COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY ECONOMICS ECON 720: PUBLIC ECONOMICS FALL 2014 TuTh 9:30 - 10:45AM, Clark C307, Fall 2014 Instructor: Office: Email: Phone: Office hour: Dr. Hsueh-Hsiang Li C320 Clark Building hsueh-hsiang.li@colostate.edu 491-6305 (Office) Tuesdays 11AM-12PM Course Website: log in at http://ramct.colostate.edu Course Description Econ 720 is one of the two courses in the graduate public economics sequence at CSU. This course focuses primarily on tax and expenditure policy. The topics include incidence and efficiency cost of taxation, optimal taxation, transfers and welfare programs, social insurance programs, and behavioral responses (e.g. labor supply, saving) to public policies. Prerequisites First-year graduate microeconomics and econometrics, or equivalent. I will assume that you are already familiar with the first-year level theory and tools from these sequences and therefore can read, understand, and discuss academic literature within economics. General References A. Atkinson and J. Stiglitz. Lectures in Public Economics. New York: McGraw Hill, 1980. A. Auerbach, and M. Feldstein. Handbook of Public Economics. Volumes 1-4, Amsterdam: North Holland, 1985, 1987, 2002, and 2003. A. Auerbach, R. Chetty, M. Feldstein, and E. Saez. Handbook of Public Economics. Volumes 5, 2013. J. Gruber. Public Finance and Public Policy, third edition, 2010. J. Hindriks and G.D. Myles. Intermediate Public Economics, second edition, 2013. Grading Problem Sets (40%) I will assign two to three problem sets that will be collected and lightly graded. You may work together on these, but each of you must turn in your own work. Some of the problems require the use of statistical packages (e.g. Stata) and you shall familiarize yourself with the tools. Class Discussion (20%) Each of you will lead a 15-minute discussion on one of the paper marked with * on the syllabus. 1 Referee Report (10%) You should attend the department seminars, and write a referee report to one of the paper presented in the seminars. You are strongly encouraged to write a referee report on a job candidate’s paper. This task helps developing your critical thinking skills and provides constructive feedback to your peers to polish their work before entering the job market. For references, Prof. Fortin provides a nice guideline on referee reports: http://faculty.arts.ubc.ca/nfortin/econ560/guidereferee.pdf Research Proposal (30%) As a graduate student, you are expected to conduct original research. By mid-October, each of you should develop an original research idea and turn in a one-page research idea that includes: a research question, why do we care about the question, literature gap, your contribution, and how you plan to answer this question (including what data and tools that you consider using). You should discuss this research idea with me no later than the end of October. Once the research idea is developed, you continue working on the research proposal which includes an introduction, literature review, and research design. The deadline for turning in your final research proposal is December 12, 2014, the last day of the semester. Grading Scale: Letter Grade Percentage Points A AB+ B BC+ C D F Above 93 90 – 92.9 87 – 89.9 83 – 86.9 80 – 82.9 77 – 79.9 67 – 76.9 60 – 66.9 Below 60 The instructor reserves the right to lower the number of points required for any grade. Expected Weekly Work Hours Average daily hours required for taking this course over the semester: Lectures/Class meetings: 2.5 hours Reading: 2 hours Preparation for presentation: 0.5 hour Problem sets: 2 hour Research proposal: 2 hour Total 9 hours Academic Integrity 2 This course will adhere to the Academic Integrity Policy of the General Catalog and the Student Conduct Code. As per university policy, "Any student found responsible for having engaged in academic dishonesty will be subject to academic penalty and/or University disciplinary action." (General Catalog 2011-2012, 1.6, p.7). Any academic dishonesty in this course may result in a grade of "F" for the course and may be reported to the Office of Conflict Resolution and Student Conduct Services. The General Catalog specifically identifies the following examples of academic dishonesty: cheating in the classroom, plagiarism, unauthorized possession or disposition of academic materials, falsification, and facilitation of cases of academic dishonesty. Plagiarism is defined as follows: "Plagiarism includes the copying of language, structure, ideas, or thoughts of another, and representing them as one's own without proper acknowledgment. Examples include a submission of purchased research papers as one's own work; paraphrasing and/or quoting material without properly documenting the source." (General Catalog 2011-2012, 1.6, p. 7). Accommodations for Students with Disabilities Students requesting special accommodations should contact Resources for Disabled Students (RDS) at 970-491-6385. Special accommodations for exams will not be granted without pre-approval from RDS. If this applies to you, please make arrangements and contact me immediately so I can provide accommodations to facilitate your learning. Class Policies: To provide a class environment where students can focus on learning, I will not tolerate any form of disruptive in-classroom behavior. Please refrain from carrying on conversation with your classmates, texting messages, reading newspapers, or conducting any disruptive behavior while the instructor or any student, or invited guest, is speaking to the entire class. Please silence your cell phone during the class meetings. Also, if you must occasionally arrive to class late or leave early, please enter and leave in as non-disrupting manner as possible. If you are having any problems with the course, please bring these problems to my attention. The sooner you come for help, the better. Please use your judgment in asking questions via email; if you think a question will take more than one exchange or is algebraically or graphically involved, it would be best for you to meet me in person during my office hours. Grievance Procedure Colorado State University has developed a grievance procedure by which students may file complaints about a course or an instructor. Students are encouraged to resolve any concerns informally by contacting their instructor within ten (10) business days of the 3 initial complaint or the complaint/grievance will be deemed untimely. If an informal resolution cannot be reached, students should contact their advisor for further assistance. Course Outline and Reading List Journal abbreviations for the reading list: AER American Economic Review Econ Econometrica JEP Journal of Economic Perspectives JPE Journal of Political Economy NTJ National Tax Journal I. BPEA JEL JHR JPubE QJE Brookings Papers on Economic Activity Journal of Economic Literature Journal of Human Resources Journal of Public Economics Quarterly Journal of Economics Tax Incidence Partial Equilibrium: ** A. Atkinson and J. Stiglitz Lectures on Public Economics, New York: McGraw Hill. Chapters 6 and 7. * R. Chetty, A. Looney, and K. Kroft. “Salience and Taxation: Theory and Evidence.” American Economic Review 99(4): 1145-1177, 2009. Section V.C. ** L. Kotlikoff and L. Summers. “Tax Incidence,” in A. Auerbach and M. Feldstein, Volume 2, 1043-1092. Required reading: Sections 0, 1, 2, 3.1, and 4.4. * W. Evans, J. Ringel, and D. Stech. “Tobacco Taxes and Public Policy to Discourage Smoking,” in Tax Policy and the Economy, vol. 13, ed. J. Poterba, MIT Press: Cambridge, 1999. * J. Hastings, and Ebonya Washington. 2010. “The First of the Month Effect: Consumer Behavior and Store Responses.” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2(2): 142–62. J. Rothstein. “Is the EITC as Good as an NIT? Conditional Cash Transfers and Tax Incidence,” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2(1), February 2010, 177-208. General Equilibrium: A. Harberger. “The Incidence of the Corporate Income Tax,” Journal of Political Economics, 1962, 215-240. J. Shoven and J. Whalley. “Applied General Equilibrium Models of Taxation and International Trade,” Journal of Economic Literature, 1984. ** L. Kotlikoff and L. Summers. “Tax Incidence,” in A. Auerbach and M. Feldstein, Handbook of Public Economics, Volume 2, Sections 2.2.1-2.2.3 and 2.3 Open Economy: ** M. Feldstein and C. Horioka, “Domestic Savings and International Capital Flows”, Economic Journal, 90(358), June 1980, 314-329. Asset Price Approach: ** L. Kotlikoff and L. Summers, “Tax Incidence”, in A. Auerbach and M. Feldstein, Volume 2, 1043-1092, Section 3.1. 4 * D. Cutler, “Tax Reform and the Stock Market: An Asset Price Approach,” American Economic Review, 78(5), December 1988, 1107-1117, esp. Sections IIII. * J. Friedman, “The Incidence of the Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit: Using Asset Prices to Assess Its Impact on Drug Makers,” Harvard Kennedy School Working Paper, 2009. * L. Linden and J. Rockoff “There Goes the Neighborhood? Estimates of the Impact of Crime Risk on Property Values from Megan's Laws,” American Economic Review 98(3): 1103-1127, 2008. Mandated Benefits: * D. Acemoglu and J. Angrist, “Consequences of Employment Protection? The Case of the Americans with Disabilities Act,’’ Journal of Political Economy 109(5) 915-957, 2001 * J. Gruber, “The Incidence of Mandated Maternity Benefits,” American Economic Review, 84(3), June 1994, 622-641. * J. Kolstad and A. Kowalski, “Mandate-Based Health Reform and the Labor Market: Evidence from the Massachusetts Reform,” NBER Working Paper No. 17933, 2012 ** L. Summers, “Some Simple Economics of Mandated Benefits,” American Economic Review, 79(2), May 1989, 177-183. II. Efficiency and Optimal Taxation ** A. Auerbach, “The Theory of Excess Burden and Optimal Taxation,” in A. Auerbach and M. Feldstein, Handbook of Public Economics, Volume 1, 61-127. Amsterdam: North Holland, 1985. Sections 1, 2, 3.1, and 4. ** J. Hausman, “Exact Consumers Surplus and Deadweight Loss,” American Economic Review, 71(4), September 1981, 662-676. ** R. Chetty. “Is the Taxable Income Elasticity Sufficient to Calculate Deadweight Loss? The Implications of Evasion and Avoidance,” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy: 1(2): 31–52, 2009. * Diamond, Peter and Emmanuel Saez, “The Case for a Progressive Tax: From Basic Research to Policy Recommendations,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2011, 165-90. * D. Bernheim and A. Rangel, 2009. “Beyond Revealed Preference: ChoiceTheoretic Foundations for Behavioral Welfare Economics,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 124(1): pages 51-104. 5 Bernheim, B. Douglas, “Emmanuel Saez: 2009 John Bates Clark Medalist,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer, 2010 Kaplow, Louis, “Taxation,” Handbook of Law and Economics, Vol. 1, A.M. Polinsky and S. Shavell (eds.), 2007, 647-755 Auerbach, Alan J. and James R. Hines, “Taxation and Economic Efficiency,” Handbook of Public Economics, Vol. 3, 1347-1421 Ballard, Charles, Donald Fullerton, John Shoven and John Whalley, General Equilibrium Analysis of U.S. Tax Policies, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1985 McLure, Charles, "General Equilibrium Incidence Analysis: The Harberger Model After Ten Years," JPubE, February, 1975 Shoven, John and John Whalley, "Applied General Equilibrium Models of Taxation and International Trade," JEL, September, 1984 Whalley, John, "Lessons From General Equilibrium Models," in Uneasy Compromise: Problems of a Hybrid Income-Consumption Tax, H. Aaron, H. Galper, J. Pechman (eds.), The Brookings Institution, 1990 Parry, Ian W. H. and Kenneth A. Small, “Does Britain or the United States Have the Right Gasoline Tax?” American Economic Review, September, 2005, 12761289 R. Chetty, “Sufficient Statistics for Welfare Analysis: A Bridge Between Structural and Reduced-Form Methods,” Annual Review of Economics 1: 451488, 2009. P. Diamond and D. McFadden, “Some Uses of the Expenditure Function in Public Finance,” Journal of Public Economics 3 (1974), 3-21. J. Hausman and W. Newey, “Nonparametric Estimation of Exact Consumers Surplus and Deadweight Loss,” Econometrica 63 (1995), 1445-1476. J. Hines, “Three Sides of Harberger Triangles,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 13(2), Spring 1999, 167-188. J. Slemrod, “Optimal Taxation and Optimal Tax Systems,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 4(1), Winter 1990, 157-178. D. Albouy, “The Unequal Geographic Burden of Federal Taxation,” JPE, 2009. M. Feldstein, “Tax Avoidance and the Deadweight Loss of the Income Tax,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 81(4), November 1999, 674-680. 6 A. Goolsbee, “The Value of Broadband and the Deadweight Loss of Taxing New Technologies,” Contributions to Economic Analysis & Policy (B.E. Press Journals), 5(1), 2006. L. Goulder and R. Williams. "The Substantial Bias from Ignoring General Equilibrium Effects in Estimating Excess Burden, and a Practical Solution," Journal of Political Economy, 2003, 111:898-927. J. Marion and E. Muehlegger. “Measuring Illegal Activity and the Effects of Regulatory Innovation: Tax Evasion and the Dyeing of Untaxed Diesel,” Journal of Political Economy 116:4, p.633-666, August 2008. A. Auerbach, “The Theory of Excess Burden and Optimal Taxation,” in A. Auerbach and M. Feldstein, Handbook of Public Economics, 1985, Volume 1, 61-127, Section 5. A. Auerbach and J. Hines, “Taxation and Economic Efficiency,” in A. Auerbach and M. Feldstein, 2002, Handbook of Public Economics, Volume 3, 61-125. E. Saez, “Using Elasticities to Derive Optimal Income Tax Rates,” Review of Economics Studies, 68, 2001, 205-229, Sections 1-3 and 5. B. Salanie, The Economics of Taxation, Cambridge: MIT Press, 2003, Chapter 4. M. Golosov, A. Tsyvinski, and I. Werning “New Dynamic Public Finance: a User’s Guide,” NBER Macro Annual 2006 C. Chamley, “Optimal Taxation of Capital Income in General Equilibrium with Infinite Lives,” Econometrica, 54 (1986), 607-622. E. Farhi and I. Werning, “Inequality, Social Discounting and Estate Taxation” Journal of Political Economy 115: 365-402, 2007. M. Feldstein, “The Welfare Cost of Capital Income Taxation,” Journal of Political Economy 86 (1978), 329-52. K. Judd, “Redistributive Taxation in a Simple Perfect Foresight Model,” Journal of Public Economics 28 (1985), 59-83. N. Kocherlakota, “Zero Expected Wealth Taxes: A Mirrlees Approach to Dynamic Optimal Taxation,” Econometrica 73, 2005. III. Income Taxation and Labor Supply ** J. Hausman "Taxes and Labor Supply", in A. Auerbach and M. Feldstein, eds, Handbook of Public Finance, Vol I, North Holland 1985, sections 1-3. 7 ** Saez, Emmanuel, Joel Slemrod and Seth Giertz, "The Elasticity of Taxable Income with Respect to Marginal Tax Rates: A Critical Review," Journal of Economic Literature, 2012, 50(1): 3-50 * R. Blundell, A. Duncan and C. Meghir, “Estimating Labor Supply Responses Using Tax Reforms,” Econometrica 66 (July 1998), 827-862. * N. Eissa “Taxation and Labor Supply of Married Women: The Tax Reform Act of 1986 as a Natural Experiment,” NBER Working Paper 5023, 1995. * R. Chetty, J. Friedman, and E. Saez, 2013, “Using Differences in Knowledge Across Neighborhoods to Uncover the Impacts of the EITC on Earnings” American Economic Review, 103(7): 2683-2721. * Hotz, V. Joseph, Charles H. Mullin and John Karl Scholz, 2005, “The Earned Income Tax Credit and Labor Market Participation of Families on Welfare,” mimeo, University of Wisconsin – Madison * Meyer, Bruce D. and Dan T. Rosenbaum, 2001, “Welfare, the Earned Income Tax Credit, and the Labor Supply of Single Mothers,” QJE, CXVI(3), August, 1063-1114 * Saez, Emmanuel. 2010. "Do Taxpayers Bunch at Kink Points?" American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2(3): 180-212. * Feldstein, Martin, "The Effect of Marginal Tax Rates on Taxable Income: A Panel Study of the 1986 Tax Reform," Journal of Political Economy, June 1995, 551-572 * Gruber, Jonathan and Emmanuel Saez, “The Elasticity of Taxable Income: Evidence and Implications,” Journal of Public Economics, April 2002 * M. Bianchi, B. Gudmundsson, and G. Zoega, “Iceland’s Natural Experiment in Supply-Side Economics,” American Economic Review, 91, December 2001, 1564-1579 * Emmanuel Saez and Michael R. Veall, “The Evolution of High Incomes in Northern America: Lessons from Canadian Evidence,” American Economic Review, June 2005, 95(3), 831-849 * Goolsbee, Austan, “What Happens When You Tax the Rich? Evidence From Executive Compensation,” Journal of Political Economy, April 2000, 352-78 D. Card and D. Hyslop. “Estimating the Effects of a Time-Limited Earnings Subsidy for Welfare Leavers.” Econometrica, 73(6): 1723-1770, November 2005. J. Pencavel. (1986) "Labor Supply of Men: A Survey," Handbook of Labor Economics, vol. 1, chapter 1. 8 Killingsworth, M. and J. Heckman (1986), "Labor Supply of Women," in Ashenfelter and Layard (eds.) Handbook of Labor Economics, Vol. 1, 1986. [C] R. Blundell and T. Macurdy. (1999) “ Labor supply: a review of alternative approaches,” in the Handbook of Labor Economics, Volume 3A, O. Ashenfelter and D. Card, eds. R. Moffitt, “Welfare Programs and Labor Supply”, in A. Auerbach and M. Feldstein, Handbook of Public Economics, Volume 4, Chapter 34, Amsterdam: North Holland, 2003 or NBER Working Paper 9168 September 2002. Hotz, V. Joseph and John Karl Scholz, “The Earned Income Tax Credit,” in Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the U.S., Robert Moffitt, Editor, The University of Chicago Press and NBER, 2003 Scholz, John Karl, "The Earned Income Tax Credit: Participation, Compliance, and Anti-poverty Effectiveness," NTJ, March, 1994, 59-81 Ellwood, David, “The Impact of the Earned Income Tax Credit and Other Social Policy Changes on Work and Marriage in the United States,” NTJ, 53, 2000, 1063-1106 G. Dahl, K. Løken, and M. Mogstad, "Peer Effects in Program Participation," American Economic Review, 104(7), 2014, 2049-74. N. Eissa and H. Hoynes, “Taxes and the Labor Market Participation of Married Couples: The Earned Income Tax Credit,” Journal of Public Economics, 88(910), 1931-1958 (2004). N. Eissa and J. Liebman, “Labor Supply Response to the Earned Income Tax Credit”, Quarterly Journal of Economics 111 (1996), 605-637 J. Grogger “The Effects of Time Limits, the EITC, and Other Policy Changes on Welfare Use, Work, and Income Among Female-Headed Families”, Review of Economic and Statistics, 2004 forthcoming. Slemrod, Joel, “Methodological Issues in Measuring and Interpreting Taxable Income Elasticities,” National Tax Journal, December, 1998, 773-88 IV. Taxation and Saving * Gale, William G. and John Karl Scholz, "IRAs and Household Saving," AER, December, 1994, 1233-1260 * Madrian, Bridget and D. Shea, “The Power of Suggestion: Inertia in 401(k) Participation and Saving Behavior,” QJE, 116, November 2001, 1149-1187 * Gale, William G., “The Effects of Pensions on Household Wealth: A ReEvaluation of Theory and Evidence,” JPE, August 1998, 706-723 9 * Bernheim, B. Douglas, Jonathan Skinner and Steven Weinberg, “What Accounts for the Variation in Retirement Wealth Among U.S. Households?” AER, 91 (2001), 832-857 * Scholz, John Karl, Ananth Seshadri, and Surachai Khitatrakun, “Are Americans Saving ‘Optimally’ for Retirement?” JPE, 114(4), August 2006, 607-643 Scholz, John Karl and Ananth Seshadri, "Children and Household Wealth," mimeo, 2009 Scholz, John Karl and Ananth Seshadri, "Health and Wealth in a Lifecycle Model," mimeo, 2010 Hurst, Erik, “The Retirement of a Consumption Puzzle,” in Recalibrating Retirement Spending and Saving (eds. John Americks and Olivia Mitchell), 2007 Venti, Steve and David Wise, "Have IRAs Increased U.S. Saving? Evidence from Consumer Expenditure Surveys," QJE, 1990, pp. 661-698 Bernheim, B. Douglas, “Taxation and Saving,” Handbook of Public Economics, volume 3. 1173-1249 Poterba, Jim, Steve Venti, and David Wise, "How Retirement Saving Programs Increase Saving," JEP, Fall 1996, 91-112 Engen, Eric M., William G. Gale, and John Karl Scholz, "The Illusory Effects of Saving Incentives,” JEP, Fall 1996, 113-138 Gale, William G. And Karen M. Pence, “Are Successive Generations Getting Wealthier, and If So, Why?” BPEA, 2006(1), 155-234 Hubbard, Glenn, Jon Skinner, and Steve Zeldes, "The Importance of Precautionary Motives in Explaining Individual and Aggregate Saving," JPE, April, 1995, 360-399 Engen, Eric M., William G. Gale and Corrie E. Uccello, “The Adequacy of Household Saving,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1999 (2), 65-165 Banks, James, Richard Blundell, and Sarah Tanner, “Is There a RetirementSavings Puzzle?” American Economic Review, September, 1998, 769-788 Attanasio, Orazio, "A Cohort Analysis of Saving Behavior by U.S. Households," Journal of Human Resources, Summer, 1998, 575-609 Boskin, Michael, "Taxation, Saving, and the Rate of Interest," JPE, Part 2, April 1978, pp. 3-27 10 Howrey, E. and Saul Hymans, "The Measurement and Determinants of Loanable Funds Saving," BPEA, 1978 Hall, Robert, "Intertemporal Substitution in Consumption," JPE, 96, 1988, pp. 337-357 Jappelli, Tullio and Marco Pagano, "Saving, Growth, and Liquidity Constraints," QJE, February, 1994, 83-109 Slemrod, Joel, "Fear of Nuclear War and Intercountry Differences in Saving," Economic Inquiry, 28, 1990, pp. 647-657 V. The Corporate Income Tax, Capital Structure and Other Aspects of Financial Policy ** Chetty, Raj and Emmanuel Saez, “Dividend Taxes and Corporate Behavior: Evidence from the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut,” QJE, August 2005, 70(3), 791-833 Auerbach, Alan J., “Taxation and Corporate Financial Policy,” Handbook of Public Economics, volume 3. 1251-1292 Auerbach, Alan J., “Who Bears the Corporate Tax? A Review of What We Know,” in J. Poterba (eds.) Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 20 (2006), 1 – 40, or NBER Working Paper #11686 (2005) Graham, John R., “Taxes and Corporate Finance: A Review,” Review of Financial Studies, 16:4, Winter 2003 MacKie-Mason, Jeffrey, "Do Taxes Affect Corporate Financing Decisions?," Journal of Finance, 1990 Givoly, D. (and coauthors), "Taxes and Capital Structure: Evidence From Firms' Response to the Tax Reform Act of 1986," Review of Financial Studies, 5(2), 1992 Jensen, Michael, and William Meckling, "Theory of the Firm: Managerial Behavior, Agency Cost and Capital Structure," Journal of Financial Economics, 3, 1976 Miller, Merton, "Debt and Taxes," Journal of Finance, May, 1977 Modigliani, Franco and Merton Miller, "The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance, and the Theory of Investment," AER, June, 1958 Modigliani, Franco and Merton Miller, "Corporation Income Taxes and the Cost of Capital: A Correction," AER, June 1963 Myers, Stewart, "Determination of Corporate Borrowing," Journal of Financial Economics, 5, 1977 11 Ross, Stephen, "The Determination of Financial Structure: The Incentive Signaling Approach," Bell Journal, Spring, 1977 Bernheim, B. Douglas and Adam Wanz, "A Tax-Based Test of the Dividend Signaling Hypothesis," AER, June, 1995, 532-551 Auerbach, Alan "Wealth Maximization and the Cost of Capital," QJE, August, 1979 Bernheim, B. Douglas, "Tax Policy and the Dividend Puzzle," Rand Journal of Economics, 1991 Bhattacharya, Sudipto, "Imperfect Information, Dividend Policy, and 'The Bird in the Hand' Fallacy," Bell Journal, Spring, 1979 Black, Fisher, "The Dividend Puzzle," Journal of Portfolio Management, Winter, 1976 Miller, Merton and Franco Modigliani, "Dividend Policy, Growth and Valuation of Shares," Journal of Business, October, 1961 Poterba, James and Lawrence Summers, "The Economic Effects of Dividend Taxation," in Recent Developments in Corporate Finance, E. Altman and M. Subrahmanyan, (eds.), Dow Jones Irwin, 1985 Scholz, John Karl, "A Direct Examination of the Dividend Clientele Hypothesis," JPubE, 1992, 261-285 Shefrin, Hersh and Meir Statman, "Explaining Investor Preference for Cash Dividends," Journal of Financial Economics, 13, 1984 VI. Income Transfer Programs * Scholz, John Karl, Robert Moffitt, and Benjamin Cowen, “Trends in Income Support,” in Changing Poverty, M. Cancian and S. Danziger (eds.), Russell Sage Foundation, forthcoming * Hastings, Justine, and Ebonya Washington. 2010. "The First of the Month Effect: Consumer Behavior and Store Responses." American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2(2): 142-62. * Saez, Emmanuel, “Optimal Income Transfer Programs: Intensive versus Extensive Labor Supply Responses,” QJE, August 2002, 1039-1073 M. Bitler, J. Gelbach, and H. Hoynes, “What Mean Impacts Miss: Distributional Impacts of Welfare Reform Programs,” American Economic Review, 2006. 12 Janet Currie, Jayanta Bhattacharya and Steven Haider, "Breakfast of Champions? The Effects of the School Breakfast Program on the Nutrition of Children and their Families," Journal of Human Resources, 41,3, Summer 2006. G. Akerlof, “The Economics of Tagging as Applied to the Optimal Income Tax,” American Economic Review, 68(1), March 1978, 8-19. T. Besley and S. Coate, “Public Provision of Private Goods and the Redistribution of Income,” American Economic Review, 81(4), September 1991, 979-984. T. Besley and S. Coate, “Workfare versus Welfare: Incentives Arguments for Work Requirements in Poverty-Alleviation Programs,” American Economic Review, 82(1), March 1992, 249-261. S. Coate, “Altruism, the Samaritan’s Dilemma, and Government Transfer Policy,” American Economic Review, 85(1), March 1995, 46-57. A. Nichols and R. Zeckhauser, “Targeting Transfers Through Restrictions on Recipients,” American Economic Review, 72(2), May 1982, 372-377. E. Saez, “Optimal Income Transfer Programs: Intensive Versus Extensive Labor Supply Responses,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 117 (2002), 1039-1073. B. Salanie, The Economics of Taxation, Cambridge: MIT Press, 2003, Chapter 8. H. Varian, “Redistributive Taxation as Social Insurance,” Journal of Public Economics, 14 (1980), 49-68. R. Zeckhauser “Optimal Mechanisms for Income Transfer” American Economic Review, 61(3), June 1971 Fang, Hanming and Michael P. Keane, “Assessing the Impact of Welfare Reform on Single Mothers,” BPEA, 2004(1), 1-116 Blank, Rebecca, “Evaluating Welfare Reform in the U.S.,” JEL, December 2002, 1105-1166 Moffitt, Robert, “Economic Effects of Means-Tested Transfers in the U.S.,” Tax Policy and the Economy, 2002, 1-35 Ellwood, David, “Anti-Poverty Policy for Families in the Next Century: From Welfare to Work and Worries,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2000, 187-198 Moffitt, Robert, “The Temporary Assistance for Needy Families Program,” in Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the U.S., Robert Moffitt, Editor, The University of Chicago Press and NBER, 2003, 291-362 13 Scholz, John Karl and Robert Moffitt, “Trends in the Level and Distribution of Income Support,” in Tax Policy and the Economy, forthcoming Knox, Virginia, Cynthia Miller and Lisa A. Gennetian, “Reforming Welfare and Rewarding Work: A Summary of the Final Report on the Minnesota Family Investment Program,” Manpower Demonstration Research Corporation, September 2000, www.mdrc.org/Reports2000/MFIP/MFIP-ExSum-Final.htm Blank, Rebecca M. and Patricia Ruggles, "When Do Women Use Aid to Families with Dependent Children and Food Stamps?" JHR, Winter, 1996, 5789 Hoynes, Hilary Williamson, "Welfare Transfers in Two-Parent Families: Labor Supply and Welfare Participation Under AFDC-UP," Econ, March, 1996, 295332 Moffitt, Robert, “Welfare Programs and Labor Supply,” NBER Working Paper #9168, Handbook of Public Economics, volume 4 Moffitt, Robert, "Incentive Effects of the U.S. Welfare System: A Review," JEL, March, 1992, 1-61 Moffitt, Robert A., 1998, “The Effects of Welfare on Marriage and Fertility,” in Welfare, the Family and Reproductive Behavior, R. Moffitt (ed.), National Academy Press, 50-97 Akerlof, George, “The Economics of Tagging as Applied to the Optimal Income Tax,” American Economic Review, 1978, 8-19 Besley, Timothy and Stephen Coate, “The Design of Income Maintenance Programmes,” ReStud, April 1995, 187-221 Zeckhauser, Richard, “Optimal Mechanisms for Income Transfers,” AER, June 1971, 324-334 Nichols, A. and Richard Zeckhauser, “Targeting Transfers Through Restrictions on Recipients,” AER, 72(2), May 1982, 372-377 Gruber, Jonathan, “Medicaid” NBER Working Paper #7829, in Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the U.S., Robert Moffitt, Editor, The University of Chicago Press and NBER, 2003, 15-77 Cutler, David and Jonathan Gruber, “Does Public Insurance Crowd Our Private Insurance?” QJE, 111, May 1996, 391-430 Currie, Janet, “U.S. Food and Nutrition Programs,” in Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the U.S., Robert Moffitt, Editor, The University of Chicago Press and NBER, 2003, 199-289 14 Daponte, Beth Osbourne, Seth Sanders and Lowell Taylor, “Why Do LowIncome Households Not Use Food Stamps? Evidence from an Experiment,” Journal of Human Resources, Summer 1999, 612-28 Bitler, Marianne, Janet Currie, and John Karl Scholz, “WIC Eligibility and Participation,” JHR, 38, 2003, 1139-1179 Currie, Janet and Aaron Yelowitz, “Are Public Housing Projects Good for Kids?” JPubE, January 2000, 99-124 Currie, Janet and Duncan Thomas, “Does Head Start Make a Difference?” AER, 85:3, 1995, 341-64 Garces, Eliana, Duncan Thomas and Janet Currie, “Longer Term Effects of Head Start,” American Economic Rewview, 92(4), 2002, 999-1012 Currie, Janet and Matthew Neidell, “Getting Inside the ‘Black Box’ of Head Start Quality: What Matters and What Doesn't?” Economics of Education Review, 26(1), 2007, 83–99 VII. Social Insurance * Autor, David and Mark G. Duggan, “The Rise in Disability Recipiency and the Decline in Unemployment,” QJE, 2003 * Brown, Jeffrey and Amy Finkelstein, “The Interaction of Public and Private Insurance: Medicaid and the Long-Term Insurance Market,” AER, 98(3), 2008, 1083-1102 * D. Black, J. Smith, M. Berger, and B. Noel “Is the Threat of Reemployment Services More Effective than the Services Themselves? Evidence from UI System Using Random Assignment,” American Economic Review 93(4) 131327, September 2003. Einav, Liran, Amy Finkelstein, and Mark R. Cullen, “Estimating Welfare in Insurance Markets Using Variation in Prices,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 125 (3): 877-921. 2010. Krueger, Alan B. and Bruce D. Meyer, “Labor Supply Effects of Social Insurance,” NBER Working Paper #9014, Handbook of Public Economics, volume 4 Gruber, Jonathan, “Disability Insurance Benefits and Labor Supply,” JPE, 108, 2000, 1162-1183 Meyer, Bruce, “Lessons from the U.S. Unemployment Insurance Experiments,” JEL, March 1995, 91-131 15 Feldstein, Martin and Jeffrey Liebman, “Social Security,” Handbook of Public Economics, volume 4, 2245-2315 Diamond, Peter, “Social Security,” AER, March, 2004, 1-24 Gruber, Jonathan and David Wise, “Social Security Programs and Retirement Around the World,” NBER Working Paper #6134, “Introduction and Summary,” in Social Security and Retirement Around the World, University of Chicago Press, 1999, p. 1-36 Aaron, Henry J and John B. Shoven, Should the United States Privatize Social Security?, The Alvin Hansen Symposium on Public Policy, Harvard University, MIT Press, 1999 Diamond, Peter A., "Proposals to Restructure Social Security," JEP, Summer, 1996, 67-88 Feldstein, Martin, "The Missing Piece in Policy Analysis: Social Security Reform," AER, May, 1996, 1-14 Feldstein, Martin and Andrew Samwick, “Maintaining Social Security Benefits and Tax Rates through Personal Retirement Accounts: An Update Based on the 1998 Social Security Trustees Report,” NBER Working Paper #6540 Gramlich, Edward M., "Different Approaches for Dealing with Social Security," JEP, Summer, 1996, 55-66 Samuelson, Paul, "An Exact Consumption Loan Model of Interest with and without the Social Contrivance of Money," JPE, December, 1958 Diamond, Peter, “A Framework for Social Security Analysis,” JPubE, 1977, 275-298 Diamond, Peter and James Mirrlees, "A Model of Social Insurance with Variable Retirement," JPubE, 1978 Bernheim, Douglas, "The Economic Effects of Social Security: Towards a Reconciliation of Theory and Measurement," JPubE, 1987, 273-304 Feldstein, Martin, “The Optimal Level of Social Security Benefits,” QJE, May, 1985 300-20 Feldstein, Martin, “Should Social Security be Means Tested?” JPE, 1987, 46884 Eckstein, Zvi, Martin Eichenbaum, and Dan Peled, "Uncertainty and the Welfare Enhancing Properties of Annuity Markets and Social Security," JPubE, 26, 1985 16 Coile, Courtney and Jonathan Gruber, “Social Security and Retirement,” NBER Working Paper #7830, August 2000 Burtless, Gary, "Social Security, Unanticipated Benefit Increases, and the Timing of Retirement," REStud, 53, 1986 Diamond, Peter and Jerry Hausman, "Individual Retirement and Savings Behavior," JPubE, 23, 1984 Friedberg, Leora, "The Labor Supply Effects of the Social Security Earnings Test," ReStat, 82, February 2000, 48-63 Feldstein, Martin, "Social Security, Induced Retirement, and Aggregate Capital Accumulation," JPE, September, 1974 (also comment in 1982) Leimer, D. and Selig Lesnoy, "Social Security and Private Saving: New Time Series Evidence," JPE, 90, 1982 Feldstein, Martin, "Social Security and Saving: New Time Series Evidence," NTJ, June, 1996, 151-164 Congressional Budget Office, “Social Security and Private Saving: A Review of the Empirical Evidence,” July 1998 Hurd, Michael, "Research on the Elderly: Economic Status, Retirement, Consumption and Saving," JEL, June, 1990, 565-637 Lumsdaine, Robin L. and David A. Wise, "Aging and Labor Force Participation: A Review of Trends and Explanations," in Aging in the United States and Japan, Noguchi and Wise (eds.), University of Chicago Press, 7-41 Feldstein, Martin, “Rethinking Social Insurance,” AER, March 2005, 1-24 Orszag, Peter, and Joseph Stiglitz, “Rethinking Pension Reform: Ten Myths About Social Security Systems,” mimeo, September 1999 17