Cassini UVIS Results on the Enceladus Plume and Spacecraft Safety Larry W. Esposito 4 June 2007 EPWG Enceladus Summary • UVIS measures water source large enough to create neutral oxygen cloud and to resupply E ring • UVIS column density equal to about a single 1mm ice grain per square meter • A uniform source could loft ice particles of radius about 1 micron; higher density jets could loft particles dangerous to Cassini Plume physical explanations • Models • Fumarole model. Misty vapor cools as it expands; ice particles condense. T ~ 170K. • Geyser model. Local heating gives boiling water at depth, vent geometry gives vertical velocity, collimation; bubbles form and liquid freezes, effectively lofting larger particles to high speeds. T ~ 270K. • Comet model. Sublimating vapor lifts ice grains from vent interface and carries them away. T ~ 200K. Comparable mass • In all these models, there is a close coupling between the ice and vapor • Growth, lofting and/or evaporation involve an interchange between water molecules and solid ice particles • For any significant interchange of mass or momentum, the column of water vapor incident on an ice grain’s surface area must have a comparable mass to the grain mass Mass Balance N0 * * a2 * H * mH20 = * 4/3 * * a3 • For H ~ 40km, ~ 1, we solve for a (in microns) a ~ N0/ (1012 cm-3) • Thus, high pressure vents could loft or grow big particles, potentially dangerous to Cassini Number of expected collisions Ncolumn/1.5 x 1016 f1 a0-3 A where a0, the particle radius, is measured in mm; and A, the Cassini sensitive area, is measured in m2. Ncolumn is the column density of gas along Cassini’s path through the plume. For E3, this would give about 10-3 f 1 hits (from INMS results). consistent with our safe passage. Observational constraints • The shape of the observed plumes shows V0 > Vth • Tian etal can match the UVIS results with V0 ~ 400 m/s and N0 ~ 1010 – 1012 cm-3 • This gives typical grain sizes a ~ 0.01–1, roughly consistent with photometry and CDA measurements • Present analysis of Cassini data would give no indication of dangerous particles, by orders of magnitude Hazard calculation: Approach and assumptions • Plume has cylindrical symmetry about pole • Estimate plume density integrated along Cassini path from water column measured by UVIS star occultation • See Spencer and Hansen figures: UVIS had a measurement at location of highest density for rev 61 Rev 61 c/a -------> Calculation • If all water vapor along this line of sight to star (Ncol = 2E15/cm2) were swept up by Cassini’s sensitive area (0.8 m2), this would form a solid ice sphere of radius 500 microns • Assume measured solid particle size distribution can be extended as a power law in radius to sizes dangerous to Cassini – CDA: q = 4 – RPWS: q = 6.4 (radius power law) Number of dangerous particles • Calculate the predicted number of hits by dangerous particles (r > 900 microns, Dave Seal) if Cassini flew a path with same minimum altitude: • ND = f1* (4-q)/(q-1) * a03/(amax4-q - amin4-q) * (a*1-q - amax1-q) Key parameters • • • • • a*: dangerous particle radius, 900 microns a0: equivalent ice radius, 500 microns amin, amax: size range, radius 1-1000 microns f1: ratio of solid ice mass to water vapor q: power law size index Results • ND = 3E-9 f1 • ND = 2E-3 f1 for q = 6.4 (RPWS) for q = 4 (CDA) Values for f1, mass ratio solid/gas • Simple physical arguments of mass balance, force balance, growth of solids from vapor give f1 < 1 • Comparing mass loss of solids estimated by ISS, CDA to vapor by UVIS gives f1 ~ 0.01 But, what about small, high pressure vents? They could loft dangerous particles. Signal more variable within plume … Outside Within plume Same number of high and low outliers Conclusions from 2 independent searches • Sensitive to events as small as 50m; opacity as small as 10% • We see no significant deviations from smooth variation • Outlier events have width less than 1km and opacity less than twice mean Conclusions • Extrapolating Cassini plume measurements to rev 61 and to radius dangerous to Cassini, using the most optimistic size range, provides a conservative estimate of the number of hits expected • The value is 0.2% or less • No evidence for high pressure vents • Better measurements of the size distribution and its opacity would improve the model