QUARTERLY ESTIMATES OF NEW ZEALAND CONSUMPTION MEAT PRICE, AND ALLIED DATA, 1946-1965"- by C.A. Yandle From "An Econometric Study of the New Zealand Meat Market with Special Reference to Pig Meats", Unpublished M.Agr.Sc. thesis, Department of Economics, Lincoln College. Economics Research Unit Discussion Paper No. 11 Lincoln College, University crr Canterbury, New Zealand June 1968 A~ricultural PRE F ACE This paper is one of a series based on research carried out by Mr Yandle on the New Zealand meat market. In the course of this work it was necessary to compile on a quarterly basis the basic statistical data relating to supplies, consumption and prices of various types of meat for the post-war period. The series of statistics so compiled, including in some cases new estimates, are presented here since i t was thought they would be of general interest in their own right to other research workers in the field of marketing and to persons connected with the meat trade. The research on which the paper is based was partly supported by grants from the Canterbury Frozen Meat Company and the New Zealand Pig Producers' Council whose assistance we gratefully acknowledge. B.P. Philpott November 1968 EDITORIAL NOTE This pUblication is one of a series based on a thesis by Mr C.A. Yandle entitled "An Econometric Study of the New Zealand Meat Market", written for the Degree of Master of Agricultural Science at Lincoln College. The papers in this series will be:A,E.R.U, Publication No. 43, "Survey of Christchurch Consumer Attitudes to Meat". A.E.R.U. Technical Paper No .• 3, Curves: liThe Theory and Estimation of Engel Some Estimates for Meat in New Zealand". A,E.R,U, Technical Paper No.7, "An Econometric Model of the New Zealand Meat Market". If A,E.R.U. Discussion Paper No. g, "Quarterly Estimates of New Zealand Meat Price, Consumption and Allied Data, 1946-1965". In this series of pUblications no attempt has been made to alter the original thesis presentation, thus where, in a particular publication, a section of the thesis is not presented, page numbering has not been corrected and foot-note cross references may in some cases refer to page numbers not included in the same pUblication. This discussion paper consists of Chapter 7 of the thesis and appendices C and D. time series model. It is concerned with the data used in the Each set of statistics is described as regards source, working methods employed to put the data into a suitable form and the reliability of each set. Graphical illustrations of the main data sets are given along with some discussion. actual data estimates are contained in an appendix. The CHAPTEH. TIME-SERIES DATA: SOURCES AND 7 ESTI1~TION PROCEDURES USED Introduction In this chapter the sources of all aggregate time-series data used in the estimation of the New Zealand model parameters are explained. Extensive working of some 'raw' able form. data was required to put it in a suit- Where this was necessary the procedures used will be outlined. Presentation of the sources and procedures will follow the order; retail ~rices, wholesale prices, wholesale-to-retail margins, export prices, consumption data~ income, and other data. All data were required as quarterly averages for the New Zealand models, although other time periods were calculated. Retail Meat Prices The Government the consumer price These statistics~ St~tistician~ index~ as part of the collection of data for records retail prices of selected meat cuts. which are collected on the 15th of each month for specified cuts of beef, mutton~ pork, ham 9 and bacon, were the raw data for all retail price series. Collected prices are reported in a Statistics Department pUblication which will be referred to as 'Price Statistics , . sidered For the,period con- form of presentation of data varied from year to year as s; ___________ The pUblication repeatedly changed title over the period in which the data were collected. For full titles see References; Statistical Series. E~~a:t;: d 1. th~ 1 (a) number of centres (cities or to.ins) for whicll prices 'vere collected (b) j whether the data was shown as a weighted New Zealand average, or the prices in each centre were shown separately, (c) the meat cuts for which data were collected, (d) the length of time period covered (i.eo monthly, quarterly, annually). Besides published data in 9 Price Statisti.cs v, the Statistics Department generously provided, for this study, a more detailed series for the period 1946 to 1962. diff~rent Between the years 1926 and 1965 nine groups of retail price information were available. The groups differed from one another in one (or more) of the above respects. The nine groups were: 1\0 1926 to 1930 inclusive. Data were available as qua~terly averages for each of tIle four main centres (Auckland, 1'iellington, Christchurch, Dunedin). l-'leat cuts for which prices were collected and used for estimating the weighted average retail price of carcase meat are shown in Appendix C. n. 1931 to 1942 inclusive. four main centres. as in period (A) ~ata were annual averages for each of the Frices were collected for the same meat. cuts. except for ham, the price of which was nQ~ Qol- lected frnm 1939 onwards. 1943 to 1948 inclusiveQ As for (B) except data were the annual avera~e of the four main centres. on a popUlation basis q weighte~ Weights were calculated The price of ham does not appear in th{~ series. Prices in 'Price Statistics' for the years 19 l1:9' to 1955 were incomplete and not used. 1956 to 1959 inclusive. the four main centres. Data were quarterly ::aLI avera~e for each of prices were included, Dut for o-t',er v:eats prices for a different group of cuts :frow tllose above were collected. 1 1960 to 1965 inclusive. twenty~one Pr~ce t01vns ~ Data were 4uarterly weighted averages of weighting between towns was on a population basis. information was collected for the same cuts as in (J). In addition to theLabove published "\ 6' dat~ the Statistics Department S~" was able to pro~ide the following additional series: 1946 to 1948 inclusive. of the four main Leat prices viere \ve:igllted monthly averages centres~ the meat cuts for which prices were collected were the same as for 1949 to 1954 inclusive. CAl. Meat prices were weighted quarterly averages of the four main c~ntres. The cuts for which prlces were collected were different to other groups and are shown in Appendix C. n- il ., 1955 only. Meat prices were weighted monthly averages of the four main centres! with the cuts for which prices were collected the same as for group (G). I. 1956 to 1962 inclusive. of twenty-one tQ1.vns~ Meat prices were monthly weighted averages with the cuts for which prices were collected the same as group (D). For a~l cuts the prices collected were for first or prime quality. To make full use of the price information available a system of weights was required for the calculation of the weighted average retail price of each type of meat. Every price needed to be weighted by the proportion that the meat cut i t referred to was of total carcase weight. The weights used were derived from carcase cutting tests used for retail 1. See Appendix C. \;}. T: '. a of total carcase ~ercen~agG representative or avera~e we~ cutting ~e~~ wiJl glve t1'E closest approxim- Dtlon to reallty. Lie a t, J:" e t ':::1 i.1 i i 11[;' most reasonable 11.d llS t. yO.Y· a Ilcl t11e })r' set of weights. i- c~ For bo~h ure was adopted as the cutting tests for For ·c:a.lC"Lllatio:n. of' tIle there was. 8,·vere~.S;E: bo(h meats :ce. t':iJ J 1):t JC(~ we~e }.)(~!~- It was thel"ef'ore decided C~or;'(p~e~rce) ()11 tl1G sa!'.'e t() Nel~ ~ealand ~eat ~pol.l:n.(l of disputed. 1JG:(-;~f RetaiJers Federation. use both the cl'!tl:ing test used d1.1ring dal~a_ to es-tij~·;a.tc t:]f.?; S8J1S:Ltiv' . it-y- of ,:["1,.8 final weighted average price to the cutting test. This procedure was adopted after several butchers were unable to give a for either test! to show a not proced- however. no clearly acceptabJ,o cuttjng test. from the carcass than did the ,:)]'1.(1 ~hi5 mutton and pork clear prerere:nce or for any third test, constant percentage differeTH~e~, elastici ties estimated f'rom' the se do. tEl, lvould not be af'f'ee ted 0.1 t l:wugh ti1.ere ,vould be a dJ.i"-rer'eri(;~· in the calculated wholesale-to-retail margln, fjeC:·E.t1J.se tIlE \.'\T}lole 'bee£''i'' saleable to consumers. 10 Chapter 1, pp. rnl.lttorl~. aYld. :por'lc ca:t'(:aSt:: i's riot c·.ornJ)let.cly two series of' prices were calculated for these 12-13. The first series 1rfhich 'ivil1 he referred to as ;l~"~ 1;;aJea:)1e Cuts i cCl;::;Ldered the price fron: the consumer's point of vie\v. ii:tS average price of those cuts l'1hich are sold over the ~\Veighted a Fd'r example if, of a 30 lho 9 side of mutton, Zl.1: lb. to consumers 9 the weights were calculated with 24 is sold lb. = 1.0000. This therefore is a weighted average of the price regime the consunter faces. The second series the 30lb :: j;lf.:'k'S ~ c,), do ~~nfc~ hav~ < which 1;7"i11 be called the 9 of' the previous example = 'Total i some commercial value, but the requisite data for value- tion which was available indicated tha t carcase price expressed in pence per lbo wou]~d ITotal' average be usually affected only the second decimal place through neglecting value of waste. pt~nce 1 This was therefore calculated with the value of waste placed at zero per lb. The 'Total' , series therefore gives the average retail price from the retailers point of view9 because when buying a he 0 in no case ,vould tlJC neglect of the commercial value of waste be serious, as Se!~leS (;011- 100000. "raste dURing the time period considered ''I'as not available :", !OYL:a in~ series, carcase buys the whole carcase at an average wholesale price per lb. an average retail price per lb. over the whole carcase is essential to estimate the retailer's margin. ~ost groups of retail price data were given as the weighted uverage New Zealand retail price for included meat cuts. The/weights :for each of the towns and cities being calculated on a population basis. In two periods however the prices related to each of the four main centres, and thus required weighting to obtain the weighted New Zealand average price. This weighting was carried out on a population basis after the average retail price for each of the carcase meats had 1. J.H. Sproston, Managing Director, The Canterbury Bye-Products Co. Ltd, personal communication. been calculated for each centre. The periods ill 1vhich this ..vas necess- ary were 1926 to 1942 inclusive (data groups (A) 1956 to 1959 inclusive (data group (E) above). and (D) above), and In both cases an average population weight was calculated from census figures for the mid-point of the period. The method used is shown in Appendix C. ham and bacon one extra problem existed. bacon' For In the New Zealand vham and model these two meats are treated as a single commodity, retail price of each was therefore weighted to give a price s·eries. ~acon and ham'retail The meats were given equal lveights (i.e. a simple average was taken) as they the baconer carcase. app~ar in approximately equal proportions in Because of the very high correlation between the retail prices of bacon and ham,1 the combination of the two into a single variable was statistically desirable, and did not result in a significant loss of information. The method used here for estimating average retail price of each meat has been used in several previous works. 2 The need for such a method arises from the fact that there is no single product called UbeefV. In estimating demand parameters for (say) beef at the retail level, what is being estimated is the weighted average demand of the. whole series of individual cuts arising from the beef carcase. The use of the proportions (by weight) in which each of the cuts appear in the carcase to determine average per lb. retail price of carcase meat assumes that a butcher must sell all the cuts from a carcase in their fixed proportions if he is to maximise profit. It is possible for a 1. Chapter 5, pp. 124-125. 20 See, for example: E.J. Working, Demand for Meat, Institute of Meat Packing, University of Chicago, 1954, pp. 31-35. also G.W. Taylor, op. cit., 1963, p. 81. and ~Dalziel (Editor), "Cattle and Meat. Price Disparities - I", The Heview of the Hiver Plate, V91. 129, No. 34.23, 1961, pp. 21-22-.- retailer to buy ubroken meat i (less than a comnlete carcase or side) j but this practice is not common because broken meat costs the retailer While normally the market as a whole at some stage would more per lb. be required to absorb the sections of the carcase not bought, in New ZealandOs case these extra portions could in fact be exported. local trade in brok~n Ilowever meat is slight, and for all prattical purposes regarding the constructing of this price series may be ignored. There are some possib~e inadequacies with these price series. The Government Statistician does not survey all cuts of meat from the carcase, because of this cases where ori~cut of meat had to be aggregated with a,nother of approxima telytlle same price occurred. This problem only arose with the retail prite of beef, and i t is thought that the possible error in the accuracy of the resulting estimate is not serious. The use of fixed weights de~iVed from cutting tests are not without problems as there are probably as many Vcutting tests' there are carcases, and butchers. as The resulting weights from the tests used can therefore at best be considered reasonable averages. Finally, the use of population weights to express the relative importance of price in each of the centres surveyed is again an 'average V device. It is doubtful however lv-hether a more accurate series could be ca1culated given the available data. The price series which resulted from the weighting of the prices of individual cuts was consistent between data groups, 'overlap' between groups occurred, agreemerit was high. Industries maintained a and Commerce Department '$ Price and where an The Control Division has separate retail price series since 1958. and there is close agreement as regards the movement of prices between their series and the one calculated here, although the absolute level differs slightly. Prices were calculate~ for two different time intervals. The first was annual average prices for the period 1926 to 1965 inclusive to and the second was quarterly average prices from 1946 In assessing the difference between alternative Cuts' 1965 inclusive, ~Vttlngtests For beef the quarterly data from 1946 to 1965 was used, j the for O$aleable data the average difference between all quarter1y observations wasO.33d/lb. In the first year the difference was o.18~/lb.and in percentag~ Put in based on the Meat cutting test equal to lOOper a.verage difference Retailer~s WqS - 1. terms ~it~ th~~eries the last year was O.52d/lb. cent~ the 3 per cent9 with the first y.e-a;T 2 •• 1 percent j and the last year 1.1 per cent,. Differences were larger with the °Totalfseries because the greater allowance for waste in the Meat Retailers' important iri test was now estimating average carcase price at retail. The absolute differences were: o.64d/lb, First year (1946 average of four quarters) Average of all observations (quarierly 1946 to 1965) 10 78d/lb Last year (1965) average of four quarters) 3.13d/lb. 0 In percentage terms: First year~difference 11 e.8 ,p~r.-cerit based as above Average of whole period 11;;'0 per:cent Last year 11.~Q p~rcent It-w'ould seem that the difference in the estimated price ,series due to the use of alternative cutting tests was one of constant perce:ntage, rather than constant absolute difference. This the prices of different cuts in the carcase are resu~t was expected as weight~don a percentage basis. It was decided to use the Meat Retailers u cutting tests in the New Zealand models as this test gave a greater breakdown of individual cuts of meat, and the wholesale-to-retail margin appeared the more reasonable. Listed below are the groups of data used for the final series of retail prices~ 1926 to 1930 inclusive: Data group (A) was used for all five years 1931 to 1942 inclusive: Data group (n) was used for all twelve years inclusive~ Data group (c) 1946 to 1948 inclusive: Data group (F) was used for these three years 1949 to 1954 inclusive: Data group (G) was used for these six years 1955 only: Data grbup (H) was used 1956 to 1962 inclusive: Data group (I) was used for all seven years 1963 to 1965 inclusive: Data group (E) was used for these three years. 1943 to 1945 was used only for these three years The calculated retail prices, both annually from 1926 to 1965, and quarterly from 1946 to 1965 9 are shown in Appendix D. Wholesale Meat Prices The raw data for the wholesale price series were wholesalers' weekly price quotations to retailers for the 676 weeks from 1953 to 1965 inclusive. These statistics, which were made available for this study by confidential sources, were for wholesalers in the four main centres in New Zealand. To obtain a weighted New Zealand average wholesale price series for each meat, quotations for the wholesalers in each centre were initially averaged to calculate the simple average price in each city. The average wholesale prices for each of the four main centres were then weighted on a population basis to give a New Zealand weighted average wholesale price. Population weights used were ~he same as the weights for retail prices in the 1956-1959 time period. 1 Although the prices were in the form of quotations and hence subject to change within the week~ it was assumed ~hatprices are true wholesale prices as the true wholesale prices vary only occasionally from. the weekly quotations. The basic data for each meat was~ in~t~ally ave~age~ and weighted to give average weekly price in eacb of the four maih centres, weighted average Nelv Zealand weekly price. averaged to monthlYi quarterly~and and the These data were then annu~l_averages~Because not an even number of weeksinea6hmonth there is a there is problema~ to which month into which to put each month1s.end-week observation. The method employed was; where four or more days of the new month were covered by the Monday quotation of the last week in the old month, then that weekYs quotation was included in the calculation of the new month's average price. Average prices for monthly~ quarterly and annual series are all simple averages of the weekly observations. Wholesale prices were calculated for five different meats. were (a) These ~ Beef. Prime quality, with a carcase weight range of 501/650 lb., or the nearest weight range available. were per 100 lb. Lamb. j Deef price quotations these were converted to pence per lb. Spring lamb of prime qual~ty,with a weight range of 29/36 lb. ( c) Hogget. Prime grade, 41/48 lb. (d) Nutton. ~{ether mutton 9 nearest weight range 1. or nea,rest weight range. firs;t grad~, ·49/56 lb • weight rarige or av~ilabl~. See Appendix ~Part DitCalculat~~ri of Population Weight~ for the 1956-1959 period. P orlc. First quallty head on 61/90 lb. weignt range. or the firm's nearest equivalento Data were not available for all firms~ cities, over the whole thirteen year period. and in some cases for all Because the sources of data are confidential. these periods cannot be defined. However after careful examination of the resulting series no noticeable changes were detected where data for a firm or city began or ended. occasions whe~e, There were also because of seasonal shortage of supply. pork was not quoted in one centre. The absence of a price quotation at a time of non-availability would not, however. affect the accuracy of a weighted average price. Wholesale prices for ham and bacon were not available from firms' price quotations. A few firms do quote ham and bacon prices but they were not in sufficient number to form a representative price series for a city, or for New Zealand. 9Price Statistics' does, however, report ham and bacon wholesale prices for the periods: (a) 1926 to 1930, quarterly for each of the four main centres. Ham is quoted as uncooked flats and bacon as side bacon. 1939 and 19~2 to 1958. the four main centres. Weighted annual average of Bacon and ham classification is as above. Besides these data the Statistics Department provided additional information, using th€ same ham and bacon classification from 1946 to 1964. These data were monthly weighted average prices to 1958, and quarterly thereafter. data: Two price series were calculated from these quarterly weighted average prices from 1946 to 1964, and a weighted average annual series for those years available up to 1946, and for all years 1946 to 1964. From 1926 to 1930 the four main centres were weighted by the population weights used for the same period , ' ln re t al' 1 prlce ca 1 cu I a t 'lonso 1 As was discussed in the estimatioQ of the retail prices, the New Zealand vham and bacon' model required a single price variable for ham and bacon at both the retail and wholesale level. The method of combining the two wholesale price data sets was the same as that described for the retail priceso The wholesale price data for bacon and ham did not extend beyond For the fo4r 1965 quarterly observations the following estimation method was employed. The wholesale price variable for 'bacon and ham'was determined by subtracting from the to-retail margin. price an estimated wholesale- ~etail The margin in each quarter was estimated from the average movement in the margin for the appropriate quarter over the previous three years. Estimated quarterly data are shown in Appendix D. Wholesale-to-Retail Meat Margins The method by which retail quarterly average prices have been estimated for beef, mutton 9 Pork, ham, and bacon over the period 1946 to 1965 for New Zealand has been discussed. Similarly, quarterly average wholesale prices have been estimated for the period 1953 to 1965 for beef, lamb, hogget, mutton, and pork, with ham and bacon quarterly wholesale price series calculated for the years 1946 to 19650 Using the identity specified in the New Zealand model; + M t the wholesale-to-retail margins were calculated for beef j mutton, pork, a~d uh 0 m and bacon' for the period 1953 to 1965 inclusive. 1. See Appendix C Part D, iCalculation of Population Weights' . j Thewholesale-to-retail margin data are shown in Appendix D. Export Meat Prices The New Zealand model required export price variables to summarise the ~nfluence of export market conditions on the internal market. most desirable point for measurement would therefore be the f.oob of bare meat on the New Zealand coast. The o price Export price variables measured at this point would enable direct comparison for internal wholesale prices. Unfortunately data were not available to construct a data series at the fooob. Smithfield~ level~ London. Smithfield level (a) and the market level chosen was ex-hooks at The major inaccuracies resulting from choosing the are~ Movements in freight and other costs between foo.b. New Zealand and ex-hooks Smithfield could not be allowed for. In the model this would result in greater unexplained variance in the wholesale price formation equation~ or bias in the export price coefficient if the movement in these costs were correlated with the wholesale price in New Zealand. (b) No direct effect of meat shipped to markets other than the United Kingdom was shown in the export price variableso For lamb this problem was not severe as the majority of New Zealand lamb exports are sold in the United Kingdom. Significant quantities of mutton were sold in other markets (especially Japan) last three years (1962-1965) drawn~ only in the in which the data used for the model were hence this problem was not serious for mutton. Beef exports are i however 9 very different. New Zealand has sold large quantjties of beef to the United states since 1957. In addition New Zealand beef prices are quoted only intermittently on the London ma:cket c It was noted; howe''ver, that Ne,v Zealand and ,,\.ustralian beef prices were, when both prices were quoted, very similar in all cases and often identical. Australian beef prices were therefore used as an indicator of movement in New Zealand beef prices on the London market. As tllere were no reliable statistics available of New Zealand beef prices in the United states, the London prices were used as the export beef price variable. If it can be assumed that exporters allocate beef supplies between markets on the basis of price, could be s8tisfactory. the London prices The correlation coefficients reported earlier 1 indicate, however, that the export beef prices were not as highly correlated with internal wholesale price as lamb and mutton export prices. This could indicate that the export beef prices used were not fully.satisfactory. For most years (1955-1964) the export price data used were pro') vided by J.M. Chetwin as average monthly priceso~ These average monthly prices were, for the New Zealand models, transformed into average quarterly prices and extended both forward and backward to provide a uniform data series over the years 1953 to 19650 For lamb the prices used between 1955 and 1965 were the Imported Meat Trades Association (I.h.T.A.) quotations at ex-hooks Smithfield. These prices~ere reported ex-store prior to the 7th March, were adjusted to price between ex~hooks ex~store 3 1958, and by the addition of the average difference in and ex=hooks (0.63d/lbo) in the preceding period. During the years 1953-1954 the estimation method was more complex. ------~---------------~-------------.-~--------------~---- 10 Chapter 5, pp. 110-111. 2.Mr Chetwin collected these data as part of an econometric investigation into the demand for New Zealaftd meat in the United Kingdom. 30 Reported in: New Zealand Heat Board , 8-nnual ....E!u2Q.£.i(s) I Ivellington. also Australian Meat Board, The Australian Meat Producer and .~~EI Sydney. ;U'ltioning and price control in the United ;;ingdom ended in June and t!1e wartime bulk purchase agreements expired in September of that year. Up to September 1954 the bulk purchase prices were therefore used. For the remaining quarterly observation of 1954 the price quotation used was from a different source~l adjusted by the difference in price quoted between the two sources for the first quarter of 1955 (Z053d/lb.). Hutton prices "vere assembled in the same manner as those for lamb apart for the final quarter in 1954, this observation was derived from ') the Central Markets Committee method was used as for lamb. 9 Smithfield, London.~ For beef the same The adjustment factor for the fourth quarter of 1954 was 1.75d/lb. The grade of each meat for which price quotations "were used was: Beef: Australian frozen beef, first quality. New Zealand ewes, first quality 49-56 lb. weight range. Lamb: New Zealand first prime down cross lamb, 29-36 lb. 29-36 lb. weight range. These data are shown in Appendix Do For the monthly correlations reported 3 the same data earlie~ sources were used with prices as monthly averages rather than quarterly averages. Data for United Kingdom wholesale prices of supplied by Nr Chetwin. L1: por~ were also The grade used was for first grade pork, 100 190 and under. 1. Commonwealth Economic Committee, Meat Office 9 London, 1955. 2! New Zealand Meat and Wool Board 9 s Economic Service, Wellington, personal communication. 30 Chapter 5, pp. 110-111. 4. The basic source of Pork data was Commonwealth Economic Committee, !:'lea t, op. cit. 9 Her rvIajestyO s Stationary Ijeat Consumption Quarterly consumption data are available from the ]\'lonthly Abstracts of Statistics from the quarter ended December 1950. shown in thousand lamb and pigmeatso tons~ bone in carcase weight 9 for ConsUJnpti on is beef~ veal, mutton, Consumption data are also given for edible offals, but were not used in this study. The method of compiling these figures is of importance as a guide to their accuracyo At the point of slaughter there are four sources of meat for consumption in New Zealand. works, rural slaughterhouses, and These are abattoirs,cexport meat ~eat killed on farms. The l~ew Zealand Department of Agriculture collects data on slaughterings at abattoirs and rural slaughterhouses, and also makes an assessment of stock killed on farms. In addition the department collects information from export meat works regarding the destination of all meat slaughtered at export works 0 New Zealand consumption is not therefore assessed as the difference between production and exports, but is an assessment of meat entering local trade after stock charges have been allowed foro The consumption series is adequate except for the aggregation of pigmeats into one grouping. For this study i t would have been desirable for pigmeat consumption to be divided into pork, and 'ham and bacon' Although these data~ere 0 not available quarterly, an annual breakdbwn into the two classes was available in the New Zealand Official Yearbook. This annual series has the same classification for meats other than pigmeats as that of the Monthly Abstracts, but with pigmeats further subdivided into porker, baconer, and chopper meatso therefore on the basis of carcase type. . for pork, 1• 1 The sub~division is Porker carcases are used mostly chopper carcases for smallgoods, and bac~ner carcases for Some porker .carcases are used as lightweight baconers, however no way of eliminating this source of error. there was bacon and ham. Porkers and choppers were therefore aggregated to provide a pork series,! and baconers became 9bacon and ham' These data 0 were available annually for year ended 30th September. The above data were used to estimate quarterly consumption of pork9 and bacon and ham o = Po 1 a o + b, 1 1 Put in equation form relationships are: i ~ = 19 4 4 = A a o '2.. i=l 1 B = A + B= "2: 4 b o i=l 1 ~o4 p, i= 1 1 c = where a o = consumption of por;k in the 1 oth quarter 1 b, = consumption of Dbacon and ham' 1 Po = consumption of pigmeat in the 1 Aj in the ,th quarter quarter 1 A = annual consumption of pork B = annual consumption of vbacon and ham v C = annual consumption of pigmeats. C ,th 1 and Po are known and it is desired to estimate a o and b o for 1 1 1 9 each of the four quarters. Expressed in the equations there are eight unknowns (a, and b' 1 1 9 in terms of six equatlons linking a. and b, to the known 1 ,values p" 1 A, , and B. 1 Further: information is therefore required to obtain estimates of a. 1 and b,o 1 This information was obtained from unpublished data supplied by the Industriai Production Division of the Department of Statistics. Data supplied were for the years ended 30th September 1957 to 1964 quarterso j Statistics used were quarterly production and New Zealand by consumption of porker, baconer, and chopper meats. As before, porker and chopper meats were aggregated to pork, baconer for 'bacon and ham~ These statistics did not apply to all consumption sources of these meats i but only the output from the export meat works destined for the New Zealand market works supplied ~n 0 From these figures it was found that the export average of 76.9 per cent of all ibacon and ham i consumed iri New Zealand over these eight the porko years~ and 3804 per cent of It was decided that the consumption figures for 'bacon and ham'would be the best available indicator of the quarterly consumption pattern within New Zealand. Because the export works supply such a high proportion of the annual consumption of 'bacon and ham\ the vari-. ation between the pattern of export works quarterly sales in New Zealahd, and the New Zealand quarterly total consumption would be a minimumo Scope for variation was much greater with pork for example. The quarterly consumption of 'bacon and ha~ within New Zealand which came from the export meat works was expressed as a proportion of , the annual consumption derived from the meat works o This proportional breakup of the year's consumption into quarters was then applied to the New Zealand total annual 'bacon and ham' consumption statistics to obtain estimates of q~arterlyiham and baco~ consumption, i.eo if x the proportion of the export works annual sales of = 'bacon and ham' sold in the first quarter of the year then y = the proportion for the second quarter z = the proportion for the third quarter b b b b 1 = xB 2 = yB = zB = 1 3 4 for each year o - (x + y + z)B Thus the proportional breakdown of the export works annual sales by quarters was used as an estimate of the true proportional breakdown of annual sales into quartersD By using four of the relationships already available pork consumption could be estimatedo These four relationships were: P. 1 = a. + b. ~ i = 1,4 Thus a. = P. ,... b. ~ i -- 1,4 1 1 1 1. 1 Unfortunately the estimates of the proportions were not available for all years between 1953-and,1965,/ the period for which complete data for the New Zealand model was required, export works seasonal proportions could estimates for that year were used. In the. years for which the be_obtain~d (1957 to 1964) the For all other years the average quarterly proportion for the eight years 1957 to 1964 was applied to the annual consumption of bacon and ham o This method of estimation rests on the assumption that the seasonal pattern of sales from the export works to the New Zealand trade accurately reflects the New Zealand total consumption pattern. In support of this assumption the following table is presented for two typical sample years. From Table 701 it is evident that-considerable quantities of baconer carcases are held over in export;. works cool stores from peak production pe~iods cifthe year. Pr~du6tion figures vary greatly between quarters with the seasonal tr.ends in -production and - consumption being markedly different 0 As the seasonal-production and consl,lmptionpatterns are different and exports 'slight -it· is evident that supplies to the New Zealand market from the export factors, involving stock changeso work~ are determined 1::>y-internal demand It is therefore probable that the New Zealand seasonal consumption pattern, and the seasonal pattern of supply from the export meat works coincide. TABLE 701 BACONER PRODUCTION AND SUPPLY TO THE NEW ZEALAND MARKET FROB EXPORT MEAT WORKS. Year Ended 30th Septo Quarter of Year Ended 30th Sept. 1957 Production of Baconer Meat (Tons) SUEElies to NoZ. Market (Tons) Export (Tons) 1 2 3 4 6846 7798 2198 733 3046 4371 3218 3436 550 817 365 56 1 2 3 4 6977 7494 3174 1294 3079 5263 4070 3238 9 33 16 31 Besides the quarterly consumption data required for the New Zealand models 9 annual consumption data were used in some of the initial simple equations. Apart from pork~ and bacon and ham 9 these data were from a series provided by the Department of Divisiono Agriculture~s t~ken Biometrics Data from this source were for year ended 30th September, and are for the period 1946 to 1965 inclusive. 'bacon and hamo 9 Statistics for pork and were available from the New Zealand Yearbook only for the period 1950 to 1963 inclusive. Quarterly data are shown in Appendix D. Meat Production ~ The calCulation of the ratios AD AM· 9 and AL required statistics It t Fresh of the fresh meat supply available to the New Zealand market. t meat supply availahIe will be equal to quarterly production9 hence for the calculation of the availability ratios quarterly production was used. These data were drawn from the Monthly Abstracts of Statistics for each of the three meatsD For a few observations the availability ratios were slightly greater than unity, indicating that some meat was drawn from frozen stocks to supplement fresh supply available. This problem arose mostly in the winter quarter with mutton and lamb, but even with these meats occurred on only very few occasions. Where this problem did arise, the ratio was restricted to unity under the assumption that all fresh supplies were consumed localli i and that the frozen supplemental supplies were marginal and sold at a discount. Income The derivation of acceptable income data presented problems because income statistics were published as annual aggregate income. No simple system of linear interpolation could therefore adequately fulfill data requirements for quarterly income. between annual average price fo~ Linear interpolation quarterly price observations, for example, would be relatively simple because price data is presented as annual averages not annual aggregates. The method used here for deriving quarterly income estimates therefore requires explanation. For this study i t was desired that income statistics show only income which the consumer has available as cash to spend on consumption or save. Private income as shown in the Monthly Abstracts or the Official Yearbook therefore required adjustment to satisfy this concept. Private income net of direct taxation and undistributed company profits was the basis "of the estimate used. This~easur~ of income is here termed Personal Disposable Income. The major portion of the series was derived from the New Zealand Figures for 1965 and 1966 were from the August Of=icial Yearbooko! 1966 Monthly Abstracts 9 and that monthUs supplement. 2 Undistributed company profits were not available from published statistics for 1945 1946 9 1965 and 19660 1 Estimates were made based on the percentage of profits distributed in the two preceding years (for 1965 and 1966)9 and the two following years (for 1945 and 1946). The method of estim~ting quarterly'personal disposable income from annual personal disposable income was as follows~ 1 = Personal disposable income in Year 1 2 = Personal disposable income in Year 2 Yl = First quarter Y2 = Second quarter Y3 = Third quarter Y4 = Fourth quarter Let Y Y ) ) ) ) ) ) ) Personal disposable income of Year 2 Then assuming a linear rate of growth on decline in income with:in any one year the following restrictions can be Yl + Y2 + Y3 + Y4 = Y 2 Y2 = Yl = Y3 - = Y4 = Y3 Y2 Y1 = Y1 = derived~ Y2 y .. ~ ~ 4 + (Y 2 =Y 1 ) Solving for Y1 9 Y2 9 Y and Y4c 3 10 3 = 1 To(Y = 1 ( 10 2 Y 2 2 +2'Y 1 ) + 1 "2 New Zealand Official Yearbook9 opo cita! ppo 736 1965. 20 Data are for year ended 30th March shown. 9 750 9 741 and 7519 y 1 10 (3 y 2 = 3 1 = TO (4 Y4 Y 2 - 1. Y )" -2 1 - 12 Y ) ", 1 for the four quarters between annual observations Y succeeding observations (ioeo between Y 2 1 and Y 2 0 For and Y ) a slight modification 3 was made to link the first observations of the new year with the last observation of the old year. three then Let becomes~ Y4 = the income in the fourth quarter of the preceding t year (10 e then The formula for quarterly income in year 1 10 Yl = Y2 = 10 (2 Y3 = 10 (3 Yll = 10 (4 (y 3+ 1 1 1 0 year two) 6 Ylt ) t Y3 + 2 Y4: )t 3 - 3 -"6 Y4 Y Y 2 Y4 ), t t r This method of cAlculation depends on acceptance of a linear trend in growth (or-decline) or personal diaposable income within anyone yearo Income stati~tics are shown in Appendix Dg all calculations were in current terms because each yearis aggregate is the sum of the four quarters in current terms. 'Year one in the above calculation was 19450 Index of Butchers' Wage Costs An index of butchers' wage costs was constructed from the annual average minimum weekly wage rates, for employee g published in VPrice th~ee Statis~icsto classes of butcher The three classes of employee were first shopman, second shopman and butchers 9 assistant. The average weekly wage rates for each class were reduced to an index (1955 = 1000) fo~ the years 1945 to 1965 inclusive and weighted accord- ing to the proportion of total labour employed in butchers Q shops each class forms. 1 The weighted average index was then interpolated between years to give quarterly observations. This wage cost information was in terms of minimum average weekly wage rates~ and hence may not be completely satisfactory. These statistics~ however 9 should indicate the general movement in butchers' wage costs. It was noted that each of the three indices varied little from the other two. completely accurate Thus while the weightings may not have been the effect on the final index was slight. 9 The quarterly index of butchers Q wage costs is shown in Appendix Do New Zealand Population All New Zealand population statistics used in this work were taken from the Monthly Abstracts of Statisticso used annual data, mean ~opulation For the simple models which for each twelve month period was used. Quarterly population was the estimated population at the last day of each quarter g as shown in the Monthly Abstractso Following the 1951 census there occurred an extensive revision of previous datao This revision was made only on an annual basis 9 popul~tion hence quarterly data were estimated by interpolation between annual figures for the years 1946 to 19500 Population statistics are listed in Appendix D. Consumer Price Index The consumer price index used was the official quarterly index compi~ed 10 by the Government statistician and reported in the Monthly The weights wereg First shopman 0 350 Second shopman 0 0 425 Butcher~s assistant 0.225 These weights were derived from employment statistics provided by a large meat retailing organisation. 0 Abstracts of statistics a The base for this index was first quarter = 10000 1955 Discussion of the Data In the remainder of this chapter relationships amongst the data series estimated will be discussed o This will proceed as a discussion of graphical illustrations of the data setso calculated ~ill Tables of statistics not be discussed 9 and have been confined to Appendix D. Graph 701 illustrates the annual average retail prices of mutton~ beef~ and pork from 1926 to 1965 calculated on the average per pound retail price of, a whole carcase. The most interesting feature of the graph is the relative stability of prices up to 1947, after which prices increased relatively quickly until the mid 1950 1 s, then levelled out until 1963, after which they rose again quite rapidly. Of the individual meats pork was over the whole period. i as ex~ectedl the highest price~ It is of some interest however that up until 1958 mutton was for most years more expensive than beef, when calculated on a 'Total' of the ~mproved carcase basis. In the post 1958 period the influence export prospects for beef with the opening of the United states market lifted the retail price for beef well above that for mutton. In Graph 7.2 the same annual data are presented as in Graph 7.1, but on a .~ saleable cuts i consumer sees it. basis 9 thus giving the price regime as the As was discussed earlier the main difference between the data used in the two graphs is the proportion of each carcase which is wasted (fat 9 bones, etc). The relative increase in the price of beef as shown in Graph 7.2 over Graph 7Ql is thus a reflection of the higher proportion of the beef carcase which cannot be sold to the consumer. In general the same trends in meat prices over time shown in Graph 7.1 are preserved in this second been accentuated however. graph~ movements in prices have Beef retail prices on a saleable cuts basis are shown as being similar to mutton retail prices which they diverge, beef prices becoming price levels. As before~ 9 up to 19q8 after closer to progressiv~ly p~rk both,beef and mutton retail prices reflect general export price movements. Graph 7.3 presents quarterly average retail prices for the series from 1946 to 1:965. evident 9 ~Totali Some seasonality in price movements is but in general this is small compared to movements caused by other': market forces. The trends in thes~ prices are as noted above. frJlm retail prices arid bacon retail prices are shown in Graph on a quarte~ly a~erage basis. From this graph it is evident that these two prices move together over time chapter. 7.4 9 a p6int dis~ussed earlier in this Both sets of· prices have remained remarkably free of short- term fluctuations suggesting that it is quantity which adjusts to a 9 relatively constant ~rice. This in fact is the case 9 as ham and bacon wholesalers set the reta:i,l prices which may be char.ged. It is also of interest that any major increase in the price of either good has usually occurred during th~ final quarter of the year9 the start of the perio.d of greatest consumption within the yearo In an effort to avoid inter- correlation problems these two prices were combined for use in the New Zealand models.' Graphs 7.5 - export.9 wholesale period 1953-19650 7~12 9 a'nd retail (total carcase series) ,. price for the These graphs demonstrate the relationship between the price variables. lamb, pork,and show the relati6nships between each meates ~ham The meats are treated in the order; beef9 mutton, and bacon'. In Graph 7.5 the wholesale and retail prices of beef are graphed. In general the price movements follow one another closely, with greater variation at the wholesale level of the market than at retail. The greater price variation at the wholesale level could be expected where meat retailers practise price levelling. 1 With all meats the export price used was the United Kingdome wholewholesale price,2 and will be denoted as such on the graphs. Graph 7.6 shows United Kingdom and New Zealand wholesale beef prices plotted against time. Evidence of a relationship is shown by this graph, but uncorrelated variation between these variables is evident. This could have occurred because the price series used to calculate United Kingdom price was not ideal, also there was the possibility that the Dni ted Kingdo price does not reflect true New Zealand export price. 3 There will of course always be some variation between an export price and wholesale price series due to the influence of other market forces, specified in the wholesale price format~on such as those equatidns. Graph 7.7 shows the wholesale prices for lamb, hogget, and mutton. It is evident that all sheep meat prices vary in much the same way over time, due probably to the relationships between their export prices. The most striking feature of the graph is however the closenes~ which hogget and mutton wholesale prices move together. with Apart from a premium for hogget the two price series are virtually identical. wholesale prices do however show some independent movements. Lamb As mutton consumption data includes hogget, the similarity of their price movementa did not warrant separating them into separate classes. Hogget was therefore considered as high quality mutton, the difference in price being a quality premium, for the purposes of the New Zealand meat model. 10 Chapter 1, pp. 2. Pp. 3· :r 159-161. P • 159-160. 12-13. In Graph 7.8 the New Zealand~ prices for mutton are shown. movement in the two series b~tween 9 and the United Kingdom wholesale While this graph shows the same general it is evident that the relationship these variables is not a simple one, other variables having a direct influence on the formation of the New Zeal~nd wholesale price. The retail and wholesale mutton prices are shown in Graph As with beef the influence of price levelling is as pronounced apart from the year 1'57. wholesale and retail prices the the two prices. evident~ 709. although not In all the graphs showing butchers~ margin forms the area between An indication can therefore be gained of the movement in that margin between successive time periodso Lamb wholesale price~ as could be expected~ is indicated in Graph 7.10 as being strongly related to the United Kingdom price. The strong dependence of internal wholesale price upon export prices was expected because of the smaller proportion of annual lamb production consumed ,within New Zealando The dependence would therefore be more definite than for the other meatso None the less some divergences between the series is present9 occurring mostly in the winter seasons when the availability ratio of lamb tends to unit Yo There is no wholesale and retail price graph for lamb because retail lamb prices were not available. Graph 7.11 demonstrates the movement in pork wholesale and retail pr:L'ce''s over time 0 As with the other meats the practice of meat retailers of levelling prices is evidento The wholesale price of por~" gives evidence of having a four year cycle associated with :Lt; although regular seasonal price movements tend to mask this cyc:ieo The retailerUs margin is indicated as having increased with each down-swing of the wholesale price cycleo significant 9 This in itself is not especially however 9 as it could be part of the retaileras pricing policy to increase his margin to cover increased costs only at times of falling wholesale prices. The consumer has thus not necessarily been harmed by this process which could be expected as part of price levelling. The most noticeable feature of Graph 7.12 is the stability at both market levels 7 re~ative price in contrast to all the other meats. 'Ham and bacorr are marketed in a manner normally confined to manufactured products. Hence the price stability shown in this graph. Graph 7.13 shows both the movements in estimated quarterly' personal disposable butchers~ income~ in the consumers' price indexj and in the index of wage costs. The vertical axis thus measures current income in £'s per person per quarter, and represents the index scale. The con- sumers' price index has a base of 100.0 for the first quarter of 1955 9 the index of butchers' wage costs a base of 1955 average equals 100.0. The income series shows a steady rise over the twenty year period shown, apart from the post wool-boom recession in 1958-1959. period~ and the period of partial These income data are in some ways a reflec- tion of the assumed linearity of growth or decline within any one· year. The assumed linearity,:along with the linking procedure adopted years, can result iri ari estimating procedure. .over-~eacti6ni transition gra~h9 appear~ on the part of the income It seems more likely, for example, that rapid decline in income in 1951 followed by shown by the ~ts rapid rise in 1952 as is was in fact not as severe as shown. mor~ betwe~n A smoother probable, neither reaching the heights or depths of the graphed figures. A similar over..;reaction in the 1958':" 1960 period also probably occurred. Apart from these two periods the .linear assumption seems quite reasonable, as there are no othe~ really violent changes in the slope indicated between successive years . . r The final three grap,hs illustrate· the levels of quarterly p·er person consumption of sele~ted meats in New Zealand o the consumption of beef and muttpn, Graph 7015 G~aph pigmeats~ and Graph 7016 pigmeats, pork, and (by difference) 7014 shows lamb, and veal, Dham and bacon G • The vertical scale of Graph 7016 is twice that of the other two. All the meats shown indicate strong seasonal consumption patterns ap~rt from mutton, where a seasonal trertd is noticerible only oVer part of the time period. The relathrely slow change in consumption level of each meat over time is also quite noticeable9 considering the general movement inJ;'elative prices of the meats which has occurred over the time period shown. 1 A most.illlPortant conclus.ionfrom these·graphs.can . . bE'; .drawn s the share of' the market indicated as possessed by each·meato This share will have an estimated G~neral import~nt bearing on the interpretation of some modelco~ff'icientsa Discussion In this chapter the sources of data, and the methods used to work the dat~into suitable form, have been explairiedo A graphical representation and discussion of the data has also been carried out. The objective has been to make quite clear the strengths and weaknesses inherent in ealCh dataseto As always with aggregate statistics g ,the form in which they are available is never enti:;ely suited to the use to which they will be put (, Thi,s description has therefore been made to allow an evaluation of' the worth of each set of statisticso It is believ~d that mostbf the series: are of good quality. How- ever some do have weaknesses9 and these weakriesses will influence their . performance in the models. the estimated models This aspect will be discu~s~d furtherwhert ~r~~valuated~ APPENDIX \VEIGHTING METHODS RETAIL Part A: EMPLOYED AND WHOLESALE C IN THE ESTH1ATION MEAT OF PRICES. Calculation of Meat Cut Weights. Beef Weights - using the Meat Retailers_cu~t~ng test. Carcase Side Weight = 337 lb. Cuts for Which a Price is Quoted b~ the Government Statistician (1) 1 \\feight of Cut in Carcase (lb) \\fei~htin~ for ISaleable Q Series Weight for ·uTotal Q Series ( 2) ( 3) ( 4) 1926 to 1948 Inclusive Rolled Sirloin Prime Ribs Rump Steak Topside Stewing Steak Corned Round Corned Brisket Beef Sausage!! 19.0000 25.2500 14.8125 25.8750 80.5000 17.2500 15·7500 13·0000 0,,0899 0 0 1194 0.0701 001224 0.3806 0.0816 000745 000615 0,,0564 OQ0749 0,,0440 0,,0768 002388 000512 000467 000386 Total Saleable 21104375 125.5625 337.0000 1.0000 0.6274 Wastage Total 003726 100000 1949 to 1955 Inclusive Rolled Sirloin Prime Ribs Rump Steak Blade Steak Corned Brisket Beef Sausages 19.0000 25.2500 36.3750 102.0625 15·7500 13.0000 0 0 0899 0 0 1194 0 4827 0 0745 0 0615 000564 0.0749 0.,1079 003029 0.0467 0 0 0386 Total Saleable 21104375 125.5625 337.0000 1.0000 0 6274 Wastage Total 1~ 0 0 1720 0 0 0 0 0.3726 1.0000 Includes other cuts of approximately the same per lb price for which no Price Quotes were available. ' ( 1) ( 2) ( 4) (3) 1956 to 1965 Inclusive Rolled Sirloin Prime Ribs Rump Steak Blade Steak Corned Silverside Hince Sausages 19.0000 25.2500 14.8125 85.6250 43.1250 10.6250 13.0000 000899 0 0 1194 000701 0.4049 002039 0.0503 000615 000564 000749 0 00564 0 0 2540 001280 0.0315 000386 Total Saleable 21104375 1.0000 0"06274 W'astage 125.5625 003726 Total 337.0000 1.0000 Be~f Weights - USing Price Control Division cutting Whole Carcase Weight = 711.18 lb. t~sto 1926 to 1948 Inclusive Rolled Sirloin Prime Ribs Rump Steak Topside stewing Steak Corned Round Corned Brisket Beef Sausages 60.00 51. 37 43.04 63055 164.91 34.37 35.19 37.00 0.1226 001050 000879 0.1298 0 03370 0 00702 000719 0 0 0756 0.0844 0 00722 0 0 0605 0.0894 0 0 2319 000483 000495 000520 Total Saleable 489.43 1.0000 0.6882 Wastage 221075 003118 Total 711.18 1.0000 1949 to 1955 Inclusive Rolled Sirloin Prime Ribs Rump Steak Blade Steak Corned Briske"t Sausages 60.00 51.37 92.00 213.87 35.19 37.00 0.1226 0.1050 0.1880 0.4369 000719 000756 000844 0.0722 001294 0·3007 0.0495 0 0520 Total Saleable . 489.43 1.0000 0.6882 Wastage 221. 75 0.3118 Total 711. 18 /100000 0 ( 4) ( 3) ( 2) ( 1) 1956 to 1965 Inclusive 001226 Oe1050 0.0879 0,,4088 0 2001 od0844 000722 000605 OQ 2814 0 0 1377 37.00 000756 0 00520 Total Saleable 489.43 100000 Wastage 221. 75 711.18 006882 0 0 3118 Rolled Sirloin Prime Ribs Rump Steak Blade Steak Corned Silverside 60.00 51. 37 43 04 Q 200.10 97.92 0 (not included in cutting test) Mince Sausages Total Mutton Weights - Carcase Side Weight 100000 = 30.375 lb. 1926 to 1948 Inclusive Leg Shoulder Loin Neck Chops Total Saleable Wastage Total 6,,1875 5.5625 2.5625 5.4375 409375 0$2506 0.2253 001038 Oe2203 0.2000 002037 001831 24.6875 5.6875 30.3750 1.0000 008127 0 1873 1.0000 000843 001790 o. 1626 0 1949 to 1965 Inclusive Leg Forequarter Midloin Chops 6.1875 11.0000 7.5000 0.2506 004456 0.3038 0.2037 0 3621 0.2469 Total Saleable 24.6875 5.6875 30.3750 1.0000 0.8127 001873 Wastage Total Pork Weights 1 - Carcase Side Weight 0 1.0000 = 46.375 lb. 1926 to 1948 Inclusive Leg Loin BellY lu 20.7500 304375 11.22125 0.5123 0 0 0849 0.2770 0.4474 0.0741 0.2420 An allowance has been made for the meat content of a half-head. (1) ( 3) ( 2) ( 4) 1926 to 1948 Inclusive (ContVd) Midloin Chops 5.09375 40.5025 Total Saleable lvastage Total OQ1258 0.1099 1.0000 0.8734 5.8725 0~1466 46.3750 1.0000 1949 to 1965 Inclusive Leg Chops (loin) 22.0650 18.4375 0'15448 0.4552 0'14758 0 .. 3976 Total Saleable 4005025 1.0000 0.,8734 \vastage Total Part B: 5.8725 0.1266 46.3750 1.0000 Calculation of Population Weights. For the 1926 to 1942 Period Inclusive Population weights for this period were based on the 1936 Population Census.! . Population Auckland Wellington Christchurch Dunedin Total lveisaht 149,382 132,282 81,848 003666 0.2603 0.2305 0.1426 573,905 1.0000 210~393 For the 1956 to 1959 Period Inclusive Population weights for this period were based on the 1956 and 1961 Census population in the four main centres. 2 Averasae lveisaht Auckland lvellington ChristGhurch Dunedin :Total 1- 2 o. 0.4771 0.1666 0.2383 0.1180 1~0000 Government of New Zealand, New Zealand Official Yearbook, Wellington, 1938, p. 70 0 Government of New Zealand, New Zealand Official Yearbook, \vellington, 1963, p. '61. TIME - Part A~ Year and Quarter (Calendar) Quarterl;y Data. ( SALEABLE CUTS pr pr pr B B M t t t Meat Industries Retailers' and Commerce Cuttin~ Test Test ( 1) ( 2) 1 2 3 l.!: 8039 8.40 8.82 8.8l.!: 8.58 8.59 8.99 9.01 1 2 3 4 8.41 8.42 11. 37 8.60 8.60 9.03 11. 55 19l.!:8 1 2 3 l.!: 10.92 10.96 11. 43 11. 49 110 10 11. 16 11.62 11. 69 19l.!:9 1 2 3 4 13.08 13.12 14.93 15004 1950 1 2 3 1946 SERIES DATA. 1 (3) 8.2l.!: 8.2l.!: 9.0l.!: 9.11 )< TOTAL SERIES pr pr pr pr B M B Pt t t t Industries Meat Retai.lers ~ and Commerce Cuttin~ Test Test ( 4) (5) ( 6) ( 7) ) pr Pt (8 ) 11. 85 11.85 12.56 12.64 5·27 5.27 5·53 5·55 5090 5091 6.19 6.20 6.70 10035 6070 10 35 7·35 10.97 7041 11.04 8.29 11. 85 9.09 12.65 12.03 15.27 5·28 5.28 5·55 7·13 5.92 5.92 6.21 7.95 6.74 6.75 7·39 9.78 10035 10.36 11.05 13.34 10.75 10.78 11. 58 11.l.!:2 14.3l.!: 1l.!:.66 15.35 15.22 6.85 6.88 7·17 7.21 7064 7.68 8.00 8.0l.!: 8.73 8.76 9.41 9.28 12.52 12.81 13.l.!:1 13·30 13.29 13.32 15.12 15.23 12.07 11.70 13.89 13.70 16.52 16.25 18.56 18.60 8.21 8.23 9.37 9.44 9.15 9017 10.40 10.48 9.81 9·51 11. 29 11. 14 14.l.!:3 14.20 16.21 16.24 4: 13.89 14.42 15.26 16.37 14.10 1l.!:.62 15.44 16.52 12.65 12.90 13.54 14.21 17.65 18.32 19·30 19.66 8.72 9.05 9058 10.27 9.71 10.06 10.63 11.37 10.28 10049 11.00 11. 55 15.l.!:2 16.00 16.86 17017 1951 1 2 3 4 16045 17.39 18.90 20.67 16.61 17.53 19.05 20.81 14.17 14.98 16.88 17.72 20.62 21.86 23.31 2l.!:.43 10.32 10.90 11.86 12.97 11. 43 12007 13011 1l.!:.32 11052 12.18 13.72 14.40 18001 19.09 20.36 21.34 1952 1 2 3 4 20.88 21.50 22.95 24.50 21.04 21.65 23.11 24.5l.!: 17.46 17.70 17.97 18.09 25.04 25.79 27.61 30.42 13·10 13. 4 9 14.40 15 . .3 1 14.48 14.19 14.39 14.61 14070 21.87 22.52 24.12 26057 1947 1. 8085 8030 11. 86 .. 14090 15091 16089 0 Where a variable is as defined in the New Zealand Models~ symbol notation is used 9 elsewhere full titles are shown. All values are in 2 current v terms with Quantities and Personal Disposable Income per head~ and Prices per pound. The symbol notation is defined in~ Chapter 5, pp. 105-106. Indicates that this statistic was either not calculated. available~ or not ( 4) ( 5) (6) 31.98 15.41 15060 16.06 16.68 17.00 17020 17.73 18.41 16.81 16.95 17.23 18.19 18.55 18.69 19.00 20.05 18033 17.92 18.02 18 026 20.21 19.77 19.89 20.16 26.63 27.63 29.21 30.42 23.49 23.05 22091 22.73 22061 23.67 25 .. 38 26.58 33.56 30.24 30.98 33.75 34.13 34.30 35.47 35.19 35.16 35.97 36.94 37.74 17.15 16.33 16.28 16.56 16.41 17005 18.03 18.80 29.90 32.72 32.09 36.27 30.36 33.16 34.52 36.69 25.75 26.09 26.01 24.64 36.91 36.74 37.18 36.36 36099 35.76 35.80 36.60 37.40 36.19 36.23 37.02 24~16 2 3 4 23.76 23.88 23.84 1960 1 2 3 4 36.23 35094 36.64 38.50 36.65 36.37 37.07 38.92 1961 1 2 3 4 36093 35.89 35.11 36.72 37.35 36.30 35.51 37.14 1962 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 35.83 35.52 35.53 35.93 36050 36.69 38.41 40.49 36.25 35.95 35.97 36.36 1964 1 2 3 4 39056 41020 42038 43.49 1965 1 2 3 4 43095 44.86 45.62 47.53 (1) ( 2) (3) 24.57 24.86 25.61 26.59 26.80 27.01 27.46 29.00 24.70 24.99 25076 26.75 18.06 18.32 19.28 20.33 26.95 27.16 27.61 29.14 20.37 20.57 21. 25 21.78 2 3 4 29.21 28.56 28.72 29011 29·37 28.73 28.89 29029 21. 48 22.44 23.05 23.81 1956 1 2 3 4 27.33 26.02"'25.96 26.39 27.85 26.51 26.43 26087 1957 1 2 3 4 26.15 27.17 28074 29.96 1958 1 2 3 4 :1 1953 1 2 3 4 1954 1955 1959 1963 1 2 3 4 1 32.l15 34005 3 1.1:. 50 34.21 34.52 35.14 35.51 ( 7) (8) 14.68 27.93 28.34 29.74 30,13 111:089 15.67 16.53 16.56 16.72 17.27 17.70 29.88 30.15 30.69 31.01 19.16 18.25 18.19 18. l/:9 17046 18024 18.73 19035 19.09 18074 18062 18.48 29.81 29095 30,98 30.74 18033 19.02 20.12 20.94 18.37 19.2 l1 20062 21.60 30070 31. 42 32.26 32.96 18.76 20.53 21. 39 22.76 20.89 22.82 23.76 25.25 20093 21.21 21. 14 20.02 32.23 32.09 32.47 31.76 35.68 35.84 37.05 ,37.57 23.21 22.44 22.46 22,,95 25.74 24.91 24.93 25.47 19.64 19.31 19.41 19.38 31. 16 31.30 32.36 32.82 22.36 20.74 22.26 23.70 37.86 38.26 40.20 41.10 22.73 22.55 22.99 24.14 25.22 25.03 25051 26.79 18.17 16.86 18.09 19.26 33·07 33.42 35011 35.89 21. 99 21.66 22.24 23·12 22042 22.57 40.77 40.52 41. 89 42.80 23.17 22051 22003 23.04 25.71 24.98 24.44 25.56 22.74 41. 38 40036 40.90 41. 02 22.48 22029 22.29 22.54 35.61 35·39 36.59 37.38 36014 35.25 35.73 35.82 36.94 37.14 38085 40091 23.07 23027 24048 26009 40090 40.07 41. 30 41. 73 22090 23002 24010 25.41 24.95 24074 24.75 25·02 25.42 25056 26.74 28018 17087 17.61 18.08 18.79 18022 18034 18.32 18.48 18075 18.91 19.90 21 020 35073 35000 36.07 36045 40005 40070 42.86 43097 44.47 45034 46.16 48.05 25056 25043 27049 28080 41.48 41.68 43.49 45008 24082 25023 26.59 27028 20077 20067 22034 23.41 29.16 29.42 30.18 30.59 45.62 46.22 47.13 48.14 27057 28014 28.62 29.82 36023 36040 37099 39037 39.85 40037 22.5 l1 27056 28001 29.50 30026 30.60 31. 24 31. 77 33.07 23.70 23.91 2lL 52 24.86 29.31 26.41 27.06 29048 l.l:1016 42.04 D Year and Retail Price Retail Price Quarter of Ham of Bacon (Calendar) wp wp B t Lt Ivho1.e sale Price of w PH 1l..L wp P t t Ho~~et ( 14) ( 15) * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * (10) ( 11) 18.19 18.20 18021 18 21 * * * * * * -* 4: * * * * 1 2 3 4 * * * * 18 24 18.25 18036 23.29 * * * * * * * * 1 2 3 4 * * * * 23.18 23.19 23,29 * * * * * * * * 1 2 3 4 39.30 39025 39019 41053 23065 23.61 23.76 26022 * * * * * * * * * * * * 1 2 3 4 41054 41054 4L58 44.41 26028 26.26 26.24 28065 * * * * * * * * * * 1 2 :3 4 45.05 48 94 * * * * * * * * * 49011 54036 28.96 32030 3'dl.:31 35.26 ~, * * * 1 2 3 4 _ 57.00 57.00 57000 66.11 36.77 37.02 36.69 42.11 * * * * * * * 1953 1 2 3 4 66.30 66.30 66.30 66.75 42.34 42015 42038 42,,46 12.85 12061 13057 -14.45 15072 16.02 17.78 18.31 11053 9085 22.90 12052 11.02 23036 15.44 13·95 25.19 16.03 13.96 23.81 1954 1 2 :3 4 69.43 70.68 70078 70.99 44029 45.20 45022 45.16 13.76 13.80 14.40 15.57 17.82 18.35 19.66 25·12 13.54 14.37 16.19 15082 110 47 23.44 12044 23.74 14.34 25·20 13076 24.26 1 2 :3 4: 69,,07 68098 69,,07 75,,38 43013 42.99 42,,98 45,,05 15002 22.27 13023 21032 13077 22016 13~91 24.49 15672 15054 17002 17.50 13059 13048 15006 15029 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1955 1 2 3 0 0 0 23031 * * * * * ( 12) ( 13) (9) * * * 12.60 17.00 * * * * * * * * * * * * * -* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 9·30 21. 47 19024 18636 22069 24025 D iv ( 9) (10) ( 11) (12) (13) (14) ( 15) 75099 76004 78.47 80.73 45.21 45023 46003 46094 11.87 10.76 10.90 10.79 20.88 19.94 18.19 20.07 15.93 16018 16. 15 16.69 13.76 13.50 13·12 13.88 22.12 25.43 27.08 '28.08 2 3 4 81094 83007 84.43 84058 47093 48079 49.90 49.78 10.56 12.10 14.33 14.58 20.27 23.29 24019 24.75 16008 20.46 21 020 20.93 14.29 18.12 18013 27.16 28.67 29.21 27.98 1958 1 2 3 4 84.60 84.77 85.04 82.90 49078 49079 49084 48.07 13.58 15.96 17073 18.83 19.37 18.44 18087 19041 17.48 17.15 16030 15·70 15.84 15.07 13077 11. 99 26.61 25.06 26.93 24.68 1959 1 2 3 4: 81. 56 81. 54 81. 34 86.02 47.12 47.03 46.89 49051 17091 15.78 17.43 18.33 18.25 16.81 17061 17071 14.99 13.29 14.83 13.87 11. 94 10.36 12.02 10.81 22.84 23.90 26.81 25.78 1960 1 2 3 4 92.79 92.70 92.67 93.94 54.24 54.34 54.19 55.10 17.33 17034 18051 19.00 16044 17.39 20.12 23.20 12.35 13.51 16.42 17.55 9.58 10.43 12.98 13.81 25·75 26.52 29.26 28.95 1 3 4 95007 96087 97.35 97.38 56.04 57.22 58.23 58.94 17.50 16.91 17.42 16.94 16.77 16.58 18.04 17.95 15.48 15.51 17.28 15.24 11. 97 11.91 13.78 12.19 27.94 28.43 30.42 28085 1962 1 2 3 4 97.74 97.76 97.68 97068 59.36 59.37 59.43 59.40 15059 15040 15.91 16.40 14.78 15.63 18.74 18.62 13.07 13037 13.96 14.56 10.46 10.63 11.17 11. 41 26.75 26.07 27.51 26.88 1963 1 2 3 4 97.51 97.29 97.32 97.31 59.03 58.51 58.45 58.36 16.66 16.57 18.90 20.11 16.80 16.55 20.49 19071 14.70 17004 17.18 11064 11.90 13.91 14'.20 25.01 24.07 26.54 25.72 1 2 3 4 97.52 98.23 98.25 104.34 58.60 59.22 59.29 62.37 17.44 18.35 20.26 20.93 16.83 18.69 22.30 23.55 15.14 15.65 19.79 19.55 12.64 13.13 16092 16.48 24.98 26.14 29.27 30.80 1 106.43 106.74 106.87 109.15 63.99 65.56 65.72 65.73 20.22 19066 20.80 21.36 22.37 23018 24034 22.62 19016 19.48 19.88 19.44 15.81 16.23 16.48 15.93 30. 1956 1 2 3 4 1957 1961 1 2 1964 1965 2 3 4 14~73 17~51:!: l1: 1 29.45 31.40 31. 78 Year and Quarter (Calendar) lvholesale Wholesale Price of Price of Ham Bacon ( 16) ( 1 () 1 2 3 4: 14053 14.58 14063 14.63 1 2 3 4 1948 MB t HN t Iv~ Wholesalet Wholesale~ to~Retail to=Retail MarSiin for MarSiin for Ham Bacon (18) ( 19) (20) ( 21) (22) 13074 13.91 14.25 14025 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 14.61 16025 17054 18025- 14002 13.70 13.88 18014 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1 2 3 4: 18072 18.88 18.88 19.10 18017 18049 18.48 18.46 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1949 1 2 3 4 19.13 19.13 19.13 20.31 17.98 18000 18.00 19096 ** * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1950 1 2 3 4 20.51 20.71 20029 22 048 19.99 19094 20016 22.13 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1951 1 2 3 4 22.86 24.16 24.50 26086 22.26 23.73 24005 26.81 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1952 1 2 3 4 28050 28.50 28075 33.00 29.39 30013 30032 34046 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1953 1 2 3 4 33.00 33.00 33000 33008 34038 34088 34088 34.96 2.56 2.99 2.49 2.23 4.83 3087 1072 2.57 5.03 -4098 4055 6.32 33·30 33.30 33030 33.67 7.96 7027 7.50 7050 1954 1 2 3 4 33.75 34.38 34038 34.38 35.56 36021 36.21 36017 3.05 3.15 2.62 5 ~'09 4028 2.93 3094 6.44 6.41 5.49 6.75 35068 36030 36.40 36.61 8b73 8099 9 01 8.99 1 2 3 4 32.89 32081 32.81 36038 33.96 33096 33.64 35063 3.31 4.69 4.25 4035 3087 4.76 3.67 4006 10007 8005 4.37 5.23 36.18 36.17 3-6026 39.00 9.17 9.03 9034 9.42 1946 1947 1955 2~83 0 ( 16) (17) ( 18) (19) (20 ) ( 21) (22) 36t38 36.38 37.79 38.50 35.63 35.71 36.34 36.63 5.28 5.57 5.38 5.77 5.33 5.24 5.5 0 4.60 7.69 4.52 )090 2.66 39.61 39.66 40.68 lJ:2023 9.58' 9.52 9.69 10.31 2 3 4 38.92 39.54 40.25 40.42 37.07 37.97 38.40 38.50 5.85 4.95 3.70 4.22 4.08 1. 70 2.50 3.47 3.54 2.75 3.05 Ii. 98 43.02 43.53 44.18 44.16 10.86 10.82 11. 50 11.28 1958 1 2 3 4 40.75 40.83 41.00 39.17 38.67 38.67 38.67 36.97 5.18 4.57 3.66 3.93 5.09 6.14 7.37 8.03 5.62 7.03 5.5 L1 7.08 43085 43.94 44.04 43.73 11. 11 11.12 11. 17 11. 10 1959 1 2 3 4 37.75 37.75 37.75 41. 50 35.75 35.75 35.75 39.75 5.30 6.66 5.03 4.62 7.70 8.95 7.39 8.57 8.32 7.40 5.55 7.04 43.81 11:3.79 43.59 44.52 11. 37 11.28 11. 14 9.76 1960 1 2 3 4 44.50 44.50 5.40 5.21 4.48 5014 8.59 6.43 5.11 5.45 7.32 6.90 5.85 6.94 48.29 48.20 48.17 48.69 11.49 11. 59 45.25 42.75 42.75 42.75 43.75 1961 1 2 3 4 45.25 47.50 47.50 47.50 43.88 45.75 45.75 47013 5.67 5.60 4.61 6.10 5.90 5070 4.30 6.60 7067 6.96 6.17 8.53 49.82 49037 49085 49.88 12. 16 11.47 12.48 11.81 1962 1 2 3 4 47.25 47.25 47.25 47.25 47.13 47013 47013 46.50 6.89 6.89 6.38 6.14 7076 7.71 7.15 7.07 9.39 9.18 8.22 8.94 50.49 50.51 50.43 50.43 12.23 12.24 12.30 12.90 1963 1 2 3 4 46.25 46.25 46.25 46.25 44.75 44.75 44.75 6.24 6.45 5.20 5.30 7.11 7.01 5. '99 7.00 10.72 10.93 9.53 10.73 51.26 51.04 51.07 51.06 14.28 13.76 13.70 13.61 1 2 3 4 46.25 47.25 47.25 \!0.75 44.75 43.88 43.88 7.38 6.88 6.33 6.35 8013 7.54 5.42 6.93 11. 25 10.26 . 8.72 8.57 51. 27 50.98 51.00 ~3 .59 13.85 15.34 15.41 11. 99J 7.35 7.89 7.68 8.04 8093 9.44 10.92 9.76 10.26 1956 1 2 3 4 1957 1964 1 44~50 44~75 50.3~ "'v 1965 1 2 3 4 50013 50.13 50.13 52.46 11. 4L1 11.35 "V 8. l1:8 7.82 8.46 34.08 35.02 35.17 34.98 Year and Quarter (Calendar) 1946 1 * 2 3 * 4 2 1948 1 2 3 4 1949 1950 1952 1953 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 3 4 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 16050 1 * 2 * 3 * * 1 * * 2 * * 3 4 * * * * * * *. * * * * * * * 3014 * * * * * * * * 4062 3.41 15.49 16010 15081 16037 2.07 2090 2049 3061 6014 5.15 4050 3089 26.52 28041 26078 23.90 2082 2047 1079 2.88 15091 16051 17018 16082 2.19 2030 2015 2.79 5.15 4032 3.76 3019 26.93 30 002 29021 27074 2.89 2076 2.29 1 * * 2 * * 3 4 * * * * * * 1 16081 16.81 16081 17.50 20027 20027 20.27 21. 47 9.70 9070 9.70 9075 25.18 26026 26.63 23.64 2.42 2.30 2.07 3.02 15.17 16096 16085 16007 1. 82 1.82 1. 80 3018 4.23 3.54 3009 3062 17.50 17.50 17.50 17.75 21. 47 21.47 21. 47 27014 9.75 9.75 9.75 9039 24046 27.40 26.85 23079 2015 1. 93 1. 49 2.85 16.42 17055 16.51 16071 3004 2049 3.72 4.80 4004 3053 4.21 27.02 65 27.63 27.09 9059 10060 12.10 13067 24.07 25059 26039 24073 2.52 20 ll1 1. 36 18.19 2.90 18000 3035 2.96 2.99 4.70 5058 4.70 4.10 L1:o 51 3 4 1 2 3 4 1955 t 1 2 1954 PM 2 l1: 1951 E 1 2 3 4 17.90 15.60 17070 16.90 2l1: 0 * * 17093 17094 2. L14 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 (23) (24) (25) (26) (27) 1 2 3 4 11± • 80 2 llo 86 12.02 24.40 2. l17 13080 15060 23016 9030 8 0 70 27046 1.85 27040 1. l13 17028 24064 2084 17044 2065 4.4 lJ: 4041 9040 1 2 3 4 14.20 15.90 12.80 12.20 27093 12000 1)018 25082 10.11 27085 26.43 2.02 1091 1,20 2.67 17.75 16,88 16.07 15.34 208 11 28027 27.5 11: 26029 2.55 1.96 21:.22 5.83 4028 4053 4.20 1 2 3 4 15090 20.90 20.10 20.20 . 24.12 23.44 24.57 27.00 12.42 11. 42 11. 61 11.72 26058 27.00 25094 2056 2065 1.85 16.64 17.28 16.97 2081 2.70 2067 6005 5015 2 040 21076 3087 18018 50"75 2028 1 2 3 4 20.80 23.67 21.23 18.87 19.67 10029 22053 25.18 2300 l l: 21.55 2.60 3.27 2020 4.65 18.87 21.04 18,64 20.03 3075 4000 3.26 4.115 5002 1 2 3 4 22060 25025 24081 9.63 11. 36 10.10 11. 56 21. 92 24.18 3.59 3".21 2.72 3082 21. 17 20.31 19.73 19066 3087 4015 5.02 3.32 3069 4031 3035 11053 11083 9034 10.27 21.06 3.71 3.70 20.50 3.44 3.49 5056 4093 3021 18.81 22.55 5.00 18055 11.07 11045 11.94 11. 23 24005 25.14 5.06 20025 1907 lJ: 3.06 6026 4006 3001 25073 3077 24.53 4053 19055 16062 2090 5.65 4.83 3 082 3086 4.86 40 l11 3068 4079 2-2.37 18.80 20.09 20.10 3·27 3.10 3. 115 4.55 4062 4022 3086 3.45 5012 4.43 5.05 5010 3085 4005 2098 3.07 4.74 5012 4032 3076 13070 21020 22.20 20.20 22.60 21.40 21000 19080 26007 25094 26024 23036 21. ll:3 20004 808 lJ: 8.60 8.81 8.38 27093 23058 19048 (28) (29) (30) 17092 2066 18.10 2.77 5099 5005 1 2 3 4 19.20 19.40 19.90 1 2 3 4 20060 20.70 21.90 19046 21.23 23061 1 2 3 4 17.71 20.44 20094 21089 22.32 22.32 24097 24019 11. 16 1300 11 13.14 12013 24.31 27001 27046 22.97 1 2 3 4 24.39 26.89 26.56 24006 23.07 26043 28.97 13067 14.65 15.85 15.21 23052 5045 24.87 26.04 22.76 4.23 3.52 4043 20.40 18.65 17.36 t8.76 1 2 3 4 24.89 26.47 28.71 27.74 28.14 28.19 26.66 23.33 26.98 4075 18.75 14030 3.99 17090 11. 39 10096 27083 3004 22017 4043 17.12 15098 25046 18.05 20059 24077 23007 29002 15048 2403 11 2 ll:o 86 19053 2066 5031 4008 5042 4039 5061 4045 4 004 3069 4095 40 11 0 4.93 305 l1 Year and Quarter (Calendar) AB A t Lt ( 31) (32) Y A]\1 't ( 33) t (34) It (35) New Zealand POEulation (36) New Zealand Consumers Q Price Index (37) 1 2 3 4 * * * * * * * * * * * * 39.12 40.58 42.02 43.44 583 587 590 594 1 2 3 4 * * * * * * * * * * * * 44.94 46.20 1,799.334 l17045 48.69 597 609 622 634 1~8089393 1~817,453 627 635 638 670 1948 1 2 3 4 * * * * * * * * * * * * 49.91 49.50 49.10 48.70 646 646 647 647 1,826,541 19 8 35,630 1,844 9718 1,8539 806 693 697 690 695 1949 1 2 3 4 * * * * * * * * * * * * 48029 50.74 53.17 55.57 647 661 675 689 1,863,365 1,872,924 1,892,042 699 701 709 712 1 2 3 4 * * * * * * * * * * * * 57.98 61. 87 65072 69054 703 733 763 793 1,900,939 1,909,836 1,918,733 1 9 927,629 713 736 760 773 1 2 3 4 * * * * * * * * * * * * 73.27 69084 66.49 62094 823 827 830 834 1,938~0:J2 1 9 947,438 1,955,623 1,970,522 784 817 844 865 1 2 3 4 * * * * * * * * * 59.48 62084 66009 69.14 837 847 857 867 1,984,730 1,994,704 2,/007,508 2,024,556 876 888 898 905 72.29 72.64 72088 73008 877 900 923 946 2,037,553 2 9 047 i1 4 05 2.060,680 2,074,781 914 924 935 955 969 977 985 992 2,087,740 2,092 9 819 20102,532 2,118,434 963 979 980 978 1000 1004 1008 1012 2,130,937 2 9 1 36,193 2,147,113 2,164'/73[1 992 1001 1003 1003 1946 1947 1950 1951 1952 * * * 1 2 3 4 0.5872 003524 0 0 8390 007526 000821 001906 0,,3985 1.0000 Oe7641 1954 1 2 3 4 004471 0.3932 007660 005474 000180 000354 006667 000475 0~2280 73032 005857 75.26 1.0000 77.02 0.5524. 78.53 1955 1 2 3 4 004164 0.3506 006951 005718 0 0227 000516 100000 002808 005361 1.0000 00637 11: 1953 000209 000341 0,,8261 0 0004 112 80.15 80.83 81029 81. 49 1 ~ 7tH ~ 166 1~754~516 1~767~865 19781~214 1,790~274 1,882~483 624 623 623 623 1956 (31 ) (32) ( 33) (34) (35) (36) (37) 000229 000435 100000 0 00528 002775 0.4958 100000 007167 81. 95 83000 83.65 84008 1016 1031 1046 1060 2,175 9373 3 4 0.4003 003423 0.5839 006106 1013 1027 1049 1049 1 2 3 4: 0 03832 0.3068 0 6534 0 06544 000183 0 00417 008000 000462 002973 0.6199 100000 008857 84.74 86.67 88.34 89081 1075 1078 1082 1085 1 2 0.3724 002910 007189 0.5488 000243 000434 0.5429 000616 0 .. 2991 0.5906 009943 0.6963 91. 50 88093 86.01 83001 1088 1090 1091 1093 004561 0.3172 0.6260 005791 000247 0,,0440 0.5750 0.0728 002606 004611 1.0000 0.9548 80035 85.74 90081 95.67 109 l.l: 1111 1127 1144 2,331,126 2 93 4 39392 2,359,746 1139 1142' 1154 1150 004028 003176 0.7090 005822 000268 0.0573 009063 000486 0 ... 2738 0.4674 1.0000 007962 100.71 99040 97.62 95060 1160 1168 1176 1184 2,370,106 2,37 1 9 760 2,384,469 2,403,567 1145 1147 1157 1168 0.4120 0.3338 0 6422 0 5391 0.,0325 000568 1.0000 0'00527 002634 0.5538 1 00000 0.7338 93095 95.81 97.05 98023 1192 1196 1200 1203 2,414,296 2,420,292 2~463'i241 1163 1163 1181 1193 004196 003222 0'05071 0 05349 000462 000788 0.6462 000501 0.2464 0.'6152 1.0000 0.6875 99.71 10L91 103.89 105.46 1207 1217 1227 1237 2,477,297 2,485,466 2,498,427 2 9520,670 1197 1201 1210 12.18 003716 0 3161 0 7146 0.5828 0,,0458 0 00796 0.8936 0.0520 0.3059 0.5772 100000 0.8493 107.41 109.57 111. 25 112.67 1247 1253 1260 1266 2,533, 41 9 2,538 9033 2,553 9573 2 9 574 9 588 1219 1224 1233 1245 003977 0.2871 0 06763 0.6124 0 00469 000824 0.9762 0.,0477 0.2676 0.5192 1.0000 0.7407 114.27 115.57 116.50 117.02 1272 1291 1310 1329 2,590,787 2,594,420 2,606,7 1 9 29 62 7,483 1250 1261 1280 1301 0.4472 0 3601 0.6191 0 5995 0.0474 0,,0736 004675 000531 0.2503 0.6720 1.0000 0.7764 117.92 120038 122.13 123.62 1348 1367 1386 1405 2,640,117 2,640,379 2 9656,289 2,677,198 1304 1306 1323 1332 1 2 1957 1958 3 4 1959 1 2 3 4 1960 1 2 3 4: 1961 1 2 3 4 1962 1 2 3 4 1963 1 2 3 4 1964 1 2 3 4 1965 1 2 3 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .' 2~177~937 29 1 90 9 741 2~209~132 2 9 221,169 2~229~437 29 24 39 86 7 292629814 2<j275 9 515 2~2819538 2,297~002 2~3159900 2~3261129 2,441~414 1041 1056 1063 1068 1069 1080 1130 1137 D(b) £~E~ D~_,....!:02!~~~·~.~_:"} a t ~~ ~ _._~' ~::.:~:.~lIf S 1 ~-.~-~-~.~,~-.--.-.---".,-~-~-.,---,~,.- .. '~'''Year 'B ~. Meat t ~tetai16rs' <~~~uftiE.LTe s i~-' ( 1) 1926 1927 1928 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 19411 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 196 11 1965 1. 6095 6051 6,,89 7.61 7051 6.32 5.57 5'.27 5.69 6.03 6.58 7.22 8.04 8.33 8.80 8.56 8.33 8.51 8.62 8.65 8.61 9.26 11.20 1 11004 1'1. 99 18.35 23.43 25.41 27.57 28090 260 112 23.00 33.25 36.28 )6.22 36.16 35·70 3eu02 '.I. 1 . l~·l 115.49 ~P~~~T. .·: ' ----,.-... ~ SALEABLE Calendar i CUTS pr TIt Industries and Commerce :;:uttin Test (2 r 7011 6.68 7.06 7.78 7.67 6.48 5.71 5,,40 5.82 6.18 6.73 7.38 8.20 8. 119 8.94 8.72 8.50 8.68 8.79 8.82 8.79 9. 1111 11. 39 1 11.2 11 15.17 18.50 22058 25.55 27.73 29.07 26.91 28. 1,8 33068 36.71 37025 36.56 31).13 33. ll7 41.90 46.01 Fl~it pY" L • , t. J TOTAL.. _-------"-_. SEIU2S ._-._--_ .,.."r' "13 .. iJ..L. t :·:eat. Retaile,:t"s'! ':Ci!'. ti.-.£L!:.~ s t~ _,r l}fi 't pr P t Industr.i6s (5 ) ----TG)'-'-~ ( 7) (8) 7·97 7.2 11 7068 8.12 7.50 5.35 11094 11. 95 6.33 6078 7.13 7·72 8.10 7.61 8.56 8.26 8.32 8.39 8.53 8.62 8.66 9.43 11.13 12.84 13.33 15.9 11 17.80 19.00 20.99 11083 i 1.5 11 10.91 11.28 li.88 9088 8.69 8.28 8.96 .9· 32 9·55 10.17 11.45 11. 81 12.19 11.98 12.05 12.16 i2.12 12.12 12.22 12.91 111. 89 17.48 11090 60 Ii. 26 3 11. ~11 22.G9 }2,,13 11.36 4.08 4.33 4078 4.71 3.97 3·50 3031 3.60 3.78 4.13 4.53 5·04 5.23 5·52 5.37 5.23 5.34 5.41 5.43 5.40 5.81 7.02 8.81 9.40 1L51 14007 15.9 11 17·30 18013 lfi.58 17.57 20.86 22.76 2"S.10 22.69 6.48 5.89 6.24 6.60 6.10 11.35 4.02 4.03 5.14 5.51 5.80 6.28 6.58 6.19 6.95 6.71 6.76 6.82 6.93 7·00 7.04 7.66 9.05 10.44 10.83 12095 14,117 15.44 17006 18.44 18.73 19.96 20083 19.43 10.34 10.08 9.53 9.85 10.38 8.63 7.59 7.23 7.83 8.14 8.34 8.88 10.00 10.32 10.65 10.47 10.52 10.62 10.59 10.59 10.68 11. 27 13.01 15.27 16.36 19.70 23.77 29.0 11 30.43 28 .. 06 30.37 31.84 32.14 31. 19 34.37 3602 11 35.73 35. 81 22.56 33 . 25 23.05 211. 56 25.62 23·91 22.27 22.26 22.57 2 11.23 3 i'.77 26 . E2 /:.'],. S'') 29.8 1, 3G .'!5 3G.79 3(; 5 /J: 0 3903G il1.50 L}C' 91 /11. co 1:,.6 ~ 72 Retail Price of' Dacon --_. C~1rtti;;g T'~t (/1 ) 27 .. 22 M~_' and Commerce (:3) le.73 -Reta·i.l Price --o f Ea;;;--' ___ '1. 5·35 5028 4. 116 3093 3.72 11. 01 11.26 1.. 63 5.08 5.6 11 5.84 6 16 6.00 5.85 5.98 6.05 G.07 6 . 05 6.50 7. C.ll 9 80 10. 114 12.73 1505 11 17 .. 58. 19~C7 2C.Ol 1~: .. 5 2 1{) c 6('< '2~·" 1S .'25 10 25. ;".l: a 35~17 22.IW ;1,.::'1 2'}086 25.98 2805 1, 2.f . :.3 .:~::. ~ l:·2 31. 67 See footnote 1 f'or Appendix D, Part Ao Indicates that this statistic was either h6t available, or net calculated. 13 .. 10 le.09 1B.3 11 19.69 21.80 24.25 37·S0 40.86 (9) * * ,. 39.82 '±2.27 49.37 59.28 66.41 70.47 70.62 77 .81 83.50 8 11. 33 82.61 93·03 96.67 97072 97.36 99 .. 59 107.30 (10) 16072 15.78 15.29 15. lt8 16.09 13.45 11085 11.67 12.72 14.115 14.29 16.35 17.22 17.56 17.98 18.17 17.93 18.00 18.00 18.00 18.20 19.53 23.24 24.31 26086 32.21 38.15 42033 1111. 98 43.54 115085 49010 49.39 117.66 54.117 57.61 5').39 50.59 59.87 65.25 172 '±5 '10 r I G.RAIn 7.1 l\"EW ZJ.c~\LAI'\.') "\l.\i\U"~L ·-\".f:'::~·t,\Gl~ HSTAIL 2'".::;;\.T' P.nIC:~S y '['(,:1'.\.1. CAHC.\.SE'i 1926~-1965 ,3 :.~;.:l~i:S ~ 35 Porl:"': v § 30 o Deef p., S-; Ql p., 25 Ql C,) ~ Ql 20 i'lutton 15 10 .~ -~--->" 5~ Years - 173 Ij 5 ~ GRAFH 702 NEW ZEALAND ANNUAL AVERAGE RETAIL ':3,\l,)1ABLE CUTS' 40 ~iEAT SEHIES PRICES 1926-1965 0 35 ':) § 30 0 "" "" ~ <1> l,:utt ()~, 25 <1> () r:: ,<1> 20 15 10 5 o l.~ 1926 ~~L--1_L..-,J~~L~~-.-L~_~ __ ~ 1930 1935 1940 ~L~~,L,~,L...,..L 19 /15 Years 8, i 1950 ....L J ~~~I~,_' t j,",.1 1955 ,1 1960 ~_~J 1965 - 175 GRAPH 7.3 NE\'/ ZEALAND QUARTERLY AVERAGE RETAIL 110 "~ 'TOTAL CARCASE' MEAT liGCiCS 19 1}6-1965 SERIES. Pork 35 '"d § 30 o 0.. So; <l) ~. 25 -./,-'---- <l) () t:: '" ~~. 20 Hutton ~~ 15 ,.--~~~ 5r--__ ~r ~. 10 <, i o l 1__ 1946 .I ___L _____ _ 1950 ~- n-' ..L 1955 Years 1960 1965 ,~ 1,76 ~ 110 GRAPH.2..:!:! NE,{ ZEALAND QUi\RTEHLY AVERAGE RETAIL I-li\}l AND BACON PRICES 1949-1965. 100" Ham J-/ ~90 80 70 '1j s:: ~ ;:l o P- H Bacon 60 o n. <ll o I': <J) 50 30 ~ 20~l , !I o"f' ,.....L1950 1955 1960 1965 30 r // .~.§~..ZEALANR_ QUJ~BT~::~~~~.:i.Y-!B~~.9.g:. dHOLESALE AND m:TAIL lEl,l" 25 177 - GI~!:}:L?:2 i~~1S,ES,....1953-1')65. IL. I Hetail Price l 20 "j \vbolesale l'rice I': ;J 0 p. H 15 <lJ P. <lJ (j I': <lJ 10 I~ I 5 o~ 1953 J 1957 1961 Years .' 1965 180 - "d .:;:I 0 '" 15 H (j) P. <ll () .: .~ 10 ~7.7 NEW ZEALAND QUAHTEHLY AVERAGE WHOLESALE PRICES I"on LAND, HOGGET AND HUTTON 1953-1965. l O!~L~~J~~~ ,1953 1961 1957 Years ____ 1965 - 179 - 30 II I: ~~ NE;14 ZEALJ\I\~r J.U.\HTEi{LY .-\VEHAGE WHOLESALE -lJl":";I!:F 1'ille8 AND UNr;::-;v KINGDON ,~U,\.RTEHLY A\r;'H,\G~~LE.sALE :li,:;;;.'" l'iUCE 1953-19650 25 20 "tj ~ ;; o ~e~ P-, Zealand Price H OJ P-, OJ U ~ OJ 10 5 1~~_ ,. _~_L=~"~ 1953 __ ~= 1957 = -~~~----.Years n=~~~~~-~-=1=9=:6:=1~- L....... - Q ~ ~~ 1965 ';. 8~; 25r~ GRAPH 7.8 NElv ZEALAND QUARTERLY AVERAGE WHOLESALE HUTTON PHICE 'I I 1 AND UNITED KINGDOJvl QUARTERLY AVERAGE IvHOLESALE };JUTTON PRICE 1 ;1 1953-1965. 20 New Zealand Price "0 §o 15: 1 P< H <ll P< <ll o l=: <ll ~ I I 51I I 0.1 ..l. 1953 1957 1961 Years 1965 = 183 =' GRAPH 709 NEW ZEALAND QUARTERLY AVERAGE IVHPLESALE AND RETAIL 25 MUTTON PRICES 1953-19650 20 '0 .: ;oj 0 15 p.. ~ Q> p.. Q> Y !=: Q> il< 10 5 Ot~ ______~________~~____~~______~____~=-~~~-=~~~ 1953 1957 l 1961 Years 1965 .~ 184 ~ 30 25 20 "===---d 15 II, 't:I ~ ~ 0 p.. ~ OJ p.. OJ 0 ~ OJ Pot GRAPII 7.10 NE\v Z8ALAND QUARTERLY AVEH-AGE WHOLESALE LA-HE PHICE to AND UNITED KINGDOM QUAH-TERLY AVERAGE \VHOLES,\LE LAMB PH-ICE 1953 - 1965. 5 O! ..J 1953 1961 1957 Years 1965 ,85 -QE.~l',l!_.L.l. 1 NEW ZEALAND QUARTERLY AVlmAG8 \vHOLESALE AND.. H.ETAIL PORE_l'nICES~22..L~65__ 110 35 Retail Price 't:I >i ;j o p.. .. Q) p.. Q) () ~ Q) P. Wholesale Price 20 15 oj .1 1953 I L. _I "" n 1957 -.i 1961 Years 1965 -, 131' - S: () ~=f' ,"~/ Do Retail l'rice /~ 70 $,->' -~""'~ ~ Go '"d >=: ;l 0 50 ~ \'iholesale Frice P< .. Q) P< -" ",J Q) t) >=: 110 Q) P< GW\FlI 7.12 i'i :,;-,.: Zic\J.,,\-':';J 30 :;(le;:s Fa" ,<U:\ilTiCHLY AVERAGE WIIOLES:\LE AND ILk ;\1';) BACON (AVERAGtW) ru~TAIL 1953 - 1965. 20 10 0'-1953 L__ ,__ _L ~ ______._L-______ ~ ________L-____.__ 1961 1957 Years ~ ________ ~ ________ ~ ______- d 1965 ! (~? ;/lO,<>· ,,~ GRAPH 7.12 , ..... NEW ZEALAND QU;\RTEl1LY PERSONAL DISPOSABLE INCOME PER PERSON, 13 0 1"1 QUAl1TERLY AVERAGE INDEX OF BUTCHERS' AND QUARTERLY AVEHAGE CONSUMERS' ! Index of Butchers' Wage Costs >"AGE COSTS ~~~.---- I 120r- ./.<:>~~Price ~:'·~consumers' I ~r<>-'- ~ Index ~ / ~. ~ 90~ I ~ / ~ Personal Disposable Income ..-- ."'-./r/ ~~ § 8+ ~ ------/ 70~ ~ i ~ / //~ ~-~ 100, .//~- j// PHICE INDEX 1946 - 1965. 110 // ./" / '""' . ~.----/ .(/ 1"0 l60t-~~ ~ r ~ 50~ ~!I H cv p. H 1 ./'/' Y ,,/ llOP"'/ ! ~ 35~- q O~ _ _ L ____ J 1946 __ . ~____~__~____~___~____~__~____~__~~__~__~L-__~__~L---~----L----L----~--~ 1950 1955 Years 1960 1965 59° 30r GHAPH 7.14 ;~c,v ZD:ALANO QU,\HTEIti,y PEn PEHSON CONSUJvlPTION OF BEEF AND ~iUTTON 28 \ 26 1 +> H ct! ;j (\ v\ j H W 1950 (FOURT:! QUARTER) ~ 1965, 24r C' j H W P< ~ I 22~ I 0 rn H W" P< i< W P< 20L :1 rn ">1 ;j 0 /~ P< J \ 14 . _ - '_ _ _ _-'-_ _ _ _L_ 1951 I ___ ~ __ " "_~-' 1955 1960 Years 1965 ~ 12 191 ~ GRAPH 7015 NEW ZEALAND .QUARTERLY PEH PERSON CONSUMPTION OF PIGMEATS, LAMB AND VEAL 1950 (FOURTH QUARTER) - 19650 10 I-< v <IJ +' I-< <Il ::I 0' I-< <IJ P~ o .. Ul 6 <IJ P- I-< <IJ P- u, It '"CI ~ ::I o Cl. 2 ~ OLJ" 1951 _ 1955 I Years L 1960 l . ! 1965 192 to'c-'I " i 9~ /\ 8~ "1\ 1 / (\ (\ \ I .1 i I g. .. Q) t 6 , 0~ 0 m ~ 5 0- ... Q) 0- m "0 ~ ::J 0 p., GRAPH 7.16 NEW ZEALAND QUARTERLY PER PERSON CONSUlVlPTION OF PORK AND PIGMEATS 1950 .(FOURTH QUARTER) - 19650 1'- o 1951 t , I 1955 1960 Years 1965