AREC/ECON 540: Natural Resource Economics Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics Colorado State University MWF, 2:00-2:50, Military Science 201 Fall, 2014 Course Syllabus Dale Manning B304 Clark 970-491-5706 (office) 336-260-0025 (cell) Dale.manning@colostate.edu OH: Mon-Wed: 3-4 pm, or any time by appointment Final Exam: take-home, due 5 pm Monday, 12/15/14 Course Description This course is a second-year masters-level class that will make use of micro-economic theory and mathematical modeling tools to develop a rigorous understanding of the use and management of natural resources over space and time. We will use mathematical techniques including optimal control and dynamic programming to analyze problems related to renewable resources (e.g., fish, forests) and nonrenewable resources (e.g., coal, oil). Concepts and mathematical tools introduced in AREC 540 will be further developed in AREC 740. Course Objectives My goal is to expose students to the major natural resource economics models while emphasizing the concepts and intuition of the models. Students should be able to extend these basic models to a wide variety of natural resource economics topics that we will not have time to cover in this class. Also, this course will provide an introduction to optimal control theory and other dynamic tools that can be broadly applicable in economics research. Prerequisites According to RamWeb, prerequisites are AREC/ECON 340 (intro natural resource economics) and math 141 (calculus). I will assume everyone has taken at least intermediate microeconomics (AREC/ECON 306) and is comfortable with differential calculus and the basics of static optimization. Recommended Texts and Readings There will be no single book for this course so I will make required readings available online or in class (see ‘class schedule’ for readings). In addition, I recommend several books as references for the class and for your future research: Caputo, Michael R., Foundations of Dynamic Economic Analysis: Optimal Control Theory and Applications. Cambridge University Press, 2005. Clark, Colin W., Mathematical Bioeconomics: The Optimal Management of Renewable Resources, John Wiley and Sons, 2005. Conrad, Jon M. Resource Economics. Cambridge University Press, 1999. Conrad JM and CW Clark, Natural Resource Economics Notes and Problems, Cambridge University Press, 1987. Dasgupta, P.S. and G.M. Heal. Economic Theory and Exhaustible Resources. Cambridge University Press, 1979. Hartwick, John M. and Nancy D. Olewiler, The Economics of Natural Resource Use, Addison-Wesley Educational Publishers, 1998. Simon, Carl P. and Lawrence Blume, Mathematics for Economists, W.W. Norton & Co, 1994. Grading Grades will come from a mid-term (15%), a final (20%), a presentation (15%), homework assignments (20%), a paper proposal (8%), rough draft (8%) and final draft (9%), and participation (5%). The midterm will be in class and the final, a take-home, will be due by the end of the scheduled exam day. I will hand out a homework assignment about every 2 weeks and specify a due date (you will have approximately 2 weeks per homework). You can collaborate on homework and turn in one problem set per 3 people but exams must be done entirely independently. I encourage you to come to me for help on homework as well. Homework answer keys will be available and should help in preparing for the mid-term and final. I will give grades based on a percentage score but use a curve to ensure that the average grade is approximately a B+. Class Schedule (subject to change) Dates 8/25, 8/27, 8/29 Monday Class intro, go over syllabus, brief history of resource topics 9/1, 9/3, 9/5 H&O Chapter 3 Labor day Holiday 9/8 9/10, 9/12 Conrad, Ch. 4 Forestry intro: biology, mean annual increment, etc. “Economics of Forestry in an Evolving Society,” Samuelson 9/15, 9/17, 9/19 Conrad, Ch. 5 Wednesday Conclude overview and begin review of producer theory, property rights, “Betting on the Planet,” John Tierney Intro to land economics, Ricardian rents, institutions Faustmann model st 1 homework due Friday Review producer theory, discounting, envelope theorem, implicit function theorem Land economics and space No Class (CU Environmental and Resource Economics Workshop) Forestry land valuation, multi-aged stands, nonuse value, etc. “The Harvesting Decision When a Standing Forest has Value,” Hartman Modeling extensions (green paradox, stockdependent costs) “The Green Paradox,” Hans-Werner Sinn “The Logic Behind the Green Paradox,” Osterle Open access, MSY, and economically optimal fishery use, “The Economic Theory of a Common Property: The Fishery,” Gordon. Non-Renewable resources intro Hotelling model of Exhaustible resources “The Economics of Exhaustible Resources,” Through part 3, Hotelling A brief history of Oil and Gas in the US Fishery intro: biology, Gordon-Schaefer production, “Tragedy of the Commons,” Hardin 10/6, 10/8, 10/10 Review/catch up Population models 10/13, 10/15, 10/17 Caputo, Ch. 13 Intro to differential equations, phase planes Differential equations, phase planes Paper proposal* due 9/22, 9/24, 9/26 Conrad, Ch. 3 9/29, 10/1, 10/3 nd Fisheries institutions— open access, limited entry, input restrictions, ITQ, TURFs, Co-ops “A Tale of Two Fisheries,” John Tierney 2 homework due Finish up fisheries basics rd 3 homework due 3 (2)- hour Midterm Time and place TBD Differential equations, stability 10/20, 10/22, 10/24 10/27, 10/29, 10/31 Caputo, Ch. 1-4 11/3, 11/5, 11/7 11/10, 11/12, 11/14 11/17, 11/19, 11/21 11/24, 11/26, 11/28 12/1, 12/3, 12/5 Open access dynamic model—characterization of fish stock and human behavior using differential equations “Economics of Production from Natural Resources,” Smith, Marine Reserves, including space “A Bioeconomic model of Marine Reserve Creation,” Sanchirico and Wilen The Hamiltonian, intro, cv, pv Dynamic Optimization: Numerical methods Optimal control and Nonrenewable resources “The Optimal Exploration and Production of Nonrenewable Resources,” Pindyck Industry resource use, transitions, and substitution, monopoly power (time permitting) “The Economics of Resources or the Resources of Economics,” Solow “Intergenerational Equity and the Investing of Rents from Exhaustible Resources,” Hartwick Fall Recess Optimal control fishery problem (linear) Student Presentations* 12/8, 12/10, 12/12 12/15 *more details to follow Final exam, due 5 pm Dynamic optimization introduction—optimal control, dynamic programming (briefly), calculus of variations th (briefly), 4 homework due Maximum principle, derivation of necessary conditions, part 1 “An Economic Interpretation of Optimal Control Theory,” Robert Dorfman Capital theory example: optimal investment Dynamic Optimization: th Numerical methods, 5 homework due Interpretations of user cost, policy impacts, Dynamic resource impacts of policy Transversality, Finish capital theory Dynamic Optimization: Numerical methods Optimal control fishery problem (nonlinear), Regulated open access th Homans and Wilen, 6 homework due Optimal control fishery problem, “The Objectives of Sole Ownership,” Anthony Scott Fall Recess Optimal control fishery problem Student Presentations* Final Paper* due, Hand out final Fall Recess Student Presentations* Paper rough draft* due— No Class Student Presentations*