JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 108, NO. D8, 4250, doi:10.1029/2002JD002486, 2003 Size-resolved particle emission indices in the stratospheric plume of an Athena II rocket O. Schmid,1,2 J. M. Reeves,1 J. C. Wilson,1 C. Wiedinmyer,1,3 C. A. Brock,4 D. W. Toohey,5 L. M. Avallone,6 A. M. Gates,6 and M. N. Ross7 Received 26 April 2001; revised 27 June 2002; accepted 4 July 2002; published 25 April 2003. [1] Simultaneous measurements of carbon dioxide (CO2) mixing ratio and alumina (Al2O3) particle abundances between 0.004 and 1.2 mm were obtained in the stratospheric plume wake of an Athena II solid-fueled rocket motor (SRM). A multimode model of the particle size distribution is used to determine the number (N) and surface area (SA) emission indices as 8.7 ± 2.0 1015 per kg and 6.9 ± 2.1 1014 mm2 per kg, respectively. Integration of the size distribution shows that 37% of the total SA and 8% of the total mass (M) are contained in the submicron size range (diameter < 1mm) that most influences the stratospheric impact of alumina particles emitted by SRMs. These values are significantly greater than reported by most previous studies and they imply that the annual global ozone loss associated with SRM alumina emissions is about half of the ozone loss from SRM chlorine emissions alone. Comparison of our results to previous studies raises the possibility that submicron M and SA fraction, and therefore global ozone loss, INDEX TERMS: 0305 Atmospheric Composition and are inversely related to SRM thrust. Structure: Aerosols and particles (0345, 4801); 0340 Atmospheric Composition and Structure: Middle atmosphere—composition and chemistry; 1610 Global Change: Atmosphere (0315, 0325) Citation: Schmid, O., J. M. Reeves, J. C. Wilson, C. Wiedinmyer, C. A. Brock, D. W. Toohey, L. M. Avallone, A. M. Gates, and M. N. Ross, Size-resolved particle emission indices in the stratospheric plume of an Athena II rocket, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D8), 4250, doi:10.1029/2002JD002486, 2003. 1. Introduction [2 ] Combustion emissions from solid-fueled rocket motors (SRMs) include particulate Al2O3 and a mix of gases such as HCl, Cl2, H2O, NO and CO2 [Prather et al., 1990]. Although plume wake ozone loss associated with the reactive gas phase emissions has been observed [Ross et al., 1997], numerical models suggest that its relative contribution to the global impact of rocket launches is small [Danilin et al., 2001a]. Global mixing and gas phase chemistry of HCl emissions from SRMs have been extensively modeled [e.g., Jones et al., 1995; Jackman et al., 1998; Danilin et al., 2001b] and the various models are in broad agreement that the change in annually averaged global total ozone (AAGTO) due to present-day HCl 1 Department of Engineering, University of Denver, Denver, Colorado, USA. 2 Currently at Max-Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany. 3 Currently at National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA. 4 Aeronomy Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Boulder, Colorado, USA. 5 Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USA. 6 Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USA. 7 Environmental Systems Directorate, The Aerospace Corporation, Los Angeles, California, USA. Copyright 2003 by the American Geophysical Union. 0148-0227/03/2002JD002486$09.00 AAC emissions from SRMs does not exceed the relatively small value of 0.03%. [3] In contrast, the global impact of heterogeneous reactions on the surface of alumina particles emitted by SRMs is much more uncertain, mainly due to limited quantitative information describing the microphysics, reactivity, and size distribution of SRM alumina. A variety of reactions could present a significant ozone loss mechanism including halocarbon decomposition [Robinson et al., 1994] and various chlorine activation reactions. Molina et al. [1997] measured the reaction probability g of the chlorine activation reaction ClONO2 + HCl ! HNO3 + Cl2 on alumina. The relatively large g = 0.02 value they found emphasized the potential importance of this reaction. Subsequent modeling studies using the Molina et al. g value [Jackman et al., 1998; Danilin et al., 2001b] confirmed that the chlorine activation reaction could significantly increase the ozone loss associated with SRMs, potentially doubling AAGTO for some emission scenarios. [4] These studies also document the significance of submicron alumina particles for global impact studies. Although SRM particles range from a few nanometers to about 10 mm in diameter [Ross et al., 1999a; Cofer et al., 1987], the diameter range between 0.01 and 1 mm is of most significance for global impact studies, since particles smaller than 0.01 mm and larger than 1 mm have relatively short stratospheric lifetimes (weeks to months) due to efficient removal by coagulation and gravitational settling, respectively [Danilin et al., 2001b] (hereafter D2001b). 6-1 AAC 6-2 SCHMID ET AL.: PARTICLE EMISSION INDICES OF A SRM While the alumina mass emission index (EIM) (the total alumina mass emitted per kg of SRM propellant) is well known for the various SRMs on different rockets, knowledge of the mass and surface area fractions contained in the various modes that make up the complete alumina distribution is limited. Published estimates span several orders of magnitude and predictions from the various global models reflect this uncertainty (D2001b). A reliable assessment of SRM alumina ozone loss is not possible until more certain knowledge of SRM particle size distributions is obtained. [5] In this paper we use measurements of CO2 mixing ratio and size resolved particle abundance between 0.004 and 1.2 mm obtained in the stratospheric plume wake of an Athena II SRM to determine modal particle number (N), surface area (SA) and mass (M) emission indices. Our data represent the first SRM alumina size determination based on instruments with a long history of successful stratospheric measurements and constrained by a known tracer of SRM combustion. We compare our results with previously reported size distributions, estimate the relative importance of gas phase and heterogeneous ozone loss from SRM emissions, and discuss the implications that our results have for assessments of the global ozone loss from SRMs. Finally, we discuss the limitations of our data and conclusions and propose future measurements that could resolve the remaining uncertainties. 2. Experimental [6] The stratospheric plume wake of an Athena II rocket launched from Vandenberg Air Force Base, California (34 480N, 120 370W) was sampled on September 24, 1999 at 66060 s universal time during the Atmospheric Chemistry of Combustion Emissions Near the Tropopause (ACCENT) mission [Ross et al., 1999b]. The NASA WB-57F high altitude aircraft carried a comprehensive instrument suite to measure a wide variety of gas phase and aerosol compounds [Gates et al., 2002; Popp et al., 2002] and encountered the Athena II plume five times at an altitude of 18.7 km between 3.6 and 26.3 minutes after launch. Each encounter lasted between 6 and 20 seconds. Here, we limit our attention to measurements of CO2 abundances and particle size distributions between 0.004 and 1.2 mm. A sixth plume encounter at a significantly lower altitude of about 12 km was not included in this study of stratospheric plumes due to its close proximity to the tropopause. [7] Particle measurements were performed at a 1 Hz sampling frequency with two instruments developed at the University of Denver, the nucleation mode aerosol size spectrometer (NMASS) and the focused cavity aerosol spectrometer (FCAS). Both instruments have demonstrated successful operation on board stratospheric aircraft during a variety of field campaigns [e.g., Fahey et al., 1995; Brock et al., 2000]. The FCAS is an optical particle counter, which measures particle concentration as a function of size over a diameter range from 0.1 to 1.2 mm [Wilson et al., 1992; Jonsson et al., 1995]. The NMASS consists of five condensation nucleus counters (CNCs) operating in parallel at fixed internal pressure, temperatures and flow rates. The supersaturation in each of the five CNCs is controlled at a different value resulting in CNC-specific activation diameters of 4, 8, 15, 30 and 60 nm, respectively. Using a version of the smoothed Twomey algorithm [Markowski, 1987] the combined NMASS and FCAS data are inverted to yield continuous number size distributions ranging from 0.004 to 1.2 mm [Brock et al., 2000]. [8] Since to good approximation alumina particles emitted by SRMs are spherical [Strand et al., 1981; Cofer et al., 1987], the second and third moments of the measured particle size distributions provide particle SA and volume (V), respectively. Volume is converted into M assuming an alumina density of rAl2O3 = 2 g per cm3 [Gates et al., 2002]. Numerical corrections for non-isokinetic sampling [Jonsson et al., 1995], coincidence losses [Saros et al., 1996] and detection efficiencies [Brock et al., 2000] were applied. Random errors due to fluctuating operating conditions and numerical uncertainties in the inversion algorithm were estimated based on laboratory calibrations and Monte Carlo simulations. The small sampling losses due to diffusion and impaction were accounted for according to Willeke and Baron [1993]. Measurement errors due to uncertainties in particle density (for EIM) and refractive index (for EISA and EIM) were estimated based on literature values [e.g., Strand et al., 1981; Kim et al., 1993; Beiting, 1997]. We estimate the overall uncertainties (1s; 68% confidence level) for N, SA, and M as 15, 25 and 50%, respectively. However, since the temperature of the sample air increases from about 210 K (ambient) to 300 K in the detectors, an additional bias in SA and M due to evaporation of volatile material prior to entering the detection volume cannot be ruled out [Gates et al., 2002]. [9] Carbon dioxide abundances were measured at a 1 Hz sampling frequency by infrared absorption using a nondispersive infrared detector (Li-Cor, Model 6251, Lincoln, Nebraska) adapted for high altitude measurements [Gates et al., 2002]. In this paper, we are concerned only with the plume enhancements of CO2 above the background of 365– 370 ppm. The 1s accuracy of these enhancements is limited to about 0.25 ppm mainly due to fluctuations in the background abundances. For average CO2 enhancements of >1.5 ppm, as encountered here, the relative uncertainty is <17%. The uncertainties in EIN, EISA and EIM are then obtained from the quadrature sum of the CO2 uncertainty and the uncertainties for N, SA, and M yielding 23, 30 and 53%, respectively. 3. Results [10] Figure 1 shows plume-averaged differential particle distributions (dN/dlogD) acquired during the second through fifth plume encounter at plume ages of 9.7, 15.4, 20.3, and 26.3 minutes, respectively, contrasted with clean background air (90 second average) sampled at 18.7 km, the altitude of the plume intercepts. It is noteworthy that while plume distributions are dominated by alumina, the main component of stratospheric background aerosol is sulfuric acid. The error bars in the background distribution represent the observed (1s) fluctuations about the mean values. The first plume encounter 3.6 minutes after launch was discarded owing to undercounting in the NMASS due to high particle concentrations (coincidence loss). Although particle and CO2 concentrations varied considerably during each encounter, Figure 1 indicates good reproducibility of plumeaveraged size spectra, which show a dominant peak at about SCHMID ET AL.: PARTICLE EMISSION INDICES OF A SRM AAC 6-3 Figure 1. Differential size distributions for plume encounters 2 (circles), 3 (triangles), 4 (diamonds), and 5 (squares) contrasted to the background distribution. Plume and background aerosol is thought to be predominantly alumina and sulfuric acid, respectively. Error bars indicate the 1s fluctuation about the mean background concentrations. 0.065 mm adjacent to a secondary peak at about 0.15 mm. For encounters 2, 3, 4, and 5, integration of the size distributions yields average total number densities of N = 13,200, 9450, 6000, and 9500 particles per cm3, respectively, similar to the values reported by other studies [Strand et al., 1981; Ross et al., 1999a]. [11] The differential number distributions shown in Figure 1 were converted into differential EIs (DEIX) with respect to N, SA and M following Schröder et al. [2000] R fX ð DÞ nð DÞdt dEIX ð DÞ R DEIX ð DÞ ; ¼ EICO2 CO2 dt d log D ð1Þ where EICO2 = 382 g/kg denotes the mass emission index of CO2 for the Athena II (P. F. Zittel, personal communication), fX(D) equals 1, pD2, and prAl2O3D3/6 for X = N, SA, and M, respectively, and CO2 and n(D) are the enhancements of CO2 (mass per volume air) and dN/dlogD (particles per volume air) at diameter D over the background, respectively. The integrals are performed over the entire plume encounter. The measured mixing ratios of CO2 are converted into mass densities by multiplication with (44/29)r, where r is the ambient air density and 44/29 is the molar mass ratio of CO2 and air. [12] Figures 2a, 2b, and 2c depict DEIX with respect to N, SA, and M, respectively, averaged over all four plume encounters. The origin of the lines in Figure 2 is explained below. While all DEIX show peaks at about 0.065 and 0.15 mm, a dominant mode largely beyond the detection limit (1.2 mm) appears for DEISA and DEIM. Thus the distribution displays a trimodal structure with two submicron and (at least) one supermicron mode. Because the only partially characterized supermicron mode does not contribute substantially to the total number of particles (but dominates the surface area and mass), EIN can be derived directly by integrating DEIN. We find EIN = 9.9 1015, 1.1 1016, 5.5 1015, and 9.9 1015 per kg of propellant for encounters 2, 3, 4 and 5, respectively, with a mean value of 9.1 1015 per kg. Since the 1s scatter (26%) about the mean value is about equal to the measurement uncertainty (23%), EIN is constant within the accuracy of the measurement, i.e., the observed variability in N is consistent with plume dilution. [13] The situation for EISA and EIM is more difficult, since the measured mean values of 3.1 1014 mm2 per kg and 36 g per kg, respectively, represent only a fraction of the entire distribution (see Figure 2). In order to model the entire distribution, we represent all DEIX distributions as multimodal lognormal distributions of the form " 2 # ln DX ;k ln D dEIX lnð10Þ X EIX ;k ; exp ¼ pffiffiffiffiffiffi 2 d log D 2p k ln sX ;k 2 ln sX ;k ð2Þ where the emission index EIX,k, the geometric mean diameter DX,k, and the geometric standard deviation sX,k are the fit parameters of each mode denoted by subscript k. [14] In the submicron range, the curve fits (solid lines in Figure 2) show two dominant modes at DN,2 = 0.065 mm and DN,3 = 0.15 mm sandwiched between two less signifi- AAC 6-4 SCHMID ET AL.: PARTICLE EMISSION INDICES OF A SRM Figure 2. Differential emission indices DEIX with respect to particle number (a), surface area (b), and mass (c). The points represent the average of encounters 2 through 5, while the curves are lognormal fits to the data using equation 2 and the parameters in Table 1. cant modes at DN,1 = 0.037 mm and DN,4 = 0.35 mm. For the following discussion, we assume a single mode in the supermicron range (mode 5), which is justified by measurements of other investigators [e.g., Cofer et al., 1987; Ross et al., 1999a]. While modes 2 and 3 are readily identified in all three panels of Figure 2, mode 1 (0.037 mm) appears only as small shoulder of mode 2 in Figure 2a; mode 4 is best identified in Figure 2b bridging the gap between the modes at 0.15 mm and >1 mm. Due to the relatively small contribution of modes 2 and 4 to EIX (<11%; see Table 1) these two modes can be neglected for most practical purposes, i.e., the size distribution can be considered as trimodal (modes 2, 3, and 5). Since the fifth mode is not characterized well enough to sufficiently constrain all three fit parameters of the mode, we require the integral of DEIM to be equal to the known alumina emission index EIM = 302 g per kg (= EIAl2O3), reducing the independent fit parameters of mode 5 to DM,5 and sM,5. Now DM,5 (=1.91 mm) and sM,5 (=1.39) are determined by least squares fit of DEIM and used to calculate DN,5, DSA,5, sN,5 and sSA,5 from the known relationships between the moments of lognormal distributions [Hinds, 1999]. The remaining fit parameters EIN,5 and EISA,5 are now easily determined by fitting DEIN and DEISA, respectively. The quality of the model fit is illustrated by the solid lines in AAC SCHMID ET AL.: PARTICLE EMISSION INDICES OF A SRM 6-5 Table 1. Fit Parameters Equation (2) for the Differential Emission Indices DEIX and the Relative Contribution of Each Mode to the Emission Indices EIN, EISA and EIM DEIN DEISA DEIM Fraction of total Mode EIN 1015/kg Dg mm sg EISA 1014mm2/kg Dg mm sg EIM g/kg Dg mm sg EINa, % EISA, % EIM, % 1 2 3 4 5 0.85 6.04 1.27 0.08 0.06 0.037 0.065 0.148 0.35 1.38 1.22 1.31 1.27 1.64 1.39 0.057 0.971 0.928 0.46 4.52 0.042 0.076 0.162 0.588 1.71 1.27 1.28 1.27 1.62 1.39 – 2.6 5.1 10.0 284 – 0.080 0.165 0.700 1.91 – 1.28 1.27 1.56 1.39 10 69 15 1 1 1 14 13 7 65 0 1 2 3 94 a The missing 4% in total EIN is due to particles with D < 0.02 mm, which are not represented by the modes listed here. This fraction of the size spectrum has negligible impact on EISA and EIM. See body for more details. Figure 2; a complete list of the fit parameters is compiled in Table 1. It is important to note that for DEIN a purely lognormal fit fails for D < 0.02 mm requiring an additional term (7.4 1014 exp(44.1D[mm]), not listed in Table 1) which represents 4% of EIN. Integration of the DEIX fits yields EIN = 8.7 1015 per kg, EISA = 6.9 1014 mm2 per kg and, by definition, EIM = 302 g per kg. The relative contribution of each mode to EIX is presented in Table 1. We find that the fractional contribution of submicron particles to N, SA, and M (Nfrac, SAfrac, and Mfrac) is 99%, 37%, and 8%, respectively. Comparing these values to the sum of the fractional contributions of modes 1 through 4 (see Table 1) shows that mode 5 which we refer to as supermicron mode contributes 0% to Nfrac and 2% to both SAfrac and Mfrac. [15] In addition to the experimental errors listed above, there is uncertainty in the fit parameters, mainly for the largest mode, due to the detection limit of 1.2 mm. In order to estimate the magnitude of this uncertainty, we assume as a worst case scenario DM,5 = 4.35 mm (instead of 1.91 mm), the largest value of the mass weighted mean diameter for supermicron SRM aerosol found in the literature [Cofer et al., 1991]. This reduces EISA to a lower limit of 4.3 1014 mm2 per kg and enhances SAfrac to an upper limit of 60%. On the other hand, if non-volatile components other than alumina (e.g., metals, soot) contribute to the measured aerosol mass, normalization of the mass spectrum to EIAl2O3 underestimates the supermicron M (and SA) and therefore overpredicts SAfrac. Although there is evidence that both volatile and non-volatile components other than Al2O3 may contribute to SRM aerosol, their relative contribution is unknown but probably small [Cofer et al., 1987; Gates et al., 2002]. For the following discussion we adopt 37% as our best estimate of SAfrac. 4. Discussion [16] We wish to compare our alumina size distributions with the results of previous SRM studies. The most frequently quoted SRM particle size distributions are provided by Ross et al. [1999a] (hereafter Ross), Beiting [1997] and Brady and Martin [1995] (hereafter BM) who reported SAfrac values of 3%, 33% and 83%, respectively. Although the value determined here, 37 ± 11%, initially appears to support Beiting, we note the following caveats. Beiting and BM derived size distributions by combining measurements of different limited portions of the size distribution, obtained in the plumes of different rockets, encountered under different atmospheric conditions [Strand et al., 1981; Zolensky et al., 1989; Cofer et al., 1991]. Hence skepticism must be acknowledged regarding the degree to which the Beiting and BM distributions are representative of any particular SRM under stratospheric conditions. In contrast, the distribution of Ross represents an average of measurements obtained in the plumes of rockets with similar SRMs (Space Shuttle and Titan IVA) and under similar stratospheric conditions and so could reasonably be expected to represent the distribution of high thrust SRMs. The large difference between Ross and our results could be explained by discrepancies in instrument performance (e.g., Ross did not account for sub-isokinetic particle enhancement) or by supposing actual differences in the size distributions between large and small SRMs. Support for the latter view is provided by Hermsen [1981] who showed that the volume weighted mean diameter D43 (defined as ratio of the fourth and third moment of the size distribution) of alumina emissions increases with SRM thrust across a wide range of SRMs. Consistent with this relationship, D43 reported by Ross for the large SRMs (3.2 mm) exceeds D43 reported here for the smaller Athena II (2.6 mm) so that SAfrac reported by Ross for the large SRMs (3%) is significantly less than SAfrac reported here for the smaller Athena II (37%). While we cannot rule out instrument sampling effects for Ross, taken together these data suggest that large SRMs have smaller SAfrac (and Mfrac) than small SRMs. [17] Insofar as the models of global ozone depletion [Jackman et al., 1998; D2001b] agree that the predicted ozone loss from the chlorine activation reaction is sensitive to the assumed SAfrac, it is instructive to consider how our results might influence the model predictions. Since SRM emissions produce only small perturbations in background aerosol surface area density (SAD) [Jackman et al., 1998], we can estimate global ozone loss for a given size distribution by linearly scaling existing model predictions. The validity of this assumption is confirmed when comparing case studies B and D of D2001b, representing the modeled global ozone loss for two different size distributions under otherwise identical conditions. [18] Ozone loss from alumina emissions will increase with EISA, although not necessarily in a simple linear way, since the steady state global surface area density SADss for a given EISA will depend on the interaction between size dependent stratospheric lifetimes of particles and the details of the particle size distribution. D2001b calculated SADss as zonally averaged annual alumina SAD over the entire stratosphere using a 13 bin alumina size distribution. They present several calculations with different assumptions regarding removal mechanisms for alumina particles. For AAC 6-6 SCHMID ET AL.: PARTICLE EMISSION INDICES OF A SRM comparison purposes, we focus on their most realistic case (Case C), which combines tropospheric washout, coagulation with background sulfate aerosol and gravitational sedimentation as removal mechanisms. Since for a given size bin ozone loss is proportional to SADss and the SADss is proportional to the annual alumina mass emission rate (MER) in this bin, we can determine the global ozone loss for any size distribution by scaling SADss according to MER. Hence, the estimated change in AAGTO is given by P AAGTO ¼ AAGTODan SADDan; j MERj =MERDan;j j SADDan ð3Þ where SADDan and AAGTODan are the total SADss and AAGTO calculated by D2001b, respectively, based on their assumed size distribution (see Table 2 in D2001b), and the summation is taken over all particle size bins j. The summation represents the total SAD for a given size distribution where MERj and MERDan,j are the annual alumina mass emission rates in each size bin for the size distribution of interest and D2001b’s distribution, respectively. Table 2 in D2001b gives SADDan,j and MERDan,j. In order to focus on the relative influence a particular size distribution has on the predicted AAGTO, we maintain the total MER (=MERj) assumed by D2001b of 1120 tons per year (chosen to represent nine Space Shuttle and four Titan IV launches but arbitrary in that the ozone loss linearly scales with any given total MER). Hence, MERj are calculated by integrating the size distribution of interest over the range of each bin and normalizing the total MER to 1120 tons per year. [19] Table 2 presents the total SADss and AAGTO for the various size distributions discussed in this paper using equation (3). Depending on the assumed distribution, AAGTO ranges from 0.0028% (Beiting) to 0.0128% (BM). As an aside, we note that while D2001b claim that their assumed distribution is that of Beiting, in fact it is not, since they replaced particle diameter by radius in Beiting’s expressions without modifying the corresponding modal coefficients. While this point is irrelevant for the scaling procedure described above it explains the somewhat lower AAGTO of 0.0021% reported by D2001b compared to the Beiting value of 0.0028%. The Ross size distribution for the large SRMs yields a AAGTO of 0.0031%, close to Beiting’s value. Our measured size distribution for the Athena II produces AAGTO = 0.0104%, closer to BM. The AAGTO reported by D2001b for the SRM chlorine emissions alone corresponding to the assumed total MER of 1120 tons of alumina equals 0.0123%. For the following discussion, we utilize D2001b’s global ozone model to compare gas phase and heterogeneous ozone loss due to SRM emissions. While we are aware that other modeling studies found different values for both gas phase and heterogeneous ozone loss [e.g., Jackman et al., 1998], D2001b is the only study providing enough detailed sizeresolved information on heterogeneous ozone loss to allow scaling their modeling results to different alumina size distributions. Hence utilizing D2001b’s model does not imply an endorsement of D2001b over other studies; this choice is purely based on practical considerations. Table 2. Total Steady State SAD and Change in Annually Averaged Global Total Ozone (AAGTO) Due to Alumina Emissions for Various SRM Particle Distributionsa Size Distribution SADss, 106 mm2/cm3 AAGTO, % Danilin et al. [2001b] Ross et al. [1999a] (large SRM) Beiting [1997] Brady and Martin [1995] Present study (small SRM) Realistic scenariob 41.5 61.3 55.4 262 206 97.5 0.0021 0.0031 0.0028 0.0128 0.0104 0.0049 a For comparison, AAGTO due to chlorine emission alone is about 0.0123%. b This scenario assumes 25% (75%) of the alumina emissions is due to small (large) SRMs with a characteristic particle size distribution similar to the one reported by the present study ([Ross et al., 1999a]). See body for more details. [20] If our Athena II size distribution is characteristic of small SRMs and the Ross distribution is characteristic of large SRMs, the ozone depletion per kg of propellant due to alumina emissions alone would be about three times greater for small SRMs than for large SRMs (see Table 2). Considering that the AAGTO due to chlorine emissions alone is 0.0123%, the AAGTO from SRM chlorine and alumina emissions combined is 0.0227% and 0.0154% for a small and large SRMs, respectively. Hence the total ozone loss per kg of propellant is about 50% larger for small SRMs than for large ones. In light of the possibility that the alumina size distribution is related to SRM thrust, care must be taken interpreting Table 2. Impact assessment efforts should weight the relative contributions of small (e.g., Athena II) and large SRMs (e.g., Space Shuttle) to the total emission in order to improve the accuracy of the assessment. Furthermore, the details of the vertical profile of the alumina mass deposition into the atmosphere affects SADDan,j and hence AAGTO. Therefore, Table 2 may serve as illustration of the impact of commonly used alumina size distributions on global ozone, but not as representation of actual atmospheric ozone losses. [21] As a guideline to more realistic AAGTO values we compare D2001b’s launch scenario of 9 Space Shuttle and 4 Titan IV launches per year to the currently more typical launch rates of 6 Space Shuttle, 2 Titan IV and about 25 smaller rocket launches per year (Delta II, Atlas IIAS, Taurus, and various missiles). The annual stratospheric alumina emissions from this more realistic scenario is approximately 990 tons, 12% less than assumed by D2001b. The year-toyear variability in emissions associated with changing launch schedules is about 20%. Launches from nations other than the United States account for approximately an additional 200 tons. Thus, D2001b’s MER of 1120 tons of alumina per year concurs with current launch rates. For the current launch scenario, approximately 25% of the alumina emissions are from the smaller rockets and so could have submicron mass fractions and, consequently, ozone depletion characteristics similar to the Athena II reported here. As previously mentioned, Athena II type (i.e., small SRM) alumina emissions produce about three times as much ozone loss per kg fuel as Space Shuttle type (i.e., large SRM) emissions (see Table 2). Thus while the smaller rockets typically contribute only about 25% of the total alumina emissions, they account for about 50% of the ozone loss from all alumina emissions assuming all small SRMs have particle size distributions similar to Athena II. Accounting for the smaller rockets also SCHMID ET AL.: PARTICLE EMISSION INDICES OF A SRM increases the alumina related ozone loss from all rockets by about 60% (from 0.0031% to 0.0049%). Including the ozone loss due to gas phase chlorine reactions (0.0123%) total ozone loss increases by about 10% from 0.0154% (100% large SRM) to 0.0172% (75% large SRM, 25% small SRM), 30% of which can be attributed to alumina emissions. Clearly, if our suggestion is correct that the submicron mass fraction of SRM alumina is strongly related to SRM thrust, then smaller rockets play a significant role in determining the complete impact of rocket emissions and, therefore, should be accounted for in global models. [22] Finally, we point out that ablation during reentry of spent satellites may constitute another significant source of alumina in the stratosphere [Zolensky et al., 1989]. However, this source is purely quantified and its atmospheric implications are unknown. 5. Conclusions [23] We performed in situ CO2 and particle measurements in the stratospheric plume wake of an Athena II rocket propelled by a single small SRM. Based on lognormal curve fits and the assumption that EIM = 302 g per kg (= EIAl2O3) we determined DEIN and DEISA up to 10 mm yielding total emission indices of EIN = 8.7 ± 2.0 1015 per kg and EISA = 6.9 ± 2.1 1014 mm2 per kg. The data suggest that small SRMs (similar to Athena II) favor the production of submicron particles so that the alumina-induced ozone loss per kg of propellant for small SRMs could be about three times the loss for large SRMs. Application of our size distribution to a recent model of the stratospheric impact of SRM emissions shows that at least for small SRMs (Athena II type) ozone loss from chlorine activation reactions on alumina emissions is comparable to the ozone loss from gas phase chlorine emissions alone. For a realistic launch scenario, alumina emissions contribute about 30% to the estimated annually averaged global total ozone loss of 0.0172%. Given the significant differences among the reported SRM particle distributions and the possibility that submicron particle production (and therefore ozone loss) is related to SRM thrust, further in situ sampling of stratospheric SRM plumes for different rockets using the same instruments under similar conditions is suggested to confirm our results and better understand the role of alumina emissions in the stratosphere. Notations Symbols AAGTO AAGTO BM CNC D D43 annually averaged global total ozone change in AAGTO Brady and Martin [1995] condensation nucleus counter particle diameter volume weighted mean diameter of particle size distribution D2001b Danilin et al. [2001b] DX geometric mean diameter of DEIX DEIN, DEISA, DEIM differential emission index with respect to particle number, surface area, and mass (dEIX/dlogD) AAC 6-7 DEIX differential emission index with respect to particle number, surface area or mass EIAl2O3 alumina mass emission index EICO2 CO2 emission index EIN, EISA, EIM particle number, surface area, and mass emission index EIX emission index with respect to particle number, surface area or mass FCAS focused cavity aerosol spectrometer M particle mass per volume air Mfrac fractional contribution of submicron particles to total M MER total annual alumina mass emission rate into the stratosphere due to rocket launches n differential particle concentration (dN/dogD) N number of particles per volume air Nfrac fractional contribution of submicron particles to total N NMASS nucleation mode aerosol size spectrometer SA particle surface area per volume air SAD annually averaged global surface area density of background aerosol in the stratosphere SADss steady state SAD SRM solid-fueled rocket motor V particle volume density Greek Letters CO2 CO2 concentration above background n differential particle concentration above background g reaction probability r ambient air density rAl2O3 density of alumina particles s 68% confidence level sX,k geometric standard deviation of mode k in DEIX Subscripts Dan value taken from D2001b j indicates size bin in particle distribution k indicates mode of particle size distribution (here k = 1,2,...,5) X represents N, SA, or M [24] Acknowledgments. 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