4th National Crime Mapping Conference
• Welcome
• Thank you to our sponsors
– Conference sponsor: Home Office
– Bag sponsor: Northgate Information Solutions
– Drinks reception sponsor: MapInfo
• Thank you to our exhibitors
• Thank you to our speakers, poster presenters and
class facilitators
• And thank you for coming!
4th National Crime Mapping Conference
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Who’s been here before?
Who’s here?
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Police
Crime and Disorder Reduction Partnership
Regional/Central Government
Academia
Commercial sector
Analyst
Information management
Researcher
Management/decision-making role (police, community safety)
Policy maker
Consultant (software, data, training)
Technology developer
New venue
Develop on from previous years
Conference programme
• Three plenaries
– Place: space and time
– Terrorism and community safety
– Neighbourhood policing and community safety
• Question Time panel
• 18 papers across the seminar streams
– Best conference paper prize
• 6 posters
• Classes
– FULL: Introduction to CrimeStat; Key spatial theories of crime;
ArcGIS; MapInfo
– Places still available for the others
– Ask at the conference desk
• YELLOW BADGES
What has happened in the last year?
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Home Office PSU ‘Crime
Mapping: Improving Performance’
USA NIJ ‘Mapping Crime:
Understanding hotspots’
Home Office ‘Review of GISbased information sharing
systems’
Crime and Disorder Act Review
Research
– Impact of licensing changes
– Targeting of stop and search
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And ‘GIS and Crime Mapping’…
Grasping the ‘place’ dimension
• Exploiting the inherent geographical quality of crimes and
incidents
– The Crime ‘Problem’ Triangle
Crime = Motivated offender + Vulnerable Victim @ some Place
– More than just hotspot mapping
• We now have some good examples
Portsmouth: 37% - 58% reduction in vehicle crime in areas that had been
determined as ‘hot-streets’
“During parts of the Operation, due to competing resource priorities offender
based activity had to be completely suspended, yet reductions in crime
continued to be sustained from just focusing on victim and location work
alone.”
Chief Inspector Julie Earle, Hampshire Constabulary
“Crime mapping … has been fundamental in improving police performance in
the West Midlands, and in recent months reducing all crime by 20%"
Assistant Chief Constable Nick Tofiluk, West Midlands Police
What do we need to do next?
• Still need to convince the bosses
• Capture more examples that demonstrate how we
can use crime mapping
– Planned new publication: Crime Mapping Case Studies
– Core input from this conference
• Need to get to a common minimum standard
– ACPO and Geographic Analysis
• At present only really exploring the where
– Describing where things have happened
What do we need to do next?
• Need to better understand,
– The significance of where (spatial significance)
• E.g. understand how unusual the crime pattern is
– Why (spatial regression)
• E.g. relationship between why crime happens where it does against
other features
• Not just as a global relationship but as a local relationship
– What if (spatial modelling)
• E.g. if we target an intervention to a particular place what impact will it
have
– Where will it happen in the future (predictive modelling)
• Forecasting, early warning system, predictive crime mapping
Place: space and time