Dynamic Economics in Practice 17 and 18 September 2014, UCL Economics Department. Course Tutors: Monica Costa Dias (IFS) and Cormac O’Dea (IFS) Overview This course provides a practical introduction to solving microeconomic dynamic optimisation problems. It will ground the discussion around the life-cycle permanent income model of consumption and savings, a model that has been a key workhorse in both macroand micro-economics. The course has two main goals. The first goal is to provide a rigorous discussion of recursive methods and how they are used to solve dynamic optimization problems in economics. We will show that the optimal allocation of resources over time depends on key characteristics of the problem at hand, including individual preferences, the dynamics of income or other resources, and economywide characteristics determining, for instance, the amount of uncertainty faced by individuals or the functioning of insurance and credit markets. The simplest consumptionsavings problem will be introduced first and used to discuss the key features of recursive solution and simulation methods. It will then be gradually extended to more realistic, but also more complex setups. The second goal is to discuss and implement the numerical tools typically used to solve and simulate dynamic optimisation problems. Recursive methods provide a powerful framework for the numerical solution of dynamic problems and computational algorithms heavily rely on them. The tight connection between the recursive solution methods and the numerical approach to the solution and simulation of the problems will be highlighted. We will examine numerical techniques to solve equations and approximate, interpolate, integrate and optimise unknown functions showing, in each case, the relative strengths and weaknesses of alternative techniques. The numerical tools will then be combined to solve and simulate problems of different levels of complexity. We will discuss how to use information about the problem to improve the accuracy of numerical approximations. The course is a mixture of lectures and applied sessions. Course participants will apply the various techniques on their computers using MATLAB, based on accompanying code developed to implement the solution and simulation routines. Dynamic Economics in Practice Course programme Wednesday 17 September 10.00 Registration 10.30 – 12.30 Introduction to the course The simplest life-cycle consumption-savings problem 12.30 – 13.30 Lunch 13.30 – 15.00 Numerical methods and solution to the life-cycle problem Practical work 15.00 – 15.30 Coffee break 15.30 – 17.30 Practical work Income and credit constraints Practical work Thursday 18 September 9.30 Tea and coffee 10.00 – 11.30 Markov processes and uncertainty 11.30 – 11.45 Coffee break 11.45 – 12.45 Practical work 12.45 – 13.45 Lunch 13.45 – 15.30 Infinite horizon consumption-savings problem 15.30 – 16.00 Coffee break 16.00 – 17.30 Practical work Concluding remarks Required level of knowledge This is an intermediate-level course that offers a formalised analysis of dynamic optimisation problems and solutions methods. It requires some previous knowledge of economic problems and optimisation methods, as well as a sound mathematical background. The practical part of the course will use MATLAB. Although prior knowledge of MATLAB is not required, as it will be introduced for beginners and all exercises will be guided, some prior experience with some computer software for data analysis or a programming language is recommended to ensure participants can follow a relatively quick introduction to a new language. Dynamic Economics in Practice References and readings The material covered in the course combines contributions that can be found in more than one book. The practical focus is similar to that found in Adda and Cooper (2003). The discussion of the life-cycle consumption problem and of recursive methods in economics follows Ljungqvist and Sargent (2004). A more formal account can be found in Stokey and Lucas (1989). Finally, much of the numerical detail uses Judd (1998). Full references are: Adda, Jerome and Russell Cooper (2003). Dynamic Economics. Cambridge : MIT Press. Judd, Kenneth (1998). Numerical Methods in Economics. Cambridge : MIT Press. Ljungqvist, Lars and Thomas Sargent (2004). Recursive Macroeconomic Theory. 2nd Edition. Cambridge : MIT Press. Stokey, Nancy and Robert Lucas (1989). Recursive Methods in Economic Dynamics. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.