Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Evidentials References Eric McCready Aoyama Gakuin University August 14, 2015 Overview Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Goal: Evidentials I Introduction to epistemic modality and evidentiality References I Main point: connections to perspectivality I Secondary point(s): I I Brief introduction to semantics of epistemic modals and interpretation Slightly less brief introduction to evidentiality Epistemic modality Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References Two standard accounts of epistemic modals: Kratzer (1981) and that of Veltman (1996). I Both use a possible worlds semantics. Kratzer: a sentence with a possibility modal is true iff there is some epistemic alternative to the actual world in which the sentence is true. I This is a modification of a quite standard view from modal logic. The notion of epistemic alternative: I In standard ML, a world indistinguishable from the actual world given the knowledge of some agent. I Usually modeled with an accessibility relation R which has certain properties: I reflexivity, transitivity, symmetry [equivalence relation]. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Kratzer defines notions of modal base and ordering source. Epistemics I Modal base ∼ accessible worlds. Evidentials I Ordering source: preference relation on those worlds. References Here, put aside ordering source for simplicity. (1) Simplified Kratzer/modal logic for epistemic possibility modals: M , w |= ^e come party (john) iff ∃w 0 [wRepist w 0 → come party (john)(w 0 )] Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Veltman: dynamic semantics for modality. Eric McCready I In dynamic semantics, meanings are viewed as context change potentials. I Change in information states, viewed as sets of (epistemically possible) worlds. I Veltman: ^ is a global test on information states, passed for a proposition ϕ if ϕ is verified by some state. Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References More formally (where σ[ϕ] indicates the result of updating σ with ϕ, and propositions are also viewed as sets of worlds, as usual): (2) Veltman semantics for epistemic possibility modals σ[^ϕ] = σ if σ ∩ ϕ , ∅ ∅ else What agent? Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials The above make a claim about the function of EMs: I References They indicate that a given proposition is compatible with an agent’s information. But what agent? I The standard (hidden) assumption: the speaker. But this is not always obviously the case. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready (3) Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References Sally. Joe might be in Boston. George. He cant be in Boston. I saw him in the hall five minutes ago. (i). Sally: Oh, then I guess I was wrong. (ii). Sally: Oh, OK. So he cant be in Boston. Nonetheless, when I said Joe might be in Boston, what I said was true, and I stand by that claim. Bond villain vs Bond ally: (4) Bond might be in Zürich. True? Or False? Perspectives Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials DeRose (1991) (among others): EMs do make claims about the compatibility of their prejacents with an information state. I The relevant information state is not necessarily that of the speaker. I Can be relative to some other contextually salient individual; I or joint (or private) knowledge of the members of some salient group. References The view, then, is a standard contextualist one about epistemic modality. Dynamic relativism Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References However it can be realized in terms of points of evaluation as well. I Veltman-style relativist semantics: I Interpretation of ^φ in context hg , t , w , c , k i gives σa (k ) if σa (k ) ∩ ϕ , ∅ σa (k )[^ϕ] = ∅ I else So information state relativized to perspectival center a(k ). Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready EMs subject to standard shifting effects . . . Introduction Epistemics (5) Might John be at the party? Evidentials (6) John thinks it might rain. References . . . and are also capable of inducing shifting: (7) The cat food might/must be tasty. Amenable to a monstrous treatment: I operator shifting e-index, I (optional) operator associated with ^/ shifting other indices. Evidentials: Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Evidentials are expressions indicating something about speaker’s basis for a speech act. (8) a. Epistemics Evidentials References b. c. Para-sha-n-mi rain-PROG-3-MI ‘It is raining. + speaker sees that it is raining’ (Quechua) It must be raining. (seeing a dripping umbrella) ame-ga futteiru soo desu rain-Nom falling HEARSAY Cop ‘It is raining (I heard).’ (Japanese) Extensive prior research by typologists (e.g. Chafe and Nichols 1986; Mithun 1986; de Haan 1999; Aikhenvald 2003, 2004): I interesting typological generalizations I grammaticalization, etc. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References In recent years there has been a good deal of formal semantic work on evidentiality. I Scope behavior, ‘levels of meaning’, etc. I Content of evidentials I Update: Analogous with assertions? Or with modal updates? I Asserted or not? Some issues settled, some not (empirically or theoretically). I This talk: overview and relation to perspectivality. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials Today’s plan: I Evidentials: examples and definitions I Some seemingly distinct semantic classes and how to analyze them I Evidence and perspective References What is an evidential? Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References Aikhenvald (2004) provides the following criteria for evidentials: 1. Evidentials indicate the source of justification for factual claims; 2. Indication of evidence source is the primary meaning of evidentials (i.e. it does not follow pragmatically); 3. Evidentials are usually not used when the fact in question is known directly to both speaker and hearer (and, if used, have a special pragmatic significance). (3) might well be a special case of more usual restrictions on assertion. I I think it can be disregarded. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Thus evidentials indicate evidence source as their ‘primary meaning.’ I Epistemics “Primary meaning” should be understood as: ‘part of literal content’ Evidentials I References I I I I I not implicated, etc. Seems fair to include presupposition, conventional implicature, etc., under this rubric. Possibly nontrivial to determine what counts as literal content (eg. Cappelen and Lepore 2005); basically rely on intuitive understanding here. Perhaps more is intended but difficult to make this precise . . . intuitively it should be at least as ‘important’ as any other part of the content of the expression. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Point of contention in the literature: exegesis of ‘for factual claims’. Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics I What do we mean by ‘factual claim’ here? I Suppose I assert φ + Evid. Then my claim could be: φ or Opφ. Evidentials I References (Op some operator which is part of the content of the evidential) I If ‘φ’ then: evidentiality not part of asserted content I If ‘Opφ’ then: evidentiality part of asserted content I A major split between definitions and between accounts, as we’ll see. Have to be a bit careful about interaction between evidential and assertion on the second type. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics What then counts as an evidential? Lots of things. Evidentials 1. Certain modals: English ‘must’, German sollen References 2. Various affixes (Quechua, others) 3. Other modal-like forms (Japanese, St’at’imcets) 4. Even: embedding verbs of e.g. perception In the following: focus on types 2 and 3. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics To get a better sense, some specific examples and analyses. I References Cuzco Quechua/Faller (2002) I Evidentials I Japanese/McCready and Ogata (2007) I I Evidentials as speech act modifiers Evidentials as modals + evidence presupposition (effectively) Cherokee/Murray (2010) I Evidential meanings as ‘not-at-issue assertion’ In the process we’ll have occasion to consider some other recent formal accounts. Quechua: data Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials Cuzco Quechua has several enclitic suffixes that mark evidentiality. Faller analyzes three suffixes in detail: I -Mi indicates that the speaker has direct (usually perceptual) evidence for the claim. I -Si indicates that the speaker heard the information expressed in the claim from someone else. I -Chá indicates that the speaker’s background knowledge, plus inferencing, leads him to believe the information in the claim true. References Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction A representative case: (9) a. Epistemics Evidentials References Para-sha-n-mi rain-PROG-3-MI ‘It is raining. + speaker sees that it is raining’ b. para-sha-n-si rain-PROG-3-SI c. para-sha-n-chá rain-PROG-3-CHÁ ‘It is raining. + speaker was told that it is raining’ ‘It may/must be raining. + speaker conjectures that it is raining based on some sort of inferential evidence’ Quechua: analysis Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials Faller uses Vanderveken’s (1990) speech act theory for her analysis. I Speech acts have preconditions for successful performance. References I SINC : sincerity conditions on successful performance of the SA. For assertions, that Bel (s, p) holds—that the speaker believes the content of the assertion. I In large part, the focus of Faller’s analysis is on the sincerity conditions for the assertion. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready I Introduction Epistemics Evidentials -mi adds an additional sincerity condition: that Bpg (s, p). The formula Bpg (s, p) means that the speaker has the best possible grounds for asserting p. I References I BGP depends on asserted content: perception, even hearsay, ... Faller analyzes -chá as being simultaneously modal and evidential: I p is mapped to ^p, as is the corresponding belief object Bel (s, p) in SINC. I The condition Reasoning (s , Bel (s , ^p )) is also added to SINC . Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References I -Si is also complex; the propositional content p is not asserted when this hearsay evidential is used. I I Faller posits a special speech act PRESENT for this situation, on which the speaker simply presents a proposition without making claims about its truth. Therefore Bel (s, p) is eliminated from SINC, and the condition ∃s2 [Assert (s2 , p) ∧ s2 < {h, s}] is added to the set of sincerity conditions. Embedding Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References One main reason for using a speech act-based analysis is that the Cuzco Quechua evidentials do not embed semantically. They also cannot be ‘bound’ a la presuppositions. (10) Ines-qa mana-n/-chá/-s qaynunchaw ñaña-n-ta-chu Ines-Top not-MI/CHÁ/SI yesterday watuku-rqa-n visit-Pst1-3 sister-3-Acc-CHU ‘Ines didn’t visit her sister yesterday.’ (and speaker has evidence for this) NOT ‘Ines visited her sister yesterday’ (and speaker doesn’t have evidence for this) Alternatives to speech acts? Another way Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Murray (2010): Cherokee evidentials. (11) a. E’-hoo’koho-∅ 3-rain-dir Eric McCready Its raining, Im sure. Introduction b. Epistemics E’-hoo’ko?h?o-ne?se 3-rain-rpt.sg.b Evidentials Its raining, I hear. References c. E’-hoo’ko?’h?o-neho 3-rain-nar.sg.b It rained, it is said. d. M’o-hoo’ko?h’o-hane-he cnj-rain-modB-y/n Its raining, I gather. Four-way distinction: direct, reportative, ‘narrative,’ inferential. I A Quechua-like system: I I I not challengable/deniable no embedding Again, much like CIs. Direct update Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Murray’s proposal: distinguish two kinds of assertion. Introduction Epistemics I At-issue assertion: standard content I Evidentials I References I Not-at-issue assertion: nonstandard content I I I I new information (in general) first proferred to hearer; if accepted, update Direct update: no hearer choice about acceptance content is ‘imposed’ on interpreter; still new information CIs, expressives, . . . Proposal: (illocutionary) evidential content = not-at-issue assertion Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Update comes in three parts in general (implemented in system of Bittner 2011). Epistemics Evidentials References 1. the presentation of the at-issue proposition, 2. a non-negotiable update [possibly empty], 3. and a negotiable update. For evidentials: I (1) propositional content; (2) evidential content; (3) what to do with propositional content. Can also be viewed as a possible model of CI/expressive content. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Predictions: I I Epistemics I Evidentials References Not at issue means . . . not challengable unable to embed I Basically a lexical stipulation though. I Quite similar to CI view at the end; I Murray’s arguments against CI story (2010:139) don’t apply to + LCI analysis Clear: illocutionary analysis not the only possibility. I Now let us consider a qualitatively different type: ‘epistemic evidentials’ Japanese Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Japanese evidentials: inferential mitai, yoo, rashii, (Inf-)soo, and hearsay (S) soo, rashii (McCready and Ogata, 2007). (12) a. Epistemics Jon-wa konya-no paatii ni kuru rashii/mitai/yoo John-Top tonight-Gen party to come RASHII ‘It seems that John will come to the party tonight.’ Evidentials References b. Jon-wa konya-no paatii ni kuru soo-da John-Top tonight-Gen party to come SOO-Cop.pres c. . . . ki-soo-da . . . come-SOO-Cop ‘I heard that John will come to the party tonight.’ Some differences exist between the inferentials in . . . I evidence source possibilities I aspect (infinitive/inferential soo induces immediacy with nonstatives M&007 Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Inferential evidentials modeled via operator 4ia , where i indexes an evidence source and a is an agent. Informally: Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References (13) 4ia φ is true given a world w, time s, and probability function µ iff: a. b. c. φ was less likely according to a at some time preceding s (before introduction of some piece of evidence i); φ is still not completely certain for a at s (given i); the probability of φ for a never decreased between the time a became aware of the evidence i and s as a result of the same piece of evidence i (convexity). Existence of piece of evidence is effectively a presupposition (cf. pronouns; Geurts 1999). Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidence itself was modeled with a predicate E. This predicate also serves a complex function. Informally, it works as follows: Evidentials (14) Eia ϕ . . . References a. b. changes the probabilities assigned to every proposition ψ (excluding ϕ itself) in the current information state σ by replacing them with the conditional probability of ψ given ϕ, if defined replaces the modal accessibility relation with one restricted to worlds in which ϕ holds. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials This account is meant as a treatment of what evidence does in a context; I it changes the probability of other propositions that are related to it conditionally (14a), I and revises the set of accessible possibilities to one containing only those possibilities that make the content of the evidence true (14b). References The latter just amounts to learning new information. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References The hearsay evidential on the other hand was modelled with an operator Ha , a dynamic test, understood as follows. (15) Ha ϕ indicates that a has experienced an event of acquiring hearsay knowledge Eha ϕ, at some past time. So evidentials simply introduce semantic operators, I which can scope over and under other bits of content as usual, I unlike what happens if they’re tied to speech acts I or other kinds of content with scope restrictions (CIs). Embedding Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials One main reason for treating J-evids as semantic operators: easily take narrow scope. (16) a. References Taro-ga kuru yoo da-ttara osiete kudasai Taro-Nom come YOO Cop.Pres-COND teach please ‘If it looks like Taro will come, please tell me.’ b. Taro-ga kuru soo da-ttara osiete kudasai Taro-Nom come SOO Cop.Pres-COND teach please ‘If you hear that Taro will come, please tell me.’ If just operators, they can easily scope under other operators. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References Evidentials can also embed under modals and negation, as in the following case. Context : Mika is in love with Taro and always waits for him if she thinks he’s going to show up. We were supposed to meet Mika somewhere but she never appeared. Here it would be fine to say the following, indicating that we think Mika might be waiting for Taro somewhere else. (17) mosikasitara Taro-ga maybe kuru yoo datta kamosirenai Taro-Nom come YOO cop.Pst possibly ‘Maybe it looked like Taro would come.’ Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References A difficult question: what is evidence for natural language? I Without an answer, theories of evidentials partly undefined But can we just ignore the question as linguists? I ‘Leave it to the philosophers’ I But: why should NL evidence be identical to e.g evidence in philosophy of science? Evidence, intuitively Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials What does evidence do? The obvious answer is that it provides justification for certain beliefs. I One way to think about this justification is by means of changes in the probabilities assigned to the content of those beliefs. What is the notion of probability we have in mind here? References I The objective, or classical, probability of ϕ is, roughly, the fraction of total possible outcomes in which ϕ is true |{w : ϕ(w )}| OP (ϕ) = |W | The subjective probabilityis the degree of belief in ϕ an agent a has |{w : w ∈ Doxa ∧ ϕ(w )}| SPa (ϕ) = . |Doxa | Observe that the latter is explicitly perspectival. I Which to prefer? Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Seemingly, subjective probabilities. I Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References Explicitly adopted by McCready and Ogata (2007); Davis et al. (2007). The problem is that it is not clear that everything that changes subjective probabilities is necessarily evidence. I Consider the following scenario, based on one in Williamson (2000). $1. A lottery ticket is 1 but a hot dog costs $1.50. I am hungry and want a hot dog. I Suppose that I have I I have no reason to believe that any lottery ticket I buy will win; but as I get hungrier I begin to convince myself that the chance of winning is good—though I may know the odds. I =⇒ The subjective probability of a winning ticket increases. Wishful thinking can count as evidence if no more is said. K vs B Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References Do we want to say that evidence must be knowledge? (cf. McCready 2010) I To be discussed. But how to tell knowledge from belief? I Here is a traditional answer from epistemology: knowledge is justified true belief. I I can be said to know p if I believe p, p is true, and I have good reason to believe p This answer looks reasonable. But it is wrong. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Gettier (1963): cases in which all the conditions above are met, but still there is no knowledge. Here is a scenario in the Gettier style. I Johnny is traveling in the country when he sees what looks to him like a horse on top of a hill and hear a horse neigh. I However, what he sees is a horse-shaped rock, and the neigh is just the wind whistling through that pipe over there. I But there is—coincidentally—a horse standing behind the rock. Epistemics Evidentials References (18) Johnny knows there is a horse on top of the hill. This statement seems false–though the conditions listed are satisfied. I How do evidentials behave in such situations? Evidentials in Gettier scenarios Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction A characteristic of Gettier cases: I The Gettiered individual is Gettiered because of non-general facts about the world. I So while the justification the Gettiered individual has for his beliefs is not well-founded, I this lack of justification can be apparent to other individuals in the Gettier case. Epistemics Evidentials References Thus we see that being Gettiered is a perspective-dependent problem: only the Gettiered individual is necessarily Gettiered. I We might anticipate that we find complex patterns wrt evidential usage in GSs. Indeed we do Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Unsurprisingly, the Gettiered individual can assert an evidential with respect to his putative knowledge: Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References (19) ano oka-no ue-ni uma-ga iru mitai da that hill-Gen top-Dat horse-Nom exists EVID Cop ‘There appears to be a horse on top of that hill.’ Johnny of (18)) (said by the For the outside observer the situation is a bit more complex. We can distinguish two cases. 1. The observer knows that Johnny’s warrant for belief is no good, but does not know whether there is actually a horse. 2. The observer knows both that Johnny’s warrant is no good and that there is a horse. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials In both of these cases, (19) is bad. But it is bad for different reasons. I References In Case 1, it is bad because of clause (2a) of the definition of the inferential evidential. I I The outside observer has no piece of evidence—that is, no piece of knowledge, since Johnny’s putative evidence is useless—that increased the probability that there is a horse on the hill to the necessary level. This makes use of the evidential by the observer impossible. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References I In Case 2, the observer runs afoul of clause (2b). I Since the observer knows that there is a horse, the probability of there being a horse is 1; she is completely certain that there is a horse, and the evidential sentence cannot be used. This situation involves something closer to a Gricean violation, modeled in the theory of McCready and Ogata (2007) as something akin to Veltman’s (1996) examples with epistemic modalities: (20) # It is sunny . . . It might be sunny. If we know that it is sunny, it is not helpful to assert the possibility. The evidential case is analogous. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready A question wrt evidentials in Gettier scenarios arises concerning the distinction between assertability and truth evaluation. I Introduction Is (19) assertable? I Epistemics Evidentials I References I By Johnny, yes; in his Gettiered state, he believes that he has evidence enough to make it true, so he can utter it sincerely. By a non-Gettiered observer, however, it is not assertable, as we just saw: for the observer, the sentence is either false or out for Gricean reasons. So we see that the perspective taken matters for assertability in Gettier contexts. A related question: Is (19) true? I Johnny himself will take (19) to be true—as will anyone Gettiered along with Johnny. I But the outside, omniscient observer will take it to be false. So perspective matters for truth evaluation as well. Awareness and perspective Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction A further condition on evidence: agents must recognize evidence as so. I A piece of evidence cannot count as evidence for an agent unless that agent is aware that the evidence is indeed evidence. I Note: purely objective notions of evidence won’t work for this application. Epistemics Evidentials References Two roots for failure to recognize evidence as evidence. I One might fail to recognize the relationship between evidence and evidenced, or lack a relevant concept. I I E.g. over politeness as evidence for lack of respect, when conventions unfamiliar People do not use evidentials if they do not take themselves to have evidence! Back to the main issue Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Question: what is evidence for natural language? I Evidentials ∼ question of how natural language makes use of the notion of justification, References I I I i.e. the justification for assertion, and the evaluation of that justification. Thus Q2: what notion of justification is at play in natural language? Let us explore some existing views of justification. Justification and knowledge Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready A line of demarcation: internalist vs externalist theories. I Internalist theories, roughly speaking, are those which take justification to depend exclusively on the state of the agent, i.e. on her mental states I Externalist theories conversely put some part of the responsibility for justifying in the external environment. Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References Which kind of theory looks preferable for natural language evidentials? I First: simplest internalism can’t be right (hungry lottery player). We need: I either some kind of externalism I or a way of simulating an apparent externalism. Gettier cases again Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Gettiered individuals are willing to assert evidentials. I So we cannot have a purely externalist conception of evidence, I Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References if we do, wrong prediction (assuming justificational assertion norm). But external observers judge such uses of evidentials false. Plausible option: knowledge-level justification (Fantl and McGrath 2009:97). I A (justified) belief that you are justified enough to know, though you may in fact be mistaken. I = higher-order beliefs about the reliability of one’s own justification. I Even on externalist version, weak enough to apply to Gettiered agents: I such agents believe that they are justified enough to have knowledge. Suggestion: agent-dependent KLJ. I Evidence: desiderata Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Requirements: evidence must be . . . Epistemics Evidentials References I sensitive to the awareness and perspectives of agents I able to track individuals’ beliefs about their relation to the external environment. I (and how those beliefs also relate to the external environment.) Let us now explore options. Knowledge Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective E =K Eric McCready I Evidence must be knowledge I and also raise subjective probabilities. I In earlier work, I adopted this view simpliciter (McCready, 2008, 2010). Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References But we need more. I What does an agent know in internal Gettier scenarios? I (18): is Johnny’s evidence that he sees a horse, or that he sees a horse-like form? Probably the latter. I If the former, he does not know it, if the latter, clearly, he does. I His belief that there is a horse follows from a Millarian ‘quasi-inference’, which amounts to making the assumption that perception is reliable (Millar, 1991). Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready If this is correct, then assuming that evidence must be knowledge does not help. Introduction Epistemics Evidentials I Johnny does know his evidence. I The problem is in the Millarian inference. I Independent of E = K . I Or (if the other interpretation), then he simply does not know, and E = K does not help. References I I We predict that internal Gettier participants should be unable to use evidentials, for they do not know. Then: knowledge-level justification, which must be spelled out. How to do so then? Higher-order beliefs about probabilities Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Basic idea: evidence (for evidentials) involves the self-ascription of an increase in probability based on learning. Eric McCready I What kind of probability? Introduction Epistemics Evidentials Two options: 1. Subjective probabilities: possibly too weak. References I Then evidentials assertable in internal Gettier cases: I based on the putative evidence, the agent self-ascribes a rise in probability. I But externally no such probability increase is self-ascribed. I =⇒ evidential sentence will be assertible for the Gettiered individual, I yet the uttered sentence will be judged false by the external observer. This is precisely as desired. Coherent? Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials Possible issue: subjective probability distributions are based on degrees of belief. I References Is it conceptually possible to have a subjective probability distribution without being aware of the probabilities that are assigned? If we are so aware, then self-ascription follows from subjective probability increase. I Then we cannot discriminate between the cases. I am not sure—so let me search for a patch. Fixes Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready I Let introspection fail for subjective probabilities. I Seems drastic for the application . . . Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References I More complex view of introspection: uncertainty about probabilities? I Highly complex view of internal states . . . 1. Objective probabilities. I I I To get perspectives, add self-ascription: self-ascribe being in a world where the objective probability of φ increased on the basis of the truth of ψ, ie. a world in which ψ is evidence for φ. 2. This last looks the best option given evidence from Gettier cases (McCready, 2014). Proposal Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Basic idea: I evidence induces increase in probability via conditionalization, I and self-ascription of the property of being in a world in which the required increase occurs. I The proposal thus comes in two parts: Evidentials References I I the change in probabilities, and the self-ascription of that change. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References Describing evidence in terms of probability is completely straightforward. What we want is just the following: (21) ϕ is evidence for χ iff P(χ|ϕ) > P(χ|¬ϕ), where (χ|ϕ) is the conditionalization of χ on ϕ. What kind of probability? I Subjective: no, for reasons already discussed I Objective: yes, but not by itself, for mind-independent Solution: self-ascription. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References Self-ascription: already needed to account for other intuitive requirements on evidence. I e.g. Audi insurance adjustor, general awareness. I We can simply make use of the framework Yasu presented on Tuesday to handle this idea. I Just as with other kinds of self-ascription. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Now: subjective evidence amounts to self-ascription in a world where such evidence exists. Eric McCready (22) EVID (χ, ϕ) ←→ ϕ is evidence for χ (cf. 21) Introduction Epistemics Evidentials References Then, for ϕ to count as subjective evidence for χ with respect to agent a, we require: (23) SE (a, χ, ϕ)g ,t ,w ,c ,k ←→ GCDox (a, t , w ) ⊆ {c 0 : EVID (χ, ϕ) wrt a(k ) at t (k ) in w (k )} Unpacked: I ϕ is subjective evidence for χ for agent a iff I in all of the agent’s belief-accessible worlds, ϕ is indeed evidence for χ. I Use of objective probability implies that agent takes herself to be viewing things objectively; I The latter amounts to implementing knowledge-level justification. Perspective Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Key point in the above: I if probabilities are subjective, then explicitly perspectival; I if objective, then perspectival via addition of self-ascription. Epistemics Evidentials References Thus an evidential claim is always made. . . I on the basis of a perspective I and the information (state) associated with it. This is so even for illocutionary evidentials: I the ‘evidential core’ contains a modal component (cf. McCready 2015). Shifting Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Japanese: (24) a. Epistemics Evidentials Taro-wa kuru mitai nano? Taro-Top come MITAI Q ‘Does it look like Taro will come?’ References b. Taro-wa kuru soo nano? Taro-Top come SOO Q ‘Given what you heard, will Taro come?’ Note that the English ‘look like’ (in gloss) and ‘seem’ show the same behavior (pseudo-evidentials). (25) Does it seem like it will rain? Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Cheyenne (Murray 2010): (26) a. Introduction ‘He sang, I’m sure’ Epistemics Evidentials É-néméne-∅ 3-sing-DIR b. References Mó=é-néméne-∅? y/n=3-sing-DIR ‘Given what you know, did he sing?’ (27) a. É-néméne-seste 3-sing-RPT.3SG ‘He sang, I hear’ b. Mó=é-néméne-seste y/n=3-sing-RPT.3SG ‘Given what you heard, did he sing?’ Summary Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready Introduction Evidentials: I indicate the relationship between the source of information and the content of a speech act I can differ in the kind of meaning they introduce (illocutionary/modal) I involve perspectivality either by Epistemics Evidentials References 1. explicit agent-relativity a la epistemic modals 2. the background notion of evidence at work in their semantics Shifting can be analyzed monstrously I though shifting at the metalevel, in the evidence definition, might be complex. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Aikhenvald, Alexandra. 2003. Evidentiality in typological perspective. In A. Aikhenvald and R. Dixon, eds., Studies in Evidentiality, pages 1–31. Johns Benjamins. Eric McCready Bittner, Maria. 2011. Time and modality without tenses or modals. In R. Musan and M. Rathert, eds., Tense across Languages, pages 147–188. Niemeyer. Aikhenvald, Alexandra. 2004. Evidentiality. Oxford University Press. Introduction Cappelen, Herman and Ernest Lepore. 2005. Insensitive Semantics. Oxford: Blackwell. Epistemics Chafe, Wallace and Johanna Nichols. 1986. Introduction. In W. Chafe and J. Nichols, eds., Evidentiality: The Linguistic Coding of Epistemology, pages vii–xi. Norwood: Ablex Publishing Co. Evidentials References Davis, Christopher, Christopher Potts, and Peggy Speas. 2007. The pragmatic values of evidential sentences. In M. Gibson and T. Friedman, eds., Proceedings of SALT 17 , pages 71–88. CLC Publications. de Haan, Ferdinand. 1999. Evidentiality and epistemic modality: Setting boundaries. Southwest Journal of Linguistics 18:83–101. DeRose, Keith. 1991. Epistemic possibilities. The Philosophical Review 100(4):581–605. Faller, Martina. 2002. Semantics and Pragmatics of Evidentials in Cuzco Quechua. Ph.D. thesis, Stanford University. Fantl, Jeremy and Matthew McGrath. 2009. Knowledge in an Uncertain World. Oxford University Press. Gettier, Edmund. 1963. Is justified true belief knowledge? Analysis 23:121–123. Geurts, Bart. 1999. Presupposition and Pronouns. Oxford: Elsevier. Kratzer, Angelika. 1981. The notional category of Modality. In H.-J. Eikmeyer and H. Rieser, eds., Words, worlds, and contexts: new approaches in word semantics, no. 6 in Research in text theory, pages 38–74. Berlin: de Gruyter. McCready, Eric. 2008. Evidentials, knowledge and belief. In Y. Nakayama, ed., Proceedings of LENLS 5. McCready, Eric. 2010. Evidential universals. In T. Peterson and U. Sauerland, eds., Evidentials and Evidence, vol. 28 of UBC Working Papers in Linguistics, pages 105–128. University of British Columbia. McCready, Eric. 2014. What is evidence in natural language? In Formal Semantics and Pragmatics, E. McCready, K. Yabushita and K. Yoshimoto, eds., Springer. McCready, Eric. 2015. Reliability in Pragmatics. Oxford University Press. Epistemics, Evidentials, and Perspective Eric McCready McCready, Eric and Norry Ogata. 2007. Evidentiality, modality, and probability. Linguistics and Philosophy 30(2):147–206. Millar, Alan. 1991. Reasons and Experience. Oxford University Press. Mithun, Marianne. 1986. Evidential diachrony in Northern Iroquoian. In W. Chafe and J. Nichols, eds., Evidentiality: The Linguistic Coding of Epistemology, pages 89–112. New Jersey: Ablex. Murray, Sarah. 2010. Evidentiality and the Structure of Speech Acts. Ph.D. thesis, Rutgers. Introduction Vanderveken, Daniel. 1990. Meaning and Speech Acts. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. In 2 volumes. Epistemics Veltman, Frank. 1996. Defaults in update semantics. Journal of Philosophical Logic 25:221–261. Evidentials References Williamson, Timothy. 2000. Knowledge and its Limits. Oxford.