. wEsTERN FOREST GENETlcS ASSOC IATIO . . . :. :L - . 1984 Annua I M ting .. , . . . ·. . . . . ' I 4 . ·;.. ,; :- :. <,- · ;-. . . -. ' - - - --- . . - - : ... :- . . · _ . . "' ;· ·_: . -· . ·. - - .. . . :_ - . . ·- . . . . - .; ··--:: . . . ··, ·-- - · . - ... August 7 to 10, 1984 University of Victoria Victoria, BC, Canada . . r ' ' Genetic Gain: Incorporation and Implications for Forestry. , . \ · . · : ·- _ .. - ... " i. "· - .. . .;.: . ; : · : - .: ' .. .LA . . • . . - - -- : .. .. . • • ·.:·_ . - . .- '· . . - . - • " .' . • '1 . .. . . ·.; '.- . : : . - ,. . Program and Abstracts ' . • "" · -- ·· - . · ---- .- ' .. ....:.....-...-.:..- .�.._.;'-... .-....... . . •• • .·:.. : :. • ·-·- . : - · · - - - .!. -- - :-; {· -r : :.' - .. - _ -- 7 -.. . - ..-,: _,_ - ti.;.· ·: _.· -, .... .L - -,- •• · ;: '. ·>·: 1·:--:::-: . : ....:. -'-:;....... ·. _ . .. ·-· . -<'----·-·---__,;.___ . _......._.,.. ._--'- . GEl\ETIC GAIN: INCORPORATION AND IMPLICATIONS FOR FORESTRY PROGRAM MONDAY, AUGL6T 6 1900 to 2100 Regis tration, Begbie Building. Residence rooms available. TLESDAY, AUGL6T 7 0800 to 1200 Registration, Begbie Building 0915 Opening remarks and amouncements WFGA Chairman Dr. Don Lester Begbie Room 159 Theme panel 0925 Genetic Gain: Incorporation and Implications for Forestry Panelists: "Sideboards of Tree Improvement"; Dr. Roy R. Silen, U.S. Forest Service, Corvallis, Oregon "Genetic Gain: Its Capture and Packaging for Regeneration"; Richard F. Piesch, Weyerhaeuser Corp., Centralia, Washington. 1030 to 1050 Refreshment break (Poster Sessions 1050 "Genetic Gain Implications for Forest Management and W ood Sup ply"; Peter Ackhurst, B.C. Forest Service, Vancouver, B.C. an display) "Tree-Improvement Implications for Wood and Forest Products Quality"; Dr. Robert M. Kellogg, Forintek Corp., Vancouver, B.C. 1230 to 1330 No-host Lunch (Poster Sessions 1330 to 1410 "Genetic Gain and Economics in Tree-Improvement Programs "; Dr. Thomas Thomson, Univers i1y of Illinois, Urbanana, Illinois 1410 to 1425 "Predicted Genetic and Economic Gains from Tree Breeding for t he Northern Region"; G.E. Howe and T.L. Raettig 1425 to 1500 General discussion .+:u> 1.500 to 1600 an an display) panel presentations Refreshments and Poster Sessions "Cortical and Needle Resin Monoterpenes in Sitka Spruce and Resistance to the White Pine Weevil, Pissodes strobi"; J.E. Brooks "Seed Production from B.C. Ministry of Forests Orchards"; M. Crown and C. Bartram "Container Seed Orchards - An Economical Alternative?"; A.M. Eastham and S.D. Ross "C ertification of Lodgepole Pine Seeds of Canadian Origins under the OECD Scheme"; D.G.W. Edwards and F.T. Portlock "A Breeding Program far Coastal Douglas-fir"; J.C. Heaman R.N. Hattie & "Tree Improvement of Coastal Douglas-Fir"; J.C. Heaman, F.C. Yeh and C.C. Ying "Selection of Traits for Growth, Form and Wood Quality in Douglas-fir Progeny: II Genetic Control of Juvenile Growth Form Features"; John N. King "Return of the Expatriate Radiata"; W.J. Libby and J.H. Russell "Clonal and Population Variation of Populus trichocarpa and Its Hybrids with P. deltoides in Herbicide Tolerance"; Diane Marie Shirley "lsozyme Analysis of Pollen Competition in Douglas-fir"; J.E. Webber and F.C.H. Yeh 1 ..1 :} J.j-11.i'- (,. 1600 to 1800 "Age-Related Outcrossing Rate in Western Hemlock"; Francis Yeh and Mike Meagher . Optional tours (Tours depart from front of Begbie Building) zboo to2100 WFGAAmual Meeting, Begbie 158 2 oo to2300 Wine and cheese social, Faculty Club f WEDNESDAY, AUGL.5T 8: FIELD TRIP Theme: •fntegrating Genetic Gain and Forestry" 0030 Buses depart from Lot 5 (behind Cadboro Commons) 1000 to 1115 Jordan River: Western Forest Products Ltd. management; B.C. Forest Service: Douglas-fir progeny test 1115 to 1200 Travel to Port Renfrew . 1200 to 1300 Box lunch on the beoch and introduction to B.C. Forest Products 1300 to 1430 Forest management by B.C. Forest Products; tour B.C. Forest Service provenance and early progeny tests 1430 to 1500 Travel to Robertson Valley 2 1500 to 1600 Forest management by Pacific Forest Products Ltd., ecosystem mapping, private tree-improvement program 1615 Arrive at Cowichan Lake Research -station; refreshment 1645 to 1800 Tours, Cowichan Lake Research Station: archives, provenance and progeny tests 1000 to 1830 Swimming Break 1830 Barbeque dimer, host: B.C. Forest Service. Spousal tour to Duncan Forest Museum will join this tour at Cowichan Lake Research Station for BBQ 2100 Buses department for Victoria; return approximately 2300 hours propagation, gene THURSDAY, AUGLST 9 0830 to 1015 Technical sessims, Begbie 159 Session A: Biological Bases to Genetic Gain "Genetic Variation of Wood Specific Gravity in Lodgepole Pine Pinus contorta spp. latifolia"; A. Yanchuk, F.C. Yeh and B.P. Dancik "Sitka Spruce Provenance Research in the Coastal Region of British Columbia"; Cheng C. Ying "Vegetative Growth in Provenances of Lodgepole Pine"; Conor O'Reilly and John N. Owens "The Cold Hardiness Adaptive Response of Green Ash to Geo­ climatic Gradients''; M.W. Williams, Jr. and K.C. Steiner "Evaluating Breeding Zones for Sierra Nevada Ponderosa Pine Using Multilocus Analyses of Enzyme Genes"; R.D. Westfall and M.T. Conkle "Population Genetic Structure of Jeffrey Pine"; Glenn R. Fumier "Demonstration of Gene-for-Gene Relationships By Analysis of Host-Parasite Differential Interactions"; F.E. Williams IOl5 to 1035 Refreshment break (Poster Sessions on display) I035 to 1235 Session B: Biological Impacts of Geoetic Gain in Forestry "Diallel Crosses in Coastal Douglas-fir Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco"; J.C. Heaman and F.C. Yeh "Results from Genetic Tests in Weyerhaeuser's Douglas-fir Applied Tree Improvement Program"; R.W. Stonecypher 3 "Using Growth, Adaptation, and Stability Parameters to Delineate Provenance Transfers for Douglas-fir in Southwest Oregon"; R.D. Mangold and W.T. Adams "Reproductive Phenology and Its Impact on Genetically Improved Seed Production in a Douglas-fir seed orchard"; Yousry El-Kassaby, Anita Fashler and Oscar Sziklai "Variation in Seed Orchard Reproductive Bud Phenology: Limit­ ations to Supplemental Mass Pollination (SMP)11; Nicholas C. Wheeler "Effects of Crossing Errors on Genetic Gains in Full-Sib Seedling Seed Orchards"; W.T. Adams and T.L. White "Pollination Mechanism in Western Hemlock"; Anna M. Colangeli and John N. Owens "An Efficient Sampling Method to Estimate Abortion Losses in Coastal Douglas-fir Seed Orchards"; V.C. Bartram 1235 to 1330 No-host Lunch (Poster Sessions on display) 1330 to 1445 ''Estimating Seed Efficiencies in Coastal Douglas-fir Seed Or­ chards'' ; G.E. Miller "Quantification of Seed Orchard Extraction and Germination Effi­ ciencies"; C.L. Leadem "Early Detection of Graft incompatibility for inland Douglas-fir and the Selection of Compatible Rootstock"; D.L. Foushee "Control of Contarinia ore onensis Foote in Douglas-fir Cones Using Stem Injections or Foiar Applications of Metasystox-RR"; D.W. Summers "Evaluation of Weed Control Treatments in an Interior Spruce Seed Orchard"; P.J. Birzins 1445 to 1530 Session C: Calculating and Accelerating Genetic Gain "Two-Year Results of o Diallel Cross in Western Hemlock"; M.D. Meagher and F.C. Yeh "Genetic Structure and Mating System in a White Spruce Stand: Implications for Testing Open-Pollinated Families"; John N. King and Bruce P. Dancik "Heritiability of Total Height in Ten-Year-Old Interior Spruce ca (Monench) Voss and P. engelmanni Parry"; G. Kiss and Picea F':c.Y g,1hu Buses depart from in front of Begbie Building for tour of "High­ T ech" seed orchards; refreshments served on arrival 1530 1800 r. " . ' ,_,, ,. Buses return to University 4 FRIDAY, AUGUST IO Joint meeting with Grcx.p North American Quantitative Forest Genetics Opening remarks, NAQFGG Chairman Dr. Douglas Shaw, Inter­ notional Forest Seed Co., Birmingham, Alabama; Student U nion Building Theatre 08!0 to 1200 Technical session Theme: "Estimating, Predicting and Accelerating Genetic Gain" 'Predicting Genetic Gains in Volume Yields for the Northern Region: Using the Stand Prognosis Model"; George E. Howe and Terry L Raetig "Confidence Limits for Genetic Gain Predictions"; C.B. Talbert "Effect of Family Size and Number on the Accuracy and Precision of the Estimates of Genetic Parameters in the IUFRO Douglas-fir Provenance-Progeny Trial"; Yousry El-Kassaby, Anita Fashler and Oscar Sziklai "Genetic Gain from Provenance Kung X Plantation Interaction"; Fan H. "Genetic Gain from Selection Within a Large Wind-Pollinated Lodgepole Pine Progeny Plantation"; Cheng C. Ying "Gains From Selection in Pines in Central Georgia"; Earl R. Sluder "Estimates of Additive and Nan-Additive Genetic Variance from a Douglas-Fir Diallel Established with Rooted Cuttings"; R.W. Stonecypher "How to Increase Genetic Gain"; Francis C. Yeh 5 ABSTRACTS Genetic Gain: Incorporation and Implications for Forestry Abstract Sideboards of Tree Improvement RoySilen This paper highlights pertinent findings of genetics and yield during the 30 years since tree improvement begin in coastal Douglas-fir. Statistical rather than biological models have dominated for genetic improvement. The distinction between two concepts ­ genetic gain versus biomass-per-unit-area gain - are illustrated by a classic study in breeding of maize spanning 20 generations, which resulted in a 70 percent genetic gain in corn yield. Only two of the three genetic strategies were effective. Harvest index was improved by reallocating more stalk biomass to grain yield. Biologically, plants needed to be shortened to prevent lodging and slimmed to grow more stalks per unit area. Rotation length was shortened as fewer days were needed to grow smaller maize plants. In contrast, there was no genetic gain in total above-ground biomass or leaf area index, although fertilizer and irrigation produced large gains in both. These same three strategies were analyzed for Douglas-fir viewed as an annual crop growing on a framework of pre-existing living biomass. Possible genetic gains in harvest index of Douglas-fir stemwood are considered from reallocation of biomass of bark, branches, cones, roots, and wood density. Biological limits (sideboard) are suggested by the maize study. Since two-thirds or more of annual biomass of mature trees is already allocated to stemwood, potential of this strategy would appear modest. "Beam-of­ uniform-resistance" concepts are also considered. Breeding for earlier maturation of an annual crop is not analogous to shortening Douglas­ fir rotations with genetically-accelerated growth rates. Biomass production is reduced for a large portion of a rotation, when open space is required under intensive management, to quickly achieve large stem size. Genetic gains in growth rate can be used, as fertilizer is, to accelerate production of photosynthetic surface to quickly capture canopy openings. Data is already ample to assure success in breeding faster-growing genotypes. One biological sideboard is the tyrannical inverse relationship between growth and hardiness which agriculture has not yet broken. Another is the precision, perhaps template-like, of adaptation to the regime of local environments. This precision is seen in high resolution maps of genetic variation presented from six commercial tree improvement field tests that reflect the close correspondence of height growth to land forms and species ranges. Although it is convenient to use genes for fast growth that have developed on mild, moist sites, safety would lie in using the ample local pool of growth variation. A recent attempt to produce locally specific seed orchard seed is cited. The maize study suggests that genetic biomass improvement through genetics may be u ncertain for Douglas-fir. In addition, biomass data worldwide show that some Pacific Northwest conifer stands already rival world maxima. Annual biomass production is related to leaf area, which varies with site constraints. Coastal stands carry high leaf densitities and attain high photosynthate productivity in periods of "free growth". Improvement would likely involve site enhancement aimed to carry even more leaf area. Once accomplished, the needed genetic changes in growth rote seem readily attainable. Sideboards of drought and cold are economically and even politically difficult to overcome in western North America. The author reviews applicability of plant and animal breeding models and concludes that special biological models ore needed for genetics improvement of western American species. 8 Abstract Genetic Goin: Its Cq>ture and Packaging for Regeneration Richard F. Piesch Capturing genetic gain potential and transferring it into a regeneration system is, in essence, the goal and "bottom line" of tree improvement. How well we accomplish this goal has great impact on the value of our future timber resource. From the point we first enter natural stands to make phenotypic selections, to the point seed orchard seed are used for regeneration, there are many leverage points by which we can affect the amount of genetic gain achievable. Emphasis is given in this presentation to the state-of-the-art applications, i.e., what can we do today to affect this gain? Can we really capture significant gain with phenotypic selection? How do our breeding and testing strategies, and the way in which they are implemented, impact genetic gain? Haw might we effectively use information derived from breeding and testing programs in the management of production orchards? What are some key leverage points in the production and allocation of seed orchard seed in capturing and transferring gain potential to the field? Obviously, there is no universal set of "right" answers to these questions. Hopefully though, the discussion will surface the many opportunities by which we may impact gain. While much can be done with today's technology, there is even greater promise for tomorrow. The establishment of advanced generation orchards is imminent, along with their even higher genetic gain potential. They may be very non-conventional in terms of today's standards, being designed and managed to fully take advantage of advancing front concepts and leading edge technolgoy. The capture of additional genetic gain may well be possible through vegetative propagation. While both tissue culture and rooting of cuttings appear to be promising technologies with high gain potentials, key questions regarding biological, production and economic considerations remain unanswered. In summary, the opportunities we have for incorporating genetic gain into forestry are great. The level of gain achieved will reflect our ability to recognize and act on these opportunities. 9 Abstrcx:t Genetic Gain l111>lications for Forest Management and Wood Supply Peter Ackt-urst The paper describes the forest resources of British Columbia, the tree improvement programs presently in progress, and the needs for genetic gain from the view of a forest manager. Tree improvement programs are in place in British Columbia. A large breeding and research program is developing to provide genetically improved seedlings for the future. A complete seed orchard program has been designed and is being implemented to meet the needs of the entire province. Genetic gain is needed in the second growth forests of British Columbia ta meet the demand for wood products in the future. To maintain and increase the allowable annual cut of the province, genetically improved stock is required in operational quantities ta reforest the province. A tree improvement program must be considered as a part of a complete silvicultural system. Tree improvement programs must be designed to fit into the forest management programs where the greatest gains can be made. Work is still required to fully integrate the tree improvement program and possible genetic gains into the forest management programs. There is a great optimism about the contribution tree improvement programs can play in the forests of the future. 10 Abstract Tree Improvement Implications for Wood and Fore st Products Quality R.M. Kellogg The objective of most intensive forest management practice, including tree improvement, is to accelerate volume growth. This accelerated growth and reduced rotation periods will result in a forest resource with a high proportion of jwenile or core wood. Jwenile wood is on inferior row material for many end products. The properties of jwenile wood for several B.C. species and the effect of these properties on end-product quality will be discussed. Particular attention will be focussed on the effect of juvenile wood on the strength and stiffness of structural lumber produced from fast-grown second growth Douglas-fir. For existing stands, short-term technical solutions to the problems of utilizing this material must be found. However, the potential exists through tree improvement to compensate for the anticipated loss in wood quality. The potential and strategies for change through the control of wood density will be discussed. 11 l Abstract Genetic Gain and Economics in Tree Improvement Thomas A. Thomson Genetic gain is one of the components used in estimating the benefits accruing to tree improvement programs; thus, it is an important portion of the economic picture. In addition, the economics of forest management, the cost of tree improvement programs, projected future stumpage values, number of acres, and most important, the chosen discount rate, simultaneously interact to determine the overall economic desirability of tree improvement. Genetic gain affects the economic desirability of certain choices. In seed orchards established prior to progeny test information, the optimal roguing is determined by the relationship between the number of orchard trees and the average genetic gain produced. For orchards established after progeny testing is completed, genetic gain is a factor in determining the number of ramets to establish. Economically-guided cone induction treatments are also a function of genetic gain. Areas for further study include whether to plant genetically improved seedlings "off site", and strategies for capturing genetic gain over time as a function of number of progeny tests and the period over which selection decisions are made • . 12 Abstract Predicted Genetic and Economic Goins From Tree Breeding for the Northern Region G.E. Howe md TJ... Roettig Computer models estimated yields and associated net values and benefit/cost ratios for plonting, growing and harvesting on improved versus on unimproved stand on each of ten sites on Northern Region Notional Forests; The sites represented the array of lands schedule for planting with genetically improved trees and ranged in productivity from <20 cu ft/A/yr to >120 cu ft/A/yr CMAI. Land expectation values were calculated, using 4 percent discount rate, and the current inventory value was added, where appropriate. Genetic gains were calculated as the difference, over a common rotation period, between the yields of the improved and unimproved alternatives, and ranged from 4.5 percent to 35.8 percent. The improved alternative generated a higher PNV on nine of the ten sites. PNV differences ranged from 0 to +$124 per acre. B/C ratios for the improved alternatives equalled or exceeded those for the unimproved, but the comparisons were strongly associated neither with genetic gains nor absolute differences in yields. Genetic gains were not associated with PNV differences because genetic gain was a measure of relative difference in yields, while PNV difference was a function of absolute difference in yields. Absolute differences in yields were strongly associated with land productivity. For the most productive lands, project planting of genetically improved trees generated a higher PNV than regenerating the same site by natural seedfall. The western white blister rust resistance breeding program is economically most beneficial per acre, but the Douglas-fir program is most favorable in absolute terms due to the large number of highly productive acres on which Douglas-fir is being planted. Stumpage values assumed 2 percent real appreciation and no depression due to increased volumes from genetic improvement. The latter assumption was tests. The ten site-specific results were extended to all comparable acres in the region to portray total yield increases across forests and in time. These increases could add net revenue of $128,000,000 per year by the end of the 21st century. 13 ABSTRACTS TECHNICAL SESSION Session A Biological Bases to Genetic Gain ABSTRACTS Demonstration of gene-for ene relationships by analysis of host-parasite differential interactions. F. E. WILLIAMS Dept. of Biology, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, B.C., Canada, VSA 1$6 Population genetic structure of Jeffrey pine GLENN R. FURNIER Department of Forest Science, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, T6G 2Hl The mating system was examined in five Jeffrey pine populations. outcrossing All populations were predominantly (t .935). • Genotype frequencies The gene-for-gene relationship theory has trans­ formed the understanding of host-parasite interactions in plants, and yet the number of proven gene-for-gene relationships remains small. This is largely due to the time consuming genetic tests which have traditionally been required for conclusive demonstration of a gene­ for ene relationship. Analysis of host-parasite differential interactions provides a rapid means of conclusively demonstrating a gene-for ene relationship. This paper describes the kinds of host-parasite differential inter­ actions necessary for demonstration of a gene-for-gene relationship. at 20 allozyme loci fit Hardy-Weinberg expectations. Geographic patterns of allozyme variation were examined at these 20 loci in 14 populations. polymorphic. Eighteen loci were Significant allele frequency differences were observed at 11 loci between populations in the Klamath Mountains, an area where Jeffrey pine is restricted to ultramafic soils, and populations in the remainder of the range. Mean heterozygosity was lower in Klamath populations than in the remainder of the range (.185 vs • • 255). The one Sierra Nevada population sampled on ultramafic soil was more similar to Klamath populations than were other Sierra Nevada populations, suggesting the possibility of genetic adaptation to ultramafic soils. Variation within populations accounted for the largest proportion (86.2%) of total gene diversity. The cold hardiness adaptive response of green ash to geoclimatic gradients. M. l.J. WILl.I.AHS, JR., AND J.:. C. STEINER Forest Resources Lab.7 nie Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA Vegetative Growth in Provenances of Lodgepole Pine CONOR O'REILLY and JOHN N. OWENS genetic variation in cold tolerance among and within Department of Biology, University of Victoria Victoria, British Columbia, V8W natural populations of green ash. 2Y2 tolerance was highly correlated with mean minimum daily January temperatures at each population's geographi 1983 among 7 provenances of lodgepole origin pine (Pinus contorta var. latifolia) growing in a provenance trial near Prince George7 B.C. Shoot Shoot growth cessation Genetic variation within northern populations was near zero in the fall, winter while needle grOwth cessation occurred between late The number of dwarf shoots on July and mid-August. sprin3. species' The average but was Populations near the northern limit of the ore hol!lozysous natural range are evidentally for the loci governing cold tolerance than are percent of polycyclic shoots differed among provenances and was correlated with shoot length. and spring. significant in southern populations in the winter and 1983 shoots varied among provenances and was not correlated with shoot length. Rates of fall acclimation and although &Ol!le l ebraska and South Dakota populations were unusually hardy in the fall. varied among provenances from late May to mid-June, 4th whorl (R'Lc 0.91). spring deacclimation were sicilar for most ponulations extension began in early May and needle emergence in mid-May for all provenances. Seasonal changes were large in all populations and overall cold Fourth whorl shoot and needle elongation was measured in 16802 Artificial freezing tests were used to evaluate populations farther south. possibly a reflection Also, the f selection pressures. number of polycyclic shoots varied with whorl position and year of branch growth. Genetic variation of wood specific gravity in lodgepole pine Pinus contorta spp. latifolia A. Yarchuk, F.C. Yeh and B.P. Darcik, Dept. of Forest Science, Lhiv. of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. T9' 2G6 Evaluating breeding zones tor Sierra Jfevada ponderoaa pine using mul tilocus analyses or enzyme genes. R. D. WESTFALL llDd M T. CONKLE Institute of Foreat Genetics, Pacific Southwest Forest and Range Experiment Station, USDA Forest Service, Berkeley, Cl 911701 Open-pollinated progenies from nine trees i n each o f t w o provenances from each o f five geographic areas were assessed for wood specific gravity at age The results 14, using the Pilodyn instrument. indicated only the importance of area and trees within provenance effects. Wood specific gravity was highest for trees from northern coastal sources and decreased in a southern The individual tree easterly direction across B.C. heritability for wood specific gravity was 0.34 .:. 0. 16 • GenotJpic data on 30 isozyme loci in 520 pon­ derosa pine plus trees in the Sierra Nevada were transformed to allelic scores and regressed against latitude, longitude, and elevation, using canonical correlations. combination of linear, quadratic and crossed variates were maximallJ oorrelated vitb the allelic acores in the t'irat three canonical vectors. Tbe 1'1rst vector was associated vitb 13 loci and var­ iates derived from latitude and longitude, the aeoond .vector with elevation Yariablea and 11 loci, and the third with latitudet longitude, and elevation vari­ ables and 9 l o ci . These results, along witb those from ca noni cal and discriminant analyaee. vere used to develop geographically discrete classes in the Sierra Nevada. 16 ABSTRACTS Sitka Spruce Provenance Research in the Coastal Region of British Colll!Dia Cheng C. Ying, Research Branch, Ministry of Forests Victoria, B. C. Canada. VBW 3E7 A range-wide collection of 43 provenances were tested over 14 locations established from 1973 to 1975. Sitka spruce has shown a strong clinal north-south and coast-inland trends in growth and hardiness; provenances of southern latitude and outer coastal origin are faster growing, but less hardy than northern and inner coastal provenances. Introduction of southern coastal provenarces into northern sites with mild winter and strong maritime climate involves very little risk of winter injury, but can substantially improve the procuctivity of the plantation; the results indicate a potential of 51J!: gain in growth by planting Oregon - Washington coastal sources on coastal areas of Vancouver Island. 17 ABSTRACTS Session B Biological Impact of Genetic Gain in Forestry • AsSTRACr5 Effects of Crossing Errors on Genetic Gains in Full­ Sib Seedling Seed Orchards W. T. ADAMS and T. L. WHITE Department of Forest Science, Oregon State University and International Paper Company, Portland, Oregon J Pollination Mechanism in Western Hemlock ANNA M. COLANGELI and JOHN N. OWENS Department of Biology, University of Victoria, P.O. Sox 1700, Victoria, British Columbia, VBW 2Y2 Controlled pollinations at various stages following bud burst determined that western hemlock (Tsuga heterophylla (Raf.) Sarg.) does not have an optimum time of pollination. Cones are receptive for approximately 17 to 21 days from bud burst to the start of seed cone elongation. Pollen adheres preferentially to the bracts. The roughly sculptured, microspined surface of the pollen becomes entangled in the thread­ like, waxy cuticle layer of the bract. About five to six weeks after pollination pollen germinates on the bracts and forms long pollen tubes that grow towards and into the micropyles. Biochemical genetic markers (isozymes) were used to assess the validity of 77 full-Sib progenies of Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii Mirb. (Franco)) produced for seedling seed orchard stock. When 15-29 individuals from each of these progenies were examined, 27 percent of t.he faJLil.ies verL found to contain two or more individuals with genotypes that could not have come from the intended parenrs. potential effects of invalid crosses on genetic gains of seedling seed orchard progeny is examined. Strategies for minimizing the negative impact of invalid crosses on genetic gain are discussed. Reproductive phenology and its impact on genetically improved seed production in a Douglas-fir seed orchard. An Efficient Sampling Method to Estimate Abortion Losses in Coastal Douglas-fir Seed Orchards Yousry El-Kassaby, Anita Fashler and Oscar Sziklai Pacific Forest Products Ltd., Victoria, B.C. VSW 2M3 and Faculty of Forestry, U.B.C., Vancouver, B.C. V6T lWS Canada V.C. Bartram Silviculture Branch, Ministry of Forests 1450 Goverrvnent Street, Victoria, B.C. Reproductive bud phenology of a Douglas-fir (P eudo­ .Uu.ga menz.lu.U IM.i.Ab.) F.1u1nc.o) seed orchard was monitored for two years to determine the validity of one primary seed orchard assumption, namely, that of panmictic equilibrium. The effect of this assumption on seed production was also discussed. The study re­ vealed significant variation in reproductive bud development and overlap between reproductive bud flush of individual trees. These conditions both affect the seed orchard seed quality and quantity by reducing the breeding population size and by lowering seed yield. Two proposals to maximize seed production and genetic efficiency by reducing the effect of panmictic disequilibrium are presented. A sampling method to estimate average female ud/ flower/cone abortion losses in four Douglas-fir seed orchards is described. The efficiency of this method is compared to alternate sampling methods. Calculated future sample size and manhour requirements to estimate mean abortion loss at an orchard level are presented for various population sizes and precision levels. This work is the result of a joint Silviculture Branch (MOFl. Research Branch (MOF), Canadian Forestry Service effort to quantify orchard seed losses from the time of flowering through to seed gennination. Evaluation of weed control treatments iu an spruce seed orchard Early detection of graft incompatibility for inland Douglas-fir and the selection of compatible rootstock D .L. FOUSHEE College of Forestry, Wildlife and Range Sciences, University of Idaho, Moscow, Idaho, 83843 i nte rior P.J. BIRZINS B.C. Ministry of Forests, Kalamalka Research Station and Seed Orchards, 3401 Reservoir Rd., Vernon, B.C., VlB 2C7 Two laboratory techniques, electrophoresis and anatomical examination, were used to detect graft incompatibility of inland Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii var. glauca) at an early stage and to identify graft compatible parent trees. Scion from 21 plus trees was grafted onto 625 rootstock and examined for incompatibility symptoms after two growing seasons. Assays for peroxidase and esterase were effective in determining the status of a graft in 83% and 81% of the unions, respectively. The average graft incompatibility of the inland trees in this study was 34%. This is in agreement with Copes' estimate of. 35% average incompatibility for coastal Douglas-fir (var. menziesii). Two trees with incompatibilities of only 9% and 14% were identified. Controlled crosses of these parent trees should yield seed for growing compatible inland rootstock. The effectiveness of mulch and herbicide weed remets are described. Test plots were assessed for material and labour costs, seedling tolerance to the treatments, broac.leaf weed control, grass weed control and the Simazine percentage of weed encroachment on the plots. is r ecommend ed as an effective and economical herbicide control treatments a.round recently planted at the orchard site. 20 ABSTRACTS Diallel Crosses in Coastal Douglas-fir menziesii (Mirb.) Franco J.C. Heaman and F.c. Yeh Research Branch, 8.C. Ministry of Forests Victoria, B.C., Csnada. VSW 3E7 Estimating Seed Efficiencies in Coastal Douglas-fir Seed Orchards /. Pseudotsuga G. E. Miller Pacific Forest Research Centre Canadian Forestry Service S06 West Burnside Road, Victoria, BC As part of the main breeding program, (E.P. 708), progenies from a six-parent diallel were measured at 11 locations to evaluate the roles of GCA, SC'A, maternal and reciprocal effects. Analysis of tree heights at age seven revealed only the VSZ 1H5 Seed efficiency (the number of seeds produced + the potential or target number of seeds) is one measure of the effectiveness of seed orchard manage­ ment. importance of GCA and its interaction with The interactions appeared on specific, locations. extreme, sites. The narrO'tll sense teritability for These results indicate that height was 0.28 !. 0.18. progenies from a half diallel and a program of recurrent selection will be effective for the genetic inprovement of height in COF. Two different sampling schemes, one two-phase and one single-phase, have been compared for coastal Douglas-fir seed orchards. The single-phase scheme (cone dissection) is appropriate when sample size requirements are small while the two-phase scheme (cone slicing and cone dissection) is appropriate when sample size requirements are large. Calculated sample size requirements for both schemes are presented. Quantification of seed orchard extraction and gennin­ ation efficiencies. C.L. LEADEH Research Laboratory, Sritish Columbia Ministry of Fa.rests, 4300 North Road, Victoria, B.C., V8Z 5J3 J R. W. Stonecypher Centralia Research Center, Weyerhaeuser Company 534 N. Tower Street, Centralia Washington 98531 Extraction and germination efficiencie for 1983, the second year of a five·year seed production study, are reported for four B.C. Ministry of Forests seed orchards. Separate analysis of progeny and family tests in six low elevation Douglas-fir breeding populations gave the following results: 1. In 11 of the 12 tests analyzed, there were significant differences among families for height ond volume. Results obtained in 1983 essentially confirm results obtained in the first year. Few seeds remained in cones, with extraction efficiencies ranging from 93% to 981 and averaging g51. Filled seed percentages improved substantially during processing, increasing from soi to 99: from primary to final cleaning. The 1983 germination efficiencies were also high. averaging 96i for the four orchards. At the end of two years. it appears that extraction and germination efficiencies of orchard seed lots are probably very close to operational limits. 2. Family differences of 7 and 18 percent were detectable at the 5 percent significance level for height and volume respectively. 3. Although significant family x location inter­ actions were indicated in 9 of the tests, rank change interactions were important in only 2 of the 12 tests. 4. The average volumes of select hal f·sib families were greater than the non-select sources in all six progeny tests. Using Growth, Adaptation, and Stability Parameters to Delineate Provenance Transfers for Douglas-fir i n R. D. Mangold & w. T. Adams, Dept. Southwest Oregon. Control of Contarinia oregonensis Foote in Douglas fir cones using stem inJect1ons or foliar applications , of Metasystox-RR D.W. Sunrners Silviculture Branch, British Columbia Ministry of Forests, 1450 Government St. Victoria, B.C. V8W 3E7 Forest Science, OSU, Corvallis, OR 97331. Current seed zones in southwest Oregon often are To established using 500-foot elevational bands. determine whether seed zones could be more broadly defined, we measured growth, adaptation and phenotypic stability on 2-year-old seedlings in a nursery with Population of the Douglas-fir cone gall midge (Contarinia oregonensis Foote) in cones were reduced 89.31 by injecting trees with Mauget Injecticide R {Metasystox-RR) at a rate of one 2 ml capsule/15 cm of tree circumference. There were slight indications of a reduction of the Douglas-fir seed chalcid (Megastignus spermatrophus Hachlt) as well but the populat1on was too small for definite conclusions to be drawn. These injections are expensive but may be useful i n some circumstances. 4 test environments. Thirty families from each of 3 elevations from the Umpqua National Forest were tested. Middle elevation trees were the most •table, were intermediate for most traits, and were not sig­ nificantly different from low elevation seedlings for growth traits or from high elevation trees for pheno­ logi cal traits. A provenance-transfer m o d e l was developed based on 3 criteria: growth, adaptation and stability. RESULTS FROM GENETIC TESTS IN WEYERHAEUSER'S DOUGLAS­ FIR APPLIED TREE IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM Middle elevation seedlings satisfied all 3 criteria sufficiently well for us to s uggest that, in the absence of a local source, the middle elevation material could be used to regenerate the entire ele­ Galls midge control was also obtained using a foliar sproy of Metasystox-R R at 0.5% and 1.01. Populations were reduced 1001 compared to the control. Foliar sprays of Metasystox-RR are no more expensive than the current control method. vation band (610-1220m). While long-term testing is needed, we suggest that seed zones in this region can be vider in elevation than their current dimensions. 21 ABSTRACTS Variation in aeed orchard reproductive bud phenology: Limitations to supplemental mass pollination (SHP). NI CHOLAS C. WHEELER Weyerhaeuser Company, Western Forestry Research Station, P.O. Box 420, Centralia, Wa, 98531. ,/ One approach to capturing aenetic gain in wind.. pollinated seed orchards is to practice supplemental pollination (SHP). A number of biological and logi•­ tical problems must be overcome for SKP to be auccesa­ ful. One economic limitation to SHP is the cost a11ociat.ed with •ultiple visit• to individual trees. It would be convenient and coat-effective if a large proportion of a tree'• atrobili were aiau.lt.aneously receptive. Phenology at.udies in Weyerhaeuser'• Douglas­ fir orchards indicate considerable variation, both among and within clones, exist in reproductive bud phenology. Buds in the upper crown are typically receptive well before those in the lower crown. To a lesser extent buds on the north side are receptive before those on the south side. Implications for SHP are noted. 22 ABSTRACTS Session C Calculating and Accelerating Genetic Gain • 'ABSTRACTS Genetic structure and mating system in a white spruce Two-year Results of a Diallel Cross in Western Hemlock stand: Implications for testing open-pollinated families H.D. Meaoher and F.C. Yeh BC Ministry of Forests 1450 Government Street, Victoria , BC John N. Xi.ng, Bruce P. Dancik Department of Forest Science, University of Alberta in Edmonton, 817 General services Bldg., Edmonton, Alberta T6G 2Hl A 12 x 12 diallel cross was made to evaluate the relative roles of selfing , general combining (GCA), specific combining , maternal and reciprocal effects in western hemlock. Progeny from 133 of the 144 possible crosses were raised for one season in a greenhouse and for a second season in nursery beds. Two growth characters (total and upright height) were measured. Embryos and megagametophytes of open-pollinated 37 white spruce (Pieea glauaa (Moench) Voss} seed of trees from a seed production area were analyzed by starch gel electrophoresis to determine the 9enetic structure and mating system over two seed crop years. nalysis of four polymorphic enzyme loci Pgm, and Pgi-2J (Gdlz, Idh, for spatial and temporal genetic Analyses indicate only the importance of selfing, GCA and reciprocal effects. Narrow-sense heritability for total and upright heights are 0.21 and 0.39, respectively. These results suggest that the testing of open-pollinated families and a program of recurrent selection are effective for the genetic improvement of total and upright heights in western hemlock. structure and mating system indicated substantial deviations fro:m the random mating model that is assumed when open-pollinated families are designated as half-sibs. V8W 3E7 Pooling seed years may eliminate some of this bias. Heritability of Total Height in Ten-year Old glauca (Moench) Voss and /.Interior Spruce Picea I.I" f· engelmanni Parry G. Kiss and F.C. Yeh Research Branch, 8.C. Ministry of torestS9 Victoria, B.C. Cenada. VSW 3E7 Open-Pollinated progenies from 174 parent-trees were outplanted at three sites. Analysis of height at age ten revealed that 75 percent of the phenatypic variance was due to differences between half-sib progeny within plots. Interaction between site and parent-tree was not significant. t-eritability estimates among parent-trees (family) and among individuals were 0.68 and 0.26, respectively. Similar findings for height were found at ages three and six. These results are discussed in relation to phenotypic selection in wild stands, the choice of sites for progeny testing and possible genetic gain from a two-stage selection scheme by eliminating the poorer parent trees and all but the best tree of each parent. 24 POSTER SESSIONS POSTER SESSIONS Cortical and needle resin monoterpenes in Sitka spruce and resistance to the white pine weevil, Pissodes strobi Certification of Lodgepole Pine Seeds of Canadian Origins under the OECD Scheme J.E.Brooks Department of Biological Sciences, Simon Fraser University, D.G.W. Edwards and F.7. Portlock Burnaby, B.C. VSA 156 Canadian Forestry Service Pacific Forest Research Cen tre The relative monoterpene content of Sitka spruce, Victoria, BC sitchensis, needle and cortex oil was analyzed by gas chromatography. Forty resistant trees of several provenances on 3 sites were identified on the basis of Tree seeds of Canadian origin have been exported in good growth form and lack of damage by the white pine weevil, Pissodes !.!.!.!?.£! . considerable quantities to Europe and ScandinaYia for a number of years. The international movemer1: of and paired with susceptible trees that had been infested by the weevil. The resis­ seeds for reforestation requires that species and tant trees had significantly lower amounts of isoamyl locations of seed sources be properly identified, and isovaJerate in the needle oil at all 3 sites and lower certified. amounts of isopentenyl has been responsible for certifying all fores t susceptible trees. isovalerate at 2 sites, than Since 1970, the CanaC i an Forestry Ser\•ice tree seeds, collected in Canada, for export under an Levels ofo<-pinene, camphene and · myrcene were significantly higher in some resistant trees but these differences were not consistent between sites. international control scheme es:.ablished by the Organization for Economic Coop era :.ion and Development The cortex oil of resistant spruce had significantly in 1967. lower amounts of myrcene than susceptible spruce at one specifically as it has BPF::ied tc lodgepole pinl· seeds· site only. The operation of the OECD Scheme, fTom British Columbia and the: Yukon Territory, These inconsistencies indicate that the is reviewed and illustrated. po:ential of using monoterpene spectra to identify resistance to the white pine weevil is limited. A Breeding Program for Coastal Douglas-fir J.C. Heaman & R.N. Hattie, B.C. Ministry of Forests, (Research Branch), Victoria, e.c. vs 3E7 SEED PRODUCTION FROM BC MINISTRY OF FORESTS ORCHARDS By M. Crown - Seed Production Officer (Coast), Box 816 Duncan, BC V9L 3Y2 As the overall tree irrprovement program in Coastal Douglas-fir developed, a breeding program was established in 1973 to create pedigreed progenies from the selected plus trees. These seedlings have been established on widely-distributed test sites to evaluate performance and adaptability and for selection of material for second level orchards and continued breeding. The scale of the project has made it necessary to spread the work over several years. The poster outlines the aims, objectives and methods used to carry out the project, its progress and through some specific examples, its scope. and C. Bartram - Planning Officer, 1450 Government St. Victoria, BC V8W 3E7 Charts and data are provided for the Quinsam, Koksilah, Snowdon and Dewdney Orchards with regard to actual seed production compared to predicted needs and actual seed usage (1980-B4). A "first approximation" of the ability "to produce broadly adapted seed " is made by graphics of relative contribution of the female parents for the 1983 crop year. . • • Pertinent conclusions and comments are provided as "food for thought". Tree Improvement of Coastal Douglas-fir Research Branch, B.C. Ministry of Forests, Victoria, e.c. Container Seed Orchards - An economical alternative? J.C. A.M. EASTHAM and S.D. ROSS B.C. Ministry of Forests, Research Laboratory, Following studies in inbreeding ( .P. 474) and variation (E.P. 478), phenotypic selection for growth and form was started in 1957 (E.P. 479). The selections were propagated for the breeding collection and for some first level orcha ds. Studies of wide interracial crosses from across the species range fallowed (E.P. 513) and the breeding collection was expandec. Studies of geographic variation and adaptability started in 1966 (E.P. 599). As the clones matured a pilot project using a factorial mating design was startec (E.P. 707), followed by the long-term breeding program (E.P. 708) for resele:tion amongst pedigreed families tested widely. All these pa:ts of the program are now yielding informa:ion an::l rr.aterial which will lead to cantinuea im;:iravemen: of planting stock on the coast. 4300 North Road, Victoria, B.C., VBZ 5J3 Inadequate flowering in the traditional, soil-based seed orchards has limited the production of genetically Container seed orchards are being inves­ improved seed. tigated as an economic alternative for seed production. The concept is to rear large numbers of small trees in containers maximizing seed produced per unit area. Vegetatively propagated ramets are grown for 3-5 years followed by biennial application of cone enhancement treatments. vew JE7. teaman, F.C. Yeh, C.C. Ying. Cultural treatments such as root pruning, high temperature, drought stress and fertilizer applications are used to enhance flowering in conjunc­ tion vi.th applications of gibberellin /7 (GA /7). Various facilities such as heated and unheated plastic­ houses are being used along with several production schemes to determine the most cost-effective production Abundant cones have been reliably produced on western hemlock and white/Engelmann spruce. schedule. 26 POSTER SESSIONS Selection of traits for growth, Isozyme Analysis of Pollen Competition in Douglas- fir. J.E. Webber and F.C.H. Yeh 8.C. Ministry of Fore s t s , Research Branc h , 1 4 5 0 G.overnment Street, Victoria , B . C. VSl 3E7 form., and wood quality in Douglas-fir progeny : II Genetic control of juvenile growth form features John N. King Department of Forest Science, in Edmonton , 817 University of Alberta General Services Bldg . , Edmonton , Alberta T6G 2Hl Certain juvenile growth features appear to be / theTwo reciprocal time-of-pollination experiments tested 11first .. on1 first.. in" hypothesis in Douglas-fir. E1ectrophoretic analysis of isocitrate dehydrogena se ( J O H ) alleles was used to distinguish between two marked male rarents in resultant seeds. In the first test, one each of two foreign pollen parents was applied first followed by the other 5 min or 24 h later. In the second test, a self and foreign pollen parent were compared in a similar reciprocal a rrangement 5 m i n . 6 h and 24 h apart. Results from both experiments suggested that where two foreign pollen lots arrived wi thin 5 m i n of each other, both parents contributed t o the seed produced. In the case where the second pollen parent arrived 6 or 24 h later, the first was in a more favour­ able posi tion for fertilization of the ovules but whether it competed successfully for seed formation depended on its viability. When self pollen was applied first . seed yields were lower and the predom inate male parent was attributed to the foreign pollen lot. of prime importance in causing distorted growth symptoms in young plantations of Doug las-fir. sinuosity of stem and branches; These include forking and multiple leader growth: and lammas and prolepsis. Preliminary evidence suggests these juvenile growth features are under strong genetic control and their influence on the form. of young Douglas-fir can be removed i n a relatively simple selection scheme . RETURN O F THE EXPATRIATE RADIATA W J L i bby and J H Russe l ) Forestry , U of Cal i fo rn i a , Berkeley 94720 USA Radiata p i ne was i n t roduced to Austra l i a and New Zea1end f rom the nat i ve popul ations at AOo Nuevo and Monte rey in the 18SO ' s . Si nce then, the nat i ve stands have been repeate d l y h i ghgraded for several generat ions whi l e the Austra l i an and New Zeal and forests have been pl anted wi th l o ca l l y-deri ved radiata s e l ected for g rowt h , form and v i g o r . In New Zealand expe r i ments , New Zealand t rees outperform rec.ent i n t roduct i on s f rom a l l 5 nat i ve popu l a t i ons . ls thi s due to hlm'l'lan­ di rected s e l ect i on , to natural selection f o rm i n g a New Zealand l and race , to release f rom inbreedi n g , o r to some comb i nation of these factors? Th i s poster presents the early performance in Cal i fo rn i a of po p u l a t i o n samp l e s f rom the nat i ve Monterey and Ano Nuevo s t an ds , and of 38 f u l l - s i b fami l i es from radiata Sus­ breeding programs in Austra l i a end New Zea l and. cept i b i l i ty to western gal l rust , not yet present Down Unde r , i s of part i cu l a r i nterest. Age-related Outcrossing Rate in Western Hemlock Francis Yeh and Mike Meagl'er Research Branch, B.C. Ministry cf Forests, Victoria, B.C. , Csnada VBW 3E7 ;' Mating system was studied in 3 geographically proximate populations of western hemlock ( heterophylla) of ages 30, 70 and 300. Average genetic distance was nearly 1 , indicating the likelihood of c0111o 11 n descent. Outcrossing rate decreased with age, from 1 . 0 in 30-yr old to 0.5 in JOJ-yr old stand. Wright ' s fixation index was nearly zero in mature trees. Low level of out.crossing was due Primarily to inbreeding, not selfing because (1) stands were in inbreeding equilibrill11 and (2) no detectable depression in filled-seed % was found. Implications to parent-tree selection and 0-P progenies for western hemlock will be discussed. Clonal and population variation of Popu lus trich ocarpa and its hybrids with tol eranc e . !.:... deltoides in herbicide Diane Marie Shirley Univ ersity of Washington Four clones from each of ten natural populations of Populus trichocarpa and ten hybrids with • P. deltoides were established in a field trial and treated with oxyfluorf en, oryzalin, pronamide and simazin e . An ANOVA conducted at the end of the s eason showed the effects of treatment, clones , populations, clones within a population, treatment x clone, treatment x population, and treatment x clones within a population to be significant. Hybrids , as a group were more tol erant of the herbicides than were t h e black cottonwoods. A s econd study, now in progr e s s , utilizes clones selected from the earlier study but grown under more controlled environmental conditions. results will be discuss ed . Preliminary 27 ABSTRACTS TECHNICAL SESSION Estimating, Predicting and Accelerating Genetic Gain ABSTRACTS Predicting Genetic Gains in Volume Yields for the Northern Region: Using the Stand Prognosis /.bdel by George E . Howe and Terry L . Raetig y Effect of f ami l y size and number on the accuracy and !/ precision of the estimates of genetic parame?ters in the IUFRO Dou glas-fir .. provcn;ince-progeny t r i a 1 . Yousry El-Kassahy1 A.1!ta FaGhler and Oscar S:i:iklai Pacl!ic Forest Products Ltd . 'I'he Stand Prognosis Jodel predicted genetic gains in volume yields for ten sites in the Northern Region , USDA Forest Service , ranging in productivity fran. (. 20 to > 120 cu.ft . /Nyr. MAI . These sites were typical of those scheduled to be planted with improved stock from the Northern Region 1 s extant breeding pro­ gram for six species. In each of the ten analyses , an unimproved stand (usually the existing stand) was contrasted on the same site with an improved stand of identical species composition, initial stocking and age. The two stands were projected to final hanrest under silvicultural treatment schedules consistent with respective growth and stocking . V6T VBW 2113. 1W5 Canad a . of provenance mean height. genetic variance components encl heritability were studied in a ten-year-old IUFRO Douglas-fir provenance-progeny trial. Estimates of these parameters and their respective standard errors were computed for different numbers of families within provenances and trees wi t h in famil i e s . The accuracy of the mean height estimates did not differ appreciably with changes in either fa rui ly number or s i z e , however , the precision o f the estiniates was affected b y chan.2.P.S in the family size. Both the accuracy an d the p r c j s i o n 2 were grea t l y influ nced of t h e additive variance and h by the number and size o f families. Based on estimates obtained by compute.: simulation optimum sample sizes for the number of famil i r s per provenance and the number of trees per family was proposed . Genetic Gain fran Provenance X Plantation Interaction 'I'he results of these ten site-specific analyses were extended to all Northern Region acres to be planted with improved stock . The average annual volume added by the end of the 21st century about equalled the volume currently available for harvest annual ly fn:mi two of the Northelil Region ' s National Forests--the Flathead and the Lolo. 'l} Vic tori a, B . C . The effect o f sample size o n t h e accuracy and precision 'I'he authors viewed genetic gain as the difference in voltmle yield between the improved and unimproved alternative s . Gains ranged from 4 . 5% to 35.8%. These gains were calculated from yields estimated by the Prognosis Model using height and diameter gTCA.'th rate nultipliers , or mortality rate Jl'llltipliers (for blister rust resistance) , supplied by the authors . f,enetic improvement in blister 1ust resistance alone predicted gains in volume yields , as did improvement in growth rates alone . The added volumes will begin to be harvested in about 2020 in c0111e 11 rcial thinnings . y • and Faculty o f Forestry, U . B . C . 1 Vancouve r . B . C . Fan H . Kung!./ 19 Abstract' Height growth of white ash provenances at 4 plantations sho.t.ed significant provenance by 'Ihe interaction terms , ob­ plantation interaction. tained through a •rrean polish procedure , • were used Presented at the 1984 meeting of the North American Quantitative Forest Genetics Group , Victoria, BC, August 10. In the Illinois plantation , for regression analysis . extra genetic gain is possible with superior pro­ lb additional genetic gain is possible in venances. the Louisiana and the Ohio plantations . The average Regional Geneticist and Regional Economist, respectively, USDA Forest Seivice , Northern Region , Missoula , t.bn tana . • provenance performances could be expected in these t"'° plantations • Because the average superior pro­ venances are slow growers in Wisconsin, a new con­ cept of •negative genetic gain" or 11genetic loss " is introduced in this paper. CONFI DENCE LIMITS FOR GENETI C GAIN PREDICTIONS !IProfessor, Departnent of Forestry, Southern Illinois University. Carbondale . IL C. B. TALBERT Weyerhaeuser Company, Technology Center Tacoma , Washington 98477 Regression theory provides a method for a ssignment of confidence l imits to predictions of genetic gain. Jn populations of moderate to low heritability, the variance around a given gain prediction can be quite large, even encompas s i n g the possibility of negative response. The precision of gain predictions can be much increased by careful attention to family and withi n-fami l y sample size, to good replication, and to mana gement of tests to minimize environmental noise. Active approaches toward management of uncertainty are d iscussed. 30 62901 ABSTRACTS I How t o increase genetic gain Francis C. Yeh Research Branch, 8 . C . Ministry of Forests Genetic Gain from Selection within a Large Wind-j:>ollinated Lodgepole Pine Progeny Plantation Cheng c. Ying, Research Branch, Ministry of forests Victoria , B.C. , Canada V i ctori a , 8 . C . Canada . VSW 3E7 A plantation consisting of approximately 14,flJO trees representing 778 wind-pollinated families from 53 provenances was established in 1973. Potential genetic gain from selection within this plantation was estimated under two selection schemes : Selection Genetic gain ( above local sources) Scheme Height Volume l Mass selection of 6. 7 2CXJ tallest trees 15. 8 2 Tandem selection o f 2 trees each of the 100 best families 11. 7 4. 9 Six provenances contributed 67 and 66% of the selected individuals under scheme l and 2 respectively. This i llustrates the significance of the provenance component in genetic improvement o f lodgepole pine. A large scale wind-pollinated progeny plantation such as this one provides a valuable source material for re-selection. Genetic gain is best described in terms of 3 components : ( 1 ) intensity o f selection, ( 2 ) amount of additive genetic variance and (3) accuracy of selection. The last CQnl>onent is a function of heritability and amount of information available for Use of all sources of information, such each tree. as data on related traits, data on repeated measurements of the same tree, or data on relatives from same or previous cycles of selection, therefore, will result in greater gain. This discussion evaluates the need for using all sources of information to incrase genetic gain. Variables considered are heritability, number of repeated measurements per tree and nunber of progenies per parent. Gains from Selection in Pines in Central Georgia by Earl R. Sluder Tree breeding research in central Georgia has included three stages of selection, with each stage producing its own increment of gain. Total gains have been moderate to high for several traits , but when selection at a particular s·tage is performed on a single critical trait, gains for that stage can be low· or negative for other traits. Also, selection on a single trait presents problems in detennining selection intensities for other traits, which in tu111 presents problems in estimating genetic gains from actual or phenorypic gain data. Estimates of Additive and Non-Additive Genetic Variance from a Douglas-Fir Diallel Established with Rooted Cuttings ./ R.W. Stonecypher Weyerhaeuser Company, Centralia, Washington , 98531 ' • V8W 3E7 Analyses of four-year height data from a 12- tree diallel of Douglas -fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) gave estimates of broad-sense heritability which were approximately double that of narrow s nse. Plagiotropism, which was prevalent in the first two years , was under strong genetic control and had a large non- additive component . However, by the fourth year in the field, the occurrence of plagiotropism was reduced to less than 10 percent . c.omparisons of growth of ortets with clonal perfor­ mance on a family basis indicated only moderate rank agreement, which suggests that clonal testing would be requi red to detennine appropriate genotypes for use in a clonal production program. 31