17 November 2012 State of SSEC 2012 Hank Revercomb, Director University of Wisconsin-Madison Space Science and Engineering Center 13 December 2012 Topics A. “Big Picture” Items B. SSEC, the Center C. Education & Public Outreach D. Our Science & Engineering 2 A. “Big Picture” Items “Sandy” dramatically demonstrates huge advances in prediction capability, now strongly reliant on satellite data New Polar Satellite now “Suomi NPP”: - IR measurements from CrIS and VIIRS had first light in 2012. - VIIRS Day/Night Band has forecasters buzzing - Community Satellite Processing Package (CSPP) continues long SSEC/CIMSS heritage of getting products to the world Some observing opportunities still Squandered: (1) Climate Change programs, CLARREO and Zeus, as well as (2) Advanced GEO Sounding STORM from GeoMetWatch could fix the sounder problem Federal Agency Budgets: NASA, NOAA UW-Madison: Human Relations (HR) Plan holds promise for new merit and advancement opportunities Memorable High Profile Visitors 3 Hurricane Sandy Media Coverage: SSEC in the News • • • • • • UW Weather Scientists at Forefront of Accurate Sandy Forecasts Wisconsin State Journal, 11/2/2012, 11/2/2012 UW Helps Forecasters Predict Hurricane Sandy WISN Channel 3 TV, Madison, WI, 10/30/2012 UW-Madison Scientists had Key Role in Helping Forecast Sandy Journal Sentinel, 10/31/2012 Sandy: The Power-Outage Aftermath through VIIRS, GOES-R and JPSS National Centers Persp., 11/1/2012 Blackout in New Jersey and New York Earth Observatory, 11/1/2012 Suomi NPP Satellite Captures Hurricane Sandy’s Mid-Atlantic Blackout NASA, 11/2/2012 • • • • • • • UW-Madison Scientists Share Critical Satellite Images WMTV, Madison, WI, 10/29/2012 UW Scientists Track Sandy's Fury University of Wisconsin-Madison News, 10/30/2012 NASA/NOAA's Suomi NPP Captures Night-time View of Sandy's Landfall NASA, 10/31/2012 NASA Satellites See Sandy Become a Hurricane Again and Strong Winds Expand NASA, 10/27/2012 Satellites Monitor Hurricane Sandy Space Ref, 10/27/2012 Hurricane Sandy Super Rapid Scan NASA Earth Observatory, 10/29/2012 Computers, Pinch Of Art Aid Hurricane Forecasters National Public Radio, 10/26/2012 Hurricane Sandy: A Forecast Success Story How far have we progressed in predicting hurricanes? Chris Velden Hurricane Andrew 1992 Official forecast, 3 days prior to landfall Verification Warning lead time for actual landfall location, only 1 day. Why? Hurricane Andrew 1992 NWP Model Forecasts Out to 3 days Position at 2pm, August 21st Position at 2pm, August 24th Three days out, none of the NWP model guidance (colored tracks) correctly forecasts the landfall over south Florida. Hurricane Katrina 2005 Warning lead time for actual landfall very good, ~3 days Hurricane Sandy 2012 ECMWF model ensemble track forecasts out to 5 days Observed track Deterministic run Ensemble forecasts The NWP predictions have obviously gotten much better. Why? Hurricane Sandy 2012 Lead time for accurate landfall location, ~5 days!! Why the tremendous improvement in 20 years? Part of the answer is model resolution-hurricanes resolved Key Reason: Better Assimilation of Better Satellite Data NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction (NCWCP) opens 15 October Key new facilities will foster progress in US prediction capabilities Louis Uccellini cutting the ribbon officially opening NOAA’s CWCP Celebrants include Barbara Mikulski, U.S. Senator, Maryland; Acting Commerce Secretary, Rebecca M. Blank; and Dr. Jane Lubchenco, NOAA Administrator. New home of NCEP NESDIS STAR & OAR Air Research Lab Community Radiative Transfer Model (CRTM) Speedup for Double Precision Accuracy 190x 200 180 146x 160 140 99x 120 100 80 52x 60 40 20 0 1 GPU 2 GPUs 3 GPUs 4 GPUs GPU-accelerated WRF modules WRF Module name Speedup Single moment 6-class microphysics 500x Eta microphysics 272x Purdue Lin microphysics 692x Stony-Brook University 5-class microphysics 896x Betts-Miller-Janjic convection 105x Kessler microphysics 816x New Goddard shortwave radiance 134x Single moment 3-class microphysics 331x New Thompson microphysics 153x Double moment 6-class microphysics 206x Dudhia shortwave radiance 409x Goddard microphysics 1311x Double moment 5-class microphysics 206x Total Energy Mass Flux surface layer 214x Mellor-Yamada Nakanishi Niino surface layer 113x Single moment 5-class microphysics 350x Pleim-Xiu surface layer 665x 28 October 2011 “Suomi NPP!” Announced at AMS NASA’s Grunsfeld at AMS Verner E. Suomi 1915-1995 NPP VIIRS Image, GSFC 17 Cross-track IR Sounder (CrIS) Heritage 2006- CrIS 2011- (2211 ch) 1330 Suomi-NPP IASI (8461 ch) 0930 METOP 2002- AIRS (2378 ch) 1330 Aqua 1990/91 ITS (~CrIS) Design Study 1986- 1978- HIRS (20 ch) HIS, S-HIS, NAST-I It took a while! Spectral Resolution and Coverage Comparison AIRS: L1B: > 1200 Resolving Power 9 FOV/50km square IASI: L1C:±2 cm OPD Gausian apodized 4 FOV/50km square CrIS: ±0.8, 0.4, 0.2 cm OPD unapodized 9 FOV/50km square CrIS: ±0.8 cm OPD unapodized 9 FOV/50 km square Full Resolution wavenumber LBLRTM calcs for US Standard Atmosphere 19 Suomi-NPP launched 28-Oct-2011 CrIS first light data 20-Jan-2012 900 cm-1 BT (K) SSEC In-house Calibration Package provided only valid results for months 20 Sample “1st Light” spectra (20 January) Overlays for a uniform 3x3 FOR Carbon Dioxide Dave Tobin 21 Sample spectra for a uniform 3x3 FOR on 20 Jan 22 Full Resolution SW band from CrIS Routine downlink to start mid-2013 Note beautiful CO lines Many CO2 lines for spectral Cal Calibrated with UW/UMBC CCAST 23 Water Vapor Map from CrIS Especially important given lack of WV channels on VIIRS 24 February 2012, 1580 cm-1 24 Summary CrIS instrument performance is exceptional Very low noise Very stable and accurate Provides excellent baseline for future upgrades Recently declared Provisional Status Further small refinements expected at a later date Validated status expected mid-2013 ECMWF and UKMET Office have demonstrated positive impact on early assimilation tests CrIS on Suomi NPP is part of a fitting tribute to Verner Suomi 25 Community Satellite Processing Package offers World-wide Access Allen Huang, Liam Gumley, Kathy Strabala, Scott Mindock, Geoff Cureton, Ray Garcia, Graeme Martin, Elisabeth Weisz, Nadia Smith • A software package for processing Suomi NPP, JPSS, POES, Metop, and FY-3 direct broadcast data. • Have released multiple versions of the VIIRS, CrIS, and ATMS SDR software. • CSPP is now used operationally by EUMETSAT, UK Met Office, MeteoFrance, and national agencies in Sweden, Norway, Mexico, South Africa, Australia, Japan, China, Russia… SSEC DB Antenna First Suomi NPP DB received data on 2012/02/23 VIIRS processed by CSPP outside the US Courtesy of Timo Ryyppö, FMI, Sodankylä, Finland (Suomi!) VIIRS M7 2012/03/05 SSEC Direct Broadcast from Suomi NPP added 23 Feb 2012 L Band for Suomi NPP & X Band for other Polars Coverage 12/14/2012 Original X Band for other Polars 28 1st VIIRS from Suomi NPP DB pass at SSEC VIIRS True Color (M5/M4/M3) VIIRS Infrared (M15) 2.4 meter X/L System, 20:30 UTC, 2012/02/23 29 1st CrIS from Suomi NPP DB pass at SSEC CrIS 900 cm-1 2.4 meter X/L System, 20:30 UTC, 2012/02/23 30 1st ATMS from Suomi NPP DB pass at SSEC ATMS Channel 16 2.4 meter X/L System, 20:30 UTC, 2012/02/23 31 The Valley of Death is Being Crossed From the NWS Milwaukee WFO Website 2012/11/26 VIIRS DNB data acquired by direct broadcast at SSEC, and processed by CSPP 12/14/2012 32 Suomi NPP VIIRS offers a New View of the Night A unique visible look at a Tropical Storm at Night (0.8 km resolution) 07:09 UTC 28 Aug 2012 Data captured and processed in real-time at the University of WisconsinMadison Space Science and Engineering Center using CSPP Software Tropical Storm Isaac from Day/Night Band in AWIPS VIIRS Day/Night Band (DNB) Tropical Storm Isaac in AWIPS Animation between Day/Night and IR 11 micron band 07:09 UTC 28 August 2012 Hurricane Sandy 27 Oct 2012 Data acquired and processed at SSEC using CSPP and Polar2grid Software Part of JPSS Press Release Kathy Strabala Wowed NWA in Madison & Jim Cantore, The Wx Ch, responded with “Awesome image!! keep em coming” when Liam Gumley sent it to him Hurricane Sandy Environment from VIIRS Day/Night Band, 29 Oct London Lights from VIIRS Day/Night Band Aurora Australis from VIIRS Day/Night Band Will Straka Convection under Full Moon from VIIRS Day/Night Band, 1 May Uganda Kenya Kampola Congo Nairobi Goma Rwanda Burundi Mombasa Tanzania Will Straka Convection under Full Moon from VIIRS Day/Night Band, 1 May Uganda Kenya Kampola Congo Nairobi Goma Rwanda Burundi Mombasa Tanzania Will Straka Nuclear Icebreaker in Arctic from VIIRS Day/Night Band, 23 Nov Kotelny Island Sakha, Russia Icebreaker NS Rossiya 77 N N Will Straka Status of High Spectral Resolution IR: A Period of Opportunity Realized and Squandered Polar Wx Realized (CrIS & IASI) Climate Benchmark & Intercal: Squandered* CLARREO delayed indefinitely, and Earth Venture Proposals (Zeus EV2 & EVI) rejected. We will keep trying! * delayed indefinitely 42 We already have the Prototype Absolute Radiance Interferometer OARS HBB Fore Optics Absolute Temperature Calibration Using Multiple Phase Change Materials, plus Heated Halo emissivity and Inst. Line Shape (ILS) measurement ABB 43 The good news Tropospheric Emissions Monitoring of Pollution Brad Pierce is on the 1st NASA Earth Venture Instrument winning team 44 Status of High Spectral Resolution IR: A Period of Opportunity Realized and Squandered Polar Wx Realized (CrIS & IASI) Climate Benchmark & Intercal: Squandered* CLARREO delayed indefinitely, and Earth Venture Proposals (Zeus EV2 & EVI) rejected. We will keep trying. GEO Severe Wx: GIFTS/ HES for GOES-R Squandered** (in US—Europe and China proceeding), but GeoMetWatch still offers a Fix * delayed indefinitely **should be in orbit / removed from plans 45 47 SSEC/GMW Exclusive Agreement signed on 20 April 2012 …….. For SSEC to provide the services in (1) (2) (3) developing algorithms and operational software; developing, operating, and maintaining data center systems for the collection, visualization, distribution, and archiving of atmospheric and weather data associated with initial and future hyperspectral sounding instruments relating to the Project; providing system engineering, flight hardware (onboard calibration system), testing, and calibration/verification to the Project. Allen Huang, a moving force for this effort, took the picture NASA future funding flat-lined Planetary science is a big loser (over 20% down from 2011/12) Little change from 2011/12, but up 25% from 2010 7th Highlight of 10 for 2013—climate not listed as a threat Flat-lined future budgets—2013 down over 10% from 2010 From Lubchenco, 16 Feb 2012 Shows growth since 2008 From Lubchenco, 16 Feb 2012 From Lubchenco, 16 Feb 2012 From Lubchenco, 16 Feb 2012 Issue over Operational Satellite Build Responsibility Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D-MD), in April said “Unfortunately, the (Senate) Committee has lost confidence in NOAA’s ability to control procurement costs or articulate reliable funding profiles. Therefore, we have taken the unprecedented step of transferring responsibility for building our Nation’s operational weather satellites from NOAA to NASA” NOAA/NESDIS Independent Review Team, in July, after stating that “The success of the NOAA satellite enterprise is critical to the United States.” and noting serious problems with NOAA program management, recommended to “Reaffirm NESDIS as the primary accountable organization for the execution of NOAA satellite programs” New UW Human Relations Plan Excerpt from Executive Summary Thanks to Wayne Feltz, Mat Gunshor, Denny Hackel, Jenny Hackel, Mark Mulligan, and Dave Tobin for representing our interests in the process High Profile Visitors Kathryn Sullivan Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Environmental Observation &Prediction and NOAA Deputy Administrator The Boss 1st Spacewalk by US Woman Jon Gero Dan Deslover Dan Deslover GOES Image for 11 October 1984 Thanks to Jerry Robiadek and Janean Hill Johannes Loschnigg Senior Policy Analyst at the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy B. SSEC, the Center General Activities and Health Administrative Support & Facilities Tributes, Memories, etc 60 National Weather Association Annual Meeting Held in Madison • Over 400 operational meteorologists attended • Keynote speakers included Tom Skilling, NOAA Chief Scientist Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, NWS Director Laura Furgione, Dr. Louis Uccellini, and Jon Davis • Numerous satellite-related presentations from members of CIMSS • SSEC booth showcased VIIRS imagery from the Direct Broadcast antenna, as well as demonstrated McIDAS-V and the WMS • Program committee chaired by Jordan Gerth, Lee Cronce, and Gary Wade, with widespread support from within CIMSS, SSEC, and ASPB Hubble HSP Returns to Madison after 535 Miles up in Space Bob Bless, PI SSEC People Attending “Opening Night” Fred Best Dave Birdsall Nick Ciganovich Bob Dombroski Scott Ellington Terry Gregory Bob Herbsleb Bob Sutton Tony Wendricks Now on exhibit at UW Space Place HSP Was Built at SSEC in 1980’s Hubble Integration at Lockheed HSP Optics Bench Integration HSP was removed in 1993 to make room for the Hubble corrective optics package. It then went into storage at NASA With the retirement of the Shuttle, HSP was released back to UW this past summer. HSP Times, They Are a-Changin’ Jenny Hackel is our new Assistant Director Thank You, Jenny! John, our truly amazing Executive Director for Administration as been able to go to 60% (Tues-Thurs) and do some more of the things he has always wanted to do Times, They Are a-Changin’ Tom Achtor, our extraordinary Executive Director for Science, is just as excited about weather, but he now gets to spend 50% of his time outside the Center Wayne Feltz has assumed many CIMSS science Coordination duties Jean Phillips chairs our media group Dave Santek leads McIDAS-V Thank you all! Times, They Are a-Changin’ Fred Best, our innovative Executive Director for Technology, is still going at 150% Paul Nipko has retired, but he left us with a great new system to make project management easier—see Fred Amanda Thornton, Will Robus, Mark Mulligan 7 June 2012 Meteorite Mystery Thanks as always to Fred and his Team! Times, They Are a-Changin’ I’m not ready to hang it up yet, but We are all working to make any transitions as smooth as possible, and Thanks to Mark Mulligan for helping review our administrative structure & needs SSEC General And thanks to all of you for your commitment to excellence, innovation, adaptation, persistence and for your friendship It makes the Center work, and it makes it fun! SSEC Spending: Decrease from end of Recovery Act SSEC Annual Spending (SFY) Down 6% but mainly not labor (average increase over last 13 years still 6.6 %) Our mean increase over the last 4 years is still over 5 % and we are not running a deficit—good show all! 69 2012 Spending by Source: ~ $28.9 M DOD WARF Other 2.1% DOE 0.8% 4.0% 8% NSF 23.1% NASA 24.2% NOAA 37.8% 70 SSEC Administrative Services and Facilities 3rd Floor Admin Technical Computing Data Center McIDAS Library Public Information & Web Site And more (Bricks & Mortar, Safety, Awards, etc) An Extraordinary support team! SSEC 3rd Floor Administrative 2012 Highlights • Human Resources • 27 new hires and 28 new students • 30 Visas processed (J1 and H1B) • 16 PVLs • 5 retires • 225 rate and title changes • 66 ended appointment or graduated • 168 requests for benefit changes We are extremely pleased to have our new “Dynamic Duo”, Kate Kaminski and Denise Weidner • Purchasing • 2152 purchases totaling $3.4 million • Travel • 915 trips totaling $1 million • 6172 Electronic TER transactions processed • New Secure Credit Card payment and Invoicing system thanks to Debbie Schroeder and Bill Bellon SSEC 3rd Floor Administrative 2012 Highlights • Proposals processed in FY 2012 • 147 new proposals processed ($67.5 mil) • 80 awarded or in negotiations • 46 pending • 79% return so far! • And soon to be in Beta: • Proposal Builder with Budget Builder • Monthly Progress Reporting • Project Management Reports • Online Inventory • Excel and CSV Exporting of online accounting data Thanks especially to Paul Nipko, Amanda Thornton, Will Robus, Mark Mulligan, and Fred Best 2012 Technical Computing (TC) Highlights • User Requests: 3363 resolved 400 • Infrastructure: – Windows Central fileservers moved to a redundant system (2 servers) – 10 Gbyte ethernet upgrade for campus connection, building backbone links, & some high capacity servers (big improvement in throughput) SSEC Firewall Upgrade The recent SSEC firewall upgrade addressed a performance problem. This problem caused increased packet loss, and in turn poor throughput for remote high-bandwidth links such as our partners at NASA and NOAA. Increasing packet loss trend Firewall replacement, decreasing error rate. SSEC Firewall Upgrade Results look positive so far, the next several months will make it clearer. Firewall replacement, decreasing error rate. S4 Compute Cluster • 1561.8 compute years of processing • TC Produced an information Poster/booth on JCSDA supercomputing for the JCSDA 10th Workshop on Satellite Data Assimilation • At workshop, S4 administration team met with users to discuss support and new possibilities and challenges Synthetic GOES-R ABI 8.5 µm Tb 2-km WRF model simulation Jason Otkin & Agnes Lim destructive flood event over Beijing, China on 21 July 2012. SSEC Data Center Highlights 2012 • GOES Data •Infrastructure GOES-14 1-minute imaging • SSEC Data Center served several users, including NOAA • SSEC data used in National archive --NOAA unable to capture for the archive 11 simultaneous GEO satellites! A first: received, served real time & archived COMS (S. Korea) AFY2D (China) Meteosat-7 (Europe) Meteosat-9 (Europe) AFY2E (China) GOES-12 GOES-13 GOES-14 MTSAT-1R (Japan) Kalpana (India) GOES-15 Infrastructure Upgrades Completed card access to 6th and 5th floor computer room facilities New cooling in 515 Updated Data Center Monitors Computer room access security 4 new APC coolers for 5th New 52” Displays Ask to see the Grand Earth View that uses all of them together! McIDAS Highlights of 2012 Software Updates McIDAS-V – Version 1.2 released in April with improved NPP support and new Jython scripting – ~400 downloads/month – ~6,000 uses/month from 600 unique IPs – 932 members of the User Support Forums McIDAS-X – Supported on Enterprise Linux, OS X (soon 10.8), Solaris, Windows – Added support for Metop-B (launched Sept 2012) – Added SSH tunneling support for ADDE MUG membership stable at ~40 sites from 10 countries – their MUG Membership fees (not overhead) provide the majority of MUG funding McIDAS Highlights of 2012 Training and Outreach Demonstrations – AMS Annual Meeting New Orleans LA (January) – NOAA Satellite Science Week Kansas City MO (May) – McIDAS Users’ Group Meeting Madison WI (May) – EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Conference Sopot, Poland (September) – NWA Annual Meeting Madison WI (October) – AGU Conference San Francisco CA (December) McIDAS Highlights of 2012 Training and Outreach Training Workshops – McIDAS-V: Madison WI (May) McIDAS Users’ Group Meeting – McIDAS-V: Beijing, China (June) China Meteorological Administration - Attended by 48 scientists from 15 countries – McIDAS-X and –XCD: SSEC (September) - Users from Cape Canaveral Forecast Facility …plus countless demonstrations, talks, and training sessions conducted at SSEC, at conferences, and at other research institutions McIDAS Highlights of 2012 McIDAS-V is now used… – in numerous research projects – in the NOAA Environmental Visualization Lab – in Satellite Meteorology classes • Mississippi State • University of Wisconsin – in international workshops on multi-spectral data • EUMETSAT/CIMSS “International Summer School on Applications with the Newest Multi-spectral Environmental Satellites” - Bracciano, Italy (June) • WMO “International Training Course on Applications in Satellite Meteorology” – Beijing, China (June) THANK YOU to everyone at SSEC for using & promoting the McIDAS software packages to colleagues around the world. We really appreciate it! Derecho Study NSF’s EarthCube: An Envisioned Network of Data and Tools for the Earth Sciences SSEC’s Initial and Continuing Involvement Wiegand Dec. 2012 SSEC Initial Papers (October 2011) • An EarthCube Technical Solution: the VisAD Data Model by Bill Hibbard, Dave Fulker, Tom Whittaker, and Hank Revercomb (The above paper was submitted jointly by SSEC and OPeNDAP. It is one of three Technical Solution papers from SSEC. ) • Earth Cube Technical Solution Paper - Semantic Framework for the EarthCube Cyberinfrastructure by Nancy Wiegand, Hank Revercomb • SSEC Open Geospatial Consortium Initiative by Sam Batzli Wiegand Dec. 2012 Further and Ongoing Work • Semantics for Earth Science Data by Nancy Wiegand with Robert Raskin (JPL) and Deborah McGuinness (RPI) • Participation by N. Wiegand in the Semantics and Ontologies EarthCube community group activities – Semantics Workshop, April 2012 – NSF Charrette, June 2012 – Roadmap for Creating the Semantic/Ontologic Infrastructure for the Geosciences (http://earthcube.ning.com/group/semantics-and-ontologies) Wiegand Dec. 2012 Education Highlights: Curricular Support • Designed and taught a dozen-plus workshops for AOS students covering best resources, techniques, key databases, and citation managers that are important for effectively searching the literature of the atmospheric and oceanic sciences and managing results. • Fall 2012: Proposed, tested and evaluated Mendeley (reference manager and academic social network tool) for AOS 900 and AOS 171 to encourage research collaboration and information sharing among library staff, faculty and students. • AMS Student Conference 2011 and 2012: developed and led the WeatherQuest, a program to encourage 500 young scientists to take advantage of research/information tools via their libraries; network with each other; take full advantage of the conference program and encourage future conference attendance. B. Anderson, L. Hedges, K. Merchant, J. Phillips Research Support Highlights Re-imagining our history to support current research Researched, designed, and developed ‘SSEC Research History’ site to chronicle Center program/ project history. Each of nearly 70 programs included to date features description of research, SSEC participation, images, publications, web sites in chronological, alphabetical or searchable access points: http://library.ssec.wisc.edu/research_History/about Soon to be launched, we’ll be seeking your input. B. Anderson, L. Hedges, K. Merchant, J. Phillips, T. Achtor, B. Bellon, H. Pi, L. Avila Research Support Highlights: The Early Years Researched, designed, developed and published multiple formats of interactive timeline of SSEC’s 50+ year B. Anderson, L. Hedges, K. Merchant, J. history in satellite meteorology. Phillips Research Support Highlights The visual display of data and information gathered from experiments is a critical element of research in the atmospheric sciences and remote sensing disciplines. Featured on the Library’s YouTube site are historical films from our collection. Soon to come – the first McIDAS demo at AMS and educational modules on cryogenesis, tropical cyclones, and more. Most popular to date: First Color Movie of the Planet Earth Viewed from 22,300 Miles Over Brazil with more than 1000 views. B. Anderson, L. Hedges, K. Merchant, J. Phillips Supporting institutional memory, learning, research and knowledge creation. Here are a handful of your question topics from this past year: • Information about Rossby waves before they were called Rossby waves • Historical tide gauge data for other countries for current storm water analysis • Navigating the requirements for dissertations/theses • Intellectual property/copyright/data citation/data management guidance and standards • Work with internal and external authors • Tracking the progression of an idea or concept over time • Supplying ATS-III images of Hurricane Camille in 1969 to NOAA (all 300 of them) • Climate studies/data for countries around the world for various applications • Pubs analyses for: permanent residency applications, CIMSS reports, proposal support and other uses B. Anderson, L. Hedges, K. Merchant, J. Phillips SSEC Quality, Safety & Regulatory Program Staff: Tom Demke & Justin Darrow w/ Fred Best, Mark Mulligan, Paul Nipko & Will Robus Project Support Quality • • Reviewed procedures to ensure they are current • • Staff training database developed Conducting review of off-the-shelf document control systems IDDO • • • • • • • DISC Drill/WAIS Divide Replicate Coring Intermediate Drill Hand Augers Deep Logging Winch Near Infrared Spectrograph LiDARs Safety • Continuation Of Operations Plan (COOP) • • • • Updated plan & conducted training Occupant Emergency Plan (OEP) • Updated plan • AOSS training planned for 2013 CPR/AED/1st Aid Trainings • 2 completed Building Safety Inspections • Addressed observations Rev. A, 11/29/12, TAD Export Control (w/ Ben Griffiths) • • Demke - 50% campus assignment Conducted multiple trainings (campus) • • Reregistered UW w/ U.S.State Dept. Submitted 8 EAR licenses (campus) • • Completed 169 ExC visa certifications (campus) Completed 45 ExC consultations (campus) • • Completed 59 ExC project assessments (SSEC) Developed campus project assessment tool • • Plan to implement in 2013 Updated campus website SSEC Media Team Website Highlights (Tom Achtor, Leanne Avila, Bill Bellon, Mark Hobson, Jean Phillips, and Hsuan-Yun Pi) • New SSEC Website Design which includes a new WordPress-based news blog, social media integration (Facebook, Youtube, RSS …), dynamic home page widgets and more • New OSSE Website Design • Overlay capability added to JAVA animation tool, JSani • Continued website support for numerous SSEC/CIMSS projects SSEC Media Team Document Highlights (Tom Achtor, Leanne Avila, Bill Bellon, Mark Hobson, Jean Phillips, and Hsuan-Yun Pi) Media Team members also promote the center &our research • New SSEC Metrics Document (quantifying what we do). • Through the Atmosphere newsletter: The latest featuring Suomi NPP. • Research and write SSEC home page articles. • Help edit and produce proposals and reports CIMSS Cooperative Agreement report -- which this year came to nearly 300 pages! International TOVS Working Group report (another nearly 150 pages!) • Edit numerous manuscripts that scientists are preparing to submit to journals. And coming next year: a new SSEC Booklet! Getting the Word Out Mark Hobson Featured Stories of 2012: “Black Marble” images from Suomi NPP Predictions of Hurricane Sandy Spectacular new images of Uranus GlobalHawk carries S-HIS into hurricane SSEC erects satellite dish in Hawaii Record-breaking season in Antarctic Media Exposure: The High-Speed Photometer, designed and built by UW-Madison’s Space Astronomy Laboratory and SSEC, was one of the original five instrument packages aboard the Hubble orbiting telescope. It returned to Earth as an exhibit at the Space Place. “Hawk Cam” an International Success 160+ mentions of SSEC/CIMSS in national and international publications. Interviews of SSEC/CIMSS personnel: Jim Kossin – The Weather Channel Chris Velden – Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, NPR, WISN (Milwaukee), Daily Cardinal, WORT Steve Ackerman – Inside Science TV Tim Schmit – Space News Colleen Mouw – NASA Earth Observatory Wayne Feltz – Christian Science Monitor Sanjay Limaye – WKOW, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel Over 1,000 students visit the building to view the 3D Globe, the AMRC, and the view of the satellite dish farm on the roof. Bricks and Mortar Building is now caulked and sound World View on 4th Before SSEC SSEC Work Conference Degree Visitor Home Jannine JoAnn Banks You’ve touched everyone of us in all that you have done. Thank You! Leo Skille 1928-2012 One of the original Electrical Technicians hired by Vern Suomi and later SSEC Building Manager 34 years at SSEC! In memory of Suzanne Wetzel Seemann Suzanne (Suzie) Wetzel Seemann died September 27, 2012 in an accident during a morning run with friends. During her research career at UW from 2000 to 2006: * She developed an ingredients-based methodology for forecasting winter season precipitation used by many NWS Forecast Offices in snowfall prediction * She was the lead developer of the UW Baseline Fit Emissivity Database (Seemann et al. 2008, JAMC) and the MODIS Atmospheric Profile Algorithm (Seemann et al 2003) * She was a devoted mother, well respected scientist, talented teacher, skilled woodworker, and lover of nature. We are very lucky to have known and worked with her. She will be sorely missed by all of us. Jim Knickmeyer Jim had uncommon, common sense and expertise; spirit and enthusiasm; and commitment to friends He certainly helped us at SSEC through some hard times Honors and Awards Professor Verner Suomi The National Polar-orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite system Preparatory Project (NPP) satellite was renamed “Suomi NPP – the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership” by NASA. Christopher Velden received the UW Chancellor’s Award for Excellence in Research. Steven Ackerman named UW-Madison Associate Dean for the Physical Sciences Mathew Gunshor, Anthony J. Schreiner, James P. Nelson III, Scott Bachmeier, Dave Stettner, Steve Wanzong, Christopher C. Schmidt, Wayne Feltz, Justin Sieglaff, William Straka, Christopher Velden, and the SSEC Data Center received NOAA-CIMSS Collaborations Awards. UW-Madison CIMSS received the Space Shuttle Program Commendation from John P. Shannon, Space Shuttle Program Manager. Steven Ackerman/CIMSS received a certificate from the National Weather Service Spaceflight Meteorology Group for the use of MODIS imagery to support NASA’s human spaceflight program. Honors and Awards Bryan Baum, Rich Frey, Tommy Jasmin, Hank Revercomb, Tom Rink, Dave Tobin, Xuanji Wang received NASA/NOAA Certificate of Recognition for work connected with Suomi NPP. Bill Hibbard received the Singularity Institute’s Turing Prize for Best AGI Safety Paper at the 5th Conference on Artificial General Intelligence at Oxford University. SSEC received a certificate from the National Weather Service Spaceflight Meteorology Group to recognize the contributions of McIDAS for the past 25 years. Tommy Jasmin named chair of the Earth Science Information Partners Geospatial Committee. Graeme Martin and Dave Tobin received “Best Poster” awards at the International TOVS Study Conference in Toulouse, France. William Line received 1st Place Poster Presentation, Graduate Student category, NWA 2012. Jacola Roman named best Student Oral Presentation, AMS 2012. Equity and Diversity Committee Mission Statement: Members: • Claire Pettersen – Chair • Tom Demke • Mat Gunshor • Yinghui Lui • Margaret Mooney • Maria Vasys • Linda Hedges (July 2012) • Jay Heinzelman (July 2012) • Joey Snarski (July 2012) • Student Representative Liaisons: • Eric Thompson • Graduate School E&D • Kate Kaminski • SSEC HR • Denny Hackel • ASEC “The mission of the Equity and Diversity (E&D) Committee is to provide leadership and guidance to assist the Space Science and Engineering Center (SSEC) Directors as they integrate equity and diversity initiatives into the work environment.” 2012 Accomplishments: • Helped initiate a AOSS Building Tour with Mark Hobson • Started an anonymous “Suggestion Box” located on 4th floor near the break room, example suggestions include: • World Map on 4th Floor • Office cubicle maps • Working with new HR staff • New employee orientation suggestions • Job announcement placement • Attracting a diverse pool of applicants • Updates to monthly internal SSEC newsletter Future Goals: • Mentoring program within the center • We are seeking a new member – please join E&D! • We encourage suggestions from the SSEC community – please email us your ideas or use the Suggestion Box! The Second Annual AOSS building-wide poster reception held at Union South was again a big hit. There were 96 posters, 6 demonstrations, and over 200 people in attendance. It was a great time and we are planning the Third Annual AOSS Poster Reception for the Spring of 2013. Thanks to the AOSS Poster Committee for putting on a great event: Claire Pettersen – Committee Chair/SSEC, Ankur Desai – AOS/CCR, Maria Vasys – SSEC/CIMSS, Bill Bellon – SSEC, Britta Gjermo – AOS, Mat Gunshor – SSEC/CIMSS, Linda Hedges – Schwerdtfeger Library, Mark Kulie – SSEC, Jean Phillips – Schwerdtfeger Library, Eric Thompson – SSEC Plans for New SSEC Mobile Atmospheric Measurement Capability AERIbago (1996 – 2012) The AERIbago is 16 years old and showing signs of age. Since coming on-line in 1996 we have supported numerous field experiments all across the country. The original system had capability for an Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI) and a radiosonde system. The new mobile system will be housed in a trailer, towed by a Ford F 350. The instrument complement will include: AERI HSRL (lidar) Radiosonde System Office Space Met Tower (T, RH, P, Wind) Future Possibilities: Total Precip. Water GPS, Microwave Radiometers, All Sky Camera, Small Radar New Trailer Expected in Spring of 2013 Layout of New Trailer Instrument Section (AERI, HSRL, Others) Office Space More Instruments & Generator Workable Interior Space is Close to Original AERIbago FIRST LIFTOFF The HawkCam website attracted over 600,000 visitors. At its peak, the video stream had over 2,000 simultaneous viewers, generating nearly 4.0 Gbps in traffic (which is why we had to move the video feed to a SSEC-owned server in DoIT's data center) C. Education and Public Outreach (EPO) Earth Science Education EarthNow-Science on a Sphere VISITview TeleTraining CIMSS Satellite Blog International Remote Sensing Courses Office of Space Science Education (OSSE): Solar system missions 115 CIMSS iPad Library & ESIP Teacher Workshops In 2012 CIMSS launched a new initiative to engage teachers and students in data acquisition and regional climate studies. The CIMSS iPad Library, managed by the Schwerdtfeger Library, loans iPads to science teachers for an entire school year! The first units were distributed at the Earth Science Information Partners (ESIP) Teacher Workshop where educators learned about climate-related Apps, including SatCam, where users collect observations of cloud and surface conditions coordinated with an overpass of the Terra, Aqua, or Suomi NPP satellite. The CIMSS iPad Library is funded by NASA ESIP teacher workshops are funded by NOAA Margaret Mooney, Steve Ackerman, Patrick Rowley With thanks to Jenny Hackel, Jean Phillips, Endre Doeringsfeld & many others CIMSS iPad Library & ESIP Teacher Workshops In 2012 CIMSS launched a new initiative to engage teachers and students in data acquisition and regional climate studies. The CIMSS iPad Library, managed by the Schwerdtfeger Library, loans iPads to science teachers for an entire school year! The first units were distributed at the Earth Science Information Partners (ESIP) Teacher Workshop where educators learned about climate-related Apps, including SatCam, Steve announced yesterday where users collect observations of cloud and surface conditions coordinated with an overpass of the Terra, Aqua, or Suomi NPP satellite. that a new CIMSS Education and Outreach Office has been established, headed by Margaret Mooney The CIMSS iPad Library is funded by NASA ESIP teacher workshops are funded by NOAA Margaret Mooney, Steve Ackerman, Patrick Rowley With thanks to Jenny Hackel, Jean Phillips, Endre Doeringsfeld & many others Teaching Climate Change STEM courses in Alaska NSSL’s Bob Rabin introduced North Slope Alaska Native students from Barrow, Alaska, and other small villages to weather and climate science through two STEM courses held on the campus of the Ilisagvik College. GOES Visible Can give very useful coverage as far north as Alaska— even showing sea ice off Barrow Bob Rabin EarthNow • 2012 • Datasets for Science on a Sphere (SOS) created at CIMSS in collaboration with CICS-MD, CPC, & NCDC – 2+ posts monthly • New this fall, the EarthNow website added video summaries with professionally-recorded narrations. • The audio adds enhanced capability for museums to use datasets without “live” docent-led presentations • Videos with audio allow for a broader EarthNow audience, beyond NOAA’s Science On a Sphere museum network. • Increased social media presence • Large presence at 2012 SOS Network Meeting (“’Rockstar’ of the conference” – NOAA OED) Patrick Rowley, Margaret Mooney, Steve Ackerman, Rick Kohrs With many thanks to Tommy Jasmin, Bill Bellon, and many others http://sphere.ssec.wisc.edu/ Virtual Institute for Satellite Integration Training (VISIT) Three new or revised training modules for National Weather Service forecasters Training focus increased to include GOES-R products developed at CIMSS 36 live teletrainings and 10 ‘Satellite Chats’ Scott Lindstrom, Scott Bachmeier CIMSS Satellite Blog Scott Bachmeier & Scott Lindstrom 185 blog posts since 1 December 2011 #1!! CIMSS BLOG Memory Usage 12000 M e 10000 g 8000 a b 6000 y 4000 t e 2000 s 0 1 2 3 4 5 2005-2012 6 7 8 http://fusedfog.blogspot.com Blog started on 7/11/2012 to catalog training examples for GOES-R Fog Product 70+ entries (and growing!) 50-100 page views daily; 9500+ page hits so far (Scott Lindstrom, Corey Calvert, Mike Pavolonis) International Remote Sensing Courses Continue lectures & labs explore high spatial resolution vis / IR data, high spectral resolution IR data, and MW soundings (from VIIRS, CrIS, & ATMS) Perth - Jan 2012, Melbourne - Feb 2012, Bologna – May 2012, Potenza – Jun 2012, Jincheon – Oct 2012 Tom Rink evolves HYDRA to enable inspection of Suomi NPP data WMO RAII Training Event in Jincheon, Korea 4-6 Oct 2012 Attendees from 19 countries heard lectures by Jim Purdom and Paul Menzel Allen Huang and Paul Menzel attend conference and give talks Korean COMS is providing meteorological and oceanographic data since launch in June 2010 Advanced imagers planned for Korean and Japanese and geo sats Advanced sounder planned for Chinese geo sats CIMSS continues strong collaborations with Asia Oceania Satellite Community OSSE Highlights 2012 Venus Express Education & Public Outreach • OSSE continues emphasis on Teacher Training for Venus Express Classroom Resources • New Partnership with ESA resulting in two workshops in Spain & the Netherlands in 2012: – Over fifty teachers representing eighteen countries trained to use our Venus Winds products! – Expanded upon Venus Cloud Tracking activity for an authentic Student Research Experience – One hundred teachers on waiting list for 2013!! OSSE Highlights 2012 OSIRIS-REx: NASA New Frontiers Asteroid Sample Return Mission • OSSE supports evaluation/design of overall Education and Public Outreach Program for University of Arizona and NASA Goddard. • Successfully Designed “Name that Asteroid” campaign for The Planetary Society. • Completed development of “Target Asteroid,” amateur astronomy observer program • PDR scheduled for April 2013! D. Our Science & Engineering What we do can be divided into “to… Observe Analyze Apply 129 To Observe 1) Suomi NPP Cal/Val Inter-comparisons 2) Technologies for Climate Benchmark (CLARREO) 3) EV-1 Hurricane Mission: Science Flights 4) Ice Coring & Drilling Record, etc. 5) Antarctic Meteorology Research 6) Greenland ICECAPS Experiment 7) NIR Instrument for SALT Telescope 8) High Spectral Resolution Lidar 130 Simultaneous “Nadir” Overpasses (SNOs) for comparing CrIS, IASI, and AIRS Tobin “Big Circle” Approach Well Understood Sampling Errors Sum of Gaussians 100 km CrIS AIRS, Feb-Nov Selected Overpasses t < 20 min view < 30 < 3 ±73: 9:30-13:30 SNOs CrIS IASI, Feb-Nov Example CrIS-IASI & CrIS-AIRS Northern CrIS Spectra ±0.5 K error bars Dave Tobin Suomi-NPP VIIRS VIIRS image quality is excellent Band M1 (412nm) 3/4/2012 NASA climate follow-on mission to MODIS UW Goals: VIIRS SDR performance (Cal/Val). Spectral Cal lead. Participants: Moeller, LaPorte, Menzel; Funding: NASA, JPSS Sharp coastal boundaries Striping not evident S-NPP VIIRS Status/Milestones in 2012 • • LWIR VIIRS agree within 0.1 K with CrIS, IASI Mean: -0.03K STD: 0.06K M15 (10.8um) • Mean: -0.03K STD: 0.27K M15 (10.8um) VIIRS biases minimized under ambient OBC ops First light for S/M/LWIR in Jan 2012 (VisNIR: Nov 2011) SDR “Provisional Status” anticipated Dec 2012 (high but not optimal product quality). Performance elements nominal, with few exceptions: Detector / mirror-side striping almost non-existent. Anticipated cross talk (from pre-launch tests) in VisNIR appears to be minimal. Close agreement in radiometric comparisons to CrIS and to IASI for TEB. Bias shows some scene temperature dependence in M14-M16. Anomalous RTA mirror darkening (tungsten) in VisNIR mitigated thru calibration updates. No negative impact anticipated during VIIRS lifetime. At-launch spectral response updated to better reflect on-orbit performance. Anticipated 2013 Milestones/Activities • • • Update VisNIR and SWIR spectral response to reflect mirror darkening influence. Achieve validation status for VIIRS SDR product (aircraft underflights, satellite comparisons). JPSS-1 pre-launch test program begins. Collection 6 MOD07 Atmospheric Profile Products Eva Borbas Algorithm has been delivered and the products are available at http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov Band Main updates: • • • Forward Model Update (CRTM V2.0.2 / ODPS). H2O/CO2/O3 spectral band SRF shifts as suggested by IASI-MODIS comparison study (Tobin, Moeller, Quinn et al.) were implemented in the FM calculation to reduce TPW and TOZ biases Terra MODIS IR channels showed strong warm BT biases in cold cases, which have been corrected by adjustment of the calibration offset coefficients. April 14 2007 at 09:50 UTC Terra/MODIS with shift Terra Shift (cm-1) Aqua Shift (cm-1) 27 (H2O) 4 5 28 (H2O) 2 2 30 (O3) 1 0 34 (CO2) 0.8 0.8 35 (CO2) 0.8 0.8 36 (CO2) 1 1 The impact of the Terra H2O/CO2/O3 band spectral shifts on MOD07 TOZ over Budapest, HU for 2007: Comparison with ground-based Brewer Spectrophotometer measurements Budapest, HU No shift With shift Results were provided by Dr. Aniko Kern, Eotvos Lorand University, Budapest, HU Validation of Sounder UTLS temperature using GPS RO: Experience with AIRS and COSMIC Bob Knuteson, Michelle Feltz, Jacola Roman • ARM sondes verify GPS RO vertical structure • AIRS vertical resolution limits ability to resolve fine structure. Tropopause COSMIC Tdry Moisture Error COSMIC/AIRS/ARM Sonde Profile NASA Technology Development for Climate Benchmark Measurements Nick Preparing Vacuum Chamber Absolute Radiance Interferometer Fore-optics Interferometer Aft Optics Detectors Calibration Blackbodies Scene Mirror UW SSEC teamed with Harvard, successfully increased the Technical Readiness Level (toward a spaceflight mission) of six technologies needed to make Climate Benchmark measurements. Additional funding has been allocated by NASA to further test these technologies in a vacuum chamber – simulating on-orbit conditions. UW IIP Technology Development Miniature Phase Change Cell (MPCC) Integration of MPCC into Breadboard Blackbody for Thermal Testing MPCC Component Integration, Characterization and Accelerated Life Testing Heated Halo Generation-2 (Large Conical Halo, AERI BB with ARI Breadboard FTIR) On-Orbit Absolute Radiance Standard: New 30 mm Aperture BB with MPCC integrated into cavity, and Heated Halo Heated Halo Generation-1 (Breadboard Halo, AERI BB with Scanning HIS Aircraft FTIR) Absolute Radiance Interferometer (ARI) Breadboard TRL 4 Absolute Radiance Interferometer Prototype TRL 5 ARI Prototype with OARS, including Heated Halo TRL 6 Slide 138 UW Phase Change Demonstration on ISS ISS Demonstration Hardware Integrated assembly under laboratory testing 1 cm Melt block with phase change cells Flight expected sometime next year ISS Demo Melt Materials 3 different melt materials will be demonstrated in the microgravity environment of the ISS Melt Cycle Gallium Melt 40 30.4 30.3 Temperature (C) Gallium 30 Gallium-Tin 30.2 30.1 30 29.9 29.8 29.6 40000 41000 42000 43000 44000 45000 28000 29000 30000 13000 14000 15000 Time (sec) 10 GaSn Melt Water 20.9 20.8 Temperature (C) Temperature (C) 29.7 20 0 20.7 20.6 20.5 20.4 20.3 -10 20.2 20.1 25000 26000 27000 Time (sec) -20 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 Water Melt 0.4 Time (sec) Temperature (C) 0.3 Example of the UW-SSEC Phase Change Cell Demonstration running through all three melts continuously – first water, then gallium-tin, then gallium. As shown at right, the melt signature is well-resolved for each material to high accuracy (±5mK). While on board the ISS, the demonstration will run many sequences of melts with several different melt lengths and these will be compared to measurements obtained on the ground. 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 10000 11000 12000 Time (sec) Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3) NASA Earth Venture 1 Mission Scott Braun, GSFC, PI 142 Product Support for the Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3) Field Program Chris Velden Focused Research Goal: To utilize the HS3 observations along with the CIMSS satellitederived products to document the upper-tropospheric conditions during TCs and better understand how they can modulate intensity changes. ABOVE: Sample of other selected real time CIMSS products provided to the HS3 operations and forecasting center. Top Left: CIMSS shear analysis. Top Right: ASCAT winds. Bottom Left: TPW image. Bottom Right: Dry air (Saharan Air Layer) product. ABOVE: SSMIS microwave (54.4GHz) warm core analysis from TC Nadine. The “Environmental” GH Airborne Vertical Atmospheric Profiling System (AVAPS) Scanning High Resolution Infrared Sounder (S-HIS) Cloud Physics Lidar (CPL) Upwelling thermal radiation at high spectral resolution between 3.3 and 18 microns. 532/1064 nm Lidar Reflection 89 Dropsondes / flight Temperature, Pressure, wind, humidity vertical profiles NOAA, NCAR Temperature, water vapor vertical profiles U of Wisconsin, SSEC Cloud structure and depth NASA GSFC The “Over-Storm” GH High Altitude Imaging Wind and Rain Airborne Profiler (HIWRAP) High Altitude Monolithic Microwave integrated Circuit Sounding Radiometer (HAMSR) 4 C-band Microwave emission Cross-track swath coverage Ku/Ka band Radar reflectivity 30/40 Conical scan Microwave coss-track Sounder 25 Microwave channels-50,118,183 GHz Surface Wind Speed, Rain Rate 3-D Winds and Precipitation Temperature, Water Profiles, Cloud Liquid Water, Rain Rate, IWP Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRad) NASA MSFC NASA GSFC JPL Global Hawk view: Chincoteague & Assateague near NASA Wallops S-HIS operated well on HS3 Global Hawk Scanning HIS 147 HS3 Explores Nadine’s Interaction With the SAL Date: September 11-12 Target: TS Nadine Goal: Examine whether SAL air is getting into Nadine’s circulation and perhaps slowing its development Dust Tropical Storm Nadine Sample data from the Cloud Physics Lidar SAL dust S-HIS on 2012 HS3: Significant real time feedback for 1st time! Engineering and Radiance data example 900 cm-1 Tb Map Payload & Pilot trailers With reliable KU, Real-Time dual regression retrievals served Payload Trailer with 40 to 45 second latency!! Elise Garns CrIS/AIRS Underflight Promising S-HIS/CrIS comparison Global hawk Flight Track 151 IDDO Ice Drilling & Operations Charlie Bentley, Don Lebar, and their large, impressively talented team • WAIS Divide Ice Main Core Competed 12/31/11, Culmination of 10 yr effort • Excellent quality core over 3,405 m depth, even in technically challenging warm ice • 1st high-resolution southern hemisphere record of greenhouse gases and climate comparable to the Greenland records • Will contribute significantly to improved understanding of climate variability over the last ~ 65,000 years Drilling team Spooling on the new 4,200 m cable Ice core in DISC Drill DISC Drill Replicate Coring: Maiden voyage at WAIS Divide Challenging and enlightening: IDDO engineers gained a great deal of insight into the process of creating a deviation for replicate coring New borehole camera proved valuable in assessing the results of the deviation effort Root cause of problems determined from design and fabrication of a sophisticated test set-up Tests were conducted to simulate a “sonde-in-the-borehole” to determine drill sonde deflection, to verify the mechanical system analyses and to measure force at the cutter head for given set points. Drill team now getting ready for a test at pole Borehole camera Milling head with cutters Replicate Coring system testing at IDDO DISC Drill Replicate Coring: Progress from the pole Logging Tool Tests: Successfully navigating the deviation needed for replicate drilling, the dummy logging tool passed its test 2 days ago —see hole photos below Deviation at 2 km depth! Drilling completed at Taylor Glacier, Antarctica for study of ancient atmospheres Using the Blue Ice (Large Diameter) Drill developed by IDDO, an IDDO contract driller successfully completed drilling for samples dedicated to the study of ancient atmospheric composition. Approximately 1,000 meters of high quality, large (9.5-inch diameter) ice core was recovered. Abundance of ice cores at Taylor Glacier Rapid Access Ice Drill (RAID) for interdisciplinary science Concept for a unique drill capable of 1) drilling through 3.3 km of ice, 2) retrieving ice core samples at selected depths during the drilling process, and 3) coring up to 25 m of rock beneath the ice was developed Community planning meetings among IDDO, industry, and logistics support representatives came to consensus on science requirements and features Conceptual Deign produced by IDDO, along with preliminary schedules/budgets Mineral-exploration industry “diamond-drilling” rig is basis for design Suitable model of mobile deep-drilling rig Easily portable drills of various kinds enabled successful science IDDO Portable Hot Water Drill allowed one geophysicist and his field team to obtain over 9 km of high-quality seismic data Over 280 shot holes drilled by another group using the same drill Other Drills: 6 PICO hand augers, 3 SIPRE augers and 2 Sidewinder systems were utilized by science teams in Antarctica. Portable Hot Water Drilling on Whillans Ice Stream Intermediate Depth Drill Starts Taking Shape IDDO made progress in design and procurement of major subsystems of the new Intermediate Depth Drill (IDD). Based on the Danish Hans Tausen drill and deep coring drills, the IDD will be capable of collecting ice cores to depths of 1,500 m. IDDO is cooperating with the Centre for Ice and Climate in Copenhagen and Victoria University of Wellington’s Antarctic Research Centre in modifying and upgrading designs. This drill will serve a great need in the ice coring community. It is scheduled for testing in the summer of 2014 in Greenland and for deployment for a science project in Antarctica during the 2014-15 field season. Winch New IDD Winch and Tower design New IDD Anti-Torque design 30 Years of Automatic Weather Stations in Antarctica • Article in Oct. 2012 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society • Comprehensive paper on the history of Automatic Weather Stations in Antarctica 20 Years: Antarctic Meteorological Research Center • 30 October 1992 – 30 October 2012 • Satellite composites & Observational meteorology South Pole Climatology • A comprehensive 50 year surface climatology study! • Results – Not statistically significant: • Temperature slight decrease • Shorter winters… – Significant: • Mean Wind Speeds decreasing • Maximum Wind Speeds increasing • Snow accumulation decreasing AMRC – Observational Research ICECAPS: Integrated Characterization of Energy, Clouds, Atmospheric state, and Precipitation at Summit, Greenland PIs: Ralf Bennartz (University of Wisconsin), Matthew Shupe (University of Colorado), Dave Turner (NOAA), and Von Walden (University of Idaho) Instrumentation Science All Greenland Melt Event ICECAPS Mobile Science Facility – Summit, Greenland (Shupe, BAMS 2012) SSEC: Ralf Bennartz – PI/Scientist Mark Kulie – Scientist Aronne Merrelli – Summer Phase 2011 Nate Miller – Summer Phase 2011 Erik Olson – Engineer Claire Pettersen – Winter Phase III 2012 July 2012 Greenland Ice Sheet Melt Event as seen by ICECAPS (Miller, AGU 2012) Science Resource: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/arctic/observatories/summit/browser/ Papers: Shupe, et al., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2012 Miller, et al., Journal of Geophysical Research, 2013 Bennartz, et al., Nature, Submitted SSEC State of the Center 2012 Robert S Stobie – Near Infrared Spectrograph for the Southern African Large Telescope 13 December 2012 SALT Marsha Wolf Principal Investigator Balancing the Baryon Budget: Star formation, Gas accretion, & Feedback Near Infrared Spectrograph, NIR • NIR is a complementary instrument to the VIS (visible) instrument developed by the Dept. of Astronomy for the Southern African Large Telescope (SALT). • NIR has a HgCdTe detector sensitive in the 0.7-1.4 µm range. • Marsha Wolf has been promoted to PI. Andrew Sheinis accepted a position at the Australian Astronomical Observatory. • The NIR is in the midst of integrating and testing. Completion planned for 2013. • SALT is planning a facility upgrade to accommodate the NIR in the next 1-2 years. Project Team: • Astronomy – Marsha Wolf • – Sam Gabelt – Kristine Garot – Briana Indahl – Kurt Jaehnig – Greg Mosby – Ken Nordsieck – Jeff Percival – Mike Smith SSEC – Doug Adler – Tom Demke – Ron Koch – Bill Mason – Mark Mulligan – Paul Sendelbach – Don Thielman – Mark Werner – Jeff Wong Detector Testing Dewar Engineering grade detector mounted and installed in the test Dewar for characterization testing Mechanisms & Structure NIR Dewar being prepped for environmental testing at 40°C. Must maintain vacuum and thermally control detector to 115 K. These two photos show the integration of the NIR support structure and mechanisms. The instrument is designed with 14 mechanisms and 10 are installed. Mechanism control has been developed and tested on 10 mechanisms. NIR Articulation Mechanism in Motion The video shows the camera saddle being commanded through its full range of motion. GV HSRL NCAR, Costa Rica / Chile, February 2012 GV HSRL NCAR, Costa Rica / Chile, February 2012 “Arctic” HSRL Singapore, August 2012 Support of NASA Southeast Asia Composition, Cloud, Climate Coupling Regional Study (SEAC4RS) surface observation network Other HSRL Highlights Laser Control Improvements – Marty Lawson has had great success in maximizing spectral purity and stability BAGO HSRL - Ilya Razenkov is working on adding temperature profiling Supporting DOE HSRL’s (Barrow AK, Maldives) AHSRL Deployment to Norman OK – Spring/Summer Great Work! Ed Eloranta, Joe Garcia, Igor Razenkov, Ilya Razenkov, Marty Lawson, Don Thielman, Paul Sendelbach, David Smith (Bit 7), Istvan Bocsi (Bit 7) Great Support! Will Robus, Paul Schnetteler, Tom Demke, Justin Darrow Ed’s Lidars Dual HSRLs in the penthouse 25 November 2012 Last of the 21st Century! Transit of Venus 5 June 2012 Historically, gave 1st accurate size of solar system And Speaking of Venus As the chair of VEXAG, the Venus Exploration Analysis Group, Sanjay Limaye briefs Charles Bolton, NASA Administrator, in DC on his way to a Venus Express meeting in Europe To Analyze 1) Outer Planets 2) Clouds Properties 3) Atmosphere PEATE Climate 4) Boundary layer from lidar 5) Radiative Transfer 6) Sounder Studies 7) Cryosphere 8) Hazardous Weather Test-bed participation example 175 2012 Research on Outer-Planet Atmospheres at SSEC Science Team: Larry Sromovsky, Pat Fry, Kevin Baines Planets: Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune, Uranus Research: Atmospheric circulation Seasonal response Dynamics of circulation features Vertical cloud structure and composition Methane absorption modeling Techniques: Spectroscopy, Imaging, in situ observations, cloud tracking, radiation transfer modeling Data Sources:: Hubble Space Telescope, Cassini, New Horizons Ground based telescopes (Keck, IRTF, Gemini). Archived data from Voyager & Galileo missions. Uranus: Observing episodic bright spot interaction. Sromovsky, L.A., H.B. Hammel, I. de Pater, P.M. Fry, and 13 co-authors. 2012. Episodic bright and dark spots on Uranus. Icarus 220, 6-22. 2 1 Keck, Nov. 11 Spots spreading apart, encounter 25 Dec 2011. Predicted close approach of two bright spots on 25 Dec 2011 might have produced an outburst of bright methane ice clouds. Instead, a rare small dark spot and bright companion were observed in HST images. Uranus: Cloud structure and circulation Sromovsky, L.A., P.M. Fry, H.B. Hammel, I. de Pater, and K.A. Rages. 2012. Post-equinox dynamics and polar cloud structure on Uranus. Icarus 220, 694-712. View of North improves 1997 to 2012, revealing many convective features and zonal wind structure After the 2007 equinox, we got better views of the north polar region of Uranus, and discovered numerous small “convective” cloud features, allowing us to fill a big gap in the zonal wind profile, clearly defining a northern prograde jet of 260 m/s near 60o N. The “convective” north polar features resemble those seen near both poles at equinox on Saturn, but have only been seen in northern spring on Uranus, suggesting that seasonal cooling from the top may be promoting convection. South polar fall 2003 North polar spring 2011 New Uranus Observations in 2012: High S/N imaging from Keck and Gemini in JulyNovember revealed new weather phenomena in 1 unprecedented detail. Most detailed ever images of Uranus from Keck telescope, July 2012 streaky “cumulus” scallop bands fields waves 1 DS + companions HST STIS spectra (300 1000 nm) were acquired in September to determine if methane is deleted in the north polar regions of Uranus as it was in the south polar regions; if not, the depletion is likely seasonal and may be connected to a difference in polar cloud structures. 0 0 o o CH4/H2 ratio constrained by 0.825 micron feature In September, Space Telescope Imaging Spectrogaph yielded spectra for half of Uranus to investigate latitudinal dependence of Methane SSEC 2012 Outer Planet Research: Getting Noticed in Discover, Science, Icarus, NASA HDQ SMD weekly highlights briefing at NASA/HQ. Oct 9, 2012 Science Magazine, 26 October 2012 Issue First Look at Saturn’s Meteorology at Depth VIMS 5-mm: RADAR 2-cm: Cloud Extinction NH3 Vapor Extinction Deep ( ~3 bar) Clouds of NH4SH Hidden Beneath Ammonia Hazes/Clouds Mapped in Silhouette against Saturn’s Background Thermal Radiation. Maps by Cassini/VIMS at 5-mm. NH3 N>S Deep (~2-bar) NH3 Humidity Near Tops and Above NH4SH (Ammonium Hydrosulfide) Clouds Mapped at 2 cm by Cassini/ RADAR in Passive Mode Temperature (K): \ In Image: VIMS 5 mm: Clearings in clouds: Aqua Thick clouds: Dark RADAR 2 cm: Low NH3-humidity: Red High NH3 Humidity: Dark Results: Find Both NH3-dry (Red) and NH3-humid (Dark) NH4SH Clouds Low NH3 Expected: NH3-Humid Clouds. Updrafts Bring Humid Air to Form NH4SH Clouds. Since N>S Globally , Some NH3 Remains After all Sulfur Used in Forming NH4SH Clouds Unexpected: NH3-Dry Air in/above Some NH4SH Clouds Possible Explanation: NH3 Sequestered in Aqueous Solution Clouds at 8-20-Bar Kevin Baines MODIS Collection 6 Cloud Products Major software upgrade submitted in 2012 (that Rich Frey guy) Cloud top height/pressure/temperature and IR cloud thermodynamic phase will be available at both 1-km and 5-km resolution (previously only at 5-km resolution) (that Paul Menzel guy) Collection 6 software includes both calibration and algorithm updates; also accounts for improved knowledge of spectral response functions obtained from AIRS-MODIS radiance comparisons (that Dave Tobin guy) In example shown here, the IR cloud phase algorithm now has much improved capability to discriminate optically thin cirrus as being “ice” phase; note that the frequency of the green (uncertain) color is significantly lower in bottom panel especially in the higher latitudes (those Baum/Heidinger/Frey guys) Product evaluation made extensive use of CALIOPMODIS comparisons (that Bob Holz guy) Global results – those PEATE guys Cirrus Optical Depth Biases Resolved - MODIS single scatter properties modified - CALIOP Lidar Ratio adjusted Bob Holz MODIS Vis vs CALIOP BEFORE AFTER IR used to identify biases in both MODIS and CALIOP retrievals MODIS retrievals reprocessed on UW Atmosphere PEATE with a new single scatter database (roughened aggregated columns) CALIOP algorithm team modified the lidar ratio to better match new MODIS results. 183 Cloud Top Height from VIIRS Compared to CALIOP Low Cloud Overestimation High Cloud Underestimation High Cloud Bias Bob Holz Cloud Top Height: Global 5 deg Gridded Results IDPS VIIRS - CALIOP (km) LC High Bias HC Low Bias Bob Holz VIIRS Science Team: Cloud evaluation Bryan Baum, Elisabeth Weisz, Nadia Smith & Paul Menzel Evaluating VIIRS IDPS cloud products (cloud top pressure, temperature and phase) Adopting a multi-instrument approach SOUNDER + IMAGER: CrIS will be complimentary to VIIRS in that it will give a semitransparency correction for cloud top pressure Mapping Data into Information: space-time gridding Nadia Smith, Paul Menzel, Elisabeth Weisz & Bryan Baum CrIS BT @ 900cm-1; Aug 2012 daytime avg - Regional to global scale - Multi-instrument evaluation and combination - Data filtering and statistical aggregation (standard grid) - Application/parameter-specific information products - Long-term, large-scale trend analysis - Environmental regional change detection CrIS CTP retrieval: monthly high cloud pressure Level-1B/2 gridding Level-3 Smith, N., Menzel, W.P., Weisz, E., Heidinger, A.K. & B.A.Baum (2012) A uniform space-time gridding algorithm for comparison of satellite data products: characterization and sensitivity study. JAMC (in press), online: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAMC-D-12-031.1 Atmosphere PEATE: NPP Processing Liam Gumley, Bob Holz, Steve Dutcher, Greg Quinn, Bruce Flynn, Fred Nagle, Min Oo, Ralph Kuehn, Nick Bearson, and Hank Revercomb Atmosphere PEATE for Suomi NPP • • • • We help the NASA Science Team to assess Suomi NPP products. Have ingested > 500 Terabytes since Nov 2011. Are distributing > 1 Terabyte per day. Developed tools to compare Suomi NPP products to EOS, POES, GOES, and Metop sensors. • Are running > 10 enhanced product algorithms daily. MODIS Cloud Optical Thickness 2012-11-21 VIIRS Cloud Optical Thickness 2012-11-21 Atmosphere PEATE Web Resources http://peate.ssec.wisc.edu/ Data Search and Download Global Gridded Quicklooks Convective Boundary Layer Height from CALIOP R. Kuehn, S. Ackerman, R. Holz, L. Roubert CALIOP Retrievals JJA Mean Height (km) [~6 years of data] Validation case study CALIOP vs LaRC HSRL DJF Mean Height (km) [~6 years of data] Commercial Aircraft BL AMDAR PBLH retrieval climatology 2006-2011 at Chicago (ORD) T is for Tobin Line absorption Continuum Sounding Studies Regional assimilation and forecasting system development for tropical cyclone application of satellite data GDAS/GFS data GSI/WRF Background & boundary preprocessing Conventional obs data GSI background at time t-6 hrs Radiance obs data GSI analysis at time t-6 hrs other satellite DP data WRF 6 hours forecast Bufr conversion GSI background at time t CIMSS SFOV rtv IMAPP/CSPP data transfer Satellite standard DP (soundings, tpw, winds) Jun Li’s Sounding Group with ASPT – Tim Schmit Brad Pierce, Andy Heidinger etc. GSI analysis at time t WRF 72 hours final forecast WRF postprocessing update update Diagnosis, plotting and validation Data archive Jinlong Li, Jun Li, Tim Schmit, and Pei Wang Experiments on hurricane ISAAC (2012) forecasts – precipitation tendency Ctrl: 6 hourly ISAAC (2012) track analysis with conventional data assimilated all: 6 hourly ISAAC track analysis with both conventional and satellite data assimilated Obs: 6 hourly ISAAC track observation (from NHC) 6 hourly ISAAC track analysis from 22 August to 01 September 2012 Satellite data provide improvement on track analysis in earlier stage of ISAAC Assimilation and forecast experiments for Hurricane Irene (2011) with sounder data Pei Wang, Jinlong Li, Jun Li and Tim Schmit Hurricane Track GTS – conventional data AQUA – AMSU on Aqua Sea level Pressure Data are assimilated every 6 hours from 06 UTC August 22 to 00 UTC August 24, 2011 followed by 48-hour forecasts (WRF regional NWP model with 12 km resolution). Hurricane track (HT) (left) and central sea level pressure (SLP) root mean square error (RMSE) are calculated GOES-R legacy atmospheric profile (LAP) algorithm validation with GOES Sounder 1. GOES-R LAP algorithm improves GOES Sounder total precipitable water (TPW) over GFS 2. GOES-R LAP is being transferred for real time GOES Sounder sounding generation Yong-Keun Lee, Zhenglong Li, Jim Nelson, Jun Li GFS TPW GOES-R ALG TPW from GOES Sounder TPW (mm) Mean RMSE STD GFS 0.37 1.98 1.95 GOES-R ALG 0.10 1.66 1.66 GEO advanced IR sounder simulation for regional OSSE Zhenglong Li, Jason Otkin, Wenguang Bai, Tim Schmit, Todd Schaack, Brad Pierce, Jun Li Zoom-in of tropical storm Resolution = 1 km Very fine scale features, such as Individual convective cells are well identified! Every 6 minutes CIMSS Sounding Team Peer-reviewed Publications in 2012 Zheng, J., J. Li , T. Schmit , J. Li , Z. Liu, 2012: Study on the assimilation of atmoshperic temperature and moisture profiles from the Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS) measurements for improving hurricane forecasts, Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmosphere (submitted) Yao. Z., J. Li , E. Weisz , A. Heidinger and C.-Y. Liu, 2012: Evaluation of Single Field-of-View Cloud Top Height Retrievals from Hyperspectral Infrared Sounder Radiances with CloudSat and CALIPSO measurements, Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmosphere (submitted) Li, Z., J. Li, Y. Li, Y. Zhang, T. J. Schmit, L. Zhou, M. Goldberg, and W. Paul Menzel, 2012: Determining Diurnal Variations of Land Surface Emissivity from Geostationary Satellites, Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmospheres (in press). Yao, Z., J. Li, H.-J. Han, A. Huang, B. J. Sohn, and P. Zheng, 2012: Asian dust height and infrared optical depth retrievals over land from hyperspectral longwave infrared radiances, Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmosphere, 117, D19202, doi:10.1029/2012JD017799. Li, J., C.-Y. Liu, P. Zhang, and T. J. Schmit, 2012: Applications of Full Spatial Resolution Space-Based Advanced Infrared Soundings in the Preconvection Environment, Weather and Forecasting, 27, 515 - 524. Yao Z., J. Li, and Jinlong Li, 2012: Sunglint impact on atmospheric soundings from hyperspectral resolution infrared radiances, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 29, 1 - 9. Kwon, E.-H., J. Li, Jinlong Li, B. J. Sohn and E. Weisz, 2012: Use of total precipitable water classification of a priori error and quality control in atmospheric temperature and water vapor sounding retrieval, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 29, 263-273. Ten years of the UW high spectral resolution global IR land surface emissivity (UWIREMIS) database Eva Borbas The UW BF emissivity database is available at: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iremis/ It covers the time from early postlaunch onwards Terra: Apr 2000 – Sept 2012 / Aqua: Sept 2002– Sept 2012 Collection 4 data will be replaced by Collection 6 in 2013. Over 160 users are internationally distributed (Suzanne Seemann) The UWIREMIS module was implemented into RTTOV10, available since Jan 2012 Timeseries of anomalies 3.7 μm 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 8.3 μm 12.1 μm Annual cycle 3.7 μm F M A M Timeseries of anomalies 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Annual cycle J Timeseries of anomalies Annual cycle 8.3 μm J J A S O N D J F M A M 12.1 μm J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D Does Infrared Land surface emissivity (LSE) diurnally vary? Zhenglong Li, Jun Li, Yue Li, Timothy J. Schmit, and W. Paul Menzel SEVIRI LSE diurnal variations • The GOES-R ABI LSE algorithm is applied to SEVIRI • LSE diurnal variations are found in all three window channels, during different time periods – • Significance: 8.7 um > 10.8 um > 12.0 um Analysis of radiances observations from SEVIRI and MODIS/Aqua confirms the LSE diurnal variations Li et al. 2012, Determining diurnal variations of land surface emissivity from geostationary satellites, J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1029/2012JD018279 Dual-Regression Retrieval Algorithm for Hyper-spectral Satellite and Aircraft Sensors 2012 Application Examples Elisabeth Weisz and William L. Smith Sr. February 2012 Tornadic Outbreak CrIS Lifted Index (oC) 7:10 UTC CrIS, AIRS HU Field Campaign (April 2012) IASI, CrIS, AIRS AIRS Lifted Index (oC) 8:20 UTC Tornado hits at 10:50 Super-Storm Sandy (Oct 2012) CrIS, AIRS Global Hawk HS3 (Sept/Oct 2012) S-HIS UW Hyper-Spectral Retrieval Software Package for AIRS, IASI and CrIS L1 to L2 processing V1.0 Released under CSPP (Community Software Satellite Package) November 2012 Elisabeth Weisz, William L. Smith Sr., Nadia Smith, Kathy Strabala, Liam Gumley, Allen Huang The dual-regression retrieval technique is used to retrieve the following single FOV products under clear and cloudy conditions from input direct broadcast or archived AIRS, IASI and CrIS L1 radiance files: • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • atmospheric temperature [K] at 101 pressure levels atmospheric moisture [g/kg] at 101 pressure levels atmospheric ozone [ppmv] at 101 pressure levels atmospheric relative humidity [%] at 101 pressure levels atmospheric dew point temperature [K] at 101 pressure levels surface skin temperature [K] surface emissivity (at full spectrum) total precipitable water [cm] precipitable water 1 (900 hPa to surface) [cm] precipitable water 2 (700 to 900 hPa) [cm] precipitable water 3 (300 to 700 hPa) [cm] total ozone amount (vertically integrated) [dobson units] lifted index [oC] convective available potential energy [J/kg] CO2 concentration [ppmv] cloud top pressure [hPa] cloud top temperature [K] cloud optical thickness effective cloud emissivity cloud mask (values: 0 clear, 1 cloud) Available at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cspp/ Bill Smith & Elizabeth Weisz UWPHYSRET • Physical retrieval (optimal estimation) for clear sky high spectral resolution IR data; • Developed at UW-Madison in collaboration with EUMETSAT; • Successfully applied to AIRS, CrIS, IASI, S-HIS; • Adapted to work with climatological or NWP apriori; • Based on Optimal Spectral Sampling forward model (developed at AER); • Allows for full consistency while inverting data from different instruments (same apriori, same forward model); • Adapted to run on multi-core machines within matlab or octave. Paolo Antonelli T, RH, and cloud retrieval characterization with HS3 data 15-Sep-2012, S-HIS RH cross-sections Dual Regression (DR) 07-Sept Clear Sky Comparison RH over ice UWPHYSRET AVAPS UWPHYSRET RH over water 15-Sept DR CTP versus CTT The Global Cryosphere Watch Implementation of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Global Cryosphere Watch (GCW) is taking off! • GCW will provide authoritative, clear, and useable snow and ice data, information, and analyses on the past, current and future state of the cryosphere. • ASPB/CIMSS plays a (co-)leading role in the GCW’s development and implementation. • A recent workshop in Vienna helped define the GCW surface network, called “CryoNet”. • ASPB/CIMSS is also participating on a WMO Integrated Global Observing System (WIGOS) task team to evaluate WMO’s “regulatory material”, i.e., measurement standards and practices for snow and ice. GCW is a legacy of the International Polar Year, a part of the WMO Integrated Global Observing System (WIGOS), and a contribution to the Global Earth Observation System of Systems (GEOSS). Arctic Report Card 2012 Released • The NOAA Arctic Report Card for 2012 is now available at http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard/. • CIMSS/ASPB scientists contributed to the section on the atmosphere, specifically on Arctic clouds. • This peer-reviewed, web-based annual update is written by an international team of 141 scientists from 15 countries. Highlights: • New record low snow extents seen in North America and Eurasia. • Arctic sea ice extent reached an all-time record minimum. • Tundra is getting greener and growing season length has increased. • Sea surface temperatures continue to be warmer than the long-term average at the ice-free margins. Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment: Verification of Model Boundary Layer with GOES Becky Cintineo and Jason Otkin Investigating performance of PBL and microphysics schemes by comparing simulated brightness temperatures from CAPS WRF-ARW ensemble against observed GOES-13 brightness temperatures Forecast minus observation Observed Frequency Distribution Thompson M-Y Morrison WDM6 GOES-13 11μm To Apply 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) Direct Broadcast (from ITPP to IMAPP to CSPP) Research to Operations Examples GOES-R/JPSS Proving Ground Mobile Device Applications Hurricanes and Tropical Cyclones Climate Assessment Participation 210 NOAA/NASA/CIMSS Partnership in the Development & Maintenance of Polar Orbiting Satellite Direct Broadcast Processing Packages Continues …. 2012 • 12 years of IMAPP continuing • “CSPP” for Suomi NPP/JPSS 211 1st public release International MODIS/AIRS Processing Package (IMAPP) Funded by NASA since 2000 - freely distributed software for Aqua and Terra http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/imapp/ 48 software packages released in 11 years More than 1300 users from 67 different countries 10 direct broadcast workshops held on 5 continents Last one was sponsored by WMO in Indonesia Oct 2011 11 MODIS related software packages 4 AIRS related software packages 4 AMSR-E software packages IMAPP Users CSPP for Suomi NPP will soon be similar More than 1300 people have downloaded some part of the IMAPP suite of products representing 67 different countries and all 7 continents Direct Broadcast Antenna for NWS Honolulu and University of Hawaii Liam Gumley, Kathy Strabala, Jordan Gerth • Funded by NOAA to install a new polar satellite antenna in Honolulu; installation completed on August 8, 2012. • Products are sent in real-time to NWS Forecast Office in Honolulu and University of Hawaii. VIIRS Day/Night Band over Hawaiian Islands NWS Forecast Discussion HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1230 UTC SAT NOV 03 2012 BASED ON DATA THROUGH 1200 UTC NOVEMBER 03 2012 ………….. NIGHTTIME SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM THE VIIRS DAY-NIGHT BAND SHOWS MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE WINDWARD BIG ISLAND WITH RADAR CONFIRMING SOME LIGHT SHOWERS IN THE AREA. THE WINDWARD HANA COAST AND LOWER SLOPES ARE COVERED WITH LOW CLOUDS WHILE THE REST OF MAUI COUNTY IS CLEAR. ON OAHU...PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAIL. ON KAUAI...THE EARLIER CLOUDY SKIES HAVE CLEARED IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. $$ MORRISON IDEA-I: A GLOBALLY CONFIGURABLE IMAPP MODIS SOFTWARE PACKAGE IN SUPPORT OF AIR QUALITY FORECASTS IDEA-I is newly added part of IMAPP and provides to the DB community a version of Infusing satellite Data into Environmental air quality Applications (IDEA). It is globally configurable and freely available, using Terra or Aqua MODIS MOD04 Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) retrievals to identify local regions of high aerosol loading from which trajectories are initialized. A trajectory model provides a forecast of the horizontal and vertical movement of the aerosol-laden air parcels over the next 48 hours. The package includes netCDF output data files as well as hourly trajectory forecast images, which can be viewed from a web browser using PHP software (that is also included, credit to Bill Bellon). James Davies, Kathy Strabala, Eva Schiffer, R. Bradley Pierce#, Hung-Lung (Allen) Huang Space Science and Engineering Center (SSEC/UW-Madison), Madison, WI, USA #NOAA/STAR/ASPB jim.davies@ssec.wisc.edu EUMETSAT, Sopot, 3-7 September, 2012 IMAPP IDEA-I North American Domain Installation In Support of Air Quality Forecasts http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/imapp/idea-i/terra/ R2O: VIIRS Supporting Operational Forecasters AWIPS compatible formats: polar2grid provides portable, efficient, open source software to reproject and reformat VIIRS I-Bands for AWIPS Installed in DB stations in Alaska, Hawaii and Wisconsin to support all domains Collaborations with DWD Germany, and Australia BOM to support international met agencies GeoTIFF back-end will allow any user to produce high quality images Kathy Strabala Probabilistic Nearcasting of Convective Clouds Mike Pavolonis, John Cintineo, Justin Sieglaff 1. Track and identify convective clouds 2. Train model with severe and non-severe storms -- temporal satellite trends, NWP fields, radar 3. Assign probability of severe P(severe) = f (GOES, NEXRAD, NWP) 4. Outcomes -- The probabilistic model can extend the lead time of NWS severe weather warnings by ~10-20 minutes on average --The availability of high temporal resolution satellite data is critical (at least every 5 minutes) GOES-R Fog/Low Cloud Products – Evaluation by NWS Forecasters Corey Calvert and Michael Pavolonis GOES-R IFR Probabilities Visible Satellite Imagery NWS forecasters use the GOES-R fog/low cloud products to identify areas of hazardous low cloud bases and to estimate the dissipation time of radiation fog. Excerpt from the NWS Sullivan, WI Area Forecast Discussion on November 21, 2012 at 3:27 AM CST DENSE FOG COVERS NEARLY THE ENTIRE AREA THIS MORNING. THE CHALLENGE IS DETERMINING JUST WHEN IT WILL CLEAR. USING A COMBINATION OF THE MODEL SOUNDINGS, THE GOES-R PROVING GROUND CLOUD THICKNESS PRODUCT AND TIME OF YEAR CONSIDERATIONS...FEEL IT NECESSARY TO DELAY THE CLEARING OF THE FOG AND THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL ABOUT 18Z. THE LOW LEVEL INVERSION IS STRONG AND IT WILL TAKE A FEW HOURS OF THAT INCREASING GRADIENT WIND TO ERODE THAT INVERSION. THE ESTIMATED DEPTH OF THE FOG IS AROUND 800-1000FT...SUGGESTING IT WILL TAKE ABOUT 3-4 HOURS AFTER SUNRISE TO CLEAR OUT. WE WERE ENDING THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY AT 10AM AND THIS SEEMS ABOUT AN HOUR OR SO EARLY...SO WILL STRETCH IT TO NOON FOR A BIT OF A CUSHION. Development of an Automated Volcanic Cloud Alert System Mike Pavolonis and Justin Sieglaff Alert was available at 14:34 UTC; ash advisory was not issued until 16:00 UTC Eruption of Mt. Cleveland, AK Examining Rapid Drought Onset Using the Evaporative Stress Index SPI PCP ESI (WK) 2 4 ESI CHANGE ANOMALIES 8 2WK 4WK • GOES-based 8WK Evaporative Stress Index used to depict areas experiencing water-related stress MAY APR USDM Jason Otkin, Martha Anderson (USDA), et al. JUL JUN • Negative weekly changes in the ESI (red colors) indicate that plant health is deteriorating more rapidly than normal SEP AUG • Occurrence of large negative changes provides additional lead time that the U.S. Drought Monitor depiction will worsen 1 D0 D1 D2 D3 D4 USDM Drought Class 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 CHANGE INTERVAL (WK) 3 4 • SC WI during 2012 shown to the left Wildfire Automated Biomass Burning Algorithm GOES-East WFABBA 2000-2011 (coverage corrected, 0.25° bins) • Produces fire detections and characterizations for all satellites in the GOES, MSG, and MTSAT series • Support for Korea’s COMS is being added • Producing coverage-corrected summaries to show trends while minimizing bias created by scan schedule and block-out zones (annual summaries from 2000-2011 at right) • Continuing implementation and validation of the GOES-R ABI version of the WFABBA Chris Schmidt COMS Captures Diurnal Variability in Fire Activity in Borneo 16 August 2012 04:00 – 07:00 UTC 04:00 UTC 04:15 UTC 04:30 UTC 04:45 UTC 05:00 UTC 05:45 UTC 06:00 UTC 06:15 UTC 06:30 UTC 07:00 UTC GOES-R/JPSS Program CIMSS/ASPB Participation GOES-R/JPSS Proving Ground Status Wayne Feltz, Mike Pavolonis, Tim Schmit, Andy Heidinger, Jordan Gerth, Scott Bachmeier, Scott Lindstrom, Justin Sieglaff, Lee Cronce, Robert Aune, Gary Wade, Brad Pierce, Kaba Bah, Will Straka, Jason Otkin, Sarah Monette, Chris Velden, Ralph Petersen, Russ Dengel November 13, 2012 CIMSS/ASPB GOES-R ABI Real-time Proxy Brad Pierce, Tom Greenwald, Todd Schaack, Jason Otkin, Jim Davies, Eva Borbas, Marek Rogal, Kaba Bah, Justin Sieglaff, Graeme Martin, Jim Nelson, Allen Huang Real-time Proxy Framework Support: WRFChem/RAQMS Component Nested RAQMS/WRFCHEM aerosol simulations are now being produced in real-time to support GOES-R Proxy Framework GOES-R Proxy aerosol optical depth (AOD) simulation captures observed smoke due to wildfires in Northern California Real-time Proxy AOD/COT (left) and GOES-14 visible image (right) of August 21, 2012 Northern California Wildfires GOES-R Proxy Framework supports GOES-R ABI pre-launch activities by providing real-time GOES Rebroadcast (GRB) files containing synthetic ABI radiances that will be distributed to AIT and Proving Ground partners for testing GOES-R algorithms and data systems in realtime. CIMSS/ASPB GOES-R ABI Real-time Proxy Real-time 16 band Model Imagery Real-time Validation with GOES 225 GOES-14 in Special Rapid Scan mode • • • • • • SRSOR (Super Rapid Scan Operations for GOES-R) from GOES-14 imager while it was out of storage Worked with OSPO to define schedules Deciding on daily location for scanning between midAugust and end of October Posting many animations http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu /goes/srsor/GOES14_SRSOR.html Many phenomena were observed: convection, fires, hurricanes, smoke, etc. Data to many groups HPC, OPC, AWC, SPC, etc. Isaac from GOES-14 Imager water at 1-min time resolution (click to loop) SRSOR provided unique information and offers a glimpse into the possibilities that will be provided at even higher resolutions by the ABI on GOES-R. GOES-14 SRSOR of Sandy (Visible) The 1-min interval imagery shows ‘what is happening’, not ‘what has happened’. GOES-14 SRSOR Visible Infrared The GOES-14 SRSOR animations truly ‘went viral’, demonstrating their unique information. These datasets will be used for years to better prepare for the ABI. Super Rapid Scan Operations for GOES-R (SRSOR) note rapid convection 229 GOES-14 1-Minute Overshooting Tops 230 Rate of temporal cooling in the longwave infrared band Cintineo et al., 2013 (CIMSS) Rapid convection is often seen on geostationary 231 data before significant radar echo's. Using GOES UW-Cloud Top Cooling Rates in National Weather Service Convective Warning Experiments Justin Sieglaff, Lee Cronce, and Wayne Feltz First UW-CTC rate (~ -15 K / 15 min UTC 9/4/2012) •2002 UW-Cloud Top Cooling algorithm diagnoses cloud-top cooling rate of ‘Strong’ ratethunderstorms (~ -25 K / 15 min 2015 newly UW-CTC developing using UTC 9/4/2012) high temporal resolution of GOES Imager data T-Storm Issued 2030 UTC •Severe For 2012 the Watch algorithm was improved to detect growing thunderstorms Severe T-Storm Warning Issued 2100 UTC beneath thin cirrus clouds • Key on rapidly increasing visible optical depth and Hail rapidly decreasing@112101 µm BTs Golf Ball Sized Reported UTC near •Utica, Validation MN study related satellite cooling rates to future radar development (reflectivity, VIL, hail size)minutes of leadUW-CTC provides 25-60 • Used in convective experiments to increase time ahead of watch/warning/severe hail severe t-storm warning lead time report! WI MN LaCrosse CIMSS AWIPS II Update The World Wide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN) provides lightning information across the entire Pacific Basin. CIMSS wrote the plug-in to display this data in AWIPS II. Image credit: Eric Lau 233 Regional Data Assimilation: Impact of ABI Water Vapor Jason Otkin • Regional-scale ensemble data assimilation experiments showed that 6-hr precipitation forecasts were more accurate when ABI brightness temperature observations were assimilated CRTM Development for the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation: Scattering Optimization Tom Greenwald (CIMSS), Ralf Bennartz (AOS) and Jim Davies (CIMSS) Motivation and approach: • Develop method to optimize scattering calculations in the CRTM to support assimilation of microwave data in clouds/precipitation for NCEP’s new hybrid DA system • Select optimum solution for desired accuracy using a scattering indicator Accomplishments: Experimental results based on cloudresolving WRF model simulations Target accuracy 0.5 K Percentage of profiles in which optimum solution was achieved • Calculations for temperature sounding bands may provide up to a 10-fold increase in speed relative to current CRTM • Contributions to CRTM V2.1: - SOI RT solver (developed at CIMSS) - User option to set number of streams Increasing microwave frequency Sub-optimal in water vapor bands WMS (Web Map Server): Delivering Remote Sensing Content to Mobile Devices, Browsers, and Desktop GIS Sam Batzli, Nick Bearson, Russ Dengel, Dave Parker, Dave Santek Basic functions: • Easy Upload of data • GoogleMaps Display With Animation Support • Multiple Overlays and Transparency 2012 Top-5 Updates: • • • • • VIIRS Day/Night Band Virtual Machine (VM) config. for easy portability THREADS Catalog support (works in McIDAS V) First near real-time display of VIIRS in Google Point & Click Data Value Retrieval (16-bit) Display of Station Models and AMV as Wind Flags More info: http://wms.ssec.wisc.edu Station Models Fog Product Visualization showing what forecasters see in AWIPS Russ Dengel, Mike Pavlonis, Sam Batzli Report from 21 Nov when Chicago air traffic was heavily impacted by fog AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 327 AM CST WED NOV 21 2012 . TODAY AND TONIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM TO HIGH. DENSE FOG COVERS NEARLY THE ENTIRE AREA THIS MORNING. THE CHALLENGE IS DETERMINING JUST WHEN IT WILL CLEAR. USING A COMBINATION OF THE MODEL SOUNDINGS...EXPECTED INCREASING GRADIENT FLOW...THE GOES-R PROVING GROUND CLOUD THICKNESS PRODUCT AND TIME OF YEAR CONSIDERATIONS ...FEEL IT NECESSARY TO DELAY THE CLEARING OF THE FOG AND THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL ABOUT 18Z. SSEC SatCam App is now available in iTunes Liam Gumley, Bob Holz, Dave Parker, Bruce Flynn, Willem Marais Verification of HWRF Forecasts for the USWRP Joint Hurricane Testbed Tom Greenwald (CIMSS), Tomi Vukicevic (AOML/HRD) and Jim Davies (CIMSS) Goals: Hurricane Earl (2010) Vertical cloud/precip structure: Forecast 31 Aug 0600 UTC CloudSat CPR Obs 31 Aug 0610 UTC Accomplishments: • Ability to simulate CloudSat CPR and use GRIB I/O • Forecast of hurricane Earl consistently overestimates (2239%) maximum upper tropospheric warming as compared to SSMIS observations Warm core temporal changes: Radar reflectivity (dBZ) • Develop new ways of verifying Hurricane WRF (HWRF) model forecasts using passive/active satellite measurements • Enhance HWRF Satellite instrument Simulator built during YR1 • Transition to operations Real Time Hurricane Forecast Highlights (Lewis, Tripoli) As part of NOAA-Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program’s 2012 real-time demonstration system, >330 forecasts were made for Atlantic basin tropical cyclones. The UW model (UWN8) outperformed all other regional models for track, and was a very close second to GFDL for intensity. Track Error (nm) COTC Intensity Error (kt) AHW4 HWRF GFDL UWN8 Secondary Eyewall Formation (Kossin, Sitkowski, Lewis, Rozoff) Using USAF and NOAA reconnaissance data, constructed the first ever climatology of the Secondary Eyewall Formation (SEF) and Eyewall Replace Cycle (ERC) phenomena often observed in intense tropical cyclones (TC) Performed optimized feature selection for the operational Bayes model for ERC Developed a Logistic Regression probabilistic prediction model for ERC Tested 2-member (Bayes and LR) ensemble, which demonstrates skill superior to any of the individual models ERC climatology: three distinct phases p(ERC) Model Brier Skill Scores for 2008-2011 Model 00-12 hr 12-24 hr 24-36 hr 36-48 hr Bayes +18% +16% +8% +11% Opt. Bayes +24% +12% +8% +10% LR +14% +12% +10% +8% Ensemble +24% +16% +14% +14% Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Forecasting (Rozoff, Kossin, Velden, Wimmers) Tested Bayesian and logistic regression probabilistic models of tropical cyclone (TC) rapid intensification (RI) in real-time for the 2012 Atlantic and Eastern Pacific hurricane season in concert with an experimental version of the NHC’s rapid intensification index An ensemble of our schemes and the experimental NHC scheme produces superior skill to any individual scheme Based on promising results summarized below, we are developing a real-time probabilistic RI scheme incorporating TC structural information from passive microwave imagery At left: Brier skill scores for Atlantic TCs with RI thresholds of 25, 30, and 35 kt per 24 h for the RI model excluding MI predictors (light blue and orange for TCs with vmax ≥ 25 kt and vmax≥ 45 kt, respectively) and including MI predictors (dark blue and brown for TCs with vmax ≥ 25 kt and vmax ≥ 45 kt, respectively). Creating a New Global Record of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Collaboration between NOAA/NCDC (Jim Kossin, Ken Knapp) and CIMSS (Tim Olander, Chris Velden) The secular record of TC intensity (known as the Best-Track) is heterogeneous by construction and is not well-suited for trend analysis. Solution: Construct new homogeneous record using 30 years of global geostationary satellite data (HURSAT) and apply the Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) intensity estimation algorithm to it. Have the strongest hurricanes become stronger since 1980? The increased intensity in the ATLANTIC Best-Track is robust when reanalyzed The increased intensity in the GLOBAL Best-Track is not robust when reanalyzed Composite of images, full moon, 29 October 2012 This composite, shot during the full moon when the cirrus shield from Hurricane Sandy was over Wisconsin, shows a 22° halo, a “parhelic” circle, and other features. A parhelic circle is parallel to the horizon, it is the dimmer circle roughly centered in the image. It is formed by reflections off of and within vertically or nearly vertically aligned hexagonal crystals. The 22° halo is formed by refraction of light within the same crystals. Photo by Chris Schmidt NOAA/NCDC/CIMSS Participation in Climate Assessments, Working Groups, & Expert Teams Jim Kossin is a key participant and author in: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): o Special Report on "Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation" (SREX) o Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) United States National Climate Assessment (USGCRP/NCA): o Changes in Extremes o Coastal Changes World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Expert Team on Climate Change Impacts on Tropical Cyclones United States Climate Variability and Predictability (U.S. CLIVAR) Working Group on Hurricanes and Climate Roses in our Future, Again, Again! from 20 November 2010 250 Yet another Great Year! Congratulations, and Happy Holidays 251