Solar Rotational Modulations of SSI and Correlations with the Variability of TSI Jae N. Lee1,2 , Robert F. Cahalan2,3, and Dong L. Wu2 1. 2. 3. Joint Center for Earth Systems Tech., University of Maryland, Baltimore County, MD NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD Applied Physics Lab/Johns Hopkins University, Laurel, MD 1. 2. TSI (TIM, ACRIM III, VIRGO) SSI (SIM V19, SOLSTICE, TIMED/SEE, SATIRE-S) were continuous and almost completely clean, d of 220 days (7 months from 21 May 2007 ber 2007). Seven maxima and seven minima daily noise values yield a time series where ant frequency is 1/27 day (Figure 3). of the fact that these changes in the APD ng daytime, approximately from sunrise till ected that these were related to the Sun and tion. To validate this we compared our data olar indices data. However, after we gathered dices (Solar Radiation and Climate Experictral irradiance, 2007, available online http:// u/sorce/index.htm; NOAA National Weather Weather Prediction Center, 2007, available at http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/) (sunspot number, 10.7 cm radio flux, Lyman alpha flux) we found out that none of these solar indices, or any other measured quantity, revealed a continuous 27-day periodic fluctuation throughout this period. [13] Figure 4 represents our daily measured VLF APD (2 – 5 kHz) together with three different solar indices, which do not always correlate well with each other. However, when we compare our measured index when all three indices agree, we notice that there is a strong negative correlation between our VLF index and the solar ones. This implies that during enhanced solar activity, i.e., with higher values for the solar indices, we detect less atmospheric noise, and vice versa when the solar indices are at minima. However, unlike all the solar indices presented, our ELF- Sun-­‐Climate connec/on in solar rota/onal /me scale Reuveni and Price (2009) Takahashi et al. (2014, SORCE mee/ng presenta/on) Cloud(varia5ons( (OLR) Africa Lightening Lightning,in,MC Pacific America Atlan/c 2003.8 variation 2007: TSI vs Lyman-, 4. Daily VLF noise levels at rotational 2 – 5 kHz versus different solar indices. When 0.2 0.2 there is a good TSI ment between all three solar indices (red, blue, and green), they all show negative correlation with 0.15 Lyman-, LF index (black). 0.1 0.05 0 0.1 4 of 7 0 -0.1 -0.15 -0.2 -0.2 0.8 TSI 0.6 Lyman-, 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0 -0.05 -0.1 0.8 2004.7 rotational variation 2003/2004: TSI vs Lyman-, 0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.6 -0.6 -0.8 -0.8 -­‐ VLF lightening signal correlates with solar ac/vity only when the solar rota/onal signals are large. -­‐ There are 27-­‐day like signals in lightening ac/vity, but not always correlated with solar rota/onal signals. Sun Climate Symposium Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 2 Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 TSI and SSI SSI is a distribu/on of TSI, SSI varia/on is wavelength dependent, and also /me scale dependent. Solar spectrum originates at different levels of the solar atmosphere. With current satellite observa/ons, more than 100 solar rota/onal cycles of 27-­‐day varia/on are covered (2003 – Aug. 2013). Dis/nct solar rota/onal modula/ons of SSI at each wavelength can be iden/fied in terms of amplitude and phase. The phase of the rota/onal mode obtained from SSI is compared with that of TSI. Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 3 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 Sta/s/cal analysis : EEMD (Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposi/on) [Huang et al., 1998; Ruzmaikin et al., 2007; Barnhart and Eichinger, 2011] Low frequency varia/on High frequency varia/on Fourier Transform EEMD Hilbert-­‐Huang Transform with /me variable amplitudes and phases Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 4 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 The 27-­‐Day Rota/onal Varia/ons in TSI Observa/ons: from SORCE/TIM, ACRIMSAT/ACRIM III, and SOHO/VIRGO [Lee et al., 2015] Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) at 1 AU (W/m 2) 1363 1362 SORCE Total Solar Irradiance - daily average maximum declining SC23 1361 missing minimum SC23 1360 1359 1358 1357 rising SC24 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 Year -­‐ The rota/onal signals are well captured with three independent space-­‐borne TSI measurements. -­‐ They agree well with each other, with large amplitudes in declining and rising phases, but with small amplitudes in minimum phase. -­‐ How about SSI? Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 5 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 Rota/onal Varia/on : T: TSI SI vsvUV s L(121nm) yman-­‐α (121 nm) rotational variation 10 5 10 2003 5 0 0 −5 −5 −10 −10 TIM/TSI 5 2004 SOLSTICE TIMED/SEE 5 0 0 −5 −5 5 2005 • Standardized amplitudes are es/mated by removing the mean and by dividing with σ. 5 0 0 −5 −5 5 5 ATSI (t) = 0 0 −5 −5 5 2007 0 0 Lee, Cahalan, and Wu −5 ITSI (t) − ITSI σ (ITSI ) , AUV (t) = IUV (t) − IUV σ (IUV ) • The modes from two observa/ons of Lyman-­‐α line (SORCE/SOLSTICE and TIMED/SEE) agree well in amplitudes and phases. • The modes of Lyman-­‐α line are not always in phase with TIM/TSI modes. • TSI varia/ons are affected by solar proton event (SPE), but UV varia/ons are not. 2006 5 A few examples : How rota/onal varia/ons of SSI are related with that of TSI? −5 6 Rota/onal Varia/on : TSI vs Lyman-­‐α (121 nm) rotational variation : TSI vs UV 5 5 2008 0 0 −5 TIM/TSI SOLSTICE TIMED/SEE 5 −5 5 2009 0 0 −5 −5 5 5 2010 0 0 −5 −5 5 -­‐ Rota/onal varia/ons of TSI and Lyman-­‐α are ohen out-­‐ phase during high solar ac/vity period, but are in-­‐ phase during solar minimum (2008-­‐2010). 5 2011 0 0 −5 −5 5 5 2012 0 0 −5 5 −5 5 2013 0 0 7 −5 Lee, Cahalan, and Wu −5 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 Rota/onal Varia/on : TSI vs MUV (240 nm) rotational variation : TSI vs UV (240nm) 10 5 10 2003 5 0 0 −5 −5 −10 −10 5 TIM/TSI 2004 SOLSTICE SIM 5 0 0 −5 −5 5 2005 Similar but TSI with MUV (240nm) - They are ohen out-­‐phase during high solar ac/vity period. -­‐ Modes from SIM and SOLSTICE match well. 5 0 0 −5 −5 5 5 2006 0 0 −5 −5 5 5 2007 0 0 −5 −5 Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 8 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 Rota/onal Vrotational aria/on : TvsSI vs MUV (240 nm) variation : TSI UV (240nm) 5 5 2008 0 0 −5 TIM/TSI SOLSTICE −5 SIM 5 5 2009 0 0 −5 −5 5 5 2010 0 0 −5 −5 5 -­‐ TSI and MUV are in phase during minimum phase, but ohen out-­‐phase during solar ac/vity rising period. 5 2011 0 0 −5 −5 5 5 2012 0 0 −5 −5 5 5 2013 0 0 −5 −5 Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 9 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 Rota/onal Vrotational aria/on : TSI vs H-­‐α (656 nm) variation : TSI vs Hα 656.3nm 10 10 2003 0 0 −10 TIM/TSI 10 SIM −10 SIM unscreened 10 2004 0 0 −10 −10 10 10 2005 0 0 −10 - TSI and VIS are in-­‐phase during whole analysis period (2003 – 2011). -­‐ Only 5 outliers from SIM are excluded for the EEMD analysis to remove the outstanding cycles appeared in purple doied curve. -­‐ Outliers from SIM are chosen from high frequency mode comparison with TSI. −10 10 10 0 0 −10 −10 10 W/m2/nm 2006 10 2007 0 −10 Lee, Cahalan, and Wu Slope = 0.0011 0 −10 10 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 Rota/onal Varia/on : TSI vs. H-­‐α (656 nm) 2008 rotational variation : TSI vs UV 5 5 0 0 −5 2009 TIM/TSI SIM SIM unscreened −5 5 5 0 0 −5 −5 2010 5 5 0 0 −5 TSI and SIM H-­‐α (656 nm) −5 2011 5 5 0 0 −5 −5 11 Lee, Cahalan, and Wu Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 Phase of the solar rota/onal modes : 2005 -­‐ Rota/onal varia/ons are well defined in UV and 600-­‐ 900 nm, but not at photospheric wavelength (250 – 600 nm) and IR above 900 nm. mode of TSI: 2005 mode of SSI: 2005 350 350 300 300 250 2005: day of year days : 2005 days : 2005 rotational mode : 2005 200 150 100 50 -5 0 5 3 2 250 1 200 0 150 -1 100 -2 50 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 wavelength (nm) SOLSTICE Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 12 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 SIM Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 -3 Linear correla/ons of the 27-­‐day mode between TSI and SSI Correlation of the 27-day mode between SSI and TSI 1 SIM SATIRE-S SOLSTICE A 0.8 r 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 -0.2 100 150 200 SOL-A 250 wavelength (nm) 300 350 SOL-B SIM SATIRE-S 0.8 0.6 SIM SATIRE 0.4 0.2 SIM 0 -0.2 400 Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 400 Correlation of the 27-day mode between SSI and TSI (400-2400 nm) 1 r -­‐ Correla/ons begin to grow at 250 nm, correla/ons from SOLSTICE, SIM and SATIRE track each other. -­‐ Correla/ons from SIM is >0.8 in 600 – 900 nm. -­‐ Correla/ons from SATIRE are nearly 1 above 400 nm, but shih at opaque minimum at 1650 nm. SOLSTICE B SATIRE 600 800 1000 13 1200 1400 wavelength (nm) 1600 1800 2000 2200 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 2400 Summary Solar rotational modulations of spectral irradiance are wavelength dependent. Rotational variations of VIS and NIR (~600-900 nm) are in-phase with that of TSI, but variations of FUV and MUV are not always in-phase. Close agreement of the rotational variations from SIM and SOLSTICE is encouraging. We can address rotational variations from SORCE SSI measurements with high confidence. Rotational variations from SATIRE-S matches with observed SSI modes below 280 nm, and exactly matches with TSI mode above 400nm. Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 14 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 Acknowledgment SORCE Team TIMED and SATIRE Teams Tom Woods, Jerry Harder, and Marty Snow Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 15 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 Back ups Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 16 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 Low frequency and High frequency varia/ons of TSI and Lyman-­‐α Low frequency varia/on (a) low frequency variation : TSI vs Lyman-, 1361.4 8 TIM/TSI SOLSTICE/Lyman-, 1361.2 • 7.5 1361 6.5 W/m2 W/m 2 7 1360.8 1360.6 6 1360.4 1360 • 5.5 1360.2 01/04 01/05 01/06 01/07 01/08 01/09 01/10 01/11 01/12 #10 01/13 -3 5 • HIgh frequency varia/on (b) high frequency variation : TSI vs Lyman-, 4 1.5 SOLSTICE/Lyman-, TIM / TSI 3 1 2 0 -1 -0.5 -2 -1 -3 01/04 01/05 01/06 01/07 01/08 01/09 01/10 01/11 01/12 #10 -3 -1.5 01/13 W/m2 W/m2 0 -4 • 0.5 1 The phase of low and high frequency varia/ons of TSI and Lyman-­‐α line are compared. Amplitudes of high frequency varia/on Low frequency varia/ons are in-­‐ phase with each other. High frequency varia/ons? Distribu/on of low and high frequency modes 350 TSI HF mode : Histogram and fitted Normal curve • TSI HF mode is not normally distributed. • SIM SSI difference between high and low TSI regime has a dip at 1600nm. 300 frequency 250 200 150 100 50 0 -4 -2 W/m2 -1 0 1 TSI HF mode : Histogram in high and low regime 160 40 140 35 120 30 100 80 25 20 60 15 40 10 20 5 0 -4 -3 Lee, Cahalan, and Wu -2 W/m2 -1 0 Lyman , HF mode : Histogram 45 frequency frequency 180 -3 1 0 -3 -2 -1 18 0 W/m2/nm 1 2 3 #10 -3 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 Eric Richard’s TSI vs SSI I (λ ) = I 0 exp(− Ox ) ≈ I 0 (1 − Ox ) 1. Relation between irradiance I and Opacity à here O is opacity and x is distance times density. Note O depends on the wave length lambda 2. Assume there are two main source of absorption such as O1: H- and O2:H2 à Then Lee, Cahalan, and Wu I (λ ) = I 0 (1 − O1 x1 − O2 x2 ) 19 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 3. Let us see if the following fig makes sense à the y axis is defined as d (λ ) = I − I ref I ref = = Lee, Cahalan, and Wu I 0 (1 − O1 x1 − O2 x2 ) − I 0 (1 − O1 x1 − O2 x2 )ref I 0 (1 − O1 x1 − O2 x2 )ref O1 (x1,ref − x1 ) + O2 (x2,ref − x2 ) (1 − O1 x1 − O2 x2 )ref 20 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 4. We can compare two wave length 1000 and 1600. d (1000) = d (1600) = O1 (1000)(x1,ref − x1 ) + O2 (1000)(x2,ref − x2 ) (1 − O1 (1000) x1 − O2 (1000) x2 )ref O1 (1600)(x1,ref − x1 ) + O2 (1600)(x2,ref − x2 ) (1 − O1 (1600) x1 − O2 (1600) x2 )ref 5. Note in general lager fluctuation for lambda 1000 than 16000 because 1 1 > (1 − O1 (1000) x1 − O2 (1000) x2 )ref (1 − O1 (1600) x1 − O2 (1600) x2 )ref 6. Also, depending on relative abundance (density ) of H- and H2, that is x1 and x2, the sign of d(1000) and d(1600) can be different. That is while one grows , the other could decrease. Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 21 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 SSI composite: TSI(high) – TSI(low) Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 22 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 23 Sun Climate Symposium Savannah, GA, 11/11/15 SSI composite: TSI(asc) – TSI(des) Lee, Cahalan, and Wu 24