Boom and Bust Cycles in Saturn’s rings? Larry W. Esposito LASP / University of Colorado 7 May 2010 Accretion in Rings • Accretion is possible in the Roche zone, where rings are found, but limited by tides and collisions • F ring shows clumps and moonlets; A ring has propellers; Embedded moonlets are elongated • Self-gravity wakes in A,B rings show temporary aggregations • Does the size of aggregates represent an equilibrium between accretion and fragmentation? Is this equilibrium steady? UVIS occultations • UVIS has observed over 100 star occultations by Saturn’s rings • Time resolution of 1-2 msec allows diffraction- limited spatial resolution of tens of meters in the ring plane • Multiple occultations provide a 3D ‘CAT scan’ of the ring structure • Spectral analysis gives characteristics of ring structures and their dimensions Features in F ring • UVIS occultations initially identified 13 statistically significant features • Interpreted as temporary clumps and a possible moonlet, ‘Mittens’ • Meinke etal (2010) now catalog 25 features from the first 102 stellar occultations • For every feature, we have a location, width, maximum optical depth (opacity), nickname F Ring Search Method • Search was tuned for 1 VIMSconfirmed event: – Optimal data-bin size – threshold VIMS UVIS Pywacket -15 km 0 15 km Butterball Fluffy New Features We identify our ‘kittens’ as temporary clumps Features Lag Prometheus • 12 of 25 features in the range =180º ± 20º • The maximum optical depth is at =161º Features in each quadrant 15 10 60 24 0: 3 40 12 0: 2 12 0 5 0 0: • Most features cluster at Prometheus’ antipode Number of significant features Phase Lag of Kittens Distance from Prometheus (deg) Feature optical depth relative to Prometheus fit = 0.42 cos(+191°) + 1.47 Simple icicle Multi-icicle Sub-km structure seen in wavelet analysis varies with time, longitude • Wavelet analysis from multiple occultations is co-added to give a significance estimate • For the B ring edge, the significance of features with sizes 200-2000m increases since 2004; and shows maxima at 90 and 270 degrees ahead of Mimas • For density waves, significance correlated to resonance torque from the perturbing moon Observational Findings • F ring kittens more opaque trailing Prom by π • Sub-km structure, which is seen by wavelet analysis at strongest density waves and at B ring edge, is correlated with torque (for density waves) and longitude (B ring edge) • Structure leads Mimas by π/2, equivalent to π in the m=2 forcing frame • The largest structures could be visible to ISS: we thought they might be the equinox objects Possible explanations • The clumping behaviour arises from the moon forcing the ring particles to jam together, like ‘traffic jams’ seen in the computer simulations (Lewis and Stewart 2005) • Attraction among the ring particles creates temporary clumps that further perturb the rings around them Summary • Cassini occultations of strongly forced locations show accretion and then disaggregation: scales of hours to weeks • Moons may trigger accretion by streamline crowding (Lewis & Stewart); which enhances collisions, leading to accretion; increasing random velocities; leading to more collisions and more accretion. • Disaggregation may follow from disruptive collisions or tidal shedding Model Approach • We model accretion/fragmentation balance as a predator-prey model • Prey: Mean aggregate mass • Predator: Mean random velocity (it ‘feeds’ off the mean mass) • Calculate the system dynamics • Compare to UVIS HSP data: wavelet analysis (B-ring), kittens (F-ring) • Relate to Equinox aggregate images Predator-Prey Model • Simplify accretion/fragmentation balance equations, similar to approach used for plasma instabilities • Include accretional aggregate growth, collisional disruption, dissipation, viscous stirring Rings resemble a system of foxes and hares • In absence of interaction between size and velocity, prey (mean mass) grows; predator (velocity) decays • When they interact, a stable equilibrium exists with an equilibrium for the size distribution and a thermal equilibrium Lotka-Volterra Equations M= ∫ n(m) m dm; Vrel2= ∫ n(m) Vrel2 dm dM/dt= M/Tacc – Vrel2/vth2 * M/Tcoll dVrel2/dt= (1-ε2)Vrel2/Tcoll + M2/M02 *Vrel2/Tstir M: mean mass; Vrel2: velocity dispersion; Vth: fragmentation threshold; ε: restitution coeff; M0: reference mass (10m); Tacc: accretion; Tcoll: collision; Tstir: viscous stirring timescales Lotka-Volterra equations describe a predator-prey system • This system is neutrally stable around the non-trivial fixed point • Near the fixed point, the level curves are ellipses • The size and shape of the level curves depend on size of the initial impulse • The system limit cycles with fixed period • Predators lag prey by π/2 F ring Predator-Prey model, forced by Prometheus Summary • UVIS occultations show aggregation/disaggregation • A predator-prey model shows how moon perturbations can excite cyclic aggregation at the B ring edge and in the F ring, with a natural phase lag • Model: Impulse, crowding, damping, aggregation, stirring, disaggregation • Stochastic events in this agitated system can lead to accreted bodies that orbit at Kepler rate: equinox objects? Backup slides Listener Beware! • My explanation is speculative and not in agreement with some other proposals… • Beurle etal consider fluid instability criterion • Spitale and Porco emphasize normal modes (driven and free) • I prefer a kinetic theory picture, emphasizing individual random events Better Ring Model • A more realistic ring model is modified from the Lotka-Volterra equations • Now the fixed point is a spiral stable point; Stability analysis is the same as for a forced damped pendulum at origin: The system spirals to the stable point • Driving this system at low amplitude gives a steady state solution at the forcing frequency in the synodic frame with mass max trailing velocity min by π/2 to π F ring Predator-Prey model with periodic forcing B ring Impulsive forcing MASS (t) Vrel2(t) Structure increasing near B ring edge Are Saturn’s Rings Young or Old? • Voyager found active processes and inferred short lifetimes: we concluded the rings were created recently • It is highly unlikely a comet or moon as big as Mimas was shattered recently to produce Saturn’s rings; Are we very fortunate? • New Cassini observations show a range of ages, some even shorter… and even more massive rings! Ring Age Implications • Saturn’s rings appear young… but don’t confuse ‘age’ with most recent renewal! • Like the global economy, rings may not have a stable accretion equilibrium • Instead, boom/bust cycling triggered by moon forcing may allow stochastic events to create big particles • Recycling of ring material means the rings can be as old as the Solar System What Happens at Higher Amplitudes? • The moonlet perturbations may be strong enough to force the system into chaotic behavior or into a different basin of attraction around another fixed point (see Wisdom for driven pendulum); or • Individual aggregates may suffer events that cause them to accrete: then the solid body orbits at the Kepler rate