Challenges in Using Current Generation Solar Reflectance Imager Observations for Climate Change Detection and Future Directions Steve Platnick 1 challenges: Rob Levy 1, Alexi Lyapustin 1, et al. current imagers: Jim Butler 1, Jack Xiong 1 future imagers: Peter Pilewskie 2, Greg Kopp2, Kurt Thome 1 1 NASA GSFC, 2 University of Colorado/LASP SORCE STM 31 January 2014 Cocoa Beach, FL Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Outline 1. Challenges Examples of MODIS reflectometry trends aliasing into geophysical product time series Example stability requirements for trend detection 2. Current Generation Global Imagers Overview of MODIS & VIIRS multispectral scanners On-orbit reflectance calibration systems and approaches 3. Future Directions Direct solar observations (SORCE/SRF/TRF legacy) Hyperspectral pushbroom system examples Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 1. Challenges MODIS/VIIRS Current generation global imagers (MODIS/VIIRS) are tasked to do a lot: • Moderate resolution with wide swath global coverage (MODIS: 2330 km, VIIRS: 3040 km) scanners • Multispectral coverage: VIS through IR (14.2 µm for MODIS) • Meet a variety of science (aerosol, clouds, land, ocean color) and operational needs • On-orbit reflectometry accuracy on the order of 2-3% in the VNIR-SWIR channels (MODIS: 20, VIIRS: 14). Stability not specified for MODIS; 0.3% for VIIRS. Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Example Trend Artifacts in MODIS Terra Collection 5 Products Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Trend Artifacts in MODIS Collection 5: Aerosol Optical Depth Means over Land Surfaces Aqua:JUL, 2002 to JUN, 2013 ; Terra: JUL, 2002 to JUN, 2013 AREA WEIGHTED = YES, PIXEL WEIGHTED = NO Terra Aqua C5(Aqua & Terra) AOD zonal avg [60S, 60N] = -0.001 per dec (abs) AOD at 550nm (zonal avg ± 60°) B R 0.28 Terra = -0.049 per dec (abs) MODIS Land scene = -0.003 per dec (rel) LAND artifacts due to B3 (0.47 µm) degradation B R = -0.267 per dec (rel) Terra AOD Aqua AOD 0.24 -0.3%/dec 0.20 0.16 0.12 -27%/dec ±60° latitude Jan 2003 Jan 2004 Jan 2005 Jan 2006 Jan 2007 Jan 2008 Jan 2009 Year Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Jan 2010 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Jan 2013 Aqua:JUL, 2002 to JUN, 2013 ; Terra: JUL, 2002 to JUN, 2013 AREA WEIGHTED = YES, PIXEL WEIGHTED = YES Terra Aqua C5(Aqua & Terra) (LIQUID) zonal avg [60S, 60N] Cloud Optical Thicness Mean (± 60°) 22 Cloud Optical Thicness Mean (± 60°) -0.052 per dec (rel) per dec (rel) Trend Artifacts in MODIS ==Collection 5:== -0.174 -0.043 per dec (rel) -0.129 per dec (rel) Liquid Water Cloud Optical Thickness Anomalies 13 B R B R Land COT ≈f (0.65µm) Terra COT Aqua COT 20 18 -5%/dec -18%/dec 16 14 12 Ocean COT ≈f (0.86 µm) 12 11 -4%/dec -13%/dec 10 9 Jan 2003 Jan 2004 Jan 2005 Jan 2006 Jan 2007 Jan 2008 Jan 2009 Jan 2010 Year Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Monthly anomalies Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Jan 2013 45 10.0 Trend Artifacts in MODIS Collection 5: Cloud Optical Thickness Regional Trends 0 Time Series, Monthly :JUL, 2002 to JUN, 2010 -90 0 JUL, 2000 to JUN, 2001 COT Annual Mean (10° bins) July 2000 – June 2001 90E 30.0 45 0 15.0 180 90W -20.0 0 5% significance level 90 90 20.0 90 20.0 45 10.0 45 10.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 -45 -45 [ Annual mean ] -45 -10.0 AQUA ! (C51) anomaly (LIQUID) TREND (TOTAL) COT Trends masked by p-value ≤ 0.05 (w/autocorrelation correction in t-test) TERRA ! (C51) LIQUID MODIS Terra [ %b0 (per decade) ] -45 [ Annual mean ] 0.0 -10.0 -10.0 AQUA ! (C51) LIQUID JUL, 2002 to JUN, 2001 -90 0 90E 180 0.0 90W 0 -90 -900 0 90E 90E July 2002 – June 2003 30.0 30.0 45 45 0 0 15.0 15.0 -45 -45 90E 90E 0 180 180 90W 90W 15 0 0 0.0 0.0 30.0 30 0 15.0 -45 0.0 90E 180 90W -20.0 -20.0 90 20.0 45 10.0 0 0.0 -10.0 -90 0 -20.0 90E ≤20 Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 45 -90 0 0 0 -45 -90 -900 0 90 90W 90W 5% significance level 90 90 MODIS Aqua 180 180 0 180 %/decade 0 90W 0 ≥20 Trend Artifacts in MODIS Collection 5: DATA: JUL,Optical 2002 to JUN,Thickness 2013 Liquid Water Cloud Means AREA WEIGHTED = YES, PIXEL WEIGHTED = YES C5/C6(Terra) (LIQUID) zonal avg [60S, 60N] Cloud Optical Thicness Mean (± 60°) OCEAN 12 Ocean ±60° latitude 11 10 Ohring et al. 2005 (2%/dec stability) L1B Collection 5 L1B Collection 6 test 9 Jan 2003 Jan 2004 Jan 2005 Jan 2006 Jan 2007 Jan 2008 Jan 2009 Year Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Jan 2010 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Jan 2013 Weatherhead Equation (constant = 3.3) The Challenge of Trend Detection example : n = 16.3 yrs, with ! = 10%, and "=5%/dec * Number of Years Required to Detect a Trend * n (yrs) required to detect the trend (90% prob. of detecting a trend to a 0.05 statistical level, no autocorrelation) 10 10 8 % trend/dec (%) Trend/decade ~17 yrs 6 20 ~30 yrs 4 30 2 40 5 10 50 0 0 20340050 5 10 ! 15 20 y Natural Variability in monthly residual time series σy/⟨y⟩ (%) Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 90% prob of detec.ng means your t-­‐test must exceed 3.3 instead of 2.0 Note: image is for 3.3 approxima2on which should be fine for monthly anomalies COT(rel.)/dec The Challenge of Trend Detection 40 yrs 30 Wednesday, February 6, 13 20 10 from Platnick, S., S. A. Ackerman, B. A. Baum, A. K. Heidinger, R. E. Holz, M. D. King, W. Paul Menzel, S. Nasiri, El Weisz, P. Yang: Assessment of IDPS VIIRS Cloud Products and Recommendations for EOS-era Cloud Climate Data Record Continuity, Suomi NPP Science Team report, 2013 (http:// npp.gsfc.nasa.gov/teaminfo.html). 0 Fig. 1.2. Time required to have a 90% probability of detecting a trend to a statistical significance of 0.05 if a 5%/decade change in cloud optical thickness was occurring in each 10° grid box. Variability and correlation statistics needed for deriving time-todetection are from 12 years of MOD06 C5 cloud data. Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Detection Time (yrs) Fig. 1.1. Zonal mean decadal trend in cloud optical thickness (relative change/decade) derived from simulator output for 5 CMIP5 models [Zelinka et al., 2013; private communication]. Individual models are given by the gray lines; the inter-model mean is given by the red line. 2. Current Imagers Reflectometry Characterization Issues with Current Generation Global Imagers (MODIS, VIIRS) • Reflectometry derived from solar diffuser (SD) and solar diffuser stability Monitor (SDSM) – ratio radiometer w/small integrating sphere and Si detectors/filters • Scan mirror angle of incidence varies across scan. Response vs. Scan (RVS) angle must be characterized, including polarization sensitivity (e.g., Terra mirror side differences in VIS) • Two-sided mirror (MODIS scan mirror, VIIRS rotating telescope w/ Half Angle Mirror) • Along-track linear detector arrays (~10km) • Use of lunar observations for stability monitoring (most important for climate) Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 MODIS%On8orbit%Calibra<on%Schema<c% Solar%diffuser%(SD)%and%solar% diffuser%stability%monitor% (SDSM)%for%reflec<ve%solar% bands%(RSB)%calibra<on% Spectroradiometric%Calibra<on% Assembly%(SRCA)%for%instrument% spectral%and%spa<al%characteriza<on% Solar Diffuser SRCA SDSM Blackbody Scan%% Mirror% AOI%:% MODIS Scan Mirror EV%:%10.5865.5⁰% Angle of Incidence Nadir:%38⁰% Earth View: 10.5-65.5° SD%:%50.2⁰% Nadir: Moon:%11.2⁰% 38° Diffuser: 50° Moon: 11° Blackbody%(BB)%for% thermal%emissive%bands% (TEB)%calibra<on% Space View VIIRS Scan Mirror Angle of Incidence Earth View: 29-56.5° Nadir: 36° Diffuser: 60° Moon: 60° Lunar%views% through%SV%port% Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Solar Diffuser Characterization Challenges • Degradation: Spectralon (scintered/pressed Teflon) degrades on-orbit w/ • • BRDF, sr-1 • Spectralon BRDF at 60 deg Incidence exposure time (short wavelengths in particular) 0.390 300 nm Exposure: Diffuser door reduces exposure on MODIS (though Terra 400 nm 0.370 500 nm door is stuck open). No door on VIIRS. 600 nm 0.350 700 nm Diffuser screens: reduce incident sunlight, 800 nmbut can cause interference 0.330 patterns and scattered light (less of issue for VIIRS w/elliptical holes) 6% 0.310 Uncertainty in spectral BRDF of diffuser and BTDF of a solar diffuser 0.290 screen VIIRS MODIS VIIRS 0.270 Current NIST BRDF measurement uncertainties at MODIS/VIIRS SDSM MODIS SDSM 0.250 viewing angles gives an uncertainty -70 -60 of -50 0.57% -40 -30 -20(k=2) -10 0 for 10 a 20 Spectralon 30 40 50 60 70 Viewing angle, deg diffuser. Inconsistent viewing angle: SDSM on MODIS doesn’t view diffuser at same angle as MODIS instrument. Assump2on made that SD reflectance degrada2on will be isotropic Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 VIIRS and MODIS Solar Diffuser (SD) Degradation VIIRS SD Degrada.on vs. Time Similar to MODIS (as a func4on of solar exposure 4me) MODIS & VIIRS SD Degrada.on vs. Spectral Channel 14 yrs 11.5 yrs 2 yrs Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Collection 6 Corrections Implemented in MODIS L1B for Problem Channels Terra & Aqua MODIS Band 2 (0.86 µm) 11-yr Time of time CEOS Desert Sites MODIS band 2 (0.86 µm) Record reflectance record at CEOS desert sites Terra Aqua 5% Collection 5 Collection 5 days since Jan 2000 days since Jan 2002 different sensor view angles Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Collection 6 Corrections Implemented in MODIS L1B for Problem Channels Terra MODIS band 2 (0.86 µm) 11-yr Time Record of Desert Sites Terra Terra Collection 6 tentative correction using desert sites Collection 5 days since Jan 2000 days since Jan 2000 different sensor view angles Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Collection 6 Corrections Implemented in MODIS L1B for Problem Channels 13.5 yr degradation (%) Terra MODIS Response vs. View Angle C5 method C6 method Frame # (view angle) Lunar View Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Solar Diffuser MODIS Band 1 (0.65 µm) and 2 (0.86 µm) vs. vs. VIIRS SNOs VIIRS IDPS SDR (operational LUTs) MODIS Collection 6 L1B Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Lunar Observations VIIRS Lunar Roll Maneuver (view from the Sun) ASTER&560nm&Band& MODIS&645.5nm&Band& MISR&672nm&Band& 17& Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Lunar Observations: State of the Art • Stability Monitoring. ROLO model (USGS, T. Stone): spectral irradiance vs. lunar phase/libration from 8+ years of data at Flagstaff facility Relative precision ~1% over full valid phase angle range (eclipse to 90 degrees before/after Full Moon), from 350–2300 nm. Stability demonstrated to ~ 0.13% (SeaWiFS, Eplee et al., Appl. Opt., 2012) with small range of phase angles using pitch maneuvers. Part of standard data processing stream for SeaWiFS, MODIS T&A, VIIRS. Used in cal/val of Landsat-8 OLI, EO-1 ALI, EO-1 Hyperion, geostationary meteorological imagers (GOES-7 thru GOES-15, etc.) • Absolute Irradiance ROLO irradiance accuracy ~ 5-10% NIST lunar Irradiance Program (Claire Cramer et al., CLARREO STM 2014): 2 datasets from CAS spectrometer at Mt. Hopkins, 1 % (k=2) from 500–920 nm (ROLO for variation in brightness during obs). Setting up facility at Mauna Loa (goal of k=2 0.5 % from 380–980 nm). Working on a high-altitude flight campaign, and extending Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 3. Future Future Directions • Improved scanner system characterization (some combination of cost, risk, and/or technical issues) Improvements in diffuser material and screens (?) Include diffuser doors w/design opening to limit scattered light Optimizing instrument optical layout to view the diffuser and improved diffuser monitoring Better ground cal facilities, e.g., improved standards for diffuser BRDF ground cal of and traceability into orbit Separate Solar Reflectance and IR scanners to optimize optics (Landsat), polarization scramblers (SeaWiFS), etc. • Reflectometry derived from direct solar views CLARREO pushbroom concepts (not wide swath): HySICS (LASP), SOLARIS (GSFC) • Hyperspectral coverage through the VNIR/SWIR (~5-10 nm) for improved information content Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 SOLARIS Instrument Offner system covering 320–2300 nm, 500 m GIFOV, 100 km swath width Technology demonstration: • Thermal control of attenuators/detector • Design/production of optics • Depolarizer technology Lunar data provide calibration verification Benchmark reflectance from ratio of earth view to measurements of irradiance while viewing the sun Cross-calibration of other imagers K. Thome, et al. Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 SOlar, Lunar for Absolute Reflectance Imaging Spectroradiometer (SOLARIS) HySICS on ECHO Platform (Earth Venture proposal) Aperture&wheel& Alignment&Cube& Enclosure&door/& drive&assembly& Filter&wheel& Fine&Sun&Sensor& Offner&mirrors& Four&mirror& anas-gmat& telescope& Fold&mirror& Gra-ng& Instrument&& enclosure& Detector& Cryo8cooler& Detector& vacuum& enclosure& Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 HySICS: HyperSpectral Imager for Climate Science P. Pilewskie et al. A"enua'on)Methods)U'lized)by)HySICS) • Aperture'a)enua+on!–!Reduc(on!of! input!light!collec(ng!area! Earth!Viewing! Solar!Viewing! – Can!achieve!a6enua(ons!~10;3! – Limited!by!diffrac(on! • Integra+on'+me'a)enua+on!–! Reduc(on!of!light!collec(ng!(me! – Can!achieve!a6enua(ons!~10;2! – Limited!by!electronics! Input!Aperture! • Filter'a)enua+on!–!spectral!filters! calibrated!with!on;orbit!lunar!views! Can!achieve!a6enua(ons!10;1! – – Limited!by!S/N! All)a"enua'on)methods)are)rela've) measurements;)direct)measurements)of) solar)or)Earth)irradiances)not)required.) Filter! Hyper; spectral! Imager! Exposure!(me! FPA! (me! Integra(on! Time! Hyper; spectral! Imager! FPA! Exposure!(me! (me! G. Kopp et al., IIP Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 A:enua4on Uncertain4es (Very Preliminary – Not End-­‐to-­‐End) Actual'system'apertures' Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 G. Kopp, et al., IIP Hyperspectral VNIR/SWIR Information Content Cloud detection and thermodynamic phase discrimination over Arctic snow REFF [µm] Probability 95% 66% liquid over snow Wavelength [µm] 2.3 What is retrieval skill for (1) cloud detection, (2) cloud phase discrimination, (3) COD, REF, LWP/IWP retrieval for: (a) MODIS (b) spectral imager? Use generalized retrieval analysis (GENRA, Coddington et al., 2012 to ingest spectral information sequentially, given measurement and model uncertainty (including snow surface albedo variability). cloud free COD (b) spectral imager REFF [µm] 100 0 50% Cloud COD=5, REF=25 µm over ocean Probability [%] 0.6 ice ice 66% 95% 50% liquid cloud free COD 0 0 Reflectance measured snow albedo + variability (a) MODIS Probability [%] 1 SW imagery: Also low cloud/surface contrast for λ<900 nm, but can use several λ>900 nm where snow is ‘dark’ 100 Motivation: Clouds < 5 km are important for Arctic surface energy budget, water-ice-cloud feedback processes Problem: IR imagery has low skill detecting clouds due to low cloud/surface temperature contrast 0.6 Wavelength [µm] 2.3 S. Schmidt et al. Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014 Summary 1. Current generation imagers (MODIS/VIIRS) have a number of challenging technical requirements: moderate spatial resolution and wide swath, VIS to IR spectral coverage, variety of science and operational users. 2. While MODIS/VIIRS instrument characterization teams have/are doing an excellent job of accounting for degradation issues, it has not been demonstrated that current global imagers can be characterized to the stability/accuracy requirements needed for multi-decadal trend detection of important geophysical datasets. 3. Requirements for climate studies by imagers requires new technical capabilities/approaches. Platnick et al., SORCE STM, Jan. 2014