Forest Health Conditions on the Allegheny National Forest NE Forest Inventory and Analysis Users’ Meeting May 5, 2005 Randall S. Morin USDA Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis Robert L. White USDA Forest Service Allegheny National Forest Background • Planning meeting took place in October of 1999 • Integration of FHM/FIA plot data with aerial survey data from the ANF • Interim report published in 2001 350 300 Defoliation (thousands of acres) • Analyst hired in December of 1999 to provide statistical and GIS support 400 250 forest tent caterpillar elm spanworm 200 cherry scallopshell moth gypsy moth 150 100 50 • Final report to be published this year 1998 1997 1995 1996 1993 1994 1991 Year 1992 1990 1988 1989 1986 1987 1984 0 1985 • FHM Evaluation Monitoring project was funded in 2002 to continue the effort Cooperators • Sandy Liebhold, Research Entomologist, NE Research Station • Bob White, Silviculturist, ANF • Kurt Gottschalk, Research Forester, NE Research Station • Dan Twardus, Forest Health Specialist, NA SPF • Steve Horsley, Research Plant Pathologist, NE Research Station • Bill Smith, Research Mathematician, Southern Research Station • Gino Luzader, Computer Specialist, NE Research Station Recent Disturbance Events • During the past 15 years, ANF management has become increasingly challenging due to actions by both native and exotic disturbance agents • Pear thrips, forest tent caterpillar, gypsy moth, cherry scallopshell moth, fall cankerworm, elm spanworm, oak leaftier, linden looper, beech bark disease complex, maple decline, and ash dieback are of particular concern • Since 1985, nearly 86 percent of the ANF has been defoliated at least once, and over 53% has been defoliated twice • While gypsy moth defoliation peaked in the mid-1980s, damage was also observed between 1993 and 1995 • Trees were also stressed by severe droughts during the 1988, 1991, 1995, and 1999 growing seasons (preceded by 15-20 years of plentiful rainfall) Selected Objectives • Evaluate tree crown conditions as a reflection of tree and forest health • Quantify tree mortality and relationships to possible causes • Document forest pest-caused damage and relationships to forest conditions • Quantify habitat conditions for the federally endangered Indiana bat • Describe diversity and distribution of lichens • Document the occurrence and severity of ground level ozone injury • Evaluate composition and distribution of herbaceous vegetation • Quantify down-woody debris and forest fire fuel loadings Standing Dead Trees Among the 5 most dominant species, mortality appeared to be proportionally greatest in sugar maple. Species black cherry red maple American beech eastern hemlock sugar maple northern red oak sweet birch yellow birch white oak white ash Live BA/Acre Dead BA/Acre % Dead 32.5 2.7 7.6 31 1.9 5.8 11.4 1.2 9.4 10.7 0.6 5.2 8.5 1.5 14.8 5.7 0.3 4.8 5.2 0.7 11.5 2.9 0.5 13.4 2.5 0.3 11.6 2 0.2 7.5 Cherry Scallopshell Moth 350000 Acres Defoliated 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 1993 1994 Year 1995 Use of FIA P2 and P3 Data to Assess Effects of CSM Defoliation Area Basal Cherry Black Cherry BlackDieback Crown Dead Cherry Standing Black %% 45 12 20 18 40 10 16 35 14 8 30 12 25 10 6 20 8 15 4 6 10 4 2 5 2 0 00 11 Years Years of of Defoliation Defoliation 22or or33 Beech Bark Disease Beech bark disease was discovered in Pennsylvania in 1958. Currently, the killing front is moving from the northeast corner toward the southwest corner of the ANF. Beech Bark Disease Percent standing dead beech was more than twice as great inside the killing front compared to outside the front. Beech mortality was most likely even higher than reported here since dead beech trees often decay and snap rather quickly, and therefore would not have been measured as standing dead. 2001 Killing Front 1989 Killing Front In Out In Out 1989 FIA 1.7% (50 plots) 0.8% (73 plots) 2.9% (17 plots) 0.9% (106 plots) 1998-2001 FHM 11.1% (27 plots) 5.0% (35 plots) 8.0% (10 plots) 7.6% (52 plots) Indiana Bat Live Tree Habitat For habitat to be considered suitable, 5% of the landscape under consideration must be forested and must meet the criteria shown in the “suitable” column. For habitat to be classified as optimal, 30% of the landscape must be forested and must meet the criteria in the “optimal” column. Indiana Bat Requirements (# of live trees) ANF Conditions (# of live trees/acre) D.b.h. Class Suitable Optimal (Mean ± SE) >9 8 per acre 16 per acre 79.08 ± 3.19 >20 1 per acre 3 per acre 7.84 ± 0.66 The results suggest that the average condition across the ANF easily meets both the suitable and optimal Indiana bat live tree habitat requirements. In addition, nearly 60% of the plots met both the suitable and optimal conditions for both diameter classes. Indiana Bat Dead Tree Habitat Indiana Bat Requirements (# of dead trees) ANF Conditions (# of dead trees/acre) D.b.h. Class Suitable Optimal (Mean ± SE) >9 3 per acre 5 per acre 8.34 ± 0.79 >12 >20 1 per 10 acres 3.49 ± 0.48 1 per 2 acres 0.39 ± 0.11 The results suggest that the likelihood of finding 5 percent of the area meeting suitable habitat conditions is quite high. Because the estimated average number of dead trees in the largest size class, 20” d.b.h., is below the threshold for optimal habitat, ANF conditions are less certain of meeting that criterion. However, only 30 percent of a landscape needs to provide more than one tree greater than 20 inches d.b.h. per two acres, so it is quite possible (since the ANF is 94% forested) that the optimal dead tree habitat condition would be met as well. In addition, 35% of the plots met the suitable conditions and 7% met the optimal conditions. Lichen Communities • Fungi that live in intimate association with algae • Great indicator of nitrogen and sulfur-based pollution • Sensitivity results from reliance on atmospheric sources of nutrition Photo by Stephen Sharnoff Lichen Communities on the ANF A total of 46 lichen species were sampled and 7 lichen genera were recorded without being identified to the species level. Plot data collected 1999-2001 Lichen Communities on the ANF Region 9 Forest Type oak/hardwood transition northern hardwoods white oak/red oak mixed upland hardwoods red maple hemlock Allegheny hardwoods sugar maple Mean Species Richness 9.6 8.6 8.3 6.8 6.4 6.0 5.7 3.0 # of plots 7 15 8 45 28 9 37 7 Stand Development Stage Mean Species Richness # of plots stand initiation (0-14 years) 3.7 15 stem exclusion (15-49 years) 7.1 14 understory reinitiation (>49 years) 7.0 142 Lichen Communities on the ANF Parmelia sulcata (VT) Flavoparmelia caperata (T) Cladonia coniocraea (T) Phaeophyscia rub ropulchra (VT) Punctelia sub rudecta (T) Physcia millegrana (VT) Not present Species Hypogymnia physodes (T) Rare Cladonia b acillaris (T) Uncommon Cladonia caespiticia Common Cetraria oakesiana (T) Abundant Punctelia rudecta (T) Melanelia sub aurifera (I) Phaeophyscia pusilloides (T) Parmelia squarrosa (I) Evernia mesomorpha (I) Cladonia parasitica 0 20 40 60 80 100 % of Plots I = intolerant, T = tolerant, VT = very tolerant Ozone • Ozone pollution reduces tree growth, alters species composition, and can predispose trees to attack • Causes direct foliar injury to many species • Presence of ozone injury can be considered with other data to assess the impact of ozone stress Photo by Gretchen Smith Ozone on the ANF Nearly half of the sampled plants (44.6%) showed some signs of ozone injury in 1998. In contrast, less than 25% of the sampled plants were injured in the other three years. Year # of plots evaluated 1998 1999 2000 2001 6 10 7 9 # of plants Injury severity categories sampled No injury 1-6% 7-25% 56-50% 51-75% % of sampled plants 244 55.33 12.70 17.21 7.38 4.92 648 92.59 0.93 3.86 1.85 0.62 417 75.30 5.52 7.19 4.56 4.08 971 92.38 2.06 2.27 2.57 0.72 >75% 2.46 0.15 3.36 0.00 Ozone on the ANF Blackberry exhibited the highest occurrences of ozone injury. Species blackberry black cherry milkweed pin cherry sassafras spreading dogbane white ash yellow-poplar 1998 118 (59%) 90 (61%) 31 (6%) 36 (14%) 37 (0%) - Year 1999 106 (41%) 283 (2%) 90 (0%) 31 (0%) 84 (0%) 30 (0%) 24 (0%) 2000 2001 118 (54%) 196 (19%) 167 (16%) 257 (10%) 29 (0%) 131 (6%) 30 (33%) 75 (1%) 26 (8%) 60 (0%) 165 (0%) 16 (0%) 73 (4%) 11 (0%) - Vegetation • Designed to assess the type, abundance, and spatial arrangement of plants occurring on plots • Allows us to report on diversity of native and introduced species • Monitoring for change over time will be possible by remeasuring plots Photo by Will McWilliams (Clearfield County, PA) Vegetation on the ANF Down Woody Materials • Designed to estimate biomass components not sampled on P2 plots • Can be used to explore questions about fire risk, wildlife habitat, and carbon • Also serves as a broad indicator of forest health Photo by Chris Woodall Down Woody Materials The mean tonnage per acre of duff and 100-hr fuels were higher on plots in Pennsylvania outside of the ANF. In contrast, the mean tonnage per acre of 1000-hr fuels was higher on plots within the ANF. 30 Tons/acre 25 20 ANF plots 15 Rest of PA plots 10 5 0 DUFF LITTER 1-HR 10-HR 100-HR 1000-HR Down Woody Materials Duff and litter tended to increase with stand age. 25 Tons/acre 20 Duff 15 Litter FWD 10 CWD 5 0 0-40 41-80 Stand Age (years) 81+ Future Uses for P3 Data • Support analysis of emerging resource issues and management questions • Assess soil characteristics with other indicators, forest health, ELT’s • Monitor Forest Health indicator changes over time • Monitor effects of specific insects and diseases • Monitor habitat conditions for Indiana bat • Characterize indicator differences between managed versus unmanaged areas • Characterize dead tree/snag longevity by species Advantages of Using P3 data • Part of a National network • Provides integrated baseline for monitoring change • Protocol and design by subject matter experts • FIA support for data analysis, training, and quality control • Low data collection cost (35 plots/year at approx. $1200-1700 per plot) • Provide a current comparison with the rest of a state or region • Assessment of current Forest-wide trends can provide a context for project analysis QUESTIONS? CONTACT INFORMATION Randall Morin 11 Campus Blvd., Suite 200 Newtown Square, PA 19073 610-557-4054 rsmorin@fs.fed.us Draft ANF Report Available At: http://www.fs.fed.us/ne/morgantown/4557/randy/anf_draft_3-04.pdf