Crime Mapping & Analysis Program Sean Bair, Program Manager Crime Mapping & Analysis Program National Law Enforcement & Corrections Technology Center A Program of the National Institute of Justice sbair@du.edu 1-800-416-8086 www.crimeanalysts.net Background •Former Crime Analyst •Former Police Officer •(Field Training Officer and Sexual Assault Investigator) •Program Manager for CMAP, a program of NIJ CMAP’s Mission To Provide Technical Assistance and Training that enhances local, state and federal law enforcement & correctional agencies’ capacity for 4CRIME AND INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS 4GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEMS (GIS) 4CRIME MAPPING 4AUTOMATED VEHICLE LOCATOR 4GPS ELECTRONIC HOME MONITORING Topics Sequencing Line of Positioning, Line of Bearing Animation and 3D Analysis Spatiotemporal Analysis Next Event Forecasting Thesis Results Case Study Commercial Robberies, California Who, What, Where, When, How and Why? Time / Loss / Interval Analysis Sequencing Analysis of distances between strikes Angle / Directional Analysis Strike zone Victimology / Target Analysis Target Prioritization Prediction / Forecast Lopping and Lobbing Crime scene and evidence drop locations (body, weapons, pawn, etc.) Offender Spatiotemporal Analysis Study of Time in Space (Sequencing, Animation, T-Coordinates) Each officer’s calls are sequenced and color coded. Now the amount of time they spend on each call is extrapolated in 3d to show call location, duration, sequence and direction. Animation Survey Results Question: “Which of these techniques do you think offers the most accurate prediction?” Most Accurate Technique Ellipses 7% Kernel Smoothing 7% Visual Approx 7% Skipped Question 23% Combination 9% Other T echniques 21% Rectangles 9% "I don't know" 17% Standard Deviation Rectangles Standard Deviation Ellipse Kernel Smoothing Minimum Convex Polygon Space-Time Analysis Crime Mapping & Analysis Program Sean Bair, Program Manager Crime Mapping & Analysis Program National Law Enforcement & Corrections Technology Center A Program of the National Institute of Justice sbair@du.edu 1-800-416-8086 www.crimeanalysts.net