Ryan J. MacDonald, Sarah Boon, and James M. Byrne University of Lethbridge MTCLIM, 2010 Background and rationale Field techniques Modelling concepts Conclusions It is a key environmental control, governing aquatic ecosystem function. 1. 1. 2. 3. 2. Dissolved oxygen Metabolic rates Species interaction Fisheries management concerns http://www.keepbanderabeautiful.org/climate-change.jpg “Are we spawning a generation of computer hydrologists?” (Sidle, 2006) Few studies have quantified the energy and mass balance components – particularly sub-surface Due to the complexities in energy and mass balance, few fine-scale physically based spatial models exist Little is known about the potential impacts of environmental change on stream thermal regimes 1. Define key atmospheric and hydrologic variables controlling stream temperature 2. Incorporate reach-scale stream temperature mass and energy balance into a watershed-scale spatial model 3. Use the resulting model to assess how environmental change (landscape disturbance and climate change) may affect stream temperature regimes Lethbridge Shortwave Radiation Longwave Radiation Surface water flow Surface water temp Sensible heat flux Latent heat flux Groundwater flow Groundwater temp F (streamflow) Q* (net radiation) Qh (sensible heat flux) Qe (latent heat flux) LOSING GAINING qin (G.W. flow) Tw (stream temp) Tin (G.W. temp) Upstream flow – downstream flow = Net loss or gain 3 Sites: Star Main – 1506 masl Star East – 1575 masl Star West – 1690 masl Star_Main Star_West Star_East 9 Temperature (deg C) 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 15-May-10 17-May-10 19-May-10 21-May-10 23-May-10 Date 25-May-10 27-May-10 Star_Main 45 40 35 Stage (cm) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Star_West Star_East 7 Star_East 9 y = 0.2106x + 2.4331 R² = 0.8413 Stream Temp (Deg C) 8 Star_Main 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 y = 0.1201x + 2.064 R² = 0.8056 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 -5 0 5 10 15 20 -5 25 0 5 Air Temp (Deg C) 10 9 y = 0.0667x + 2.3022 R² = 0.5109 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 -5 15 Air Temp (Deg C) Star_West Stream Temp (Deg C) Stream Temp (Deg C) 9 0 5 10 15 Air Temp (Deg C) 20 25 20 25 Uses a combination of empirical and physical modelling with GIS derived hydrological response units (HRUs) to spatially represent hydrometeorological variables air temperature precipitation Incoming radiation humidity evapotranspiration SWE interception sublimation melt soil water runoff y = 0.9962x R² = 0.9656 -25 -15 P< 0.0001 RMSE = 0.52 -5 5 15 Observed Tmean (Deg C) 350 25 Daily incoming radiation- Burned (2008) 300 250 Observed K 200 150 Simulated K 100 30 per. Mov. Avg. (Observed K) 50 0 1 18 35 52 69 86 103 120 137 154 171 188 205 222 239 256 273 290 307 324 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 Daily incoming radiation (Wm2) Simulated Tmean (deg C) Mean daily air temperature – Star Main (2007) Day of year dT (Change in temperature) dx (Change in distance) W (Stream width) Q* (Net radiation) Qh (Sensible heat flux) Qe (Latent heat flux) Qin (Groundwater flow) Tin (Groundwater temperature) Tw (Stream temperature) F (Streamflow) C (Specific heat capacity of water) Leach and Moore, 2010 Scale? Stream temperature dynamics are complex in mountainous environments Fine-scale surface/subsurface interactions likely dominate the stream temperature energy and mass balance Incorporating process knowledge into a large-scale spatial model may provide insight into which variables are important at varied spatial and temporal scales Any good ideas?? Funding sources – ACA, PARC, TU Canada, ASRD (Forest Management Branch), AWRI, NSERC Uldis Silins , Chris Williams, Mike Wagner, Jeremy Fitzpatrick and Jolene Lust from the U of A forest Hydrology Lab Katie Burles and Dave Dixon from the U of L mountain hydrology lab Dez Tessler – Field assistant