Statistical Aspects of the Forest Inventory and Analysis Program, US Forest Service Tracey S Frescino Paul L Patterson Statistical Aspects of the Forest Inventory and Analysis Program • Overview of FIA • Sample Design • Estimation Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) Mission: To conduct forest inventories of the United States to estimate: • the extent (area) of forest land • the volume, growth, and removal of forest resources • the health and condition of the forest Forest Inventory and Analysis Regions Pacific Northwest (PNW) Interior West (IW) Pacific Hawaii American Samoa Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands Federated States of Micronesia Guam Palau Republic of the Marshall Islands North South National Headquarters Field Headquarters Caribbean Commonwealth of Puerto Rico Virgin Islands Strategic features • A standard set of variables with consistent meanings and measurements • Field inventories of all forested lands (In some National Forest System regions FIA inventories all NFS lands) • • • A national sampling design and plot configuration A systematic, annual sample of each state A national database with user friendly access FIA Program – Structure Data collection Prefield – determine if plot is forested Field visit – visit plot in field and collect addition data Information Management Check and compile data and organize in database Analysis & Reporting Generate analytical reports for 5 years, 10 years, etc. Examine trends in forest condition and status Techniques Improve quality and efficiency Develop spatial tools and products Inventory and monitor disturbance effects and impacts Support emerging applications FIA Program – Information Management • Program/Maintain Personal Data Recorder • Transfer data from PDR to Oracle database • Data editing • Produce calculated variables • Maintain database… FIA Program – Database and Tools http://www.fia.fs.fed.us/ FIA Program – Analysis & Reporting Analysis & Reporting Generate analytical reports for 5 years, 10 years, etc. Examine trends in forest condition and status • Tables • Charts • Maps FIA Program – Techniques Techniques Improve quality and efficiency Develop spatial tools and products Inventory and monitor disturbance effects and impacts Support emerging applications • Design-based estimators vs. Model-based estimators • Investigating use of different remotely-sensed data as ancillary information to estimation procedure (ex. large scale photography, satellite imagery, etc.) • Handling plots with nonresponse (i.e. Access denied) • Automating mapping procedures (ModelMap) • Automating estimation procedures (FIESTA) Statistical Aspects of the Forest Inventory and Analysis Program • Overview of FIA • Sample Design • Estimation FIA: A 3-phase program Phase 1: Entails use of remotely sensed data to obtain initial plot land cover observations and to stratify land areas with the objective of increasing precision Phase 2: Entails field crew visits to locations of plots with accessible forest to measure traditional suite of mensurational variables Phase 3: Entails field crew measurements of an additional suite of variables related to the health of the forest on a 1:16 proportion of Phase 2 plots Genesis of the FIA sampling design With thanks to: Tony Olsen US EPA Phase 3 (Forest Health Monitoring) hexagons Each hexagon is approximately 96,000 acres Each FHM hexagon is divided into 16 hexagons, approximately 6,000 acres per hexagon Hexagons are divided into spatially balanced panels. In the east one panel is measured each year for a 5 year cycle In the west each panel has two subpanels for 10 years per cycle Sample is quasi-systematic: within each hexagon a plot location is randomly selected; • The plot locations are permanent • Only potentially forested locations are ground visited. Remotely sensed data collected on office called nonforest plots • In IW approximately 40% of plots are ground visited; percentage varies by state. • Discussion on going to a All-Veg inventory • Urban Inventory FIA Plot Design FIA Phase 2 observed variables • Plot/subplot identification and location • Observed condition (within subplots) - land cover, ownership, forest type, stand age, size class, productivity class - origin, slope, aspect, physiographic class, disturbance FIA Program – Conditions Observed condition (within subplots) land cover, ownership, forest type, stand age, size class, productivity class FIA Phase 2 observed variables • Plot/subplot identification and location • Observed condition (within subplots) - land cover, ownership, forest type, stand age, size class, productivity class - origin, slope, aspect, physiographic class, disturbance • Observed tree attributes - location - species, status, lean, diameter, height, crown ratio, crown class, damage, decay FIA Phase 2 calculated variables • Tree attributes - volume • Subplot attributes per unit area - number of trees, volume, biomass • By category - species/species groups - status: live, mortality, etc Three types of variables • Core – measured by all regions using prescribed protocols • Core Optional – measured at discretion of each region; But if measured, must use prescribed protocols • Regional – measured using locally defined protocols Statistical Aspects of the Forest Inventory and Analysis Program • Overview of FIA • Sample Design • Estimation FIA Estimation FIA uses post-stratified estimation; typically a Forest Service database, such as the NLCD, is used as the stratification tool. Equations: with where is plot level value of the attribute of interest FIA data is collected at the condition level, which can be a subset of the plot is the number of plots in stratum h excluding the nonresponse plots FIA Estimation Equations: with where is the number of plots in stratum h excluding the nonresponse plots is an adjustment factor used to compensate for partial nonresponse and partially out of population plots. Ignoring the nonresponse plots assumes that within each stratum the nonresponses are missing at random, i.e., the expected value of the nonresponse plots is the same as the expected value of the observed plots. “Or the nonresponse plots on average are similar to the plots that were observed” Techniques – Estimation R Tools FIESTA An R Package for automating FIA’s estimation procedure Functions for: Forest inventory data manipulation Spatial data manipulation Estimation Analysis Onto More R and FIESTA