Stochastic Model for Regolith Growth and Pollution on Saturn’s Moons and Ring Particles LW Esposito and JP Elliott LASP, University of Colorado 8 October 2007 Overview • Regolith model • Stochastic approach and model test • Results: Regolith depth distribution and expectation value • Compare to Quaide and Oberbeck’s lunar regolith model • Implications: meteoritic pollution, ring spectrum, age of Saturn’s rings Regolith Model Consider an infinite slab of depth, D The regolith depth at time t: h(t) For a moonlet or ring particle, D corresponds to the diameter. Physical approach • Meteorites strike surface element • If the impact penetrates the regolith, it breaks and excavates new material • For any impactor size distribution, only impactors larger than a(h) will penetrate a regolith of present depth h(t) • The ejecta are emplaced on the surface uniformly: every surface element is as likely to recapture ejecta Mathematical approach • Take h(t), regolith depth, as a stochastic variable • This is a Markov chain: discrete values of h are the states of the chain; transitions occur when a meteorite strikes; transition probabilities can be calculated from the mass flux and size distribution • We do not need to know the exact strike location, just that the strikes are uniformly distributed • D drops out, since the probability of a strike and the area its ejecta cover both scale as D2 Test case For an impactor size distribution that is a power law of index 3, we can solve the differential equation for h(t), assuming all material is excavated: h(t) = Hmax[1 - exp(-t/T0)] Hmax = H1 amax T0 = H max Ý/ FGYm 3 4a 4b Realistic case for Saturn • Use Cuzzi and Estrada (1998) impactor size distribution • Compare to Quaide and Oberbeck (1975) lunar regolith model • Our Markov chain model result gives depth within a factor of 2 of their values for 106 < t < 109 years 8b CE98 impactor size distribution 7a CE98 impactor size distribution 7b Implication: short lifetimes • For CE98 mass flux, T0 = 4 x 104 years for a 5cm diameter particle! • Because the regolith shields the particle as it grows, it can last longer: our result is 107 years for a 5cm particle • For a 1m meter particle, the lifetime is 1010 years This implies young rings? The fractional pollution of the regolith, fp, is given by fp = FG mÝt / h(t) fp is 0.01 in 107 years, a rough upper limit from ring observations at microwave Volume pollution rate But the volume pollution rate can be much slower, since we have: fp(vol) = Ý 2 fG m t For ring particles larger than 1m, the pollution darkens mostly the outer surface. When such larger objects are disrupted, new material can cover the ring surfaces, and the visible pollution will be reset, toward the value predicted by the volume rate. Estimating ring age from the volume pollution rate For a ring system with surface mass densi ty, , we have fp(vol) = 8 2 10 g /cm / year t So, fp(vol) =0.01 and = 100g/cm2 gives t=108 years, consistent with CE98 Ring age • Ring particles of cm diameter should develop reflectance spectra showing 1% pollution in 107 years: this is a problem even if the rings formed a few hundred million years ago! • An alternate conclusion is that the ring mass is underestimated: then, continuing recycling could renew their composition, consistent with upper limits on non-icy material • A ring must be young for many reasons • Density wave analysis (Colwell) and dynamical arguments (Stewart) indicate larger B ring mass. See their talks! Conclusions • A stochastic regolith model shows the surfaces of ring particles could be 1% meteoritic after only 107 years • If rings recycle ejecta, the volume pollution rate is better: 1% meteoritic in 108 years for standard values of ring mass and impact flux • For larger mass or lower flux, the ring age could be proportionately greater