About This File ' This file was cre ' ated by scannin . g the pnn ted publication. Miss cans identif ied by the softw are have been corrected' however somp , _ - m,'s takes ma y re main. I 33 GROWTH-GROWING STOCK RELATIONSHIPS AND RECENT RESULTS FROM THE LEVELS-OF-GROWING-STOCK STUDIES Robert O. Curtis and David D. Marshall The silviculturist and forest manager normally seek high value sured. This generalization cannot be literally and simultane­ production at low cost. They would like to combine high vol­ ously true for basal area growth and for volume growth, for ume production with satisfactory stem quality, large diame- . stemwood growth and for biomass growth, for net growth and ters, low stand establishment costs, relatively few thinning en­ for gross growth, for total volume growth and for merchant­ tries, and minimum investment in growing stock. These are able volume growth. inherently conflicting goals that require compromise. Deci­ There is evidence that the range within which this general­ sions must be based on an understanding of the relationships ization is even approximately true for volume varies with spe­ between stand growth and stand treatment, including the ef­ cies and perhaps also with age and site. Mar:Moller (1954) fects of both levels of growing stock and of kind and timing of concluded that close to 100% of maximum volume increment density control. can be obtained at any basal area stocking greater than about This paper briefly reviews growth-growing stock relation­ 50% of the biological maximum. But others have reached dif­ ships, with emphasis on coast Douglas-fir. It then discusses ferent conclusions (Assman 1956). Assmann (1970, pp. 229some recent results from the five cooperative levels-of-grow­ 232) stated that reduced volume increment (less than 95% of ing-stock (LOGS) studies located on site II in western Oregon maximum) can be expected at densities of less than 60 to 70% and Washington. of maximum basal area in beech, 75 to 80% in Norway spruce, and 80 to 90% in Scotch pine. He attributed differences among species in part to differences in lateral crown expansion capa­ BACKGROUND bility. Discussions of growth-growing stock relationships often re­ Relationships among growth and growing stock, and fer to the "Langsaeter curve" (Figure 1), given by Langsaeter weight, type, and frequency of thinning, have been subjects of (1941) and discussed in English by Braathe (1957) and various argument for over a century, and the arguments continue. The others. The growth-growing stock relationship must clearly diversity of opinions and the historical changes in foresters' have these general characteristics: (1) zero growth at zero attitudes testify to the difficulty of accurately determining these relationships and the differences introduced by species, site and stand conditions, and methods of measurement. The statement is frequently heard, " The same increment can be obtained over a wide range of growing stock." The popu­ larity of this idea in the United States stems from the reviews of European thinning work by Mar:Moller (1954) and Braathe (1957), and it certainly has an attractive simplicity. The more sweeping forms of this generalization ignore the uncertainties in interpreting many past thinning studies. These uncertainties arise from such factors as initial differences among treatments in site and stand conditions, absence of replication, and limited Growing Stock range in density levels. Inability to demonstrate a difference is · not the same as the statement that there is no difference. And Figure 1. The "Langsaeter curve" representing the relationship between one must specify how increment (and growing stock) are meagrowth and growing stock. 281 growing stock, (2) growth proportional to growing stock until the onset of competition, (3) a declining rate of increase with further increase in growth stock, and (4) a maximum, followed by (5) reduced growth and possible stagnation at very high stand densities. This curve is undoubtedly correct in its main features. The questions concern the positions of stands on the curve, and the variations in curve shape (which may be due to species, age, site, treatment, and the particular measures of growth and growing stock that are used). There is general agreement that-whatever the effect on to­ tal volume production-growing stock level and type of thin­ ning do have major effects on tree size and value and 'on vol­ ume and value growth per unit of growing stock. These are usually of much greater practical concern than is total cubic volume growth per se. Some thinning studies in North America have appeared to show little difference in volume growth among thinning treat­ ments and among growing 'stock levels. Others have shown clear relationships, with lower stocking levels often producing less volume. Differences in reported results may be partly a matter of differences in species, site, and age; partly a matter of the range of densities considered; and partly a result of dif­ ferences in study precision. In the Pacific Northwest, many of the older thinning studies in Douglas-fir have difficulties in design and interpretation similar to those encountered elsewhere. Closely controlled and adequately replicated thinning studies are rare. Treatments were often strongly influenced by merchantability standards of the time, or were otherwise different from what one would do today. And the majority of older studies were established in stands that had already reached high levels of competition with attendant crown reduction. The most common result of commercial thinning in previ­ ously unthinned natural stands has been some reduction in gross volume increment and moderate increases in diameter growth, accompanied by a reduction in mortality which may result in modest gains in net volume growth (Reukema 1972, Reukema and Bruce 1977). Results from thinnings in stands that had early density control are quite limited and somewhat contradictory (e.g., Oliver and Murray 1983, Warrack 1979, Williamson and Curtis 1984). Potential gains may be greater than in older, previously unthinned stands, in which live crown ratios have been severely reduced by competition. Wide planting or precommercial thinning to wide spacing gives greatly increased diameter growth. On poor sites and in young stands, this increase in tree diameters often results in an increase in merchantable volume, whether or not there is any gain in total volume production. On certain poor sites wide spacing can also give an actual increase in gross volume growth compared with higher density stands (Harrington and Reukema 1983, Reukema 1979), primarily because of the ef­ fect of stand density on height growth on these sites. 282 Curtis and Marshall There have been a number of regression and simulation studies that include growing stock, or some measure associated with stand density or competition, as a variable (Bruce et al. 1977, Chambers 1980, Curtis 1967, Curtis et al. 1981, Mitch­ ell and Cameron 1985). Although results have generally been more or less consistent with those cited for thinning studies, the heterogeneous data sets used in many such analyses have all the drawbacks of the component thinning studies. These data are often unbalanced, may include stands "thinned" only in the sense that some trees were cut, and contain little data from stands with early density control; analyses may not al­ ways satisfactorily separate effects of growing stock from those of other variables. Recent thinking favors growing stock levels lower than those considered reasonable several decades ago and outside the range represented in many older thinning studies. Wide ini­ tial spacing and low stand densities in early life are favored. Our older data are probably not a good indication of the perfor­ mance of stands under such regimes, and conclusions drawn from late thinnings in previously uncontrolled stands are prob­ ably not applicable. The nine cooperative levels-of-growing-stock (LOGS) stud­ ies established in the period 1961-71 are a unique source of data on growth of young stands of Douglas-fir with early and continued density control. The remainder of this paper will dis­ cuss some current results from the five LOGS studies that are located on site II land and that are now furthest along in the course of the experiments. Although quantitative results differ among these five installations, results are qualitatively very similar. THE LOGS STUDIES: BACKGROUND The origins and many design features of the LOGS studies go back to concepts advanced by George Staebler in the late 1950s and incorporated in the study plan (Staebler and Willi­ amson 1962). Staebler (1959, 1960) emphasized the impor­ tance of growing stock level in determining percentage growth rates and return on capital, the financial undesirability of main­ taining unnecessarily large growing stock, and the need to de­ fine growth-growing stock relationships over a range of grow­ ing stock levels that would bracket Langsaetet's zone II (see Figure 1). He also recognized a need for experimental testing of the assumptions made in his 1960 paper, especially the as­ sumption that gross increment in unmanaged stands of normal density approximates increment of thinned stands having widely varying amounts of growing stock. THE LOGS STUDIES: DESIGN The objective of the LOGS program was to define the rela­ tionships between growth and growing stock in yo1,lng Doug- las-fir stands that were maintained at several growing stock levels thought to bracket Langsaeter's zone II. Each LOGS in­ stallation consists of twenty-seven 0.2 acre (0.081 ha) plots, with three replications of eight thinning treatments and control in a completely randomized arrangement. The LOGS studies have a number of unique features that make them different from most past thinning studies. Among these are (1) a single common design, (2) tight specifications that r�duce variation in pretreatment site and stand conditions to the minimum possible, (3) establishment in young stands 20 to 40 feet (6 to 12 m) in height, prior to onset of severe compe­ tition and crown reduction, (4) a calibration thinning, prior to imposition of contrasting treatments, that reduced all treatment plots in any one installation to a common stand condition (the combination of items 2 and 4 has provided exceptionally close comparability in initial condition of plots within an installa­ tion), (5) close definition and control of thinnings, to provide comparable treatment among installations, and (6) tight quality control in field and office, to provide data of exceptional qual­ ity and completeness. The growth period following the calibra­ tion thinning allowed trees to adjust to the changed conditions prior to application of the contrasting thinning treatments. Residual stocking levels after each subsequent treatment thinning are defined as the sum of the basal area after calibra­ tion, plus specified percentages of the gross basal area growth observed on the control. Residual stocking levels are therefore location specific. The treatment thinnings are repeated at inter­ vals of 10 feet (3.05 m) of crop tree height growth. The thin­ nings favor designated crop trees, and are best classified as crown thinnings. The LOGS studies are unique among thinning studies in the region from the standpoints of sound statistical design, length of record, consistency in procedure, and precision of measure­ ments. They also have their limitations. They represent only a small number of locations within a large and diverse region; the small plot size prevents continuation of thinning beyond the 60 feet (18 m) of height growth originally planned; and they include only a single type of thinning and a single short thinning cycle that is somewhat unrealistic from an operational standpoint. They are now providing unique and extremely valuable information, but they do not and cannot answer all our young stand management questions. THE LOGS STUDIES: RESULTS Results can be analyzed and presented in a number of ways. Growth can be related to any of several measures of growing stock or stand density. Here, we present most increment rela­ tionships as regressions fit to all individual plot values, using as predictors periodic means of basal area, volume, and rela­ tive density (RD basal areaJDgl!2) (Curtis 1982). Basal area was used to define the treatments; volume has highest correla­ tion with volume growth; and RD, the'relative density measure = used here, simplifies certain comparisons. This paper does not attempt to present complete results or to discuss the idiosyncrasies of individual installations, but only to illustrate patterns that appear to be general across installa­ tions. These patterns are illustrated using results from the Fran­ cis study, established in 1963 and located in southwest Wash­ ington (data provided by Dr. Gerald E. Hoyer of the Washington Department of Natural Resources). These results are qualitatively similar to those at the other four site II instal­ lations. For more complete information, see Curtis and Mar­ shall (1986) and past LOGS reports (Amott and Beddows 1981, Berg and Bell 1979, Tappeiner et al. 1982, Williamson and Curtis 1984). Discussion will be confined to results through the fourth treatment period, for the five site II installations only, with il­ lustrations from the Francis study. Comparisons will be made of controls and treatments 1, 3, 5, and 7, which retain fixed percentages of the gross basal area growth on the control (10, 30, 50, and 70%, respectively). Growth-growing stock curves will be shown from analyses of data from all eight treatments plus control. Growing Stock Trends by Treatments The treatment specifications produce characteristic trends of basal area, number of trees, and RD in relation to time and H40 (average height of 40 largest diameter trees per acre), shown for the Francis study in Figures 2A, 2B, and 2C. (Cor­ responding ages shown are age at breast height plus 7 years.) Growth in Relation to Growing Stock and Relative Density Gross Volume Increment. Figures 3A, 3B, and 3C show the patterns of gross volume increment in relation to period means of volume, basal area, and RD, for both thinned and control plots at Francis. Other installations are very similar. Each curve represents an individual growth period. The solid portion of each curve represents the approximate range of the thinned plot data; the dashed portion extends to the upper margin of the range of the control plots. Gross Volume Growth Percent. Figure 4 shows the corre­ sponding relationships for volume growth percent (based on mean period volume) and basal area, by period (and age) and treatment at the Francis study. Gross Basal Area Increment. Figures 5A and 5B show, in format similar to Figure 2, the relation of gross basal area in­ crement to period means of basal area and RD at Francis. Note the lesser slope and suggestion of a maximum point in later periods, unlike the curves for volume increment. Diameter Increment. Figure 6 shows, in similar format, the relation of net increment in dbh to RD at Francis. There has been little mortality except on controls, and for thinned plots this is therefore very close to survivor growth. Growth-Growing Stock 283 Generalized Trends When RD is the independent variable, it turns out that, within the limits of the data, the successive periodic curves within an installation are approximately proportional. That is, A (ft'/acre) (m2/ha) 300 60 250 150 Age 15 ",Control 29 .... ...33 25 18 21 500 T·7 -- 300 T·3 T·l 200 50 roy---;; � 1000 2000 o 300 200 100 o 3000 B (per acre) (per hectare) 500 : � '0 j E ::I Z Age 15 18 21 25 1000 --,..-"l-__., 300 250 200 75 0 29 600 33 40 500 30 T·7 300 500 T·5 250 T·3 T1 10 1 C II: 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 14 1 10 c Normal "."". 29 """ ........ ...... 20 .>--:.��'" � " 10 ,- 30 15 40 50 U o c 'C G) G) E � G) G) .. E g T·5 T·3 T·l ::1- "0 > 25 (meters) 20 60 70 80 90 (feet) Figure 2. Trends of (A) basal area, (B) number of trees, and (C) RD in rela­ tion to H40 (height of forty largest diameter trees per acre) for treatments (T) 1, 3, 5, 7, and control at Francis LOGS study, for all trees 1.6 inches dbh and larger. Ages'shown are' age at breast height plus seven years. Curtis and Marshall (tt'lacre.year)(m3/ha. yr) 'i 600 c( H40 284 Penod Rl TP'1 0.96 Tp·2 .96 TP'3 .89 TP'4 .84 40 50 �-60 (ma/ha) 30 20 -- ....�� O +--r��-�.--r�-'� �"'-� � o 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 (ft'/acre) ::I c c H " ,, 10 20 33 , ... Control -----��--------- .... l-�---,!!'2- TP'4 10 100 :c .... " 6 8000 (ft'/acre) Basal Area 25 21 18 7000 Tp·2 TP'1 H40 Age 15 6000 B 200 50 . 25 (meters) O+--��--�-�--r-��-��� 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 (feet) (Engllsh)(metrlc) 110 00 90 2 80 5000 (ft'/acre.year)(m3/ha.yr) 400 150 100 4000 .96 .92 500 (m3/ha) Volume H40 450 400 350 TP'3 TP'4 400 10 100 25 (meters) 0 +-_-,"';"_.,.-_....I.-,__,---Jc-,..-_-,-.;J. c-..., 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 (teet) , -Tp·2 ,_-- Tp·3 _- --TP·4 30 400 __ 100 A (ft'/acre.year)(m3/ha.yr) 600 50 ....... ....... ...... 40 "" "" ... 30 Bradley eta���/': "" 20 .... "" 10 200 the curves differ only by a scale factor that is proportional to increment at an arbitrarily selected value of RD. The same is true among installations. This makes it possible to combine pe­ riod and installation curves into generalized curves that illus­ trate the shape of relationships. III III e C!I c 500 TP'3 400 300 20 200 10 100 0 �� �..=='::'=:' = = - 30 , ... �" � '" ",' 6 0 ... TP'4 �� 20 40 . 8 60 Period ..E:. Tp·l 0.96 TP'2 .95 Tp·3 .96 TP·4 .94 10 1 2 14 80 100 (metric) 120 (English) RD Figure 3. Periodic annual gross volume increment by treatment periods (TP) in relation to period means of (A) volume, (B) basal area, and (C) RD, for all trees 1.6 inches and larger dbh at Francis LOGS study. Period eurves corres­ pond to regressions of the form InY = a + blnX + eX. Solid portion of each curve represents range of thinned plots; dashed portion extends to upper mar­ gin of range of control plots. Gross Volume·Increment in Relation to RD, If gross volume ' growth is expressed as a ratio to growth at the arbitrarily se­ lected RD reference value of 70 ("normal"), the relationships � for the severai individual growth periods and installations can be reduced to the common curve shown in Figure 7 (Curtis and > : ... c CD 30 CD II. .c 25 e i 2 CI CD E ::J 0 > .. .. 2 <!I � , � � V::'--� �', 20 �",.�'<'t, ""....'IooJ:.:P·2 K � 15 • T·l 10 " �. 5 ..: ", • ••• ". ·�"".TP·3 T·5 �---":'..:'... TN c 40 50 30 60 � T· 3 (m2/ha) 0 +---�--�--�--�--.-�.-� 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 (ft'/acre) 0 20 10 Basal Area Figure 4. Volume growth percentage in relation to period means of basal area by period (TP) and by treatment (T) at Francis LOGS study. Dotted lines con· nect values for successive periods (ages) for a given treatment. A (tt'/acre.year)(m2/ha.yr) 'i ::J c c 01( () 18 'ij .2 t 14 :. 10 .. CD E III ! ! () 01(': 'i .. III III .. .. 2 CI 4· 16 3 12 ," ."..,.,.TP·1 "," _--'"'"'-Tp·2 � � ;�---_-_-_____ /� T 8 6 4 2 0 . 30 20 10 0 40 80 120 40 160 :'�_TP'4 Period � Tp·l 0.96 TP'2 ..6959 Tp·3 .64 Tp·4 50 60 200 240 (m2/ha) 280 (ft'/acre) Basal Area 'ij .g .. .. 2 CI Cubic Volume. Cumulative yields in cubic volume (exclud­ ing calibration cut) increase from treatment 1 through 7 and the control, in that order (Figure 9). Diameter. Attained stand average diameters through the end of the fourth treatment period (Figure 10) decrease from treatment 1 through 7 and the control. All thinning treatments have much larger diameters than the control. Although this is partly a result of removal of small trees at calibration, and of diD ratios of about 0.9 in subsequent thinnings, there has also been a considerable acceleration of growth of the remain­ ing treeS. Yield by Size Classes. Figure 11 compares cumulative yields by tree size classes at Francis, excluding material re­ moved at calibration. All thinning treatments exceed the con­ trol in volume in trees 12 inches (30 cm) and larger dbh. The greater total volume production of the control arises from nu­ merous small trees, many of which will never attain merchant­ able size. (In/year) (mm/yr) 18 16 �: 14 � � - :::=:-=--------...:·� . 4 Period � P y� Tp·l 0.96 Tp·2 .96 TP'3 .69 Tp·4 .84 10 12 14 (metric) 6 2 0 0 20 40 60 RD 80 .9 ia ::J C C 01( TP.l ... _-------TP-2 ........... __ 1: 12 CD CD II. E 10 III ! 8 ! () 01( .: 6 'i .. 4 III III Yield B (ft'/acre.year)(m2/ha.yr) 'i ::J c C 01( () Marshall, 1986), based on all data. Relative gross volume in­ crement increases with increasing stand density, at a decreas­ ing rate. If a maximum exists, it is beyond the range of densi­ ties represented by the thinned· plots and within the zone of competition induced mortality. Gross Basal Area Increment in Relation to RD. A similar analysis for gross basal area increment, using all data, gives the dashed curve in Figure 7, This differs considerably from that for volume, in that it has a poorly defined maximum in the vicinity of "normal" and relatively little change above RD 50, Diameter Increment in Relation to RD. A similar analysis for net increment in average diameter (Figure 8) shows, as ex­ pected, a sharp decrease in relative diameter increment with increasing stand density. 100 120 (E nglish) � .g .8 1: � CD CD II. l:i �.5 ..a Q � Z 20 .6 Period R2 TP'l 0.91 .96 Tp·2 TP'3 .96 TP'4 .95 .5 .3 .2 .1 5 14- (metric) .O+---�r-��r---�--�-r�--��� o 20 40 60 80 100 120 (English) 10 6 12 RD Figure 5. Periodic annual gross basal area increment in relation to period Figure 6. Periodic annual increment in dbh in relation to period means of RD means of (A) basal area and (B) RD at Francis LOGS study. Curves for treat­ ment periods (TP) correspond to regressions of the form InY = a + blnX + eX. Solid portions of curves represent range of thinned plot data; dashed por­ tions extend to upper margin of range of control plots. at the Francis LOGS study. Treatment period (TP) curves correspond to re­ gressions of the form InY = a + b RD. Solid portions of curves represent the range of thinned plot data; dashed portions extend to the upper margin of the range of the control plot data. Growth-Growing Stock 285 S' ,.. Q a: "- ,g ... C cP E ! <.I c S C cP E ! <.I .5 (In)(cm) 1.2 -- thinned 1.1 controls-- 1.0 .9 Gross 8asal Area .,,"'" .8 .7 .6 " .5 " " '" .. i --- .... - ... 13 Q 12 c «I Ql 10 11 :2 9 8 <.I .4 � '0 .. E0 .3 z .2 .1 6 8 10 .0 0 10 20 40 30 50 60 1 14 (metric) 12 70 90 80 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 14 E «I ",'" 16 15 7 6 «I ::I 5 4 a 3 100 (English) T·l T·3 T·5 T·7 ... '" "' ...15 10 0 ,.."". .. Control ...... 20 40 30 ... ...... 20 50 60 25 70 80 Figure 7. Gross volume and gross basal area growth rates expressed as ratios to growth rate for normal density (RD70). Curves are derived from logarithmic regressions fitted to combined data (all installations) under the assumption of common slopes (proportional curves) for all installations and periods. Solid curve represents relative volume increment; dashed curve represents relative basal area increment. (ft3/acre)(m3/acre) c o Cumulative volume In trees la"rger than: 1.6 Inche. d.b.h. (4.1 em) ::I '0 3.5 a: 3.0 .. ,g ... c cP E ! <.I c Sc cP E ! <.I .5 £ Ql ~ 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 .5 8 6 .0 0 10 20 40 30 50 E ::I 7.6 Gl > -; -; ........... .,.. ..... Normal II 60 70 80 90 100 (English) (W/acre) (m3/ha) F igure 11. Cumulative volume production (calibration cut excluded) to end of fourth treatment period (age 33) by tree size classes at Francis LOGS study. 1Il.c ep • epJ:l �ci c 'O -cP cP" E fI ::1_'0 o c >.. c Gi >= cP E ::I 0 7000 6000 5000 > III III 4000 � 2000 e 3000 200 100 1000 Control I I 1-7 / T·5 I " 1-3 " " T·l ,/ " " .... .... / 0 10 20 30 40 25 20 50 60 70 80 , 70 , , , , , T·7 conlrol \ 60 50 40 , , 30 10 II. !I 0 \ , 0 2 4 " 3� 20 10 6 8 10 12 50 14 16 18 20 (cm) 22 (In) (meters) 90 100 (feet) Figure 9. Cumulative gross cubic volume yield in trees 1.6 inches and larger dbh (material removed in calibration cut excluded) through end of fourth treat­ ment period (age 33) for treatments (T) I, 3, 5, 7, and control at Francis LOGS study. Curtis and Marshall , Figure 12. Percent of volume in trees larger than indicated diameter at end of fourth treatment period (age 33) for treatments (T) 1, 3, 5, 7, and control at Francis LOGS study. H40 286 " D.b.h. "" 0 80 20 cP ......... 90 .. ." ep "- � 100 c� ep .. <.I 8000 Control 7 Treatment 0\\1 00 500 400 300 5 3 14 (metric) 12 1(� E ::I CJ ............ Figure 8. Growth rate in quadratic mean dbh expressed as a ratio to growth for normal density (RD70). Curve is derived from a logarithmic regression fitted to combined data (all installations) under the assumption of common slopes (proportional curves) for all installations and periods. Solid portion .of curve represents approximate range of thinned plot data; dashed portion ex­ tends to upper margin of range of control plot data. 9000 inche. d.b.h. (19.3 em) � RD '0 (feet) Figure 10. Quadratic mean diameters (after thinning, all species) in relation to H40, through end of fourth treatment period (age 33) for treatments (T) I, 3, 5, 7, and control at Francis LOGS study. n S 100 90 H40 RD S' (meters) The percentage distribution of live volumes at end of fourth treatment period at Francis is given in Figure 12, by treat­ ments. Thus, 90% of the volume in treatment 1 is in trees over 12 inches (30 cm) dbh, compared with 40% in treatment 7 and 12% in the control. Periodic Annual Increment and Mean Annual Increment Figure 13 compares periodic annual increment (PAl) with mean annual increment (MAl) in gross volume, at Francis. At the fourth treatment period, PAl is roughly twice MAL Mean annual increment is increasing rapidly, and in the thinned plots all increment is being placed on trees of merchantable size. Clearly, differences among treatments are increasing rapidly. (ft3/acre.yr)(m3/ha.yr) 600 .. PAI-c 35MAI --CII 500 E 30 ! 400 u T-5 25 .: iij 300 20 ,. c T·1 .,' T-3 Control c 15 200 T-7 c( ., ,.' ,;f'; T-S 1/1 10 1/1 ,. ..... �--T.-13 100 e ..... �;ii�:::-::::---T 5 10 ........ CJ 25 (meters) 20 . 15 ���' �" a 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 (feet) H40 Figure 13. Trends of mean annual gross increment (MAl) and periodic annual gross increment (PAl) in relation to H40 (height of forty largest diameter trees per acre), for treatments (T) I, 3, 5, 7, and control at the Francis LOGS study, INTERPRETATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS The thinned stands are clearly on the ascending limb of the curve, in Langsaeter's zones I and II (see Figure 1). There is little indication of any plateau of gross volume growth within the range of the thinned plot data. Rather, gross growth in­ creases with growing stock and stand density up to some maxi­ mum which lies above the range of the thinned stands (this is true for all five site II LOGS installations). Mortality will tend to flatten the upper end of the corresponding net growth curve, but this occurs only at densities greater than those present in the thinned stands. The corresponding curves for gross basal area growth (see Figures 5A, 5B, and 7) differ considerably from the gross vol­ ume growth curves (see Figures 3 and 7) and appear relatively flat topped with a poorly defined maximum somewhere in the vicinity of yield table normal. Maximum net basal area growth would occur at slightly lower density because of mortality. This difference in shape of the volume and basal area curves illustrates a fact that has long been known but which is not always recognized: basal area growth is not a good variable for evaluating response of stands to thinning. An associated point is that differences in height growth among sites, ages, and spe- cies may be a partial explanation of some of the apparent dif� ferences in reported results of thinning. We know that: v = FGH where V is cubic volume per acre, G is basal area per acre, F is a stand form factor, and H is stand height. Differentiating with respect to time, dV/dt = FG(dH/dt) + FH(dG/dt) + GH(dF/dt). The first term on the right involves the product of basal area and height growth rate. This term becomes an important com­ ponent of volume growth in stands that are making rapid and sustained height growth (characteristic of young Douglas-fir). When these terms are evaluated for the LOGS study data, the first term accounts for fractions of total net growth varying from about one-fourth in treatment 1 (lowest density) to one­ half in the highest density (controls). The third term, involving change in form factor, makes a negligible contribution. The dependence of the first term on height growth suggests that shape of the volume growth-density curve will approach that of the basal area growth-density curve (Figure 6) in older stands having reduced height growth and greater heights, and p'ossi­ bly also on poorer sites. Both this reasoning and other information suggest that we cannot necessarily extend inferences from the LOGS study re­ sults discussed here to older stands or to poor sites. There are other cautions. For one, the LOGS studies represent a single type of thinning (after calibration, crown thinning). A different type of thinning would produce somewhat different stand structure and possibly somewhat different growth. The thin­ nings applied appear reasonable to us, however, and we think it unlikely that any feasible and reasonable alternative would have led to greatly different results. Likewise, the short thinning cycle used would be unrealistic for operational use. It was adopted to provide close control of growing stock and to keep trees growing without abrupt changes in competition. Length of thinning cycle could proba­ bly be increased considerably without greatly altering relation­ ships, provided the same trends of mean period growing stock over time were maintained (Braathe 1957, pp. 73-74, Reukema 1972). There must obviously be limits to such an in­ crease. With these caveats, the LOGS studies have established that in young high site Douglas-fir, developing from a uniformly understocked condition imposed by precommercial thinning prior to onset of severe competition, volume growth is strongly related to growing stock level. The importance of volume growth relative to diameter growth changes with stage of stand development. In early Growth-Growing Stock 287 stages of stand development, volume production is in submer­ chantable trees and is of little importance compared with the need for rapid diameter growth to get trees to merchantable size quickly. Once merchantable size is reached, higher levels of growing stock are needed for good volume growth. The tim­ ing of the change in emphasis will depend on the target diame­ ters selected for beginning of commercial thinning or for har­ vest. The generalized curves of Figures 7 and 8 provide one means of expressing the relative rates of diameter growth and volume growth that are ' associated with different levels of growing stock and with corresponding RD values, for young, high-site stands comparable to those in the LOGS studies. Comparisons of current annual gross increment and mean annual gross increment, such as that shown in Figure 13, show clearly that these stands are far short of culmination. Differ­ ences among the thinning treatments in MAl and in merchant­ able volume production are increasing rapidly and will become considerably more striking by the end of the next growth pe­ riod. The strong relationship between growth and growing stock found in the LOGS studies seems at first glance to contradict the statements of Braathe (1957) and Mar:Moller (1954), widely repeated in this country, that the same increment can be obtained with widely different growing stocks. Note, however, that there is a major difference in early stand history between these stands and most of those in the thinning studies cited by Braathe (1957), Mar:Moller (1954), and others of that period. European silviculture, until quite recently, favored high plant­ ing densities and gentle treatment of stands in early life. Al­ though attitudes have changed in recent decades (e.g., Brunig 1979), the LOGS studies' calibration thinnings and treatments 1 and 3 are still radical compared with many older thinning studies. Bradley et al. (1966) state that the British Forest Man­ agement Tables represent the "marginal thinning intensity" and that a greater intensity of thinning can be expected to pro­ duce substantial reductions in increment. This expectation has been confirmed by Hamilton (1981). Yet, the Forest Manage­ ment Tables show (dotted line in Figure 2A) early densities much higher than in the LOGS studies, and densities approach­ ing those of treatment 5 in later periods. See also comparisons in Bruce (1969). The rapid height growth that is characteristic of young, high-site Douglas-fir may also contribute to differences from the behavior observed in other species. And unthinned uniform plantations frequently develop densities considerably above the yield table normal of natural stands, so that thinned stand densities may be further from the biological maximum than from the natural stand normal to which many of us are accus­ tomed. The conclusion reached here is not that these results contrad­ ict the Langsaeter curve, but that the transition between Lang­ saeter's zones II and III (see Figure 1) in these young, high-site 288 Curtis and Marshall stands occurs at relatively high stand densities. This statement does not necessarily extend to older stands, or to poor sites where height growth is slower and where water and nutrients rather than light are limiting. The LOGS results (of which Figure 10 is an example) also show that, although gross volume growth and cumulative gross yield increase with stand density up to quite high densities, merchantable volume growth of thinned stands has exceeded that of the controls. The relative ranking of the thinning treat­ ments depends on the minimum diameter of trees included and on the age at which the comparison is made. The silviculturist must strike a balance between diameter growth and volume growth that is appropriate to the stage of stand development, the site, and the management objectives. This decision cannot be reduced to any simple rule. REFERENCES Arnott, J. T., and D. Beddows. 1981. Levels-of-growing-stock cooperative study in Douglas-fir. Rep. No. 6: Sayward Forest, Shawnigan Lake. Inf. Rep. BC-X-223. Can. For. Serv., Pacific Forest Research Centre, Victo­ ria, B.C. 54 p. Assmann, E. 1956. Naturlicher Bestockungsgrad und Zuwachs [Relative den­ sity and increment]. Forstw. Cbl. 75:257-265. __. 1970. The principles of forest yield study. Pergamon Press, Oxford and New York. 506 p. Berg, A. B., and J. F. Bell. 1979. Levels-of-growing-stock cooperative study on Douglas-fir: Report No. 5: The Hoskins study, 1963-1975. USDA For. Servo Res. Pap. PNW-257. Pac. Northwest For. and Range Exp. Stn., Portland, Oregon. 29 p. Braathe, P. 1957. Thinnings in even-aged stands: A summary of European literature. Faculty of Forestry, University of New Brunswick, Fredericton. 92 p. Bradley, R. T., J. M. Christie, and D. R. Johnston. 1966. Forest management tables. Forestry Commission Booklet 16. HMSO, London. 218 p. Bruce, D. 1969. Potential production in thinned Douglas-fir plantations. USDA For. Servo Res. Pap. PNW-87. Pac. Northwest For. and Range Exp. Stn., Portland, Oregon. 22 p. Bruce, D., D. J. DeMars, and D. L. Reukema. 1977. Douglas-fir managed yield simulator: DFIT user's guide. USDA For. Servo Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-57. Pac. Northwest For. and Range Exp. Stn., Portland, Oregon. 26 p. Brunig, E. F. 1979. The means to excellence through control of growing stock. In M. J. Wotton and D. D. Lloyd (eds.) Forest plantations: The shape of the future, pp. 201-224. Weyerhaeuser Science Symposium I. Weyerhaeuser Company, Tacoma, Washington. Chambers, C. J. 1980. Empirical growth and yield tables for the Douglas-fir zone. DNR Rep. 41. Department of Natural Resources, Olympia, Wash­ ington. 50 p. Curtis, R. O. 1967. A method of estimation of gross yield of Douglas-fir. For. Sci. Monogr. 13. 24 p. __. 1982. A simple index of stand density for Douglas-fir. For. Sci. 28(1):92-94. Curtis, R. 0., G. W. Clendenen, and D. J. DeMars. 1981. A new stand simu­ lator for coast Douglas-fir: DFSIM user's guide. USDA For. Servo Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-128. Pac. Northwest For. and Range Exp. Stn., Port­ land, Oregon. 79 p. Curtis, R. 0., and D. D. Marshall. 1986. Levels-of-growing-stock coopera- tive study in Douglas-fir: Report No. 8: The LOGS study: Twenty-year results. USDA For. Servo Res. Pap. PNW-356. Pac. Northwest For. and Range Exp. Stn., Portland. Oregon. 113 p. Hamilton. G. J. 1981. The effects of high intensity thinning on yield. Forestry 54(1):1-15. Harrington. C. A., and D. L. Reukema. 1983. Initial shock and long-term stand development following thinning in a Douglas-fir plantation. For. Sci. 29( 1):33-46. Langsaeter, A. 1941. Om tynning i enaldret gran- og furuskog [Thinning of even-aged spruce and pine forests]. Meddel. f. d. Norske Skog­ fors0ksvesen 8:131-216. Mar:Moller, C. 1954. The influence of thinning' on volume increment. Part I: Results of investigations. In Thinning problems and practices in Denmark. pp. 5-32. Tech. Publ. 76. College of Forestry at Syracuse, State Univer­ sity of New York. Mitchell, K. J., and 1. R. Cameron. 1985. Managed stand yield tables for coastal Douglas-fir: Initial density and precommercial thinning. Land Manage. Rep. 31. Ministry of Forests, British Columbia. 69 p. Oliver, C. D., and M. D. Murray. 1983. Stand structure, thinning prescrip­ tions, and density indexes in a Douglas-fir thinning study, western Wash­ ington, U.S.A. Can. J. For. Res. 13:126-136. Reukema, D. L. 1972. Twenty-one-year development of Douglas-fir stands repeatedly thinned at varying intervals. USDA For. Servo Res. Pap. PNW-141. Pac. Northwest For. and Range Exp. Stn .• Portland. Oregon. 23 p. __. 1979. Fifty-year development of Douglas-fir stands planted at various spacings. USDA For. Servo Res. Pap. PNW-253. Pac. Northwest For. and Range Exp. Stn., Portland, Oregon. 21 p. Reukema. D. L., and D. Bruce. 1977. Effects of thinning on yield of Doug­ las-fir: Concepts and some estimates obtained by simulation. USDA For. Servo Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-58. Pac. Northwest For. and Range Exp. Stn., Portland, Oregon. 36 p. Staebler, G. R. 1959. Optimum levels of growing stock for managed stands. Proc. Soc. Am. Foresters 1959:110-113. 1960. Theoretical derivation of numerical thinning schedules for __. Douglas-fir. For. Sci. 6(2):98-109. Staebler, G. R., and R. L. Williamson. 1962. Plan for a level-of-growing­ stock study in Douglas-fir. Unpublished study plan. On file at Forestry Sciences Laboratory, Olympia, Washington. Tappeiner, J. C., J. F. Bell, and J. D. Brodie. 1982. Response of young Douglas-fir to 16 years of intensive thinning. Res. Bull. 38. For. Res. Lab., School of Forestry, Oregon State University, Corvallis. 17 p. Warrack, G. C. 1979. Successive thinnings in a natural stand of Douglas-fir over a fifty-year period. Res. Note 87. Research Branch, Ministry of For­ ests, Victoria, B.C. 11 p. Williamson, R. L., and R. O. Curtis. 1984. Levels-of-growing-stock cooper­ ative study in Douglas-fir. Rep. No. 7: Preliminary results, Stampede Creek. and some comparisons with Iron Creek and Hoskins. USDA For. Servo Res. Pap. PNW-323. Pac. Northwest For. and Range Exp. Stn., Portland, Oregon. 42 p. Williamson, R. L., and G. R. Staebler. 1971. Levels-of-growing-stock coop­ erative study in Douglas-fir. Rep. No. I: Description of study and existing study areas. USDA For. Serv. Res. Pap. PNW-Ill. Pac. Northwest For. and Range Exp. Stn., Portland, Oregon. 12 p. 1986. In: Oliver, Chadwick Dearing; Hanley, Donald P.; Johnson, Jay A., eds. Douglas-fir: stand management for the future: Proceedings 1985 June 18-20; Seattle, WA. Contribution no. 55. Seattle: College of of a symposium; Forest Resources, University of Washington. Reproduced by USDA Forest Service, for official use. Growth-Growing Stock 289