2008 12 December 2008 Topics A. “Big Picture” Events B. SSEC, the Center C. Education & Public Outreach D. Our Science & Engineering 2 A. “Big Picture” Events Center Financial Health NASA Authorization National Administration “Transition Document” Climate activities in the Center 3 It’s the Economy, Stupid World-wide, the economy is bleak. Dah! What do we expect for the Center? 4 SSEC spending level is stable (and our cash balance remains stable too) Dollars (M$) SSEC Annual Spending (SFY) 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 Year Fortunately, we have not suffered a crash But we need everyone to keep up the great work, and to be ready to respond to new challenges 5 2008 Spending by Source: ~ $23.0 M Other* DODDOE 10% 2% 3% NASA 22% NSF 23% NOAA 40% *includes MUG & SAIC 6 Primary Center Support Agencies: General Statements Foresee no evidence for long-term plan to reduce NASA, NOAA, and NSF funding In fact, discussions of enhancing international competitiveness & leadership often involve increases in these areas – Senate proposed an NSF increase of 13% in FY09 in support of last year’s America Competes Act – NASA Authorization bill shows positive change that involves NOAA too Of course, it is hard to rule out short-term decreases, given the depth of the recession, but the long-term picture is still excellent 7 2008 NASA Authorization Bill A positive note, but not appropriations Science 1st detailed chapter (Title) of 10 Positive general policies: Earth – (5) NASA should assume a leadership role in a cooperative international Earth observations and research effort to address key research issues associated with climate change and its impacts on the Earth system. – (9) NASA’s scientific research activities have contributed much to the advancement of knowledge, provided societal benefits, and helped train the next generation of scientists and engineers, and those activities should continue to be an important priority. – (10) NASA should make a sustained commitment to a robust long-term technology development activity. FY09 Authorization of Appropriations – Total: $20.2 B (considerably above $17.8-9 June Appropriations Committee budgets and $17.1 FY08) – Science: $4.9 B Earth $1.5 B Planetary $1.5 B – Education: $0.13B Likely outcome for FY09: Continuing resolution-March (H.R.6063 became law on 15 October 2008) 8 Earth Sciences: 2008 NASA Authorization Given High Priority SEC. 202. GOVERNANCE OF UNITED STATES EARTH OBSERVATIONS ACTIVITIES. – OSTP (Office of Science & Technology Policy) responsible for study to determine most appropriate governance structure for earth obs programs involving NASA, NOAA & National Academies – Report to Congress and implementation plan due in < 2 years SEC. 203. DECADAL SURVEY MISSIONS. – NASA submit implementation plan Congress ( in <270 days) – Can consider (1) dedicated NASA missions, (2) multi-agency missions, (3) international cooperative missions, (4) data sharing, (5) commercial data buys, or (6) long-term technology development….. SEC. 204. TRANSITIONING EXPERIMENTAL RESEARCH INTO OPERATIONAL SERVICES. – It is the sense of the Congress that experimental NASA sensors and missions that have the potential to benefit society if transitioned into operational monitoring systems be transitioned into operational status whenever possible – OSTP, in coordination with NASA & NOAA Admin, to develop process – NASA & NOAA shall transmit a transition plan to Congress within 60 days of successful mission completion or sensor CDR (H.R.6063 became law on 15 October 2008) 9 Earth/Space Sciences: 2008 NASA Authorization SEC. 208. TORNADOES AND OTHER SEVERE STORMS. – The Administrator shall ensure that NASA gives high priority to those parts of its existing cooperative activities with NOAA that are related to the study of tornadoes and other severe storms, tornado-force winds, and other factors determined to influence the development of tornadoes and other severe storms, with the goal of improving the Nation's ability to predict tornados and other severe storms. – Further, the Administrator shall examine whether there are additional cooperative activities with NOAA that should be undertaken in the area of tornado and severe storm research. SEC. 507. ASSESSMENT OF IMPEDIMENTS TO INTERAGENCY COOPERATION ON SPACE AND EARTH SCIENCE MISSIONS. – National Academies assessment, with NOAA involvement SEC. 508. ASSESSMENT OF COST GROWTH. – The Administrator shall enter into an arrangement for an independent external assessment to identify the primary causes of cost growth in the large-, medium-, and small-sized space and Earth science spacecraft mission classes, and make recommendations as to what changes, if any, should be made to contain costs and ensure frequent mission opportunities in NASA's science spacecraft mission programs, with report to Congress in < 15 months. (H.R.6063 became law on 15 October 2008) 10 Transition Document submitted to both McCain and Obama: Issues call for Better Protection from Climate Change and Severe Weather Recommendation areas include: observations, computing, research and modeling, societal relevance, leadership and management [Available at www.ucar.edu/td] 11 SSEC Climate Activities Subjects of next “Through the Atmosphere CLARREO Spaceflight Mission & Studies, Fred Best, Bob Knuteson, Hank R Strong Hurricanes Getting Stronger, Jim Kossin Global Cloud Studies, Andy Heidinger NPP Climate Quality Evaluation of Atmospheric Products, Liam Gumley Cloud Trends from HIRS Data, Paul Menzel B. SSEC, the Center A New Engineering Connection Administrative Support & Facilities 13 New SSEC Partnership with Space Astronomy Lab • SSEC and SAL have a history of collaboration • SAL is in the midst of a transition UW Washburn Observatory e.g. WIYN telescope, Kit Peak – Name change to Washburn Observatories to reflect activities at Washburn Observatory WIYN, and SALT facilities – Andrew Sheinis: New Dept of Astronomy hire supporting instrument development core group of technical & business staff • SSEC has agreed to support SAL with • SAL does not plan to duplicate the competencies found at SSEC, rather they WIYN engineering, business, & management staff will fill voids so that each organization can leverage each others core skills. Fred Best, Mark Mulligan 14 Near Infrared Spectrograph, NIR PI: Andrew Sheinis, Dept of Astronomy & SAL • Complement to the visible instrument already built for the Southern African Large Telescope (SALT) NIR • Mounts 15m up Visible at focus of 11m Instrument primary array • Part of 950 kg inst package that moves to scan elevation • Combines Grating, Fabry-Perot, Filter-wheel approaches Fred Best, Mark Mulligan 15 NIR Spectrograph Project with SAL • SSEC is providing systems engineering, quality assurance & safety, thermal design, electrical engineering, business services, and project management support • Preliminary Design Review passed in July 2008, deliver to the SALT facility scheduled for Sep 2011 NIR SALT Visible Camera Fred Best, Mark Mulligan 16 Administrative Support & Facilities 3rd Floor Support (accounting, purchasing, financial software, personnel, payroll, travel, mail, copy room, contracts/grants, research support) Shipping, Receiving & Building Services Library Suomi Science Museum Technical Computing Quality Assurance and Safety Data Center and MUG Public Information Web Services Local observing systems Thanks! Your support for Center projects is truly amazing! 17 Some Key Support People Changes Eric Thompson in for Judy Cohen, Purchasing Mark Hobson in for Jen O’Leary, Public Information Jerry Robaidek and Becky Schaffer in for Dee Wade in Data Center and MUG John Roberts in for John Roberts, Executive Director for Administration, following Dave Allen’s example 18 Dave Allen: Just happy that all of the new things from last year are working so well SSEC’s barcode inventory tracking system is a case study on the vendor’s website. SSEC’s purchasing software June: First orders received in new system September: SSEC shows DOIT how to do it SSEC is the first and only group on campus to use software that directly interfaces with the UW system to transmit and process orders. 19 Management Information System • On-going effort to develop a system that will enable tying together budgeting and planning from the proposal / post-award period with actual progress and spending on a project. • NPOESS IPO was selected as a “pilot” project for the MIS: – A product oriented work breakdown structure was developed from the 2007 and 2008 proposals. – 22 control accounts were created for collecting costs and monitoring progress (8 for CrIS, 7 for VIIRS, and 7 for IPOPP) – Control accounts were further broken down to major task areas, and annual work packages were established in each area for assigning resources, developing budgets, and reporting progress – Cost from 2007 were analyzed and distributed to the control accounts and work packages – A rudimentary Excel-based capability to integrate cost, schedule and progress information and to produce management “exhibits” is nearly complete. Mark Mulligan, Paul Nipko, Tom Demke, Will Robus, Fred Best 20 Personnel Update 26 New Employees (including visitors) 15 Permanent Positions opened (13 AS and 2 Classified) 95 Student position modifications 89 Academic Title, Rate, %, etc. Modifications 17 Visa actions 6 Retirements 265 Total counting visitors & studentsreasonably stable Sally and Jean have been very busy! 21 Equity & Diversity Committee • • • • We would like recognize and thank two members for their service on the committee: Wayne Feltz Jean Phillips Both were member back to the first forming of the committee in 2005. Welcome to two new members Eva Borbas Mat Gunshor The Committee has worked with the Directors to create a more formalized procedure for work reviews to recognize staff accomplishments and to discuss professional development. Staff will be encouraged, but not required, to participate in reviews with their supervisor. Some staff have already received a letter from their supervisor. The Committee is actively working on set of recommendations to provide to the Directors for increasing the diversity at SSEC. It should be ready in early 2009. 22 Schwerdtfeger Library Dan Bull, Linda Hedges, Supanida Arayametee, Jean Phillips MGA Searches 2008 700 600 500 400 300 200 Oct-08 Sep-08 Aug-08 Jul-08 Jun-08 May-08 Apr-08 Mar-08 Feb-08 0 Nov-08 100 Jan-08 • Library staff work with AOS faculty to teach students effective research techniques • Increased searches in Met Abstracts correlate with library lectures and individual teaching 23 Atmospheric Science at NASA: A History • Just published: Library staff worked with NASA historian • Our collections feature heavily in the new book, especially Suomi archives on satellite meteorology 24 Library Collection • The entire collection, nearly 40,000 items (books and journals) is now searchable in MadCat and accessible internationally • Many e-journals licensed to support research: AGU & Elsevier titles in 2008 25 Library News on Paperless Journals by Jean Phillips The American Geophysical Union (AGU) is probably the first important publisher in the earth sciences to decide to stop printing its journals. By 2011, all AGU journals, except EOS, will be online-only products. In 2002, the AGU made the electronic journal the version of record. The University of Wisconsin-Madison Libraries converted all of its print subscriptions (except EOS) to electronic access only in fall 2007. The libraries now provide electronic access to all of its AGU subscriptions from volume 1 to date. AGU: The Demise of Print (Eos Trans., AGU, v.89, no.28, p257) 26 CIMSS Publishing Analysis • Ackerman, Phillips, Bull, Achtor studied CIMSS publishing as one way to assess mission success Examined trends in research and education • One observation: 347 federal scientists were coauthors on 414 peerreviewed papers, 19952007 • 40% of papers with NOAA co-authors and 24% with NASA • Full article submitted to BAMS, November 2008 27 CIMSS Annual Report Congratulations to all for a very impressive job Special thanks to Tom Achtor for his key role 28 Suomi Science Museum • • • • NOAA support for museum started (Paul Menzel is PI); first $100K received and year 2 funding proposal submitted Menzel, Phillips, & Kohrs presented at Wed Nite@the Lab to enthusiastic audience Aerospace industry partners contacted Celebration of 50th anniversary of met sat experiments (Suomi’s Net Flux Sensor) planned for November 2009 29 3-D Globe Arrives at SSEC First Suomi Science Museum Exhibit Located in new SSEC Outreach Room (148) Used in Outreach Programs and AOS Classes Traveling exhibit with Interactive Kiosk Madison Children’s Museum UW Space Place Experienced by over 20,000 people in 2008 Funded through the Ira and Ineva Reilly Baldwin Wisconsin Idea Endowment Rick Kohrs & Margaret Mooney 30 Shipping, Receiving, & Building Services Busy as Always • 2500+ packages received, 400+ shipped, plus freight • Moved several visitors in & out of their short term Lodging • Keep the Thank You pizza/candy/donuts/leftovers coming - We appreciate it! Goodbye to Senior Students - 10+ years between them • Sarah - Milwaukee, Accountant at Ernst & Young • Rob - New York City • Caitlin - Portland, Oregon Will Robus 31 SSEC & Campus Conservation 2008 Accomplishments • Bi-weekly meetings of the UW Campus Conservation Committee • Strategy developed for AOSS to become an “Energy Smart Building” • Employee Education • Identification of Electricity Savings (lighting audit completed) • Monitor and Identify HVAC Savings (monitors already installed) • Participation in pilot of new UW recycling program 2009 Goals • Reduce our collective carbon footprint • Galvanize conservation through education & WE CONSERVE • Promote the “I Pledge” Program • Coordinate with AOS and CCR to reduce HVAC usage • Implement lighting upgrades (funded by UW) • Develop a model for other buildings on campus • Celebrate accomplishments on or around Earth Day JOIN US! We meet every other Tuesday at 2pm in 1039 AOSS an e-mail invitation will go out again in early January Margaret Mooney 32 Technical Computing Services (1) Snapshot of what we support: – – – – – – How many of us could work a day without our computers and the net? 286 Windows Computers 238 Redhat Linux 127 Macintosh OS X 46 Solaris 7 Compute clusters "loads" of disk-based data systems (about 1,000TB) Thanks! Work Requests: >3000 Resolved just in the formal tracking system Network Upgrade: Most network equipment in the building upgraded to provide improved performance and reliability, plus some gigabit availability to all areas. Planning and working with UW DoIT has been ongoing since 2006 and implementation started late 2008 and is about 30% complete. Thanks are due to the Graduate School and DoIT Networking for working to help meet SSEC's unusually large needs. Scott Nolan 33 Technical Computing Services (2) New or updated services – Mail server Does anyone remember when there were mail server performance problems? - Mail server replaced, with a very large performance upgrade and centralized spam filtering added. Dealing with huge volumes of spam has given us good experience in extremely high I/O loads - experience that has been useful in working on cluster computing issues. – SVN server added for another code repository option for the center – Windows Domain Controllers replaced Major Data Center Projects – Helped double the Data Center archive system from 250TB to 500TB – Expand and Update Zara Cluster – Helped PEATE project expand and upgrade PEATE compute clusters and expand data store to over 200TB usable storage – Added or replaced 15 or more servers for various projects such as AWIPS (Jordan Gerth) and RETS (Jim Nelson) and the Data Center (Jerry Robiadek). There are too many of these to account for all of them. Scott Nolan 34 SSEC QA & Safety Program Krissy Dahnert & Tom Demke w/ Fred Best, Mark Mulligan, Paul Nipko & Will Robus Project Activities Ice Coring & Drilling Services • DISC design documentation - released > 1000 docs/dwgs over the last 4 yrs. • Updated DISC hazard analyses • Monthly WAIS Divide safety mtgs. • Implementing safety program & quality documentation into other projects (RAM, 4” & Koci drills) NIR Spectrograph • Project Management Plan nearly complete • Started project Hazard Analysis Rev. -, 12/4/08, TAD GOES-R • Assisted in defining deliverable needs & addressing software coding standard issues • Updated project deliverable schedule & timelines HSR Lidar • Compiled/submitted documentation package for ground system • Developed project Hazard Analysis 35 SSEC QA & Safety Program (2) Quality Initiatives Export Control Deliverable Management System • Conducted ITAR training of SSEC staff • • Addressed project issues • Implemented compliance processes Conducting contract review to define deliverables & when they need to be submitted (for each project) • Member of UW campus committee to implement an export control program • Reminders sent to PI/PM when deliverables are due Occupant Emergency Plan (OEP) Electrostatic Discharge (ESD) • Developed plan to control ESD in project labs • Updated OEP to add mass casualty & hostage issues • Conducted staff trainings on new information Quality System Documents Released • Attended UW Police mass casualty training • Shipping & Receiving (1008-0009) • Corrective & Preventive Action (1008-0010) Forum on Project Quality • Project Safety (1008-0014) • • ESD Control (1008-0015) • Process Inspections (1008-0022) • ITAR (1008-0033) Started monthly forum to discuss specific project topics (such as proposals, purchasing, project plans) Rev. -, 12/4/08, TAD Datacenter Highlights (Online Archive) Three more geostationary satellites added Total of twenty-five! y Kalpana (74°E) December 2004 – Present y FY2C (105°E) June 2005 – Present y FY2D (86°E) August 2007 –Present Jerry Robaidek 37 Datacenter Highlights (Archive) All GOES data back to 1978 is now online! Available via ADDE in the next couple of months. All NWS point & text data back to 1977 on-line soon Available via ADDE in the next month. 1978 2008 Jerry Robaidek 38 Datacenter Highlights (Real-time Users) y Added several new data clients, one notably is Sony. They are using the 3 hourly Infrared GLOBAL Composite created by the Data Center to depict global clouds on the Sony PS3 in a game called “Life with Playstation.” Jerry Robaidek 39 Datacenter Highlights (Infrastructure) y 6th floor computer room had its ventilation/cooling system overhauled to maximize our current cooling capabilities. y Current system supports an enhanced distributed cooling system scheduled to come on line in early 2009. This system will have a 75% greater capacity than the current system. Jerry Robaidek 40 Datacenter Highlights (new tools) New Roof Antenna Web Page http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/datacenter/aerial_view/ Answers that often asked question … What do all those dishes on your roof do? Jerry Robaidek 41 Datacenter Highlights (new tools) Remote Antenna Status http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/datacenter/ modem_signal/modem.html Now we can check our antenna status remotely from anywhere in the world --Helped identify snow/ice problem just yesterday! Jerry Robaidek 42 MUG (McIDAS Users' Group) • Welcomed nine new MUG members: 3TIER (Seattle, WA) Climatological Consulting Corporation (Palm Beach Gardens, FL) India Meteorological Department (New Delhi, India) India Space Applications Center (Ahmedabad, India) ITOCHU Techno-Solutions Corp. (Tokyo, Japan) National Geo-information Centre (Ulaan-Batar, Mongolia) National Renewable Energy Laboratory (Golden, CO) National Space Agency/CONAE (Buenos Aires, Argentina) Weather Decision Technologies (Norman, OK) • Continued working with the McIDAS Advisory Committee to get feedback from MUG members on the development of McIDAS-X and McIDAS-V - Chairman, Matthew Lazzara, AMRC • Planning the 2009 MUG Meeting - June 2-4, 2009, at the Edgewater Hotel in Madison 43 McIDAS-X • On-site McIDAS-X user and programmer training at 3TIER, and in-house McIDAS-X, -XCD and SDI training for Cape Canaveral Forecast Facility • Annual McIDAS-X, -XRD and -XCD software upgrades and documentation (version 2008) • Initial release of new SDI-104 package for FY-2 satellites; also updates for the SDI-104 GVAR, MTSAT HRIT, and POES Relay packages 44 44 McIDAS-V • In-house McIDAS-V training workshops for SSEC/CIMSS/AOS scientists and students • Integrating HYDRA and McIDAS-X functionality into McIDAS-V, improving the user interface, documentation, and training manuals • Distributed alpha versions 7 through 13 of McIDAS-V, including DVD releases at the EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Conference (alpha11), the Satellite Direct Readout Conference (alpha12), and the AGU Fall Meeting (plan to release alpha13) • Planning the timing of the beta release of McIDAS-V to coincide with the AMS meeting in January 2009 45 McIDAS-V GOES-R Simulated ABI Image of Hurricane Katrina Scatter Plot – band 9-vs-14 DBCRAS Relative Humidity loop 46 Happy to have Mark onboard in public Information Mark Hobson • Say Hi to Mark—Your favorite project may make a headline • Continuing the “Through the Atmosphere” tradition started by Jen O’Leary and Leanne Avila, co-editors • New Issue on climate coming soon 47 New CIMSS Website Research organized and sortable by platform, theme and alphabetical Popular Sites provide an easy way to go to your favorite sites News & Events with an archive of past news items “I really like what you've done!” “Nice work!” “The new CIMSS page looks good!” “Certainly a nice, clean, modern look. I like the part about being able to sort a list various ways.” Bill Bellon 48 SSEC / CIMSS Web Team Additional Accomplishments Meeting support (website logistics, online registration …) GOES-R AWG AMRC HSR Infrared ITWG/ITSC GOES Activities at CIMSS website (http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/) And much more …. PATMOS-x website (http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/patmosx/) Bill Bellon 49 UW SSEC/Limnology Lake Mendota Buoy Project New commercial buoy commissioned this year! MODIS chlorophyll mapping of Lake Mendota Bob Holz 50 C. Education and Public Outreach (EPO) Office of Space Science Education (OSSE) Earth Science EPO International Training Workshops Geospatial EPO in Alaska (MapTEACH) VISIT Training Sessions CIMSS Satellite Blog 51 OSSE: Venus E/PO Activities • European Venus Express – – – – – • Pertzborn (PI), Limaye and Baines (JPL) with Pi Draft 1.0 of Curriculum Complete Piloted Curriculum for Ali’i Teachers’ Workshop-Honolulu, HA in July Teacher/School Followup- February 09 Proposal for continuation underway Venus GCM – – – Limaye (PI), Pertzborn and Covey (LLNL) Teacher Workshop for Livermore Unified School District (Livermore, CA) Excellent feedback with 2008/09 classroom implementation underway Rose Pertzborn 52 52 Juno Mission – April 2008 PDR Review Glowing review of OSSE’s EPO Plan for JUNO New Frontiers Mission: “…establishes a new benchmark for excellence of NASA mission E/PO” Dr. Larry Cooper, NASA Headquarters Science Mission Directorate 53 Rose Pertzborn 53 One Earth, Many Views • NASA ROSES Institutional E/PO Program – – – – – – Baum (PI) & Pertzborn with Menzel, Revercomb & Pi Addresses Earth Science needs for Native American Students and Teachers in Upper Midwest Focuses on Informal Education through a visiting scientist program Builds upon interests as defined by learning audience to develop a series of earth science modules that are culturally relevant Integrates NASA Earth Remote Sensing data to support inquirybased student investigations Will be Ph.D. research topic!!! • (Hsuan-Yun Pi) Rose Pertzborn 54 2008 Outreach Highlights January: AMS WeatherFest in New Orleans February: Renovation of new Outreach Room (148) March: 3D Globe arrives at SSEC – first in Wisconsin April: AOSS Open House – 500 visitors! May & June: 12 School Groups (~ 500 K-12 students) July: Teacher Workshop on Climate Change July 9th &10th Grandparents University July 21st & 22nd Grandparents University July 24th & 25th CIMSS 16th Student Workshop July 27th – 31st August: Aeribago travels to State Fair with SSEC info table September: 3D Globe travels to Madison Children's Museum October: UW publishes Visitors Planning Guide specifically listing SSEC! SSEC November & December: 3D Globe returns to SSEC & travels to Space Place Sincere thanks to everyone who contributed to make SECC outreach so successful this year (3rd floor, Maria, Center Scientists, ARMC – the list goes on – It does take a village! Sincere thanks to the Directors for our new outreach room. Margaret Mooney 55 International training continues with remote sensing courses in Sardinia (Sep 08) and Turkey (Oct 08) lectures / labs explore high spatial resolution vis / IR data (from MODIS & SEVIRI), high spectral resolution IR data (from AIRS & IASI) and MW soundings (from AMSU). Paolo & Paul Paul Menzel, Paolo Antonelli 56 57 58 Cloud Rope: Gulf of Mexico 59 D. Our Science & Engineering What we do is divided into* Observe Analyze Apply * Following the 2007 SSEC Booklet 60 To Observe 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) 10) CLARREO IIP: Developments for Climate Benchmark Mission AVHRR Reflectance Calibration NPOESS Preparatory Program Efforts GEO Sounder Status AIRS Water Vapor Validation Far IR Experiment for ARM AERI Production Starts Anew Ice Coring & Drilling Services (ICDS) Antarctic Meteorology Research High Spectral Resolution Lidar 61 Technology Developments for the CLARREO Benchmark Climate Mission NASA IIP A New Class of Advanced Accuracy Satellite Instrumentation (AASI) for the CLARREO Mission OSRM OCEM OARS High Performance FTS 62 Efforts Toward a Consensus Historical AVHRR Reflectance Calibration Andrew Heidinger, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR William Straka III and Christine Molling, CIMSS • Assembled and compared prelaunch plus 14 post-launch calibrations from the literature for AVHRR channels 1 & 2 (6.3 & 8.6 μm) • Computed several types of calibration parameters over selected targets • Organized AVHRR/HIRS CDR Workshop, NOAA Science Center, Camp Springs, MD November 17-19,2008 1 0 % 10% p-p disagreement! An example of the level of agreement among those calibrations which have been computed for the afternoon orbit AVHRR’s. Mean channel 1 (6.3 μm) reflectance difference over a Libyan Desert target for July, NOAA 15-18. Difference is from the PATMOS-X calibration computed at CIMSS. Calibration Web Site: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/clavr/calibration/index.html 63 Calibration Parameters & MODIS transfer to AVHRR Reference Reflectances: Libyan Desert Target & Dome-C Calibration Slopes: NOAA-5 & NOAA-18 Simultaneous Nadir Overpasses: AVHRR/AVHRR & MODIS(Aqua)/MetopA 64 Exceptional IR Sounder for NPP SSEC was 1st to identify 2 major flight model problems & fixes CrIS High Calibration Target (ICT) Reflectivity (ICT replaced) Non-linearity (LW & MW correction developed) ICT 65 Orbit: 1:30 pm Altitude: 824 km Polar Sun-Synch Launch: Fall 2010 NPP VIIRS Imager NASA climate follow-on mission to MODIS Changes from MODIS • • • Participants: Moeller, LaPorte, Menzel UW Goals: Assess sensor SDR and EDR performance in prelaunch. Cal/Val in postlaunch. Funding agents: NASA, IPO VIIRS Data Products Name of Product Group Type Imagery * Precipitable Water Suspended Matter Aerosol Optical Thickness Aerosol Particle Size Cloud Base Height Cloud Cover/Layers Cloud Effective Particle Size Cloud Optical Thickness/Transmittance Cloud Top Height Cloud Top Pressure Cloud Top Temperature Active Fires Albedo (Surface) Land Surface Temperature Soil Moisture Surface Type Vegetation Index Sea Surface Temperature * Ocean Color and Chlorophyll Net Heat Flux Sea Ice Characterization Ice Surface Temperature Snow Cover and Depth Imagery Atmosphere Atmosphere Aerosol Aerosol Cloud Cloud Cloud Cloud Cloud Cloud Cloud Land Land Land Land Land Land Ocean Ocean Ocean Snow and Ice Snow and Ice Snow and Ice EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR Application EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR * Key Product Performance attribute • Telescope instead of rotating mirror • Use of dual gain bands • Removed CO2 bands • Deleted Spectro-Radiometric Assembly • Added pixel aggregation • Guaranteed End-Of-Life Performance Spec • Solar Diffuser Screen with Earthshine shade Flight Unit -1 Test Status • Ambient phase I, II, III testing completed. TVAC testing scheduled for 1st Q 2009. FU-1 Test Program Progress This Year • • • • RVS test data corrected for ambient water vapor. FU-1 TVAC sequence now prioritizes critical tests Test plans matured for FU-1 performance tests GSE acceptance testing largely completed. Next Year • • • On-site participation in FU-1 TVAC testing Analysis/Review of FU-1 TVAC test data Delivery of VIIRS for spacecraft integration 66 Artist Impression, Phase A EUMETSAT/ESA plan for advanced IR Sounder (IRS) to fly on Meteosat 3rd Generation (MTG) in 2017 2 December Stephen Tjemkes Seminar, 10 2008 Dec 2008 Slide: 67 EUM/PPS/08/VWG/0152 - 67 AIRS TPW Validation over SGP and TWP: 2002-2008 Diurnal TPW Difference over SGP Blue: AIRS Red: MWR AIRS significantly overestimates the diurnal TPW trend during the warmer months (May-September) at SGP, due to a nighttime dry bias. The bias error (for day + night) is very close to the AIRS science team suggested error of +/- 5% for bins between 1 and 5 cm for SGP, and 3 to 7 cm for TWP. Both the upper and right plots clearly show a significant moist bias in the AIRS data for very low TPW cases (< 1.5 cm). Sarah Bedka, Bob Knuteson, Dave Turner, Jacob Cychosz 68 Radiative Heating in Underexplored Bands Campaign (RHUBC-II) Future ARM Site • PI: Dave Turner (DOE ARM experiment) • Objective: Improve RT models in far-IR and other spectral regions where WV is strongly absorbing • Details: • Experiment runs from 1 Aug - 30 Oct 2009 • High altitude site at 5340 m • Anticipated PWV range: 0.10 - 0.40 mm Measuring Mixed-Phase Cloud Optical Depth • Developed method to retrieve τliq and τice in mixed-phase clouds from AERI • First direct evaluation of these retrievals using HSRL during M-PACE • Agreement was excellent! (within 5% for both ice and liquid) Turner and Eloranta, GRSL, 2008 HSRL AERI HSRL AERI Retrieving T/q Profiles from Passive Radiance Obs Temperature • T/q profiles can be retrieved from AERI (e.g., Feltz et al) or microwave profiler (like on our roof) • Need to quantify the number of independent pieces of information in each (and together) • Clear sky (shown here) – AERI has 2-4 times more information – Joint retrieval does not increase number of pieces of info, but helps convergence • Cloudy scenes (working on this now) Microwave AERI Independent Pieces of Info Water Vapor Microwave AERI – Expect best retrieval will use both Löhnert, Turner, Crewell, JAMC, in press Independent Pieces of Info ABB Bomem Delivers 1st Next-Generation AERI Now deployed at the NOAA SEARCH Facility in Eureka, Canada SSEC Validated Performance 72 ICDS • Supports US science community by designing, building, operating and maintaining ice drilling equipment. • Has contributed about $21 M and 160,000 hours in services to scientists through NSF Office of Polar Programs during the 8½ years the contract has been at UW. Charlie Bentley, Don Lebar, Tony Wendrix, Alex Shturmakov 73 NSF Awarded SSEC-ICDS with Two Cooperative Agreements for 2008-2013 (Renewable) 1. Ice Drilling Design and Operation Group - 5-year funding of $13.5 M - Continue ICDS activities - PI – Charles Bentley 2. Ice Drilling Program Office - 5-year funding – $3 M (UW portion – over $1 M) - Provide interface between science community & ICDS - Collaborative agreement of three institutions: UW-Madison, WI (PI – Charles Bentley) Dartmouth College, NH (PI – Mary Albert) Univ. of New Hampshire, NH (PI – Mark Twickler) Charlie Bentley, Don Lebar, Tony Wendrix, Alex Shturmakov 74 WAIS Divide Ice Core Project • Drilled to 581m depth in 15 days during 2007/08 season • Plan to drill through brittle ice this season • The ultimate coring depth ~ 3500m • Expected completion of ice coring – 2011/12 season Charlie Bentley, Don Lebar, Tony Wendrix, Alex Shturmakov 75 Other Projects ICDS Continues to Provide Ice Drilling Services for a Variety of Science Projects Arctic • McCall Glacier Alaska – Ice Cores Antarctic • Mount Erebus – Seismic Shot Holes • Amundsen Basin – Seismic Shot Holes • Norwegian - American Traverse – Ice Cores • South Pole – Firn Air Study Holes • Beacon Valley – Test of Koci Drill and Ice Cores Charlie Bentley, Don Lebar, Tony Wendrix, Alex Shturmakov 76 Antarctic Meteorological Research Center Antarctic Weather Station Program 2007-2008 Field Season Mary AWS Kirk Beckendorf (from Blanco, TX) - Middle School Teacher in Antarctica! Jonathan Thom George Weidner Photo by Shelley Knuth 2008-2009 Field Season: Margaret AWS Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctica 80 South 165 West (Near Roosevelt Island) Finally installed after 3 years of trying! Photo by Jonathan Thom 77 AWS Quality Control Team University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA University of Colorado-Boulder, USA Kitami Institute of Technology, Japan Picnic at Chuck Stearns Farm From left to right: Dr. Takao Kameda Prof. Charles Stearns Dr. David Bromwich George Weidner 78 78 AMRC/AWS Farewell: Jonas Asuma (at SUNY-Albany) New Collaborations: Dr. Taejin Choi, KOPRI Welcome! Nicole Schroeder DJ Rasmussen Lee Welhouse 79 Matthew gets his PhD! 80 80 HIAPER AIRCRAFT LIDAR Development To Analyze 1) Cryosphere 2) GOES-R Risk Reduction (R3) and Product Algorithms (AWG) 3) Clouds 4) Temperature and WV Sounding 5) Surface emissivity 6) Orbit Analyses 7) Hurricane/Tropical Cyclone Analyses 8) Outer Planets 82 MODIS True Color Image Ice Motion (cm/s) Ice Surface Temperature (K) Ice Thickness (m) Ice Concentration (%) Ice Age/Type MODIS Aqua Data on February 24, 2008 except ice motion By Xuanji Wang, Y. Liu, W. Straka, and J. Key 83 GOES-R: A huge CIMSS research effort GOES-R PROGRAM OFFICE GOES-R Program Manager Greg Mandt We provide AWG with near-operational algorithms and Technical Advisory Committee R3 with innovations in analysis GOES-R3 approaches, data systems, and calibration Algorithm Development Executive Board Program Manager Mitch Goldberg CHAIR – STAR DIR. Deputy Program Manager – Jaime Daniels Integration Team GOES-R AWG Algorithm Working Group Program Lead – Ingrid Guck Deputy Program Lead –Mark DeMaria Application Teams Development Teams Risk ReductionCooperative Institutes JCSDA & Others A $3-4 M Effort! Wayne Feltz Slide 84 GOES-R Software Development Process 84 FY2008 CIMSS GOES-R Risk Reduction Tasks 1. Improvement of Forward Models for ABI Simulations, Algorithm Development, and Radiance Assimilation Allen Huang, Tom Greenwald, Bob Knuteson 2. Study of the Efficient and Effective Assimilation of GOES-R Temporal/Spatial Measurement Information - Jason Otkin, Allen Huang 3. GOES-R Atmospheric Motion Vector (AMV) Research - Chris Velden, Steve Wanzong 4. Hurricane Wind Structure and Secondary Eyewall Formation - Jim Kossin 5. GOES-R Ozone Product Risk Reduction Study Jinlong Li and Jun Li GOES-R Software Development Process Slide 85 85 FY2008 CIMSS GOES-R Risk Reduction Tasks 6. GOES-R Sounding Algorithm Development and Risk Reduction - Jun Li, Allen Huang, Tim Schmit 7. CIMSS Cal/Val Efforts in Support of GOES-R - Dave Tobin, Mat Gunshor 8. GOES-RRR Fire Detection, Monitoring, and Characterization - Chris Schmidt, Elaine Prins 9. Nearcasts - Filling the Gap Between Observations and NWP Using Dynamic Projections of GOES Moisture Products - Ralph Petersen, Bob Aune 10. ABI Proxy Data Studies: Regional Assimilation of SEVIRI Total Column Ozone - Brad Pierce and Todd Schaack GOES-R Software Development Process Slide 86 86 Overview of CIMSS GOES-R Algorithm Working Group (AWG) 41 CIMSS Colleagues & Allen Huang Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies Space Science & Engineering Center University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA SSEC/CIMSS Madison, WI 25 April 2008 87 GOES-R AWG Application Teams • • • • • • • • • • Soundings (Tim Schmit, Jun Li) SSEC AWG Involvement in Blue AWG Chair listed first Winds (Jaime Daniels, Chris Velden) Local SSEC/CIMSS POC underlined/italics Clouds (Andy Heidinger, Michael Pavolonis) Aviation (Ken Pryor, Wayne Feltz) Aerosols / Air Quality / Atmospheric Chemistry (Shobha Kondragunta, Steve Ackerman/Chris Schmidt/Brad Pierce) Land Surface (Dan Tarpley, Chris Schmidt/Elaine Prins) Cryosphere (Jeff Key) Imagery/Visualization (Tim Schmit) SST and Ocean Dynamics (Alexander Ignatov) Radiation Budget (Istvan Lazslo) CIMSS is responsible • Lightning (Steve Goodman) • • • • • Space Environment (Steven Hill) 55%! Hydrology (Robert Kuligowski) Proxy Data (Fuzhong Weng, Allen Huang/Tom Greenwald) Algorithm Integration (Walter Wolf, Graeme Martin/Ray Garcia) Cal/Val (Changyong Cao, Dave Tobin) Slide 88 for 24 of 42 algorithms GOES-R Software Development Process 88 Large-scale WRF Model Simulations Used for GOES-R Research Activities J. Otkin, T. Greenwald, J. Sieglaff, M. Gunshor, E. Olson, and A. Huang • Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model was used to generate physically realistic atmospheric profile datasets • TOA radiances calculated using the Successive Order of Interaction (SOI) radiative transfer model • Two large simulations were performed on a supercomputer at the National Center for Supercomputing Applications at the University of Illinois • Animation to the left shows simulated 8.5 μm Tb for the Hurricane Katrina simulation Hurricane Katrina 89 Large-scale WRF Model Simulations Used for GOES-R Research Activities J. Otkin, T. Greenwald, J. Sieglaff, M. Gunshor, E. Olson, and A. Huang • Second simulation was performed over the MSG viewing domain • Simulation contained 5950 x 5420 grid points with 3-km horizontal resolution • Simulation required 1.5 TB of memory and produced 16 TB of data • Example proxy SEVIRI 10.8 μm Tb (K) image shown to the left 90 Evaluation of a WRF Model Simulation using SEVIRI Data J. Otkin, T. Greenwald, J. Sieglaff, M. Gunshor, E. Olson, and A. Huang 10.8 – 12.0 μm Observed SEVIRI Decreasing Thin particle Cirrus size Decreasing optical depth Thick clouds 8.7 – 10.8 μm Cirrus Thin low clouds over land Thick water clouds Simulated SEVIRI Probability distributions contain all cloudy grid points within the full disk domain during a 24-hour period Simulated clouds properties are realistic when averaged over the entire domain 91 Evaluation of a WRF Model Simulation using CloudSat Data T. Greenwald, Y.-K. Lee & J. Otkin Purpose: Funded by the GOES-R AWG, this research assesses the vertical cloud structure in simulated midlatitude clouds using CloudSat reflectivity data Simulation & Analysis: • Large-scale high-resolution WRF model simulation was run on16 August 2006 over MSG domain • Cluster analysis was applied to height-dBZ joint histograms for midlatitude clouds over the entire day Key Results: • Simulation captured vertical structure of frontal systems and cirrus • Simulation produced somewhat deeper thick cirrus and more intense shallow precipitation than observed Observations Simulations Thin Cirrus & stratus Thick Cirrus Less organized cloud systems Frontal system precip 0 10 20 30 Relative frequency of occurrence (%) 92 AWG Integration Team (AIT) Technical Support Mike Pavolonis (NOAA), Maciek Smuga-Otto, Raymond Garcia, Graeme Martin, Tom Demke (CIMSS/UW-Madison) Team goals: - Facilitate algorithm development & testing, standardize algorithm interfaces - Smooth exchange of data processing software with the integration team Primary activities: - Develop and support algorithm testbed (GEOCAT) - Technical interchange with AIT, standards development - Create testing and verification tools GEOCAT 93 GEOCAT GEOCAT can now produce 20 out of 25 Option 1 and 2 GOES-R products! •In a demonstration given to the head of NESDIS, 10 GOES-R algorithms (16 products), applied to a SEVIRI domain of 1300 x 1000 pixels (~the size of current GOES CONUS), can be processed on a laptop computer in 1 - 1.5 minutes! •Adding additional products only increases the processing time slightly. M. Pavolonis and G. Martin 94 M. Pavolonis and G. Martin All of these products were produced by GEOCAT in ~ 1 minute on a labtop! 95 Automated Volcanic Ash Monitoring – SEVIRI RGB Ash Probability Ash Chaiten, Chile May 5, 2008 Plume over the Atlantic seen by SEVIRI Ash Height Ash Amount Atmospheric corrected optical depth ratio technique can detect multilayered ash clouds Funded by: GOES‐R AWG Mike Pavolonis and Justin Sieglaff 96 Automated Volcanic Ash Detection ‐ GOES‐I‐M RGB Ash Height Ash Amount Chaiten, Chile; May 7, 2008 as seen by GOES‐10 Quantitative ash mass loading and ash height are unique to automated algorithms Funded by: NOAA GIMPAP Mike Pavolonis and Justin Sieglaff 97 Automated Volcanic Ash Detection ‐ PSDI RGB Kasatochi, Alaska; August 8, 2008 as seen by AVHRR (NOAA‐18) Similar algorithm to GIMPAP and AWG projects; however must also account for 1.6 µm/3.9 µm daytime channel differences between various AVHRRs Ash Detection In 2009 we will begin global realtime testing at CIMSS, the realtime system will generate automated warning emails along with quantitative ash height and ash mass loading Funded by: NOAA PSDI Mike Pavolonis and Justin Sieglaff 98 Using Retrieved Cloud Properties (instead of Tb, ρ) to Quantitatively Monitor Convection M. Pavolonis and A. Heidinger RGB Cloud Particle Size Cloud Type/Phase IR Emissivity Cloud Optical Depth IR Microphysics 99 Nighttime Cloud Optical & Microphysical Properties for GOES-R Pat Heck has integrated NASA LaRC’s retrieval algorithm into GEOCAT. Optical Depth Other Projects Roughened Ice Crystals • Developed enhanced ice cloud property retrieval scheme using new reflectance models that utilize roughened ice crystals from Ping Yang. • To be applied globally to GOES, MODIS, SEVIRI, MTSAT, AVHRR, etc. Differences in visible cloud reflectance between Langley models (orig), and TX A&M smooth (r=0.0), rough (r=0.5) and rougher (r=1.0) models. Larger differences => potential optical depth retrieval errors Product Examples Using ABI Proxy Data CERES Effective Particle Size • Paper ready for submission that describes CERES cloud property retrieval algorithm as applied to MODIS data. Liquid Water Path • Edition 3 CERES cloud property retrieval algorithm for Aqua MODIS expected to be completed Dec. ‘08. Pat Heck 10 0 Measuring Mixed-Phase Cloud Optical Depth • Developed method to retrieve τliq and τice in mixed-phase clouds from AERI • First direct evaluation of these retrievals using HSRL during M-PACE • Agreement was excellent! (within 5% for both ice and liquid) Turner and Eloranta, GRSL, 2008 HSRL AERI HSRL AERI GOES-R Cloud Type/Phase Validated with A-Train Lidar •The cloud type/phase products produced by the GOES-R AWG Cloud Application Team were shown to agree with CALIPSO ~93% of the time when viewing liquid water and ice clouds. •Mixed phase cloud validation is ongoing. Category CALIPSO Count ABI Phase Count Percent Agree Percent Disagree Liquid Water 4040 3969 98.24% 1.76% Single Layer Ice 1210 1139 94.13% 5.87% Multilayered Ice 2032 1649 81.15% 18.85% Total 7282 6757 92.79% 7.21% Water, Supercooled Water, Mixed Phase, Thick Ice, Thin Ice, Multilayered M. Pavolonis 10 2 Atmosphere PEATE for NPP Overview NICSE SD3E Ancillary Data Providers Sounder PEATE Land PEATE Ocean PEATE EDR and SDR Evaluation EDR/SDR Quality Assessment Satellite/satellite comparisons Satellite/ground comparisons Global gridded product comparisons NPP Atmosphere Science Team Science Processing System Compute resources Data Storage Relational database I&TSE NPP Project Science Office Software Development Algorithm modification & enhancement testing CM & Bug tracking Testing Operations Data ingest System monitoring Software Tools LEOCAT Collocation Dynamic gridding Visualization IT Support Backups OS Installs/Updates Security Service and Support Project Management Reporting Grant Admin Atmosphere PEATE Achievements to Date • SSEC staff are actively involved in VIIRS and CrIS and pre-launch testing • Demonstrated software infrastructure for running VIIRS OPS EDR algorithms on Linux (LEOCAT) • Demonstrated VIIRS Cloud EDR evaluation approach using CALIPSO lidar (CALIOP) • Deployed Atmosphere PEATE Science Processing System with 128 CPUs, >100TB disk • Completed Critical Design Review in June 08 Liam Gumley, Hank R Space Science and Engineering Center University of Wisconsin-Madison NPP Science Team Counterparts Bryan Baum (UW): VIIRS Cloud Retrievals Christina Hsu (GSFC): VIIRS Aerosol Retrievals Hank Revercomb (SSEC): SDR Validation Omar Torres (UMBC): Aerosol Validation Paul Menzel (UW): VIIRS and heritage CDRs Steve Platnick (GSFC): Cloud Optical Properties Andy Heidinger (NOAA): Cloud Properties The Atmosphere PEATE is responsible for evaluating all VIIRS cloud and aerosol EDRs, and impact of SDRs on these EDRs. EDR Evaluation: Cloud Height (MODIS-CALIOP) MODIS above CALIOP MODIS below CALIOP Flexible collocation software has been developed for satellite to satellite (formation or SNO) and satellite to ground comparisons MODIS Cloud Height Algorithm: benefits from reprocessing with (1) AIRS radiance cal & (2) new handling of inversions MODIS comparison with CALIOP for Aug 06 Global Without Polar Clouds (60 deg) T7 0.05 Normalized Number of Occurrence 0.045 All Cloudy FOV CALIPSO < 5 km CALIPSO > 5 km 0.04 0.035 0.03 0.025 Mean All Cloud Heights = −2.65 STD All Cloud Heights = 3.60 Mean Cloud Height <= 5 km = −0.62 STD Cloud Height <= 5 km = 1.17 Mean Cloud Height > 5 km = −4.28 STD Cloud Height > 5km = 4.04 0.02 0.015 0.01 0.005 0 −20 −15 −10 −5 0 Cloud Height Difference (MODIS − CALIPSO (km)) 5 DAAC PEATE enables testing of algorithm improvements on large data sets Frey, Holz, Dutcher, Weisz, Heidinger, Baum, & Menzel 10 4 Reprocessing of 30 yrs of HIRS Started Investigation of Deep Convective Clouds is new addition Olsen, Baum, Kolat, Wylie, & Menzel 105 GEO/LEO synergy provides better soundings (spatial, temporal and vertical) AIRS window BT images (color) overlaying on hourly GOES Sounder BT images (B/W) Pressure (hPa) GOES GOES/AIRS Combination of LEO/GEO provides better spatial and vertical profiles Zhenglong Li, Elisabeth Weisz, Chian-Yi Liu, Jun Li RAOBs are from SGP ARM 106 Demonstration of GEO advanced sounder for storm nowcasting GIFTS/HES/IRS True Lifted Index Simulated Radar ABI/GOES Sounder like GIFTS/HES provides needed instability and warning information hours earlier than current GOES Sounder and Radar Jun Li, Jinlong Li, Jason Otkin, and Tim Schmit 107 UW Baseline Fit (BF) Emissivity database Available: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iremis/ 94 registered users since Sept 2006 (last year 64) Reference: Seemann et al., 2008: Development of a Global Infrared Land Surface Emissivity Database for Application to Clear Sky Sounding Retrievals from Multi-spectral Satellite Radiance Measurements. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., Vol. 47, 108-123. UW-AIRS , Jan 1-8 2004 Time coverage: 6 years: 092002 -112008 Spatial resolution: 5 degree (~ 5km) Spectral resolution: 10 hinge points The UW HSR land surface IR emissivity algorithm is available by request. BT Residuals (LW) UW MODIS BF V4 Problem in MYD11 C5 8-9.5 μm dBt > 6 K 8.7 μm UW MODIS BF V5 BT Residuals (SW) 108 High temporal information used in GOES-R product development – example of surface IR emissivity product Emissivity from single time step method (emissivity has false diurnal variation) Emissivity using time continuity method (emissivity shows constant evolution) SEVIRI data are used for 8.7 µm emissivity Jun Li, Xin Jin, Eva Borbas 109 Hurricane Ike, Oblique view in Google Earth Liam Gumley, Amato Evan and Bill Bellon 110 High spatial AIRS soundings provide positive impact on hurricane track forecast CTRL run: Assimilate radiosonde, satellite cloud winds, aircraft data, QuikScat surface winds, and hurricane position data. (using CIMSS single FOV retrievals) Tracks of 72h forecasts on Hurricane Dean, Forecast starts at 00 UTC, 16 August 2007 Jun Li, Jinlong Li , and Hui Liu (NCAR) 111 Are hurricanes getting stronger as the underlying ocean warms? ¾ The most intense storms have the strongest dependence on SST ¾ SST places an upper bound on intensity. Jim Kossin 112 Intensity trends: Global homogeneous satellite-based record & the Historical Best Track archive satellite-estimated “best track” inflates trends Strong Storms are getting Stronger In the last 30 years, the strongest hurricanes have gotten stronger by about 3 – 4 m s-1 per decade globally. Elsner, J. B., J. P. Kossin, and T. H. Jagger, 2008: The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones. Nature, 455, 92-95. 113 Is the North Atlantic hurricane season getting longer? SST in the Main Hurricane Development Region is warming (order 1K/100 yrs) ⇒ Is the annual distribution of tropical storm formation dates changing? ⇒ 114 Trend toward later storms Trend toward earlier storms US Hurricane Season is Getting Longer The earliest storms are forming earlier in the season and the latest storms are forming later. These changes correlate with warming SST. Kossin, J. P., 2008: Is the North Atlantic hurricane season getting longer? Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L23705, doi:10.1029/2008GL036012. 115 Computationally efficient methods of collocating satellite, aircraft, and ground observations Frederick W. Nagle and Robert E. Holz University of Wisconsin Madison Space Science and Engineering Center CLARREO Inter‐Calibration Study 100 km CLARREO “BT STDEV” (K) = Standard deviation w/in CLARREO FOV 100km CrIS 11 μm MODIS BT (K) “spatial difference” (K) = mean w/in CLARREO FOV minus mean w/in CrIS/IASI FOVs IASI 11 μm MODIS BT (K) 11 μm MODIS BT (K) ~55% coverage ~18% coverage 117 Research on Outer-Planet Atmospheres at SSEC Science Team: Larry Sromovsky and Pat Fry Planets: Jupiter, Neptune, Uranus Research: Atmospheric circulation Seasonal response Dynamics of circulation features Vertical cloud structure and composition Techniques: Data Sources: Spectroscopy, Imaging, in situ observations, cloud tracking, radiation transfer modeling Hubble Space Telescope, Cassini, New Horizons Ground based telescopes (Keck and IRTF). Archived data from Voyager & Galileo missions. 118 2008: A Year of Planetary Proposal $uccess Planetary Astronomy Program (3-year grant, accepted, top rated) Planetary Atmospheres Program (3-year grant, accepted) Jupiter Data Analysis Program (3-year grant, accepted) Hubble Space Telescope Cycle 17 Program (1-year grant, after May 09 HST repair) NASA IRTF observing time (spectroscopic observations completed) SSEC is the leading Wisconsin center for Hubble observing: In the last three observing cycles, 12 HST proposals were submitted from Wisconsin investigators (all institutions). Only 3 were awarded HST observing time, all from the SSEC Outer Planet Team (100% approval rate) 119 SSEC 2008 Outer Planet Publications (published or soon to be): Sromovsky, L.A. and Fry, P.M. 2008. The methane abundance and structure of Uranus' cloud bands inferred from spatially resolved 2006 Keck grism spectra. Icarus 193, 252-266. Hammel, H. B., Sromovsky, L.A., Fry, P.M., Rages, K.A., de Pater, I., and van Dam, M. 2008. The Dark Spot in the Atmosphere of Uranus in 2006: Discovery, Description, and Dynamical Simulations. Icarus (in press) Sromovsky, L.A., and Fry, Hammel, H. B., Fry, P.M., de Pater, I., Rages, K.A. and Showalter, M.R. 2008. Uranus at equinox: Cloud morphology and dynamics. Icarus (in revision) Publications in preparation: Sromovsky, L.A. and Fry, P.M. 2009. Jupiter’s low latitude cloud structure inferred from 2005 NICMOS observations. To be submitted to Icarus. Sromovsky, L.A. and Fry, P.M. 2009. Latitudinal variations in Uranus cloud structure as constrained by 2002 STIS spectra. To be submitted to Icarus. 120 2008 Press release on Uranus equinox observations 121 Keck observations of Uranus 2005 2007 122 To Apply 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) Tropospheric Pollution Air Quality Modeling Direct Broadcast to the World CRAS Forecasts for National Weather Service Wisconsin View Tropical Cyclone Forecasts SNAAP (Satellite-based Nowcasting & Aviation Applications) CLARREO Climate Benchmark Mission 123 REMOTE SENSING OF TROPOSPHERIC POLLUTION FROM SPACE: JACK FISHMAN, KEVIN W. BOWMAN, JOHN P. BURROWS, ANDREAS RICHTER, KELLY V. CHANCE,DAVID P. EDWARDS, RANDALL V. MARTIN, GARY A. MORRIS, R. BRADLEY PIERCE, JERALD R. ZIEMKE,JASSIM A. AL-SAADI, JOHN K. CREILSON, TODD K. SCHAACK, AND ANNE M. THOMPSON O3 CO (Top) August 2006 O3 and CO columns from Realtime Air Quality Modeling System (RAQMS) chemical analyses. (Bottom) Comparisons for Houston and Huntsville IONS ozonesonde sites. The June 2008 BAMS cover article entitled “Remote Sensing of Tropospheric Pollution from Space” provides a survey of past, present, and future capabilities for space-based measurements of global trace gas distributions and discusses current capabilities for assimilation of composition measurements into global air quality models. The article also discusses the role of Geostationary trace gas measurements within the context of the Global Earth Observation System of Systems (GEOSS) and national priorities for space-based measurements in the next decade. 124 During April 2008, as part of the International Polar Year (IPY), NOAA’s Climate Forcing and Air Quality Programs engaged in an airborne field measurement campaign in the Alaskan Arctic . The Aerosol, Radiation, and Cloud Processes affecting Arctic Climate (ARCPAC) field mission (Fairbanks AK) focused on direct measurements of properties and processes designed to address nongreenhouse-gas atmospheric climate forcing The Real-time Air Quality Modeling System (RAQMS) chemical and aerosol forecasts, initialized with real-time satellite measurements (e.g. Aura OMI column ozone and MLS ozone profiles, Terra and Aqua MODIS AOD) where used for daily flight planning activities during ARCPAC. Brad Pierce, Todd Schaak, Allen Lensen 125 Post mission analysis will focus on combining Arctic airborne, ground based, and satellite measurements with meteorological, chemical, and aerosol analyses to assess the impacts of aerosols, halogen catalyzed boundary layer ozone loss, and stratosphere-troposphere exchange processes on the infrared radiative budget of the Arctic. Brad Pierce NOAA/NESDIS Jun Li (CIMSS) Todd Schaack and Allen Lenzen (SSEC UW-Madison) Jay Al-Saadi, Murali Natarajan, Chieko Kittaka (NASA/LaRC) 126 International MODIS/AIRS Processing Package Milestones: • Users from 41 Countries Downloaded IMAPP MODIS Level 2 Software • MODIS Destriping Software Release • DB CRAS Release • MODIS data mentioned 69 times in AFDs by NWS forecasters MODIS in AWIPS DBCRAS 300 mb forecast 127 SSEC Releases Version 1.0 of the CIMSS Regional Assimilation System (CRAS) for The IMAPP Direct Broadcast Package (DBCRAS) MODIS SSEC has released Version 1.0 of DBCRAS. It is a complete numerical weather prediction (NWP) package designed to assimilate products generated by the International MODIS/AIRS Processing Package (IMAPP). DBCRAS can be installed on a Linux PC anywhere in the world bringing NWP and satellite data assimilation capability to remote locations. View Wisconsin DBCRAS at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/model/realtime/cras48_WI/daily.html ▲ North Pole DBCRAS Sites ▲ Tromso ▲ Anchorage, AK ▲ ▲ Kazakhstan London ▲ ▲ Madison Istanbul ▲ Beijing ▲ Taiwan ▲Sao Paolo ▲Pretoria ▲Real time Honolulu ▲ ▲ Perth ▲Tested South Pole ▲ DBCRAS Team: Kathy Strabala, Bob Aune, Scott Lindstrom, Allen Huang 128 Real Time Forecast Imagery for the National Weather Service For two years CRAS forecasts have providing 11μm and 6.7μm forecast imagery to the NWS Central Region for distribution to NWS Forecast offices. Bob Aune, NOAA and Jordan Gerth, CIMSS CRAS TEMPESTUS HODIE - Tomorrow’s Weather Today 129 www.WisconsinView.org • New Data added for Public Access (e.g. 2008 1-meter true color statewide). • Support for Wisconsin Emergency Management – June 2008 Flooding through “International Charter” activation. • Spatial database development (collaborations with AWS, Data Center, CIMSS). Lake Delton “Spillway” 2008 2008 flooding map (RADARSAT-1) Sam Batzli 130 TY Nabi, 29 Aug – 8 Sep, 2005 TCS-08/T-PARC Components Midlatitude operating region NRL P-3, FALCON Extratropical Transition (ET – recurvature), Downstream Impacts Japan, Yokota AFB ET characteristics, forcing of downstream impacts, The CIMSS Tropical Cyclones team tropical/midlatitude extratropical provided real time mission support interactions, for cyclogenesis these targeted flights by generating an Subtropical operating region array of satellite based products, as Driftsonde, NRL P-3, well as providing on site analysis andTC Intensification DOTSTAR, WC-130 forecasting expertise in Monterey. and structure TC track characteristics, tropical/midlatitude to post experiment Contributions change interaction analysis projects are on going. Recurvature, initiation of Okinawa, Kadena AFB Guam, Andersen AFB Tropical operating region Driftsonde, NRL P-3, DOTSTAR, WC-130 ET Tropical Measurements Large-scale circulation, deep convection, monsoon depressions, tropical waves, TC formation 131 Courtesy Russ Elsberry - NPS TCS-08/TPARC Mission Support – Real-time Satellite Products TCS-08 CIMSS Support Page 132 INTRODUCING THE NEW CIMSS TROPICAL CYCLONE WEB SITE Christopher Velden and Timothy Olander Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies, University of Wisconsin, Madison Use ‘Capture’ on the top control bar to save user selected background and overlays to GIFs and loops to animated GIFs It has been 13 years since CIMSS launched the first-of-its-kind web site on Tropical Cyclones (TCs). In all of that time, other than frequent updates and product additions, the site has not changed in any major way. For the past year or so, the CIMSS TC group has been working on a major site upgrade. Intended for a slightly more sophisticated user, the site includes a new layout and increased interactive capabilities. Interested analysts, researchers or just plain hurricane aficionados can find information on real time storms, regional analyses based on satellite-derived variables, special satellite imagery, and examples of the SSEC/CIMSS TC Group research projects. The new site can be found at: Choose a background domain resolution from the TCTrak sidebar Mouse over storm symbol yields current storm status info from NHC/CPHC or JTWC http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2 Featured on the new site is an interactive window for viewing and analyzing real time TCs we call “TCTrak”. This analysis tool allows multiple data and product overlays, animation manipulation, satellite-based TC estimates and diagnostics, and more. The intent is for a user to interrogate the meteorological conditions of a storm in real time. Included in the product suite available for viewing is multispectral imagery (IR and microwave) from virtually all operational (and some research) geo and polar orbiting satellites, SST analysis, satellite-derived products such as winds, shear, and intensity estimates, scatterometer winds, conventional observations, current TC track and forecast discussions, numerical model track forecasts, and more. The new site was made available to the TC community in July of 2007 and does require recent web browser versions to function properly. View latest satellite-based storm intensity estimates from CIMSS Choose a background analysis and select overlays Sfc obs, GOES winds and convergence, ASCAT winds Click on storm symbol to bring up TCTrak Storm display Click on “I” symbol to bring up TCTrak Invest Area display and choose backgrounds and overlays Enhanced IR imagery SST with vorticity MPI max wind with sfc obs TPW with divergence Ocean heat content Mouse over shaded regions yields regional product menu Coming soon... the CIMSS Tropical Cyclone Page using Google Earth and McIDAS-V! Also, access the TC Page on your PDA and iGoogle coming this summer! For additional information about the TCTrack utility please see the on-line help at: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-time/help/help.html Product credits: ASCAT/QuikSCAT Scatterometer data courtesy of KNMI via EUMETSAT SST data via the NOAA/NCEP/NWS Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch MSLP/Wind Maximum Potential Intensity data courtesy of Dr. Kerry Emanuel (MIT) OHC Atlantic and East Pacific data courtesy of Dr. Lynn (Nick) Shay (RSMAS); Other basins courtesy of Dr. Gustavo Goni R&D sponsored by NOAA/NESDIS/USWRP (NOAA/AOML) Questions can be addressed to Chris Velden: chris.velden@ssec.wisc.edu 133 Satellite‐based Nowcasting and Aviation APplication (SNAAP) Team 2008 Accomplishments • Annie Lenz won the AMS Macelwane Award for best undergraduate research 2008 investigating transverse banding in thunderstorms • Three peer reviewed papers, over a dozen conference papers • Continued support from NASA and NOAA, several transitions to operations underway 134 Satellite Convective Initiation Nowcasting for GOES-R ABI Current Generation Product: Pixel Based Box-Averaging 45 Minute Cloud-Top Cooling Rate ABI Cloud Typing With 5-min ABI imagery, cumulus clouds will not move very far between images ABI IR-only cloud typing is used to identify relevant cloudy pixels and the average temperature of these clouds is computed over a box The box-averaged temperatures are differenced over a sequence of images to objectively identify newly developing thunderstorms during both day and night SEVIRI IR Window Box-averaged CI nowcast products have been produced over a four day period using MSG SEVIRI data and validated using cloudto-ground lightning strikes over South Africa Lightning Initiation POD (133 LI cases): 76% Lightning Nowcast FAR (10214 pixels): 29% Future Generation Product: Object Based Nowcasting Cumulus clouds can be treated as coherent objects whose temperature, areal coverage, and microphysical properties can be tracked over long periods of time, allowing for more accurate CI nowcasting Object-based tracking allows for easier validation of satellite CI nowcast products as ground-based radar reflectivity can be monitored throughout the entire storm lifecycle Top of Atmosphere Emissivity from GOES-R ABI Cloud Typing Product Output Cloud Object Identification Colored by 5-min SEVIRI IR Window Cooling Rates (White=No Cooling) with Object Motion Vectors (in Magenta) from WDSS-II Object tracking methods such as the NSSL WDSS-II system are being tested at CIMSS on rapid-scan GOES and SEVIRI for the GOES-R ABI program Kris Bedka, Justin Sieglaff, Lee Cronce, Kaba Bah 135 ABI Enhanced-V Signature Examples 2 km ABI Proxy (AVHRR and MODIS) Imagery from 8 Different Events with Identical Domain Sizes and Color Enhancements • The enhanced-V signature is an important indicator of storm severity • Enhanced-V’s have wide array of V “arm” separations, arm lengths, and IR temperature characteristics • One constant is the presence of a downstream warm area that is coupled with the cold overshooting top (i.e. “thermal couplet”) 136 ABI Enhanced-V Detection Product Validation • Over 25 test cases, 140 enhanced-V producing storms are present • 65% of all enhanced-V’s were detected with the CIMSS GOES-R ABI enhanced-V detection algorithm • 74% of all detected enhanced-V’s were associated with severe weather Cyan: Detected Couplet Overshooting Tops Green: Detected Couplet Downstream Warm Regions Kris Bedka, Jason Bruner 137 1 km AVHRR Objective Day/Night Overshooting Top Detection Using Current and Future GOES IR window imagery is used to identify overshooting tops occurring during both day and night A study of 450 enhanced-V producing overshooting top cases (Jason Brunner et al. (WAF, 2007)) shows that tops are: 1)isolated clusters of pixels (< 12 km2 area) colder than 215 K and the GFS tropopause temp 2)significantly colder (> 6.5 K) than the surrounding anvil cloud Higher ABI spatial resolution leads to better observation of cold BT minima and improved overshooting detection Overshooting Detection Using 2 km GOES-R ABI Overshooting Detection Using 4 km GOES-12 Compare Summer 2005-2007 GOES-12 Overshoots to EDR at Expanding Radii 138 GOES-12 Overshooting Top Turbulence Relationships • Flight very close (< 10 km) to overshooting tops produces a significant increase in the frequency and intensity of turbulence compared to uniformly cold non-overshooting cloud tops, clearly indicating that overshooting tops are an aviation hazard • Non-overshooting top pixels indicate the presence of a large area (> 40 km in diameter) of < 215 K cloud tops. - Larger, mature thunderstorms induce a higher frequency of turbulence encounters at greater distances from the cold BT region • Overshooting top algorithm being transitioned to NCAR for testing in next-generation Graphical Turbulence Guidance (GTG-N) system 139 Transverse Bands Of 54 band events, 41 had at least one EDR-equipped aircraft fly “through” bands, 93% (44%) of these 41 events showed light (moderate or greater) turbulence within the bands – Annie Lenz won AMS Undergraduate Research Award with this work 140 SSEC’s 1st Data Compression Chip ¾ SSEC’s linear-time minimum-redundancy prefix coding outperforms the CCSDS Rice coding in terms of compression gain and execution time. ¾ Its VLSI chip design (version 1) was recently finished. ¾ The SSEC prefix chip (in FPGA) yields higher data throughput and lower power consumption than the CCSDS Rice chip (in ASIC). CLARREO (CLimate Absolute Radiance & Refractivity Observatory) • Recommended by NRC Decadal Survey • 1st tier of 4 missions being pursed by NASA • NASA LaRC has responsibility for Mission • SSEC receiving Pre-Phase A study support • Simulations underway at SSEC using AIRS & MODIS data • Won Instrument Incubator Program this year • SSEC teamed with Harvard (Jim Anderson) Slide 142 142 CLARREO Mission: New Paradigms for Benchmarking Climate Change IR Spectral Radiances: give high information content and can be measured with high accuracy (< 0.1 ºC, 3-sigma Tb) Far IR Coverage: Fits with Dave Turners work for ARM On-orbit proof of accuracy: - Key to credibility - Subject of IIP development presented earlier AIRS-based Simulation by Steve Dutcher 143 CM2 25-yr Annual Mean Trends Yi Huang thesis (Ramaswamy, advisor), 2008 Black dots indicate changes > 3 x standard deviation of unforced means Note OLR Insensitivity to the trends in Ts, Atmospheric T, WV, and Clouds 144 CLARREO-type Benchmark Record from CM2 Annual Mean Spectral 25-yr Trend Yi Huang thesis (Ramaswamy, advisor), 2008 CLARREO could have captured this benchmark record. we want to start as soon as possible! 145 Extras 146 Honors and Awards Chris Velden: Chaired the AMS Annual Meeting in New Orleans Elected Fellow of the AMS Named to the AMS Committee on Data Stewardship Dave Tobin received the “Young Scientist Award” from the International Radiation Symposium Allen Huang named SPIE Fellow for his career contributions Wayne Feltz, Patrick Heck, Tony Wimmers and Mike Pavolonis were part of the NASA Advanced Satellite Aviation-weather products Project Team which received the 2007 Paul F. Holloway Non-Aerospace Technology Transfer Award Ed Eloranta named Fellow of OSA Tim Schmit and Paul Menzel were part of the GOES-N Series Team receiving a Group Achievement Award from NASA Jordan Gerth was the 2008 Wisconsin Space Conference undergrad representative to the joint NASA Future Forum and Great Midwestern Space Conference. Annie Lenz, an AOS major who worked with Kris Bedka and Wayne Feltz, has won the 2008 AMS Macelwane award for her original student research paper. Steve Ackerman has won the AMS Teaching Excellence Award for 2008 147 Organized by Tim Schmit and Maria Vasys 148 Thanks for coming Let’s have a great Holiday Party (Officially starting at 1:30) 150