp (CO2) H2O, CH4, N2O They look excellent! Generated by the IASI L1 PPF and Cal/Val Facility IASI has 1-km bore-sighted IR Images too! S-HIS in Costa Rica January 2006 NASA WB57 S-HIS scans cross-track down & views zenith The Quetzal Left Wing Pod Data Analyzed in the field with SSEC home-base support 17 Jan 2006. Aqua MODIS Visible RGB image Scanning-HIS 900 cm-1 Tb TES footprints (predicted) AIRS & S-HIS Window/N2O/CH4 & H2O Brightness Temperature (K) CRAVE Flight 1/17/06 AIRS Scanning-HIS wavenumber (cm-1) Chris Moeller MODIS L1B and L2 Validation Studies •ER-2 Aircraft flights with MAS, SHIS, CPL •Radiometric biases •Cloud Height Validation •L1B calibration components Cloud Top Height Validation Collection 3 Calibration Coeff. Mods MODIS Observed – Predicted (K) Calibration Impact (K) Optical Leak Correction MODIS Footprint 36 km 11 um 12.0 13.3 13.7 13.9 14.2 Radiometric Bias Collection 4,5 Scene Temperature (K) MODIS Band Number Simon Hook, JPL WVSS-II Laser Diode Moisture Sensor Validation AERIBago, 07-18 November 2006, Louisville, KY Bago Vaisala RS-92 Rawinsonde moisture is generally higher than a Laser Diode Sensor United Parcel Service B757 aircraft carry these WVSS-II moisture sensors Sarah Bedka, Wayne Feltz, Ralph Petersen, Erik Olson To Analyze 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Planetary Meteorology Tropical Cyclones and Global Warming Surface emissivity AERI-Niger & CLOWD PEATE (Product Evaluation and Algorithm Test Element)-MODIS Test MODIS & WRF Model Cloud comparison AIRS Cloud Clearing GOES-R Algorithm Working Groups Analysis Tool- GOES-R Demo Research on Outer-Planet Atmospheres at SSEC L. A. Sromovsky, P. M. Fry Planets: Research: Jupiter, Uranus, Neptune Atmospheric circulation Dynamics of circulation features Vertical cloud structure and composition Techniques: Spectroscopy and Imaging Data Sources: Hubble Space Telescope. Ground based telescopes (Keck and IRTF). Archived data from past space missions. RECENT WORK ON URANUS New multi-wavelength CCD observations with the Hubble Space Telescope discovered the first Northern hemisphere dark spot on Uranus. From the Hubble Space Telescope web page: Moon Shadow Shadow Ariel Uranus Earth Our 2006 HST observations also captured the first image of a solar eclipse on Uranus, this one by the moon Ariel. From the Hubble Space Telescope web page: RECENT WORK ON URANUS New multi-wavelength near-IR observations at the Keck Observatory probe a range of pressures to reveal vertical structure of Uranian clouds. Methane Hydrogen The last observing run was shortened by a 6.7 magnitude earthquake on the Big Island of Hawaii, damaging the Keck telescope and remote observing facility. It also cracked pavement and blocked roads with boulders. Uranus’ brightest cloud feature Our new analysis of Uranus’ brightest cloud feature combines HST and Keck observations to reveal a long lifetime, vertical evolution, and superimposed oscillations in latitude and longitude, with Rossby and inertial periods. Are global trends in hurricane intensity real or are they introduced by data heterogeneity? To answer this question, we constructed a more consistent record and performed trend analyses on 2046 tropical cyclones Collect world-wide geostationary satellite data Reanalyze to 8 km footprints to make it homogeneous (performed by ISCCP project) Construct an objective algorithm that estimates hurricane intensity from window channel brightness temperature Objective Algorithm Intensity estimate Based on radial crosssection of Tb from eye outward Jim Kossin How does our new consistent record compare with present records in the world’s best measured ocean basins? New record Old record Excellent agreement in variability and trends of cyclone energy in the Atlantic and East Pacific. This gives us confidence that our algorithm is robust. Now we apply it to the remaining ocean basins. In the remaining ocean basins (NIO, WPAC, SIO, SPAC), the upward trends in present records are shown to be spurious All trends are significant in the old “best track” records No trends are significant in the new UW/NCDC record Paper in review: Kossin, J. P., K. R. Knapp, D. J. Vimont, R. J. Murnane, and B. A. Harper, 2006: A globally consistent reanalysis of hurricane variability and trends. Geophys. Res. Lett. Climate Change: It is changing, but how is complicated Careful observations and analyses are certainly needed! UW Global IR Land Surface Emissivity Database Suzanne Seemann and Eva Borbas 4.3 μm 8.3 μm 10.8 μm Dataset available: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iremis/ Paper is submitted to JAM in September 2006: Seemann et al.: A global infrared surface emissivity database for clear sky atmospheric sounding retrievals from satellite-based radiance measurements Applications/Users: MODIS Atmospheric Retrievals MOD07 (UW,NASA DAAC) IMAPP/AIRS retrievals (UW) Climate Monitoring SAF (EUMETSAT) Cloud and Ozone retrieval from SEVIRI (EUMETSAT) AIRS Retrieval of Dust Optical Depths (UMBC/ASL) IASI-Metop Cal/Val (CNES, France) Retrieval of hot spot data from AATSR (ESA) Energy balance from ASTER over glacier (Univ of Milan) AIRS trace gas retrieval for pollution monitoring (Stellenbosch University, South-Africa) Education (Seoul National Univ.; NTA, Konstantin) August, 2003 8.3 μm MOD07 TPW with two different surface emissivities Emis=1 Emis=BF MOD07 TPW with emis = 0.95 MOD07 TPW with Baseline Fit emis NCEP- GDAS Terra, August 1, 2005, 20-23 UTC NCEP-GDAS TPW analysis Emissivity Time Series February another “color” to record change Baseline Fit emissivity was derived from MYD11 L3 monthly data from 9/02 to 3/06 globally at 0.05 degree spatial resolution. This dataset can be used to monitor changes in land surface emissivity seasonally or from year-to-year in a particular region (Amazon region at LEFT) or at selected locations (BELOW). August Improved GOES water vapor soundings from better surface emissivity and background error characterization Validation with ARM site 3 years’ microwave radiometer TPW measurements GOES Sounder new algorithm gives better TPW retrievals than both the forecast and the legacy product. bias =-0.455 RMSe=2.7959 Forecast Legacy retrieval New retrieval GOES retrieval team: Jun Li, Zhenglong Li, Tim Schmit, Sarah Bedka, etc. Dave Turner, AERI mentor for ARM Liam Gumley, Bryan Baum, Steve Dutcher WRF Model & MODIS Cloud Data Intercomparison Jason Otkin & Tom Greenwald Visible Imagery Cloud Optical Depth Large extratropical cyclone over North Atlantic Ocean • Extensive upper- and lowerlevel cloud cover • Wide range of cloud optical depths and cloud top pressures • Very challenging modeling and observational case study • Cloud Top Pressure WRF Model Domain WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) Model • 1000 x 1000 grid point domain with 4-km horizontal resolution • 3 MODIS overpasses across WRF model domain • WRF Model & MODIS Cloud Data Intercomparison Jason Otkin & Tom Greenwald Eight model simulations performed using different microphysical and PBL parameterization schemes with varying levels of sophistication Model simulations and MODIS cloud data contain very similar cloud water path frequency distributions Higher occurrence of low cloud optical thicknesses in MODIS data likely due to broken cloud structure MODIS likely underestimates the frequency of high optical thickness clouds due to signal saturation WRF model produces realistic cloud properties with most sophisticated schemes performing the best AIRS/MODIS Cloud-Clearing Global Analysis and Characterization (1-1-2004 to 2-15-2004) Allen Huang, Hong Zhang, Jun Li, and Elisabeth Weisz 25 Percentage (%) AIRS Sounder Cloud Clearing using MODIS Imager: An alternative to the processing cloudy radiances 20 15 10 5 0 147- 10- 13- 16- 19- 22- 25- 28- 31- 369- 12- 15Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Date (2004) Clear (13.26%) Cloud-Cleared (20.60%) CC Failed (17.78%) ¾Significantly increases available data on lower atmosphere, compared to using only channels not sensitive to clouds as in most current forecast applications ¾Quantitative cloud clearing errors (bias & RMS) are derived for assimilation and retrieval applications (see next slide). AIRS Cloud-Clearing Error Estimates (1-1-2004 to 2-15-2004) Bias (K) Standard Deviation (K) Wavenumber (cm-1) Cloudy soundings from GIFTS radiances simulated disk with WRF High spatial resolution gives more “clear holes” and provides above-cloud soundings True temperature images at significant levels (Background is BT image of a GIFTS H2O absorption channel) Retrieved temperature images at significant levels (Retrievals are from simulated GIFTS radiances) GOES-R AWG sounding team: Jun Li, Tim Schmit, Chian-Yi Liu, Jinlong Li, Elizabeth Weisz, etc. Good collaboration with EUMETSAT (CIMSS algorithm applied to SEVIRI) ! AURA SEVIRI data from EUMETSAT Meteosat Total Ozone (DU) SEVIRI ozone agrees with OMI GOES-R trace gas team: Jun Li, Xin Jin, Chris Schmidt, Tim Schmit, etc. UW/CIMSS GOES Total Ozone from12 Feb 2006 GOES-R Cloud AWG •UW-members: A. Heidinger (chair), M. Pavolonis, T. Schreiner, B. Baum, and J. Jung •Cloud Application Team kicked-off GOES-R AWG efforts (June 2006) •Completed Algorithm Design Review (December 1, 2006) •Developed flexible algorithm processing capabilities (GEOCAT) •Developed validation methods and tools, including use of GLAS lidar Multilayered cloud effect Temperature inversion? Small particle cirrus Cluster Computing for GIFTS/GOES-R made easy enough for me to run something on my laptop Analysis of the huge data volumes can be tamed by clusters But, achieving a convenient user interface is a real challenge Bruce Flynn is charging ahead toward the solution for a demonstration as defined by Bob Knuteson The demonstration is based on a day of WRF simulated GIFTS data With a few instruction from Bob, I was able calculate and display an isosurface of relative humidity for two GIFTS cubes in < 1 minute To Apply 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) 10) Agriculture Nowcasts from GOES Products NWP and Chemical Modeling CRAS Model AWIPS inputs from MODIS Direct Broadcast and IMAPP IDEA Air Quality goes 3-D SNAAP Nowcasting and Aviation Biomass burning GFS Hurricane track errors Agricultural Applications: Two-tier System Regional Christine Molling model produces quantities common to virtually all crop models Regional model output is foundation for minimodels, which are tailor made to produce specific products mini-models (aka post processors, plug-ins, add-ons, gadgets) work at field scale Mini-models produce actionable output Regional Scale Model produces 1km x 1km gridded quantities. Outputs generally not useable by customer at this scale. •Canopy air temp •Canopy RH •Canopy wind speed •Plant surface wetness •Leaf temperature •Growing degree days •Evapotranspiration •Etc. Data used •1km x 1km gridded weather •1km x 1km gridded soil •Generic crop Field Scale Mini-models create field-specific information products. These outputs are useable by customer. •Grain moisture •Irrigation scheduling •Trafficability •Harvest quality Data used • 1km x 1km gridded regional output • crop and hybrid • planting date • field soil type • in-field observations Christine Molling Agricultural Applications: Quantifying Phosphorus losses from Agricultural Fields 16 Erosion: 46 site-events, 3 fields 14 RMSE = 1.025 t ha Opitz Field -1 -1 PALMS (t ha ) 12 P deposition 10 8 P Erosion 6 Site 1 Site 2 4 Site 3 2 Total P erosion 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 -1 Measured (t ha ) hydrograph for one grid cell erosion on one grid cell Forecasting Corn Grain Moisture Lutz 70.00 % moisture 60.00 50.00 Lutz obs Lutz sim 40.00 sim+3% sim-3% 30.00 20.00 10.00 8/11/2006 8/21/2006 8/31/2006 9/10/2006 9/20/2006 9/30/2006 10/10/2006 10/20/2006 10/30/2006 11/9/2006 day Exner W 70.00 % moisture 60.00 50.00 Exner W obs Exner W sim 40.00 sim+3% sim-3% 30.00 20.00 10.00 8/1/2006 8/11/2006 8/21/2006 8/31/2006 9/10/2006 9/20/2006 day 9/30/2006 10/10/2006 10/20/2006 10/30/2006 11/9/2006 Input on when to harvest Using GOES DPIs to PREDICT Convective Destabilization Nowcasts of where Low-level Moistening and Upper-level Drying will occur simultaneously Ralph Petersen/Bob Aune RUC Winds give 3-6 hour predicts from GOES product images Vertical Moisture Gradient (900-700 hPa GOES PW 700-500 hPa GOES PW) 0 Hour Nowcast for 2100UTC From 13 April 2006 2100UTC Stable Ð Vertical Moisture Gradient Unstable from Dry 13 April 2006 – 2100 UTC 700-300 hPa GOES PW 0 Hour Nowcast 13 April 2006 – 2100 UTC 900-700 hPa GOES PW 0 Hour Nowcast Upper-level Dryness (left) Ð and Moist Low-level Moisture (right) The results – Millions of $s in damage, including Paul Menzel’s gutters & Ralph’s car roof, hood, trunk, etc. (he was here) Summary – An Objective Lagrangian Nowcasting Model - Quick and minimal resources needed - Can be used ‘stand-alone’ or to ‘update’ other NWP guidance DATA DRIVEN - Data can be inserted (and combined) directly without ‘analysis smoothing - Nowcasts retain useful maxima and minima – even with current GOES Forecast Images agree with observations and provide accurate/timely guidance Stable Ð Unstable Dry Ð Moist Goals can be met: - Provide objective tools to increase the length of time that forecasters can make good use of dependable observations (vs. only NWP output) for their short range forecasts -Expand the use of GOES sounder products from subjective observations to objective nowcasting tools -Plan to test system in nearby WFOs during next year The 15th Floor Modeling and Analysis Group UW global hybrid isentropic coordinate model for Climate, NWP, and Air Quality Chemistry Donald Johnson, Allen Lenzen, Todd Schaack, Tom Zapotocny 4+ years of comparison with NCEP GFS Model UW = 0.813841 GFS = 0.813839 UW Northern Hemisphere 01 Apr 2002 - 30 Sep 2006 GFS 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 1644 Forecasts 60828 60713 60528 60412 60225 60110 51125 51010 50825 50710 50525 50409 50222 50107 41122 41007 40822 40707 40522 40406 40220 40105 31120 31005 30820 30705 30520 30404 30217 30102 21117 21002 20817 20702 20517 0.4 20401 NH day-5 500 mb geopotential height anomaly correlation from the UW hybrid model and the NCEP GFS Anomaly Correlation 1 Date Identical skill with NCEP forms a strong recommendation for the UW model, given its lower resolution and relative group resources Real-time Air Quality Modeling System (RAQMS) Global/regional chemical modeling & data assimilation system Collaboration - NASA Langley and the University of Wisconsin - Madison RAQMS 2006: Supported Aircraft Field Experiments with 5-day global forecasts of composition and weather •NASA INTEX NA - Intercontinental Chemical Transport Experiment – N America •NOAA Texas Air Quality Study/Gulf of Mexico Atmospheric Composition and Climate Study field campaign 84 hour forecast of tropospheric column ozone 20 October 2006 CRAS Forecast Satellite Imagery Input to AWIPS Forecast 11μm and 6.7μm imagery are being generated using output from the CIMSS Regional Assimilation System (CRAS) in real time and transferred to the AWIPS at the NWS Forecast Office in Sullivan, Wisconsin, as part of an experimental satellite products evaluation project. The real time CRAS uses 3-layer precipitable water and cloud-top pressure retrievals from the GOES sounders to initialize water vapor and clouds prior to each forecast. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 836 PM CST THU NOV 30 2006 .....IN ADDITION CRAS IR HAS VERY GOOD INITIAL DEPICTION OF BAROCLINIC LEAF SIGNATURE DEVELOPING OVER KANSAS AND PROGS SOUTHERN EDGE OF THIS SIGNATURE OVER WARNING AREA BETWEEN 12Z AND 15Z FRIDAY..... (From a recent forecast discussion message.) (R. Aune, ASPB) (Screen captures courtesy of S. Bachmeier, CIMSS) MODIS into AWIPS (Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System) Steve Wanzong, Jordan Gerth, Russ Dengel, Gary Wade, Scott Bachmeier, Scott Lindstrom, Jerry Robaidek, TomWhittaker, Kathy Strabala CIMSS began routine insertion of MODIS products into AWIPS central region data feed on 30 June 2006 – Current feed consists of » MODIS L1B Bands 1 (.86 micron), 7 (2.1 micron), 26 (1.38 micron), 20 (4.0 micron), 27 (6.7 micron) and 31 (11 micron) » Products – Cloud Phase, TPW, Cloud Top T, Fog, SST – Keys to success » Provide something better or new to forecasters (ie, higher spatial resolution) » Must be placed in format that can be accepted by AWIPS » Must have a person at the forecast offices to champion the data (SOO – Dan Baumgardt – ARX Jordan Gerth – MKX) » VisitView forecast training modules – Scott Bachmeier Forecasters view MODIS TWP and Fog products Sullivan, WI Weather Service Field Office July 2006 EOS Direct Broadcast Sites More than 150 ground stations around the world (not all are shown on this map from Nov. 2003) Direct Broadcast: Activities Overview Real time data processing and distribution – Real time direct broadcast web page for quick look data, instrument data, and products – Support of environmental monitoring and weather forecasting where quality and timeliness are vital (Polar winds, IDEA, AWIPS, public interest images, etc) Software development and distribution – IMAPP allows other users the ability to support their own real time data and processing systems – Testbed for MODIS/AIRS products – Support of our own research (total control of system from end to end) Remote sensing workshops – Global outreach Remote Sensing Workshops Paul Menzel, Allen Huang, Liam Gumley, Paolo Antonelli, Tom Rink, Jeff Key, Steve Dutcher and Kevin Baggett Nanjing, China (2004) Perth, Australia (2004 Taipei, Taiwan (2005) Beijing, China (2005) Ardenes, Norway (2006) Pretoria, S. Africa (2006) IMAPP AIRS Level 2 retrieval software v1.3 (released November 2006) The regression based algorithm produces temperature, humidity and ozone profiles, surface skin temperature and surface emissivity at single AIRS pixel resolution Surface Skin Temperature IMAPP AIRS RTV ECMWF Analysis MOD07 product Elizabeth Weisz IDEA: Infusing satellite Data into Environmental Applications This year we shifted to 3D-AQS: the 3D Air Quality System, to visualize aerosols over the U.S. in three dimensions Delivered the IDEA code to NOAA for transition to real-time operational aerosol forecasting Added a full, interactive image of aerosols across the 48 states. First screenshot of CALIPSO transect of aerosols (in color) shown in conjunction with an AIRS longwave IR swath (in grayscale). Project members: Steve Ackerman, Scott Bachmeier, Bill Bellon, Scott Lindstrom, Jerrold Robaidek, Tom Rink, Tony Wimmers Comparison of GOES WF_ABBA and MODIS Fire Products 1 - Hour Window Comparison GOES Fire Pixels 68% Outside of the MODIS field of view 13% Within MODIS field of view, but no match 19% MODIS match MODIS Fire Pixels 57% No GOES match 43% GOES match 12 - Hour Window Comparison GOES Fire Pixels 0% Outside of the MODIS field of view 43% Within MODIS field of view, but no match 57% MODIS match MODIS Fire Pixels 38% No GOES match 62% GOES match Elaine Prinn Hurricane Track Error: Impact of Removing Satellite or Conventional Data HIRS has more effect than AMSU, and GOES winds show the largest effect in the Pacific Tom Zapotocny Jim Jung Atlantic Basin 250 200 Control NOSAT 150 NOCON 100 50 0 12 hrs 24 hrs 36 hrs 48 hrs 72 hrs 96 hrs 120 hrs 32 27 27 23 17 14 12 Forecast Time [hours] and Counts 600 Average Track Error [NM] Impact on WFS Model Hurricane Track Forecast Average Track Error [NM] 300 East Pacific 500 400 Control NOSAT 300 NOCON 200 100 0 12 hrs 24 hrs 36 hrs 48 hrs 72 hrs 96 hrs 17 12 10 8 2 2 Forecast Time [hours] and Counts C. Other 2006 Events 15th International (A)TOVS Study Conference (ITSC-15) in Maratea, Italy Many NWP centres assimilating radiances from AIRS and showing significant positive forecast impact. IMAPP used by many countries for imagery and Level 2 products Coordination on methods for training young scientists on remote sensing systems and products Reports on the 27 years of quality climate data and products; discussion on the need for improved instrument cross calibration International TOVS Working Group Recent Co-chairs Recently De-manifested Recently Elected Tom Achtor Allen Huang Wilt Sanders at NASA Headquarters Letter from Anne L. Kinney, Director, NASA’s Universe Division [This is an excerpt from a long letter.] For the past year and a half Dr. Wilt Sanders has been working in the Astrophysics Division within the Science Mission Directorate at NASA Headquarters. I am very impressed with the work that Dr. Sanders has done at Headquarters and want to make sure that his home institution knows about the invaluable role that he is playing in the science program … . … He has exerted a quiet science leadership with considerable dedication and considerable organizational skills. By year’s end we asked him to take on the management of the suite of programs making up the whole Research and Analysis budget, a program of approximately $65M per year, across a broad range of scientific topics including technology development, theoretical studies, and general research. He has brought better order to our grants program, enabling us to do a better job of managing the research as well as managing our science resources. … Dr. Sanders brings a particularly intelligent touch to leading the group at Headquarters and to communications with the larger science community. He is a credible lead because of his high level of competence and his high level of dedication. We are very grateful to have Dr. Sanders here, and grateful for the improvement that he has brought to the research program. I am myself a graduate from the University of Wisconsin, … and so am particularly happy and proud when another Badger excels at their job the way that Wilt has. Beautiful Snow Line 1 December 2006 “Fader” tool uses 2.1 microns to reveil Surface ice over N Missouri/ S Iowa MODIS Visible Scott Bachmeier Flash Food, 27 July 2006 Tommy Jasmin Scott Bachmeier Thanks to Sanjay, some of us really experienced New Delhi Jantar Mantar Thanks for coming Thursday will be here soon— So we can party