Solar Spectral Irradiance (SSI) Variations NIST Workshop — February 28 to March 1, 2012 Introduction and Overview of Our Challenge Gary Rottman LASP (retired) gary.rottman@lasp.colorado.edu 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 1 Goals of SSI Workshop(s) • Examine SSI instruments, their capabilities, their observations, and the uncertainties associated with the measurements. • Consider how these data were analyzed. How are solar variations separated from instrument effects. • Establish an understanding of SSI differences. Refine their uncertainties. • Make plans for the future — studies, calibrations and future meetings. 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 2 Why it’s Important to measure the solar irradiance — TSI and SSI 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 3 Incoming Solar Radiation Top of Atmosphere -2 -1 Irradiance (W m nm ) 2.0 1.5 At Surface 1.0 10 m Below Ocean Surface 0.5 0.0 500 1000 1500 2000 Wavelength (nm) 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 4 Basic Radiometric Quantities- 1 The total Solar irradiance (TSI) or radiant flux density is the radiant flux across a surface element, dA : {W / m2} 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 5 Record of Total Solar Irradiance 1% 2) Emphasize corrections that move the one dataof in these the desired 1) At most data direction sets is correct 2) The mean of all four is almost certainly not correct 1) Apply Hooke’s Law: — restoring force is proportional to the displacement from equilibrium 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 6 Success Story of the TSI Measurement Program 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 7 Model of TSI Solar variability on all temporal and spatial scales is intimately connected with variations of the solar magnetic field 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 8 Model estimates of Solar Variations vs. Wavelength Achievable Required Solanki and Unruh 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 9 Basic Radiometric Quantities- 2 The Solar Spectral Irradiance (SSI), Eλ, is the radiant flux density per unit wavelength interval: {W / m3} [Σ=1361 W/m2] NOTE: the Total Solar Irradiance, TSI, is the integral over all wavelengths of the Solar Spectral Irradiance. Solar Irradiance 2/27/12 Digital Data to the Ground SSI Variations Workshop 10 In-flight Change in Instrument Responsivity First, do everything you can to reduce optical instability — maintain cleanliness, select materials, reduce exposure Goal is to establish (in-flight) change in responsivity and correct solar data accordingly 1. Conduct in-flight calibrations: • Carry an irradiance standard — FEL lamp, D2 lamp, etc. Use an astronomical standard — stars, the moon, the Sun (!) • 2. Use redundant systems — instruments, optical channels, detectors, etc. Employ varying duty cycles to solar exposure (1, 0.1, 0.01, etc.) and then build an exposure/time dependent model of the responsivity, R(,t) 3. Return instrument from space and repeat calibration. From pre-flight and post-flight calibrations, interpolate responsivity to time of solar observation. 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 11 Ground Data Processing detector data E( λ,t) = C(t) − SL + diff ± ? T(t, λ )D(t, λ)As∆( λ) • Instrument data • Spacecraft data • Orbit/attitude Model estimates Other observations Processing algorithm or — data transform or — measurement equation Pre-launch knowledge (σ’s) σ and assumptions ( ’s) 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 12 Example of a time series 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 13 Extended Time Series from Multiple Instruments 198 0 198 5 199 0 199 5 200 0 200 5 201 0 Lean, J., and M. DeLand, 2012: How Does the Sun’s Spectrum Vary?, J. Climate Doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00571.1 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 14 Extended Time Series from Multiple Instruments σ = 2% 198 0 2/27/12 198 5 199 0 199 5 SSI Variations Workshop 200 0 200 5 201 0 15 Extended Time Series from Multiple (one) Instrument 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 16 Internal Instrument Changes scattered light overlapping orders contamination solar exposure aging temperature electronic drifts dosage shifts in optics 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop +++++++ 17 Environment/Operational Changes — changes in solar pointing — atmospheric absorption (SZA) — airglow (SZA) — off-axis scattered light a. limb scattering b. f.o.v. intrusions — energetic particles in space — spacecraft outgassing — plus others 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 18 Exposure Changes Pick your poison • Outgassing throughout the interior of the instrument is likely ongoing • Solar exposure of optical surfaces and/or contamination on these surfaces may change transmission • Most of the “train wreck” happens at the first optical surface • Some scattering may proceed from there to the walls of the spectrometer • Fluorescence may occur • Photo-polymerization (or other chemistry) may occur at the first optic • UV is used to smooth Plexiglas 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop UV-C UV-A UV-B work functions of most materials 19 What Can this Workshop Accomplish? • Wait to see what we accomplish in three days. What new insight? • Networking — Expand the number of experts who understand the SSI instruments and their data processing • Evaluate assumptions made about instrument performance — postulate alternate assumptions and approaches to reconcile differences • Evaluate uncertainties presently associated with the SSI data sets • Advise the instrument teams on methods of reducing uncertainties 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 20 Estimates of Solar Cycle Variability (model results of Solanki and Unruh) • Model results are based on TSI and UV observations • The UARS instruments provided the required accuracy for: λ < 300 nm • SIM provides the required accuracy for: 200 < λ <2000 nm Required Capability 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 21 TSI Measurements • TSI varies by ~ 0.1% over the solar cycle • Solar cycles 21, 22 and 23 are roughly the same amplitude • Standard uncertainties have steadily improved from 5000 ppm to about 500 ppm 21 22 23 • TSI measurements require random uncertainty (Type A, or precision) on the order 50 ppm • A single instrument can measure TSI variability even with large systematic uncertainty (Type B, or bias) • Individual data sets are limited to about 5 years. — with overlap additional observations can extend the time base. Without overlap observations require combined standard uncertainties of ~ 100 ppm. 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 22 Spectral Irradiance Measurements Maximum/Minimum - 1 (From Solanki et al.) Solar cycle variation of spectral irradiance — 300 < λ < 2000 nm 10% 1% UARS Capability .1% .01% SIM Capability 10 ppm 500 1500 1000 2000 Wavelength (nm) Note: For measurements of spectral irradiance, all requirements are wavelength dependent. • If a single instrument is used, the systematic uncertainty can be large, as long as the random uncertainty is small (< .1 of variation — 10% in EUV, 1% in the UV, and 0.01% in the visible) • For multiple data sets (again limited to < 5 years), if the measurement sets overlap the data can be combined. If the sets do not overlap, the measurements must have a combined standard uncertainty of less than 0.1 (ideal) to 0.3 (acceptable) of the solar variation. 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 23 To Control Type A Uncertainty • Limit detector noise (phase-lock detection) • Limit electronic noise (phase-lock detection) • Repeatable and stable mechanisms • Thermal stability • Pointing stability and knowledge • others terms ? 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 24 To Control Type B Uncertainty Establish the responsivity of a “flight” instrument relative to International System of Units (SI) 1) Transfer calibration from a known “standard” instrument ( > 1%) — the resulting uncertainty of the “flight” unit is the combined uncertainty of the “standard” + uncertainty of the transfer technique + uncertainty from instrument unique parameters and corrections. 2) Measure “flight” instrument response against an “irradiance standard” ( > 1%) — the resulting uncertainty of the “flight” unit is the combined uncertainty of the “irradiance standard” + uncertainty from instrument unique corrections. 3) Characterize the “flight” instrument as an “absolute sensor” ( < 1%) — characterize each term in the measurement equation. Roll-up the table of the uncertainties in each term — may be a unit level calibration or a calculation. 2/27/12 SSI Variations Workshop 25