‘Data Sharing, Crime Reduction
and the Nottingham Burglary Risk
Index
2nd National Crime Mapping Conference
9 – 10th March 2004
Stephen Brookes
Dr Kate Moss
Background Reading …
Data-sharing and Crime Reduction:
The Long and Winding Road
Stephen Brookes, Kate Moss and Ken Pease
Crime Prevention and Community Safety: An International
Journal, Volume Five, Number Four 2003.
The “3 R’s of Regional Delivery”
• Risk
• Responsibility
• Response
Risk
6
Crimes Recorded by Police 1876-1996
5
T o ta l C rim e s , M illio n s
4
3
2
1
0
1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996
Source: Maguire 1997
EM Region in England &
Wales
Rank
Region
Total Crime Per
Region
Regional Percentage of National
Crime
1
Wales
241,765
4.37%
2
North East
261,308
4.72%
3
East of England
411,831
7.45%
4
South West
424,723
7.68%
5
East Midlands
447,898
8.10%
6
Yorks & Humbs
610,223
11.04%
7
West Midlands
633,891
11.46%
8
South East
650,176
11.76%
9
North West
777,809
14.07%
10
London
1,067,458
19.31%
Percentage Distribution of Crime in the East
Midlands Region - 2001-2
21
36
20
13
10
Derbyshire
Leicestershire
Lincolnshire
Northamptonshire
Nottinghamshire
Highest Crime Rate CDRPs
CDRP
Nottingham
Mansfield
Leicester
Derby
Bassetlaw
Corby
Ashfield
Northampton
Rate
105.2
66.9
64.3
53.7
53.3
52.0
48.7
47.7
Force Area
Nottinghamshire
Nottinghamshire
Leicestershire
Derbyshire
Nottinghamshire
Northamptonshire
Nottinghamshire
Northamptonshire
O ffe n c e s
p e r 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 p e o p le ( 2 0 0 1 c e n s u s , 2 0 0 1 m id - y e a r , a n d
2 0 0 2 m id - y e a r e s t im a t e s )
1 4 0 0
1 3 0 0
1 2 0 0
1 1 0 0
1 0 0 0
9 0 0
8 0 0
7 0 0
6 0 0
D
ec
-0
3
ct
-0
3
O
Au
g03
Ju
n03
Ap
r-0
3
Fe
b03
D
ec
-0
2
ct
-0
2
O
Au
g02
Ju
n02
Ap
r-0
2
Fe
b02
D
ec
-0
1
ct
-0
1
O
Au
g01
Ju
n01
Ap
r-0
1
Fe
b01
D
ec
-0
0
ct
-0
0
O
Au
g00
Ju
n00
Ap
r-0
0
5 0 0
M o n th
N o t t in g h a m s h ire
D e rb y s h ire
L e ic e s t e rs h ire
N o rt h a m p t o n s h ire
P o ly . (N o rt h a m p t o n s h ire )
L in c o ln s h ire
P o ly . (D e rb y s h ire )
P o ly . (L in c o ln s h ire )
P o ly . (L e ic e s t e rs h ire )
P o ly . (N o t t in g h a m s h ire )
Crime Trends for those Police Forces that have had Amongst the Three
Highest Crime Rates During at Least One Year Between 1975 and
2002/03 – Highlighting Nottingham
Nottinghamshire
1971 Through to 2003
PSA Crimes
Responsibility
Encouraging Responsibility
• Public Service Agreements
• Spotlight and Focus
• Community Empowerment
• Integrated Approaches
PSA s
• PSA 1 Reduce crime and the fear of
crime; reduce the gap between high
crime and other areas; reduce vehicle
crime by 30%; burglary by 25%; robbery
by 14%
• PSA 2 Reduce Anti Social Behaviour
Monitoring PSAs
Reality
Outcomes
Context
Mechanisms
Response Levels
•
•
•
•
•
•
National
Regional
County
Divisional
Sector
Neighbourhood
“ All Things Nottingham“
Key Priorities
• Burglary of People’s Homes
• Street Crime
• Violent Crime (including
Gun Crime)
Example:
Response to Street Crime
Trends in Street Crime Notts 10/99-9/02
700
600
All Street Crimes
Theft from Person
Personal robbery
400
300
200
100
ct
-9
Fe 9
b0
Ju 0
n0
O 0
ct
-0
Fe 0
b0
Ju 1
n0
O 1
ct
-0
Fe 1
b0
Ju 2
n02
0
O
Number
500
Months
Notts. Street Crime Initiative comparisons
100
Weekly % Change: Initiative week 2002/03 vs.
2001/02
% change
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
02
02
03
02
02
02
02
02
02
02
02
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
08
01
12
11
10
08
09
07
06
05
04
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
16
19
21
24
26
29
01
04
06
09
11
Initiative Week
Notts. Initiative Weekly % Change 02/03 vs. 01/02
9 Forces Combined Initiative Weekly % Change 02/03 vs. 01/02
Notts: street crime hotspots
Nottingham: street crime hotspots
City Centre: afternoons
City Centre: evening/night
Personal Robbery, Age and Sex of Victim, all
Notts
450
400
300
250
Female
200
Male
150
100
50
Age
83
90
69
76
55
62
41
48
27
34
13
20
0
6
Number
350
Further Challenges …
• Develop Jupiter to link the
‘macro’ to the ‘micro’
• Routine exchange of data
• Routine use of data for
problem solving
PROJECT JUPITER:
Evaluation, Penetration, Need and
Provision.
Dr Kate Moss
Loughborough University