Near-Surface Air Temperature Patterns in Complex Terrain, San Francisco Peaks, Arizona Simeral, David, B., (1) (2) (3) and Albright, Thomas, P., (2) (1) Desert Research Institute, Division of Atmospheric Sciences, Reno, NV, (2) University of Nevada, Reno, Department of Geography, Reno, NV, (3) Western Regional Climate Center, Reno, NV david.simeral@dri.edu Introduction Near-surface temperature is an important parameter for modeling local climate regimes and understanding a variety of biological, ecological, glaciological, and hydrological processes. Temperatures are often driven by finer-scale conditions where site-specific data are normally not available. In such cases, climate mapping applications, such as Parameter–Elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM), are commonly used. However, these applications may not always resolve air temperature fields and associated lapse rates on a scale necessary to understand biological and ecological processes in mountainous terrain. To address these issues, the San Francisco Peaks Mesonet (SFP Mesonet) was established in June 2010 in an effort to measure and quantify air temperature patterns across elevation and slope aspect on an isolated mountain peak. Objectives Results Methods Lapse Rate Comparison: Free-Atmosphere vs. Near-Surface Instrumentation and Sampling Design HOBO Tidbit v2 Temperature Data Logger (Onset Computer Corp; Bourne, MA) (Fig 3). HOBO Tidbit Boot – thermoplastic elastomer boot to to help minimize reflected shortwave radiation when snowcover is present. Sensor accuracy – 0.2°C over 0°C to 50°C. Radiation shield – white polyethylene funnel. Scan Interval – point observation every 15 minutes. Fig. 3: Field deployment of the HOBO Tidbit Observational period – December 2010. Data – FGZ sounding at 0Z (4:00 p.m.), SFP Mesonet south transect at 0Z. Distance between FGZ launch site and SFP Mesonet south transect – ~ 15km (Fig 7). Mean lapse rates were as follows: FGZ (-4.7 °C/km); SFP (-4.4 °C/km). Daily lapse rates ranged from -9.2 °C/km to 6.5 °C/km under strong inversion conditions. There was a weak, positive correlation between the free-atmosphere and the nearsurface lapse rates, r=0.46, n=30, p=.05. sensor in a radiation shield. Lapse Rate Calculations 1. Measure temperature variation on an isolated mountain in order to infer the roles of elevation, slope, aspect, time period, and synoptic variability on observed patterns and lapse rates on various temporal scales. 2. Calculate near-surface temperature lapse rates (the rate at which temperature decreases with height) across the north, south, east, and west slopes of the San Francisco Peaks (SFP) on various temporal scales. 3. Compare SFP Mesonet data with the PRISM 800-meter resolution dataset for the contemporaneous period. 4. Compare lapse rate relationships between the free-atmosphere and the near-surface. Hypotheses Response variable (yi) = air temperature; predictor variable (x) = elevation. Lapse rates were calculated using the following simple linear regression model: Fig. 7: Map identifying the location of FGZ launch site and south transect. PRISM vs. SFP Mesonet Observations Results Observational period - July 2010-December 2010. Data – PRISM 800-meter monthly Tmin/Tmax, SFP Mesonet monthly Tmin/Tmax. PRISM displayed an overall cold-bias for Tmin compared to the SFP obs(Fig 9A). PRISM displayed a warm-bias for Tmax under cooler conditions (cooler conditions = ~0°C to ~12°C range) and a cold-bias under warmer conditions (~12°C to ~25°C range) (Fig 9B). Monthly Mean Air Temperature Across Elevation Temp (Deg C) 1. Current climate and meteorological models do not adequately represent temperature fields in complex terrain. 2. Near-surface temperature lapse rates vary significantly across slope aspect and seasonally. 3. Application of a spatially uniform lapse rate of 6.5°C/km is not representative of surface conditions in complex terrain, especially on short temporal scales. Temp (Deg C) Methods Fig. 1: SFP Mesonet station locations. Site Name Latitude (°N) Longitude (°W) North 1 North 2 North 3 North 4 North 5 North 6 South 1 South 2 South 3 South 4 South 5 South 6 East 1 East 2 East 3 East 4 East 5 East 6 West 1 West 2 West 3 West 4 West 5 West 6 35.356 35.361 35.366 35.373 35.382 35.396 35.321 35.317 35.313 35.309 35.304 35.292 35.338 35.339 35.342 35.345 35.352 35.360 35.325 35.325 35.327 35.328 35.327 35.326 -111.680 -111.679 -111.677 -111.674 -111.675 -111.680 -111.679 -111.680 -111.682 -111.684 -111.686 -111.691 -111.677 -111.670 -111.660 -111.644 -111.627 -111.605 -111.684 -111.691 -111.699 -111.703 -111.722 -111.760 Elevation (meters above msl) 3498 3302 3102 2897 2700 2500 3502 3300 3102 2901 2700 2501 3461 3300 3098 2900 2696 2501 3521 3301 3107 2902 2700 2510 Slope Aspect (°) 338 22 43 44 52 357 217 218 237 224 192 205 112 63 118 121 87 120 233 230 240 345 250 250 Slope Angle (°) 28 25 25 15 12 5 30 32 35 30 10 10 10 15 10 10 5 15 15 24 25 18 10 10 Vegetation Life Zone Dominant Tree Species Hudsonian Hudsonian Canadian Canadian Transition Transition Hudsonian Hudsonian Canadian Canadian Transition Transition Hudsonian Hudsonian Hudsonian Hudsonian Hudsonian Hudsonian Hudsonian Hudsonian Hudsonian Canadian Transition Transition PiEn PiEn AbCo AbCo PiPo PiPo PiEn PiAr PiAr PiSt PsMe PiPo PiEn PiEn PiEn AbCo PsMe PiPo PiEn PiEn PiEn PiPo PiPo PiPo Fig. 2: SFP Mesonet site characteristics. Study Area This study was carried out on the San Francisco Peaks (35.35°N, -111.68°; 3851m), Southern Colorado Plateau, Arizona from June 2010 – June 2012 (Fig. 1). The San Francisco Peaks are the remnants of an eroded stratovolcano and the place of origin of C. Hart Merriam’s Life Zone concept (Merriam, 1889). Network Design Transects design – avoidance of valleys/concavities (except the east transect) which act to encourage local microclimates (Fig. 1,2). Spacing - four evenly-spaced transects (200 m intervals) comprising of six sites spanning in elevation from 2500 m to 3500 m above mean sea level. Sensor placement – sensors were placed on the north side of trees at approximate heights ranging from 2-5 m taking into consideration the estimated maximum snow depth. Fig. 8: Time-series plot of instantaneous lapse rates calculated from FGZ and the SFP Mesonet south transect. A Temp (Deg C) B Fig 9: Relationships between x and y for Tmin (A) and Tmax (B) between PRISM 800-meter gridded data and the SFP Mesonet data for the contemporaneous. A one-to-one line is shown for clarity. Conclusions Fig. 4: Time-series plots of monthly mean air temperatures stratified by elevation. Lapse Rates - Tmean Monthly lapse rates were calculated using the monthly Tavg from each station in the transect. Mean lapse rates for the entire period of record (June 2010-June 2012) were as follows: North (-6.5 °C/km); South (-6.3 °C/km); East (-6.6 °C/km); and West (-6.5 °C/km)(Fig. 6). Individual monthly lapse rates ranged from -2.6 °C/km to -9.6 °C/km (Fig. 5). Steepest lapse rates occurred in April, May, and June (Fig. 5). Fig 5: Time-series plot of monthly lapse rates from the SFP Mesonet. Shallowest lapse rates occurred in November, December, and January (Fig. 5). Highest degree of variability in lapse rates Anomalously shallow lapse rates occurred occurred along the east transect and the along the east transect during the summer least along the north transect. months (Fig. 5). Application of a uniform lapse rate of 6.5 °C/km is not representative for the greater San Francisco Peaks region except on an annual time scale. Slope aspect, slope curvature, and seasonality play a significant role in seasonal temperature patterns and associated lapse rate behavior. On the scale of a small mountain range (SF Peaks), the accuracy of PRISM is highly dependent upon and limited by the available stations providing input data. Integration of high spatial and temporal resolution datasets, such as the SFP Mesonet, will help to facilitate improvements. A weak correlation was found to exist between lapse rates in the free-atmosphere and near-surface. Future Research Future Research Development of a methodology to assess various data interpolation techniques and subsequent application to the SFP Mesonet dataset. Creation of a monthly gridded datasets of Tmin, Tmax, and Tmean in ArcGIS 10 to analyze spatial relationships between the four transects on various temporal scales. Multiple regression modeling to investigate the influence of synoptic patterns (synoptic typing), winds, humidity, slope aspect, slope angle, and solar input on subsequent temperature patterns. Acknowledgments Fig 6: Box plots describing variability in monthly mean lapse rates by transect for the period of June 2010 – June 2012. Neil Cobb & Paul Heinrich, Northern Arizona University, Merriam Powell Center for Environmental Research Connie Millar, USFS Pacific SW Research Station Kelly Redmond, Western Regional Climate Center & DRI Coconino National Forest, Peaks District Arizona Snowbowl Hopi Tribe Navajo Nation James Ashby, DRI 3-D rendering of monthly data from the SFP Mesonet.